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      "body": "Congratulations @str1der! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@str1der/birthday1.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 1 year!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@str1der) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=str1der)_</sub>\n\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "author": "str1der",
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      "title": "Technical Analysis Bitcoin 22/09/18",
      "body": "Hi everyone! \n\nYesterday Bitcoin finally broke out of it's trading range and we are most likely to get a daily close in the $6700 ranges. \nThat means we are bullish for now, but where are our targets? \n\nLet's have a look: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/IifvDP21/)\n\nWhen tracking back the previous upwards retracements after the $6k bottom had been retested, we always retraced to the golden ratio Fibonacci level before continuing the downtrend movement (red boxes).\n\nExcept for last time when we fell a bit short:\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/6Ha6nv10/)\n\nThat's why this is my target where I will be looking to enter short positions:\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/89OX0UQ5/)\n\nAs long as there are no convincing signs that we are breaking the descending triangle to the upside I will be a bear expecting $6k to finally break at some point. \n\nIn addition to that I mentioned in my previous post that if we make a higher low, which we did, I will be expecting Btc to form an equilibrium. That would leave us with a lower high and I am still expecting this to happen. \n\nNow that doesn't mean it's impossible for Btc to break out bullishly and start a bull run since Btc is forming a symmetrical triangle when we connect our most recent lows. Note how said upper trendline coincides with the targeted 0.618 Fibonacci level. \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/TV4nPPAq/)\n\nBut please remember that the minimum we need to confirm a change in the trend and therefore a possible bull market is a higher high above $7450! \n\nThe lower triangle trendline should act as strong support in case we will get rejected at the upper triangle trendline which would further establish the equilibrium and tightening the range in which Btc moves back and forth. \n \nAs of now Btc is fighting to break this very hard resistance, I doubt that it can on the first try: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/lf68N0h8/)\n\nThe deeper we close in that red rectangle the bullisher we are in the short to medium term. \n\nIf we get rejected and form a higher low this will serve as entry point for long positions for the bulls and people who missed the breakout. \n\nI outlined possible price targets for such entries on the previous chart.\n\nLet's take a quick glance at our indicators aswell:\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/iimoTp8y/)\n\nThe RSI has plenty of room to the upside and the MACD looks very promising on the Daily and Weekly if you're a bull. \nWe didn't get the cleanest of crossovers on the weekly however, which reminds us that this bear period might not be over quite yet. \n\nI will keep you updated, stay safe!",
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      "author": "str1der",
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      "title": "Bitcoin Update 09/09/2018",
      "body": "Hi everyone!\n\nDown she goes once again! \n\nBtc has now reached our targeted support area that we outlined in case of another leg down.  \n\nMy previous update has to be corrected in so far that Btc wasn't forming a bear flag but rather a pennant. Both patterns are continuation patterns nevertheless; I drew the pennant on the chart so you can check for yourselves: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/DUD8c2ab/)\n(Source: https://www.tradingview.com/x/DUD8c2ab/)\n\nNow the question is: will we stop dumping here and start a retracement to the upside? \n\nOn the daily chart we now got 4 big red candles in a row, making this downwards movement from $7400 to $6200 feel exactly like the last one from $8500 to $6000 which also happened in pretty much one single downfall. \n\nThat's why we might be set up for even more downwards price action.\n\nIn case this support doesn't hold, this is the trendline I'm watching out for: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/44OVXOP8/)\n(Source: https://www.tradingview.com/x/44OVXOP8/)\n\nHowever our indicators are showing good signs for the bulls on the short to medium term. \n\nRSI and MACD are giving us clear bullish divergences on higher time frames and the MACD lines are getting another chance for a bullish crossover aswell. \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/cv90jiqB/)\n(Source: https://www.tradingview.com/x/cv90jiqB/)\n\nIf price reverses here the daily chart would form a higher low after forming a lower high. \n\nThat's why I would expect Bitcoin to maybe get trapped in an Equilibrium for a while. \n\nAn Equilibrium is where price doesn't follow a specific trend, but rather forms higher lows and lower highs consecutively. Hence price is effectively going sideways.\n\nBut that has yet to be seen, only time will tell.\n\nOptimistic bulls will start entering long positions here, while some bears may be betting on breaking the $6000 support on this attempt. \n\nAgain price action on the daily chart is not showing any strong signs for a bounce so a retest of the yearly bottom must be taken into consideration until we get some serious bullish confirmation of a reversal. \n\nUntil then, stay safe and healthy! \n\nMedium: https://medium.com/@xenerion1/bitcoin-update-09-09-2018-8c83172c5f0a\nInvesting.com:",
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      "permlink": "re-steemitboard-steemitboard-notify-str1der-20180907t095947907z",
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      "body": "Awesome, thank you!",
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      "author": "steemitboard",
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      "body": "Congratulations @str1der! You have completed the following achievement on the Steem blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/voted.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@str1der) Award for the number of upvotes received\n\n<sub>_Click on the badge to view your Board of Honor._</sub>\n<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>\n\n\nTo support your work, I also upvoted your post!\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemfest/@steemitboard/steemfest-steemitboard-support-the-travel-reimbursement-fund\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmawPYDAwfrQM8YU6ejD1f87g64cvsmEFn8RQKHJMs4zxg/image.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemfest/@steemitboard/steemfest-steemitboard-support-the-travel-reimbursement-fund\">SteemFest³ - SteemitBoard support the Travel Reimbursement Fund.</a></td></tr></table>\n\n> Support [SteemitBoard's project](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)! **[Vote for its witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1)** and **get one more award**!",
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      "body": "Thanks a lot!",
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      "title": "Minor Correction",
      "body": "You have a minor misspelling in the following sentence: <blockquote>If this dump occured because Goldman Sachs cancelled their plans to open a trading desk for cryptocurrencies or not we can't say, however if you are trading indicator divergences you might have caught this short trade nonetheless: .</blockquote> It should be <i>occurred</i> instead of <i>occured</i>.",
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      "title": "Bitcoin Update 07/09/2018",
      "body": "Hello everyone!\n\nWow what a bear move! \n\nA quick reminder from the market that this bearish period is far from over. \n\nLet's take a look: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/6DfGCOtf/)\n\nBefore reaching the trendline at $7500 price got rejected at this green resistance area. My assumption was a retracement back to the $7000 levels, thus having the chart form a higher low, but BTC broke through all support levels and is now being traded in the $6400 ranges. \n\nThat's a retracement of some whopping 15% in just about 16 hours. \n\n\nIf this dump occured because Goldman Sachs cancelled their plans to open a trading desk for cryptocurrencies or not we can't say, however if you are trading indicator divergences you might have caught this short trade nonetheless: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/11MYFIwe/)\n\nWho needs insider information when you have TA! \n\nRight now this seems to be a dead cat bounce and those usually tend to rise to the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/u4NyOYT7/)\n\nSo to some traders a long entry may be tempting right now, considering Btc has retraced well over 60% of it's entire previous rally and the RSI is vastly oversold on the hourly timeframes, but as of writing Btc is not showing any strong signs of a bounce upwards and long entries must be placed with extreme caution. \n\nEspecially in regards to the bear flag Btc is forming right now:\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/dPUC48If/) \n\nIn case of a further decline downwards the next price target is this $6150-$6250 green box \nwhere we have strong support and are very close to our beloved $6000 range. \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/P5lPEg0p/)\n\nSince this downward movement happened so quick and violently at the same time I doubt that the bears have enough force to break the $6k bottom right away. But please don't take this as a fact, anything's possible! \n\nI recommend to simply sit on the sidelines and watch things unfold. \n\nWith a little bit of patience we might have a much clearer picture of where Btc's price is heading to very soon.\n\n\nThanks for reading and stay safe out there!",
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      "author": "str1der",
      "permlink": "how-to-identify-bull-and-bear-markets",
      "title": "How to identify bull & bear markets",
      "body": "Hello friends!\n\nWith Bitcoin's recent uptrend and Altcoins popping all over the place, voices of people declaring this as the beginning of a new bullrun are getting louder every day. \n\nBut seen from a purely technical standpoint, how can we know when we enter a bull market? \n\nAre there any tools in technical analysis that help us determine if we are about to leave this bear period behind and start a major uptrend?\n\nOf course there are! Let's take a look: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/KUMjHdHl/)\n\nThe lines that you can see on this chart are called *Moving Averages (MAs)*\nThe yellow one is the 50-MA while the white one is the 200-MA.\nThe numbers stand for the time units that are being used to calculate the path of the Moving Average.\nOn the charts that we use one candle = one time unit.\nThat means if we are on the daily chart, the 50-MA visualizes the average closing price of the last 50 days.\n\nBut how do these MAs help us to identify a potential bull or bear market? \n\nThis is relatively simple: If we are trading **ABOVE** the 200-MA, the market is generally considered to be a bull market.\nIf we trade  **BELOW** the 200-MA we would consider us being in a bear market. \nEasy peasy, right? \n\nNow take a look at the chart again, is price action currently happening above or below the white MA? \nThat's correct, we are trading well below it which means we are officially in a bear market. That's probably no surprise for anyone at this stage.\n\nIf we trace back on the chart we can see that in this year price tried to break below the 200-MA for the first time on February 5th. But the market rose back up again and price held itself above the 200-MA until it finally broke below it again in the middle of March. Since then price is trending below the white MA and it even acted as a resistance in April and recently in July. \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/6u6TdP0a/)\n\n# Important MA crossovers\n\nBut there's more to consider when analyzing Moving Averages:\nIf the 50-MA crosses over the 200-MA it is either called a *golden cross* or a *death cross*.\nYou may have heard of these terms before, so let me explain:\n\n\nWhen the 50-MA is coming from above the 200-MA and moves below it, this is what's called a death cross.\nWhen it's coming from below and is moving above it, that's what is called a golden cross in technical analysis. \nThese cross overs can be used for confirmation to assert we are really entering a bull or bear market. \nThat's because price can break below a MA and jump right back above it again (as in February), but MAs are moving much slower (of course depending on what time units you assign to the MA for it's calculation). \nHence they are a very important indicator that a lot of traders and analysts keep an eye on. \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/M3YEmkwv/)\n\nAt the moment of writing, price would have to cover a distance of about $550 - that's a gain of 7.7% - for Bitcoin to start making contact with the 200-MA. Furthermore you can see that the 50-MA is still quite far away from crossing over the 200-MA, but at least both lines are heading in the right direction for a potential golden crossover in the coming future.\n\nLet's sum this up: if a golden cross occured on a high time frame like the daily chart, and price also established itself nicely above the 200-MA you can assert that an asset or coin is finding itself in a bullmarket. \n\nLet's take a look on the weekly chart aswell, to see what the two MAs are doing on a higher time frame:\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/0JByQlDt/)\n\nAs you can clearly see, the 200 is trending well below 50-MA while both lines are fanning out far apart each other, showing no signs of crossing over each other whatsoever. \nSo if you were a more longterm investor or swing trader that bought Bitcoin back in 2016 or early 2017, you wouldn't be worried about the price of BTC at all since the whole price development of 2018 is nothing more than a correction. Though somewhat optimistic that would still be a very legitimate take on things when analyzing the weekly timeframe. (In case you are wondering why the 200-MA starts in the middle of nowhere, that is because there is simply not enough price data on this chart that can be used to for the calculation.)\n\n# But apart from Moving Averages, are there any other signs to watch out for?\n\nIn the case of Bitcoin there is one more thing that I want to point out in this post, since it clearly shows when Bitcoin\nis breaking out of this bear market. And that is this big fat white trendline: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/R7RE0sax/)\n\nThe price of Bitcoin got rejected 4 times at this trendline during 2018! And as price data shows us we are about to touch it a fifth time. Will it withstand another bull attack? Although we cannot automatically assume the beginning of a bull run with 100% certainty upon a breakthrough, cracking this resistance will still be a very strong indication for an emerging bull market. \n\nExciting times are ahead of us!\n\n\n-Waddle signing out-",
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      "permlink": "re-str1der-re-jrcornel-bitcoin-margin-short-positions-are-piling-up-20180903t011921243z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "Oh yea, it's a common saying among stock investors.",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -7,17 +7,16 @@\n r heard \n-t\n of his s\n",
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      "body": "I never heard tof his saying  that you mentioned: \"stocks tend to climb a wall of worry\".  Thanks for your info!",
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      "author": "str1der",
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      "title": "Technical Analysis Bitcoin 01/09/2018",
      "body": "Dear fellow Steemians!\n\nHere's a a quick overview on Bitcoin's recent price development.\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/Ib1KnlH9/)\n\nOn this daily chart we can see Bitcoin's rally upwards from the past 18 days. Right now we are heading right into this next big resistance after breaking through the previous ones at around $6800 and $7000. A close of the daily candle in the green box would be very promising for the bulls, however a retracement to support levels should be taken into account after such a strong upwards movement.\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/equMfL9R/)\n\nAs of now the general sentiment and price action seems bullish enough to assume that Bitcoin is going to break this resistance (green box) and retest the big annual trendline at $7600. Let's take a look at the indicators to see if we can find any arguments that support/contradict this assessment: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/GfY3BK47/)\n\nThe daily RSI is trending upwards in a very strong manner, forming consecutive higher highs and higher lows while still having significant space to move further upwards. \nStrong bullish signs from the MACD indicator aswell: the MACD line (blue) and the signal line (red) are far apart from each other while crossing the 0-line of the histogram which means they aswell have a lot of room to go more upwards. \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/7PM3FCDV/)\n\nOn the weekly chart the MACD looks even better since both lines are about to cross bullishly below the 0-line.\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/5jnyM5Z4/)\n\nFurthermore BTC is still finding itself in the upwards channel that we drew a couple of days ago. \nThe lower channel line acts as a support until the case of a breakdown occurs, which we are still far away from witnessing. \n\nIn conclusion we can find ample evidence to support a forecast of Bitcoin's continuing uptrend. \nOne big contra being of course that Bitcoin is still in a severe bear market and when it reaches a point of indecision, price is more likely to fall than it is to rise. \nHowever, no signs of indecision can be found in BTCs most recent price data. \n\nThis is it for today, I hope you can find some useful information in this update that benefits your own analysis and trading decisions.",
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      "title": "Technical Analysis on Bitcoin 24/08/18",
      "body": "Hello everyone, I hope you're doing very well. \nHere's a quick standpoint where bitcoin is situated right now, when speaking in terms of technical analysis. So let's jump right into it:\n\n![Image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/jC8NLOjb/)\n\nWhen looking at the daily chart we can see that the trading range that I mentioned in my previous post has been extended and got finally broken bullishly after Bitcoin went sideways for 16 consecutive days. Since the start of the sideways movement volatility even increased which led to a a breakout attempt and a third touch of the resistance at $6650 on August 22nd. On fourth contact resistance finally crumbled and we may now be heading towards higher price regions.\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/1uI03Vb1/)\n\nIf we draw the lower trendline as seen in the chart, bitcoin would have broken out of an ascending triangle with a theoretical target of about 11.5% gain to the upside.\nA possible retest of the lower channel-trendline may serve as a good entry for a long position. But keep in mind that we are still in a bear market, which makes a decline in price most of the time more likely than an increase.\n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/LTgsmwW7/)\n\nThe next big resistance can be found at around $6800. If we get rejected there, Bitcoin could form a big Head&Shoulders pattern on the daily chart. BTC has still a long way to go before the final formation of such a pattern, so for now it's something to keep in the back of your head. \nIf Bitcoin breaks that resistance we might even retest the big upper trendline one more time.\n\nThe MACD and RSI indicators on the daily chart look bullish for the short to midterm aswell: \n\n![image](https://www.tradingview.com/x/HKnnF2X3/)\n\nThe RSI indicator has crossed the 50-line, which is a bullish sign, and still has a lot of room to the upside.\nThe MACD indicator made a bullish crossover on the negative side of the histogram and the two lines are now fanning out while heading north, indicating that there's a good chance of an increase in price in the comming days.  \n\nThat's it for now, I hope you could find some points in this analysis that will help you in your trading decisions or give you a better understanding of Bitcoin's current price development. \nPlease keep in mind that this is not financial advise and any bullish forecasts like this one have to be treated with outmost caution in a prevailing bear market like the one we're in.\n\nI will keep you updated.",
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      "permlink": "ta-bitcoin-19-08-18",
      "title": "TA Bitcoin 19/08/18",
      "body": "Hello everyone, I hope you're having a good  day. \n\nI'm bringing  you a quick technical analysis on Bitcoin, \nso let's see what's currently happening in the crypto market\n\nhttps://www.tradingview.com/x/bt0nVzcG/\n\nAt the moment of writing Bitcoin is finding itself in a trading range and has effectively been moving sideways for the last 11 days, indicating market indecision. We have seen resistances as high as $6650 whereas the lowest support is at $5850-$6000.  That means the annual bottom of around $6000 has held at it's latest retest and BTC is now trending upwards while being unable to break resistance at $6650.\n\nWe can conclude that the support zone from $5850 to $6000 is still holding very strongly. \nWhen looking at the indicators on higher timeframes,  several bullish arguments can be found that may forecast an increase in price at least for the short to medium term: \n\nhttps://www.tradingview.com/x/gkZzEXgp/\n\nThe RSI shows us a bounce off of the 30 mark, signaling that BTC is gaining in strength and that it has a lot of room to go up.\nThe MACD line is about to cross the signal line as soon as the histogram is moving above the 0-mark which furthermore indicates that we may be at the start of an uptrend.   \n\nNevertheless, one very worrying sign for the bulls is the remarkably weak volume of Bitcoin's latest move upwards. This may be the result of the traditionally low trading volume in August, but if Bitcoin fails to hold the $6k level it is very likely to make lower lows in terms of price action. \n\nThis leaves resistance at $6650 and support at $6000 as most important regions to watch.",
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