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      "author": "steemitboard",
      "permlink": "steemitboard-notify-smsnodgrass-20190509t203832000z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "Congratulations @smsnodgrass! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@smsnodgrass/birthday1.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 1 year!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@smsnodgrass) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](http://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=smsnodgrass)_</sub>\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-witness-update-2019-05\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://i.cubeupload.com/7CiQEO.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-witness-update-2019-05\">SteemitBoard - Witness Update</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemmeetupaachen/@steemitboard/steemitboard-to-support-the-german-speaking-community-meetups\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmeoNp9iCaCfd2D6TqnWa3Aky2mU4Fm3xaSmjTM91YoNBS/image.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemmeetupaachen/@steemitboard/steemitboard-to-support-the-german-speaking-community-meetups\">SteemitBoard to support the german speaking community meetups</a></td></tr></table>\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "body": "[![](https://d1vof77qrk4l5q.cloudfront.net/statics/upsell-delegate-15-steem-power-2.png)](https://partiko-io.app.link/A27hLeUkgT)",
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      "body": "What I like about Tron is how much they are actually developing and putting out there.  They have several irons in the fire and continue to plant seed after seed.  It's only a matter of time before one of these seeds blows up into the next huge thing.  What they are doing with crypto and BitTorrent is one of these seeds and the whole freezing / voting to promote development is another.",
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      "author": "smsnodgrass",
      "permlink": "bitcoin-btc-15-min-candle-breakout-bullish",
      "title": "Bitcoin (BTC) - 15 min candle breakout bullish",
      "body": "##### Disclaimer:\nThis is a format to document not my predictions of price, but rather my hypotheses on what could possibly occur in the future with price movement. I am not a financial adviser, and you should take neither buying nor selling actions based on what I have expressed below.\n\n---\n\nA moment of indecision in the market just broke bullish in my opinion. See for yourself:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmawPfaNscS8k78u3qXQDM3qgkBFpVuEZD9GMYdMm3GtGs/image.png)\n\nRSI showing that there's plenty of room for growth, too. Let's see if price can stay outside of these trendlines. If so, I expect another bullish move. This impulse - if it *does* continue - will likely lead us up out of the neckline of a longer-term head and shoulders pattern:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPm918mfBfUgJX7VvTADYgARR6i4dUaQUqmNAAf3YSdc6/image.png)\n\nThere is quite a lot of room for growth when observing both the RSI and bollinger bands - either up *or* down. Whichever move it makes next could be a large one, and given that I just hypothesized that a bullish impulse was inbound...well, we'll just have to see. Who knows.\n\nI do want to make you all aware of a potential hidden bearish divergence. I won't get into it here, but just pay attention to the highest price levels we have seen so far. It would be ideal for price to begin seeing all time weekly highs. There are two of which that represent the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRzWKQ1xtremZwM5fSRPBMyn9nFPwaYxq9np4ekk3L24n/image.png)\n\nAgain, if this inverted hs actuates, we are making a serious bullish move. Observing price history, we have lots of room for unimpeded growth. Though once we hit certain price points, we will begin to see serious resistance.",
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      "author": "smsnodgrass",
      "permlink": "tron-trx-long-term-bullish-scenario",
      "title": "Tron (TRX) - Long-Term Bullish Scenario",
      "body": "#### Disclaimer:\nThis is a format to document *not* my predictions of price, but rather my hypotheses on what could *possibly* occur in the future with price movement. I am not a financial adviser, and you should take neither buying nor selling actions based on what I have expressed below. \n\n***\n\nLooking at the weekly chart, did TRX bottom back in August at 259 sats? Since then, TRX has been unable to put in lower lows, and we have clear and quite strong impulses upwards (especially most recently):\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUY5MwnHoSRiTbmNsmuFxDrK9eS81eYv2A4Q8mNhEKo85/image.png)\n\n***\nIs price impulsing in the following fashion?\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVHas5naCScHWzPYQLBMEXJfkMWn3B9WppVCqK2BWooK8/image.png)\n\nGiven that we are currently seeing strong upward moves *would* agree that we are on wave 3, which tends to move with the most vigor. \n\n***\n\nLet's change our scale to daily candles and consider what to expect if we are on wave 3. Keep in mind that this is a very bullish scenario. Remind yourself of the difference between possibility and probability. \n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSew7wYCkFpy9Dijtj5pp6YCDiy2A5ahTvqwzLc4BjrEw/image.png)\n\nIt goes without saying that the performance of TRX is going to be correlated with the performance of BTC. If the year-long bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market continues to play out, I would not expect price to move in the fashion I have expressed above. \n\n***",
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      "body": "We all want price to rise  quickly, right? It can be really fun, but the faster price goes up, the faster it can come down in a correction. So, while this correction from our last bull-run has taken some time and hasn't been the most exciting thing, I believe that those who are patient will get rewarded. I say this in both the short-term and the long-term. Patience is _always_ key. \n\nI do believe that the correction has reached its bottom, and we now await the next price move. Check out the chart below:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmePywcvt2T1SiLyK9mXebwdNv5jYV51FRcCEEwjXADx4C/image.png)\n\nWhat I'm _attempting_ to communicate in the above chart is a simple message: cycles. That is also the message that Elliot Waves Theory attempts to communicate. For every up, there is a down. For those long-term holders, we don't care for any of this noise. For those who are patient, we don't care for any of this noise. Why? Because it's just noise. When we look at the larger picture, the noise becomes irrelevant and the overall trend becomes clear. Check out the charts below. Every image has a candle the represents a larger span of time:\n\n### 1 hour:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVSLNjABRTAQMXkXZNTTgPM6h9CxjDfoWyH3SzDSHKadK/image.png)\n\n### 4 hour:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaPpshXiYSY1MuApfRFavWxaE34KavTsLcZmuLhNWkPBa/image.png)\n\n### 1 day:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPvNycPCx8hAQJXpPAQCcHWpEi31zMn7KWDdXEr1BsU5c/image.png)\n\n### 1 week:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcxeidqJUZEw9aEPdZ1bN4MnsvMcqXXNEdTghbKXxgtm7/image.png)\n\nThe point? Don't get bothered by the noise; don't let your impatience get the better of you. \n\nI find it very funny when I see people say \"be the green in the sea of red\", though they are looking at stats from the past hour, or past 24 hours. That, to me, is ridiculous and is only for the sake of immature shilling. Even when ECA was on its last bull-run, I was of course happy with it...**but** I said to myself \"eh, give it a few days\". Things cannot go up forever. Sure enough, there ensued a correction. Although, where was everyone saying \"BE THE RED IN THE SEA OF GREEN\", etc. I don't say this to speak negatively on ECA, I say this to again emphasize the cyclical nature. \n\nThe longer you hold your position the better, but the longer you hold your position, the longer the corrections may take place. \n\nEnough of my blabbering. Let's get to discussing why you're likely here:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQvvtVot8Dp9SiRF3so9wrV1NjC8PfPoohes8Rh31f8wv/image.png)\n\nI've denoted our longer-term support in yellow, and in blue I've denoted a bullish downward-pointing wedge. Sideways price action has led us to decisively breach the seller's resistance. \n\nLet's check out the MACD:\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSvd6Up3Twqq1XiBUf9BaR2TTcHjHW7tZEXyYr2omYD53/image.png)\n\nThe MACD has found its way back to a more neutral spot. \n\nThere is not much to report on so far! In times like these immidiately following a correction, there is a lot of uncertainty and not many people have very bullish sentiment. After the bottom of a correction, we are technically on a minor-degree wave 1. Elliot Waves Theory states the following about wave 1:\n\n_\"Wave one is rarely obvious at its inception. When the first wave of a new bull market begins, the fundamental news is almost universally negative. The previous trend is considered still strongly in force. Fundamental analysts continue to revise their earnings estimates lower; the economy probably does not look strong. Sentiment surveys are decidedly bearish, put options are in vogue, and implied volatility in the options market is high. Volume might increase a bit as prices rise, but not by enough to alert many technical analysts.\"_\n\nPatience is key. I hope you found this to be useful! I encourage you to use your own judgement and discernment in these times. \n\n**Legal Disclaimer:** I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.",
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      "body": "@@ -3158,37 +3158,9 @@\n ions\n-, and are therefore less-like\n+.\n %0A* W\n",
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      "body": "This post has been upvoted for free by @microbot with 0.1%! \n Get better upvotes by bidding on me.\nMore profits? 100% Payout! Delegate some SteemPower to @microbot:  [1 SP](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/delegateVestingShares?delegator=&delegatee=microbot&vesting_shares=2049%20VESTS), [5 SP](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/delegateVestingShares?delegator=&delegatee=microbot&vesting_shares=10245%20VESTS), [10 SP](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/delegateVestingShares?delegator=&delegatee=microbot&vesting_shares=20489%20VESTS), [custom amount](https://steembottracker.com/delegation.html)\nYou like to bet and win 20x your bid? Have a look at @gtw and [this description](https://steemit.com/guessthewitness/@isnochys/guess-the-witness-steemdice-for-witnesses)!",
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      "permlink": "electra-eca-breakout-forward-discernment-detailed",
      "title": "Electra (ECA): BREAKOUT!? + Forward Discernment (detailed!)",
      "body": "#### There is a lot of information below. I _strongly_ encourage you to read the entire post.\n\nWithout further adieu: \n\nLadies and gentlemen, _we **may** have ourselves a breakout_. Take a look at the chart below:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSF2VWvCJv89zvP6cD3KQa2XuRE9u7TGmWrB2GN4uNrXJ/image.png)\n\nThis price action occurred just as I began writing this article, so we are in the beginning stages of this potential breakout and, in my opinion, too early to make any claims. Therefore, before I claim a _decisive_ breakout, I would like to see the beginning of a five-wave impulse up and thus out of this downward-pointing wedge (as noted in [yesterday's post](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@smsnodgrass/electra-eca-don-t-worry-be-patient)). At this point, price could snap back into the wedge at any moment (referred to as a [\"bull trap\"](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bulltrap.asp)). I would also like to see a more solidified spike in volume that would give us more confidence that we are undergoing a true trend reversal, though when volume is already low (relatively speaking), this desired spike in volume may not be too defined. We can see that the MACD is in support of this breakout, but where is our volume?\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNtkYouWdfYHWJGH1C986fi9KXjPFqYpTyR5ukYLYe19W/image.png)\n\nI will await further price action before making any decisive claims. \n\n## Let's remind ourselves where we came from: \n* Our run up to 40 sats was a higher-degree wave 1, represented in green (the five lower-degree actionary/motive waves are represented in blue).\n* The correction that brought us to 20 sats represents a higher-degree wave 2, represented in red (the three lower-degree reactionary/corrective waves are represented in yellow).\n* Once we complete wave 2 (which _may_ have found its bottom), we will be on a higher-degree wave 3, represented with a white arrow & white text.\n###### Seen below:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTRQ8KU68NJ2tkkuA8o4vY4ExxACmJddNiY7Yu2xydQcu/image.png)\n\n## Forward Discernment:\n#### Please take the following information with a grain of salt.\n_When it comes to cryptocurrency, there is no precedent and therefore there are no definite values. The Fibonacci ratios that will be used, technically speaking, are reliable only for the equities markets._\n\nAccording to Elliott Waves Theory, wave 3 should be 1.62x, 2.62x, or 4.25x the length of wave 1. The length of wave 1 was 33 sats (May 10th's high of 40 sats _minus_ April 12th's low of 7 sats _equals_ 33 sats). Therefore, we **_could_** expect the following:\n\n| | Length | Value |\n| ------------- |:-------------:| -----:|\n| **Possibility 1** | 53 | 73 |\n| **Possibility 2** | 86 | 106 |\n| **Possibility 3** | 130 | 160 |\n\nTo help you visualize what this **_could_** look like:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQc6xpGp8YYiN7oNNGoS91maQkWMSsFZ5qg8NwHb14Raq/image.png)\n\nAgain, for the sake of learning, take note of the following information in order to consider possible implications:\n* Elliott Waves theory tells us that wave 3 _should be_ 1.62x wave 1. Therefore, the latter two multipliers (2.62 & 4.25) are technically over-extensions, and are therefore less-like\n* Wave 3 **cannot** be the shortest wave among waves 1, 3, and 5.\n* Wave 3 _could be_ under-extended (or less than 1.62x the length of wave 1)\n* If wave 3 is less than 1.62x the length of wave 1, we can expect an over-extended wave 5.\n* Every wave (1, 3, _or_ 5) has the possibility of being over-extended.\n* Even if wave 3 is not below 1.62x wave 1, wave 5 could still be over-extended.\n\nThe reason I make a point to note the above is so that you continually remind yourself that these values are **in no way cement**. Time is the greatest tell, and - unfortunately - many fail to practice patience. Assuming price continues upwards, those who are most patient will reap the greatest reward. There are some who rely only on TA (Technical Analysis (charts & graphing)), and there are some who rely only on FA (Fundamental Analysis, (media/news/technology expectations/etc.)). Technically-speaking, Elliot Waves theory does claim that price acts completely independent of news or media (in other words, price is not effected by news/media). Personally, I'm not sure how exactly I feel about this. Therefore, I like to rely on both TA and FA. It is important to DYOR (Do Your Own Research) in order to discern what the future may hold. \n\nThat being said, it is of no great accomplishment that I can sit here and do TA. Although, in my opinion, the FA side of things is where the rubber meets the road. Why? Because I personally believe that news and media outlets have a great effect on assets like cryptocurrency. \n\nAre you willing to do your due diligence and decide what investments are going to be most beneficial? I urge you to come up with a solid investment strategy. I also encourage you to make _every_ buying and selling action on your own accord. **Do not** buy anything based on what I have ever written in my blog. **Do not** sell anything based on what I have ever written in my blog. If you as an individual would like to take a short-cut and instead use what you read on the internet in order to guide your buying/selling/investment  actions, you **must** also be willing to take full and complete responsibility. I will **never** tell you to buy OR sell anything. That is a decision that I make for myself; that is a decision you must make yourself. \n\nThank you very much for taking the time to read this post, and I wish you the absolute best!\n\n**Legal Disclaimer:** I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.",
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      "permlink": "electra-eca-breakout-forward-discernment-detailed",
      "title": "Electra (ECA): BREAKOUT? + Forward Discernment (detailed!)",
      "body": "#### There is a lot of information below. I _strongly_ encourage you to read the entire post.\n\nWithout further adieu: \n\nLadies and gentlemen, _we **may** have ourselves a breakout_. Take a look at the chart below:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSF2VWvCJv89zvP6cD3KQa2XuRE9u7TGmWrB2GN4uNrXJ/image.png)\n\nThis price action occurred just as I began writing this article, so we are in the beginning stages of this potential breakout and, in my opinion, too early to make any claims. Therefore, before I claim a _decisive_ breakout, I would like to see the beginning of a five-wave impulse up and thus out of this downward-pointing wedge (as noted in [yesterday's post](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@smsnodgrass/electra-eca-don-t-worry-be-patient)). At this point, price could snap back into the wedge at any moment (referred to as a [\"bull trap\"](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bulltrap.asp)). I would also like to see a more solidified spike in volume that would give us more confidence that we are undergoing a true trend reversal, though when volume is already low (relatively speaking), this desired spike in volume may not be too defined. We can see that the MACD is in support of this breakout, but where is our volume?\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNtkYouWdfYHWJGH1C986fi9KXjPFqYpTyR5ukYLYe19W/image.png)\n\nI will await further price action before making any decisive claims. \n\n## Let's remind ourselves where we came from: \n* Our run up to 40 sats was a higher-degree wave 1, represented in green (the five lower-degree actionary/motive waves are represented in blue).\n* The correction that brought us to 20 sats represents a higher-degree wave 2, represented in red (the three lower-degree reactionary/corrective waves are represented in yellow).\n* Once we complete wave 2 (which _may_ have found its bottom), we will be on a higher-degree wave 3, represented with a white arrow & white text.\n###### Seen below:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTRQ8KU68NJ2tkkuA8o4vY4ExxACmJddNiY7Yu2xydQcu/image.png)\n\n## Forward Discernment:\n#### Please take the following information with a grain of salt.\n_When it comes to cryptocurrency, there is no precedent and therefore there are no definite values. The Fibonacci ratios that will be used, technically speaking, are reliable only for the equities markets._\n\nAccording to Elliott Waves Theory, wave 3 should be 1.62x, 2.62x, or 4.25x the length of wave 1. The length of wave 1 was 33 sats (May 10th's high of 40 sats _minus_ April 12th's low of 7 sats _equals_ 33 sats). Therefore, we **_could_** expect the following:\n\n| | Length | Value |\n| ------------- |:-------------:| -----:|\n| **Possibility 1** | 53 | 73 |\n| **Possibility 2** | 86 | 106 |\n| **Possibility 3** | 130 | 160 |\n\nTo help you visualize what this **_could_** look like:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQc6xpGp8YYiN7oNNGoS91maQkWMSsFZ5qg8NwHb14Raq/image.png)\n\nAgain, for the sake of learning, take note of the following information in order to consider possible implications:\n* Elliott Waves theory tells us that wave 3 _should be_ 1.62x wave 1. Therefore, the latter two multipliers (2.62 & 4.25) are technically over-extensions, and are therefore less-like\n* Wave 3 **cannot** be the shortest wave among waves 1, 3, and 5.\n* Wave 3 _could be_ under-extended (or less than 1.62x the length of wave 1)\n* If wave 3 is less than 1.62x the length of wave 1, we can expect an over-extended wave 5.\n* Every wave (1, 3, _or_ 5) has the possibility of being over-extended.\n* Even if wave 3 is not below 1.62x wave 1, wave 5 could still be over-extended.\n\nThe reason I make a point to note the above is so that you continually remind yourself that these values are **in no way cement**. Time is the greatest tell, and - unfortunately - many fail to practice patience. Assuming price continues upwards, those who are most patient will reap the greatest reward. There are some who rely only on TA (Technical Analysis (charts & graphing)), and there are some who rely only on FA (Fundamental Analysis, (media/news/technology expectations/etc.)). Technically-speaking, Elliot Waves theory does claim that price acts completely independent of news or media (in other words, price is not effected by news/media). Personally, I'm not sure how exactly I feel about this. Therefore, I like to rely on both TA and FA. It is important to DYOR (Do Your Own Research) in order to discern what the future may hold. \n\nThat being said, it is of no great accomplishment that I can sit here and do TA. Although, in my opinion, the FA side of things is where the rubber meets the road. Why? Because I personally believe that news and media outlets have a great effect on assets like cryptocurrency. \n\nAre you willing to do your due diligence and decide what investments are going to be most beneficial? I urge you to come up with a solid investment strategy. I also encourage you to make _every_ buying and selling action on your own accord. **Do not** buy anything based on what I have ever written in my blog. **Do not** sell anything based on what I have ever written in my blog. If you as an individual would like to take a short-cut and instead use what you read on the internet in order to guide your buying/selling/investment  actions, you **must** also be willing to take full and complete responsibility. I will **never** tell you to buy OR sell anything. That is a decision that I make for myself; that is a decision you must make yourself. \n\nThank you very much for taking the time to read this post, and I wish you the absolute best!\n\n**Legal Disclaimer:** I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.",
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      "author": "arucamba",
      "permlink": "re-smsnodgrass-electra-eca-don-t-worry-be-patient-20180522t231657541z",
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      "body": "@@ -164,17 +164,17 @@\n rget of \n-6\n+7\n 0-ish sa\n",
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      "body": "To bad Coinigy's chart doesn't show the whole picture. On a lager scale there seems to be a nice cup and handle developing. :-) If this pattern works out a pricetarget of 60-ish sats could be in play during the next uptrend.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-05-22 at 19.12.40.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVEzRsgtPN3BCG2XeosBP6oW3ui33oV4bJf36XZZ95upg/Screen%20Shot%202018-05-22%20at%2019.12.40.png)",
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      "title": "Electra (ECA): Don't Worry; Be Patient.",
      "body": "Good afternoon, everyone! This is a quick update on what's been going on, and yet another reminder that we ought not worry. \n\nLet's remind ourselves of a few things:\n\nFirstly, on April 12th we hit a relative low of 7 sats, and on May 10th we hit a relative high of 40 sats. Therefore, in about one month's time, we saw an increase in price of 471.43%, though this percent increase is in satoshi value. \n\nTo put this into the perspective of U.S. Dollar: If on April 12th you bought $100 worth of ECA, you would have purchased roughly 235,000 ECA ($100/0.000425=235,000). If you sold all your ECA on May 10th, you would have received $875.14 5(235,000*$0.003724=875.14). So, in light of U.S. Dollar, we've really seen an increase in price of 776.23%. This is not only some _spectacular_ growth, but in my opinion, this has also been quite healthy growth. For each increase in price, we've seen a healthy correction, and pretty much none of our growth has been anywhere near what I would call \"vertical\" (which some people might right-off as a \"pump-and-dump\"). No pump, no dump - just healthy growth! \n\nTo help you visualize what I'm talking about, check out the charts below.\n\nOverall price increase:\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmZdp2k5Jt948RdEu4yE3s5AgbcyTmAvwbX8MexULN3nFa/image.png)\n\n_Healthy_ growth:\n* A clear 5-wave impulse upwards\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaRo8ooNMfd5eoyaUHR3eqsvehWrZJtbkbatpdyATCKyD/image.png)\n\n*Each impulse followed by healthy corrections\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcFqHAwPPtSTQcfQ8zYhd1fpRPewEV27fL5DW61gLn9Kh/image.png)\n\nAll of these things are normal and healthy, though if you are uninformed, you very well may freak out and panic-sell. Finally, let's check out the most recent price action. With five waves up, we have a much larger correction. Why? Because these five waves up represent a larger-degree wave 1. The larger degree of trend, the larger the correction. The correction we are currently undergoing is a larger-degree wave 2, that's why it appears to be larger. Check out the chart below to see what I mean:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmNwdKjQGAfkKG5mqwJAs4YCPCeoSgb3SuUFPRN1XM5fQ3/image.png)\n\nNow let's check out the current correction we're in:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUkSaSZB1Ge2fXx7zF5qAMXmHZexbY63Cx5RomYf6dJvQ/image.png)\n\nThis is a healthy correction! We are not crashing. This is great, as all those sellers are getting eaten up. Once all of the bears are gone, all we will have are bulls that will come rushing in and will boost us up for our wave 3.\n\nThis correction is forming a nice downward-pointing wedge. This pattern is very bullish!\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbDTkLVQyWuknMeAB7Li3jZimdYMP5fvT7CFj4KESPaes/image.png)\n\nOur MACD is also showing over-sold. We will await a buy signal, though we will likely get many buy signals on and off. We will eventually get a buy signal that is very strong, and this will give us a nice bull-run. \n\nI hope you found this to be useful!\n\n**Legal Disclaimer:** I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.",
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      "author": "smsnodgrass",
      "permlink": "electra-eca-emerging-fractals-an-alternate-count-to-consider",
      "title": "Electra (ECA): Emerging Fractals + An Alternate Count to Consider",
      "body": "Good evening, everyone!\n\nWe aren't panicking, right? It's a very easy thing to do when price starts to trend downwards. It's an even easier thing to do when we've invested money we cannot afford to lose. Although, because you are a well-informed individual who has **not** invested money you cannot afford to lose, you aren't worrying. Right? Right???...\n\nLet's get into it. \n\nFirstly, as I have continued to mention, I am a beginner. I can and do make plenty of mistakes. Check out the chart below that I posted [in this post](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@smsnodgrass/electra-eca-adjusted-count-implications) from two days ago:\n\n![DQmaktKAuEkZAPeCFf5AhYSqYWJTepbCp1kfaQpd4PUkPQ8.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaktKAuEkZAPeCFf5AhYSqYWJTepbCp1kfaQpd4PUkPQ8/DQmaktKAuEkZAPeCFf5AhYSqYWJTepbCp1kfaQpd4PUkPQ8.png)\n\nOne of the rules of Elliott Waves is that the bottom of wave 4 **cannot** stretch below the top of wave 1. As you can see, the May 11th candle overlapped the top of wave 1:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQrpR4DCdk4kXUymHJBtScrGaPGE4N1L3yfHDHb6my4Lt/image.png)\n\nI of course wish I would have noted this, as it would have allowed me to consider the possibility that a downward trend may continue. Further implying that the following count cannot be correct:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRDTYvunLGLghQyGL9gmNSM4JtAv5F7viRbpVwi2MK4TJ/image.png)\n\nI am now asking myself \"okay, so what _is_ the correct count?\". For the time being, this is the only other count I am considering, though still I am hesitant. Why? As I've already made clear, the bottom of wave 4 cannot overlap the top of wave 1. **BUT**...can the bottom of wave 4 _bounce_ off the top of wave 1? If that is acceptable, the following count could be valid:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmb6GJWtd8RViJcFvEEjLJx19J9RepFWySsiSPwx61QqcD/image.png)\n\nAnother rule to consider here for educative purposes: wave 3 **cannot** be the shortest of waves 1, 3, and 5. If the above count is correct, the lengths of waves 1, 2 and 3 are 9, 19, and 24 (respectively). So, wave 3 was not the shortest of the 3 impulse waves up. Although, there is something that bothers me about the count in the chart above.\n\nIn general, these five impulses upwards tend to follow within a channel of parallel lines. You can see some pretty clear channels occurring in the chart below:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSFRJugxBsq9fBbZ3WBBxKfJQQxr8mcmqTY7fr7HEkZVs/image.png)\n\nEverything about the above chart tells me to keep the count that I have had for a while now (seen below):\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmZdtYuEs6nqEzhQAahUiqFXpcpSdcH51YPy6EUJPRM8qj/image.png)\n\nBut again, the fact that the bottom of wave 4 overlapped the top of wave 1 leads me to believe that this count must be incorrect.  In all honesty, I am a bit unsure where our _true_ count is at this point. Part of me wants to continue with the current count and just write off the whole \"our wave 4 overlapped wave 1\" due to the fact that Electra has genuinely been over-sold. How could this happen? One huge sell-off from a \"whale\" (someone who owns many Electra) could cause a domino-effect of individuals panic-selling, thus causing our price to dip far beyond what could have been projected. \n\nFurther evidence of this is seen when we check out the MACD:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbVNndx73hma2Tsm6CfYXamP9Cg7kWsT2MwHmoUrgSMkY/image.png)\n\nTwo days ago - [in this post](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@smsnodgrass/electra-eca-adjusted-count-implications) - the MACD was indicating that ECA is over-sold, yet still it continued downwards. How long will this continue? How long _can_ this continue?? I'm inclined so say \"not very long\", but hey, I've been wrong before; I will likely be wrong again. \n\nI will set that uncertainty aside for now by directing your attention to what I believe to be some emerging fractals. Simply put, fractals are patterns that we can observe over time. The more of these fractals that appear, the more we can begin to rely on them as a tell of what future price action could entail. Check out the chart below:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXz28zDxqmTsEhrgHgi7HgMM8an4tS4jCe8ip8ut5oteF/image.png)\n\nIn the chart above, you can see three potential fractals. Three bull runs upwards, each of which followed by A-B-C corrections encompassed within a descending (falling) wedge pattern. The falling wedge pattern is characterized by a chart pattern which forms when the market makes lower lows and lower highs with a contracting range. When this pattern is found in a downward trend, it is considered a reversal pattern, as the contraction of the range indicates **the downtrend is losing steam.**\n\nEach of these descending wedge patterns resulted in a break-out and a bull run that was then followed by requisite correction. The first breakout led to a 190% increase, the second breakout led to a 150% increase:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmahFitGPrGENzAYeWzeYT5brBk8NLzZ3DKehkLi5oJuuo/image.png)\n\nIf these fractals are indicative of future price action, we could expect another breakout. What will it result in? That, I certainly do not know, especially in light of the uncertainty I've had in counting our waves upwards.\n\nMore often than not, all we can do is hurry up and wait, as price action is the greatest teller of all.\n\nI hope you found this to be useful!\n\n**Legal Disclaimer:** I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.",
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      "title": "Electra (ECA): Adjusted Count + Implications",
      "body": "@@ -382,11 +382,8 @@\n ons \n-so \n that\n",
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      "author": "smsnodgrass",
      "permlink": "electra-eca-adjusted-count-implications",
      "title": "Electra (ECA): Adjusted Count + Implications",
      "body": "_**Disclaimer:** Remember that the contents of this blog ought to be taken with a grain of salt! I am a beginner when it comes to Technical Analysis - I have **a lot** to learn. Therefore, buying or selling actions should not be taken in light of my analyses (nor should another's analyses dictate your buying or selling actions). Always DYOR (do your own research) and make decisions so that you and you alone are responsible for._\n\nLet's get into it!\n\nFirstly, let's check out the charts below from [my blog post](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@smsnodgrass/electra-eca-midday-update-minor-degree-wave-5-mid-term-analysis) two days ago:\n\n![DQmaktKAuEkZAPeCFf5AhYSqYWJTepbCp1kfaQpd4PUkPQ8.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaktKAuEkZAPeCFf5AhYSqYWJTepbCp1kfaQpd4PUkPQ8/DQmaktKAuEkZAPeCFf5AhYSqYWJTepbCp1kfaQpd4PUkPQ8.png)\n\n![DQmNS9SSmE1u1GqgT45YF22rjMDqJU4kkD1pQHeM3iLgoFG_1680x8400.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTAqW4F8ULsnqUU1xoPD4WaMy44LsqEERqY6VuBm8G3Fb/DQmNS9SSmE1u1GqgT45YF22rjMDqJU4kkD1pQHeM3iLgoFG_1680x8400.png)\n\nYou can see my tentative counts in the charts above. Although, given that price action has dipped below the prior low of 28 sats that was hit on May 11th, I want to propose an adjusted count. Instead of our recent high of 40 sats representing the top of minor-degree wave 3, perhaps the _correct_ top of minor-degree wave 3 was 37 sats, which would therefore mean the bottom of minor-degree wave 4 is 32 sats, and the top of minor-degree wave 5 is 40 sats. You can see what I mean in the chart below:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmfPTttLDfCMVGUL7NGX3xfi48Q4MQP2twG6ADYYRhhb4f/image.png)\n\nLet's check out how this adjustment could then fit into the bigger picture:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPCReYzsCC4VbmbcKv2oXfV53Wqp4Awb5ADm4fwHHiXzV/image.png)\n\nIF this adjusted analysis is correct, there are quite a few implications to consider. That would mean that we are now on wave 4 of 5. Once we have found the bottom of wave 4, we will begin wave 5. If you have been keeping up with my posts, you'll know that an over-extended wave 5 has already been seriously considered! IF this analysis here is correct, then that means the top of our higher-degree wave 3 is grossly under the minimum for a third wave (1.62x wave 1, or 52 sats), which would certainly hint at the idea of an over-extended wave 5. Further, if we are currently on a higher-degree wave 4 retracement, we could potentially (_hopefully_) be seeing a bottom soon. Why do I think so? Firstly, this correction we have been in has taken about the same time as the last major correction we saw (higher-degree wave 2), which is not necessarily a prerequisite. Secondly, check out the chart below, where you'll see a requisite three waves down (represented by a red ABC), in addition to a Fibonacci retracement guide showing that we are nearing a 61.8% retracement of our higher-degree wave 3. \n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmV4o41URFJEu4wwzvHXvFhGb9QapFcry1m5tV4GarFgHu/image.png)\n\nI feel confident saying that we are on wave 4 of a higher degree of trend. Which means that at the bottom of wave 4, we will begin our wave 5...\n\nGiven that higher-degree wave 3 was quite under-extended (only 1.09x the length of wave 1), I fully expect wave 5 to be over-extended. Let's consider where we could be heading with the current values:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTdGPG2bmh828tsEbptw88msgPyYsGfpiq5vWEEwZP2ms/image.png)\n\nThere are ways to estimate which of the three above scenarios are most likely, though I won't discuss those methods here. Once wave 5 begins, we can add to our confidence that wave 5 may over-extend itself if we see a volume increase to a level that exceeds that of waves 1 and 3.\n\nFinally, check out the MACD:\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYQY5YXr9CztKWGu9J7sKmKRTPhzizgtW1sNRZohMSRML/image.png)\n\nLooks to me like the sellers have gotten ahead of themselves and have brought Electra to a level that is quite over-sold. The MACD is now beginning to curl upwards...is now the time to be taking buying or selling actions?...And what about when we find the top of our higher-degree wave 5? If we have an over-extended wave 5, don't walk, but **_RUN_** away.\n\nI hope this has been helpful and educative for you.\n\nCheers!\n\n**Legal Disclaimer:** I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.",
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      "permlink": "re-smsnodgrass-electra-eca-midday-update-minor-degree-wave-5-mid-term-analysis-20180514t214016270z",
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      "title": "Electra (ECA): Midday Update - Minor Degree Wave 5 + Mid-Term Analysis",
      "body": "@@ -1662,19 +1662,16 @@\n question\n- is\n : where \n",
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