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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "bitcoin",
      "author": "pinko",
      "permlink": "why-bitcoin-is-not-a-tulip-making-sense-of-bitcoin-critiques",
      "title": "Why bitcoin is not a tulip: making sense of bitcoin critiques",
      "body": "<center><h3>Bitcoin is not a safe investment. </h3></center>\n\n<center><img src=\"http://images.all-free-download.com/images/graphiclarge/red_tulip_516769.jpg\"></center>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;I believe in the future of bitcoin and the future of the crypto market, but I will not tell you it's risk-free. I will not make sensational predictions about price because I simply do not know. Is $1 million dollars per coin possible? Sure, but that's a complex question. Placing the bitcoin market over 21 trillion dollars should make you wonder what's going on with the spending power of a dollar. In this distant hypothetical future, maybe you want to measure the value of bitcoin in <a href=\"http://www.economist.com/content/big-mac-index\">big macs</a> to get a better idea of how much money you *really* have.\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;My The point is that I’m not cheerleading for bitcoin. There are real challenges ahead for the community, and there are real risks to holding a cryptocurrency. The success of bitcoin will depend on solving problems such and listening to valid criticisms from users. Despite these very real risks, there are several criticisms of bitcoin (and the cryptocurrency space in general) floating around that are not constructive. Especially for those new to cryptocurrency, we need to separate the legitimate critiques from the fallacies to construct a fundamental analysis of bitcoin.\n\n<center><h3>Bitcoin is in a bubble just like the dutch tulip bubble!</h3></center>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;This argument is usually accompanied by a claim that bitcoin has no inherent value. Sometimes the words \"pyramid\" or \"ponzi\" are thrown around, although these have specific definitions which don't fit with bitcoin. Namely that bitcoin, unlike pyramid or ponzi investment schemes, is not an enterprise. Exchanges are enterprises, mining is an enterprise, but bitcoin itself is not an enterprise.\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;The first question you need to ask yourself about bitcoin: what does it do? It serves as a token to store and transfer value. Money has always been subject to technological improvements- paper is easier to spend than gold, and credit cards and ACH transfers are even easier. Blockchain technology, which bitcoin pioneered for public use, offers greater security and convenience than existing payment systems. Bitcoin itself offers a <a href=https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Controlled_supply>transparent and predictable rate of supply</a> that cannot be altered by any one organization, and is currently the most widely accepted digital currency.\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;So why doesn’t the Dutch tulip bubble help us understand Bitcoin? The Dutch tulip comparison is poor because tulips were not a new technological development in 17th century Holland. The Dutch people had likely seen centuries of relatively stable tulip prices, only to have their value explode in a short period of time. There were likely not too many people just discovering tulips, nor was the tulip infrastructure rapidly expanding. To get an idea of the true value behind bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, we need to compare growth with that of other emerging technologies, and underlying value in terms of industries where blockchain projects can be valuable. \n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Although we have plenty of tech to compare bitcoin with, stocks of technology companies may not be analogous to bitcoin either. Facebook, for example, truly pioneered social media for the masses, though Facebook’s IPO was 8 years after the website began. The massive growth we've seen in Bitcoin over the last 2 years is only a bit more impressive than the rate <a href=\"http://www.benphoster.com/facebook-user-growth-chart-2004-2010/\">Facebook acquired users</a> from 2007 to 2009. Facebook grew from 20 million users to over 400 million users from July 2007 to December 2009, a factor of over 2000%. Bitcoin has managed to shave a few months off that timeline, nearing 2000% growth in the period between August 2015 and August 2017. A growth factor of 2000% might be a reason to look for a potential bubble, but does not confirm a bubble by itself.\n\n <a href=\"http://www.benphoster.com/facebook-user-growth-chart-2004-2010/\"><img src=\"http://www.benphoster.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/Facebook-User-Growth-Chart.png\"></a>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;While the Facebook growth comparison is also imperfect- the price of bitcoin is not directly correlated to the number of people using bitcoin since each person is bringing a different sum of wealth to the table, it provides a better view of what can happen when people begin to adopt a new technology. While there are patterns in price action, there are no rules. While it could pay to watch competition from both traditional and alternative financial services, you're unlikely to see bitcoin's place in the economy replaced by tulips or beanie babies. Any worthwhile critique of bitcoin should recognize it as a financial tool, and not an ornamental bulb or collectible toy.\n\n<center><h3>The cryptocurrency market is only for criminals! </h3></center>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;While this is a really fascinating ethical discussion, it has absolutely nothing to do with price targets. Why would it? The conclusion of this argument is usually that bitcoin will fade in to the shadowy, criminal fringe of society once upstanding investors realize they’ve inadvertently stepped in to the financial world’s bad neighborhood. This is the kind of argument that makes a lot of sense in a Disney movie, but not in the real world. \n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Defining the size of the shadow economy is difficult since it changes depending on who you ask, but <a href=http://www.businessinsider.com/everything-you-always-wanted-to-know-about-the-black-market-but-were-afraid-to-ask-2012-1>Business Insider claims</a> that if the shadow economy were its own country, the GDP would come in around $10 trillion and be the second largest economy on earth. Assuming bitcoin were only used for these “shadow economy” transactions, that’s still an incredible amount of growth potential. The target audience? The same Business Insider article claims it would be limited to approximately half the world’s population. And if you’re in Washington, Colorado, or one of 6 other states smoking a perfectly legal marijuana cigarette, you’re also the source of economic demand forcing multi-billion dollar industries to <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-13/pot-entrepreneurs-look-to-bitcoin-as-big-banks-stay-on-sidelines>consider using cryptocurrency due to issues with existing financial services.</a>\n\n<center><h3>The government will ban or regulate bitcoin! </h3></center>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Often part of the same argument that bitcoin is only useful for criminal enterprise is the idea that the hand of government will step in to put a stop to all these shenanigans. There will be attempts to regulate cryptocurrencies in the future. Government entities have made statements about regulations ranging from declaration of digital assets when traveling to registering of digital assets as securities. Governments also seem to have made it a priority to track down crypto entrepreneurs accused of criminal activity. There looks to be a very coordinated crackdown beginning.\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Regulation is probably one of the most legitimate discussions to have about the future of cryptocurrencies, but also the topic where you’ll find the most ill-conceived ideas about how cryptocurrencies or regulations work. A simple concept becomes a total nightmare when you explore the nuts and bolts of writing legislation, implementing, and enforcing it. What even *is* a cryptocurrency? What specific regulations are we applying to these instruments? \n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Enforcement is a separate issue from legislation, but perhaps more important. Since most cryptocurrency is a network of computers all simultaneously running the same software, trying to stop the bitcoin network is a bit like trying to kill every ant in your garden. Some serious crimes carry extradition treaties, but many regulatory fiascos can be avoided by simply changing locations or obscuring your identity. There is no simple way to block bitcoin funds from being transferred across international borders, and not enough resources to chase down and investigate every potential financial crime. The SEC and IRS were simply not designed to deal with decentralized, potentially anonymous markets.\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Discussing the full spectrum of possibilities would require a separate article (if not dozens), but spotting a half-baked idea is easy. Regulations are a real concern for cryptocurrency enthusiasts, but the problem is much more complex than simply stamping the word “banned” on cryptocurrency, or even calling ICO tokens “securities”. The rule to follow for those claiming regulation will kill the cryptocurrency market: “if it sounds to good to be true, it probably is”. If there were quick and simple solution for controlling cryptocurrencies, why aren’t governments implementing them already? If someone is touting an enforcement mechanism that sounds vague, it probably won’t work.\n\n<center><img src=\"https://sambranoparalegal.files.wordpress.com/2016/07/free-stock-photos-employment-law-human-right-paralegal.jpg?w=500&h=207\"></center>\n\n<center><h3>The entire ICO market is a pump and dump! </h3></center>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Aside from regulatory issues with the ICO market, there’s a lot of fear around how the ICO market props up the price of bitcoin, and when it will all come crashing down. Critics point to the hundreds (if not thousands) of coins in existence, and absurd valuations for projects like “fuck token” that seem to be blatant cash grabs offering no value at all.\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Although I am not sure about the real future of “fuck token” or “potcoin”, and even feel that many more serious projects may not be able to deliver on promises, these valuations are quite small compared with the industries they aim to enter. Decentralized storage solution Siacoin is valued around 225 million dollars today. The project aims to offer lower costs while delivering better speed and security for cloud storage compared with current providers. For an industry that is poised to be generating <a href=”https://www.forbes.com/sites/louiscolumbus/2017/02/11/global-cloud-spending-predicted-to-reach-390b-by-2020/#4ee162108563”>revenue around $390 billion by 2020</a>, these prices are a bargain if the technology delivers something competitive.\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Even projects as ridiculous as “fuck token” may not be quite as overvalued as they first appear. Why not? The project actually a <a href=”http://www.fucktoken.io”>cleverly designed tipping</a> system for internet message boards. With a target audience of about 250 million users on reddit alone, a $1 million internal joke economy is far from the strangest concept. Considering you can match that market cap with around  <a href=”https://www.geek.com/games/the-10-most-expensive-ccg-cards-of-all-time-1627043/”> 10 pokemon cards from this list</a>, I wouldn’t consider this an alarming signal that ICOs have gotten out of hand. \n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;The bottom line is the ICO market will have plenty of failures, but even a handful of successes will be enough to allow the cryptocurrency market to flourish. Bitcoin is a technology that has already carved out a healthy niche as the most liquid medium of exchange in an emerging market. Although it’s possible for another cryptocurrency to take its place one day, the structure of the blockchain economy necessitates a “reserve” currency through which all other tokens and coins are purchased. Bitcoin is currently filling this need.\n\n<center><h3>So what is bitcoin worth? </h3></center>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;There are many hurdles to cryptocurrency becoming the norm in coffee shops and restaurants. If your local currency is the USD or the GBP, don’t expect your local currency to disappear overnight. This isn’t necessarily a bearish factor for bitcoin, however. Bitcoin already has an advantage in digital the digital services market. Cloud storage and computing, digital advertising, and other related services can be offered to an international market using bitcoin as a convenient bridge between fiat currencies and other digital assets. \n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;One of the biggest challenges for bitcoin will be competing with other assets- both centralized and decentralized. As more cryptocurrencies hit the market boasting unique features and monetary policies, it’s difficult to tell how many users will be able to wrap their heads around how these assets work. How can bitcoin proponents sell the average person on decentralization? If bitcoin does become widely adopted, is a deflationary monetary policy best for the economy? \n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Bitcoin is a fascinating experiment, and has likely ushered in a new era of technological and economic possibilities. Despite all the excitement surrounding bitcoin, it’s important to recognize the future is not yet set in stone. We have only caught the tiniest glimpse of how the market digests these assets and how consumers utilize these tools. Bitcoin is a risky, but potentially game changing investment for those able to keep up with the technology and the market. It’s possible that bitcoin experiences at least one speculative bubble, and we can’t be sure the bitcoin infrastructure will continue to grow forever. Bitcoin, absolutely, is not a tulip.\n\n<center><h3>About the author</h3></center>\n\n&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Pinko is a small group of writers and thinkers working as one revolutionary mind. Xe is formally educated in the social sciences, and enthusiastic about topics in economics, technology, and cryptocurrency. Xe's an unapologetic communist and a proponent of all that is free and open source. All comrades should consider following on Steemit and <a href=\"https://stocktwits.com/Pinko\">Stocktwits</a> as we bring Marxism to the 21st century.\n\n<center><img src=\"https://avatars.stocktwits.com/production/665944/large-1459616165.png?1459616165\"></center>",
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      "author": "steemitboard",
      "permlink": "steemitboard-notify-pinko-20170822t092126000z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "Congratulations @pinko! You have completed some achievement on Steemit and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/firstpayout.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@pinko) You got your First payout\n\nClick on any badge to view your own Board of Honor on SteemitBoard.\nFor more information about SteemitBoard, click [here](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)\n\nIf you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word `STOP`\n\n> By upvoting this notification, you can help all Steemit users. Learn how [here](https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/http-i-cubeupload-com-7ciqeo-png)!",
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      "permlink": "re-abou-re-champagnecrypto-what-is-eos-coin-should-you-buy-20170813t182240233z",
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      "body": "Not to be hella late, but this is because the blockchain isn't running yet. EOS tokens just placeholders.",
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      "permlink": "re-pinko-re-sadekj-why-is-the-volume-on-bitshares-dex-still-too-low-20170811t200358053z",
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      "body": "I don't understand why would OpenLedger not put big buy and sell walls with 5% spread between  bitUSD and USDT and bitBTC and BTC. That would allow big traders to enter and exit the DEX easily. Otherwise you are waiting for someone to trust OpenLedger and keep significant amounts with OpenLedger counter party risk. That is not different than keeping it on exchanges.  Even keeping buy wall in bitUSD is not safe because OpenLedger can always dump USDT at any price, get bitUSD and then disappear with both bitUSD and sold USDT.",
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      "body": "I agree, in addition, the platform lacks bitETH and ability to trade bitETH vs bitUSD and vs bitBTC and vs ETH. What does it take to create bitETH on that platform ? Not much. But it's not done and this is the problem with BTS DEX - many good things that are just not finished. I wish somebody took care of all these easy to fix problems/features. Until then people are forced to use centralized exchanges. I would love to trade bitETH vs bitUSD on BTS DEX, but as of right now I can't. I think this is very stupid of BTS community to have everything ready except few inexpensive final touches that keep it from adoption. Adoption WILL NOT happen if there are no popular trading pairs like one can find on major exchanges.\n\nSo I think the more interesting question to answer is why BTS community is so stupid ? Don't they understand that if they make major pairs then volume of usable of BTS will go up so as it's price, because it will become medium of exchange and traders would not care about it's price because they buy and sell it in short term. I believe that BTC has such a high price  for such a poor technology only  because it became medium of exchange, everybody go through BTC to convert between fiat and alt coins, just like everybody uses USD to convert oil to gold. So BTS super cool technology and potential is not enough,  it needs to be used as medium of exchange. And currently BTS DEX does not provide exchange possibilities for that to happen. So don't blame lack of adoption or advertisement, blame unfinished software and whoever is responsible for it.",
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      "body": "looks like you are a blessed man to have such a caring wife",
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      "permlink": "re-pinko-re-recocross-sex-before-marriage-to-wait-or-not-to-wait-that-is-the-question-20170730t212136069z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "I think he refer's  to any sexual acts before marriage ..",
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      "permlink": "re-pinko-re-stephenkendal-bitcoin-is-heading-to-usd1-000-000-until-someone-can-tell-me-how-the-hell-on-earth-do-banks-and-governments-intend-to-fund-20170729t134010276z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "Overall a good alert about the levels of debt the dollar suffers from. I'm just curious about getting a more complete picture of the future you're seeing.",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "2 things about your price target: (1) in this hypothetical future, what is the actual purchase power of $1??? A $1 million price for bitcoin sounds high, but you're also describing a future where Bitcoin is essentially matching the market cap of the US dollar. What happened to the purchasing power of the USD? When you give a future price target in terms of an asset that you also project to fall to 0, you give no real idea of the purchasing power you're predicting. (2) You're assuming a pretty insane level of bitcoin dominance, right? If you want to talk about things in terms of today's dollar, your bitcoin price target puts it at 20-25% of the world's money. How is the remaining 75% distributed? Mostly alts, or mostly fiat?",
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      "author": "pinko",
      "permlink": "re-cryptoctopus-steemit-seo-part-5-20170729t132728284z",
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      "body": "This is actually extremely useful, thanks. I've been working on a couple articles I plan to publish next week and was worried 2000 words would be too long and get passed over. I'm still aiming to make each article concise and focused, but 2000 words seems like a reasonable target. I was previously aiming for 1000 and felt like I was cutting too much and presenting incomplete arguments.",
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      "permlink": "re-pinko-re-sacka-more-street-art-and-the-writing-s-on-the-wall-20170729t131659530z",
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      "body": "Wow I love your thoughts!! Thank you @pinko!! Today is a great day for Tabula Rasa, Sage and Re-creating ourselves.",
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      "body": "Especially since the verse itself is so vague, that makes the most sense to me if it's not explicitly referring to premarital sex as the \"immorality\". My wife gives me some amazing perspective on my attitudes and actions in every facet of my life- she's helped me get control of my drinking and drug use, and overall anger. Shes helped me learn how to care deeply for another person. Why couldn't Paul be talking about this aspect of marriage? We had sex before we got married, and I don't really think that was part of my \"immorality\" as a younger man. In my heart it feels like that was perfectly fine.",
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      "body": "I think you're reaching a little bit in Corinthians. I agree that Paul seems to think marriage helps people avoid sin, but he does not make it clear which acts he's referring to. It seems just as possible that he's not saying cohabitation with a partner is explicitly wrong, but that a partner in marriage can guide you in ALL aspects of life. Otherwise why would the passage be so vague?",
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      "body": "Cool street art. I think the inclusion of the last picture makes it. You can see where previous work was covered up, which always fascinates me. It's like in an effort to \"clean up\" the wall, people inadvertently provide a new canvass. A fun little cycle.",
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      "body": "The uptick of drama between the alphabay and BTC-e arrests, the SEC statements, DDOS attacks on exchanges, spam on the mem pool- it's quite a bit of nonsense at once. Topping this off with some extreme volatility from *someone* dumping coins and clearing out a couple order books sounds like some grade A FUD to top this off. I certainly have a couple lowball orders set at the moment just in case. How many coins do you think Roger Ver could unload and still be stinking rich?",
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      "body": "Are you going to publicly announce EOS as the new ETH? As long as everyone is obsessed with BTC/BCC for the moment, I think this is an ideal time to pick up Bitshares while it's under 50 microbits. ARDR/NXT as well. People seem to have forgotten about smart contract platforms, and meanwhile Ardor main net is set to launch directly after this BCC drama calms down. The sleeping giant.",
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