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      "permlink": "steemitboard-notify-whiteman-20190829t031315000z",
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      "body": "Congratulations @whiteman! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@whiteman/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@whiteman) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=whiteman)_</sub>\n\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "body": "Congratulations @whiteman! You have received a personal award!\n\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@whiteman/birthday1.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@whiteman)  1 Year on Steemit\n<sub>_Click on the badge to view your Board of Honor._</sub>\n\n\n> Do you like [SteemitBoard's project](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)? Then **[Vote for its witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1)** and **get one more award**!",
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      "body": "谢谢大V指导~",
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      "body": "群里有小伙伴一直喊EOS小阶段达到200元没问题，但他在EOS韩国见面会那天开始分批卖EOS，长期看多，短期看空，其实并不矛盾的。",
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      "author": "angelina6688",
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      "title": "",
      "body": ">卖掉后涨得更厉害，上涨以后我又想追回来，来回折腾\n\n这句话不管是投资什么、虚拟币、股票、基金国债，统统适用。\n一般最后赚的最多的，好像都是长线操作者。\n旋仔加油！看好你！",
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      "body": "**Coins mentioned in post:**\n\nCoin | | Price (USD) | 📉 24h | 📉 7d\n- | - | - | - | -\n**BTC** | Bitcoin | 9990.520$ | _-5.49%_ | _-5.86%_\n**EOS** | EOS | 6.550$ | _-5.58%_ | _-22.57%_\n**ETH** | Ethereum | 760.750$ | _-3.16%_ | _-12.23%_\n**GXS** | GXChain | 3.250$ | _-5.83%_ | _-20.65%_\n**NEO** | NEO | 98.902$ | _-7.42%_ | _-23.31%_",
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      "body": "@whiteman, 来来，老司机教你怎么赚10个比特币：你先转给我0.1个我就告诉你...",
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      "author": "whiteman",
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      "title": "币市近期操作及复盘",
      "body": "现在回过头来看，从十二月份到现在，我在币圈的操作全部是错误的。一月中旬市场开始进入熊市，我的资产曾逆市达到过新台阶，可惜操作的失误，导致后边一直非常被动。我今天详细清理了各个账户，总结操作情况，并反思错误。\n\n#### 策略连锁反应\n\n十二月中下旬，场外交易平台OTCBTC发布众筹消息，并对参与众筹的人员做了限定——大筹码只允许“千一”会员认购。我在群里小伙伴的帮助下，投了5个ETH，“9.4”事件以后，我对众筹一直非常谨慎，尽管当时群里很多小伙伴都在梭哈（好多人投50个ETH以上）。十二月下旬，OTCBTC创始人Xdite与李笑来在网络上因为股权事情开撕，撕逼来回三次，前两次我都岿然不动，第三次，我听了笑来公布的录音，选择了退币（而且是全部退）。一月中上旬，OTCBTC的代币OTB上交易所，几天就到了10倍，并且稳定在大几倍收益左右。我看懵了，后悔不已，当初要是不退币，唉，哪有当初呢。机会从身边溜走，我再次意识到了众筹的威力。\n\n既然众筹收益很高，我立即调整策略，准备参与众筹。我花1个ETH（当时场外价格快1万元）进了一个VIP群，因为看到那个群里有众筹Red的消息。Red是什么呢，red是一种编程语言，团队已经运作了6年，白皮书是英文的，坦白讲，我没大看懂。在朋友圈里看到一位大佬发的小密圈截图——Red项目的代投费被炒到了20%，而且额度有限。冲着火爆程度，几分钟的考虑过后，我就投了15个以太。当时的想法是，既然众筹收益这么高，为什么不多投一点，不用再投入人民币，把收益都拿出来参与众筹好了。\n\n接着，一月中下旬，我又众筹投了Ruff（一个物联网公链），8%的代投费，我投了10个ETH。一月底，Ruff上交易所，在gate上开盘三倍多，随后被炒到5倍多，那天武汉下大雪，Ruff交流群非常火爆，好多人看到10倍、甚至更高。我咨询了两位仓位比较重的老韭菜，其中一位Men哥说他会长期持有，另一位Chairs哥说他开盘冲高就会分批卖，卖掉大部分、只留一点底仓。我选择了不动，那几天Ruff爆出来的好消息太多了，我期待涨得更高。那天，我的币圈资产上了一个新台阶，记得刚好有朋友回武汉约吃饭，我非常高兴，忍着没聊币圈的事，但是对他们聊的话题没那么有兴趣，我的心思还是在币圈（膨胀）。从那天下午Ruff上火币网，Ruff开始大跌，再接着又遇到2月4号全线币价大跌，Ruff一跌再跌，虽然也有一倍多的收益，但是我觉得很被动，基本面也没变啊，继续任性，不卖。后边想着要调整下仓位分布，还是卖了一部分Ruff换了其他的币。\n\nRuff上交易所冲高以后，我对众筹更有兴趣了。我在coinmarketcap上找到各个币种的走势及众筹价格，发现众筹价格在大概率上是最低的，就算刚开始破发一点点，后期也非常容易上扬。Ruff这一波后，我找Chairs哥聊天，他说死拿不是好的策略，很多大佬都是在众筹代币上交易所冲高后卖出，换成ETH再参与下一个项目的众筹，这样滚雪球让手上的ETH变多。我听完他的分享，恍然大悟，这些翻倍的收益可比在交易所买价格较稳定的币强多了。我更加确信，参与众筹是好的策略。\n\n2月份，我又参加了三个项目的众筹，投出去了13个以太。我把项目投完以后，再转过来看市场，众筹上交易所破发的币种有一大堆，我前期投的重仓项目Red，就处在严重破发中。市场在变化，大佬们以前用的策略，现在不管用了。对于破发币，我能做什么呢，我只能和大户一起被动的等待。\n\n#### 错误\n\n过于贪婪，缺乏对周期的思考。在十一月、十二月份的大牛市中，我做好多次短线，疯狂的上涨引起了我的警惕，我卖过几次币，而结果是，我被打脸了，卖掉后涨得更厉害，上涨以后我又想追回来，来回折腾，我的币量变少了。后期得到高人们的指点，大家都说长期持有才会有高收益，于是十二月份下旬，我基本上没有做交易，都囤着。十二份大牛市，大家都在看多，我也沉浸在高收益之中，而且想着更高收益，对市场少了警惕。回过头来想，当初的看多是多么幼稚啊，怎么会有一种东西只涨不跌呢？牛市应该赚人民币啊。\n\n一直追踪过几种币，现在才对币圈的时机有了一点点理解。GXS、EOS都是在开会前期大涨，各种利好的新闻稿，开会当天价格达到最高，然后就又迅速下跌。我曾经在GXS开会前一天买过币，忍了那么久，终于买在了最高点。\n\n熊市中什么最抗跌，牛市中什么涨得最快，山寨币和主流币之间的轮动有啥规律没？2月5日晚上，我在大跌中调整了仓位，没有把山寨币换成BTC、ETH，反而是做了反向操作。从目前的情况来看，我的操作大错特错，熊市中最保值的要数BTC、ETH了。熊市中BTC跌，全线跌，BTC反弹，山寨币继续跌。\n\n从“9.4”到现在，这一轮的节奏是这样的，全线下跌，BTC、ETH先上扬，BTC继续上扬ETH横盘（因为众筹需求少），山寨币小幅上涨，ETH小幅上涨，BTC大涨连连创新高，山寨大涨，BTC下跌，ETH大涨，山寨币继续大涨，ETH大涨特涨（众筹需要），BTC大跌，ETH稳了半天，接着大跌，全线大跌，一直跌。再反弹上涨，山寨币远逊于BTC、ETH。\n\n别人以前用成功的策略，现在我来用，错乱失效。去年的大牛市，很多人都通过众筹赚得盆满钵满，我还在担心政策的风险。当我得知众筹滚雪球策略收益高，想效仿的时候，众筹红利已经消失，众筹项目不管多厉害都连连破发，众筹滚雪球的策略反而给我带来了亏损。\n\n#### 反思\n\n对币圈行情的周期要有一个判断。牛市不可能一直牛，熊市也不可能一直萎靡不振。我要做的事是，重仓买入低估的标的，等待高估、风险变大时卖出，再寻找另外的标的或者空仓离场。这个过程中，对市场周期的判断非常重要，在高点不要贪婪，低点不要恐惧。对周期的判断，我还没有找到方法，要多加强学习，这种能力在其他方面也受用。\n\n众筹币种上交易所冲高以后一定要出货。Ruff冲高后没有卖掉，非常难受。情绪平息下来后我做了一个统计，明星币种在冲高以后，相对ETH的走势情况，发现大部分币种都难以跑赢ETH，除非后期运营得非常好的币种，如NEO、BNB等。如果在众筹代币冲高上交易所卖掉换成ETH ，以后再什么时候换成代币，都不算晚。\n\n对币种的收益要有预期，购买之前就应该设定好阶段目标价，达到目标价之后，要果断卖出，后面涨到再高，都与我无关了。养成好习惯，卖出一定是在上升阶段，买入一定是在下跌过程中，不求买到最低、卖到最高，只求买卖到中间的位置。买卖都可以分仓处理，别想着每次都买卖在精准位置。\n\n养成独立思考的习惯。这两个月，随着市场的波动和加入群聊个数变多，我也变得比较浮躁，每天关注大量群聊消息，只是在接收，很少思考着去辨认真假及背后的逻辑。群里有小伙伴一直喊EOS小阶段达到200元没问题，但他在EOS韩国见面会那天开始分批卖EOS，长期看多，短期看空，其实并不矛盾的。\n\n现在是熊市，下降阶段，我在牛市没有卖币，手上没有现金储备，非常被动，于是什么操作都不用做，耐心等待、专心学习基础知识即可。拥抱错误，加强反思，为币圈的下一个春天做好准备。",
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