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      "body": "Do you remember when in 2015, people still thought that bitcoins were worthless?<br>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOwlfJd2r-g<br>Even with the current developments, I think we're only seeing the beginning. What an exciting time to be alive and have front seats at the show!",
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      "body": "![FlamingMoes.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSN4N28W7DkkHUnAK9ZiK7YFq1wyiNZqqfxKYH8LupUuC/FlamingMoes.jpg)\n\nFlaming Moe's is the tenth episode of The Simpsons third season.  It first aired on the Fox network in the United States on November 21, 1991. In the episode, Homer tells Moe Szyslak of a secret alcoholic cocktail that includes cough medicine and fire that he calls the \"Flaming Homer\". Moe steals the recipe from Homer, renames the drink the \"Flaming Moe\" and begins selling it at his tavern. The drink is a success and boosts business and patronage, but Homer is angry at Moe for his betrayal, and seeks revenge.\n\n![2-customer.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQWaW9EFvFMPV3tNa26JM7Fzqw2BHovQB8qUNTov1CY2k/2-customer.png)\n\nMoe tries making Homer's drink, and gives it to a customer, who loves it. When the customer asks what the drink is called, Homer starts to respond, but Moe butts in and calls it a \"Flaming Moe\". Word of mouth spreads, and Moe sees his business boom because of the drink. To help out with the extra customers, he hires a waitress named Colette. Moe's Tavern, renamed \"Flaming Moe's\", soon becomes one of the trendiest nightspots in Springfield and Aerosmith's new hangout. Homer becomes angry with Moe and vows never to return to the tavern. He subsequently becomes obsessed with Moe and his betrayal, even having a hallucination where he sees Moe's face everywhere.\n\n![flaming moes aerosmith.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWJtKEuzmPe3QRFSL7Xu1af7dwM2sP8sd52VLpdVQS1AQ/flaming%20moes%20aerosmith.jpg)\n\nA large restaurant chain – Tipsy McStagger's Goodtime Eating and Drinking Emporium which is a brand conglomerate becomes interested in purchasing the recipe for the drink, of which they have managed to identify all but the secret ingredient (cough syrup). A Tipsy McStagger representative offers Moe $1,000,000, but he refuses. Colette quickly discovers that Moe stole the recipe from Homer and not only makes him promise to sell the drink, but also apologize to Homer and give half of the money to him in compensation. Later, as Moe is about to accept the deal— and share half of the money with Homer— Homer, unhinged by resentment, arrives at the tavern. He gets his revenge on Moe by revealing to everyone in the bar that the secret ingredient is \"nothing but plain, ordinary, over-the-counter children's cough syrup!\" The representative quickly retracts the offer and leaves.\n\n![tipsy.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNSEYc2izGTiHEFgbuUC6NqFHRHho4FsADKCjgUgCkcf6/tipsy.png)\n\nWithin one week, nearly all restaurants in Springfield are serving \"Flaming Moes\", and Moe's business has gone back to the way it was before. Homer stops in, and he and Moe reconcile. Moe gives Homer a \"Flaming Homer\" free of charge.\n\nI grew up watching The Simpsons and i'm a very big fan.  As I grew into an adult of course I really began to see the genius of the writers and as a man of 38 I can of course now see very clearly the writers of the Simpsons had really been around.  They had vast amounts of life experience to draw upon which is reflected in the brilliance of the series – particularly the older episodes.  Especially episodes like Flaming Moes which is one of my favourites.\n\nFlaming Moes is rich in lessons particularly on how people behave when they see dollar signs and especially the opportunity of making large amounts of money.  We watch on as Moe's working class tavern starts attracting a more artistic, middle and upper class clientele due to Homers innovative drink.  We see one guy walk by wearing sunglasses at night, we see Moes traditional base of working class slobs quickly replaced with the middle and upper classes.  We see Barney dressing up and hanging out with a new class of friends which irritates Homer.  We see celebrities arrive at the bar and we see Homer sidelined as his status within the new environment sinks to a low level.\n\n![SunglassesAtNight.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQYujS4PcS1Nw71rXiJMW6XtDPjRCC3uAFHGfrRfrPJBL/SunglassesAtNight.jpg)\n\nFast forward 26 years (yes – it really has been that long since 1991).  Let's think about the current day goings on in the cryptocurrency market.\n\nWhat do we see happening?\n\nAlmost all the same shit my friends but there are very important differences that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general have over the Flaming Moe.  The Flaming Moe was a drink.  In large part just like Coca-Cola it's success was dependent upon the recipe being kept a closely guarded secret.  Homer Simpson of all people was the central, trusted authority (dictionary photo).  Having told Moe the secret to the drink Moe too was privy to the secret recipe and both parties made up the central, trusted authority.  If Homer and Moe were able to keep the drinks secret recipe a closely guarded secret, hence keeping competitors at bay – their success would have continued much longer and they would have been able to continue making a lot of money but Homer of course blew it which we the viewers expected he probably would.\n\n![homer dictionary.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcYm5APccsayNB2VgjHQhpmmsbo9GMPfWdQNaWUtLkHkC/homer%20dictionary.jpg)\n\nBitcoin's source code is open source.  The secret recipe is out there for all the world to see and what do we of course see happening in the cryptocurrency marketplace?  A proliferation of cryptocurrencies – in the same manner that once the secret to The Flaming Moe was out – many competitors arrived which meant lower prices for consumers (a good thing of course) and much less profit for Moe who was milking his first mover advantage and making monopoly profits off of Homers drink.\n\n![cryptocurrency-coin-explosion2.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmW1A5wbuzCXXehLtwL7YARq12ueYkdGXUh3Wt8jVnjGSt/cryptocurrency-coin-explosion2.jpg)\n\nIn the world today there are 180 inflationary currencies recognized by the United Nations.  Each of these currencies are of course managed by a trusted authority – a central bank.  We see the same system essentially in every country except Cuba, North Korea and Iran.  Fascinating that the global powers that be have a problem with these countries but I digress.  The central bank issued currencies have no intrinsic value as they're made of paper, are backed by nothing, are legal tender as decreed by the government of each respective nation and can be inflated away if and when required by the central banks and governments of the world for whatever agenda they see as appropriate.  We the people of course have to work hard for this paper currency even as we see it inflated away with our buying power forever going down as prices everywhere keep going up.  \n\n![currency.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQ825eWPW7fWZNTLiBYBqeHentXLHxBeWHxbJ5uJGsuxj/currency.jpg)\n\nLet's close our eyes and imagine that these inflationary currencies, the central banks that issue them and the governments of the world which enforce them as legal tender are essentially much smarter and well connected versions of Moe and Homer colluding with one another to keep control of the people and therefore make and keep as much money to themselves as they can by keeping monopolistic control of their product by making sure nobody else has the ability to issue their own private currencies (ie - their own Flaming Moe's).\n\n![Moe-Homer.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUZpx6rj9zrhoxe1jE46tpcdkw2Rju6kRtPuSAtEpthUN/Moe-Homer.jpg)\n\nThe situation that we have going on at this moment of time in 2017 - in the dawn of the proliferation of cryptocurrencies is the Flaming Moe's secret recipe is out for all the world to see and use.  Anyone can go ahead and create their own cryptocurrency and build a community around it.  Just think about how powerful that ability is.  The central banks and governments of the world depend to a very large extent upon their ability to keep monopolistic control of the currency.  They're the only ones who throughout much of human history who have been able to issue legal tender.  Others have tried of course and in many cases have ended up in trouble with the law. \n\n![Bernard_w_Gold_oz.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWt3ExA3rJNncmz4gFisaV6sRHWt2C3oouUFQmE85mPKR/Bernard_w_Gold_oz.jpg)\n\nOnce the banks and governments lose that control (and they have – that occurred when Bitcoin was given to the world in 2009 by Satoshi Nakomoto who was smart to remain anonymous), and people start using privately issued free market currency like Bitcoin in large numbers, the central banks and governments of the world start to lose their ability to control the people.  Privately issued currency is enemy number 1 to these two very powerful groups.  \n\n![centralbankerbuybitcoin.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmahCArqhWEC2Q4BH1PDhnQdTU9NeCbwbEKGHiMN4y2Fbk/centralbankerbuybitcoin.jpg)\n\n![three_steps-from_private_central_bank_to_world_war.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVAMTzpQk4yC7tq6GwfvifSWJca66wasvJbsuiJkPBSoe/three_steps-from_private_central_bank_to_world_war.jpg)\n\nIf the government doesn't have monopolistic control over the issuance of currency how will they ever enforce taxation?  How will they finance wars?  How will they continue to spy on their own citizens?   If they can't inflate the currency at will how will they ever get the people – the citizens they claim to serve to agree to finance and go to war?  Do not underestimate just how vital it is for the government to have monopoly control over the issuance of currency – ie the money printing press.\n\n![NSA Prism Tech Companies.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbdwXRkRjUgrXy9vde6QQvFSPBSkCdYneNb4oquq1j8M2/NSA%20Prism%20Tech%20Companies.png)\n\n![monopoly-money-fed-obama-bernanke-biden-printing.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQxZbdvA1BXUJC5jfBMmMdBwKsXa91QQDjaBqbCtzU6av/monopoly-money-fed-obama-bernanke-biden-printing.jpg)\n\nThe future economy will be digital and decentralized and this will bring power back to the people – where it belongs. Bitcoin is a worldwide-distributed decentralized peer-to-peer system.  The Blockchain technology – the underlying technology that powers Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is without a doubt one of the most important innovations the world has seen in it's history and we my friends are here to bare witness to it.  What an incredible time to be alive!  \n\n![Buy Cryptocurrencies2.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSHQBdUEX1Lbtm13LRpH3hTr5YMtWTbn14eoQCS5qVMDE/Buy%20Cryptocurrencies2.jpg)\n\nBitcoin is backed by mathematics, open source code, cryptography and the most powerful and secure decentralized computational network on the planet which is orders of magnitude more powerful than google and all of the world's governments combined.  Advantage YOU.  You the people who en-mass will have the power to keep your governments in check because you will demand that your government start using public and transparent blockchains for really important things like voting and holding your elected representatives and their promises to account.\n\n![blockchain-consensus.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSANxhL5z8n84xRejPXUZZfXZidfnm1aDwr1iyRSpJsnH/blockchain-consensus.jpg)\n\nThe power the central banks and the governments of the world wield is going to be reduced significantly over time due to the blockchain technology and this is regardless of government issued cryptocurrencies which we will no doubt ultimately see and I will tell you why - the people of the world are not being given the choice by their government or central bank about whether to choose a free market cryptocurrency vs the governments authorised and central bank issued cryptocurrency.  No – the people of the world get to choose for themselves which cryptocurrency they want to use.  That's incredibly powerful.  That's a very beautiful, a very powerful and wonderful choice.  I'll say it again - the people of the world get to choose for themselves which cryptocurrency they want to use.  \n\n![19-no-middleman.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRppsT2hTpmQEbTZpw2bRjjzBmmY979aeR3GWCigVGpo3/19-no-middleman.jpg)\n\nDo you really think the people of the world will choose to use government decreed, government authorised and controlled cryptocurrency when they can freely choose to use Bitcoin or Bitcoin like cryptocurrency instead?  Do you really think they would choose to use a private blockchain with no transparency, where they have to give their name and other personal details to use over an open and transparent blockchain with no personal identifying information?  Many people inherently do not trust banks and governments and they have very good reasons to feel and think this way.  One need only study briefly the history of the world to see clearly that banks and governments cannot be trusted to do what's right by their people.\n\n![16-bitcoin-avoid-government.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeFRAns113QDJ8BDauTgitGbcj1Lkkknght7JNRjZBGEe/16-bitcoin-avoid-government.jpg)\n\nBitcoin is Open Source.  There's a limit of 21 million bitcoins and these are divisible into smaller units. \"Backed by Government\" money is not backed by anything and is infinitely printed at will by Central Banks. Bitcoin is limited and decentralized. You can receive and transfer money, from cents ie -  micro-payments to thousands of dollars almost for free.  It has privacy.  There is no need to expose your personal information. It's secure.  It's encrypted cryptographically and can’t be confiscated.   It's instant.  From seconds to a few minutes.  It's Open source and auditable by anybody. It's worldwide - from anywhere to anywhere on the planet.  It's peer-to-peer with no intermediaries that take a large cut.  It has a public ledger that's transparent and can be seen and checked by everybody.  It's decentralized and distributed with no single point of failure.  There are no chargebacks and that’s just as currency, Bitcoin has other uses as well as an investment – it's essentially digital gold as it's a deflationary currency and has more utility value than actual gold.\n\n![bitcoin.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWEsPLU2osyW62k4JDG1PEaQRTmRd8GfWCPrW9UVYedZb/bitcoin.jpg)\n\nWhat will government and centrally bank issued cryptocurrencies become?  They will be the Flaming Meaux.  They will be the Famous Moe's.  In other words – they will be just another competing cryprocurrency but without any of the advantages of Bitcoin.  They will be bastardized blockchains.  They will be out competed, out innovated and out foxed by the global army of crypto nerds working feverishly around the clock to develop public, open and transparent blockchains.  \n\n![35-linus.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRwGwDdVzkyn1CXvdhiC9xJYNrHeoL2q4voymntdr26dJ/35-linus.jpg)\n\nBelieve me when I say this as I know exactly how government works.  Let's just say I have very close experience within a large bureaucratic beast and I can tell you with complete confidence the government will not out innovate the private sector in blockchain and cryptocurrency technology.\n\n![Flaming_Moe's_83.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPtqoDzpyUkqC6JdjGVWLzPZFHYShjVUMKczBPpJjffBW/Flaming_Moe's_83.jpg)\n\nHomer, Moe, the central banks and governments of the world will have to live with diminished power.  The genie is out of the bottle and it's not going back in.  There is no way private cryptocurrency blockchains will win this war.  The banks and governments of the world will try to convince the people to use their cryptocurrencies instead of free market alternatives like Bitcoin but they will fail.  The people, once educated on the important differences between public vs private blockchains will never agree to use en mass the bastardized versions they put out and if they're forced to by law then you will see an even greater black – ie free market develop for Bitcoin and the price will adjust accordingly – by going way up!\n\n![34-pvp-block.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmZ62QmBqAiZWc6mLLCsm9TeWe78wn3cGHCU2zdTZFw1bC/34-pvp-block.jpg)\n\n![32-public-vs-private-blockchain.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSRZ4fyVHqNMRu3oLsZjxvoJKDXy9nPvqF2d8ZTZR2QRD/32-public-vs-private-blockchain.jpg)\n\n![33-public-blockchain.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTmVidqGfVBnp1qLm4p2zc9Um2HqGm613LPtNGRZKcamZ/33-public-blockchain.png)\n\nAll the best everyone,\n\nI'm The Pretender\n\n![72-Bitcoin-Adoption.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQ7woDSdnrZ1eZoCRFWHobuMD6AZVgckvmRQWqtKyYmDJ/72-Bitcoin-Adoption.png)\n\n![17-bitcoin-adoption.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSAqNAsb1u1mnS6rn5mMcM5Lp6WmGJDde1FDMKjZupnNC/17-bitcoin-adoption.jpg)\n\n![genie.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWb5zMXBbjrbpyR39M65AFpCtpUVPQibjytoKxYKfPJct/genie.jpg)",
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "cryptocurrency",
      "author": "thepretender",
      "permlink": "are-cryptocurrencies-in-a-bubble-in-2017-are-believers-in-a-cult",
      "title": "Are Cryptocurrencies in a Bubble in 2017?  Are believers in a cult?",
      "body": "![Buy Cryptocurrencies2.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSHQBdUEX1Lbtm13LRpH3hTr5YMtWTbn14eoQCS5qVMDE/Buy%20Cryptocurrencies2.jpg)\n\nLadies & Gentlemen,\n\nThis submission is a modified version of a one-on-one exchange I recently had with a channel subscriber and friend on Facebook.\n\nLet's talk about bubbles.\n\nEvery bubble throughout history has burst. There has been no bubbles that have not burst. Not one. The trick is to get in early and then get out before the bubble bursts and the shit hits the proverbial fan. \n\n![2-bubbles.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPdkq8Z7au6XnzWyWzJcq5QBK16fTJaaBzd5k4Pra3fAV/2-bubbles.png)\n\nSo - Are cryptos in a bubble? \n\n![4-cryptocurrency-bubble.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRxa8Enan7qhLbUGMGj9hgkRS4eHaRXQsboPURHVHsnTV/4-cryptocurrency-bubble.png)\n\nThey definitely have all the hallmarks of a speculative bubble. As Peter Schiff says - If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, quacks like a duck it's probably a duck. But only time will tell. In the meantime money will be made and lost in cryptos just as it is in other markets. \n\n![6-duck.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcPZw59JqFwHRGnV5DLB4coQdKFFoWvrCFquz3Kmu4wdt/6-duck.jpg)\n\nRobert Shiller wrote a booked called Irrational Exuberance back in 2000.  Irrational Exuberance evoked Alan Greenspan’s infamous 1996 use of that phrase to explain the alternately soaring and declining stock market. It predicted the collapse of the tech stock bubble through an analysis of the structural, cultural, and psychological factors behind levels of price growth not reflected in any other sector of the economy.\n\n![1-shiller.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTHQwfcg2DBARkhZasLees84WckZyJFCQxHGayP4d397n/1-shiller.jpg)\n\n![7-irrational.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmZZ1D4F9ujEsD1YGsN3GY86EzQiim2qMQsKRD4qwvKvYa/7-irrational.jpg)\n\nI first read Shiller’s book Irrational Exuberance in 2000 when it came out and I thought he made very good and convincing arguments. I'm actually a very big fan of his work and have read a lot of his articles over the years so when he utters bubble as he has recently done in regards to Bitcoin we should definitely listen and take note and seriously consider what actions we should take (if any).\n\nAs an example - back in 2000 it was easy to see Australian housing was starting to bubble. I was convinced of this especially after reading Shiller’s book. Why was I even reading his book? What brought me to his work? I was convinced I was seeing people act very irrationally in housing. Did it burst?  No - it went straight up and has continued to go up ever since reaching extraordinary highs. I refused to participate in that bubble and have always invested my money elsewhere – predominantly in index funds, silver, individual stocks and my defined benefit pension fund. \n\nThe reality is though 2000 was very early days for the Australian housing bubble. The market had started rising in 1997 so we were only 3 years in at that time for what turned out to be the longest running bubble in Australian housing in history - and it’s still going. \n\n![9-housingbubble.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUZyzpNPnDdnWe1xBxbn7MJd4AJrWGdCrvyjrSV4MWsk1/9-housingbubble.gif)\n\n![LFE_04.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRDAghv3xSzU2WQNKp8aHAUrfTGtzTFit1X6jjAFRVkcS/LFE_04.jpg)\n\nWhere are we today with cryptos? \n\nI say we're very, very early. The market only just started taking off in 2016 - just one year ago. Reflect on that fact. We're just one year in. ONE YEAR! \n\n![cryptocurrency-coin-explosion2.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmW1A5wbuzCXXehLtwL7YARq12ueYkdGXUh3Wt8jVnjGSt/cryptocurrency-coin-explosion2.jpg)\n\nWhat does the market penetration of bitcoin ATM's say about where we're at in terms of the diffusion of innovation model? \n\n![15-diffusion-of-innovation.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbYRuiso6uFha9M56XvtMuEhgXUeCcY5RRDHdg5hMg6MB/15-diffusion-of-innovation.jpg)\n\n![17-bitcoin-adoption.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSAqNAsb1u1mnS6rn5mMcM5Lp6WmGJDde1FDMKjZupnNC/17-bitcoin-adoption.jpg)\n\nAustralia has only sixteen Bitcoin ATM’s. Three thousand are about to be introduced. Thailand has just one bitcoin ATM. One! There are 3 million traditional ATM's in the world vs approx 1630 Bitcoin ATM's. I see a lot of potential for growth there - over 184,000% potential growth. Consider too - $126 billion for all cryptos is a tiny market cap when you consider we're talking about currencies and the fact that there is an extraordinary amount of innovation going on in the sector upon which ultimately the value of the underlying coins and the companies involved will reflect. \n\n![Bitcoin ATMs by country.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmZiekgS4Ysz3AGpKaTnnxijcPPEF4Fn5qpGoYZpqcdt2r/Bitcoin%20ATMs%20by%20country.jpg)\n\n![72-Bitcoin-Adoption.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQ7woDSdnrZ1eZoCRFWHobuMD6AZVgckvmRQWqtKyYmDJ/72-Bitcoin-Adoption.png)\n\nThink about it from this perspective - why would I go start another startup, work my arse off, make little to nothing for many years, cop flack and shit from colleagues at my day job and others, lose respect, on and on with the odds very high that I will ultimately fail and this failure will cost me a lot of wasted time, effort, lost relationships and money when I can simply buy a basket of the cryptos who's values will ultimately represent the success or otherwise of all the hardworking nerds, business people, marketers etc who are playing the startup lottery working for the startups that have issued coins via ICO's? It makes far more sense for me to NOT create another startup - just buy the cryptos and/or the companies that represent their work, then sit back and do nothing. \n\n![21-waste-of-time.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUUDxfWCUZbFnTRPY8MPVV7dkm5W1pcYUmzDHjS6TeD29/21-waste-of-time.jpg)\n\nThe cold hard reality is being an entrepreneur with few resources SUCKS. SUCKS! Instead of walking into the dragons den on ones knees asking for money - BE THE DRAGON. That’s what buying the cryptos gives us the chance to do in many ways. Let’s remember the Nasdaq hit $8 trillion at it's peak in 2000. Cryptos would have to go up almost 64 times to equal that. Is this an unreasonable market cap figure? I don’t think it is and others are saying $5 trillion+ is coming. \n\n![22-dragonsden.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdX8aeBfKcuht6XXJrzSgc8TG2oNNUv5aiRKjzByU6JiU/22-dragonsden.jpg)\n\nNow - how do people behave when they see their neighbours making \"easy money\"? \n\nI'm confident there will be a stampede into cryptos and every man and their dog in the developed world will be getting into them and talking about them in the same way they are in Australian and other bubbly housing markets. I think it’s totally reasonable to stake 3-5% of ones net worth in this market. \n\n![27-human-stampede.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYX2jsEhQgCJooa88ejXJYrLVX7e7gviB5XxpsdqfcUMn/27-human-stampede.jpg)\n\nA little history - like many others I foresaw the rise of the internet in the early 90’s. I wrote an essay on it in 1993 when I was 14 years old and I recall I got good marks for it. I should see if I can dig it up and make a video about it. I had no money at that time. My parents didn’t know what the fuck was going on but my father wisely after much begging from me bought me a Pentium 75 PC with a 28,800 baud modem. The first thing I did was bring my best mate over to see porn on the internet. My parents didn’t have brokerage accounts and didn’t own even a single share of stock and there is no way I could convince them to buy into technology stocks despite me seeing clearly and telling them what was going on, them seeing me in front of the computer for hours a day, bringing home Linux journal magazines, talking about technology companies etc. I was the first in my family to open a brokerage account and buy tech stocks when I first earned some money when I was 20 years old.\n\n![28-netscape.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbwPw6eLzUj4iLyq8xAfgmtujd3PDMkZUBaUqj1RMogQD/28-netscape.jpg)\n\nThe bottom line is I want a diversified stake in this new technology. The whole idea of applying cryptography to the storage and transmission of data is still very new. The fact that anyone can directly buy the currencies that power these cryptographically secured blockchains is much like the public actually getting a chance to invest in the internet during its infancy - without needing to go through the intermediaries like investment bankers and the like (which puts the public at a large disadvantage by the way and mostly we only get to invest in the WORST IPO's that they and their well connected friends don't want). I have bought into cryptos with a small % of my net worth and I expect based on the balance of probabilities I will probably do well out of them. If I don't then it doesn't really hurt me. If it’s a bubble then we’re still in the early 90’s. Let it bubble. Wake me up in five years time in 2022. Twenty years would be better.\n\nBut won't the big banks be winners out of this blockchain technology?\n\n![32-buggy-whip.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmZxj38nzf5VB2fR9E6aeJd9n2RkM5SAJfjZoqfbQFBtUR/32-buggy-whip.jpg) \n\nI urge each of you to study the underlying bitcoin technology and try to understand a bit about how it works from a technical perspective. The big institutions are implementing what is known as private blockchains which they centrally control which are not decentralized. That's bastardized blockchain which negates the most important advantages of it. Big institutions are acting very predictably and trying to keep as much centralized control as they can and that's bad for the general public. These guys are essentially the buggy whip manufactures and the horse carriage manufacturers during the dawn of the automobile. \n\n![32-public-vs-private-blockchain.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSRZ4fyVHqNMRu3oLsZjxvoJKDXy9nPvqF2d8ZTZR2QRD/32-public-vs-private-blockchain.jpg)\n\n![33-public-blockchain.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTmVidqGfVBnp1qLm4p2zc9Um2HqGm613LPtNGRZKcamZ/33-public-blockchain.png)\n\nAll the poindexters involved in crypto development understand that the public blockchain will kill these guys and are working feverishly around the clock to make it happen. That's why it looks cultish - the nerds understand the power of it and are going for the jugular of the big banks. It's not a good idea to bet against the nerds.  Imagine as an example betting against Linux. At the time that would have looked like a great thing to bet against.  \n\n![35-linus.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRwGwDdVzkyn1CXvdhiC9xJYNrHeoL2q4voymntdr26dJ/35-linus.jpg)\n\nWhy did Linux end up winning? \n\n![30-slackware-Linux.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmdYm27x8M53eVj8gmK8Zhy9tu45LLw6HP3uhrcJma3YaW/30-slackware-Linux.jpg)\n\nIt was open source, developed by volunteers around the world, development was decentralized and anyone could contribute to it and they did - in droves and many did so for FREE creating the best open source operating system in history - all stemming from the work of one nerd - Linus Torvalds. Where is Solaris now? Where is IBM Unix? Where is HP UNIX? These systems had large corporate development, big budgets and support and they LOST to Linux! These big corporates with well financed internal nerds LAUGHED at Linus and the nerds working with him for free.  None of them ever believed Linux would become the dominant Unix operating system. \n\nWho's laughing now? \n\nDon't be under any illusions - large financial institutions with their shitty, buttoned down corporate environment and cultures will not develop blockchain technology in house that will beat the global army of blockchain nerds from around the world working together collaberatively in many cases for free to create public, transparent blockchains.  Don't bet against the collective effort of the nerds. To put it in terms the common man can understand - why would the general public PAY MONEY for a product that's CRAP which f*cks themselves over when they use it when they can get a much better version of it FOR FREE or a version of it that MAKES THEM MONEY? \n\n![heavens gate.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXmQL79ZrpqtjtmhP44wjWiqDa5DBjso6YpGkeGjekXP2/heavens%20gate.jpg)\n\nThis isn't about faith or cults or anything like that. The nerds are going nuts and have that cultish look in their eyes because they understand that this technology will give power back to the people. The same people that HATE banks! I challenge each of you to study the underlying blockchain technology carefully and if you're not convinced come back and tell me - a lifelong skeptic and atheist why my belief that this technology will take power away from banks and governments is misguided. \n\nNow think about this - the types of people involved in almost all cults generally speaking are not the best and brightest. Who do we see involved in the crypto development space? Oh yeah - the best and brightest! This isn't the lemon detox diet or snuggy crowd.\n\n![36-buterin111.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQJNq2JjeUpxXKEFs3nbVTrM9Kyi6fwhhyJB15soAS1tG/36-buterin111.jpg)\n\n![39-lemon-detox-diet-are-you-ready-for-10-day-lemon-fast.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmfHZSHJy4VUs7MPnhxH9Mm6nfVyaXFnEBFsVCFSKAas5z/39-lemon-detox-diet-are-you-ready-for-10-day-lemon-fast.jpg)\n\nBuying cryptocurrencies now requires vision and the courage of ones convictions at a time in history when it's not exactly clear how things will ultimately turn out.  \n\nAs a thought experiment - I will take the other side of the argument and argue against cryptos and then I will give examples of highly esteemed people throughout history who have bet against emerging technologies.\n\nHere goes:\n\n\"Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will never take off. The good people of this world trust their governments and their banks to do the right thing by them. Privately issued, decentralised global currencies that cut out the government and banks? Those will NEVER work. Ha ha! Bosh! Flimshaw!\" Jarod – The Pretender Thailand.\n\n1. “There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.” — Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp. (DEC), maker of big business mainframe computers, arguing against the PC in 1977.\n\n2. “We will never make a 32 bit operating system.” — Bill Gates\n\n3. “Lee DeForest has said in many newspapers and over his signature that it would be possible to transmit the human voice across the Atlantic before many years. Based on these absurd and deliberately misleading statements, the misguided public … has been persuaded to purchase stock in his company …” — a U.S. District Attorney, prosecuting American inventor Lee DeForest for selling stock fraudulently through the mail for his Radio Telephone Company in 1913.\n\n4. “There is practically no chance communications space satellites will be used to provide better telephone, telegraph, television, or radio service inside the United States.” — T. Craven, FCC Commissioner, in 1961 (the first commercial communications satellite went into service in 1965).\n\n5. “To place a man in a multi-stage rocket and project him into the controlling gravitational field of the moon where the passengers can make scientific observations, perhaps land alive, and then return to earth – all that constitutes a wild dream worthy of Jules Verne. I am bold enough to say that such a man-made voyage will never occur regardless of all future advances.” — Lee DeForest, American radio pioneer and inventor of the vacuum tube, in 1926\n\n6. “A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth’s atmosphere.” — New York Times, 1936.\n\n7. “Flight by machines heavier than air is unpractical (sic) and insignificant, if not utterly impossible.” – Simon Newcomb; The Wright Brothers flew at Kittyhawk 18 months later.\n\n8. “Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.” — Lord Kelvin, British mathematician and physicist, president of the British Royal Society, 1895.\n\n9. “There will never be a bigger plane built.” — A Boeing engineer, after the first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that holds ten people\n\n10. “Nuclear-powered vacuum cleaners will probably be a reality in 10 years.” -– Alex Lewyt, president of vacuum cleaner company Lewyt Corp., in the New York Times in 1955.\n\n11. “This is the biggest fool thing we have ever done. The bomb will never go off, and I speak as an expert in explosives.” — Admiral William D. Leahy, Chief of Staff to the Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy during World War II, advising President Truman on the atomic bomb, 1945.[6] Leahy admitted the error five years later in his memoirs\n\n12. “The energy produced by the breaking down of the atom is a very poor kind of thing. Anyone who expects a source of power from the transformation of these atoms is talking moonshine.” — Ernest Rutherford, shortly after splitting the atom for the first time.\n\n13. “There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.” — Albert Einstein, 1932\n\n14. “The cinema is little more than a fad. It’s canned drama. What audiences really want to see is flesh and blood on the stage.” -– Charlie Chaplin, actor, producer, director, and studio founder, 1916\n\n15. “The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty – a fad.” — The president of the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford’s lawyer, Horace Rackham, not to invest in the Ford Motor Co., 1903\n\n16. “The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys.” — Sir William Preece, Chief Engineer, British Post Office, 1878.\n\n17. “This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.” — A memo at Western Union, 1878 (or 1876).\n\n18. “The world potential market for copying machines is 5000 at most.” — IBM, to the eventual founders of Xerox, saying the photocopier had no market large enough to justify production, 1959.\n\n19. “I must confess that my imagination refuses to see any sort of submarine doing anything but suffocating its crew and floundering at sea.” — HG Wells, British novelist, in 1901.\n\n20. “X-rays will prove to be a hoax.” — Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal Society, 1883.\n\n21. “The idea that cavalry will be replaced by these iron coaches is absurd. It is little short of treasonous.” — Comment of Aide-de-camp to Field Marshal Haig, at tank demonstration, 1916.\n\n22. “How, sir, would you make a ship sail against the wind and currents by lighting a bonfire under her deck? I pray you, excuse me, I have not the time to listen to such nonsense.” — Napoleon Bonaparte, when told of Robert Fulton’s steamboat, 1800s.\n\n23. “Fooling around with alternating current is just a waste of time. Nobody will use it, ever.” — Thomas Edison, American inventor, 1889 (Edison often ridiculed the arguments of competitor George Westinghouse for AC power).\n\n24. “Home Taping Is Killing Music” — A 1980s campaign by the BPI, claiming that people recording music off the radio onto cassette would destroy the music industry.\n\n25. “Television won’t last. It’s a flash in the pan.” — Mary Somerville, pioneer of radio educational broadcasts, 1948.\n\n26. “[Television] won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.” — Darryl Zanuck, movie producer, 20th Century Fox, 1946.\n\n27. “When the Paris Exhibition [of 1878] closes, electric light will close with it and no more will be heard of it.” – Oxford professor Erasmus Wilson\n\n28. “Dear Mr. President: The canal system of this country is being threatened by a new form of transportation known as ‘railroads’ … As you may well know, Mr. President, ‘railroad’ carriages are pulled at the enormous speed of 15 miles per hour by ‘engines’ which, in addition to endangering life and limb of passengers, roar and snort their way through the countryside, setting fire to crops, scaring the livestock and frightening women and children. 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