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      "body": "Congratulations @snail0718! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@snail0718/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@snail0718) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=snail0718)_</sub>\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemfest/@steemitboard/the-new-steemfest-badge-is-ready\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRUkELn2Fd13pWFkmWU2wBMMx39EBX5V3cHBEZ2d7f3Ve/image.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemfest/@steemitboard/the-new-steemfest-badge-is-ready\">The new SteemFest⁴  badge is ready</a></td></tr></table>\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "body": "兄弟啊   狗狗币不能玩大的     老猫明确说了      就是个空气币     我有五万个    是0.0014人民币一个     怎么都到一毛多了       你不说我都忘了这茬了",
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      "body": "自入币圈至今，已半年有余，回头真有恍如隔世之感——币圈一天，股市一年——所言并不是完全夸张。在这个全新的金融世界，能限制人的只有自己的想象力，市场7*24无休无眠，心脏要够坚强，神经整天高度紧绷，因为风吹草动就能让几分几厘的单价一个月涨出几千倍……\n\n以下是单价低的小币\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmagEAFQ4pYMg4U4nHa5qUyhj3rcLxb9i93mfHoQHfhV14/image.png)\n\n看仔细了，比特大帝来了（计量单位：美元）\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYzcASQYHwosYENvVfkaCvzhjvhTvFRFmzUf5fSYxdD2G/image.png)\n\n经过几次过山车，稍稍有点感觉了。但九月四日，七部委的联合绞杀令劈面而来，血流成河，顿时感觉自己像个传销分子。刚到十九大闭幕，没有政策风险的海外币市势不可当，卷土重来，当初手里那些跌倒脚面的币种，又一飞冲天……\n\n慢慢就俨然老司机的心态了，呵呵，心态和承受力已非昔日——虽然当初的煎熬有些难受。\n\n\n实操部分来了\n\n一\n\n数字币是不是营销骗局？\n\n不是，而且将成为继黄金、股市、期货后的第四大投资市场。全球金融盘量是70多万亿，币市不到半个万亿，成长空间用脚趾头都能想明白。\n\n从环境说，我朝酝酿的房产税，美国的加息和减税，大概率将合力巩固美元的中心地位。国际部分地区的震荡局势也推波助澜，使得这一国际货币价格长期看会震荡上行。\n\n二\n\n既然值得做，什么样的人可以做？\n\n有时间的程序员。能看懂代码和开发进展，懂技术发展趋势，就避免了睁眼瞎。李金马就有这种优势，所以现在建立的圈子很火。\n\n再退一步，不会编程但能持续学习必要技能也可以变现这个科技带来的红利——圈中人称艰神的一个90后，靠着毅力和勤奋，不懈搬砖对冲，10万的本钱现在已经过千万了。\n\n文科，恐龙级电脑操作水平，炒股基础是零，拖家带口，时间严重不足，这样的人必须死心吗？但想赚钱怎么办啊？\n\n哈哈，福音是：可以。我就是其中的一个。\n\n在挖矿圈、炒币群、写作群见到的大多数人也是这个状态，不少还是全职在炒，\n因为是早期——这也是认知红利的变现嘛——收益也不错，秒杀各种理财产品。\n但有个前提：提升自己逐字逐句的阅读能力（有时要看英文）。白皮书的技术看\n不懂，但完全可以从逻辑以及实现的距离、路径，看出个大概。\n\n退一步说，如果有些连翻译都不通，甚至文气不顺、有别字，说明项目本身连文\n案都没钱打磨。十一月发现了两个，后来果然跌成一团屎。他们是来割韭菜的，\n可惜当年阅读、写作没学，或者没上过像样的大学，露了馅。\n\n不要相信盲目相信大佬站台的所有产品，与自身从事的行业、技术新闻结合起\n来，逐渐学习独立判断。比如风头正猛的学链和咔咔买房，有大神级的李笑来站\n台并大力推广，各种二三级小圈主不遗余力地拉人，我根据自己的行业经验和朋\n友的调研报告，判断不靠谱，就没碰。中期看，是个坑货。\n\n如果能遵守一些基本原则（就是不知道在深刻领会前，不知道要交多少学费，反正我教了不少，心疼没用，必须的），任何人、任何资金量、任何时间和地点都可以进入并长期混迹币圈。因为，现在依然是财富向互联网迁移的早期，机会很多，而且它不是完全意义上的零和游戏，不是你兜里少的钱正好等于我兜里多的钱。\n\n最后，推荐一篇如何投资的精品——来自英语流利说的听力题，重点已在括号里加了体会，我准备反复看。\n\nWhen people talk about investing, they are always looking for the best advice. Many are willing to pay a lot for it. The problem with this, however, is that many financial advisors give the wrong advice.（有的错是水平问题，但有的错是人品问题，站台的专家挨打有些是轻了）Ultimately, **decisions must be made by the investor. **（就是说，粉丝不能老不长脑子）\nHere are some guidelines that may help investors save a lot of money.\nFirst, a key to successful investing is time itself. （对时间长度的感觉，因人而异。但也与持续的场外的赚钱能力有直接关系，现在看，场内韭菜众多）What makes many investors rich is that they have invested over a long time. This allows their investments to grow, even if they weren’t active investors. （不动比乱动赚得多得多，所以郭二宝有名言，守币比守寡难多了，呵呵）\nUnfortunately, most people don’t start saving enough until it’s too late. That lack of time limits the power of compounding.（持币不动的威力）So the best advice is to start saving as soon as possible. What about economic projections and earnings growth estimates? The truth is, nobody knows. What they really reflect are people’s feelings about the future. It’s interesting to note that someone who buys a low-cost index fund on average does better than someone who invests in an expensive fund managed by famous experts.With investing, simple and basic can earn a bigger return than complex and expensive.（简单最后都能战胜复杂，学会这个靠年龄啊，所以40以后才有可能做个合格的投资者，也不是纯扯淡。浮躁加上气盛，会驱使人走向毁灭。现在流行赚快钱，三天都嫌长，有人就趁机收割。）\nSometimes the pros don’t know what they are talking about. They just talk as if they do.（煞有介事的专家太多，关键是你有没有看穿的眼力。） What about risk and volatility? One thing for sure is that the stock market will fluctuate. Since 1900 one of the largest index funds has returned about 6% per year. Compare that to the average difference between any year’s highest close and lowest close which is 23%. When an expert tried to explain why the market is down, they are trying to explain why the sun goes up and down.（事后诸葛亮式的分析可以当乐子，但事前跳大神的所谓专业预测，如果不幸又对了，再跟风，就危险了。火爆时怎么都对，最好是随波逐流，但专家的本事之一就是能贪天之功。）\nAnd finally, beware! The financial industry is dominated by people whose only interest in your wealth is how much they can charge you. （无利不早起，币圈大拿用现实世界的钱去换未来世界的货币的鸡汤猛灌，其实他们是靠粉丝进入未来的门票钱先富起来，之后，才说这番话的。制造热点、创造氛围、增加频次，才能有他们看似很不屑的法币流进自己的腰包。至于跟不跟，要看个人对各种小道消息和群体氛围的免疫度，否则，被卖了还在帮人家数钱，还有奔赴财富自由的兴奋和满足感，简直不要太雪碧）\nUnfortunately, the louder a financial expert is, the more exposure he will get even though he’s often wrong. This is one of the most important things to know about finance. Don’t be misled by experts.（专家、专业原来是靠在人群中比嗓门确定的，说明大部分人把脑子交给别人了。现在，信息发布和搜集几乎零成本，自己有心有方向，足够了，为什么那么多人图省事呢？不明白。）\n\n\n早上送孩子去学校，凛冽的北风里，拾荒人在垃圾桶里寻觅。与此同时，币友在交易所寻觅，大鳄小鱼们在小密圈寻觅……很无语的，本质没有不同啊。万众景仰的笑来与台湾的黑客大赛女冠军开撕，波场币主与火星人踌躇着要不要吃翔，还有一哥们儿没达成目标准备带团队去香港海滩裸奔……一币一世界啊。\n\n想起了一句话：佛学，不是知识，而是一种境界相应。离这个境界太远了。什么时候能不乱于心不困于局才能有点规模。反人性的投资，就是人生的修行。现在刚明白一点，财务自由和财富自由一字之差，其实相隔千里。",
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      "permlink": "re-fundurian-mcafee-promote-1-altcoin-per-day-mcafee-20171227t074912463z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "是推荐新币吧？btc    eth    eos之类的推荐与否都不受影响啊",
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      "permlink": "re-deanliu-0-5-a-chinese-translation-for-vitalik-s-recent-twitter-20171219t000844044z",
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      "body": "Change the world as well as our wallets, and these two steps can  be one. The rich see the peak, the poor see the pockets. all are the way they are.",
      "json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"cn\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\"}"
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      "permlink": "re-fundurian-eos-rock-eos-20171203t085429063z",
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      "body": "以太不会坐以待毙的，最近动作也很频繁，交易费用、单位交易频次都在改善，而且有近期会分叉的消息传出。",
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      "author": "snail0718",
      "permlink": "re-fundurian-eos-rock-eos-20171203t085429063z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "以太不会坐以待毙的，最近动作也很频繁，交易费用、单位交易频次都在改善，而且近期会分叉的传闻。",
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      "body": "![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWuKGVFGqe9GPTpku9PWzVU6B9BeP4eGu3gCKgh4FA1hD/image.png)\n\n#### 一\n\n最近，虐童事件以及它酝酿的一连串新闻风暴，不仅揭开了巨大黑幕的一角，更使许多爹妈的舐犊之心被捅了刀子。在朋友圈转文章，发感想，为自己的孩子感到担忧和害怕……和所有事件中我们所经历的心境和过程一样。\n\n同在一城感受真切。当年给孩子选的也是这一类幼儿园（一年10万内的勉强属于中档）。幸运的是，那里的老师真心喜欢孩子。但更多去了别的园的孩子就没这个运气。在知道的范围内统计，被针扎、被打的比例，可以用“普遍”二字。这次是因为光溜溜爷爷、叔叔闹大了。\n\n 半年后呢？\n\n> 半年之后，我们已经完全忘记了这件事情，需要有人提醒，或者类似发生更恶劣的虐童事件，你才能想起来曾经轰动一时、令你忿恨异常的这个事件；半年之后，幼儿园还在，或者，换了一个招牌，增加了摄像头和24小时监控，让每个家长都可以随时监控。新的园长、老师，继续迎来新的家长和孩子；半年之后，如果想查询一些这个事件的资料，很可能发现，无论是报道还是视频资料，都消失了。\n \n> 我们又有了新的烦恼，孩子的成绩让我们发愁，小升初让我们焦虑，每迈过一道上学的坎儿，我们都累得话都不想说，接下来，安全、性教育、心理健康……\n\n我们就那么记吃不记打吗？只追求情感宣泄而不在乎问题的解决，这是作为万物灵长的人群应该具有的水平吗？那么多自诩精英、至少以精英自我要求的人，整体上和一群斑马犀牛有什么区别呢？一只同伴被鳄鱼吞噬后，就是半个小时，它们平静如没发生一样，我们半年后的遗忘，是五十步笑百步。\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVDYapTdrp68GgpetE2AXzVAM4AfAvjqf6Cc5B3BgBrgM/image.png)\n\n#### 二\n\n\n教育的问题，从来都不是教育能解决的，也不是一时能解决的。\n\n那么，社会系统有没有办法？\n\n做人最重要的是开心，虽然人民群众普遍追求美好生活，但不想骗人，真-没-办-法。\n\n最近逻辑思维上有一期“灰犀牛现象”（建议听听）的专题，很有启发。\n\n灰犀牛，是陆地上除大象之外的第二大动物，好几顿重。平时动作缓慢，人畜无害。但惹急了，这么个怪物庞然大物以每小时56公里的速度冲过来，后果相当严重。灰犀牛现象，是指那些大家都看见了、也都说出口了，有人还在喊，可没人管，也没人负责，似乎不难解决，可就是没能及时解决的风险。\n\n解决方案说起来简单，无非是：首先承认危机；其次，确认每一个灰犀牛事件的轻重缓急，有的放矢；第三，一定要行动，不要光制订计划；第四，不要浪费危机，要利用危机去改变；第五，要站在顺风处，及时发现；第六，要有全局观。\n\n听起来都对吧？但好像什么都没说。所以，这种方案就等于没方案。对于整个社会来说，想轰走回犀牛几乎不可能，因为它的根源是人性的bug。风险在不可能避免地积累，而摆脱风险的明智的举动和系统化解决方案，总是显得那么少。\n\n看看最近的进展，完全印证了上述观点。\n\n官方的应对措施非常老道，例行发文进行行业大检查，辟谣，删帖，统一发布文稿，再等下一个新闻热点，现在已经平静多了。伟大的魔幻小说《西游记》早有记载，有后台的妖怪吃几个童男童女都没事——同理可推，那几个给孩子扒光了体检的畜类肯定没事，一个微信里说激动了的人甚至还进去了，尴尬。\n\n手握权柄看什么都是钉子，出了问题，大事化小小事化了迅速搞定不影响前途，不是人同此心，心同此理吗？但，给中箭的人解决痛苦，手起刀落把皮肤外的箭剪掉，然后说手术结束了，你认为能解决什么问题？\n\n而且，没有好的老师，谁也办不好教育。这是常识。\n\n那么，当下环境里，能找到好老师吗？\n\n看到一个教育部门的资料，截止2009年，全国各层次学前教育专业的在校生数量为209626人，本科生占3.1%，专科生8.8%，中专生最多，达到了184662人，占到了88.1%。\n\n就是说，硕士也好、博士也好，挣1万也好5万也好，孩子就算上昂贵的幼儿园，和孩子每天朝夕相处、照顾孩子吃喝拉撒的，都是每个月收入两三千的高中和中专毕业生。\n\n自己的孩子犯错、任性、该睡觉时大吵大闹，你能反复告诉自己，“这是亲生的！”来平息自己的怒火，而当一个老师同时要面对十几个甚至几十个吵闹的孩子，没有相当的爱心、没有符合水平的智商和情商，是很难把控得住局面的。\n\n加工资？资本大佬要给美国人民一张好看的资本报表的！资本的天性就是追逐利润啊。\n\n种下什么因，就收获什么果。幼教包括整个教育都是中国经济高速发展三十多年的“灯下黑”，现在它只是初露峥嵘。不夸张地说，这是国之殇。\n\n我们牢记着“没钱万万不能”的信条去拼命，渐渐忘了——有钱并非万能。哈佛中国研究中心的评论上说，权力的追逐只是少数人的专利，金钱是绝大多数中国人的宗教信仰。又黑我天朝，太准了！\n\n#### 三\n\n\n既然系统不能指望，也不能陷入无助感无法自拔啊。从个人躲避危险的角度来说，躲避灰犀牛，会有一些办法。\n\n培养孩子良好科学的饮食起居习惯，这样就能减轻老师的负担。要知道，两三千的工资，让那些没有生过人、又看不到人生希望的小姑娘很难有平和愉快的心情的。\n\n选择入托入学点时，不要一味选高大上的，认为越贵越好。软件和细节的配备和布置更重要。曾亲历了一个月费一万五的高端幼儿园，找的外教是恋童癖——人家园里也就是找一张洋人的脸来拉一下学费，你怎么也考察一下对方的英文水平啊。不少外教是出租司机，在本国是半失业状态。\n\n学一些教育学心理学，去感受负责人和老师，了解他们是生意人还是喜欢教育、能从教育中找到乐趣（而不仅仅是喜欢钱）。\n\n特别是父亲们，要从挣钱的火线上经常下来，不要老加班，学习和孩子交心，让他们愿意和你分享自己的感受和经历。\n\n\n####世界啊，我向你交出了我的孩子，请你以善意，温和地待他，求你了。",
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      "body": "新韭菜，五月入的场，1.3时入了几千个，后来到0.2，割肉出一半，留一半，还是在腰部，不能太多。看到比特币的争斗，明白了一点，都嚷嚷去中心化，其实是去别人的中心建立自己的中心化，理想情怀在利益面前就是个屁。但历史逻辑长期看不是这样的。比特币这个大树被折腾得有些惨，砍树枝甚至想撅树根，一堆私生子出来喝血居然都粗壮成长起来了，还不知有多少在路上，感觉……",
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      "body": "Thank you for your feedback! It is good to know, because I thought it was the other way round, that airport was good, office not so good :-)\n\nI am using an app called Hello Chinese, it is good, but I can't wait to grow out of it and start speaking for real :-)\n\nThank you again, and please come back for more! :-D\n\n[*Cg*](https://steemit.com/@cryptogee)",
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      "permlink": "re-oflyhigh-re-snail0718-re-oflyhigh-bts-20171106t030901970z",
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      "body": "bitshares里的bts好像现在只能转进 ，没法转出，前一阵价格起来了，想转到别的交易网换一些，没找到转出口。\n在内网换了一些steem，长期持有。steem  , steemit ,   steem power的关系还没有彻底搞清楚。正在向你这些老司机学。",
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      "body": "Good job! office sounds good, but airport sounds a little confusing. u can begin with a easy chinese-learning textbook, for the words they choose is step by step.",
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      "author": "oflyhigh",
      "permlink": "re-snail0718-re-oflyhigh-bts-20171105t082824788z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "额，没看明白你要把bts弄哪里？steemit吗？steemit目前还不支持其它币种。",
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      "author": "snail0718",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "走心了，老铁。自己摸索出来的吧，太用心了，还能让大家都受益。不过，怎么打赏一点心意呢？那个网可以转狗狗币的，哈哈。bts怎么弄到这里呢？我是纯韭黄。",
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      "author": "snail0718",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "以实际行动支持一下",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "感谢分享，有机会试试",
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      "author": "rivalhw",
      "permlink": "re-snail0718-re-rivalhw-6kwmjd-20171102t064237073z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "也可能是上古时代的爱情吧",
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      "body": "我看到的是纯，不是蠢。现在的求偶，有时就是一个眼神……而你们算是古典时代了。",
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      "body": "刚注册   sp是啥梗都不懂……哪里有steemit的生存指南？据说，此处安家的人，连XXOO都会忘记哒，哈哈。",
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      "body": "国内有个币赢，直接可以用人民币，牛大了，就省得翻墙过海还要交手续费啦。试试看。",
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      "body": "我只能说，信仰是心灵的支柱，人人都会有，不一定是指宗教，也可以是某个你崇拜的人，或者某一句影响你人生的信条。",
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      "body": "First time to the page, and ready to see every week.",
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      "permlink": "re-oflyhigh-turing-chat-robot-20171030t150241592z",
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      "body": "亲，发这个是想出货？点最上面的是购物网站，点下面的是你的公号，机器人呢？还是我读书太少电脑恐龙？没找到机器人，想玩儿。",
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      "body": "thanks for update,though it  makes little difference  in the market.",
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      "author": "dapeng",
      "permlink": "re-snail0718-re-dapeng-hero-20171030t084539233z",
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      "body": "哈哈，展开写的话，每个材料都可以写一章，整个观点可以写一本书，名叫《论英雄》——列到我退休之后的工作计划里。",
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      "body": "有生之年不去一趟西藏，看来会遗憾的。真美！据说西藏人看全国，都鄙视他们没信仰。有些东西真是这样的，年轻时不相信的，未必没有。",
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      "body": "才注册几天，潜水者，好奇问一嘴：贵馆和微信号——老道消息有关系吗？大会前几篇文章让人惊艳，梗多烧脑，一看就是资深道行。",
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      "body": "刚注册没多久，纯的彻白，看到这事很好奇。谢谢仗义出手。看来网海里的沟壑和真实世界的阴险一样，是世界的折射。",
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