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      "body": "![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaZaA3QTRXdXt2T12BZ2RGdv2U5P9x3oLesrdnKLSHPyr/%E5%9C%96%E7%89%87.png)\n([BTCUSD](https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/)圖表由TradingView提供)\n \n葛氏八法，基礎的均線操作技法，應該可以在很多地方查到，這裡不贅述細節了。 我們講講在應用中的一些問題\n買1：當價格從均線下突破，此為買入信號。 如果在行情起漲初期的，是非常難得的機會，這個時候如果是巨量長陽，準確度較高，應該滿倉入場，等待大段的多頭行情展開，但很多人這個時候會產生猶豫不決，因為套的久了，多次割肉了，這個時候往往不敢了，或者根本沒錢了。\n\n賣1：當價格沿均線拉升，第一次跌破均線，是一個賣出信號，但也有可能均線乖離大，導致跌破均線時利潤已經所剩無幾，所以正確的做法是在高位找分時高點減倉。 另外這個時候也會有回踩不破的可能性，所以不要僵硬的理解這個方法。\n\n買2：，當價格跌破均線後，如果是一大波牛市，這個時候往往不是頂部信號，特別是拉升的幅度在20-30%之間，所以我們可以找買2，突破均線確認是一個買點。 而這裡的買2剛好就是跌而不破的走勢。 再次買入後，如果是主升浪，幅度一般會高於第一次買入後的漲幅，所以這個時候要避免短線頻繁交易，丟失籌碼。\n\n賣2：如果經過一段拉升後，分時出現了背離高點，可以減倉，如果跌破均線，應該離場，所謂吃魚不吃兩頭。\n\n買3：階段性高點出現，跌破均線，但跌速較快，這個時候多頭不及離場，多數會做自救，容易形成強反。 但這時候均線出現了疲態，所以風險加大，也可能出現失敗，要注意做好風控。\n\n賣3：不要等跌破均線了，一般很難過前高，所以找分時高點離場即可。\n\n買4：跌了很大一波後，出現了底部信號，一般伴隨大級別的背離，很好的反彈機會，突破均線應該參與反彈。\n\n賣4：不用計較收益多少，這一波有賺就好，因為無法確定是底部，所以還是要注意止盈止損。\n\n技術是死的，人是活的，交易的方法說難很難，所謂外行看熱鬧，內行才能看門道；但說易也易，窗戶紙一層，一捅就破，但是怎麼捅，那就要看你的理解能力了。 但交易的成敗，和技術好壞不成正比，因為你看的再好，沒有執行力，最終也是趙括一個。\n所以記住，交易標準比交易技法更重要。 右側交易，雖然利潤少些，但性價比更高，對於新手，選擇右側交易更好。 \n\n[原文在此](https://tw.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/bws5Cokp/)",
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      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/i/7fX89bpd/\" width=\"1138\" height=\"682\"/></p>\n<p>&nbsp;這周行情在周五前，應該會緩慢。<br>\n</p>\n<p>很多散戶喜歡非農前，猜測數據做單。<br>\n</p>\n<p>大部分專業的交易員卻比較喜歡等待非農後，看了數據後再去掃散戶的單，或才敢大倉進場。<br>\n</p>\n<p>而且很奇妙的，很多時候，這種高影響力新聞都會在關鍵的支撐阻力位發生。<br>\n</p>\n<p>這周英鎊快到達1.3了，你對這價位有想法嗎？<br>\n</p>\n<p>我本身認為，很多人會在1.3掛多單，然後會設很小的止損，他們被掃的概率非常高。<br>\n</p>\n<p>我建議等待非農後，小散的單被掃完了，再進場。<br>\n</p>\n<p><strong>和諧形態分析</strong><br>\n</p>\n<p>在1.2985這價位，有兩個看多的和諧形態完成。<br>\n</p>\n<p>鯊魚跟蝙蝠形態都會在886回測的位置完成反轉區。<br>\n</p>\n<p>這形態分析剛好也符合我如何交易新聞的策略。<br>\n</p>\n<p>所以我將會這樣執行我的交易。<br>\n</p>\n<p>1. 等待 1.2985被測試<br>\n2. 等待K線反轉完成，再進多<br>\n3. 如果1.2985支撐被打破，觀點就不成立，不下單<br>\n</p>\n<p>如果進場了，我會這樣設我的止損跟獲利。<br>\n</p>\n<p>進場 1.2985左右<br>\n止損 1.2920 （65）<br>\n獲利1 1.3070 （85）<br>\n獲利2 1.3135 （150）<br>\n</p>\n<p>最大虧損不應該超過倉位的百分之2.&nbsp;</p>\n</html>",
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      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://cn.tradingview.com/i/lIDdFIqL/\" width=\"1444\" height=\"731\"/></p>\n<p><strong>基本面分析</strong><br>\n</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/HKEX-700/\">騰訊</a>在380的支撐位堅持了很久，做了個小反彈，但一直沒反彈上漲。 3 月份公佈好業績，但股票大量被拋空只代表了專業投資者可能目前已經盈利出場了。<br>\n只有到達非常有吸引力的價位， 他們可能才會回來，所以目前我的建議是不要記者做多，等待交易量提升再考慮做多。<br>\n</p>\n<p><strong>技術面分析</strong><br>\n</p>\n<p>圖表上，我可以清楚的畫出一個橫行通道，這將是騰訊這一年必關注的關鍵支撐跟阻力位。沒到達通道的下方，任何價位都不會吸引我進場。<br>\n</p>\n<p><strong>頭肩頂形態分析</strong><br>\n</p>\n<p>這是一個確認趨勢轉變的形態。目前頸線已被突破，騰訊繼續下跌的機率非常高，應該會在下幾個月跌破380.<br>\n</p>\n<p><strong>如何交易這形態？</strong><br>\n</p>\n<p>因為是股票，做空可能不容易，但交易者可以考慮使用差價合約來做空。進場時間是頸線被突破的價位。</p>\n<p>止損設在頭的上方 + 20塊。</p>\n<p>獲利點請看圖。使用<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/education/harmonicpatterns/\">和諧ABCD形態</a>來衡量獲利位。 （330左右）<br>\n<br>\n<strong>評論</strong>: 380完美打破， 等330找機會進場。</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://cn.tradingview.com/chart/700/lIDdFIqL/\">請到這裡追蹤&nbsp;</a></p>\n</html>",
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      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/i/y872eVLP/\" width=\"1168\" height=\"602\"/>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>就如同標題所說的，<br>\n<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/TWSE-1402/\">1402遠東新</a>外資及投信已經連續買超了超過9個月，<br>\n但是到目前仍不清楚到是有什麼利多，<br>\n這種買法也不像集團作帳，<br>\n所以可以觀察後續的表現！<br>\n這張圖是1402的月線圖，<br>\n前陣子從賺錢指標的強勢股名單中天天看到，<br>\n法人是從圖中箭頭處開始買超，<br>\n也可以說這波起漲就都是外資及投信買出來的！<br>\n目前已經上漲到了之前的盤整壓力區了，<br>\n這邊應該不至於會一口氣突破，<br>\n在震檔時可以找機會佈局，<br>\n一但哪天正式帶量越過了這盤整壓力區間，<br>\n也就是大約站上34以上，<br>\n應該就有機會直接挑戰45元的歷史高點了！！<br>\n停損位置就設定在盤整區間的下緣。&nbsp;</p>\n<p>&nbsp;遠東新 <a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/TWSE-1402/technicals/\">技術分析</a>&nbsp;</p>\n</html>",
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "eurusd",
      "author": "markting",
      "permlink": "22xjub",
      "title": "周一晚上有德拉基講話，看看盤面",
      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/i/u7lqxOUc/\" width=\"1307\" height=\"701\"/>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>警告：這是一個危險的交易，這是一個危險的交易，為什麼呢？ <br>\n&nbsp;</p>\n<p>1）經過非農之後美元指數疲弱，（可以看下方前期觀點），<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/EURUSD/\">歐元</a>理論上要走高 <br>\n 2）前期漲勢很強，現在還沒有形成PRZ震蕩 <br>\n 3）可能救星是今天晚上有德拉基講話，透露出鴿派觀點，價格有變動就干 <br>\n 4）其他歐元交叉盤有變動,引用水豚大神觀點 &nbsp;</p>\n</html>",
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "eth",
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      "permlink": "eth-7-7",
      "title": "ETH周末動向7.7",
      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/i/JmGJqvVX/\" width=\"1073\" height=\"604\"/>&nbsp;</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/ETHUSD/\">ethusd</a>在上方已經受到了幾次明顯的消耗迹象，本次再次向上觸及較爲重要了，是這一波做多力量的關鍵體現了。提醒如果是准備找位置新建多單一定是清倉，我們更多是繼續持有之前已經持有的多頭倉位。後市我們持續關注！&nbsp;</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/JmGJqvVX/\">原文按此</a></p>\n</html>",
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      "title": "紐日 - 看跌鯊魚形態",
      "body": "@@ -482,15 +482,103 @@\n sp;%3C/p%3E%0A\n+%3Cp%3E%3Ca href=%22https://cn.tradingview.com/chart/NZDJPY/D6YjjF3S/%22%3E%E5%8E%9F%E6%96%87%E5%9C%A8%E6%AD%A4%3C/a%3E%3C/p%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cbr%3E%3C/p%3E%0A\n %3C/html%3E\n",
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      "author": "markting",
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      "title": "紐日 - 看跌鯊魚形態",
      "body": "@@ -91,17 +91,66 @@\n sp;%3C\n-/p%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E7%B4%90%E6%97%A5\n+a href=%22https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/NZDJPY/%22%3E%E7%B4%90%E6%97%A5%3C/a%3E\n %E5%A4%A7%E8%B6%A8%E5%8B%A2%E9%82%84\n",
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{
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "nzdjpy",
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      "permlink": "2rpycv",
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      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://cn.tradingview.com/i/D6YjjF3S/\" width=\"1444\" height=\"682\"/>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>紐日大趨勢還是看空的，目前小反彈，可能非農後有進場機會·。<br>\n</p>\n<p>在4小時時間段，發現了一個看跌的鯊魚形態，這形態會在76.15左右完成。<br>\n</p>\n<p>在這形態完成的價位，也剛好接近通道上方的阻力位，所以在這價位反轉的機會不錯，可以考慮看空。<br>\n</p>\n<p>這進場位離市價有80個點，大家耐心等待。<br>\n</p>\n<p>下幾個交易日，如果紐日到達了進場位，一定要等K線反轉，收盤低於76.15了，才能進場。<br>\n</p>\n<p>如果在進場區沒反應，那這形態失敗的可能性就非常高了。<br>\n</p>\n<p>進場 76.15左右<br>\n止損 76.50<br>\n獲利1 75.35<br>\n獲利2 74.90&nbsp;</p>\n</html>",
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      "title": "多和美元指數對比看看，就有思路：非美的諧波埋底",
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{
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "eurusd",
      "author": "markting",
      "permlink": "otakh-cny",
      "title": "多和美元指數對比看看，就有思路：非美的諧波埋底",
      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/i/b8E2sGJT/\" width=\"1309\" height=\"701\"/>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>看圖說話，說話就夠了，不逼逼。 <br>\n&nbsp;</p>\n<p>圖中左邊是<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/EURUSD/\">歐元兌美元</a>的四小時圖，圖裡面有一個類似三角形的東西，三角形底部就在1.1520附近。目前跌倒圖中位置就觀察蝙蝠或者伽利略形態是否形成。不管什麼交易，把握好大於1:1的盈虧比，1.5:1就更好了 <br>\n&nbsp;</p>\n<p>右邊是<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/FX-USDOLLAR/\">美元指數</a>，目前正在磨蹭著形成鑽石形態，當鑽石形態OK並且下破右邊之後，非美的順勢就會更流暢。沒出現這一個狀況前，不賭大趨勢。歐元在今年年初 就是這種形態之後大跌600點 <br>\n <img src=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/BnwMBk00\" width=\"1307\" height=\"701\"/></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/BnwMBk00\">&nbsp;</a>澳元形成了AB=CD的看漲形態，這種是一個中長線形態，下破0.7300前穩住都可以成立，日圖上看大拉升還沒有出現，只可輕倉佈局，不要亂了方寸&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/2jorQDsy\" width=\"1307\" height=\"701\"/><br>\n 相關觀點可以看下放，新一個視頻教學在youtube上線了，歡迎訂閱觀看&nbsp;</p>\n</html>",
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  "block": 23372320,
  "trx_in_block": 54,
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  "timestamp": "2018-06-16T12:38:06",
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "eurusd",
      "author": "markting",
      "permlink": "eurusd",
      "title": "[這篇很猛] EURUSD 看空蝴蝶型態疊加供給區做空機會",
      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/i/rZ3L3E08/\" width=\"2176\" height=\"870\"/>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/EURUSD/\">EURUSD</a>短線延續上漲<br>\n如果能夠打到1.1830-1.1845 會是諧波型態疊加供給區的做空點位<br>\n主要思路還是等待打入之後，至少30分鐘以上的止漲信號 &nbsp;<br>\n可以留意做空的機會<br>\n&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Let's see how it goes!!&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/dpvZPjAf\" width=\"2176\" height=\"870\"/></p>\n<p>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/rZ3L3E08/\">HOW CAN YOU NOT FALL IN LOVE WITH HARMONIC PATTERNS! &nbsp;</a></p>\n</html>",
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{
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      "author": "markting",
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      "title": "[這篇很猛] EURUSD 看空蝴蝶型態疊加供給區做空機會",
      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/i/rZ3L3E08/\" width=\"2176\" height=\"870\"/>&nbsp;</p>\n<p>EURUSD短線延續上漲 <br>\n 如果能夠打到1.1830-1.1845 會是諧波型態疊加供給區的做空點位 <br>\n 主要思路還是等待打入之後，至少30分鐘以上的止漲信號 &nbsp;<br>\n 可以留意做空的機會 <br>\n&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Let's see how it goes!!&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.tradingview.com/x/dpvZPjAf\" width=\"2176\" height=\"870\"/></p>\n<p>&nbsp;HOW CAN YOU NOT FALL IN LOVE WITH HARMONIC PATTERNS! &nbsp;\t\t\t</p>\n</html>",
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      "title": "非洲14國推人民幣為儲備貨幣",
      "body": "<html>\n<p><img src=\"https://d1xev4pod5h1yk.cloudfront.net/mdNews/3ceaf365-b837-4441-b644-4f42f5ae4e7d.jpg\" width=\"575\" height=\"393\"/></p>\n<p>上週一位老前輩提醒可以留意人民幣(<a href=\"https://tw.tradingview.com/symbols/USDCNY/\">usdcny</a>)的走勢。就順手查了一下新聞，乖乖不得了，如果非洲國家將人民幣作為儲備貨幣，長期的潛力值得關注。&nbsp;</p>\n<p>看看<a href=\"https://m.ctee.com.tw/focus/dlcj/184624\">工商時報報導：</a></p>\n<p>人民幣國際化進程或再傳進展。新華社報導，看好人民幣後續潛力以及中國與非洲間的貿易愈加緊密，有14個非洲國家正在考慮將人民幣納為儲備貨幣。</p>\n<p>報導稱，根據東部和南部非洲宏觀經濟和金融管理研究所（MEFMI）的最新聲明稱，上述地區14個國家的央行和政府官員將在辛巴威首都出席一場論壇，並討論將人民幣作為儲備貨幣的可行性。 　</p>\n<p>該論壇將於當地時間29日召開，為期兩天。參加者包括這些國家的常任副秘書長和央行副行長，以及非洲開發銀行的官員。MEFMI為一個區域研究所，共有14個成員國，包括安哥拉、波札那、蒲隆地、肯亞、賴索托、馬拉威、莫三比克、納米比亞、盧安達、史瓦帝尼（史瓦濟蘭）、坦尚尼亞、烏干達、尚比亞和辛巴威。</p>\n<p>報導稱，之所以考慮將人民幣納入儲備貨幣，MEFMI發言人Gladys Siwela-Jadagu表示，該地區大部分國家都有來自中國的貸款或贈款，人民幣已成為中非貿易的「共同貨幣」，因此將外匯存底納入人民幣是「有經濟意義的」。 　</p>\n<p>該發言人還稱，中國是130多個國家的最大交易夥伴，非洲國家面臨的主要挑戰是如何從新的國際貿易格局中獲益。 　</p>\n<p>據中國人民銀行日前公布的「2018年第一季中國貨幣政策執行報告」顯示，人民幣儲備貨幣功能逐漸顯現，目前已有逾60個境外央行或者貨幣當局將人民幣納入官方外匯存底。 　</p>\n<p>報告還稱，據環球銀行金融電信協會（SWIFT）統計，截至今年1月底，人民幣位列全球第5大支付貨幣，市場佔有率達1.66％。至今年3月底，全球共有逾34.9萬家企業和386家銀行開展了人民幣跨境業務，顯示人民幣國際化之路愈加寬廣。&nbsp;</p>\n</html>",
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