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      "body": "I think this happens due to the algorithms of trading bots, which are similar to each other. Even now, three years after the opening of this branch, the similarity of the charts is very expressive both on the leading coins and on altcoins, including all of them tied to the bitcoin rate, since the main trading pairs are pairs to bitcoin and the dollar token. In addition, whales do not trade with their own hands, algorithms do it for them, and large sums combined with algorithms move the market equally in all currencies.",
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      "amount": "0.001 STEEM",
      "memo": "Time is running out, claim your DTube account now before anyone else can! Login at https://d.tube"
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      "parent_permlink": "0253-bitcoin-green-why-i-disagree-with-the-rebrand-part-2",
      "author": "steemitboard",
      "permlink": "steemitboard-notify-skyflowers-20190717t230118000z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "Congratulations @skyflowers! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@skyflowers/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@skyflowers) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=skyflowers)_</sub>\n\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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{
  "trx_id": "41cd1cf89a48064f1d19e68269df78fe6c6285aa",
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "bitcoin",
      "author": "skyflowers",
      "permlink": "0253-bitcoin-green-why-i-disagree-with-the-rebrand-part-2",
      "title": "[0253] - Bitcoin Green: Why I Disagree with the Rebrand ( Part 2 )",
      "body": "![2019-05-13_18-28-55.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmS4MhiWxnvVs7eTu6XQ5KrUVMaSJ1Cg1KeT6bmZ28p5As/2019-05-13_18-28-55.jpg)\n\nYesterday, I wrote a post about the Bitcoin Green rebrand and why I thought it was a strategic mistake.\n\nThe gist of my article was that the word \"bitcoin\" has a strong brand identity, which will only increase over time as the price climbs. Ditching the Bitcoin Green name for the sleeker BitGreen, strips out value... and loses the project in a sea of altcoin projects.\n\nThe full article is here. https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@skyflowers/0252-bitcoin-green-why-rebranding-is-a-bad-idea\n\nAnyway, I noticed in my Twitter feed today the Bitcoin Green team presented at #Consensus2019. The topic was the rebrand and also the latest developments, so I was keen to watch. https://mobile.twitter.com/BitGreen_/status/1127723529556897792\n\nThe development of their platform / wallet look very interesting as it is more of a community hub than a wallet for individuals to hold coins in. It's an activity center that will host various projects and green actions around the world for the community to learn about and vote on.\n\nCool stuff.\n\nThen later on in the video the reason for the rebrand was mentioned. While I am 'pro' projects like this one, I have to say that I am doubling down on my objection to a rebrand, given the rationale behind it. The decision is counter productive and the reason for it is flawed.\n\nThe reason for the rebrand was that it's hard to pitch a project to coin exchanges or crypto news services with the word \"bitcoin\" in the title. While I imagine this is true, given all the bitcoin knock offs, the reason for a rebrand is still faulty. \n\nVery faulty. Why?\n\nI get the sense that the Bitcoin Green ( still refuse to use the new name ) are busy trying to \"make it in the crypto space\" rather than \"make it in the real world\" as a lot of other newbie startups are. I get the impression that they are busily climbing the ladder of success in the crypto space and forgetting about the mass market. A common problem caused by staring at code on a screen.\n\nIf I were CEO, I wouldn't care less if coin exchanges don't want to list your coin. You only need one to list your coin. Who cares if Coinbase won't write articles about you? You actually need green magazines to write about you, not tech tabloids. Lastly, who cares about blockchain conferences like Consensus? Tree hugging hippies don't hang out there! The time, money and effort to do events like this could be better spent funding a tree planting day to raise awareness for the project.\n\nThe mistake I see here is that Bitcoin Green is too busy trying to pitch their project to the crypto space. When what matters is pitching it to green-minded, ordinary people in the real world. Crypto people are a fickle bunch and are mostly focused on one of two things - geek stuff like code, TPS & scalability or when your coin is going to moonshot them to a lambo.\n\nDump both of these types of people and pitch to your audience. University age millennials.\n\nPersonally, if I were CEO of Bitcoin Green ( still refuse to acknowledge new name ), I'd quit trying to \"make it\" in the tech space and focus on partnering with environmental groups like Greenpace, WWF and small local community groups and start onboarding millenials with a $20 $BITG paper wallet printed in soy-based ink & a pack of tree seeds stuck on the back.\n\nForget pitching to developers and crypto speculators! And for crying out loud, certainly don't change your brand to fit in with them!\n\nRather, I'd be partnering with green groups and setting up a major marketing push on international tree day, gifting free coins to volunteers in a \"TreeDrop\" campaign. That's what I'd be doing. Focusing on having cool code is a mistake many projects make, early on, when partnerships will set the priority of what needs to be coded and when. \n\nYou need to walk the walk...\n\nThe rebrand, as I said last post was jarring and really disappointing from an investment perspective. Now that I find out the change of identity was based on pleasing the crypto community rather than green communities who actually know what sunlight is, it makes me annoyed.\n\nYou're pleasing the wrong crowd, peeps! \n\nAnd as I said earlier, you need to #rollback the #rebrand. When you pitch your project to young millennials on the streets, there are only going to be two crypto projects that exist in their minds. Power hungry Bitcoin, which you trash talk as you introduce, Bitcoin Green. By trying to \"do the consensus thing\", you are competing in a sea of a thousand projects all competing for the spotlight in a game you will never win.\n\nChanging your brand name to please someone who is not going to love you for it is not a good move. I hope you change it back, start partnering with green groups more... and coding, less. Until you have strategic partnerships, you don't know what needs to be built and are guessing what the market will actually use.\n\nWhile my critique may be strong, you have to admit, at least it's constructive. The rebrand is a non starter and more can be done with the old logo and name than with the new one.\n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0252] Bitcoin Green: Why Rebranding Is A Bad Idea",
      "body": "@@ -6295,21 +6295,35 @@\n the new \n-image\n+brand name and logo\n  was jar\n@@ -6415,17 +6415,17 @@\n  live ti\n-m\n+l\n es in Wi\n",
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      "body": "@@ -3415,17 +3415,16 @@\n uld sell\n-s\n  the con\n@@ -5364,27 +5364,8 @@\n mple\n-, it not simplistic\n  and\n@@ -5435,32 +5435,20 @@\n  and is \n-readily identifi\n+view\n able at \n@@ -5519,16 +5519,23 @@\n re clear\n+ly read\n .%0A%0AThe n\n",
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      "permlink": "0252-bitcoin-green-why-rebranding-is-a-bad-idea",
      "title": "[0252] Bitcoin Green: Why Rebranding Is A Bad Idea",
      "body": "@@ -3308,16 +3308,18 @@\n em all? \n+%0A%0A\n It blows\n@@ -3394,16 +3394,57 @@\n rojects.\n+ The name should sells the concept peeps!\n  The ten\n@@ -4510,16 +4510,17 @@\n ungry wa\n+y\n s and sw\n@@ -4590,16 +4590,18 @@\n  peezy. \n+%0A%0A\n All the \n@@ -4679,16 +4679,17 @@\n  like a \n+f\n lea on a\n@@ -4692,16 +4692,22 @@\n on a dog\n+s back\n . Now, h\n@@ -4871,24 +4871,168 @@\n f bitcoin.%0A%0A\n+Something that the old name and logo did automatically. Thereby making the time, money and effort put into a rebrand even less of a good idea.%0A%0A\n !%5BBitGreen.p\n",
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      "permlink": "0252-bitcoin-green-why-rebranding-is-a-bad-idea",
      "title": "[0252] Bitcoin Green: Why Rebranding Is A Bad Idea",
      "body": "@@ -2484,24 +2484,26 @@\n  the brand. \n+%0A%0A\n Bitcoin.%0A%0ATh\n@@ -3191,17 +3191,17 @@\n e. %0A%0ABit\n-m\n+M\n oney.%0ABi\n@@ -3201,17 +3201,17 @@\n ney.%0ABit\n-r\n+R\n ewards.%0A\n@@ -3213,22 +3213,47 @@\n rds.%0ABit\n-g\n+G\n reen.\n+%0ABitBay%0AAltcoin #1,001...\n %0A%0AIn a s\n@@ -3289,18 +3289,230 @@\n fference\n-?\n  \n+between them all? It blows my mind that projects don't choose strong, identifiable names for projects. The tendency to write in Klingon-ese and think that code is understand by the general public is mind boggling.\n %0A%0A**Gree\n",
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      "title": "[0252] Bitcoin Green: Why Rebranding Is A Bad Idea",
      "body": "@@ -1605,17 +1605,18 @@\n  rebrand\n-s\n+ed\n , it doe\n@@ -1704,18 +1704,16 @@\n rule of \n-re\n branding\n@@ -1722,23 +1722,36 @@\n s %22only \n-rebrand\n+change your identity\n  when it\n@@ -1820,18 +1820,60 @@\n he m\n-arket. %0A%0AI\n+inds of your customers. %0A%0AFor some strange reason, i\n t is\n",
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      "title": "[0252] Bitcoin Green: Why Rebranding Is A Bad Idea",
      "body": "@@ -197,23 +197,22 @@\n  in the \n-bitcoin\n+crypto\n  space. \n@@ -463,88 +463,249 @@\n ct. \n-At least in my mind. So I voice my criticism via a lengthy article like this one\n+So I voice my criticism to get the team to think about and maybe re-think their decisions. Critical I may be, it's not %22FUD%22. It's constructive and my intent is to move the project in a better direction than how it is being steered currently\n .%0A%0A*\n",
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      "parent_permlink": "bitcoin",
      "author": "skyflowers",
      "permlink": "0252-bitcoin-green-why-rebranding-is-a-bad-idea",
      "title": "[0252] Bitcoin Green: Why Rebranding Is A Bad Idea",
      "body": "![Bitcoin-Green.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPBp5zeDLBm7kdV9q2qh3Ko8apUBZp8fX1Uxh1P2Rj4YD/Bitcoin-Green.jpg)\n\nFor those who have followed the blog, you'll know I am supportive of startups in the bitcoin space. I've written lots of articles ( more than 250 ) talking about the pro's of these projects and why I think they are viable on the open market.\n\nEvery now and then however, I see decisions made that are counter productive to the aims of the project. At least in my mind. So I voice my criticism via a lengthy article like this one.\n\n**Twitter**\n\nWhile reading through my Twitter feed, I came across a Tweet that made me pay attention. It was from one of my favourite Bitcoin spinoffs, Bitcoin Green.\n\n![BitGreen Rebrand.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQma6aphRRGe5hVemnNrJ7cLrdKKRFPjp5hNs9nJzuWHKxY/BitGreen%20Rebrand.jpg)\n\nAs the tweet suggests, they have rebranded from Bitcoin Green to the short-version, BitGreen.\n\n\"Why would you do this?\", I thought. I then dot pointed my objection in a Tweet and posted it.\n\nHere's my rationale why this is a *really* bad idea.\n\n**Rebranding 101**\n\nWhen AntShares rebranded to #NEO, it made sense. When BitQuence rebranded to #Ethos, it made sense. Both of these startups sharpened up their marketing and it was a move in a better, clearer direction. ( To be completely honest, I don't know why they were called their original ugly names in the first place. )\n\nBut when BitCoin Green rebrands, it doesn't make sense. For several reasons.\n\nBefore I get to those reasons, the golden rule of rebranding is \"only rebrand when it makes perfect sense\" and puts you in a stronger position in the market. \n\nIt is trendy in the crypto space to announce a rebrand, which alarms me greatly because changing your identity is a radical thing to do. And jarring, as in the case of Bitcoin Green. I'm not saying the team have not thought it through or know better than I do, but you have to be 100% sure when you go through a rebrand that it will pay off better than using the old name and logo.\n\n**Bitcoin: The King of Crypto Brands**\n\nLet's break this down. Bitcoin Green is now BitGreen. From one angle, the team has removed four letters to shorten the word. Having done that they have removed the word that was powering the brand. Bitcoin.\n\nThe word \"bitcoin\" is a goldmine and has brand recognition in the crypto space. And after another bull run, it's soon to have public recognition as the coin climbs to $50k and beyond. Bitcoin, when that happens, will be a household word.\n\nNot only is it readily identifiable, bitcoin is also *un-trademarked* due to the open source license of bitcoin. Which means anyone can legally use the word in their title.\n\nSo, for a fork of Bitcoin like Bitcoin Green, it makes sense to use the word bitcoin as it brings strong brand recognition.\n\nHaving chopped out the word Bitcoin, BitGreen is now a generic brand that quite frankly is mixed into the hundreds of other bit-crypto's out there. \n\nBitmoney.\nBitrewards.\nBitgreen.\n\nIn a sea of altcoins, what's the difference? \n\n**Green: Capturing The Environmental Market**\n\nThe original name, Bitcoin Green was readily identifiable. It's bitcoin. It's green. It's a green version of bitcoin.\n\nTo anyone in the crypto space, you can tell that it's a form of bitcoin ( with staking ). To anyone new, they can tell that it's an environmental version of bitcoin.\n\nThis is where the marketing comes in. If bitcoin provides a strong sense of identity in a market saturated with projects, then the word \"green\" is the spear tip of the marketing campaign.\n\nIt's perfect for targeting millennial, who are by nature environmentally minded.\n\nThereby making the project easy to sell. All you'd need to say is, \"heard of bitcoin? Well, we're the green version of bitcoin\". A concept that the old, original name sold without sales or marketing teams opening their mouths.\n\nAs bitcoin rises in price and therefore popularity, it would have been a cinch to bash the bitcoin brand over it's power hungry was and swap out customers from bitcoin to the bitcoin green brand.\n\nEasy peezy. All the Bitcoin Green team has to do was ride on the back of bitcoin's success, like a lea on a dog. Now, however, BitGreen has to distinguish itself from all the other Bit-cryptos out there and verbally draw a picture in peoples minds that it is a green version of bitcoin.\n\n![BitGreen.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNhwe1ExRAdhr2M1MFKXo12tM9buBCQvCLdPe6qNzgvvn/BitGreen.png)\n\n**The Logo**\n\nNow that I have covered the words \"bitcoin\" and \"green\", I have to talk about the new logo. Not to sound like a negative Nancy, there are issues with it as well.\n\nThe original Bitcoin logo is iconic. The style is simple, it not simplistic and that is a good thing. It's a great logo because it scales well and is readily identifiable at different resolutions. Even tiny favicons on your browser tabs are clear.\n\nThe new design has departed visually from the bitcoin style and has adopted a complex design, which your brain interprets differently. Now you have color gradation, straight lines, leaves and worst of all, a thin font.\n\nWhich will be hard to read at smaller scales.\n\n![Bitcoin-Green.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPBp5zeDLBm7kdV9q2qh3Ko8apUBZp8fX1Uxh1P2Rj4YD/Bitcoin-Green.jpg)\n\nThe old logo was perfect. It was bitcoin presented on a mint green leaf. Which is also the color for health.\n\nThe new logo is nice but doesn't compare to the old logo for the reasons listed above. It's a step backwards in my mind. While I am only one person, I think I have a case to think of a roll back of the rebrand.\n\n**Summary**\n\nTo be honest, my first impression of the new image was jarring. To the same scale of the 'tweaks' that Microsoft did when introducing their new live times in Windows 8 & the non-sensical removal of the start button.\n\nI have to say it but this rebrand is a mistake. It doesn't magnify the message, it dilutes it. It doesn't value add, it removes the million dollar bitcoin brand name. It doesn't make sense.\n\nIf I were marketing manager, I'd roll the idea back. Reinstall the old logo and name and then begin blasting bitcoin for being a power hungry beast. And continue to do so while signing up millenials to the new and improved version of bitcoin.\n\nWhich is the original mission. Now the mission is to prove that the change of identity was a good idea.\n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0251] Bitfinex / Tether Court Order... Trigger for Short-Term Crypto Downtrend?",
      "body": "![Tether.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWdRs2B3J1yRghFo9P8fGKHe49UW4M4jKgozdfQEpTBni/Tether.png)\n\nThe crypto market is heating up after the bear Winter. TA chartists are copy-n-pasting the start of the last bull market with great frenzy and everyone can see a bull run on the horizon.\n\nThen today the market dumps, largely due to the recent Tether news. More accounting shenanigans from the stablecoin.\n\nIn my mind this will trigger the predicted downtrend that will see a retest of the bottom of the market somewhere around June, July or August. Then, if history repeats, we are in for a slow and steady uptrend. \n\n![chart.jpeg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmeFMcc9FF65domuMXies7QLLikvqZuTsQNjrCax8jHa9a/chart.jpeg)\n\nLooking at the Bitcoin chart, you can see a correction teetering in the balance. While Bitcoin may not fall as far as it did, keep your eyes on the altcoins. They may well achieve new all time lows over the next 3-4 months, which means your maximum profits can be made by buying in during the period. Before the bull uptrend.\n\nIf you check out coins like #PIVX, it is near to it's 3 monthly lows. Any further down pressure by bitcoin could see a nice chance to pick up some solid altcoins to stake for the bull run.\n\nPersonally, I'm not buying right now but I am busy researching projects outside of my usual favourites list. There are a few gems out there that I will look into further.\n\nAnyhoo, I just wanted to give a heads up on the market and potential for ultra cheap altcoins.\n\nThe Tether news is just starting and I can see further dumping of the market as the news propagates around the crypto market. Given the amount of money in tether ( 75% of all stablecoins ), the court order against Bitfinex and Tether would have a seismic effect of the market. So keep your eyes peeled for some great ( and risky ) trades.\n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0251] Bitfinex Court Order & Tether May Cause Short-Term Crypto Downtrend",
      "body": "![Tether.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWdRs2B3J1yRghFo9P8fGKHe49UW4M4jKgozdfQEpTBni/Tether.png)\n\nThe crypto market is heating up after the bear Winter. TA chartists are copy-n-pasting the start of the last bull market with great frenzy and everyone can see a bull run on the horizon.\n\nThen today the market dumps, largely due to the recent Tether news. More accounting shenanigans from the stablecoin.\n\nIn my mind this will trigger the predicted downtrend that will see a retest of the bottom of the market somewhere around June, July or August. Then, if history repeats, we are in for a slow and steady uptrend. \n\n![chart.jpeg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmeFMcc9FF65domuMXies7QLLikvqZuTsQNjrCax8jHa9a/chart.jpeg)\n\nLooking at the Bitcoin chart, you can see a correction teetering in the balance. While Bitcoin may not fall as far as it did, keep your eyes on the altcoins. They may well achieve new all time lows over the next 3-4 months, which means your maximum profits can be made by buying in during the period. Before the bull uptrend.\n\nIf you check out coins like #PIVX, it is near to it's 3 monthly lows. Any further down pressure by bitcoin could see a nice chance to pick up some solid altcoins to stake for the bull run.\n\nPersonally, I'm not buying right now but I am busy researching projects outside of my usual favourites list. There are a few gems out there that I will look into further.\n\nAnyhoo, I just wanted to give a heads up on the market and potential for ultra cheap altcoins.\n\nThe Tether news is just starting and I can see further dumping of the market as the news propagates around the crypto market. Given the amount of money in tether ( 75% of all stablecoins ), the court order against Bitfinex and Tether would have a seismic effect of the market. So keep your eyes peeled for some great ( and risky ) trades.\n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0250] Celebrating 250 Bitcoin & Crypto Posts",
      "body": "I wouldn't be a real blogger if I didn't rehash content from the internet. So in this 250th edition of the blog, I'm rehashing some of the best bitcoin memes in lieu of worthwhile content.\n\nAfter all, the crappier the post, the more likes you get on the internet.\n\nEnjoy!\n\n![download-12.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQLukJvfFPcXJcGNHTkN5k8Ro1XAbVDdxTL5JajhfXiMY/download-12.png)\n\n![2019-04-09_08-05-40.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmayCxTeckMS2a5A9iArwtYfszKUY4Sh9ajG2n2m3q9jMS/2019-04-09_08-05-40.jpg)\n\n![maxresdefault.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZmA368N1ZuYu6Nq937dffauW9215u7MuzoiPieEydT8V/maxresdefault.jpg)\n\n![4618532.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmav9sxPgwZbed8m2vQDNhRMMojn1iRm4zJsMFjwDZqRai/4618532.jpg)\n\n![1498652934_935_A-2017-Collection-of-the-Past-Six-Month’s-Dank-Crypto-Memes.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWU3oCDkQMVsXKjjTjnmTJJ2pxBrfVLooWLNw1nq1c7t7/1498652934_935_A-2017-Collection-of-the-Past-Six-Month%E2%80%99s-Dank-Crypto-Memes.jpg)",
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      "title": "[0249] Is the Bitcoin Price Spike Signalling A... Downtrend?",
      "body": "@@ -3522,362 +3522,8 @@\n s.%0A%0A\n-While this may be highly inaccurate and bitcoin has broken tradition, it poses a potential problem if this is indeed true. %0A%0A1. How many people will FOMO into the market, inject reserve cash and then the market dumps on their heads?%0A2. If this happens, what is the opportunity cost of locking up your capital, when the real discounts are 3 months away?%0A%0A\n Whil\n@@ -3678,16 +3678,51 @@\n e moment\n+ ( which they are too drunk to do )\n . %0A%0ALike\n@@ -5437,318 +5437,8 @@\n st. \n-I expect we will see a sharp correction in the next 24 hours. As depicted several times on the log charts in the past.%0A%0AA tsunami is coming. So don't just stand there gaping at the spectacle.%0A%0A!%5Bjapan-tsunami.jpg%5D(https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNsNRSFWY9cukXFVK16nYeeoSzayusuDXrqnuUFNu7tcK/japan-tsunami.jpg)\n %0A%0ATh\n",
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      "body": "@@ -2337,16 +2337,18 @@\n market. \n+%0A%0A\n The silv\n@@ -2472,17 +2472,17 @@\n peak. Th\n-i\n+u\n s giving\n@@ -2597,21 +2597,24 @@\n and \n-pu\n+injec\n t the sp\n-e\n ar\n+e\n  cha\n@@ -2661,17 +2661,25 @@\n d out.%0A%0A\n-T\n+Such as t\n he housi\n@@ -2687,16 +2687,23 @@\n g market\n+, which\n  should \n@@ -2956,16 +2956,56 @@\n nt phase\n-\n \n+ we are in and what happened in the past\n .%0A%0A!%5BAug\n@@ -3430,16 +3430,101 @@\n hs away*\n+, despite the price spike yesterday and calls for a bull run by weary bear marketeers\n .%0A%0AWhile\n@@ -3599,16 +3599,26 @@\n poses a \n+potential \n problem \n@@ -3643,16 +3643,245 @@\n true. %0A%0A\n+1. How many people will FOMO into the market, inject reserve cash and then the market dumps on their heads?%0A2. If this happens, what is the opportunity cost of locking up your capital, when the real discounts are 3 months away?%0A%0A\n While ev\n@@ -3945,16 +3945,39 @@\n in chart\n+ ( and so they should )\n , that m\n",
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      "title": "[0249] Is the Bitcoin Price Spike the Catalyst for a... Downtrend?",
      "body": "@@ -2279,27 +2279,35 @@\n e time each \n-tim\n+market cycl\n e.%0A%0AHence th\n",
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      "body": "@@ -451,16 +451,23 @@\n rket is \n+highly \n unstable\n@@ -477,16 +477,53 @@\n ght now.\n+ Which ain't always a positive thing!\n %0A%0AWhile \n@@ -588,19 +588,34 @@\n s, I\n-'m\n+ can't help but\n  think\n-ing\n+ that\n  thi\n@@ -628,15 +628,12 @@\n hat \n-strange\n+eery\n  mom\n@@ -639,18 +639,41 @@\n ment whe\n-re\n+n you're at the beach and\n  you see\n@@ -923,19 +923,22 @@\n r trend \n-but\n+into a\n  long te\n@@ -945,21 +945,39 @@\n rm bull \n-trend\n+run of epic proportions\n . But, I\n@@ -1093,24 +1093,22 @@\n  of \n-realizing\n+the fact\n  I ma\n-de\n+y\n  be \n@@ -1167,18 +1167,12 @@\n les \n-prediction\n+view\n s.%0A%0A\n@@ -1931,18 +1931,18 @@\n th to in\n-l\n f\n+l\n ate a bu\n",
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      "body": "@@ -95,20 +95,42 @@\n ld war 2\n- and\n+. People are cheering. The\n  champag\n",
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      "title": "[0249] Is the Bitcoin Price Spike the Catalyst for a... Downtrend?",
      "body": "Bitcoins 25% rally is the talk of the interwebs. People are rejoicing like it's the end of world war 2 and champagne is flowing.\n\nWhile a giant green candle is a good sign of future gains, I know enough about crypto now to keep my head screwed on and look sideways before I step off the curb.\n\nI ( and many others ) have been predicting a downtrend for some time and to be honest this upspike in price tells me one thing. The market is unstable right now.\n\nWhile crypto Twitter is ablaze with high fives and moonshot memes, I'm thinking this is that strange moment where you see all the sea water being sucked out to sea, leaving fish flapping on the sea bed.\n\nPersonally, I'm turning away from the spectacle and bracing for a tsunami. A downward tsunami.\n\nDon't call me a kill joy, it's just what I see. A short term bear trend but long term bull trend. But, I'm sober that my perspective is just a perspective. A guess. A speculative dice roll.\n\nSo, erring on the side of realizing I made be wrong, I took to the interwebs to look at other peoples predictions.\n\nInterestingly, I came across this gem from 2017. If this dude knew how right they were, they'd flip their wig. What a call about the 2018 market!\n\n![2017 Prediction.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmc5bSzgMTNqDJiZritoWMrSAsqN7oVy529wTvbhyHwa8F/2017%20Prediction.jpg)\n\nThe thing about this chart is that it is the bitcoin *logarithmic* chart, not the standard crappy *linear* chart that you get on CoinMartketCap, etc.\n\n![chart.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNdFSEoRkxpwdVtW3PetRmJFa72JBtmp8pUHkU88Bc69T/chart.png)\n\nWhich shows you none of the previous bull runs nor the fact they look like carbon copies of each other. A fractal pattern repeating upwards, with more and more dollars each time.\n\nThe only real difference is that the time length to inlfate a bull market and deflate into a bear bottom is slightly longer each market cycle. This is due to the fact more money needs to flow into and then out of the market, which takes a little more time each time.\n\nHence the long, drawn out bear market. The silver lining is that the next bull run, theoretically, should last longer. With a slightly longer euphoria phase at the peak. This giving you and me a little extra time to sell the top and exit the crypto market with bags of cash to buy a Tesla and put the spear change into other markets that have bottomed out.\n\nThe housing market should be ripe for the picking buy then.\n\nLet's get back to the logarithmic chart and do some detective work. This chart depicts the previous bull run of 2014 and the bear market that lasted until nearly 2016.\n\nThe thing to pay attention to is the current phase.\n\n![August 2019 Bitcoin Log Chart.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmdiWF6F4YGRYUofg1njZ3Hp2EbEGrWhCcoK1Tk5Fcianp/August%202019%20Bitcoin%20Log%20Chart.jpg)\n\nThe last time the market bottomed, it took approx. 9 months to amble sideways before the market broke out into a proper bull run.\n\nIf you plot the same time scale, that would put a *solid* bull run somewhere around July-August, 2019. \n\nWhich is still *several months away*.\n\nWhile this may be highly inaccurate and bitcoin has broken tradition, it poses a problem if this is indeed true. \n\nWhile everyone is high-fiving the giant green candle on the bitcoin chart, that means no one is really looking out for risk at the moment. \n\nLike anytime, there's plenty of risk to factor for. A giant green candle just *changes* the kinds of risk you have to be on the look out for. It doesn't eliminate danger.\n\n1. A giant green candle is the result of whale trading. Someone with a lot of capital that is an expert trader, has a strategy, which probably involves creating FOMO in the retail market. \n2. Ask yourself, why was this trade don't publicly and not over the counter in the private and stable-priced market? This person wanted their trade to stir retail / noobs in a 'candy from a baby' scenario.\n3. Recent reports suggest that up to 90% of trading volume is fake. Which, if true, makes the crypto market weaker than it actually is. And does not have the volume to support such a euphoric rise.\n\nIn my mind, sure, profits can be made but the risk profile is too high to enter the market unless you really know what you're doing and are 100% managing your trades. \n\nIn my mind, the risk of a price drop is high at the moment. And while I have a view to the upside, that view is weak by contrast against my view that we are going to see a slingshot to the downside.\n\nA slingshot?\n\nYep.\n\nWhat happens to retail sentiment if the price falls back to where it was? A massive deflation in sentiment. Any price reduction at this stage will trigger peoples anxieties about having to endure 'more bear market'. Technical chartists will see the current height as a resistance level to 'make or break' level. And so on.\n\nIn my mind, the sudden price spike is a catalyst for the downward move that has been on the cards. A 2-3 month downtrend. More sideways action to a firm bottom.\n\nIf I've learned anything from euphoric highs in the past, they don't last. I expect we will see a sharp correction in the next 24 hours. As depicted several times on the log charts in the past.\n\nA tsunami is coming. So don't just stand there gaping at the spectacle.\n\n![japan-tsunami.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNsNRSFWY9cukXFVK16nYeeoSzayusuDXrqnuUFNu7tcK/japan-tsunami.jpg)\n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0248] Bitcoin: 'Technical Analysis' vs 'Psychological Assessment' of the Market",
      "body": "@@ -1151,20 +1151,29 @@\n son \n-patterns all\n+analogies are used to\n  rep\n@@ -1223,16 +1223,18 @@\n t now.  \n+%0A%0A\n As a sec\n@@ -1246,16 +1246,71 @@\n y layer,\n+ to confirm your psychological profiling of the market,\n  TA work\n@@ -1391,16 +1391,19 @@\n formance\n+...\n  which i\n@@ -1475,17 +1475,30 @@\n  place? \n-G\n+Intellectual g\n uesstima\n@@ -1619,165 +1619,427 @@\n ions\n-!%0A%0AAfter all, when you buy or sell a coin, you think something. Compile the collective thinking about the markets and viola, you have a price chart. Which is\n+ of thought! Every human being comes equipped with the ability to understand them! We come with the most sophisticated facial & body recognition software that leaves the NSA to shame. So use it when charting!%0A%0AWhen you buy or sell a coin, you think something, right? The price charts you loom at all day, every day are nothing more than the collective thinking about the markets. Additionally, price charts are not only\n  a h\n@@ -2070,17 +2070,8 @@\n  of \n-not just \n what\n@@ -2103,18 +2103,20 @@\n n time. \n-It\n+They\n  also sh\n@@ -2174,16 +2174,135 @@\n  felt.%0A%0A\n+To me, the price charts are a thought pattern. A blip of human psychology rising in enthusiasm and dipping with fear.%0A%0A\n But psyc\n@@ -2446,32 +2446,41 @@\n pious lines and \n+moveable-\n triangles on a c\n@@ -2601,17 +2601,17 @@\n sis \n+*\n without \n-*\n psyc\n@@ -2631,16 +2631,17 @@\n r basis*\n+,\n  is just\n",
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      "title": "[0248] Bitcoin: 'Technical Analysis' vs 'Psychological Assessment' of the Market",
      "body": "@@ -1050,17 +1050,27 @@\n eir \n-viewpoint\n+lines and triangles\n .%0A%0AM\n",
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      "title": "[0248] Bitcoin: 'Technical Analysis' vs 'Psychological Assessment' of the Market",
      "body": "@@ -646,21 +646,22 @@\n llectual\n- look\n+-sound\n ing meth\n@@ -671,12 +671,12 @@\n  to \n-calm\n+hide\n  the\n",
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      "title": "[0248] Bitcoin: 'Technical Analysis' vs 'Psychological Assessment' of the Market",
      "body": "@@ -288,32 +288,24 @@\n g)%0A%0A\n-Listening to the various\n+Right now, among\n  You\n@@ -359,239 +359,55 @@\n e's \n-a hankering for a bull run. I use the word hankering because their is an impatience for the bear market to be over. Which may be distorting peoples view of the market and where things are actually at.%0A%0ARight now, technical analysis\n+talk of a bull run. Technical analysis charting\n  is \n@@ -689,16 +689,58 @@\n usion.%0A%0A\n+The market is poised to do... something.%0A%0A\n The thin\n",
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      "author": "skyflowers",
      "permlink": "0248-bitcoin-technical-analysis-vs-psychological-assessment-of-the-market",
      "title": "[0248] Bitcoin: 'Technical Analysis' vs 'Psychological Assessment' of the Market",
      "body": "![how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaCbuYMK2ULu5Xiagybk8EeGFUuhniViB7is6awXK5FGA/how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png)\n\nListening to the various YouTubers & commentators in the crypto space, there's a hankering for a bull run. I use the word hankering because their is an impatience for the bear market to be over. Which may be distorting peoples view of the market and where things are actually at.\n\nRight now, technical analysis is out in force. 'Lines & triangles' are madly being drawn on screens around the world to reflect both up trends and a down trends at the same time. And like usual, nobody really knows what the hell is going on and is resorting to intellectual looking methods to calm their confusion.\n\nThe thing I marvel at is that TA is usually *completely disconnected* from human psychology. It's divorced like it's a completely different language. As though human beings don't think or emote when they trade! Analysts rarely, if ever, throw in a gut instinct ( or common sense ) to back up ( or, hold up ) their viewpoint.\n\nMath, past trends, descending triangles, cup and handle patterns, Bart Simpson patterns all replace what people actually think & feel right now.  As a secondary layer, TA works wonders. As a primary layer, what is it backed by? Math? Past market performance which is really what people thought last time the market was in the same place? Guesstimates that you can sell to subscribers?\n\nQuit the nonsense and back your TA with emotional cycles & logical progressions!\n\nAfter all, when you buy or sell a coin, you think something. Compile the collective thinking about the markets and viola, you have a price chart. Which is a historical representation of not just what people thought at a given time. It also shows how they *acted* based on what they thought and felt.\n\nBut psychology is just not trendy or seemingly applicable in the crypto space. Rather, it sounds a hell of a lot more intellectual if you draw copious lines and triangles on a chart instead of confessing that you're guessing and just don't know what will happen next.\n\nPeeps, technical analysis without *psychology as your basis* is just lines and triangles! \n\nMarkets are about the actions people take. Price charts are a depiction of a brainwave. So how the hell did we arrive at the idea that none of that correlates to the price charts when predicting probabilities?\n\nYou don't have to be a PhD to figure out the market is weak, egos are bruised and people are impatient to escape the bear market. All of this will manifest in the market at some stage. It has too. Reality always trumps fantasy. Just look at what happened at the end of the last bull run and hype cycle if you don't believe me.\n\n**The Psychology of the Current Market**\n\n![Charts.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZbnXR6L5KNy4kSN6kT9iBiZKzCBymUNJEpNNzP5c4ruy/Charts.jpg)\n\nIn my mind, there is a high chance that the crypto market is in for a 'step down' which would mean we are currently experiencing a 'slow bull trap'. Sure, money can be made from alts popping off but the risk on your trades is high compared to if this were a bull run. So, sure, you can get in and get out and that's a good play.\n\nBut on the macro side of things, the market is poised to step lower rather than move higher. To me, the market feels 'weighed down', top heavy rather than buoyant, exuberant and enthusiastic. \n\nI think you would agree and it didn't take you haveing a PhD in behavioural psychology did it?\n\nOne chart I like to reference is the emotional cycles of trading chart that has been rehashed a million times but none of the fundamental principles are fully understood. The sequence and fixed progression of the chart gives you a solid framework and macro picture of what to expect.\n\n![how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaCbuYMK2ULu5Xiagybk8EeGFUuhniViB7is6awXK5FGA/how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png)\n\nRight now, we are between despair and hope. Again it doesn't take a doctorate in psychology to see that's about right. So what does that mean? It means that those 'archetypes' will be playing out right now, coloring peoples perceptions of the market. And therefore, shaping their actions.\n\nSimply put, those emotional patterns distort (a) where people think the market is at vs (b) where the market is actually at. People are desperate to leave the bear market and hope that it will come soon. \n\nWhich is pretty accurate statement because the hope in the market at the moment is really \"desperation for gains\" made by a bunch of amateur retail speculators *wanting* the market to be in a bull run when it is not. Blunt but accurate, no?\n\nThe mistake speculators are making right now is that they want to skip to weeks of parabolic moonshots when in fact, a bull run takes time to gather steam to shoot to those highs.\n\nA bull run is coming, but not yet. So a far better play is to let the market be what it is and gear your bets accordingly. Sage advice that is often ignored.\n\nWe *want* the market to be green but hope is not what drives strong confidence. Or an inflow of strong and steady capital, day by day, week after week. \n\nIn fact, the reverse is true. \n\nGiven that many retail investors are up to their eyeballs in credit card, student loan, auto loan and / or mortgage debt, the chance of false confidence right now is *high*. Couple this with recent reports of 90% fake trading volume on CoinMarketCap ( an allegation to which their developers felt the need to respond to ) and you have *even higher risk* of a steep decline in price to the double bottom many of the more seasoned, objective analysts predict.\n\nYeah, I want my bright red Tesla Roadster too but am savvy enough to know my wanting the market to be strong and support my, yours and everyone else's grandiose plans is just not the current reality. That kind of market is at least a year or two away.\n\nThis doesn't mean that the price of Bitcoin will drop. But, in my mind, the risk is too extreme to simply wade into the market based on what I perceive as opposite trading signals. I.e. The opposite of reality.\n\nThis is the downside of hope. On the positive side, we have seem a glimmer of a bull market. On the negative side, something you do have to watch for when trading, hope is a projection. It's a desire for things to come. Hope is not about the current reality. It's a 'later' thing that we wnat right now. It's the oasis in the desert that turns out to be a mirage.\n\nRight now, despair has driven the market to become drunk on hopium. Something to be aware of when setting up your trades. \n\nTo be fair and not be viewed as a FUDster, enter trades but just be aware. On the macro side, we are headed for a bull run but first I can see a decline in the price, perhaps a sharp one given the fickle enthusiasm and bruising from a long bear market. A sharp sell off is quite logical as hopium is brought back to reality so something stable can be built. \n\nMark my words, if there is a decline, every man and his dog will Tether / stablecoin their precious and hard-fought gains over the last 3 months. Thus causing a spiral downwards.\n\nNot out of the question and I think April is when we will see that. Perhaps several cascading events to the bottom of the market and the acknowledgement that we - and the market - are *depressed*. That acknolwedge is when things click into place and a new chapter, a new 'emotional cycle' is born.\n\nFrom what I know about human emotion is that we don't get to skip any of them. Nor does the market which is a collective of human beings and their emotions.\n\nApril looks like being a decline and so frankly does May, trickle-sliding down into June. In my mind, somewhere around June or July is when we see a double ( or triple ) bottom, perhaps even slightly lower than the previous lows. Then August we arrive in Hope-town. And the uptrend everyone is thirsting for.\n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0247] Counter Productive: Don't HODL Your Crypto, SPEDN it!",
      "body": "@@ -1115,10 +1115,14 @@\n g.%0A%0A\n-To\n+I just\n  cou\n@@ -1143,16 +1143,29 @@\n and the \n+logic of the \n die hard\n@@ -1175,16 +1175,51 @@\n ntality.\n+ Or how things came to be that way.\n  In my m\n",
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      "permlink": "0247-counter-productive-don-t-hodl-your-crypto-spedn-it",
      "title": "[0247] Counter Productive: Don't HODL Your Crypto, SPEDN it!",
      "body": "![bitcoin.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaUzGm1GnG83dDfy4iYfr7jLV2kpjHUYfAKQvW8eA8UTS/bitcoin.jpg)\n\nWhen I first got into crypto, it was mid-2017. The bull run was just starting to get interesting and I was busy reading everything crypto. \n\nIt didn't take long until I came across Bitconnect, Bitcoin Maximalism and HODLing.\n\nWhen I came across the concept of HODLing, it seemed a little strange to me. I could see the reasoning for it but could also see there were some great big holes in it. Those holes became apparent in early 2018 when the market began declining and I increasingly heard of crypto speculators HODLing and not selling the top.\n\nThe idea of holding onto an asset in a declining market seemed insane to me. The argument to do so was some sort of kamikaze, die hard mentality like it meant you were a true disciple of the messiah.\n\nAs the price of Bitcoin slumped through 2018, I heard mind blowing stories of people who had held $300k portfolios down to $6k. People were crying out and I could not believe the widespread number of these HODLers who ignored the basics of math and investing.\n\nTo could not understand the die hard mentality. In my mind, selling at the top and buying 5x as many of your favourite coin at the bottom of the market seemed to be a much better way to serve the blockchain gods *and* make some coin from investing.\n\nHow did such a cult become the norm?\n\nHODLing is a strange beast and if you fast forward to where the crypto space is right now, such an attitude may kill the market. With the likes of IBM's World Wire coming online, Facebook announcing their coin and a whole host of big league players slathering at the mouth to get into the market, the days for libertarian blockchains to gain mass adoption and scuttle the banks and the status quo are running out.\n\nSure, Bitcoin will have market share. But it would have a hell of a lot more market share if people were out their SPEDNing their bitcoin and not HODLing it in their fallout shelters while waiting for the projected FIAT armageddon.\n\nWhile HODLing does have it's pro's, it certainly has it's cons as felt by all those people who ignored the rule of math and falling markets. One con I'm interested in is the 'cultural bias' of early Bitcoiners to HODL and keep their digital blips rather than SPEDN them.\n\nWith Bitcoin desperately needing a final push into the mass market, the mentality of HODLing is akin to driving with the brakes on. Given that the space is magnetically gravitating towards a HODL mentality, it will be that much more difficult for the pendulum to swing towards the SPEDNing of Bitcoin and other digital assets. And thereby drive the sword of justice and freedom further into the heart of the beast of banking.\n\nWhile HODLing will make individuals wealthy, it won't make us all free from the chains of the status quo that desperately needs disrupting.\n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Crypto Commentator & Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia.\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"Pro System\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0246] Crypto Market Sags, Despite Trading Volume Rivalling 2017-18 Bull Run",
      "body": "Despite the positive sounding ( if not, click-baity ) headline, the fact that the current total trading volume rivals the peak of the last bull run is... well... umm... a negative.\n\nHow?\n\nIf you look at the chart, the amount of trading volume is increasing. So how is that a bad thing?\n\n![2019-03-28_14-09-26.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNS7w3r68mzbxmum6aXeYqkKE6aqxrzazYRLQV2Ecc724/2019-03-28_14-09-26.jpg)\n\nThe fact that the total market cap for crypto is only in a slight uptick, despite the increased trading suggests something isn't right. Why won't the lead balloon inflate? We all want it to, so what is the problem? \n\nFor Bitcoin to only rise 10-15% in the last month, with all that extra attention suggests that there is increased *activity*, yes. But there is also a lot of sell-side action that keeps the price in check.\n\nSure, altcoins have been popping off but don't mistake that for positivity. The random nature of those gains, while amazing, is like trying to catch pop corn. Which one will pop next?\n\nSure, chase altcoin gains but just know that the overall market is teetering on a correction. You can almost heard the floorboards creaking under the strain.\n\nNow before you scream FUD, there's a lot of evidence to suggest a downturn to a \"double bottom\". \n\nWhat could add fuel to the fire is a recent report ( source escapes me at the time of writing, but it has been talked about quite widely ) indicated that **90% of trading volume** is... fake. False reports by crypto exchanges who want to appear more popular and liquid than they are.\n\nEven if the report is incorrect and all reported volume is accurate, you're still looking at a market that is trying to grind it's way upwards via hopium rather than organic and lustrous growth. \n\n![how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaCbuYMK2ULu5Xiagybk8EeGFUuhniViB7is6awXK5FGA/how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png)\n\nAs I wrote in earlier posts, the crypto market is in \"despair\" in terms of the market cycle. And \"desperation for gains\" after a long bear market is one of the drivers of growth in the retail market. A market populated by amateur investors, most of whom are up to their eyeballs in some kind of credit card or mortgage debt.\n\nSo I take the current market sentiment and calls of \"altcoin season\" with a grain of salt. I'm also very wary of a whole bunch of scaredy cats exiting the market should things even show signs of a downtrend. \n\nDon't get me wrong, there are gains to be made but be quick to exit the market with your bag of cash when you make them. There is no solid bottom of the market yet, let along strong and sustained confidence in the price, so a correction is an increased risk when trading right now.\n\nNews is not all bad. In fact, none of what I have said is negative or FUD. It's just probabilities. And if you're an investor, you factor for possibilities and don't sit around wanting the market to move higher. \n\nIf I had to apply a timeframe, we're looking at a correction in April and a month or three on the bottom before a strong and steady incline for the next bull run. I expect June-July will be the confirmed bottom of the market. So I'm saving my pennies and selling anything not bolted down on eBay. \n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0246] Crypto Market Sags, Despite Trading Volume Rivalling 2017-18 Bull Run",
      "body": "Despite the positive sounding ( if not, click-baity ) headline, the fact that the current total trading volume rivals the peak of the last bull run is... well... umm... a negative.\n\nHow?\n\nIf you look at the chart, the amount of trading volume is increasing. So how is that a bad thing?\n\n![2019-03-28_14-09-26.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNS7w3r68mzbxmum6aXeYqkKE6aqxrzazYRLQV2Ecc724/2019-03-28_14-09-26.jpg)\n\nThe fact that the total market cap for crypto is only in a slight uptick, despite the increased trading suggests something isn't right. Why won't the lead balloon inflate? We all want it to, so what is the problem? \n\nFor Bitcoin to only rise 10-15% in the last month, with all that extra attention suggests that there is increased *activity*, yes. But there is also a lot of sell-side action that keeps the price in check.\n\nSure, altcoins have been popping off but don't mistake that for positivity. The random nature of those gains, while amazing, is like trying to catch pop corn. Which one will pop next?\n\nSure, chase altcoin gains but just know that the overall market is teetering on a correction. You can almost heard the floorboards creaking under the strain.\n\nNow before you scream FUD, there's a lot of evidence to suggest a downturn to a \"double bottom\". \n\nWhat could add fuel to the fire is a recent report ( source escapes me at the time of writing, but it has been talked about quite widely ) indicated that **90% of trading volume** is... fake. False reports by crypto exchanges who want to appear more popular and liquid than they are.\n\nEven if the report is incorrect and all reported volume is accurate, you're still looking at a market that is trying to grind it's way upwards via hopium rather than organic and lustrous growth. \n\n![how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaCbuYMK2ULu5Xiagybk8EeGFUuhniViB7is6awXK5FGA/how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png)\n\nAs I wrote in earlier posts, the crypto market is in \"despair\" in terms of the market cycle. And \"desperation for gains\" after a long bear market is one of the drivers of growth in the retail market. A market populated by amateur investors, most of whom are up to their eyeballs in some kind of credit card or mortgage debt.\n\nSo I take the current market sentiment and calls of \"altcoin season\" with a grain of salt. I'm also very wary of a whole bunch of scaredy cats exiting the market should things even show signs of a downtrend. \n\nDon't get me wrong, there are gains to be made but be quick to exit the market with your bag of cash when you make them. There is no solid bottom of the market yet, let along strong and sustained confidence in the price, so a correction is an increased risk when trading right now.\n\nNews is not all bad. In fact, none of what I have said is negative or FUD. It's just probabilities. And if you're an investor, you factor for possibilities and don't sit around wanting the market to move higher. \n\nIf I had to apply a timeframe, we're looking at a correction in April and a month or three on the bottom before a strong and steady incline for the next bull run. I expect June-July will be the confirmed bottom of the market. So I'm saving my pennies and selling anything not bolted down on eBay. \n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "title": "[0246] Crypto Market: Trading Volume Rivals 2017-18 Bull Run",
      "body": "@@ -624,17 +624,17 @@\n  problem\n-.\n+?\n  %0A%0AFor B\n",
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      "title": "[0246] Crypto Market: Trading Volume Rivals 2017-18 Bull Run",
      "body": "@@ -547,16 +547,95 @@\n  right. \n+Why won't the lead balloon inflate? We all want it to, so what is the problem. \n %0A%0AFor Bi\n",
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      "title": "[0246] Crypto Market: Trading Volume Rivals 2017-18 Bull Run",
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      "title": "[0246] Crypto Market: Trading Volume Rivals 2017-18 Bull Run",
      "body": "Despite the positive sounding ( if not, click-baity ) headline, the fact that the current total trading volume rivals for crypto the peak of the last bull run is... well... umm... a negative.\n\nHow?\n\nIf you look at the chart, the amount of trading volume is increasing. So how is that a bad thing?\n\n![2019-03-28_14-09-26.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNS7w3r68mzbxmum6aXeYqkKE6aqxrzazYRLQV2Ecc724/2019-03-28_14-09-26.jpg)\n\nThe fact that the total market cap for crypto is only in a slight uptick, despite the increased trading suggests something isn't right. \n\nFor Bitcoin to only rise 10-15% in the last month, with all that extra attention suggests that there is increased *activity*, yes. But there is also a lot of sell-side action that keeps the price in check.\n\nSure, altcoins have been popping off but don't mistake that for positivity. The random nature of those gains, while amazing, is like trying to catch pop corn. Which one will pop next?\n\nSure, chase altcoin gains but just know that the overall market is teetering on a correction. You can almost heard the floorboards creaking under the strain.\n\nNow before you scream FUD, there's a lot of evidence to suggest a downturn to a \"double bottom\". \n\nWhat could add fuel to the fire is a recent report ( source escapes me at the time of writing, but it has been talked about quite widely ) indicated that **90% of trading volume** is... fake. False reports by crypto exchanges who want to appear more popular and liquid than they are.\n\nEven if the report is incorrect and all reported volume is accurate, you're still looking at a market that is trying to grind it's way upwards via hopium rather than organic and lustrous growth. \n\n![how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaCbuYMK2ULu5Xiagybk8EeGFUuhniViB7is6awXK5FGA/how-to-eliminate-emotions-from-trading-trading-psychology-fx-trader-forex-thecycleofemotionsjfd_pr2.png)\n\nAs I wrote in earlier posts, the crypto market is in \"despair\" in terms of the market cycle. And \"desperation for gains\" after a long bear market is one of the drivers of growth in the retail market. A market populated by amateur investors, most of whom are up to their eyeballs in some kind of credit card or mortgage debt.\n\nSo I take the current market sentiment and calls of \"altcoin season\" with a grain of salt. I'm also very wary of a whole bunch of scaredy cats exiting the market should things even show signs of a downtrend. \n\nDon't get me wrong, there are gains to be made but be quick to exit the market with your bag of cash when you make them. There is no solid bottom of the market yet, let along strong and sustained confidence in the price, so a correction is an increased risk when trading right now.\n\nNews is not all bad. In fact, none of what I have said is negative or FUD. It's just probabilities. And if you're an investor, you factor for possibilities and don't sit around wanting the market to move higher. \n\nIf I had to apply a timeframe, we're looking at a correction in April and a month or three on the bottom before a strong and steady incline for the next bull run. I expect June-July will be the confirmed bottom of the market. So I'm saving my pennies and selling anything not bolted down on eBay. \n\nThanks for watching,\n\nBrendan Rohan - Indie developer of 'next gen' natural medicine from Melbourne, Australia\n\nWww.Skyflowers.co ( see \"botany\" tab for the plant research )\nWww.ClinicalFlowerTherapy.com\nSocial @iSkyflowers\nYouTube Skyflowers.Tv\n\nIf you support natural medicine and an independent research project that began in 1997, then steem me. The creds I get will help me provide a solid body of information that future generations can build upon.\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------\nDISCLAIMER: This article and all information on this channel & all content is offered purely for educational & entertainment purposes. Always do your own research when investing money and seek the help of a registered financial advisor.",
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      "body": "Congratulations @skyflowers! You have completed the following achievement on the Steem blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/60x70/http://steemitboard.com/@skyflowers/votes.png?201903252240</td><td>You made more than 200 upvotes. Your next target is to reach 300 upvotes.</td></tr>\n</table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@skyflowers) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](http://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=skyflowers)_</sub>\n<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>\n\n\nTo support your work, I also upvoted your post!\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/3-years-on-steem-happy-birthday-the-distribution-of-commemorative-badges-has-begun\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://u.cubeupload.com/arcange/BG6u6k.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/3-years-on-steem-happy-birthday-the-distribution-of-commemorative-badges-has-begun\">3 years on Steem - The distribution of commemorative badges has begun!</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/happy-birthday-the-steem-blockchain-is-running-for-3-years\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://u.cubeupload.com/arcange/BG6u6k.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/happy-birthday-the-steem-blockchain-is-running-for-3-years\">Happy Birthday! The Steem blockchain is running for 3 years.</a></td></tr></table>\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "title": "[0245] Crypto Market Forecast: April-May Downtrend to 'Double Bottom'",
      "body": "@@ -3675,16 +3675,44 @@\n nter. %0A%0A\n+**Hope is on the Horizon**%0A%0A\n Right no\n@@ -3758,32 +3758,15 @@\n zon \n-and not even solidified,\n+but has\n  not\n@@ -4112,14 +4112,213 @@\n ty. \n-Hoping\n+A great example is over-committing capital and draining your cash flow ( now ) when the height of the bull market and profits are a year or two away. That's one example of hope-gone-wrong.%0A%0ABasically, hope\n  is \n@@ -4339,18 +4339,20 @@\n not now-\n-ba\n+focu\n sed and \n@@ -4406,20 +4406,22 @@\n go into \n-them\n+it all\n  here in\n@@ -4446,20 +4446,27 @@\n l cover \n-them\n+it properly\n  when we\n",
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      "title": "[0245] Crypto Market Forecast: April-May Downtrend to 'Double Bottom'",
      "body": "@@ -5052,29 +5052,14 @@\n ays \n-as we decide to begin\n+before\n  the\n@@ -5075,16 +5075,29 @@\n mb into \n+what will be \n an epic \n@@ -5110,16 +5110,36 @@\n arket.%0A%0A\n+Epic, peeps, epic!%0A%0A\n Thanks f\n",
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      "title": "[0245] Crypto Market Forecast: April-May Downtrend to 'Double Bottom'",
      "body": "@@ -4774,49 +4774,85 @@\n who \n-only know how to make ga\n+will scurry around and redraw their technical l\n in\n+e\n s \n-in an uptrend\n+of intellectual guesswork\n . Ap\n@@ -4875,16 +4875,25 @@\n which I \n+actually \n thought \n@@ -4914,16 +4914,56 @@\n id-March\n+, to rectify the Whale movement on Feb 9\n  ) and M\n",
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      "title": "[0245] Crypto Market Forecast: April-May Downtrend to 'Double Bottom'",
      "body": "@@ -3533,29 +3533,208 @@\n e.%0A%0A\n-Right now, %22hope%22 has\n+So I *expect* the community to misread the market and miss the chance of a downtrend when coins appear to be popping off after the bear Winter. %0A%0ARight now, %22hope%22 has just appeared on the horizon and\n  not\n@@ -3905,16 +3905,46 @@\n en.%0A%0ABut\n+ like any psychological stage,\n  %22hope%22 \n@@ -3985,20 +3985,24 @@\n res you \n-with\n+to think\n  positiv\n@@ -4009,32 +4009,35 @@\n ity \n-on one hand but can also\n+about the future, which can\n  lea\n@@ -4069,75 +4069,119 @@\n ions\n-. Hoping is future-based and problematic and with it's own pitfalls\n+ based on your current reality. Hoping is future-based, not now-based and can be just as problematic as despair\n . I \n@@ -4257,16 +4257,29 @@\n  arrived\n+ in Hope-town\n . %0A%0AFor \n",
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      "title": "[0245] Crypto Market Forecast: April-May Downtrend to 'Double Bottom'",
      "body": "@@ -3270,16 +3270,42 @@\n ng about\n+ a market full of amateur,\n  *retail\n@@ -3391,16 +3391,42 @@\n ts, you \n+have to be wary. You also \n can't ex\n@@ -3468,18 +3468,21 @@\n n day 1 \n-of\n+after\n  an 15 m\n",
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      "title": "[0245] Crypto Market Forecast: April-May Downtrend to 'Double Bottom'",
      "body": "@@ -3244,16 +3244,246 @@\n acts%22.%0A%0A\n+Given we are talking about *retail* investors, many of whom are up to their eyeballs in credit card and other debts, you can't expect a solid return of the market on day 1 of an 15 month bear market. That's hopium, not reliable.%0A%0A\n Right no\n@@ -3500,16 +3500,21 @@\n has not \n+even \n solidifi\n",
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      "body": "@@ -2585,23 +2585,8 @@\n oin,\n- Binance Token,\n  etc\n@@ -2982,16 +2982,95 @@\n  views. \n+So the extreme weakness and high risk of a downtrend at any time is ignored. %0A%0A\n Hope, as\n",
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      "body": "@@ -1824,16 +1824,40 @@\n rence.%0A%0A\n+So bolt your TA to it!%0A%0A\n To be ho\n",
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      "body": "@@ -1497,16 +1497,22 @@\n s.%0A%0AThe \n+cycle \n chart is\n@@ -1516,23 +1516,33 @@\n  is \n-the fundamental\n+one of the core principle\n s of\n@@ -1556,16 +1556,19 @@\n analysis\n+...\n  but it \n",
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      "body": "@@ -1093,28 +1093,111 @@\n mple\n-, if not simplistic.\n+. I think like a human being. I ask myself, what will other human beings do? What will be the reaction?\n %0A%0AOn\n",
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      "title": "[0245] Crypto Market Forecast: April-May Downtrend to 'Double Bottom'",
      "body": "@@ -1420,16 +1420,342 @@\n e chart \n+is the fundamentals of chart analysis but it tends to be treated like an interesting curiosity found while surfing the internet. Peeps, that chart is for predicting macro trends and where the market is heading next! It should be the foundation for TA and what all those lines and triangles reference.%0A%0ATo be honest, the chart \n above is\n@@ -1784,16 +1784,32 @@\n accurate\n+ and serviceable\n . There \n@@ -1975,16 +1975,44 @@\n r two.%0A%0A\n+**Between Despair & Hope**%0A%0A\n If you l\n@@ -3243,16 +3243,294 @@\n appen.%0A%0A\n+But %22hope%22 has it's downsides too. Hope inspires you with positivity on one hand but can also lead to unrealistic expectations. Hoping is future-based and problematic and with it's own pitfalls. I won't go into them here in this post and will cover them when we have arrived. %0A%0A\n For now,\n@@ -3597,16 +3597,51 @@\n e market\n+ and still in the region of despair\n . %0A%0A!%5BCh\n",
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