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      "body": "Block chain at its core is database which is distributed, immutable, and secure.  It is certain way of storing data. Two most important technological concepts used in block chain is cryptographic hash, and digital signature. \nBlock chain is the chain of blocks that are linked together with cryptographic hash. \nHash function is algorithm like SHA 256 (used in bitcoin) where infinite input is turned in to fixed string of output. Input may be word, transaction, music, movie or any other form of digital data. You may think of it like data compression. \nEach block has block header which contains the hash of the previous block, and data. You then run the hash algorithm on this block and get the hash value or hash function for this block, and link to the existing chain of block. Then you use hash of last block made and link to the new blocks. You repeat the process. This cryptographic linking function makes the blockchain tamper evident where trying to change the data in the old blocks is extremely difficult. \nAnother important concept used in block chain is digital signature. There are two pairs of keys used: Private key and Public key. Public key is your public address known to everyone in the network where people will send you data/currencies. Other is private key which is known to you only. This is the key you will use to send or authorize things. Think of mail box, where your mail comes, and your address is known to everyone, but only one who has key to open things is you only. \nWallets: Wallets hold keys. Wallet is misnomer as you do not hold your assets or coins there. Proper name could have been key chains than wallet. \n\nTypes of block chain\nBlock chain can be public, private, or consortium\n1.\tPublic blockchain: It is permission less block chain where any one can participate in the network. Bitcoin, and Ethereum are examples of public blockchain. Main concept here is decentralization with no central authority. There are thousands other\n2.\tPrivate blockchain: It is blockchain where single entity manages and validates data. Not so useful in practice. \n3.\tConsortium blockchain: It is group of organizations that are involved in validating transactions. Main idea here is distributed database. Most commonly they are involved in same industry. R3 Corda is example of consortium blockchain for banks. Other examples could be from supply chain management where involved parties can track things\n\n\nCryptocurrency:\nCryptocurrency is programmed digital asset which is stored in block chain. Think of it as computer programmable money. There is no physical entity. There are no coins in bitcoins. Bitcoin is one of the example of program running on the block chain. \nWhy do we need cryptocurrencies? \nPublic blockchains in order to maintain, and secure network needs some sort of incentive for people  to make ecosystem secure and sustainable, that is why there is need for cryptocurrency (better word digital assets) to give then incentives. There is not really a need for cryptocurrencies in private or consortium block chain as there is already know parties with vested interest to make sure network is secure, and sustainable.",
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      "body": "@@ -676,17 +676,17 @@\n  PML. PM\n-T\n+L\n  stands \n",
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      "body": "Investing is great way to obtain financial freedom. However, reverse is true as well, investing in a project/company that does not do well can lead to loss and great psychological pain\n\nMy aim in this article is to streamline a process so that we can have a good decision-making process before making an investment.  Each part contains lots of detail. However, aim of this article is to have a strong platform that we can build on.\n\nSo, let’s start the process.\nI will be using abbreviation so that it is easy to remember things.\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmS96MoEpuFMuKP7MxEkSteDYqrCPhsAv6RtUJ3LBLeL2y/image.png)\n\nI will start investment platform with the abbreviation PML. PMT stands for Psychology, Money management, and Logic. We will delve into these below. \n\n 1. Psychology: Psychology includes greed and fear which drives the prices up and down. Many people focus on fundamental, technical analysis before making investment, and ignore psychology and money management part. You need to have patience and discipline of monk to succeed has investor.  If you have to give importance on these PMT factors on percentage basis, then Technique part would only get around 30%. Psychology and Money management would get more than 2/3rd percentage point. \nHuman being are emotional creature by nature. Markets are driven by human emotions. This is extremely common phenomenon. Human beings are driven by short term gain or pleasure. All of us want to see quick gains. That tendency leads us to herd mentality. When something is going up our rational mind is lost and in seeking quick gains we join the crowd without thinking about long term prospects. As a rationale investor, we need to have discipline to analyze what will be long term consequences.\n\n2. Money management: RAP ( Risk and Profit Management) rule. \n\n      (a) Risk management: Risk management is extremely important. First rule in any investment is protect your capital. \n When we see exciting technology, innovations, project we tend to visualize all the profits we can make from the investment, without thinking about risk. First question we need to ask before any investment is not how much profit I’m going to make, but what is the risk if the project/innovation does not pan out as expected. Market involves different group of participants each having their own viewpoint. Market can remain irrational for long period of time. There are multitude of risks involved that we cannot imagine like what if CEO is fired, regulations, political risks etc. \nThat’s why we need to have a stop point. Stop point is where you would stop and get out of your investment. Stop discipline is extremely important. \nExample: Say you come up with a company/project where you thought that it will be great to invest. However, due to bad news the price starts falling, then you need to defined price level where you would say, okay I thought the company would do great but did not pan out as I expected, and then get out of the position. If things change or fundamental changes, then you can always buy back, sometimes in even lower price. \nGeneral rule of thumb for stop loss is at price level of strong support/resistance. Also, general rule is 0.5-2% of your total capital is total loss per investment. \n\n    (b) Profit management: This is other critical component of Money management. We need to have systematic way of taking profit. We have seen a lot of times our investment to do well initially, only to later fall below the price you have bought and then sell it at loss. Market ebbs and flows. Market sentiments change from bullish to bearish due to various macroeconomic and micro economic factors. \nYou can have different systems for taking profit, one such example is as below:\nSelling 1/3rd or 1/2 of your position when it reaches 2X your risk, and then letting others run. In this way, you would have covered your loss incase market decides to turn against you. \nExample: Say your risk is about 3 dollars per equity, then when you have gained 6 dollars per equity then you sell 1/3rd to half your positions, and let others run. \n\n\n3. Logic: Logic is your method of choice for evaluation before making decision about investment. Logic includes macroeconomic evaluation, Fundamental analysis, and Technical analysis. Each one has their own advantages, and disadvantages. I suggest using all three of them before investment. I call it Fusion Analysis. \nEach component here has lot of things to cover which is beyond the scope of this article. Again, my aim in this article is to build a platform where we can build things on.\n\n(a) Macroeconomic factors: GIRC (GI pronounced like in GIRL)\nMacroeconomic factors primarily include economic growth (G), inflation (I), interest rates (R), and credit cycles (C). We need to understand at which cycle of economy we are in . There are four phases of economic cycle. Expansion, peak, recession and trough. Different industries/sector do well in particular phase of cycle. For example, tech and utilities does well in early to mid-expansion phase, while commodities do well in late expansion or peak phase. Higher inflation is good for gold, and bad for bonds. .\nInterest rate are another critical thing to look at. That's why we need to have a close eye on Federal reserve and their plan for interest rate. Equities do extremely well in low interest rate environment like we are having now. When interest rate starts to rise, they tend to fall. \nCredit cycle is important as well. When credit is easily available, then equity market does well.\n\n\n(b) Fundamental analysis: SVPG\nFundamental analysis of company includes companies Strength (S), Value (V), Profitability (P), and Growth (G)\nStrength assess ability of the company to stay solvent or liquid. Common ways to analyze are by Current ratio, Quick ratio, and Debt/Equity ratio. Valuation assess current value of company whether it is cheap or expense. Commonly assessed by P/E, Forward P/E, PEG, Price/Sales etc. Profitability assess ability to remain profitable. Commonly assessed by ROE, and ROI. Growth prospectus evaluation will let you know how much company has growth prospects for future. This needs to be researched, and there are various websites like yahoo finance which gives you future revenue and earnings estimates. \n\n\n(c) Technical analysis: BLM\nTechnical analysis will include Behavior (B) , Location (L) and Momentum (M)\nBehavior: How is market behaving is it up trending, down trending, or going sideways or is it in consolidation. Four common behaviors include: Uptrend, Downtrend, Sideways, and Consolidation\nLocation: Where is market located right now? Is it located in area of support, resistance, supply, demand? Is it located above or below 200 period moving average? \nThis will help you make decisions whether it is right time to buy or not\nOther very common technical analysis are Relative Strength Index, Stochastics, MACD etc. \nSupport, Resistance, Supply, Demand zones. These are places where buying and selling gives you high probability of success. \nMomentum: Momentum is rate of change of price. How quickly is price moving up or down. If momentum is strong to the down side, then it is better not to buy until momentum starts to slow down. \n\nThank you\n\n\nMacroPD\nPradeep Dahal",
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