@seraphismith
28A devotee of righteousness, ethics and promoter of a sustainable future in economics and society. Located at the intersection of economics and mysticism.
steemit.com/@seraphismithVOTING POWER100.00%
DOWNVOTE POWER100.00%
RESOURCE CREDITS100.00%
REPUTATION PROGRESS54.29%
Net Worth
1.338USD
STEEM
4.623STEEM
SBD
2.191SBD
Effective Power
5.001SP
├── Own SP
0.125SP
└── Incoming DelegationsDeleg
+4.876SP
Detailed Balance
| STEEM | ||
| balance | 4.609STEEM | STEEM |
| market_balance | 0.000STEEM | STEEM |
| savings_balance | 0.000STEEM | STEEM |
| reward_steem_balance | 0.014STEEM | STEEM |
| STEEM POWER | ||
| Own SP | 0.125SP | SP |
| Delegated Out | 0.000SP | SP |
| Delegation In | 4.876SP | SP |
| Effective Power | 5.001SP | SP |
| Reward SP (pending) | 0.078SP | SP |
| SBD | ||
| sbd_balance | 2.068SBD | SBD |
| sbd_conversions | 0.000SBD | SBD |
| sbd_market_balance | 0.000SBD | SBD |
| savings_sbd_balance | 0.000SBD | SBD |
| reward_sbd_balance | 0.123SBD | SBD |
{
"balance": "4.609 STEEM",
"savings_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
"reward_steem_balance": "0.014 STEEM",
"vesting_shares": "203.866020 VESTS",
"delegated_vesting_shares": "0.000000 VESTS",
"received_vesting_shares": "7939.793786 VESTS",
"sbd_balance": "2.068 SBD",
"savings_sbd_balance": "0.000 SBD",
"reward_sbd_balance": "0.123 SBD",
"conversions": []
}Account Info
| name | seraphismith |
| id | 926341 |
| rank | 1,358,087 |
| reputation | 1916663997 |
| created | 2018-04-10T18:12:03 |
| recovery_account | steem |
| proxy | None |
| post_count | 5 |
| comment_count | 0 |
| lifetime_vote_count | 0 |
| witnesses_voted_for | 0 |
| last_post | 2018-09-21T08:35:12 |
| last_root_post | 2018-09-21T08:35:12 |
| last_vote_time | 2019-02-26T20:22:36 |
| proxied_vsf_votes | 0, 0, 0, 0 |
| can_vote | 1 |
| voting_power | 0 |
| delayed_votes | 0 |
| balance | 4.609 STEEM |
| savings_balance | 0.000 STEEM |
| sbd_balance | 2.068 SBD |
| savings_sbd_balance | 0.000 SBD |
| vesting_shares | 203.866020 VESTS |
| delegated_vesting_shares | 0.000000 VESTS |
| received_vesting_shares | 7939.793786 VESTS |
| reward_vesting_balance | 158.110972 VESTS |
| vesting_balance | 0.000 STEEM |
| vesting_withdraw_rate | 0.000000 VESTS |
| next_vesting_withdrawal | 1969-12-31T23:59:59 |
| withdrawn | 0 |
| to_withdraw | 0 |
| withdraw_routes | 0 |
| savings_withdraw_requests | 0 |
| last_account_recovery | 1970-01-01T00:00:00 |
| reset_account | null |
| last_owner_update | 1970-01-01T00:00:00 |
| last_account_update | 2018-04-20T09:05:39 |
| mined | No |
| sbd_seconds | 0 |
| sbd_last_interest_payment | 2018-04-21T20:11:09 |
| savings_sbd_last_interest_payment | 1970-01-01T00:00:00 |
{
"id": 926341,
"name": "seraphismith",
"owner": {
"weight_threshold": 1,
"account_auths": [],
"key_auths": [
[
"STM5HmtgDBJPy4xV72TxciZWBjHajhy23Wxo7ESy7vUyJMCJYfhM4",
1
]
]
},
"active": {
"weight_threshold": 1,
"account_auths": [],
"key_auths": [
[
"STM6Crer3iWdS5oWCY86VawDprDmB6AjZDq6fSARz7VA5KDxBEGGx",
1
]
]
},
"posting": {
"weight_threshold": 1,
"account_auths": [],
"key_auths": [
[
"STM4vimLNSBZkWy4BWuyLE3RBnyZhG6XigRmXjTXW8cLQkYRY7onC",
1
]
]
},
"memo_key": "STM7ZQmM4GWM2RMhxwaZuvXEDHPm1JD6LmM94WFcc3t9wVYkJD9h6",
"json_metadata": "{\"profile\":{\"cover_image\":\"https://s19.postimg.cc/jpza6v6mb/steemitbanner.png\",\"profile_image\":\"https://s19.postimg.cc/s9io42p37/the-angel-of-revelation-1805.jpg_Large.jpg\",\"name\":\"Seraphi $mith\",\"about\":\"A devotee of righteousness, ethics and promoter of a sustainable future in economics and society. Located at the intersection of economics and mysticism.\"}}",
"posting_json_metadata": "{\"profile\":{\"cover_image\":\"https://s19.postimg.cc/jpza6v6mb/steemitbanner.png\",\"profile_image\":\"https://s19.postimg.cc/s9io42p37/the-angel-of-revelation-1805.jpg_Large.jpg\",\"name\":\"Seraphi $mith\",\"about\":\"A devotee of righteousness, ethics and promoter of a sustainable future in economics and society. Located at the intersection of economics and mysticism.\"}}",
"proxy": "",
"last_owner_update": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
"last_account_update": "2018-04-20T09:05:39",
"created": "2018-04-10T18:12:03",
"mined": false,
"recovery_account": "steem",
"last_account_recovery": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
"reset_account": "null",
"comment_count": 0,
"lifetime_vote_count": 0,
"post_count": 5,
"can_vote": true,
"voting_manabar": {
"current_mana": "8143659806",
"last_update_time": 1779085155
},
"downvote_manabar": {
"current_mana": 2035914951,
"last_update_time": 1779085155
},
"voting_power": 0,
"balance": "4.609 STEEM",
"savings_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
"sbd_balance": "2.068 SBD",
"sbd_seconds": "0",
"sbd_seconds_last_update": "2018-04-21T20:11:09",
"sbd_last_interest_payment": "2018-04-21T20:11:09",
"savings_sbd_balance": "0.000 SBD",
"savings_sbd_seconds": "0",
"savings_sbd_seconds_last_update": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
"savings_sbd_last_interest_payment": "1970-01-01T00:00:00",
"savings_withdraw_requests": 0,
"reward_sbd_balance": "0.123 SBD",
"reward_steem_balance": "0.014 STEEM",
"reward_vesting_balance": "158.110972 VESTS",
"reward_vesting_steem": "0.078 STEEM",
"vesting_shares": "203.866020 VESTS",
"delegated_vesting_shares": "0.000000 VESTS",
"received_vesting_shares": "7939.793786 VESTS",
"vesting_withdraw_rate": "0.000000 VESTS",
"next_vesting_withdrawal": "1969-12-31T23:59:59",
"withdrawn": 0,
"to_withdraw": 0,
"withdraw_routes": 0,
"curation_rewards": 0,
"posting_rewards": 152,
"proxied_vsf_votes": [
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"witnesses_voted_for": 0,
"last_post": "2018-09-21T08:35:12",
"last_root_post": "2018-09-21T08:35:12",
"last_vote_time": "2019-02-26T20:22:36",
"post_bandwidth": 0,
"pending_claimed_accounts": 0,
"vesting_balance": "0.000 STEEM",
"reputation": 1916663997,
"transfer_history": [],
"market_history": [],
"post_history": [],
"vote_history": [],
"other_history": [],
"witness_votes": [],
"tags_usage": [],
"guest_bloggers": [],
"rank": 1358087
}Withdraw Routes
| Incoming | Outgoing |
|---|---|
Empty | Empty |
{
"incoming": [],
"outgoing": []
}From Date
To Date
steemdelegated 4.876 SP to @seraphismith2026/05/18 06:19:15
steemdelegated 4.876 SP to @seraphismith
2026/05/18 06:19:15
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 7939.793786 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #106150697/Trx e772c6550e8ba6ca108e103a1477d7d967807c62 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "e772c6550e8ba6ca108e103a1477d7d967807c62",
"block": 106150697,
"trx_in_block": 6,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-05-18T06:19:15",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "7939.793786 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 3.210 SP to @seraphismith2026/05/13 04:31:15
steemdelegated 3.210 SP to @seraphismith
2026/05/13 04:31:15
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 5227.583381 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #106005257/Trx 1b13b304ecc28165f12bc6486082781ecf88ff01 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "1b13b304ecc28165f12bc6486082781ecf88ff01",
"block": 106005257,
"trx_in_block": 3,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-05-13T04:31:15",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "5227.583381 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 4.884 SP to @seraphismith2026/04/26 05:30:54
steemdelegated 4.884 SP to @seraphismith
2026/04/26 05:30:54
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 7952.309542 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #105518179/Trx 1f023ec621ab6d2e9e5ab7679c4ee82eada1c368 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "1f023ec621ab6d2e9e5ab7679c4ee82eada1c368",
"block": 105518179,
"trx_in_block": 1,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-04-26T05:30:54",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "7952.309542 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 3.236 SP to @seraphismith2026/01/24 00:08:45
steemdelegated 3.236 SP to @seraphismith
2026/01/24 00:08:45
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 5269.130200 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #102871390/Trx c2ecd2e16c97534974707901a5d64135d2044b25 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "c2ecd2e16c97534974707901a5d64135d2044b25",
"block": 102871390,
"trx_in_block": 5,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2026-01-24T00:08:45",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "5269.130200 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 3.337 SP to @seraphismith2024/12/17 19:18:36
steemdelegated 3.337 SP to @seraphismith
2024/12/17 19:18:36
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 5433.349397 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #91317601/Trx 9ba89f4e62792d958d4ec96500f7b8549425e740 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "9ba89f4e62792d958d4ec96500f7b8549425e740",
"block": 91317601,
"trx_in_block": 4,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2024-12-17T19:18:36",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "5433.349397 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 3.440 SP to @seraphismith2023/11/14 10:59:48
steemdelegated 3.440 SP to @seraphismith
2023/11/14 10:59:48
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 5602.482929 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #79871749/Trx 9d1896602912a739c93c56c2ca6744fc89bc4e7c |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "9d1896602912a739c93c56c2ca6744fc89bc4e7c",
"block": 79871749,
"trx_in_block": 0,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2023-11-14T10:59:48",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "5602.482929 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 5.244 SP to @seraphismith2023/09/22 10:26:27
steemdelegated 5.244 SP to @seraphismith
2023/09/22 10:26:27
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 8539.391715 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #78362924/Trx bc2d40176d7a45d073d5df1b35530f639c124440 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "bc2d40176d7a45d073d5df1b35530f639c124440",
"block": 78362924,
"trx_in_block": 3,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2023-09-22T10:26:27",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "8539.391715 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 5.380 SP to @seraphismith2022/11/03 17:53:27
steemdelegated 5.380 SP to @seraphismith
2022/11/03 17:53:27
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 8761.443153 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #69120652/Trx a716c30ebfacce0193cc540353de70b482ab3530 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "a716c30ebfacce0193cc540353de70b482ab3530",
"block": 69120652,
"trx_in_block": 0,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2022-11-03T17:53:27",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "8761.443153 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 5.516 SP to @seraphismith2022/01/17 23:05:03
steemdelegated 5.516 SP to @seraphismith
2022/01/17 23:05:03
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 8981.550754 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #60823894/Trx 9f690ec68421a077dc1a3d9bbf8844ee3a468552 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "9f690ec68421a077dc1a3d9bbf8844ee3a468552",
"block": 60823894,
"trx_in_block": 31,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2022-01-17T23:05:03",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "8981.550754 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 5.629 SP to @seraphismith2021/06/14 06:15:51
steemdelegated 5.629 SP to @seraphismith
2021/06/14 06:15:51
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 9165.745042 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #54614215/Trx c4324c5d99274b66e54a709b4ae8b02f687c34ea |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "c4324c5d99274b66e54a709b4ae8b02f687c34ea",
"block": 54614215,
"trx_in_block": 2,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2021-06-14T06:15:51",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "9165.745042 VESTS"
}
]
}bigsneakreplied to @seraphismith / qllubp2020/12/19 21:00:18
bigsneakreplied to @seraphismith / qllubp
2020/12/19 21:00:18
| parent author | seraphismith |
| parent permlink | beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4 |
| author | bigsneak |
| permlink | qllubp |
| title | |
| body | forex and crypto are awesome when you know what you're doing. Like mentioned here - https://www.independentinvestor.com/forex/forex-for-beginners/, start slowly and as you learn, slowly practice more and enjoy better profits. |
| json metadata | {"links":["https://www.independentinvestor.com/forex/forex-for-beginners/"],"app":"steemit/0.2"} |
| Transaction Info | Block #49593472/Trx 07585aab129d76b25833d040a2f9f0b68c491461 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "07585aab129d76b25833d040a2f9f0b68c491461",
"block": 49593472,
"trx_in_block": 8,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2020-12-19T21:00:18",
"op": [
"comment",
{
"parent_author": "seraphismith",
"parent_permlink": "beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4",
"author": "bigsneak",
"permlink": "qllubp",
"title": "",
"body": "forex and crypto are awesome when you know what you're doing.\nLike mentioned here - https://www.independentinvestor.com/forex/forex-for-beginners/, start slowly and as you learn, slowly practice more and enjoy better profits.",
"json_metadata": "{\"links\":[\"https://www.independentinvestor.com/forex/forex-for-beginners/\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.2\"}"
}
]
}steemdelegated 5.744 SP to @seraphismith2020/12/11 16:28:03
steemdelegated 5.744 SP to @seraphismith
2020/12/11 16:28:03
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 9353.167016 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #49361479/Trx e43ba2f6ff0a76d61556cb374d9c654e23f5aafc |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "e43ba2f6ff0a76d61556cb374d9c654e23f5aafc",
"block": 49361479,
"trx_in_block": 13,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2020-12-11T16:28:03",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "9353.167016 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 1.174 SP to @seraphismith2020/12/06 10:03:45
steemdelegated 1.174 SP to @seraphismith
2020/12/06 10:03:45
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 1912.543513 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #49212999/Trx 98b4cd8a923c7ab0bc9c979251f387109ceaef41 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "98b4cd8a923c7ab0bc9c979251f387109ceaef41",
"block": 49212999,
"trx_in_block": 2,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2020-12-06T10:03:45",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "1912.543513 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 5.748 SP to @seraphismith2020/12/05 20:05:54
steemdelegated 5.748 SP to @seraphismith
2020/12/05 20:05:54
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 9359.374870 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #49196563/Trx e08805b66ac0dd4ac322c127f1821083484e2784 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "e08805b66ac0dd4ac322c127f1821083484e2784",
"block": 49196563,
"trx_in_block": 6,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2020-12-05T20:05:54",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "9359.374870 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 1.179 SP to @seraphismith2020/11/03 02:42:45
steemdelegated 1.179 SP to @seraphismith
2020/11/03 02:42:45
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 1920.017158 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #48270840/Trx df6db11bec033d21fc98c62abea49fc74425d790 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "df6db11bec033d21fc98c62abea49fc74425d790",
"block": 48270840,
"trx_in_block": 2,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2020-11-03T02:42:45",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "1920.017158 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 5.872 SP to @seraphismith2020/05/09 11:06:48
steemdelegated 5.872 SP to @seraphismith
2020/05/09 11:06:48
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 9562.180229 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #43223329/Trx 8d45fb8919162e7c9d84329b39b97ed198a64543 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "8d45fb8919162e7c9d84329b39b97ed198a64543",
"block": 43223329,
"trx_in_block": 22,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2020-05-09T11:06:48",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
"delegator": "steem",
"delegatee": "seraphismith",
"vesting_shares": "9562.180229 VESTS"
}
]
}steemdelegated 1.200 SP to @seraphismith2020/05/08 15:31:21
steemdelegated 1.200 SP to @seraphismith
2020/05/08 15:31:21
| delegator | steem |
| delegatee | seraphismith |
| vesting shares | 1953.311140 VESTS |
| Transaction Info | Block #43200377/Trx 5ba83f42d4bd93106931446be5e7e79aaee6d377 |
View Raw JSON Data
{
"trx_id": "5ba83f42d4bd93106931446be5e7e79aaee6d377",
"block": 43200377,
"trx_in_block": 7,
"op_in_trx": 0,
"virtual_op": 0,
"timestamp": "2020-05-08T15:31:21",
"op": [
"delegate_vesting_shares",
{
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}steemdelegated 5.874 SP to @seraphismith2020/05/02 19:53:42
steemdelegated 5.874 SP to @seraphismith
2020/05/02 19:53:42
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steemdelegated 5.994 SP to @seraphismith
2019/05/28 20:38:09
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2019/04/10 19:37:06
| parent author | seraphismith |
| parent permlink | beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-2-of-4 |
| author | steemitboard |
| permlink | steemitboard-notify-seraphismith-20190410t193705000z |
| title | |
| body | Congratulations @seraphismith! You received a personal award! <table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@seraphismith/birthday1.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 1 year!</td></tr></table> <sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@seraphismith) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](http://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=seraphismith)_</sub> **Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:** <table><tr><td><a href="https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/the-steem-blockchain-survived-its-first-virus-plague"><img src="https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://steemitimages.com/0x0/"></a></td><td><a href="https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/the-steem-blockchain-survived-its-first-virus-plague">The Steem blockchain survived its first virus plague!</a></td></tr></table> ###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes! |
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}steemdelegated 18.330 SP to @seraphismith2019/02/26 22:00:39
steemdelegated 18.330 SP to @seraphismith
2019/02/26 22:00:39
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2019/02/26 20:22:36
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}steemdelegated 6.050 SP to @seraphismith2018/12/21 10:28:45
steemdelegated 6.050 SP to @seraphismith
2018/12/21 10:28:45
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2018/11/01 07:12:21
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2018/11/01 07:12:12
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}seraphismithreceived 0.029 SBD, 0.042 SP author reward for @seraphismith / beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-2-of-42018/09/28 08:35:12
seraphismithreceived 0.029 SBD, 0.042 SP author reward for @seraphismith / beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-2-of-4
2018/09/28 08:35:12
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2018/09/21 09:55:27
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2018/09/21 09:11:51
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2018/09/21 09:05:21
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2018/09/21 09:03:24
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2018/09/21 08:55:45
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2018/09/21 08:35:21
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2018/09/21 08:35:12
| parent author | |
| parent permlink | crypto |
| author | seraphismith |
| permlink | beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-2-of-4 |
| title | Beginners Best Practice Guide, Tools and Tips for Crypto Asset Prediction 2018 (Part 2 of 4) |
| body | [Part 1 Link!](https://steemit.com/crypto/@seraphismith/beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4) ### Price Range Questions > *A price range question is a type of question in which you are asked to set a > price range for an asset over a certain time period. It can be the maximum and >minimum price during a particular period, open and close prices, etc. Your goal >is to try to estimate the actual minimum and maximum values during that period.* > > *To calculate your points we are computing the sum of absolute user’s errors for > both min/max values and calculating user’s score with a correlation of the error and specified borders. It depends on current value of the asset and its >volatility.* Range questions are the second most common kind of question on the Cindicator platform. Currently, they come in several subtypes — weeklies, which ask the lowest and highest price point vs BTC of a crypto asset over the course of a week, and daily spot predictions for standard assets such as S&P 500 over the course of a 24 hour period (sometimes a 3-day window). Although the range questions include a variety of assets, there are some common techniques to learn that will work well for any asset tracked with a [candlestick chart](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/). First off, let’s unpack the phrasing of the Freshdesk explanation, and put a little thought into how the scoring works. As you can see, the formula for points given starts with +75, and then calculates a number to subtract from that. This number is found by subtracting the user input minimum and maximum from the real min/max value of the asset. These are absolute values, so it takes into account error either above or below the real price. This value is then checked to see if it falls within a corridor of 0.35 * the volatility of the asset. To gain positive points, your answers must fall within this specific range corridor near the actual high and low values of the asset. The size of the range corridor is decided based on the volatility of the asset, by a proprietary algorithm. While you cannot calculate the exact acceptable input range of any given asset, you do know that assets with more volatility (BTC, on a day of large movement) have more give for positive points than an asset with less volatility. Any guesses outside of this range will generate a negative point value. In the end, the totals are multiplied out, and that number is subtracted from 75, giving us a total point range of +75 to -75. The figure for volatility reflects overall price movement, not percentage movement. The basic concept is that the more a price is moving in a day, the more leeway you have in your guesses, so scale them accordingly. Before going any further, make sure you are familiar with key terms and concepts — [support and resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/), [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp), and [identifying trends](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp). It will go a long way to improve your understanding — not just of the Cindicator app — but also of charting more generally, which is a must if you intend to have and manage your own money in open markets. There are many strategies you can use for answering range questions, and I will discuss several I have used here. Which is best depends strongly on the amount of time you want to spend. First, let’s detail the quick and dirty method. It won’t take into account the nuances of a more advanced method, but it beats simple guesswork. ### Completing the Pattern When I first got into asset prediction and Cindicator, it took me awhile to get my legs. I was, and still am, learning all the ins and outs of financial markets and the platforms used to access them. At the time, I didn’t know much beyond the basics, but I developed my own method for answering the daily spot prices. The same method works for weekly predictions, but only for assets with a strong and established trend that is likely to continue throughout the prediction window. To this day, I mainly use this method, combined with [TA](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp) and charting for the majority of my predictions. [Candlestick charts](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/) are ultimately patterns, oscillating patterns that tend to repeat again and again, on different levels forming overall trends. Knowing this, and knowing that what goes up must come down, we can use a quick visual analysis to give us an idea of how to answer a range question. For daily prices the protocol goes like this: look at the previous day bar, look at the bar for the day. Identify if it looks as though it will be a day of sales, or buys, and how strongly it will compare to the previous day. Looking back through 7–10 ticks will give you an idea of how large the daily movements are, and an idea of overall range to work with. Then complete the pattern, by extending it into the future extrapolating from the existing trend. Often, I try to clear my mind, cover the name of the asset and consider the chart on its own, separate from any other knowledge I have of the asset. After I have formulated the first guess, I then scan [cryptopanic](https://cryptopanic.com) and [reddit](https://reddit.com) for any major news developments over the last week, taking into my mind all I know about the news [sentiment](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp)regarding the asset. Then, I make another guess and compare the two to come to a final answer. If it has not become clear, I might further check the [depth chart](https://questions.coincheckup.com/cryptocurrency/what-is-market-depth-chart-an-explanation-for-crypto-traders/) on [Binance](https://www.binance.com/en), and look to see where large buys and sells are located on the books to get a good idea of [support and resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/). I also look at the week range and note the total price change regardless of [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp). When using this method for daily prices, we can almost always guarantee at least half of the points. How is this possible? Simple — by finding the bottom or top of the trend. When looking at daily charts, we see something like this:  Here, you can clearly see the 1D candlestick in mid-trend, moving upwards after a day of sales. In this case, we can say with a relative degree of certainty that the lowest point of the 1D spot price from this point in the day will be somewhere between 1.163–1.166. Remember — the 1D charts establish movement for the entire day — so a substantial green candle at the beginning of a day range most likely signifies a day dominated by buyers as they push the price up the order books. The opposite is true for a question that opens in the middle of a red candle. A red candle on 1D will set your upper range closest to the current price. A green candle will set your lower range closest to the current price. **Read** the question **carefully** to understand **when** the range in question is — there is a latency period between when your answer is due and the range of time being asked about. For crypto weeklies, it is most often 13 hours, but check consistently as this may be subject to change. Also note there are different time frames for standard assets. To more accurately establish your opening price, try opening the 4H charts, and look back 3 ticks, (or the 2H charts and look back six ticks) and extrapolate from there. The 1H, 30M and 5M charts are also crucial for establishing the trending lows and highs being set by the asset in the short term. Use all of these, and your knowledge of [indicators](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp) to help set your first value. Establishing the value further from the current trend (if high then low, if low then high) for your prediction is significantly more difficult, but with one side nailed down, at least you won’t be losing many points, even if you completely miss the other. In the simplest terms, complete the pattern. Look back at the movement of the last few days and weeks: Is the asset trending up or down? Have there been recent large jumps? What does the pattern look like after these moves? Is the volume rising or falling? How are the [MACD](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/macd.asp) lines looking? What are key [support and resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/) points? How does the movement of the asset work long term? All of these questions will play into the final answer.  Let’s take another look at the example in question. Historically, we see a pattern trending slightly lower over time the last 14 days, alternating patterns of sales/buys with large moves typically happening in single days, almost always followed by a move in the opposite direction, most often not in full reversal of the previous day. EUR is likely to find [support](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/) at 1.165, as exhibited by repeat reversal at this point over the last 7 days. You should give a little room below the support in your guess, as assets often catch at [support](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/) and turn around slowly, a little below the support line before moving up for [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp). EUR is likely to encounter resistance at roughly 1.1665 , as shown by the past 5 days candles, showing previous support at around that area (remember, [supports become resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/06/supportresistancereversal.asp) and vice versa as price rises or falls). Based on this, and the MACD cross about to happen, I would put my maximum value guess at 1.166, leaving us with an answer of: low 1.64 — high 1.1666 for daily spot prediction. Let’s extend this logic to weeklies, to get a rough method for weekly prediction. Consider the following chart:  We see a steady downward trend over the last seven days at least, extending back several weeks. The volume was up slightly, but is steadily in decline along with the price. We should expect a downward trend to continue, probably slipping and eventually regaining some ground as buyers scramble to establish lower support. TRX has seen nearly seven days of red candles, and some purchase pressure will most likely be begin to occur, going by the history of the movement. My guess was 0.00000380–0.00000450, that it might dip a little below 0.00000400, then retrace and find support at 0.00000450. What ended up happening was a bit different than what was predicted — TRX found support around the 0.00000420 level and retraced a lot of the previous losses, settling at 0.00000499. This example should show you the need to consider [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp), but also how a reasonable range can net you points without being 100% accurate. Also remember — patterns tend to repeat. If the previous week had a period of [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp), note its amount and take it into account when envisioning the pattern for the following week. Here are a few more examples for you to follow:  > **From notebook(7/31)***: Eos is dumping along with everything else. I believe > it will hit support slightly above 0.0009 and retrace back a little bit into 9 >territory, probably around 0.00095. I could be wrong, This might not be support, >it could slide more — we shall see.* As it turns out, I was wrong about the upper half by a large margin, but as you can see, I still managed to gain 57 points due to how close the bottom guess was. I called the lower support accurately, but failed to account for the subsequent retracement all the way past 0.001. That is a fairly large jump in a short time, and hard to predict, but I was close enough, and my bottom range was only off by 160 satoshis — saving the day for the question so I could gain significant points.   > **From notebook(8/6):*** EOS is a great example of the 4H chart helping give us > additional information. We can see that 0.001 is truly the support for the >moment, and barring catastrophe it will probably hold. The MACD indicates upward >trend present, I think we make modest gains — 0.00099 up to 0.00105.* Catastrophe was not barred — the support broke, leading to downward motion to 0.000695, followed by [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp)to 0.001008. I would have lost many more points if I had not stuck close to 0.001 for the upper range. Remember, a support becomes resistance once crossed, which was certainly the case here. Price range prediction is not easy, and the further out in time you go the more difficult it becomes. However, if you take time to break down the steps, understand the principles, and practice your methods — in short order you will be understanding price movement to a much greater degree than the average investor. This in turn will give you more insight to apply to your trades. ***** ### Glossary of Terms #### Market Sentiment “Market sentiment is the overall attitude of investors toward a particular security or financial market. Market sentiment is the feeling or tone of a market, or its crowd psychology, as revealed through the activity and price movement of the securities traded in that market. In broadest terms, rising prices would indicate bullish market sentiment, while falling prices would indicate bearish market sentiment.” * [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp) #### Retracement “A retracement is a temporary reversal in the direction of a stock’s price that goes against the prevailing trend. For example, a retracement in an uptrend is a brief period of selling before the uptrend continues, also known as a dip.” * [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp) * [https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp) #### Support/Resistance “Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining further. The logic dictates that as the price declines towards support and gets cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy and sellers become less inclined to sell. By the time the price reaches the support level, it is believed that demand will overcome supply and prevent the price from falling below support. Support does not always hold and a break below support signals that the bears have won out over the bulls. A decline below support indicates a new willingness to sell and/or a lack of incentive to buy. Support breaks and new lows signal that sellers have reduced their expectations and are willing sell at even lower prices. In addition, buyers could not be coerced into buying until prices declined below support or below the previous low. Once support is broken, another support level will have to be established at a lower level. Resistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. The logic dictates that as the price advances towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers become less inclined to buy. By the time the price reaches the resistance level, it is believed that supply will overcome demand and prevent the price from rising above resistance. Resistance does not always hold and a break above resistance signals that the bulls have won out over the bears. A break above resistance shows a new willingness to buy and/or a lack of incentive to sell. Resistance breaks and new highs indicate buyers have increased their expectations and are willing to buy at even higher prices. In addition, sellers could not be coerced into selling until prices rose above resistance or above the previous high. Once resistance is broken, another resistance level will have to be established at a higher level.” * Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Vol 10, Macgee and Edwards * [https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/) #### Trends (identifying) “The trend is the general direction of a market or of the price of a security. In technical analysis, trends are identified by trendlines that connect a series of highs or lows. Most traders trade in the same direction as a trend, while contrarians seek to identify reversals. Trends can also apply to interest rates, bond yields, and other markets where they’re characterized by a long-term movement in price or volume.” * [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp) #### Candlestick Chart “Just like a bar chart, a daily candlestick shows the market’s open, high, low and close price for the day. The candlestick has a wide part, which is called the “real body.” This real body represents the price range between the open and close of that day’s trading. When the real body is filled in or black, it means the close was lower than the open. If the real body is empty, it means the close was higher than the open.” * [https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/) These are the standard charts you see an all forex and crypto exchanges. They are preferred by traders and predictors to the standard line chart because they convey more information. Of particular note is the time period. You will note in the top left corner of the tradingview display, there is a box that says 1D (typically). You will find this same box on binance and most crypto excahgne windows. If you click it, you can change the period. 1D means one day. You can change it to 1 hour, 4 hours, 1 week. The important thing to remember is that whatever you set it to, each candle represents one of those periods. #### Technical Analysis “Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate securities and identify trading opportunities by analyzing statistics gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysts, who attempt to evaluate a security’s intrinsic value, technical analysts focus on charts of price movement and various analytical tools to evaluate a security’s strength or weakness.” * [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp) ***** ### Books * [Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Tenth Edition Magee and Edwards](https://www.amazon.com/Technical-Analysis-Stock-Trends-Tenth/dp/113803200X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1534890600&sr=8-1&keywords=technical+analysis+10th+edition) * [Elliott Wave Principle: A Key to Market Behavior](https://www.amazon.com/Elliott-Wave-Principle-Market-Behavior/dp/1616040815/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1534891739&sr=8-3&keywords=elliot+wave+theory) * [Candlestick Trading Bible](https://tahlilbazarboorsvaarz.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/THE-CANDLESTICK-TRADING-BIBLE.pdf) ### Tools * [https://athda.com](https://athda.com/) — All time high data * [https://www.coinmarketcap.com/](https://www.coinmarketcap.com/) — your new bible * [https://www.tensorcharts.com/](https://www.tensorcharts.com/) — excellent charting w/heat map functions * [https://coinfarm.online/index.asp](https://coinfarm.online/index.asp) — lot of useful information, including long/short option statistics on bitmex * [https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/](https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/) — slightly off topic, useful for leveraged trading * [http://www.coindominancecharts.com/](http://www.coindominancecharts.com/) — useful for rank questions * [http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#](http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#) — Various order books * [https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance](https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance) — Volume indicator for binance, leave it open for a second and data will start to accumulate * [https://www.tradingview.com](https://www.tradingview.com/) — get a membership * [https://www.cryptopanic.com](https://www.cryptopanic.com/) — best sentiment / news aggregator * [https://t.me/cindicator_chat](https://t.me/cindicator_chat) — Cindicator Telegram link * [https://t.me/cryptiverse](https://t.me/cryptiverse) — Cryptiverse Chat Channel link ### Reading * [https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/](https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/) — lots of good commentary, mostly on standard markets but even handed and insightful * [https://www.binance.vision/](https://www.binance.vision/) — binance educational page * [https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school](https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school) — lots of information on charts, terms etc. * [https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg](https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg) — traders library chat channel * [https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/](https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/) — tradingview explains indicators * [https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp) — another indicator explanation page ### Come talk predictions on Cindicator Telegram: [https://t.me/cindicator_chat](https://t.me/cindicator_chat) ### [PART 1 LINK!](https://steemit.com/crypto/@seraphismith/beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4)<br> PART 3 COMING SOON! ### Remember to like and share!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Follow me on these platforms: ### Twitter: @mithseraphi ### Steemit: [https://steemit.com/@Seraphismith](https://steemit.com/@seraphismith) ### Medium: [https://medium.com/@SeraphiSmith](https://medium.com/@SeraphiSmith) |
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"permlink": "beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-2-of-4",
"title": "Beginners Best Practice Guide, Tools and Tips for Crypto Asset Prediction 2018 (Part 2 of 4)",
"body": "[Part 1 Link!](https://steemit.com/crypto/@seraphismith/beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4)\n\n### Price Range Questions\n\n> *A price range question is a type of question in which you are asked to set a\n> price range for an asset over a certain time period. It can be the maximum and\n>minimum price during a particular period, open and close prices, etc. Your goal\n>is to try to estimate the actual minimum and maximum values during that period.*\n\n>\n\n> *To calculate your points we are computing the sum of absolute user’s errors for\n> both min/max values and calculating user’s score with a correlation of the error\nand specified borders. It depends on current value of the asset and its\n>volatility.*\n\nRange questions are the second most common kind of question on the Cindicator\nplatform. Currently, they come in several subtypes — weeklies, which ask the\nlowest and highest price point vs BTC of a crypto asset over the course of a\nweek, and daily spot predictions for standard assets such as S&P 500 over the\ncourse of a 24 hour period (sometimes a 3-day window). Although the range\nquestions include a variety of assets, there are some common techniques to learn\nthat will work well for any asset tracked with a [candlestick\nchart](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/).\n\nFirst off, let’s unpack the phrasing of the Freshdesk explanation, and put a\nlittle thought into how the scoring works. As you can see, the formula for\npoints given starts with +75, and then calculates a number to subtract from\nthat. This number is found by subtracting the user input minimum and maximum\nfrom the real min/max value of the asset. These are absolute values, so it takes\ninto account error either above or below the real price. This value is then\nchecked to see if it falls within a corridor of 0.35 * the volatility of the\nasset.\n\nTo gain positive points, your answers must fall within this specific range\ncorridor near the actual high and low values of the asset. The size of the range\ncorridor is decided based on the volatility of the asset, by a proprietary\nalgorithm. While you cannot calculate the exact acceptable input range of any\ngiven asset, you do know that assets with more volatility (BTC, on a day of\nlarge movement) have more give for positive points than an asset with less\nvolatility. Any guesses outside of this range will generate a negative point\nvalue.\n\nIn the end, the totals are multiplied out, and that number is subtracted from\n75, giving us a total point range of +75 to -75. The figure for volatility\nreflects overall price movement, not percentage movement. The basic concept is\nthat the more a price is moving in a day, the more leeway you have in your\nguesses, so scale them accordingly.\n\nBefore going any further, make sure you are familiar with key terms and concepts — [support and resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/), [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp), and [identifying trends](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp). It will go a long way to improve your understanding — not just of the Cindicator app — but also of charting more generally, which is a must if you intend to have and manage your own money in open markets.\n\nThere are many strategies you can use for answering range questions, and I will\ndiscuss several I have used here. Which is best depends strongly on the amount\nof time you want to spend. First, let’s detail the quick and dirty method. It\nwon’t take into account the nuances of a more advanced method, but it beats\nsimple guesswork.\n\n### Completing the Pattern\n\nWhen I first got into asset prediction and Cindicator, it took me awhile to get\nmy legs. I was, and still am, learning all the ins and outs of financial markets\nand the platforms used to access them. At the time, I didn’t know much beyond\nthe basics, but I developed my own method for answering the daily spot prices.\nThe same method works for weekly predictions, but only for assets with a strong\nand established trend that is likely to continue throughout the prediction\nwindow. To this day, I mainly use this method, combined with [TA](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp) and charting\nfor the majority of my predictions.\n\n[Candlestick charts](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/) are ultimately patterns, oscillating patterns that tend to repeat again \nand again, on different levels forming overall trends. Knowing this, and knowing\nthat what goes up must come down, we can use a quick visual analysis to give us\nan idea of how to answer a range question.\n\nFor daily prices the protocol goes like this: look at the previous day bar, look\nat the bar for the day. Identify if it looks as though it will be a day of\nsales, or buys, and how strongly it will compare to the previous day. Looking\nback through 7–10 ticks will give you an idea of how large the daily movements\nare, and an idea of overall range to work with. Then complete the pattern, by\nextending it into the future extrapolating from the existing trend. Often, I try\nto clear my mind, cover the name of the asset and consider the chart on its own,\nseparate from any other knowledge I have of the asset. After I have formulated\nthe first guess, I then scan [cryptopanic](https://cryptopanic.com) and [reddit](https://reddit.com) for any major news developments over the last week, taking into my mind all I know about the news [sentiment](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp)regarding the asset.\nThen, I make another guess and compare the two to come to a final answer. If it\nhas not become clear, I might further check the [depth chart](https://questions.coincheckup.com/cryptocurrency/what-is-market-depth-chart-an-explanation-for-crypto-traders/)\non [Binance](https://www.binance.com/en), and look to see where large buys and\nsells are located on the books to get a good idea of [support and resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/).\n\nI also look at the week range and note the total price change regardless of\n[retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp). \n\nWhen using this method for daily prices, we can almost always guarantee at least half of\nthe points. How is this possible? Simple — by finding the bottom or top of the\ntrend. When looking at daily charts, we see something like this:\n\n\n\n\nHere, you can clearly see the 1D candlestick in mid-trend, moving upwards after\na day of sales. In this case, we can say with a relative degree of certainty\nthat the lowest point of the 1D spot price from this point in the day will be\nsomewhere between 1.163–1.166.\n\nRemember — the 1D charts establish movement for the entire day — so a\nsubstantial green candle at the beginning of a day range most likely signifies a\nday dominated by buyers as they push the price up the order books. The opposite\nis true for a question that opens in the middle of a red candle. A red candle on\n1D will set your upper range closest to the current price. A green candle will\nset your lower range closest to the current price. **Read** the question\n**carefully** to understand **when** the range in question is — there is a\nlatency period between when your answer is due and the range of time being asked\nabout. For crypto weeklies, it is most often 13 hours, but check consistently as\nthis may be subject to change. Also note there are different time frames for\nstandard assets. To more accurately establish your opening price, try opening\nthe 4H charts, and look back 3 ticks, (or the 2H charts and look back six ticks)\nand extrapolate from there. The 1H, 30M and 5M charts are also crucial for\nestablishing the trending lows and highs being set by the asset in the short\nterm. Use all of these, and your knowledge of [indicators](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp) to help set your first value.\n\nEstablishing the value further from the current trend (if high then low, if low\nthen high) for your prediction is significantly more difficult, but with one\nside nailed down, at least you won’t be losing many points, even if you\ncompletely miss the other. In the simplest terms, complete the pattern. Look\nback at the movement of the last few days and weeks: Is the asset trending up or\ndown? Have there been recent large jumps? What does the pattern look like after\nthese moves? Is the volume rising or falling? How are the [MACD](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/macd.asp) lines looking? What are key [support and resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/) points? How does the movement of the asset work long term? All of these questions will play into the final answer.\n\n\n\nLet’s take another look at the example in question. Historically, we see a\npattern trending slightly lower over time the last 14 days, alternating patterns\nof sales/buys with large moves typically happening in single days, almost always\nfollowed by a move in the opposite direction, most often not in full reversal of the previous day. EUR is likely to find [support](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/) at 1.165, as exhibited by repeat reversal at this point over the last 7 days.\nYou should give a little room below the support in your guess, as assets often\ncatch at [support](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/) and turn around slowly, a little below the support line before moving up for [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp). \nEUR is likely to encounter resistance at roughly 1.1665 , as shown by the past 5 days\ncandles, showing previous support at around that area (remember, [supports become resistance](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/06/supportresistancereversal.asp) and vice versa as price rises or falls). Based on this, and the MACD cross about to happen, I would put my maximum value guess at 1.166, leaving us with an\nanswer of: low 1.64 — high 1.1666 for daily spot prediction.\n\nLet’s extend this logic to weeklies, to get a rough method for weekly\nprediction. Consider the following chart:\n\n\n\nWe see a steady downward trend over the last seven days at least, extending back\nseveral weeks. The volume was up slightly, but is steadily in decline along with\nthe price. We should expect a downward trend to continue, probably slipping and\neventually regaining some ground as buyers scramble to establish lower support.\nTRX has seen nearly seven days of red candles, and some purchase pressure will\nmost likely be begin to occur, going by the history of the movement. My guess\nwas 0.00000380–0.00000450, that it might dip a little below 0.00000400, then\nretrace and find support at 0.00000450.\n\nWhat ended up happening was a bit different than what was predicted — TRX found\nsupport around the 0.00000420 level and retraced a lot of the previous losses,\nsettling at 0.00000499. This example should show you the need to consider [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp), but also how a reasonable range can net you points without being 100% accurate. Also remember — patterns tend to repeat. If the previous week had a period of [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp), note its amount and take it into account when envisioning the pattern for the following week.\n\nHere are a few more examples for you to follow:\n\n\n\n> **From notebook(7/31)***: Eos is dumping along with everything else. I believe\n> it will hit support slightly above 0.0009 and retrace back a little bit into 9\n>territory, probably around 0.00095. I could be wrong, This might not be support,\n>it could slide more — we shall see.*\n\nAs it turns out, I was wrong about the upper half by a large margin, but as you\ncan see, I still managed to gain 57 points due to how close the bottom guess\nwas. I called the lower support accurately, but failed to account for the\nsubsequent retracement all the way past 0.001. That is a fairly large jump in a\nshort time, and hard to predict, but I was close enough, and my bottom range was\nonly off by 160 satoshis — saving the day for the question so I could gain\nsignificant points.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n> **From notebook(8/6):*** EOS is a great example of the 4H chart helping give us\n> additional information. We can see that 0.001 is truly the support for the\n>moment, and barring catastrophe it will probably hold. The MACD indicates upward\n>trend present, I think we make modest gains — 0.00099 up to 0.00105.*\n\nCatastrophe was not barred — the support broke, leading to downward motion to\n0.000695, followed by [retracement](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp)to 0.001008. I would have\nlost many more points if I had not stuck close to 0.001 for the upper range.\nRemember, a support becomes resistance once crossed, which was certainly the\ncase here.\n\nPrice range prediction is not easy, and the further out in time you go the more\ndifficult it becomes. However, if you take time to break down the steps,\nunderstand the principles, and practice your methods — in short order you will\nbe understanding price movement to a much greater degree than the average\ninvestor. This in turn will give you more insight to apply to your trades.\n\n*****\n\n### Glossary of Terms\n\n#### Market Sentiment\n\n“Market sentiment is the overall attitude of investors toward a particular\nsecurity or financial market. Market sentiment is the feeling or tone of a\nmarket, or its crowd psychology, as revealed through the activity and price\nmovement of the securities traded in that market. In broadest terms, rising\nprices would indicate bullish market sentiment, while falling prices would\nindicate bearish market sentiment.”\n\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp)\n\n#### Retracement\n\n“A retracement is a temporary reversal in the direction of a stock’s price that\ngoes against the prevailing trend. For example, a retracement in an uptrend is a\nbrief period of selling before the uptrend continues, also known as a dip.”\n\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp)\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp)\n\n#### Support/Resistance\n\n“Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to\nprevent the price from declining further. The logic dictates that as the price\ndeclines towards support and gets cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy\nand sellers become less inclined to sell. By the time the price reaches the\nsupport level, it is believed that demand will overcome supply and prevent the\nprice from falling below support.\n\nSupport does not always hold and a break below support signals that the bears\nhave won out over the bulls. A decline below support indicates a new willingness\nto sell and/or a lack of incentive to buy. Support breaks and new lows signal\nthat sellers have reduced their expectations and are willing sell at even lower\nprices. In addition, buyers could not be coerced into buying until prices\ndeclined below support or below the previous low. Once support is broken,\nanother support level will have to be established at a lower level.\n\nResistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to\nprevent the price from rising further. The logic dictates that as the price\nadvances towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers\nbecome less inclined to buy. By the time the price reaches the resistance level,\nit is believed that supply will overcome demand and prevent the price from\nrising above resistance.\n\nResistance does not always hold and a break above resistance signals that the\nbulls have won out over the bears. A break above resistance shows a new\nwillingness to buy and/or a lack of incentive to sell. Resistance breaks and new\nhighs indicate buyers have increased their expectations and are willing to buy\nat even higher prices. In addition, sellers could not be coerced into selling\nuntil prices rose above resistance or above the previous high. Once resistance\nis broken, another resistance level will have to be established at a higher\nlevel.”\n\n* Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Vol 10, Macgee and Edwards\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/)\n\n#### Trends (identifying)\n\n“The trend is the general direction of a market or of the price of a security.\nIn technical analysis, trends are identified by trendlines that connect a series\nof highs or lows. Most traders trade in the same direction as a trend, while\ncontrarians seek to identify reversals. Trends can also apply to interest rates,\nbond yields, and other markets where they’re characterized by a long-term\nmovement in price or volume.”\n\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp)\n\n#### Candlestick Chart\n\n“Just like a bar chart, a daily candlestick shows the market’s open, high, low\nand close price for the day. The candlestick has a wide part, which is called\nthe “real body.” This real body represents the price range between the open and\nclose of that day’s trading. When the real body is filled in or black, it means\nthe close was lower than the open. If the real body is empty, it means the close\nwas higher than the open.”\n\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/](https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/)\n\nThese are the standard charts you see an all forex and crypto exchanges. They\nare preferred by traders and predictors to the standard line chart because they\nconvey more information. Of particular note is the time period. You will note in\nthe top left corner of the tradingview display, there is a box that says 1D\n(typically). You will find this same box on binance and most crypto excahgne\nwindows. If you click it, you can change the period. 1D means one day. You can\nchange it to 1 hour, 4 hours, 1 week. The important thing to remember is that\nwhatever you set it to, each candle represents one of those periods.\n\n#### Technical Analysis\n\n“Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate securities and\nidentify trading opportunities by analyzing statistics gathered from trading\nactivity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysts, who\nattempt to evaluate a security’s intrinsic value, technical analysts focus on\ncharts of price movement and various analytical tools to evaluate a security’s\nstrength or weakness.”\n\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp)\n\n*****\n\n### Books\n\n* [Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Tenth Edition Magee and\nEdwards](https://www.amazon.com/Technical-Analysis-Stock-Trends-Tenth/dp/113803200X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1534890600&sr=8-1&keywords=technical+analysis+10th+edition)\n* [Elliott Wave Principle: A Key to Market\nBehavior](https://www.amazon.com/Elliott-Wave-Principle-Market-Behavior/dp/1616040815/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1534891739&sr=8-3&keywords=elliot+wave+theory)\n* [Candlestick Trading\nBible](https://tahlilbazarboorsvaarz.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/THE-CANDLESTICK-TRADING-BIBLE.pdf)\n\n### Tools\n\n* [https://athda.com](https://athda.com/) — All time high data\n* [https://www.coinmarketcap.com/](https://www.coinmarketcap.com/) — your new\nbible\n* [https://www.tensorcharts.com/](https://www.tensorcharts.com/) — excellent\ncharting w/heat map functions\n* [https://coinfarm.online/index.asp](https://coinfarm.online/index.asp) — lot of\nuseful information, including long/short option statistics on bitmex\n* [https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/](https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/)\n— slightly off topic, useful for leveraged trading\n* [http://www.coindominancecharts.com/](http://www.coindominancecharts.com/) —\nuseful for rank questions\n* [http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#](http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#)\n— Various order books\n* [https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance](https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance)\n— Volume indicator for binance, leave it open for a second and data will start\nto accumulate\n* [https://www.tradingview.com](https://www.tradingview.com/) — get a membership\n* [https://www.cryptopanic.com](https://www.cryptopanic.com/) — best sentiment /\nnews aggregator\n* [https://t.me/cindicator_chat](https://t.me/cindicator_chat) — Cindicator\nTelegram link\n* [https://t.me/cryptiverse](https://t.me/cryptiverse) — Cryptiverse Chat Channel\nlink\n\n### Reading\n\n* [https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/](https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/)\n— lots of good commentary, mostly on standard markets but even handed and\ninsightful\n* [https://www.binance.vision/](https://www.binance.vision/) — binance educational\npage\n* [https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school](https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school)\n— lots of information on charts, terms etc.\n* [https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg](https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg)\n— traders library chat channel\n* [https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/](https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/)\n— tradingview explains indicators\n* [https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp)\n— another indicator explanation page\n\n### Come talk predictions on Cindicator Telegram:\n[https://t.me/cindicator_chat](https://t.me/cindicator_chat)\n\n### [PART 1 LINK!](https://steemit.com/crypto/@seraphismith/beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4)<br>\nPART 3 COMING SOON!\n\n### Remember to like and share!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Follow me on these platforms:\n\n### Twitter: @mithseraphi\n\n### Steemit: [https://steemit.com/@Seraphismith](https://steemit.com/@seraphismith)\n\n### Medium: [https://medium.com/@SeraphiSmith](https://medium.com/@SeraphiSmith)",
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seraphismithreceived 0.014 STEEM, 0.019 SP author reward for @seraphismith / beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4
2018/09/04 11:43:06
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2018/09/01 06:45:39
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}sidzukaupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/08/28 23:09:09
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2018/08/28 23:09:09
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2018/08/28 15:04:39
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}seraphismithupvoted (100.00%) @goufer / 5-kryptowaehrungs-trends-im-jahr-20182018/08/28 12:38:00
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2018/08/28 12:37:54
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}seraphismithupvoted (100.00%) @bp9930 / 13bax7o62018/08/28 12:37:18
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}seraphismithupvoted (100.00%) @steemmonsters / steem-monsters-common-card-fantasy-story-contest-week-32018/08/28 12:37:18
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}seraphismithupvoted (100.00%) @bp9930 / 1zjhc8j32018/08/28 12:37:12
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2018/08/28 11:43:06
| parent author | |
| parent permlink | crypto |
| author | seraphismith |
| permlink | beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4 |
| title | Beginners Best Practice Guide, Tools and Tips for Crypto Asset Prediction 2018 (Part 1 of 4) |
| body | <div class="stackedit__html"> <a href="https://cindicator.com"><img src="https://i.imgur.com/krNuXgF.png" title="source: imgur.com" align="middl" /></a> <h3 id="introduction"> Introduction</h3> This series of articles is intended to be a primer for the layman, to get started in predicting crypto and standard market assets focusing on a short list of tools with emphasis on Cindicator Hybrid Intelligence platform. It may seem overwhelming at first, but with a little research and observation, you can increase your proficiency in predicting assets significantly. This, in turn can help your trading. I would like this to serve as the basis for community documentation for developing best practices for understanding markets using the tools currently available to us. Creating techniques for prediction and trading, and for answering questions on the Cindicator platform. I happily welcome any suggestions or additions, and if you feel I have missed, or misstated something, please find the contact information at the end of the document and let me know. If you have not done so, I suggest you get familiar with the Cindicator platform, as it will be a primary source of examples throughout the text. You should take time to register and set up an analyst account, and be aware of the difference between crypto/stock markets in a very general way. If you own some crypto, have looked at charts in the paper or on the Internet from time to time, great! If you have not completed these steps, please visit the <a href="http://app.cindicator.com">Cindicator</a> page, and get started. I am not an analyst by trade. I am a musician - a blues/rock guitarist, an artist, a writer - just about as far from the FinTech industry as a person can get; yet I have consistently managed to stay in the top 400 predictors, with an average accuracy of 78% for the last 4 months. At the time of writing I am 273/163 for monthly/all time in analyst ranking. I have not done this by trickery, gaming the system or answering very few questions. Instead, I have developed some simple methods - a sort of shorthand psuedo TA - that usefully lets me predict a variety of market movements. All that is required is a little time, effort and observation. For many years, the bulk of data concerning prediction has been the domain of mathematicians, and statisticians. But that is not where it begins. The human mind is unique in the animal world in its abilities to extrapolate from the present to predict the future. This quality, along with tool use, and a handful of other traits, are what separate us from the majority of Animalea. When a spear is thrown into a stream, taking seconds to reach a fish, it is our ability to predict that guides it home. While scientists have mainly taken over the dialogue on prediction - take a moment to think of the complex ways you utilize your predictive ability in your day to day life and realize the math merely describes a process that every normal human is endowed with at birth. In just the same way practice and experience make a fly rod toss, or a baseball swing perfect - so can we train our innate predictive and intuitive abilities for charting, which tie directly into the other skills needed for trading successfully. “But wait!” you might say, “Effort and observation are hard, and time is limited! Why would I want to spend my time learning to predict crypto, much less enter these predictions on a platform?” The first, and most easily explained reason, is monetary compensation. Analysts on the Cindicator platform are given ETH every month based on the accuracy of their predictions. The more accurate the predictions, and higher your rank, the more ETH you earn. Usually I earn somewhere between 10 - 20$ monthly for my efforts. It’s not going to pay my bills, but it’s always nice to get extra ETH. The other benefits are more intangible, but arguably more valuable. First is the <a href="https://cindicatorhelp.freshdesk.com/en/support/solutions/articles/35000049919-what-are-the-echelons-">echelon system</a> - those who place in the top 110 receive access to various levels of Cindicator analytical products for the next month scaled by rank. Additionally, you get the invaluable experience of making calls and watching market movements day in and out in a way that challenges you, but does not risk your actual assets, similar to paper trading, but with daily challenges to engage you. Cindicator predicting has been integral in getting me to a place where I feel comfortable trading in the real world, and the skills I have learned are helping take me to a level where I feel stable in my ability to navigate the crypto exchanges. For those who do not yet feel comfortable, getting this type of familiarity is a frustrating and costly experience, each false step eating away at the available capital. The consequences of trading without experience can be dire; predicting on Cindicator develops excellent practices for trading, such as looking at charts daily, considering <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trends</a> of popular assets, being aware of trends in key market assets, understanding the common ways that assets of different types move, and predicting range of movement in assets. Some people pay top dollar for this kind of information, the Cindicator platform can help you generate it yourself, and if you are good - it pays you! Additionally, for token holders, becoming a part of the ecosystem should be on your agenda. The more we improve ourselves and our knowledge as analysts, the more accurate the system will become, which in turn will improve the value of the token. It's up to all of us to help accrue the largest data set possible. And last, but not least - there is my pet project - improving the accuracy of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning">machine learning</a> models, as I detail in my <a href="https://medium.com/cindicator/cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data-c7c8c782326">last article</a>, for the sake of mankind and the creation of a general science of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics">predictive analytics</a>. Let’s get into the platform itself, and start by looking at the types of questions, and discussing some general strategies pertaining to them.You will see a lot of different types of questions, some that you may have asked yourself - so take time to read, and learn all you can. Remember, you are penalized for incorrect data (it's a lot nicer losing points on an app, than money in real life), so you should focus initially on getting your accuracy up for the assets and questions you feel most comfortable with, and work out strategies for the other question types from there, taking on new challenges as you improve your core skills. I will go over each type of question of the platform, and discuss the techniques I have found helpful in answering them. Some I still am not good at, and would appreciate feedback in developing methods for answering. A last quick note on the interface: Questions are marked in app with a B or a $ sign to the left of the "time left to answer” box. The mark designates whether the question is about a crypto or standard market asset, respectively. To the right of the time box is an alarm bell icon, which allows you to set a notification to go off 30 minutes before the question closes. Throughout this guide, there are common terms linked to articles to help you understand the concept. If you do not understand a concept, take time to read and learn it about it. There is also a brief glossary of these terms at the end of the document. <h3 id="binary-questions">Binary Questions</h3> <hr> <blockquote><p> Binary questions are questions that only have two possible answers: yes or no. You answer by giving a 0–100% probability of an event happening. A 0–49% probability is interpreted as a negative answer with various degrees of confidence, while a 51–100% probability is interpreted as an affirmative answer with various degrees of confidence. A conditional binary question is a question that asks “If event A happens, will event B also happen?” For example: “If NEO trades above $25 by 30 August, will NEO also trade above $35 by 10 Sep?“ NEO would have to reach $25 by August 30, or else all predictions would get a 0 score. Therefore, you have to predict the likelihood of the second event happening (NEO above $25) and it will only be counted if the first event happens as well.</p></blockquote> In addition to the two types identified in the freshdesk documentation, we also have <a href="http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998">Bull/Bear</a> questions, which will be discussed at the end of the section. Binary questions are the bread and butter of the app, and took me quite a while to get good at them.This type of question most generally asks you to identify a micro or macro <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a> in a given timeframe. At the core of my problem with the binary questions, is that it took me a while to notice that they most often are tied to a date. I was used to doing predicting on daily spot movements, and failed to take into account the extended time line necessary for the binary questions. Often times the binary questions cover a period of approximately 3 days - 1 week, which is usually enough time for a <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a> to change. You have to remember - what goes up must come down, and vice versa, use the section at the end for tips and tools for identifying <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trends</a> to get some ideas of different ways to approach the problem. The scoring for the binary questions is simple, scaled to the % given as input, with a maximum of +/- 50, by subtracting from the percentage given, IE “Will Bitcoin’s price rise to $6,500 by 30th July?” If the correct answer is “no” (= 0%), and the forecaster input a 65%, they will lose 15 points (50 - 65). A forecaster who answers 20% to this question will get 30 points (50 - 20) for the right answer. My current process for the binary questions goes like this: read the question and find the price level it asks about, noting carefully the date which the binary closes, and whether 50 + is affirmative or negative in the context of the question. Then, I go look at the 1D charts provided, and trace back the same number of days as I will be predicting. Past behaviour does not necessarily predict future, but you can be reasonably sure that most of the time it will be along the same lines, or at least complete the current <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a>. If I need further clarity, I will consult the 4H, 30M, or 1H charts as well. I identify what I most logically think will happen, and it amounts to one of five options: <ul> <li>a steady rise</li> <li>a steady fall</li> <li>a rise with subsequent falling <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/">retracement</a></li> <li>a fall with subsequent <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/">retracement</a> upwards, or a complete break in <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a>, which what would be referred to as a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory">Black Swan Event</a>. If I get an inkling of such a massive reversal coming, I wait for the market to settle down, and watch for some clarity to emerge from the patterns. Here are a few examples, including my real life<a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp"> sentiment</a> notes from the time in question</li> </ul> Please take a look at the following examples, the charts are clickable and link to the question on the Cindicator Platform. If you need to take a better look at the numbers, right click the chart and select "open image in new tab". You can always link to any prediction you have made on the platform using the unique ID URL displayed in your browser when you open a question. <hr /> <h3 id="section">7/22/18</h3> <ul> <li>BTC relatively stable at 72 - 7400 following rally on 16th and 17th. ETH also seems to have found <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/">support </a>(value not given).</li> </ul> <a href="https://app.cindicator.com/events/1514eeac-310a-4edf-92a3-4b46d77b4c3c"><img class="alignnone wp-image-39" src="https://seraphismith.files.wordpress.com/2018/08/icx1.png" alt="icx1" width="1292" height="625" /></a> I skipped a VET question because the charts seemed highly manipulated, not good to predict. <hr /> <h3 id="section-1">7/30/18</h3> <ul> <li>There has been a sideways, slow bleed going on. ETH/BTC and most assets seem to be continuing on the same waning trend, BTC 8180 to 8080, ETH took quite a slide, 480 down to 444.</li> </ul> <a href="https://app.cindicator.com/events/3d6fadce-7723-42cd-8166-a16ca1b10dc7"><img class="" title="INS chart" src="https://i.imgur.com/ljIqHtY.jpg" width="976" height="386" /></a> <hr /> <a href="https://app.cindicator.com/events/284d84f7-57d8-488f-a141-609ed484ce35"><img title="ELF chart" src="https://i.imgur.com/4pb0ZnH.png" /></a> <hr> <h3 id="section-1">Bull/Bear Questions</h3><br> Let’s take a moment now to go over the properties of <a href="http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998">bull/bear</a> questions. Added recently, <a href="http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998">bull/bear</a> questions are ultimately a more simple form of binary question in that there is no date attached to the outcome. It is only a matter of which condition will be satisfied first. Therefore, the best input will be given by identifying the overall <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a> of the asset. It may be useful to look at the shorter charts to see how they are trending, as they tend to be sort of a fractal subset of the larger <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a>. For further assistance identifying <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trends</a>, refer to the additional resources at the end of the document. Also remember it may be of use to research <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics">candlestick chart</a> patterns for additional insight into how a <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a> may change. Here is one example to consider: <a href="https://app.cindicator.com/events/a60f93c4-0baa-40fe-8ad2-324f8aac86be"><img title="source: imgur.com" src="https://i.imgur.com/GBjYt5g.png" /></a> In summation, you give best input to the binary questions by correctly identifying whether the current <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">trend</a> will persist, given the time limit or lack thereof. At the end of the day, the markets can be fickle, and your best efforts may not succeed. Remember - try your best to scale your answer to your level of confidence. If the pattern you see is uncertain, let that be reflected in your percentage. Better to lose 10 points on a chart with an unclear direction than 50! Be aware of the wording of the question. I have lost a few points because I didn't clearly read what the question wanted - which direction meant what, or whether the asset was + or - a percentage. THE WORDING MATTERS, READ CAREFULLY. <hr /> <h1 id="why-do-i-have-to-predict-in-satoshis">Why Do I Have To Predict in Satoshis?</h1> <img src="https://i.imgur.com/BHTwbe6.png" alt="coindominance chart August 2017" /> This is a common question, and a fair one. It also has a good explanation. Very few crypto assets have common fiat pairings, and as such, BTC is typically what one must trade to in order to get money OUT of the crypto space. Consider this - say you purchased X coin at .0004 BTC (approximately 2.58 US at this time), if you hold this coin, and attempt to trade or manage your account by it’s comparison to USD, when you go to sell it, what are you going to do? It may be worth 10$ US a coin, but if the only place you have to sell it is an exchange, for other crypto, then all of a sudden the only thing that matters is its relation to BTC. When you sell that coin, you may find it only worth .0005 BTC, as the value against BTC and USD are seperate. While a few exchanges do have offramps to FIAT, it is almost exclusively through BTC. Thus when you sell that 10$ USD coin, you almost certainly have to sell it to BTC first. Also - the people trading on the exchanges trade in BTC, not USD or RUB, so the <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/">support/resistance</a> numbers tend to fall on BTC whole numbers. For all these reasons, it is much easier/better to predict against BTC value instead of a fiat currency. Also, let’s take a minute to understand Satoshis. A satoshi is the lowest subdivision of a BTC, much like a cent to USD. BTC has 8 decimal places. Because it is highly valuable, most purchases you make in BTC are WELL under 1. thus it is common to see things like .00000070 value per coin etc. The way you verbalize and think of this, is by eliminating the insignificant digits - thus: <img src="https://seraphismith.files.wordpress.com/2018/08/satochi-converter-to-bitcoin.png" alt="satochi-converter-to-bitcoin" width="544" height="402" align="middle"/> Ultimately, it is the standard unit of measurement within the crypto market, and as such, should be learned intimately by anyone who is serious about crypto trading and predicting, especially when BTC is the gateway coin between fiat money and all other cryptocurrencies. <h2 id="glossary-of-terms">Glossary of Terms</h2> <hr /> <h3 id="bullbear">Bull/Bear</h3> Terms in general use since far before the era of crypto trading. I think it’s worth putting the clearest definition, numbers 2 - 4 from the <a href="http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998">Dow Theory of Technical Analysis:</a> <ol start="2"> <li>The ‘market’ meaning the price of shares in general, swings in trends which may be major or primary, secondary and minor. The primary trends are the extensive up or down movements which generally last by 20% or more. Movements in the direction of the primary trend are interrupted at intervals by secondary swings, in the opposite direction. Finally, the secondary trends are composed of minor trends or day-to-day fluctuations which are unimportant.</li> <li>So long as each successive rally or price advance reaches a higher level than the one before it, and each secondary reaction, or price decline, stops at a higher level than the previous one, the primary trend is up. This is called a ‘bull market’.</li> <li>When each intermediate decline carries prices to successively lower levels and each intervening rally fails to bring them back up to top level of the preceding rally, the primary trend is down and that is called ‘bear market’.</li> </ol> <h3 id="market-sentiment">Market Sentiment</h3> “Market sentiment is the overall attitude of investors toward a particular security or financial market. Market sentiment is the feeling or tone of a market, or its crowd psychology, as revealed through the activity and price movement of the securities traded in that market. In broadest terms, rising prices would indicate bullish market sentiment, while falling prices would indicate bearish market sentiment.” <ul> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="retracement">Retracement</h3> “A retracement is a temporary reversal in the direction of a stock’s price that goes against the prevailing trend. For example, a retracement in an uptrend is a brief period of selling before the uptrend continues, also known as a dip.” <ul> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp">https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="supportresistance">Support/Resistance</h3> “Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining further. The logic dictates that as the price declines towards support and gets cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy and sellers become less inclined to sell. By the time the price reaches the support level, it is believed that demand will overcome supply and prevent the price from falling below support. Support does not always hold and a break below support signals that the bears have won out over the bulls. A decline below support indicates a new willingness to sell and/or a lack of incentive to buy. Support breaks and new lows signal that sellers have reduced their expectations and are willing sell at even lower prices. In addition, buyers could not be coerced into buying until prices declined below support or below the previous low. Once support is broken, another support level will have to be established at a lower level. Resistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. The logic dictates that as the price advances towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers become less inclined to buy. By the time the price reaches the resistance level, it is believed that supply will overcome demand and prevent the price from rising above resistance. Resistance does not always hold and a break above resistance signals that the bulls have won out over the bears. A break above resistance shows a new willingness to buy and/or a lack of incentive to sell. Resistance breaks and new highs indicate buyers have increased their expectations and are willing to buy at even higher prices. In addition, sellers could not be coerced into selling until prices rose above resistance or above the previous high. Once resistance is broken, another resistance level will have to be established at a higher level.” <ul> <li>Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Vol 10, Macgee and Edwards</li> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/">https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="trends-identifying">Trends (identifying)</h3> “The trend is the general direction of a market or of the price of a security. In technical analysis, trends are identified by trendlines that connect a series of highs or lows. Most traders trade in the same direction as a trend, while contrarians seek to identify reversals. Trends can also apply to interest rates, bond yields, and other markets where they’re characterized by a long-term movement in price or volume.” <ul> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="candlestick-chart">Candlestick Chart</h3> “Just like a bar chart, a daily candlestick shows the market’s open, high, low and close price for the day. The candlestick has a wide part, which is called the “real body.” This real body represents the price range between the open and close of that day’s trading. When the real body is filled in or black, it means the close was lower than the open. If the real body is empty, it means the close was higher than the open.” <ul> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/">https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/</a></li> </ul> These are the standard charts you see an all forex and crypto exchanges. They are preferred by traders and predictors to the standard line chart because they convey more information. Of particular note is the time period. You will note in the top left corner of the tradingview display, there is a box that says 1D (typically). You will find this same box on binance and most crypto excahgne windows. If you click it, you can change the period. 1D means one day. You can change it to 1 hour, 4 hours, 1 week. The important thing to remember is that whatever you set it to, each candle represents one of those periods. <h3 id="technical-analysis">Technical Analysis</h3> “Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate securities and identify trading opportunities by analyzing statistics gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysts, who attempt to evaluate a security’s intrinsic value, technical analysts focus on charts of price movement and various analytical tools to evaluate a security’s strength or weakness.” <ul> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="black-swan-event">Black Swan Event</h3> “The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were discovered in the wild.” <ul> <li><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="machine-learning">Machine Learning</h3> “Machine learning is a field of computer science that uses statistical techniques to give computer systems the ability to “learn” (e.g., progressively improve performance on a specific task) with data, without being explicitly programmed.” <ul> <li><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning</a></li> </ul> <h3 id="predictive-analytics">Predictive Analytics</h3> “Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling, and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise unknown events” <ul> <li><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics</a></li> </ul> <hr /> </div> <div class="stackedit__html"> <h2 id="books">Books</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Technical-Analysis-Stock-Trends-Tenth/dp/113803200X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1534890600&sr=8-1&keywords=technical+analysis+10th+edition">Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Tenth Edition Magee and Edwards</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Elliott-Wave-Principle-Market-Behavior/dp/1616040815/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1534891739&sr=8-3&keywords=elliot+wave+theory">Elliott Wave Principle: A Key to Market Behavior</a></li> <li><a href="https://tahlilbazarboorsvaarz.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/THE-CANDLESTICK-TRADING-BIBLE.pdf">Candlestick Trading Bible</a></li> </ul> <h2 id="tools">Tools</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://athda.com">https://athda.com</a> - All time high data</li> <li><a href="https://www.coinmarketcap.com">https://www.coinmarketcap.com/</a> - your new bible</li> <li><a href="https://www.tensorcharts.com/">https://www.tensorcharts.com/</a> - excellent charting w/heat map functions</li> <li><a href="https://coinfarm.online/index.asp">https://coinfarm.online/index.asp</a> - lot of useful information, including long/short option statistics on bitmex</li> <li><a href="https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/">https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/</a> - slightly off topic, useful for leveraged trading</li> <li><a href="http://www.coindominancecharts.com/">http://www.coindominancecharts.com/</a> - useful for rank questions</li> <li><a href="http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#">http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#</a> - Various order books</li> <li><a href="https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance">https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance</a> - Volume indicator for binance, leave it open for a second and data will start to accumulate</li> <li><a href="https://www.tradingview.com">https://www.tradingview.com</a> - get a membership</li> <li><a href="https://www.cryptopanic.com">https://www.cryptopanic.com</a> - best sentiment / news aggregator</li> <li><a href="https://t.me/cindicator_chat">https://t.me/cindicator_chat</a> - Cindicator Telegram link</li> <li><a href="https://t.me/cryptiverse">https://t.me/cryptiverse</a> - Cryptiverse Chat Channel link</li> </ul> <h2 id="reading">Reading</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/">https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/</a> - lots of good commentary, mostly on standard markets but even handed and insightful</li> <li><a href="https://www.binance.vision/">https://www.binance.vision/</a> - binance educational page</li> <li><a href="https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school">https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school</a> - lots of information on charts, terms etc.</li> <li><a href="https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg">https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg</a> - traders library chat channel</li> <li><a href="https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/">https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/</a> - tradingview explains indicators</li> <li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp">https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp</a> - another indicator explanation page</li> </ul> <h2 id="please-remember-to-like-and-share-follow-me-on-twitter-mithseraphi-or-on-steemit-httpssteemit.comseraphismith">Please remember to like and share! Follow me on twitter @mithseraphi or on steemit: <a href="https://steemit.com/@seraphismith">https://steemit.com/@seraphismith</a> Please send any suggestions to one of these accounts!</h2> <h2> Be on lookout for upcoming articles from Cindicator community members on utilizing indicators in trading! Come talk predictions on Cindicator Telegram: https://t.me/cindicator_chat<br> PART 2 COMING SOON!</h2> <img class=" aligncenter" src="https://i.imgur.com/iPe2eiS.jpg" alt="enter image description here" width="396" height="396" /> </div> |
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"permlink": "beginners-best-practice-guide-tools-and-tips-for-crypto-asset-prediction-2018-part-1-of-4",
"title": "Beginners Best Practice Guide, Tools and Tips for Crypto Asset Prediction 2018 (Part 1 of 4)",
"body": "<div class=\"stackedit__html\">\n <a href=\"https://cindicator.com\"><img src=\"https://i.imgur.com/krNuXgF.png\" title=\"source: imgur.com\" align=\"middl\" /></a>\n\n<h3 id=\"introduction\"> Introduction</h3>\n \nThis series of articles is intended to be a primer for the layman, to get started in predicting crypto and standard market assets focusing on a short list of tools with emphasis on Cindicator Hybrid Intelligence platform. It may seem overwhelming at first, but with a little research and observation, you can increase your proficiency in predicting assets significantly. This, in turn can help your trading.\n\nI would like this to serve as the basis for community documentation for developing best practices for understanding markets using the tools currently available to us. Creating techniques for prediction and trading, and for answering questions on the Cindicator platform. I happily welcome any suggestions or additions, and if you feel I have missed, or misstated something, please find the contact information at the end of the document and let me know.\n\nIf you have not done so, I suggest you get familiar with the Cindicator platform, as it will be a primary source of examples throughout the text. You should take time to register and set up an analyst account, and be aware of the difference between crypto/stock markets in a very general way. If you own some crypto, have looked at charts in the paper or on the Internet from time to time, great! If you have not completed these steps, please visit the <a href=\"http://app.cindicator.com\">Cindicator</a> page, and get started.\n\nI am not an analyst by trade. I am a musician - a blues/rock guitarist, an artist, a writer - just about as far from the FinTech industry as a person can get; yet I have consistently managed to stay in the top 400 predictors, with an average accuracy of 78% for the last 4 months. At the time of writing I am 273/163 for monthly/all time in analyst ranking. I have not done this by trickery, gaming the system or answering very few questions. Instead, I have developed some simple methods - a sort of shorthand psuedo TA - that usefully lets me predict a variety of market movements. All that is required is a little time, effort and observation.\n\nFor many years, the bulk of data concerning prediction has been the domain of mathematicians, and statisticians. But that is not where it begins. The human mind is unique in the animal world in its abilities to extrapolate from the present to predict the future. This quality, along with tool use, and a handful of other traits, are what separate us from the majority of Animalea. When a spear is thrown into a stream, taking seconds to reach a fish, it is our ability to predict that guides it home. While scientists have mainly taken over the dialogue on prediction - take a moment to think of the complex ways you utilize your predictive ability in your day to day life and realize the math merely describes a process that every normal human is endowed with at birth. In just the same way practice and experience make a fly rod toss, or a baseball swing perfect - so can we train our innate predictive and intuitive abilities for charting, which tie directly into the other skills needed for trading successfully.\n\n“But wait!” you might say, “Effort and observation are hard, and time is limited! Why would I want to spend my time learning to predict crypto, much less enter these predictions on a platform?” The first, and most easily explained reason, is monetary compensation. Analysts on the Cindicator platform are given ETH every month based on the accuracy of their predictions. The more accurate the predictions, and higher your rank, the more ETH you earn. Usually I earn somewhere between 10 - 20$ monthly for my efforts. It’s not going to pay my bills, but it’s always nice to get extra ETH.\n\nThe other benefits are more intangible, but arguably more valuable. First is the <a href=\"https://cindicatorhelp.freshdesk.com/en/support/solutions/articles/35000049919-what-are-the-echelons-\">echelon system</a> - those who place in the top 110 receive access to various levels of Cindicator analytical products for the next month scaled by rank. Additionally, you get the invaluable experience of making calls and watching market movements day in and out in a way that challenges you, but does not risk your actual assets, similar to paper trading, but with daily challenges to engage you. Cindicator predicting has been integral in getting me to a place where I feel comfortable trading in the real world, and the skills I have learned are helping take me to a level where I feel stable in my ability to navigate the crypto exchanges.\n\nFor those who do not yet feel comfortable, getting this type of familiarity is a frustrating and costly experience, each false step eating away at the available capital. The consequences of trading without experience can be dire; predicting on Cindicator develops excellent practices for trading, such as looking at charts daily, considering <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trends</a> of popular assets, being aware of trends in key market assets, understanding the common ways that assets of different types move, and predicting range of movement in assets. Some people pay top dollar for this kind of information, the Cindicator platform can help you generate it yourself, and if you are good - it pays you!\n\nAdditionally, for token holders, becoming a part of the ecosystem should be on your agenda. The more we improve ourselves and our knowledge as analysts, the more accurate the system will become, which in turn will improve the value of the token. It's up to all of us to help accrue the largest data set possible. And last, but not least - there is my pet project - improving the accuracy of the <a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning\">machine learning</a> models, as I detail in my <a href=\"https://medium.com/cindicator/cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data-c7c8c782326\">last article</a>, for the sake of mankind and the creation of a general science of <a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics\">predictive analytics</a>.\n\nLet’s get into the platform itself, and start by looking at the types of questions, and discussing some general strategies pertaining to them.You will see a lot of different types of questions, some that you may have asked yourself - so take time to read, and learn all you can. Remember, you are penalized for incorrect data (it's a lot nicer losing points on an app, than money in real life), so you should focus initially on getting your accuracy up for the assets and questions you feel most comfortable with, and work out strategies for the other question types from there, taking on new challenges as you improve your core skills. I will go over each type of question of the platform, and discuss the techniques I have found helpful in answering them. Some I still am not good at, and would appreciate feedback in developing methods for answering. \n\nA last quick note on the interface: Questions are marked in app with a B or a $ sign to the left of the \"time left to answer” box. The mark designates whether the question is about a crypto or standard market asset, respectively. To the right of the time box is an alarm bell icon, which allows you to set a notification to go off 30 minutes before the question closes. \n\nThroughout this guide, there are common terms linked to articles to help you understand the concept. If you do not understand a concept, take time to read and learn it about it. There is also a brief glossary of these terms at the end of the document.\n<h3 id=\"binary-questions\">Binary Questions</h3>\n<hr>\n<blockquote><p>\nBinary questions are questions that only have two possible answers: yes or no. You answer by giving a 0–100% probability of an event happening. A 0–49% probability is interpreted as a negative answer with various degrees of confidence, while a 51–100% probability is interpreted as an affirmative answer with various degrees of confidence.\nA conditional binary question is a question that asks “If event A happens, will event B also happen?” For example: “If NEO trades above $25 by 30 August, will NEO also trade above $35 by 10 Sep?“ NEO would have to reach $25 by August 30, or else all predictions would get a 0 score. Therefore, you have to predict the likelihood of the second event happening (NEO above $25) and it will only be counted if the first event happens as well.</p></blockquote>\nIn addition to the two types identified in the freshdesk documentation, we also have <a href=\"http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998\">Bull/Bear</a> questions, which will be discussed at the end of the section.\n\nBinary questions are the bread and butter of the app, and took me quite a while to get good at them.This type of question most generally asks you to identify a micro or macro <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a> in a given timeframe. At the core of my problem with the binary questions, is that it took me a while to notice that they most often are tied to a date. I was used to doing predicting on daily spot movements, and failed to take into account the extended time line necessary for the binary questions. Often times the binary questions cover a period of approximately 3 days - 1 week, which is usually enough time for a <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a> to change. You have to remember - what goes up must come down, and vice versa, use the section at the end for tips and tools for identifying <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trends</a> to get some ideas of different ways to approach the problem.\n\nThe scoring for the binary questions is simple, scaled to the % given as input, with a maximum of +/- 50, by subtracting from the percentage given, IE “Will Bitcoin’s price rise to $6,500 by 30th July?” If the correct answer is “no” (= 0%), and the forecaster input a 65%, they will lose 15 points (50 - 65). A forecaster who answers 20% to this question will get 30 points (50 - 20) for the right answer.\n\nMy current process for the binary questions goes like this: read the question and find the price level it asks about, noting carefully the date which the binary closes, and whether 50 + is affirmative or negative in the context of the question. Then, I go look at the 1D charts provided, and trace back the same number of days as I will be predicting. Past behaviour does not necessarily predict future, but you can be reasonably sure that most of the time it will be along the same lines, or at least complete the current <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a>. If I need further clarity, I will consult the 4H, 30M, or 1H charts as well.\n\nI identify what I most logically think will happen, and it amounts to one of five options:\n<ul>\n\t<li>a steady rise</li>\n\t<li>a steady fall</li>\n\t<li>a rise with subsequent falling <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/\">retracement</a></li>\n\t<li>a fall with subsequent <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/\">retracement</a> upwards, or a complete break in <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a>, which what would be referred to as a <a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory\">Black Swan Event</a>. If I get an inkling of such a massive reversal coming, I wait for the market to settle down, and watch for some clarity to emerge from the patterns. Here are a few examples, including my real life<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp\"> sentiment</a> notes from the time in question</li>\n</ul>\nPlease take a look at the following examples, the charts are clickable and link to the question on the Cindicator Platform. If you need to take a better look at the numbers, right click the chart and select \"open image in new tab\". You can always link to any prediction you have made on the platform using the unique ID URL displayed in your browser when you open a question. \n\n<hr />\n\n<h3 id=\"section\">7/22/18</h3>\n<ul>\n\t<li>BTC relatively stable at 72 - 7400 following rally on 16th and 17th. ETH also seems to have found <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/\">support </a>(value not given).</li>\n</ul>\n<a href=\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/1514eeac-310a-4edf-92a3-4b46d77b4c3c\"><img class=\"alignnone wp-image-39\" src=\"https://seraphismith.files.wordpress.com/2018/08/icx1.png\" alt=\"icx1\" width=\"1292\" height=\"625\" /></a>\n\nI skipped a VET question because the charts seemed highly manipulated, not good to predict.\n\n<hr />\n\n<h3 id=\"section-1\">7/30/18</h3>\n<ul>\n\t<li>There has been a sideways, slow bleed going on. ETH/BTC and most assets seem to be continuing on the same waning trend, BTC 8180 to 8080, ETH took quite a slide, 480 down to 444.</li>\n</ul>\n<a href=\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/3d6fadce-7723-42cd-8166-a16ca1b10dc7\"><img class=\"\" title=\"INS chart\" src=\"https://i.imgur.com/ljIqHtY.jpg\" width=\"976\" height=\"386\" /></a>\n\n<hr />\n\n<a href=\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/284d84f7-57d8-488f-a141-609ed484ce35\"><img title=\"ELF chart\" src=\"https://i.imgur.com/4pb0ZnH.png\" /></a>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"section-1\">Bull/Bear Questions</h3><br>\nLet’s take a moment now to go over the properties of <a href=\"http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998\">bull/bear</a> questions. Added recently, <a href=\"http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998\">bull/bear</a> questions are ultimately a more simple form of binary question in that there is no date attached to the outcome. It is only a matter of which condition will be satisfied first. Therefore, the best input will be given by identifying the overall <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a> of the asset.\n\nIt may be useful to look at the shorter charts to see how they are trending, as they tend to be sort of a fractal subset of the larger <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a>. For further assistance identifying <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trends</a>, refer to the additional resources at the end of the document. Also remember it may be of use to research <a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics\">candlestick chart</a> patterns for additional insight into how a <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a> may change.\n\nHere is one example to consider:\n\n<a href=\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/a60f93c4-0baa-40fe-8ad2-324f8aac86be\"><img title=\"source: imgur.com\" src=\"https://i.imgur.com/GBjYt5g.png\" /></a>\n\nIn summation, you give best input to the binary questions by correctly identifying whether the current <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">trend</a> will persist, given the time limit or lack thereof. At the end of the day, the markets can be fickle, and your best efforts may not succeed. Remember - try your best to scale your answer to your level of confidence. If the pattern you see is uncertain, let that be reflected in your percentage. Better to lose 10 points on a chart with an unclear direction than 50! Be aware of the wording of the question. I have lost a few points because I didn't clearly read what the question wanted - which direction meant what, or whether the asset was + or - a percentage. THE WORDING MATTERS, READ CAREFULLY.\n\n<hr />\n\n<h1 id=\"why-do-i-have-to-predict-in-satoshis\">Why Do I Have To Predict in Satoshis?</h1>\n<img src=\"https://i.imgur.com/BHTwbe6.png\" alt=\"coindominance chart August 2017\" />\n\nThis is a common question, and a fair one. It also has a good explanation. Very few crypto assets have common fiat pairings, and as such, BTC is typically what one must trade to in order to get money OUT of the crypto space. Consider this - say you purchased X coin at .0004 BTC (approximately 2.58 US at this time), if you hold this coin, and attempt to trade or manage your account by it’s comparison to USD, when you go to sell it, what are you going to do? It may be worth 10$ US a coin, but if the only place you have to sell it is an exchange, for other crypto, then all of a sudden the only thing that matters is its relation to BTC. When you sell that coin, you may find it only worth .0005 BTC, as the value against BTC and USD are seperate. While a few exchanges do have offramps to FIAT, it is almost exclusively through BTC. Thus when you sell that 10$ USD coin, you almost certainly have to sell it to BTC first. Also - the people trading on the exchanges trade in BTC, not USD or RUB, so the <a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/\">support/resistance</a> numbers tend to fall on BTC whole numbers. For all these reasons, it is much easier/better to predict against BTC value instead of a fiat currency.\n\nAlso, let’s take a minute to understand Satoshis. A satoshi is the lowest subdivision of a BTC, much like a cent to USD. BTC has 8 decimal places. Because it is highly valuable, most purchases you make in BTC are WELL under 1. thus it is common to see things like .00000070 value per coin etc. The way you verbalize and think of this, is by eliminating the insignificant digits - thus:\n\n <img src=\"https://seraphismith.files.wordpress.com/2018/08/satochi-converter-to-bitcoin.png\" alt=\"satochi-converter-to-bitcoin\" width=\"544\" height=\"402\" align=\"middle\"/>\n\nUltimately, it is the standard unit of measurement within the crypto market, and as such, should be learned intimately by anyone who is serious about crypto trading and predicting, especially when BTC is the gateway coin between fiat money and all other cryptocurrencies.\n<h2 id=\"glossary-of-terms\">Glossary of Terms</h2>\n\n<hr />\n\n<h3 id=\"bullbear\">Bull/Bear</h3>\n\nTerms in general use since far before the era of crypto trading. I think it’s worth putting the clearest definition, numbers 2 - 4 from the <a href=\"http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998\">Dow Theory of Technical Analysis:</a>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n\t<li>The ‘market’ meaning the price of shares in general, swings in trends which may be major or primary, secondary and minor. The primary trends are the extensive up or down movements which generally last by 20% or more. Movements in the direction of the primary trend are interrupted at intervals by secondary swings, in the opposite direction. Finally, the secondary trends are composed of minor trends or day-to-day fluctuations which are unimportant.</li>\n\t<li>So long as each successive rally or price advance reaches a higher level than the one before it, and each secondary reaction, or price decline, stops at a higher level than the previous one, the primary trend is up. This is called a ‘bull market’.</li>\n\t<li>When each intermediate decline carries prices to successively lower levels and each intervening rally fails to bring them back up to top level of the preceding rally, the primary trend is down and that is called ‘bear market’.</li>\n</ol>\n<h3 id=\"market-sentiment\">Market Sentiment</h3>\n\n“Market sentiment is the overall attitude of investors toward a particular security or financial market. Market sentiment is the feeling or tone of a market, or its crowd psychology, as revealed through the activity and price movement of the securities traded in that market. In broadest terms, rising prices would indicate bullish market sentiment, while falling prices would indicate bearish market sentiment.”\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp\">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp</a></li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"retracement\">Retracement</h3>\n\n“A retracement is a temporary reversal in the direction of a stock’s price that goes against the prevailing trend. For example, a retracement in an uptrend is a brief period of selling before the uptrend continues, also known as a dip.”\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp\">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp</a></li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp\">https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp</a></li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"supportresistance\">Support/Resistance</h3>\n\n“Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining further. The logic dictates that as the price declines towards support and gets cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy and sellers become less inclined to sell. By the time the price reaches the support level, it is believed that demand will overcome supply and prevent the price from falling below support.\n\nSupport does not always hold and a break below support signals that the bears have won out over the bulls. A decline below support indicates a new willingness to sell and/or a lack of incentive to buy. Support breaks and new lows signal that sellers have reduced their expectations and are willing sell at even lower prices. In addition, buyers could not be coerced into buying until prices declined below support or below the previous low. Once support is broken, another support level will have to be established at a lower level.\n\nResistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. The logic dictates that as the price advances towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers become less inclined to buy. By the time the price reaches the resistance level, it is believed that supply will overcome demand and prevent the price from rising above resistance.\n\nResistance does not always hold and a break above resistance signals that the bulls have won out over the bears. A break above resistance shows a new willingness to buy and/or a lack of incentive to sell. Resistance breaks and new highs indicate buyers have increased their expectations and are willing to buy at even higher prices. In addition, sellers could not be coerced into selling until prices rose above resistance or above the previous high. Once resistance is broken, another resistance level will have to be established at a higher level.”\n<ul>\n\t<li>Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Vol 10, Macgee and Edwards</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/\">https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/</a></li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"trends-identifying\">Trends (identifying)</h3>\n“The trend is the general direction of a market or of the price of a security. In technical analysis, trends are identified by trendlines that connect a series of highs or lows. Most traders trade in the same direction as a trend, while contrarians seek to identify reversals. Trends can also apply to interest rates, bond yields, and other markets where they’re characterized by a long-term movement in price or volume.”\n\n\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp</a></li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"candlestick-chart\">Candlestick Chart</h3>\n“Just like a bar chart, a daily candlestick shows the market’s open, high, low and close price for the day. The candlestick has a wide part, which is called the “real body.” This real body represents the price range between the open and close of that day’s trading. When the real body is filled in or black, it means the close was lower than the open. If the real body is empty, it means the close was higher than the open.”\n\n\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/\">https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/</a></li>\n</ul>\nThese are the standard charts you see an all forex and crypto exchanges. They are preferred by traders and predictors to the standard line chart because they convey more information. Of particular note is the time period. You will note in the top left corner of the tradingview display, there is a box that says 1D (typically). You will find this same box on binance and most crypto excahgne windows. If you click it, you can change the period. 1D means one day. You can change it to 1 hour, 4 hours, 1 week. The important thing to remember is that whatever you set it to, each candle represents one of those periods.\n<h3 id=\"technical-analysis\">Technical Analysis</h3>\n“Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate securities and identify trading opportunities by analyzing statistics gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysts, who attempt to evaluate a security’s intrinsic value, technical analysts focus on charts of price movement and various analytical tools to evaluate a security’s strength or weakness.”\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp\">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp</a></li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"black-swan-event\">Black Swan Event</h3>\n“The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were discovered in the wild.”\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory\">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory</a></li>\n</ul>\n \n<h3 id=\"machine-learning\">Machine Learning</h3>\n“Machine learning is a field of computer science that uses statistical techniques to give computer systems the ability to “learn” (e.g., progressively improve performance on a specific task) with data, without being explicitly programmed.”\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning\">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning</a></li>\n</ul>\n \n<h3 id=\"predictive-analytics\">Predictive Analytics</h3>\n“Predictive analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from data mining, predictive modelling, and machine learning, that analyze current and historical facts to make predictions about future or otherwise unknown events”\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics\">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics</a></li>\n</ul>\n \n\n<hr />\n\n</div>\n<div class=\"stackedit__html\">\n<h2 id=\"books\">Books</h2>\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.amazon.com/Technical-Analysis-Stock-Trends-Tenth/dp/113803200X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1534890600&sr=8-1&keywords=technical+analysis+10th+edition\">Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Tenth Edition Magee and Edwards</a></li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.amazon.com/Elliott-Wave-Principle-Market-Behavior/dp/1616040815/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1534891739&sr=8-3&keywords=elliot+wave+theory\">Elliott Wave Principle: A Key to Market Behavior</a></li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://tahlilbazarboorsvaarz.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/THE-CANDLESTICK-TRADING-BIBLE.pdf\">Candlestick Trading Bible</a></li>\n</ul>\n<h2 id=\"tools\">Tools</h2>\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://athda.com\">https://athda.com</a> - All time high data</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.coinmarketcap.com\">https://www.coinmarketcap.com/</a> - your new bible</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.tensorcharts.com/\">https://www.tensorcharts.com/</a> - excellent charting w/heat map functions</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://coinfarm.online/index.asp\">https://coinfarm.online/index.asp</a> - lot of useful information, including long/short option statistics on bitmex</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/\">https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/</a> - slightly off topic, useful for leveraged trading</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"http://www.coindominancecharts.com/\">http://www.coindominancecharts.com/</a> - useful for rank questions</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#\">http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#</a> - Various order books</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance\">https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance</a> - Volume indicator for binance, leave it open for a second and data will start to accumulate</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.tradingview.com\">https://www.tradingview.com</a> - get a membership</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.cryptopanic.com\">https://www.cryptopanic.com</a> - best sentiment / news aggregator</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://t.me/cindicator_chat\">https://t.me/cindicator_chat</a> - Cindicator Telegram link</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://t.me/cryptiverse\">https://t.me/cryptiverse</a> - Cryptiverse Chat Channel link</li>\n</ul>\n<h2 id=\"reading\">Reading</h2>\n<ul>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/\">https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/</a> - lots of good commentary, mostly on standard markets but even handed and insightful</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.binance.vision/\">https://www.binance.vision/</a> - binance educational page</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school\">https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school</a> - lots of information on charts, terms etc.</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg\">https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg</a> - traders library chat channel</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/\">https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/</a> - tradingview explains indicators</li>\n\t<li><a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp\">https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp</a> - another indicator explanation page</li>\n</ul>\n<h2 id=\"please-remember-to-like-and-share-follow-me-on-twitter-mithseraphi-or-on-steemit-httpssteemit.comseraphismith\">Please remember to like and share! Follow me on twitter @mithseraphi or on steemit: <a href=\"https://steemit.com/@seraphismith\">https://steemit.com/@seraphismith</a> Please send any suggestions to one of these accounts!</h2>\n<h2> Be on lookout for upcoming articles from Cindicator community members on utilizing indicators in trading! Come talk predictions on Cindicator Telegram: https://t.me/cindicator_chat<br> PART 2 COMING SOON!</h2>\n\n <img class=\" aligncenter\" src=\"https://i.imgur.com/iPe2eiS.jpg\" alt=\"enter image description here\" width=\"396\" height=\"396\" />\n\n</div>",
"json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"crypto\",\"prediction\",\"machine-learning\",\"bitcoin\",\"cindicator\"],\"users\":[\"mithseraphi\"],\"image\":[\"https://i.imgur.com/krNuXgF.png\",\"https://seraphismith.files.wordpress.com/2018/08/icx1.png\",\"https://i.imgur.com/ljIqHtY.jpg\",\"https://i.imgur.com/4pb0ZnH.png\",\"https://i.imgur.com/GBjYt5g.png\",\"https://i.imgur.com/BHTwbe6.png\",\"https://seraphismith.files.wordpress.com/2018/08/satochi-converter-to-bitcoin.png\",\"https://i.imgur.com/iPe2eiS.jpg\"],\"links\":[\"https://cindicator.com\",\"http://app.cindicator.com\",\"https://cindicatorhelp.freshdesk.com/en/support/solutions/articles/35000049919-what-are-the-echelons-\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trend.asp\",\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learning\",\"https://medium.com/cindicator/cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data-c7c8c782326\",\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics\",\"http://www.businessmanagementideas.com/markets/technical-analysis/dow-theory-of-technical-analysis-markets-portfolio-management/16998\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/support-and-resistance-basics/\",\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp\",\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/1514eeac-310a-4edf-92a3-4b46d77b4c3c\",\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/3d6fadce-7723-42cd-8166-a16ca1b10dc7\",\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/284d84f7-57d8-488f-a141-609ed484ce35\",\"https://app.cindicator.com/events/a60f93c4-0baa-40fe-8ad2-324f8aac86be\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/retracement.asp\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/trading/candlestick-charting-what-is-it/\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/technicalanalysis.asp\",\"https://www.amazon.com/Technical-Analysis-Stock-Trends-Tenth/dp/113803200X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1534890600&sr=8-1&keywords=technical+analysis+10th+edition\",\"https://www.amazon.com/Elliott-Wave-Principle-Market-Behavior/dp/1616040815/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1534891739&sr=8-3&keywords=elliot+wave+theory\",\"https://tahlilbazarboorsvaarz.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/THE-CANDLESTICK-TRADING-BIBLE.pdf\",\"https://athda.com\",\"https://www.coinmarketcap.com\",\"https://www.tensorcharts.com/\",\"https://coinfarm.online/index.asp\",\"https://blockchainwhispers.com/bitmex-position-calculator/\",\"http://www.coindominancecharts.com/\",\"http://data.bitcoinity.org/markets/books/USD#\",\"https://agile-cliffs-23967.herokuapp.com/binance\",\"https://www.tradingview.com\",\"https://www.cryptopanic.com\",\"https://t.me/cindicator_chat\",\"https://t.me/cryptiverse\",\"https://www.hussmanfunds.com/content/comment/\",\"https://www.binance.vision/\",\"https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school\",\"https://telegram.me/joinchat/AAppPT3cOnM48-Kqbm7FGg\",\"https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/indicator/\",\"https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/041814/four-most-commonlyused-indicators-trend-trading.asp\",\"https://steemit.com/@seraphismith\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\",\"format\":\"markdown\"}"
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}steemdelegated 6.100 SP to @seraphismith2018/07/26 05:09:39
steemdelegated 6.100 SP to @seraphismith
2018/07/26 05:09:39
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}jbobosupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/05/23 13:34:15
jbobosupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/05/23 13:34:15
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}cryptofaucetsupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/05/21 01:20:33
cryptofaucetsupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/05/21 01:20:33
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seraphismithreceived 0.018 SBD, 0.008 SP author reward for @seraphismith / re-bp9930-re-seraphismith-cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data-20180421t024121110z
2018/04/28 02:41:21
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seraphismithreceived 0.021 SBD, 0.009 SP author reward for @seraphismith / re-fidolaestanteco-re-seraphismith-cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data-20180420t200258972z
2018/04/27 20:03:00
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seraphismithreceived 0.055 SBD, 0.020 SP author reward for @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/04/27 08:55:54
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}seraphismithcustom json: follow2018/04/26 03:48:03
seraphismithcustom json: follow
2018/04/26 03:48:03
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2018/04/26 03:47:24
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}rkreddyupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/04/24 10:32:30
rkreddyupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/04/24 10:32:30
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}2018/04/23 17:27:12
2018/04/23 17:27:12
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}paxsuupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/04/22 14:25:15
paxsuupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/04/22 14:25:15
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| permlink | cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data |
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}godzilla.roaderupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/04/22 07:28:51
godzilla.roaderupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/04/22 07:28:51
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| permlink | cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data |
| weight | 10000 (100.00%) |
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}raise-me-upsent 0.001 STEEM to @seraphismith- "✔ Promote your post with over 18.500+ followers for only 1 SBD or 1.5 STEEM. Invest in your account to succeed! Find new friends/voters who will vote your posts daily. Put post's url in memo and @rais..."2018/04/22 07:14:24
raise-me-upsent 0.001 STEEM to @seraphismith- "✔ Promote your post with over 18.500+ followers for only 1 SBD or 1.5 STEEM. Invest in your account to succeed! Find new friends/voters who will vote your posts daily. Put post's url in memo and @rais..."
2018/04/22 07:14:24
| from | raise-me-up |
| to | seraphismith |
| amount | 0.001 STEEM |
| memo | ✔ Promote your post with over 18.500+ followers for only 1 SBD or 1.5 STEEM. Invest in your account to succeed! Find new friends/voters who will vote your posts daily. Put post's url in memo and @raise-me-up will resteem your post. ✔ min 10 voters. |
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}seraphismithsent 2.000 SBD to @null- "@seraphismith/cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data"2018/04/21 20:11:09
seraphismithsent 2.000 SBD to @null- "@seraphismith/cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data"
2018/04/21 20:11:09
| from | seraphismith |
| to | null |
| amount | 2.000 SBD |
| memo | @seraphismith/cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data |
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View Raw JSON Data
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}blocktradessent 4.068 SBD to @seraphismith2018/04/21 19:44:36
blocktradessent 4.068 SBD to @seraphismith
2018/04/21 19:44:36
| from | blocktrades |
| to | seraphismith |
| amount | 4.068 SBD |
| memo | |
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}rita-colemanupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/04/21 18:33:27
rita-colemanupvoted (100.00%) @seraphismith / cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/04/21 18:33:27
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}seraphismithpublished a new post: cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data2018/04/21 07:42:00
seraphismithpublished a new post: cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data
2018/04/21 07:42:00
| parent author | |
| parent permlink | cindicator |
| author | seraphismith |
| permlink | cindicator-and-the-holy-grail-of-big-data |
| title | Cindicator and the Holy Grail of Big Data |
| body | @@ -631,16 +631,11 @@ eft -grievous +bad ly i |
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| Transaction Info | Block #21755535/Trx 070848fbcb995fc246e8248ac790b966ea09e559 |
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"body": "@@ -631,16 +631,11 @@\n eft \n-grievous\n+bad\n ly i\n",
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}seraphismithupvoted (100.00%) @bp9930 / catching-crypto-s-with-nets-and-harpoons2018/04/21 06:28:00
seraphismithupvoted (100.00%) @bp9930 / catching-crypto-s-with-nets-and-harpoons
2018/04/21 06:28:00
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0 / 30
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