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      "body": "I try to be pretty skeptical of utopian visions promising to change the world.  As much fun as it is getting swept up in the excitement of thinking about how Blockchain technology will change commerce, finance, identity, and how IPFS could redistribute the internet, it is mentally healthy, I believe, to constantly challenge your assumptions.  Which, admittedly, doesn't need to be done too often in the crypto world, since those of us involved are constantly being scoffed at, and usually find ourselves on the defensive.  \n\nBut every day, that begins to change.  People increasingly understand the opportunity we have to reopen democracy using new technology.  The opportunity to tear down the companies that own our data, the Facebooks and Google's, that use our connections to advertise and milk 'clicks' out of us.  To restore the internet to its earlier ideals of being an open system, that we can use without being preyed upon.  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The name I took for Steem, [NoTrueScotsman](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_true_Scotsman), deals with a logical fallacy that was used to defend communism after it had been shown to be a total failure.  \"Ah\", people would say, when confronted with the failures of the USSR or Mao's early China, \"yes that failed but that was not true communism.\"  \n\nThe dreamers of today don't put their hopes in social systems -- they put their hopes in technology.  And with good reason -- virtually all social progress, I believe, has been driven by technological progress.  Equal rights for women were driven by industrialization, and so was the abolition of slavery.  Humans didn't morally pull ourselves up from our own bootstraps -- once an institution or lifestyle was made irrelevant by technology, we invented the ethical foundations necessary to remove it from our society.  \n\nThis is less cynical than it sounds.  It means, effectively, that humans can have any type of society that we want.  We just have to get the technology right.  We have to make sure we understand that the impact of the technology we bring in the world is enormous.\n\nLet me bring up Daniel Kahnemann's ideas from Thinking Fast and Slow.  Humans have two systems of thinking, type 1 and type 2.  In type 1, we make instinctual decisions.  We take heuristic models of the world and we apply them without thinking.  We get ready for work and make our morning commute without thinking about it.  That is Type 1.  \n\nType 2 requires conscious effort.  That is the type of real thinking required to solve a complex problem.  If there is a roadblock on your way to work, and you need to find a different route, well, you will probably have to activate your type 2 thinking.  Most interestingly, neuroscientists have shown that most of our decisions are made via type 1 thinking before our type 2 thinking is activated -- meaning that we make decisions before we are aware of them.  We rarely come to decisions through some rational process, but rather, we make decisions instinctually and then we create a fortress of logic around these decisions.\n\nWe can take that idea and apply it to how humans think in a group.  Once technological progress helped create equality in the workplace, women began to assert their economic power and ultimately gained equal political rights in western countries.  Morally, it became obvious.  But for thousands of years of human society, before industrialization, it was very non-obvious that this is how a just society should be structured.  Human social structure has been, and remains, a reflection of the technology available to us.  Recognizing how this pattern plays out through human history is essential to recognizing that humans need to activate our type 2 style thinking in areas we don't typically apply it.\n\nSo, back to technology.  The blockchain, as a method to restructure digitized human interaction, has massive potential.  It is common to mock social media platforms, largely due to the general distaste we all feel when using them.  (Yet most of us do use them!)  But it is important not to underestimate, for better or for worse, the importance of what these systems have done for human society.  Social organization is what enables humans to create, to distribute knowledge, to allocate resources, and most importantly, coordinate decisions as an entire species.  It is easy to misunderstand how important this technology is.  Sometimes the most profound innovations are the most mundane.  SpaceX's true innovation, for example, was simply built around cost savings by re-using rockets.  It was taking existing technology and first improving the financial basis, so that real innovation can continue.\n\nBy extension, the internet, by enabling humanity to come together, will determine how we are able to work together to solve the most difficult challenges of our day.  You know what these are.  Climate change, pollution, war, authoritarianism, religious intolerance, disease, troubling demographic trends, the future of space travel, etc.\n\nBut if we don't get this right, the consequences will be dire.  Already, the failure of the current internet structure, of siloed data centers that use human interaction to push advertising, is contributing to, instead of combating, both social and ecological decline.  The collapse in political discourse, the ineffectual response to climate change -- I believe that the de-democratization of the internet has been a major cause.  Ten years ago, the internet was considerably more open.  Now it is just a handful of websites and phone apps.  Amazon.  Google.  Facebook/Instagram.  Snapchat.\n\nThe oft-quoted Peter Thiel line about Twitter, \"We were promised flying cars, instead we got 140 characters.\"  Thiel's complaint is taken too seriously.  Social innovations like Twitter, and the human data that gets generated by them, is, I believe, more important, and has more potential to alter human destiny, than an improved transportation system.  It may not have the same 'wow' factor, but getting digital human interaction right is the biggest challenge that exists before us today.\n\nThe technology exists.\n\nBut how can we make sure we get it right?",
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      "body": "Yeah, sunk costs are part of it.  But people tend to wind up in the same relationships.  Co-dependent is common, or dependent on narcissistic    \n\nSuper interesting to think of it from a game theory perspective.  Like how to two people, who essentially are trying to get feelings of love, respect, as well as status in society from each other, optimize the relationship.  Do all relationships, or all happy relationships anyway, reach a sort of Nash equilibrium?",
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      "body": "Is first contact with exterrastial life going to be like this?\n\n![arrival.PNG](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbPy8cVk8ATGD6453g6FXomLxrovkfnbQV6VzTqB4URRq/arrival.PNG)\n\nProbably not.  \n\nThe only model we have for what non-Earth creatures might look like is by imagining the life replicated itself in similar conditions on a similar planet.  That is why, when scientists look for signs of life outside of our planet, they look for Earth-like planets.  I'm not going to guess at what kinds of life exists on far off planets, but I want to complain how I think the film industry misrepresents the likelihood of how we someday may interact with alien life.\n\nHumans, at least in our civilized form, have only been around since 10,000 BC.  So, around 12,000 years.  Before that, there were millions of years of all sorts of different creatures, but none of them had the sophisticated communication skillset, that is presumably necessary to coordinate travel outside our planet.  So humans are the model, since we have sent spaceships to the furthest reaches of our galaxy, and we have sent humans to the moon.\n\nConsider that last bit.  A [satellite managed to get to Pluto](https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2015/07/14/pluto-flyby-new-horizons/30100751/), which is 2.757 billion miles away.  The moon is 250,000 miles away.\n\n2.757 billion / 250,000 = ~11,000\n\nThat means humans are currently capable of sending satellites 11,000 times further than we are able to send humans.  And as technology continues to improve, but our biology remains roughly the same, I’d expect this gap to continue widening.\nSo, this gets to my gripe with the idea that that our first interaction with alien life would be with a life form.  If we just look at the success humans have had exploring different planets, almost certainly, our first experience would be with some distant \nsatellite, or some sort of light/wave/vibration sensing technology that is able to traverse across solar systems.  \n\nThere is pretty much 0 chance that our first contact with alien life would be interacting with another life form.  It just logically doesn't make any sense.  Certainly not using human space exploration as a model.\n\nAnd true, no evidence of extraterrestrial life has been verifiably discovered.  But at least, can we make a movie that tries to treat it seriously?  Look at the major sci-fi films that come out.  And I can forgive the fun ones like Star Trek/Star Wars/ Guardians of the Galaxy/Independence Day.\n\nBut like, [Arrival](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2543164/)?  It’s a good movie but c’mon, Aliens are just gonna park themselves on our planet without testing Earth out first.\n\nThese movies all deal with intelligent alien life forms.  But I have yet to see anything that deals with the challenges humans will face when recognizing that something is recording us, testing us, from trillions of miles away. \n[Contact](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0118884/) kind of addresses this in a complicated way.  [Carl Sagan](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_Sagan) wrote the novel, so it makes sense it’s a bit more realistic.  And back in 1997 that movie still made 171 million!  Though I suspect a lot of that was due to religious marketing (the film has theological undertones), at least it shows it is economically viable to produce a film that treats the subject seriously.\n\nAnd anyway, I'm just assuming we'd be discovered by an alien life prior to us discovering one.  There are a lot of possible answers to [Fermi's Paradox](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox), and most of which are depressing.  I won't go into that here.  I really just want to watch movies and not have that sense of vague irritation, that even if the plotline and story is good, the premise is logically flawed.  Movies about monsters have their place, and are easy to film, but I think we deserve better.\n\nSo can we have just one film that tries that tries to be as realistic as possible?  I'd bet it would be successful.\nSomeone write up a [script!](https://storywriter.amazon.com/)",
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      "body": "Hi notruescotsman,\n\nIt's great to have you on Steemit!\n\nNice to meet you!",
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      "body": "Hi.  This is my first post.  I set this up via anon steem (https://anon.steem.network/).  I went about it that way so that I can just write whatever I want and not censor myself.  Not that I have any remotely contentious/seditious to say.  Just a little paranoid :)\n\nWill try to write as much as I can about whatever topics I am thinking about.  Things like:\n\nEconomics\nHuman destiny\nCryptocurrency (obviously)\nEvolutionary Pyschology\nPolitical Theory\nEvolution\n\"Free Will\"\nWhatever\n\nIdeally these will be thought out and well written essays.  Ideally.\n\nAnyway that is the goal.  Seems so easy to use this platform and it is so much fun messing with cryptocurrency that hopefully this finally forces me to write!",
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