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      "body": "Congratulations @lilijing! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@lilijing/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@lilijing) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=lilijing)_</sub>\n\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "body": "![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWbo6TecrNN46fAVB8S3n9YvVCVvxLZngg7jC57sTZvPj/image.png)\n\nWhat is greed? For greed, the most straightforward and clearest definition is as follows:\n>Greed is what you want to be not your own.\n\nIn the Catholic doctrine, there are so-called seven sins, and greed is one of them; however, if you look closely at the remaining six, you will find that they all originate from greed:\n>**Pride**: It’s because pretending (or pretending to believe) that you have the rights to have that don’t really belong to yourself any power;\n**Envious**: It’s because you want something you don't have yet, but you've found that someone else already has it;\n**Anger**: Because you don't have the ability to solve problems, you want that ability but haven't;\n**Sloth**: It's because it is clear that need labor to be exchanged, but you don’t pay anything, then still want to get it;\n**Overeating**: This is really not a crime, unless it is not your; in ancient times, it was sin because the material was really poor at that time, so the part that \"eats more\" is actually \"from the others have grabbed it,\" or \"If you don't overeating, you may have the opportunity to let others not starve to death...\"\n**Lust**: It is because \"when the other party does not cooperate, it is not their own\", but still wants - the other party will cooperate with each other, it is no crime.\n\nI personally don't have religious beliefs, but I don't exclude reading various scriptures. To be honest, from the texts left in ancient times, we can see many meaningful observations and very inspiring wisdom.\n\n**In the field of investment, \"greed\" is like a devil, with countless incarnations, omnipresent, and almost always \"invincible.\"** If you have been framed by the \"greed\" devil, don't be surprised, because it is too normal - be framed, but you haven't died yet, you should be very lucky; Have been framed, but haven't dead, and then even awaken, that is the fortunately.\n\nThe most terrible situation is this:\n**The greed of many people comes from ignorance. When people want something that doesn't belong to them, it is greed. However, when they do that, it is very likely that they do not know that it is greed. It is very likely that they do not know that the thing did not belong to them. They take it for granted that they \"have supposed to\" have that thing...**\n\nFor example, borrowing money but not willing to give interest, it is a kind of greed. Historically, the Jews understood the relationship between money and time earlier and more firmly. They not only charge interest but also charge compound interest. Therefore, they were hated by people of all other races for a long time, and they would \"kill the Jews\" and not only put it into action once.\n\nFirst, interest should belong to the lender; second, money will generate interest in the process of time flow, so in theory, there is no \"no interest money\" in the world, even in certain circumstances have negative interest. Therefore, \"unwilling to pay interest\", that is \"want to actually belong to someone else’s money\" - Are you saying this is greedy?\n\nHowever, when we look at historical phenomena calmly, we will find that **this kind of \"greed\" comes from ignorance.** Many times it is not \"intentional\", and even the whole society is ignorant. Even a lot of people's stupid, they are foolish to learn from society, and they are stupid education by most people, not born so naturally.\n\nAbout interest is like this, then, what about return on investment? From 2011 to 2015, the Internetization of private lending in China, namely P2P, is very popular. When a platform gives an annualized 25% benefit, it actually shows that the crisis has gone everywhere.\n\nYou can go online and search for a search to see what the big bank's one-year whole deposit rate is? In recent years, it is just 1.75%.\n\nWe know a basic principle:\n>The greater the amount of capital, the more difficult it is to obtain the same rate of return.\n\nIt would be easy to earn 10 dollars with 100 dollars. However, if you use 10 billion dollars to earn 1 billion back, the difference in difficulty between the former and the latter is very different. The bank's capital level is too large, so the interest that can be given is not high enough. Banks must also borrow money for anyone to earn \"interest spread.\"\n\nThe interest rate of small-scale short-term borrowing has not been low, but if the interest rate is high to a certain extent, reaching more than 15%, there is already a high systemic risk. If it reaches more than 25%, it will basically collapse within two years (that is, eight quarters). However, there have been frequent occurrences of various \"Private lending area\" in China. What is said is that most people simply don't know that the return on investment of more than 15% \"is likely not to be their own\", so they are ignorant and fearless.\n\nThe ignorant and fearless ending is usually not good and is very \"sinful.\" So many times, greed is not necessarily a \"crime\" because it is often not intentional; greed is ultimately \"suffer sinful punishment\", because greedy people are passive and ignorant of what is going on, they already have to bear the bad consequences.\n\nLet's look at the record of top investors in the world:\n>Buffett: Berkshire Hathaway, the compound annual growth rate of 21.1% in the 43 years until 2007;\nJames Simons: Renaissance Technology Corporation, the Medallion fund, since its inception in 1988, for 30 consecutive years, the average compound annualized return rate is as high as 34%;\nJoel Greenblatt: Gotham Capital, in the 20 years from 1985 to 2005, the compound annualized return rate reached 40%...\n\nThese are all \"God-like\" existences. So, what should a \"passing standard\" be like? Buffett is also a PR master (Public Relations). Although many \"advanced\" investors are not very high on Buffett's evaluation, Buffett is indeed the most influential in the public domain - of course, we have a saying, \"Literati look down on each other,\" in fact, in the field of investment, \"look down on each other between investors\" is more and more absolute. The \"reference standard\" given by Buffett is absolutely pertinent:\n>I have to make sure that I buy stocks that earn at least 15% compound annualized rate of return.\n\nThis is still under the premise of the industry's deep research and understanding of the enterprise - this is very important, know and fear, can be fascinating. An analogy of the great person Greenblatt is particularly exciting. It is worth remembering: buying stocks but not knowing what to buy, just like holding a torch through an explosives factory, you may survive, but you are still a fool.\n\n**15%, this is a number to remember.** However, before that, we have to go back and pay attention to the wording:\n>Compound annualized return (or \"yield\")\n\nMost people only know how to discuss \"return rate\" instead of \"annualized return rate\", not even \"compound annualized return.\" Once we discuss the \"composite annualized rate of return\", we are not talking about one year, not two years, for many years, generally more than ten years, or even twenty or thirty years...\n\nTherefore, unlike most people think, \"value\" is not in the first place. \"Long-term\" should be ranked first, then \"value\", that is, \"long-term value\" - this is ours things to pursue. What is \"temptation\"? The temptation can be defined as follows:\n>Valuable, or at least seemingly valuable, but not \"long-term value\"...\n\nIn other words, **everything that does not belong to \"long-term value\" can be counted as \"temptation\"** - this is a truth that can only be truly profoundly understood after at least ten years have elapsed. Is it \"how painful!\" It depends on whether the moment you see it can be absorbed thoroughly and deeply.\n\nPlease keep in mind that what you are pursuing is \"at least a long-term compound annualized return of 15%\".\n\nOnce your goal is like this, the things that are \"into the eye\" are different, and what you can see seems to be another world. A lot of things that you would involuntarily pay attention to before, like \"suddenly disappeared completely\", while other things, like \"suddenly pop out\", it feels amazing.\n\nMost people are only \"short-term investors\" for life, and because they do not insist on their long-term concern, they accept various \"temptations\" with confidence, so they are concerned about \"another world.\" It's hard to imagine short-term investors in the stock market not paying attention to the K-line chart - what do they care about without paying attention to this? It's hard to imagine that they don't go around to find out about the news - they don't have the ability to analyze but they want to analyze the results. This is greed, but what else can they do besides greed? It's even harder to imagine them passing through the gunpowder factory (they don't just know that they are holding a torch in their hands), and then find that they are still alive. Then they wouldn’t be complacent, they would \"naturally\" stop using a torch to pass through another gunpowder factory for life...\n\nAfter everyone enters the stock market, they will look at the K-line chart for a while because:\n>1 Didn't understand it at first, but there is nothing else to see;\n2 The K-line chart is very stimulating and always makes you feel \"what you see is what you get\"...\n\nLooking at the historical fluctuation, almost no newcomer has not flashed the idea: \"If I sell it here (high point), then buy it back here (low point), wow, I must earn a lot!\"\n\nThis is an out-and-out illusion, because that's just a record of market history data, not a practical experience of the illusionist in the future. One day they really know where them are, from the perspective of them own immersiveness, the price of every moment seems to be the highest point and the lowest point; and once starting to pay attention to the K line, it is basically difficult to think about the long-term - because the feelings and impulses of \"live in the moment\" are so strong, their brains are stimulated by various intuitions, and they can't think of themselves. In the face of \"random walk\" (please reread the contents of the previous week), turn yourself into a gambler in minutes, but you don't know it yourself - another inattention has been confused by the transformation of the greedy devil.\n\nBuffett’s teacher, Graham has an extremely exciting analogy:\n**The stock market is a voting machine in the short term and a weighing machine in the long run.**\n\nWhen I first read it, marvel is absolute! And, suddenly, because of this analogy, I feel very relaxed:\n**Since the stock market is only a voting machine in the short term, it is better to let others vote. Anyway, the voters was very many in every time. Whatever don't need me to vote, and don't have to vote repeatedly. If the stock market is a weighing machine in the long run, then it is not necessary for me to do this. I only need to do one thing and try to find the \"heavy\" who is the heaviest in the future. It's easy to find a fat person, just see who is \"more and more tasty\".**\n\nAlthough the last sentence is beginning to be close to jokes, to this day I can remember that thinking clear the moment of relief the first half of the idea (or \"reminded\" by others). As for the last sentence, it is not entirely a joke - it is just a simplification of things. However, the reason why I feel relieved is because I thinking understand that \"how to find the fat man in the future\" should be sure to have the opportunity to learn. This learned, then I want it again, it is not \"greed\" because I have the ability, such things should belong to me. Are you saying that this is super relief?\n\n---\nThinking and action\n---\n1. Please review the definition of \"greed\" carefully, and take out the pen and paper: Where have I been \"involuntarily\" greedy in the past? What is the harm that brings me? Did it even lead to a certain degree of disaster? What are the lessons learned? How to avoid it later?\n2. Please review the definition of \"temptation\" and take out the pen and paper: Where have I been \"involuntarily\" tempted in the past? What is the harm that brings me? Did it even lead to a certain degree of disaster? What are the lessons learned? How to avoid it later?\n3. If you start to pay attention to \"long-term\", then the most important thing in the investment field is analysis and research. This is true, but what should be analyzed? What to study? Although there will be explanations in the future, can you start doing something myself?\n4. If I want to be a \"long-term investor,\" what is not needed or should not be analyzed and studied?\n5. Even if I don't have the money to \"actual investment,\" can I analyze and study the same? How to make yourself keep interested in \"no cash rewards\"?",
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      "body": "——Previous review——\n[Can you accurately predict the stock price?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-can-you-accurately-predict-the-stock-price)\n\nMany times, the quality of the problem determines the quality of the answer. It's not a shame to ask questions, but if you don't ask well, \"not shame\" is actually in vain.\n\n**First of all**, what exactly is the word \"accurate\" to be accurate? So, if it is a question and answer session, it is probably like this:\n\n>A: Excuse me, can the change in stock price be accurately predicted?\nB: Please definition \"accurate\" in advance.\n\n----\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmc21NcKVskMatoJnohBm8G4teiN4sB1dDXbZcpvXFV99t/image.png)\n\n**Secondly**, regarding \"whether\", most of the problems in this world maybe simple, but it is not as simple as using \"yes\" and \"no\" to answer them directly... So such problems run out, the most direct and correct the answer is: \"not necessarily\", or \"don't know\"... Because \"yes\" or \"no\" are both wrong and inaccurate.\n\n**Finally**, there is still a limit to \"predicting\" - \"Who will predict?\" The undeniable fact is that the difference in predictive power between people is huge, and this is one; second, if information integrity determines the quality of prediction, then there is no denying that some people integrity of the information it possesses is many orders of magnitude higher.\n\nA brief analysis of the above three points, in a sense, can be regarded as the most basic example of \"thinking\" - in the eyes of many people who are not good at thinking \"cause trouble?”, obviously, other people don’t think so, they just get used to it.\n\n---\n>Just like this week, there are readers leave messages: simple things rely on intuition, and complex things depend on thinking.\nBut the question is, can you answer this question first:\n **What is \"simple\"? What is \"complex\"?**\n\n>The arithmetic problem of addition, subtraction, multiplication and division is not complicated for adults, but for children, it may be a big problem.\nSo the complexity of one thing depends not only on the matter itself, but also on who is going to do it.\nSome things are simple for \"God\", such as:\n**Forecast short-term stock price volatility.**\n\n>When we use probabilistic knowledge to understand the real difficulty of this matter, we know that some things are not within our capabilities, and avoiding them early is obviously a wise choice.\n\n---\nLet us look at another question:\n\n>The current Google stock price is $xxx. Excuse me, if you predict that the price will rise after five minutes? Still falling? So, what is your prediction accuracy?\n\nWhether you are based on feelings or based on some theory you have read in the past (such as \"probability theory\", such as \"Random Walk Theory\" or something else), it is likely that no matter who you are, the accuracy of the prediction is probably It is infinitely close to 1/2.\n\nWhat does 1/2 mean? 1/2 means \"in fact, you can’t guess at all\", predicting whether it is correct or not depends on luck.\nPlease note:\n\n>It does make sense to predict more than 1/2, otherwise it's better to throw a coin to decide.\n\nIf the predicted high accuracy to a certain extent, such as more than 60%, then that is to say, 10 times, there are at least six times to predict accurately, then you go to continuous forecasting, not only to forecast, but also with the money to \"bet\" - In the long run, you will definitely make money and make a lot of money... You should be able to react. In fact, the accuracy rate does not need to be as high as 99%, even if it is definitely above 50%, such as 51%, then \"in the long run It must also be very profitable.\"\n\nIn fact, for the judgment that the price after 5 minutes is higher than the current one or lower than the current one, it is almost certain that no matter what method strategy you use, in the long run, your prediction accuracy can only be 1/2 - In other words, no matter how hard you try, that prediction is meaningless. Moreover, this conclusion has actually been verified in practice for an infinite number of times.\n\nThis is a bit counterintuitive, just as \"the result of your coin flip has been positive for 32 consecutive times. However, the next time you throw a coin, the positive probability is still 1/2 (because the coin flip is an 'independent event') be counterintuitive.\n\n---\n>If you read some articles or books related to cognitive bias, you will find that our daily life hides a lot of cognitive bias.\nFor example, for people without probabilistic common sense, there is no way to understand why after 32 occurrences, the probability of a positive for the 33rd coin flipping is 1/2.\n**It is the cognitive differences in these common sense that it is doomed that some people was gambling, while others was invest.**\n\n>And the longer the time, the greater gap between each other.\nSo this is why I encourage everyone to learn a lot of basic knowledge, even the \"no need\" knowledge in the outside world. In order to enhance everyone's understanding of the world.\nOnly by clearly understanding the world can it be possible to make the right choice.\n\n---\nThere is now a so-called \"investment category\" called \"Binary Option\", which is a lot online - although many countries have long banned the operation of such things. This thing just appeared shortly before, but it also has been more than a decade old. In essence, it is the \"casino game\" in the stock market version - \"guess the size.\"\n\nGive you a real-time price data (probably a stock price, or a stock index price, or gold price, futures price, etc.), let the \"investor\" predict 1 minute later (or 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 15 minutes) The rise and fall of the company - investors can \"buy up\" or \"buy down\" ... Guess the right, principal plus interest total 180% return, guess wrong, all compensation. In other words, it is equivalent to \"the casino pumping 20%.\"\n\nThis kind of setting makes it possible for so-called investors to achieve a prediction accuracy of at least 70% to be able to \"make money in a long-term and stable way\". So, after so many years, no one has ever made any money in this so-called \"investment category\" (actually it was high pumping ratio), and they all lose quickly.\n\nTo put it simply, you are starting to \"predict\" (\"guess\", \"gamble\") with 10 dollars. On average, after 10 times, you will lose light - because it is equivalent to pumped 1 dollar each time. Of course, in fact, many people lost their first time, because they came up guessing wrong; there are still many people who guessed it for the first time, and they still have 18 dollars in their hands, and then guess wrong twice in a row (one dollar for one bet and eight dollars for one), also loses light... all the \"gambler\" data is assembled (equivalent to seeing all gamblers as a big gambler), then on average, \"guess\" after 10 times, it will lose light.\n\nIn a casino, a gambler's \"gambling\" and \"total bet amount\" are not the same, because he sometimes wins and sometimes loses, so the final \"total bet amount\" must be much larger than his \"gambling\". Overall:\n\n>Total bet amount ≌ gambling capital pumping ratio x [1 + (predictive accuracy - 1/2)]\n\nThis means that, on the whole, the closer the \"total bet amount\" is to the \"gambling ratio\", which means that the forecast accuracy is closer to 1/2... and then we look at these the \"casino\" data, the final conclusion is that the \"investors\" (actually gamblers) of so many \"binary options\" over the years have been attributed together, and ultimately their \"total bet amount\" is basically It is equal to the value of \"gambling ratio\". That is:\n\n>In general, \"predicting the price after a few minutes\", no matter what kind of means, no matter what kind of theory, in the end, is meaningless, the prediction accuracy rate is the same as the coin flipping, at most 1/2.\n\nPlease note the word \"overall\" that appears repeatedly in the above text. It's not that no one has made any money, but rather that everyone has lost in general. The statistics tell us that participating in the \"investment\" of \"binary options\" (actually the worst \"gambling\" category, because pumping is too bad, even 20%!) The gamblers of the event, even if it is Some of the \"winning money\" is also quite limited, and they are all within a certain \"allowable range of deviation\". There is no \"outlier\" at all (a concept in statistics, \"Outlier \" which refers to those that those samples that deviate from the common data).\n\nNeed to add here, statistical probability knowledge, is the most basic \"money making thinking tool\" (there is no concept of \"one\"). I think anyone who wants to enter the investment field in the future should make up this foundation. In fact, this is a university-based course. However, most people do not understand the basics of statistical probability from the realization of consciousness. Therefore, this life is like someone else diving with the perfect equipment, but you are naked. Just jumping in directly, it doesn't look like it doesn't work, but it is a loss everywhere, but never knows.\n\n\"Can you recommend a book?\" - I know that you just flashed this thought in your head. There are two suggestions for you:\n\n> 1.The textbooks in the university are already very good; 2. If you pick a book, you must choose it for yourself, and don't look for other people to recommend books, because that will make your \"book picking ability\" ever worse and worse.\" The use of retreat is wherever it applies.\n\n---\n>After the expansion of colleges and universities, most people have already rounded out their \"college dreams.\"\nNearly all universities offer courses on “probability statistics”. For many students, this is a required course that you have to learn it then graduate.\nBut what I see is that many people think their knowledge of college to useless things and give themselves an excuse for not studying hard. As a result, they missed out on studying this important course at the best of times.\n\n>In fact, if you are careful experience, many of the things you learn in college can be applied in your life. Even if you can't get direct application, you can use this learning experience to polish your learning ability, and in essence, this can finally help you.\nSo this is why, I will always encourage everyone to maintain an open mind and pay attention to knowledge in various fields.\n**All the knowledge in this world is the most important weapon we know about the world. The more weapons you have in your arsenal, the more calm you will be in facing the world.**\n\n---\nIn finance, there is a hypothesis called \"Random walk hypothesis\":\n\nThis hypothesis believes that the price of the stock market is a random walk mode, so it cannot be predicted.\n\nAs early as 1863, a Frenchman, Jules Regnault, mentioned this hypothesis in his book; in 1900, the French mathematician Louis Bachelier was in his doctorate. This concept was also discussed in the paper; this hypothesis known for many more years later, in 1973, after the publication of Burton Malkiel's \"A Random Walk Down Wall Street\" by Princeton University.\n\nSo far, over the past 100 years, the word followed by the word \"random walk\" is still a \"hypothesis\" rather than a \"theory\" - because the controversy is too big. Supporters have even done various experiments, such as letting a senator use darts to shot financial newspapers, like this chooses 20 stocks as a portfolio. After a few years, he found that the performance of this combination same as the overall performance of the stock market. Not worse than the combination recommended by experts, even better than a considerable number of expert recommendations - in a more exaggerated version, not a senator, but an orangutan, not use darts choose but the 20 stocks whose names are still intact in the fragment of the financial newspaper shredded by the orangutans...\n\nHowever, this does not convincing another group of people - it is as if today, creationism and evolution are still quite the same as their respective supporters (if you think that evolution has long since defeated creationism, then you are too naive) .\n\nAll the inferences related to probability are difficult to be universally accepted by the general understanding - this is normal, because it is to look at the \"long-term overall result\", but what you can see at the moment is only \"something at this moment.\" \"Specific cases\", so, in general, the difficulty of understanding probability theory is not necessarily lower than the difficulty of understanding evolution.\n\nHowever, my personal observation is a bit different. I think the reason why the random walk hypothesis is controversial is actually the time limit for forecasting. If I make the following description, the controversy is probably almost no:\n\n> 1. Short-term price forecasts are not possible; 2. Long-term price forecasts are very likely; 3. The longer the forecast time period, the lower the prediction difficulty...\n\n---\n>For a qualified investor, the most important thing is not to forget this sentence:\nDon't expect too much in the short term and too low in the long term.\nIf you read this, you will find out why most people can only end in failure.\nShort-term price forecasts are impossible, but they have high expectations in the short-term, which will inevitably lead to their excessive disappointment and even destined disappointment.\nWhile long-term stock prices can be predicted, but few people have reasonable expectations for it.\n\n>The end result is:\n**Lost the watermelon and didn't pick up the sesame.**\nSo now that we have learned the metacognitive ability, we should mobilize this ability and clearly understand the current situation.\n\n---\nFor short-term price forecasts, random walks should be simply \"theory\" rather than \"hypothesis\", predicting the next minute, or the price of the next hour or even the next day, essentially, no matter what theory and tools are used, The final result will not be better than the result of \"tossing a coin.\"\n\nHowever, the prediction of long-term prices is actually very easy, because the \"fundamental\" is placed there:\n\n>The stock price finally reflects the growth of corporate value; the world has been improving and the economy has been developing, which is the premise; some companies can achieve progress together with the world and develop with the economy... Of course, there are also a large number of companies, can't do it at all...\n\nThus, a \"different conclusion\" appeared:\n\n>Predicting the price movements of certain stocks is not possible in the short term, but it is easy in the long run. The more forward the time, the easier it is to predict more accurately...\n\nIf I \"gambling\" Google five years later, the stock price is \"certain\" higher than today's stock price, and much higher - I think, the odds winning are very large, the prediction accuracy should be far more than 1/2, even the facts almost no one is willing to \"be gambling\" with me.\n\nThere is a concept called \"Gambler's Fallacy\" that refers to:\n\n>Most gamblers tend to believe that the previous bet results have an impact on the current bet (at least a certain impact)...\n\nThe reason why gamblers are gamblers is actually lack of knowledge. They cannot understand and accept the important concept of probability: \"independence incident.\"\n\nStatistics show that no matter whether you have learned or not, the number of people who are truly unaffected by \"gamblers’ fallacy\" is less than 20% of the total population. That is to say, at least 80% of people are more or less subject to probably the influence of \"gambler fallacy\" - don't be shocked, it is a fact, another \"amazing\" data is that 70% of people simply can't see the logical fallacy of \"If P happens, then Q will appear; now Q appears, then P must happen\" (Eysenck and Keane, 2000) .\n\nSo, if you can understand and rationally accept the \"random walk theory\" (note that this time I used \"theory\" instead of \"hypothesis\"), you can get rid of 80% of \"opponents\"; if you Further clarifying the scope of application of this \"theory\" - not long-term, but short-term - then you have brushed away the remaining opponents at least half, so you are probably already a \"excellent\" contestant.\n\n---\n>A clear understanding is not enough, you have to accept it rationally.\nWe always hear people say that \"know easy, do it hard\", the more modern version is:\nKnow a lot of life principles, but still have a bad life.\nThe key question is not \"difficult to do\", or \"too bad for this life.\" It is whether you really recognize the corresponding knowledge and concepts.\n**In my opinion, all concepts and knowledge that cannot change behavior are basically equivalent to useless.**\n\n>This is like many people who say that \"effort is very important\", but they really recognize the effort, in fact, this is superficial. But not recognized it inside and does not really to do.\nTherefore, whenever the results are unsatisfactory, they will always use the excuse of \"I have tried hard\" to seek personal comfort.\nThis is like a lot of people who regret the opportunity they missed and said that they knew it at the beginning. But in fact, they don't know, just look back and find an excuse when the results have come out.\n**If they really thought it was an opportunity and identity it from the heart, they had early caught it.**\n\n---\nIn last week's article, I mentioned a detail: \"Update data every month\", the principle behind it is:\n\n>From the very beginning, you will need get used to avoiding \"short-term thinking.\"\n\nThinking is often involuntary. For unnecessary things, once you start thinking carefully and then you can't stop, then we will be \"involuntarily\" unable to focus on the important things focus of thinking.\n\nAlthough this is not an easy task - it takes a long time to \"turn habit into subconscious behavior\", at least for a year? However, I feel that it is very fast and very cost-effective to be able to do \"habits into subconscious\" within a year, isn't it?\n\nWith regard to \"knowledge is power, time is money\", I have been an impulse for many years and want to correct it as:\n\n>Knowledge is money, time is power.\n\nOn the one hand, it is more accurate because of this, and on the other hand, because most people don't know that knowledge is money at all, most people don't know how great the power of time is, and never know how much they should be awe this power.",
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      "title": "[Financial Freedom] We have re-recognized \"forecasting\"!"
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      "body": "![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaDo2zAg7USfX5SKGFVRccYK3KFdWDJGpboaE8D9s27U7/image.png)\n\nMany times, **the quality of the problem determines the quality of the answer**. It's not a shame to ask questions, but if you don't ask well, \"not shame\" is actually in vain.\n\nFirst of all, what exactly is the word \"accurate\" to be accurate? So, if it is a question and answer session, it is probably like this:\n>**A: Excuse me, can the change in stock price be accurately predicted? \nB: Please definition \"accurate\" in advance.**\n\nSecondly, regarding \"whether\", most of the problems in this world maybe simple, but it is not as simple as using \"yes\" and \"no\" to answer them directly... So such problems run out, the most direct and correct the answer is: \"not necessarily\", or \"don't know\"... Because \"yes\" or \"no\" are both wrong and inaccurate.\n\nFinally, there is still a limit to \"predicting\" - \"Who will predict?\" The undeniable fact is that the difference in predictive power between people is huge, and this is one; second, if information integrity determines the quality of prediction, then there is no denying that some people integrity of the information it possesses is many orders of magnitude higher.\nA brief analysis of the above three points, in a sense, can be regarded as the most basic example of \"thinking\" - in the eyes of many people who are not good at thinking \"cause trouble?”, obviously, other people don’t think so, they just get used to it.\n\nLet us look at another question:\n>The current Google stock price is $xxx. Excuse me, if you predict that the price will rise after five minutes? Still falling? So, what is your prediction accuracy?\n\nWhether you are based on feelings or based on some theory you have read in the past (such as \"[probability theory](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_theory)\", such as \"[Random Walk Theory](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_walk_theory)\" or something else), it is likely that no matter who you are, the accuracy of the prediction is probably It is infinitely close to 1/2.\n\nWhat does 1/2 mean? 1/2 means \"in fact, you can’t guess at all\", predicting whether it is correct or not depends on luck.\nPlease note:\n>It does make sense to predict more than 1/2, otherwise it's better to throw a coin to decide.\n\nIf the predicted high accuracy to a certain extent, such as more than 60%, then that is to say, 10 times, there are at least six times to predict accurately, then you go to continuous forecasting, not only to forecast, but also with the money to \"bet\" - In the long run, you will definitely make money and make a lot of money... You should be able to react. In fact, the accuracy rate does not need to be as high as 99%, even if it is definitely above 50%, such as 51%, then \"in the long run It must also be very profitable.\"\n\nIn fact, for the judgment that the price after 5 minutes is higher than the current one or lower than the current one, it is almost certain that no matter what method strategy you use, in the long run, your prediction accuracy can only be 1/2 - In other words, no matter how hard you try, that prediction is meaningless. Moreover, this conclusion has actually been verified in practice for an infinite number of times.\n\nThis is a bit counterintuitive, just as \"the result of your coin flip has been positive for 32 consecutive times. However, the next time you throw a coin, the positive probability is still 1/2 (because the coin flip is an '[independent event](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability_theory))') be counterintuitive.\n\nThere is now a so-called \"investment category\" called \"[Binary Option](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binary_option)\", which is a lot online - although many countries have long banned the operation of such things. This thing just appeared shortly before, but it also has been more than a decade old. In essence, it is the \"casino game\" in the stock market version - \"guess the size.\"\n\n**Give you a real-time price data (probably a stock price, or a stock index price, or gold price, futures price, etc.), let the \"investor\" predict 1 minute later (or 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 15 minutes) The rise and fall of the company - investors can \"buy up\" or \"buy down\" ... Guess the right, principal plus interest total 180% return, guess wrong, all compensation. In other words, it is equivalent to \"the casino pumping 20%.\"**\n\nThis kind of setting makes it possible for so-called investors to achieve a prediction accuracy of at least 70% to be able to \"make money in a long-term and stable way\". So, after so many years, no one has ever made any money in this so-called \"investment category\" (actually it was high pumping ratio), and they all lose quickly.\n\n**To put it simply, you are starting to \"predict\" (\"guess\", \"gamble\") with 10 dollars. On average, after 10 times, you will lose light - because it is equivalent to pumped 1 dollar each time. Of course, in fact, many people lost their first time, because they came up guessing wrong; there are still many people who guessed it for the first time, and they still have 18 dollars in their hands, and then guess wrong twice in a row (one dollar for one bet and eight dollars for one), also loses light... all the \"gambler\" data is assembled (equivalent to seeing all gamblers as a big gambler), then on average, \"guess\" after 10 times, it will lose light.**\n\nIn a casino, a gambler's \"gambling\" and \"total bet amount\" are not the same, because he sometimes wins and sometimes loses, so the final \"total bet amount\" must be much larger than his \"gambling\". Overall:\n>Total bet amount ≌ gambling capital pumping ratio x [1 + (predictive accuracy - 1/2)]\n\nThis means that, on the whole, the closer the \"total bet amount\" is to the \"gambling ratio\", which means that the forecast accuracy is closer to 1/2... and then we look at these the \"casino\" data, the final conclusion is that the \"investors\" (actually gamblers) of so many \"binary options\" over the years have been attributed together, and ultimately their \"total bet amount\" is basically It is equal to the value of \"gambling ratio\". That is:\n>In general, \"predicting the price after a few minutes\", no matter what kind of means, no matter what kind of theory, in the end, is meaningless, the prediction accuracy rate is the same as the coin flipping, at most 1/2.\n\nPlease note the word \"overall\" that appears repeatedly in the above text. It's not that no one has made any money, but rather that everyone has lost in general. The statistics tell us that participating in the \"investment\" of \"binary options\" (actually the worst \"gambling\" category, because pumping is too bad, even 20%!) The gamblers of the event, even if it is Some of the \"winning money\" is also quite limited, and they are all within a certain \"[allowable range of deviation](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Point-blank_range)\". There is no \"[outlier](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outlier)\" at all (a concept in statistics, \"Outlier \" which refers to those that those samples that deviate from the common data).\n\n**Need to add here, [statistical probability knowledge](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_Probabilities), is the most basic \"money making thinking tool\" (there is no concept of \"one\"). I think anyone who wants to enter the investment field in the future should make up this foundation. In fact, this is a university-based course. However, most people do not understand the basics of statistical probability from the realization of consciousness. Therefore, this life is like someone else diving with the perfect equipment, but you are naked. Just jumping in directly, it doesn't look like it doesn't work, but it is a loss everywhere, but never knows.**\n\n\"Can you recommend a book?\" - I know that you just flashed this thought in your head. There are two suggestions for you:\n\n>1. The textbooks in the university are already very good; 2. If you pick a book, you must choose it for yourself, and don't look for other people to recommend books, because that will make your \"book picking ability\" ever worse and worse.\" The use of retreat is wherever it applies.\n\nIn finance, there is a hypothesis called \"Random walk hypothesis\":\n\n**This hypothesis believes that the price of the stock market is a random walk mode, so it cannot be predicted.**\n\nAs early as 1863, a Frenchman, [Jules Regnault](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jules_Regnault), mentioned this hypothesis in his book; in 1900, the French mathematician [Louis Bachelier](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louis_Bachelier) was in his doctorate. This concept was also discussed in the paper; this hypothesis known for many more years later, in 1973, after the publication of [Burton Malkiel](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burton_Malkiel)'s \"[A Random Walk Down Wall Street](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Random_Walk_Down_Wall_Street)\" by Princeton University.\n\nSo far, over the past 100 years, the word followed by the word \"random walk\" is still a \"hypothesis\" rather than a \"theory\" - because the controversy is too big. Supporters have even done various experiments, such as letting a senator use darts to shot financial newspapers, like this chooses 20 stocks as a portfolio. After a few years, he found that the performance of this combination same as the overall performance of the stock market. Not worse than the combination recommended by experts, even better than a considerable number of expert recommendations - in a more exaggerated version, not a senator, but an orangutan, not use darts choose but the 20 stocks whose names are still intact in the fragment of the financial newspaper shredded by the orangutans...\n\nHowever, this does not convincing another group of people - it is as if today, [creationism](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creationism) and [evolution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolution) are still quite the same as their respective supporters (if you think that evolution has long since defeated creationism, then you are too naive) .\n\nAll the inferences related to probability are difficult to be universally accepted by the general understanding - this is normal, because it is to look at the \"long-term overall result\", but what you can see at the moment is only \"something at this moment.\" \"Specific cases\", so, in general, the difficulty of understanding probability theory is not necessarily lower than the difficulty of understanding evolution.\n\nHowever, my personal observation is a bit different. I think the reason why the random walk hypothesis is controversial is actually the time limit for forecasting. If I make the following description, the controversy is probably almost no:\n>1. Short-term price forecasts are not possible; 2. Long-term price forecasts are very likely; 3. The longer the forecast time period, the lower the prediction difficulty...\n\nFor short-term price forecasts, random walks should be simply \"theory\" rather than \"hypothesis\", predicting the next minute, or the price of the next hour or even the next day, essentially, no matter what theory and tools are used, The final result will not be better than the result of \"tossing a coin.\"\n\nHowever, the prediction of long-term prices is actually very easy, because the \"fundamental\" is placed there:\n\n>The stock price finally reflects the growth of corporate value; the world has been improving and the economy has been developing, which is the premise; some companies can achieve progress together with the world and develop with the economy... Of course, there are also a large number of companies, can't do it at all...\n\nThus, a \"different conclusion\" appeared:\n>Predicting the price movements of certain stocks is not possible in the short term, but it is easy in the long run. The more forward the time, the easier it is to predict more accurately...\n\nIf I \"gambling\" Google five years later, the stock price is \"certain\" higher than today's stock price, and much higher - I think, the odds winning are very large, the prediction accuracy should be far more than 1/2, even the facts almost no one is willing to \"be gambling\" with me.\n\nThere is a concept called \"[Gambler's Fallacy](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy)\" that refers to:\n>Most gamblers tend to believe that the previous bet results have an impact on the current bet (at least a certain impact)...\n\n**The reason why gamblers are gamblers is actually lack of knowledge. They cannot understand and accept the important concept of probability: \"independence incident.\"**\n\nStatistics show that no matter whether you have learned or not, the number of people who are truly unaffected by \"gamblers’ fallacy\" is less than 20% of the total population. That is to say, at least 80% of people are more or less subject to probably the influence of \"gambler fallacy\" - don't be shocked, it is a fact, another \"amazing\" data is that 70% of people simply can't see the logical fallacy of \"If P happens, then Q will appear; now Q appears, then P must happen\" ([Eysenck and Keane, 2000](http://users.phhp.ufl.edu/rbauer/cognitive/Articles/cognition_emotion_EK4.pdf)) .\n\nSo, if you can understand and rationally accept the \"random walk theory\" (note that this time I used \"theory\" instead of \"hypothesis\"), you can get rid of 80% of \"opponents\"; if you Further clarifying the scope of application of this \"theory\" - not long-term, but short-term - then you have brushed away the remaining opponents at least half, so you are probably already a \"excellent\" contestant.\n\nIn last week's article, I mentioned a detail: \"Update data every month\", the principle behind it is:\n>From the very beginning, you will need get used to avoiding \"short-term thinking.\"\n\nThinking is often involuntary. For unnecessary things, once you start thinking carefully and then you can't stop, then we will be \"involuntarily\" unable to focus on the important things focus of thinking.\n\nAlthough this is not an easy task - it takes a long time to \"turn habit into subconscious behavior\", at least for a year? However, I feel that it is very fast and very cost-effective to be able to do \"habits into subconscious\" within a year, isn't it?\n\nWith regard to \"knowledge is power, time is money\", I have been an impulse for many years and want to correct it as:\n>Knowledge is money, time is power.\n\nOn the one hand, it is more accurate because of this, and on the other hand, because most people don't know that knowledge is money at all, most people don't know how great the power of time is, and never know how much they should be awe this power.\n\n---\nThinking and action\n---\n1. I guess a lot of people have to make up classes because I know that a large percentage of people have never seriously considered the difference between \"hypothesis\", \"theory\" and \"principle\" before.\n2. There are other people who have to supplement the basics: they are likely to have been accustomed to treating \"controversial\" as a sign of \"unreasonable, untenable, and untrustworthy\"... Unknown, \"have the dispute\" itself cannot be judged right or wrong.\n3. Most people need to make up classes, statistics and probability theory - you are an adult, you have to find your own way, all I can do is \"remind you: you have to make up the class.\"\n4. Some people say that the exchange is actually a casino, the transaction amount is \"total bet amount\", and the transaction fee is \"pumping\"... To be honest, this is correct. However, although there are many gamblers on the exchange, but there are very few investors in the casino. So, what is the difference between \"gambler\" and \"investor\"? In fact, the answer has been given in this article.\n5. Review the past articles, combined with today's articles, think about why the sentenced your money to life imprisonment is as long as possible. What do you do to change yourself?",
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      "body": "——Previous review——\n[What are the conditions for starting an investment activity?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-what-are-the-conditions-for-starting-an-investment-activity)\n\n\"When I have money, I will start investing right away!\" The loophole in this sentence is not just:\n\n>When can you have money? In case there is always no money at all?\n\nUnfortunately, we look at the world and, in the end, the “coincidence” thing really happens to most people. Therefore, many people have never invested in their lives. Even more people have not even started - they must know, the vast majority of those who \"start\" investing have ended in failure.\n\n---\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVwvrLjM3REdDEcLs15YAUY3PSyZ7GdAoeDZ4feZdoNzu/image.png)\nIn fact, we have mentioned before:\n\nJust money (funds) itself is not worthy of being called \"capital\", because people who \"hold money\" may not have enough wisdom to turn their \"funds\" into \"capital\", not \"money\" mismatch, was the \"people\" who are holding money are not worthy of standing behind the capital.\n(Please read the sixth week of the article, \"Do you have any capital?\")\n\nSo, another loophole in the above sentence is:\n\n>**Investment does not have to wait until there is a lot of money to do.**\n\nAfter mentioning GAFATA in last week's article, many people leave a message that are similar to \"I don't have much money right now, so...\". In fact, these people have either never read the article in the sixth week, or, even more frighteningly, although the article in the sixth week has been read, but now it has not been a few months, and there is no impression in the mind...\n\n---\n>Do you remember what you did after reading the sixth week of the article?\nMany people look back and they will all feel the same emotion.:\nWhy didn't we start acting at the time?\nIn fact, the initial difference between each person is not so great. What ultimately changes people is the starting point of his practice and the subsequent actions.\n\n>Those who have changed overnight will have little chance of appearing, and even if they do, we can basically ignore them.\nI guess six months later, when I mentioned this article again, there will be many readers also who regret it.\nSo if you haven't started yet and you see the supplements in this section, then go ahead and act.\n\n---\nHowever, the biggest loophole in the above sentence is this place:\n\n>Investment does not have to wait until there is money to do it.\n\n>Investing in this matter, it is really not necessary to wait until there is money to do it. You can make an investment without money. This is a fact that many people have never thought of and have never been shocked.\n\nLet's take a look at the idea:\n\n>What is the most important element in investing in this activity?\n\nIn fact, we have long given the answer, which is the investor's \"thinking ability\" (or \"wisdom\") - if the funds wants to become capital, then it needs three elements: \"amount\", \"time limit\", \"wisdom\". Order of importance between them, most likely this is the most reasonable:\n\n>**Wisdom > Time Limit > Amount**\n\nWhy is the amount actually a relatively low factor in investment activity? In fact, the sixth week of the article also mentioned, because the core indicators to measure the success of the investment is not the amount of \"money\" (this is the absolute value), but the final proportion of the money. How much (relative value) has been increased - the growth ratio is a more essential measure.\n\n---\n>Some readers saw there and thought of an idea: conduct an investment game with me.\nUnfortunately, I will not participate, and I also recommend that you do not compare too much with others.\nthe reason is simple:\nInvestment is always your own business.\nEach of us has a different starting point, and the accumulated wisdom and corresponding time concept are different. Excessive comparisons only cause unnecessary mood swings.\n\n>In fact, in investing in this matter, the only opponent you need to defeat is yesterday's yourself.\nWe are not perfect, but we can make ourselves better every day. This thing can still be done. So don't put your precious attention on the outside, just concentrate them and use them in the most useful places.\n\n---\nAnother reason is that at the starting point, the \"amount\" thing is almost \"a factor that cannot be controlled by oneself\" for everyone. You are rich second generation, you \"directly\" have more money, you aren't, even \"a certain amount\" is not necessarily.\n\nHowever, the term “time limit” is fair to everyone and has nothing to do with the difference in starting point. I am not rich second generation, I am not very rich, but I think that any normal person, as long as \"subjectively a little firmer\", can take out thousands of dollars, or tens of thousands of dollars, \"judgment it is a life imprisonment\" - as long as this is done, one person is investment areas, in this dimension of \"time limit\", they has already stood at the highest dimension with all \"qualified investors\" and all \"excellent investors\" - Can't be higher anymore.\n\nTo be able to understand this truth, what is needed is wisdom - something more subjective than the amount and time limit. It can be done by anyone. This is really a counterintuitive thing:\n\n>The hardest thing is the easiest, the most difficult, because it is too simple, and even many people simply did not expect it...\n\nGoing a little deeper, \"investment wisdom\" is unlikely to be obtained through \"geneticity\" - we have explained this in the twenty-first week article \"The rigid demand for investment is to hedge\".\n\nSo, in the end, our conclusions are combined and retelled, namely:\n\n>The most important factor in investment activities is wisdom. At this point, no one has an \"innate advantage.\"\n\nMany years ago, on that sunny afternoon, I suddenly understood the moment of this, sweating, but my mind was exceptionally clear, looking up and seeing the future.\n\n---\n>Everyone has a moment of awakening, and you are no exception.\nI don't know how many times you got this pleasure when you looked at this column. Even if you haven't, don't be discouraged because you are not alone.\nChina's education has given us a lot of professional knowledge, but the understanding of time and the polishing of the mind have never been taught to everyone.\nSo watching so many readers can't take the first step, I think I have to do something.\n\n>We said a few weeks ago that for some people, \"finding an excuse\" is them rigid demand. In the investment field, the biggest excuse is:\n**I don't have enough money yet.**\nNow I have told you that what is really important is not money, but time and wisdom. And no one has an innate advantage, and everyone has so much time, so don't hesitate any more.\n\n----\nThis is a resumption of the thinking process. I have been a teacher for many years, and I know that thinking about this thing will be \"unnatural, how hard\" when I first started. The above ideas are obviously \"old-fashioned\" for the readers of this column. But we all have a certain \"meta-cognitive ability\", we can use our metacognitive ability to examine our own thinking, and further \"advanced use method\" is to use metacognitive ability to try to figure out other people's thinking (results and The process) - all the good teachers are masters in this area (the reason why most teachers are not qualified is also here).\n\nTherefore, even if it is \"a reader who has already realized that he has read another statement of this content\", many people will be surprised to find that although they have read it before, they are not understanding enough.\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNxfpYWbT1XiyXxkbj7PvWJqV9Zbp5rfkzxvFuTLYEau3/image.png)\n\nIn the eighth week of the article, we mentioned \"Multi-dimensionality to build competitiveness\", I guess you (or a large percentage of readers) just did not think of the relationship between today's article and the eighth week of the article.\n\nSince we conclude that there are three dimensions in defining “capital”, then “further” in any dimension is the basic means of building multi-dimensional competitiveness. Since the \"amount\" is subject to congenital restrictions, since \"the time limit is easy to achieve the highest point\", since \"wisdom\" everyone has no innate advantage; and since \"wisdom\" is the most important factor, then:\n\n>Why not start exercising your wisdom right away?\n\nEven you should ask yourself seriously: “Why didn’t you start from the sixth week?” or “Why didn’t you start from the eighth week?”\n\nThen thinking. There is only one methodology behind the whole process of thinking:\n\n>Constantly ask yourself \"What is the most important thing?\" Active thinking, initiative correction; Once you find the \"most important thing\", you will start to ponder it... In the process, the process is still repeated, perhaps \"the most important thing is What's the answer will change...\n\nThis is actually the “values” mentioned in the 18th week of the article “What determines your destiny” and the steps that must be taken when refining values.\n\nI hope that through this example, you can understand:\n\n>At any time, you need to ask yourself \"What is more important?\", \"What is the most important?\"\n\n>If you don't have the answer to this question, you are a \"headless fly\"; if you have asked, but haven't found the answer yet, you still also \"headless fly\"; if you haven't even asked this question, then you are not as good as \"headless fly\".\n\n---\n>Many people regard the freedom of wealth as the most important thing, so they are doomed can't achieve this wish.\nBecause that's just a milestone, not the ultimate goal. If you look at those who truly achieve this achievement, very few people are ultimately aiming at the freedom of wealth.\nThey either want to create more contributions to society, and they want to make their value even better.\nSo in their view, obviously there are more important things than making money.\n\n>In my opinion, at least one thing is more important:\n**Polishing the concepts and values in your mind.**\nMany people make the wrong choices at the end, in the final analysis, because the concepts in their minds are unclear and their values are vague.\nFor example, the concept of \"having money\", in fact, many people did not think clearly. Then how can you know when you are \"rich\", how can you wait for that node and then invest?\n\n---\nGive the readers of this column the most \"close\" example. Before I start this column, I also ask myself:\n\n>What are the factors that define the value of this column?\nWhat is the more important factor?\nWhich factor is the most important?\n\nThe final conclusion is:\n\n>I must do it to make a larger percentage of readers earn a larger percentage of money in the future.\n\nVery naked.\n\nOf course, because I have been a teacher for a long time, I know that it is very important to let the “students” (or “listeners” and “readers”) temporarily “do not think another things” at certain stages. “It’s also very important for specific pursue at a specific stage. Therefore, I did not \"talk about money naked when I came up start\", and even \"not talking about money for a long time...\"\n\nHowever, if you look closely, my definition is very clear and accurate: the definition of \"a larger proportion\" appears twice.\n\nThe first \"greater proportion\" stems from my determination of knowledge and education. I believe that everything can be learned, and everything can be doing better and better through practice. Even, I have mentioned a phenomenon on many occasions: \"Don't say smart, even 'stupid' is not born! Most of the 'stupid' is actually learned from the day after tomorrow, and is affected by the environment...\" To mention the other, \"meta-cognitive ability\" alone, I know how many people it will affect, and it will bring about tremendous changes in all aspects of a person's life.\n\nThe second \"larger proportion\" stems from my simple perception of reality. The \"starting conditions\" of the readers of this column (that is, how much \"capital\" you already have when you subscribe to this column) is not something I can control - in fact, no one can control it, isn't it? Fortunately, this \"uncontrollable factor\" also happens to be a factor that is actually not so important, because... just mentioned:\n\n>The growth ratio (in investment activities) is a more essential measure.\n\nSo, I finally made sure that this column, I can do it - I know what I should do, I know how I can do that... and because I have the ability to think \"what is the most important thing\" So, in fact, I am sure that I can do quite well, so I can start doing it. And, not only do you have to start, but you can also set the goal to \"do better, even best\" from the beginning.\nEven if you think \"I have no money\", how do you start investing?\n\n>Create an Excel spreadsheet (or use a Number on your Mac, or use Google Spreadsheet on the line)... Then, imagine you buy Google stock for $1, then update the stock price at the end of each month to calculate Compared to the initial investment of 1 dollar, the rise and fall - Done.\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbUAJivc26Sn5wHAyr1yrMVFTbCgGji9Ayot5z3btQWnm/image.png)\n\nOf course, you can also track several companies at the same time. However, it is recommended that you don't pay too much attention. Three or five are enough, otherwise your energy will not be taken care of - even if it is a \"virtual investment.\" Because it didn't take long for you to know that the \"tempering the brain\" is very real and not \"virtual\" at all.\n\n---\n>The reason why it is \"not false\" is because it can really cultivate your abilities.\nFor example, patience.\nRecording once a month, it seems that it is not difficult, but in fact, for beginners, it is don't simple.\nBecause most people measure their time by day or hour, few people plan for weeks, months, or even years. So this is equivalent to improving your perception of time and your patience.\nAt the same time, you are also very likely to improve your English skills.\n\n>I said it very early:\n**If you can't learn English well, don't learn it. Use it directly.**\nAlthough it is a mock investment, you will also pay attention to the movements of overseas companies. Because it involves money, you will be mentally motivated, naturally will find out the meaning of each word, and find out the meaning of each sentence.\nUse it repeatedly, you will find that English is not your obstacle.\n\n---\nHave you reacted? What are the conditions for starting an investment activity? It turned out to be nothing more than:\n\n>As long as you are willing to……\n\nHere are a few key points:\n\n>1 In fact, the stocks you start tracking are not really GAFATA both all right. If your English is not good, then you can choose a company in the domestic stock market that you believe will continue to grow in the future. Because in the next few days, if you are idle, you will pay attention to the company’s financial report and other News.\n2 The amount must be set to 1 yuan - the most convenient and smallest unit. 1 yuan, 1,000 yuan, 10 million yuan, or the dollar or the yuan, in fact, it does not matter. Not because \"anyway, virtual investment\", but because you have to develop a habit from the beginning: focus on relative value rather than absolute value - the growth ratio is really important.\n3 Update data only once a month. Never look at this data at other times of the month. It is not only meaningless, but more terrible is to develop bad habits - as for how terrible the bad habit is, you will understand more and more in the future. (Further self-training is: If there is even an exception, you can't help but look at the data until the end of the month, then you must find a way to punish yourself properly...)\n\nMany people will involuntarily think: \"What is the point of doing this?\" If you can think out, you have already done it - You have never done it. In other words, in your current situation, you can't think of anything.\n\n>**Let you do it, then you do it, less nonsense.**\n\nBecause the premise is clear:\n\n>1 You want to learn;\n2 I have experience;\n3 Although I know that you can't think clear \"what is the point of doing this,\" I guess you can at least understand that \"do it without loss\"...\n\nKeep doing it for at least 12 months, then you are qualified - and this is already very, very fast, and you will become more aware of this in the future.\n\nIn the future, you will see countless people, rushing into the \"investment field\", even if there is no basic training beforehand, even they think they have rushed into the market. In fact, after opening the door, they actually entered the casino.\n\nI think, I have tried to establish a certain degree of trust with the readers in a certain range - patiently waiting for updates every week, read each word patiently every week, persist in more than 20 weeks, you must have already realized the metacognition importance and power of cognitive ability must have already realized the great differences between the stages of “knowing”, “meeting”, “understanding” and “deep understanding”.\n\nOver the years, I have had in-depth contact with many recognized investment field experts. In the end, if you have such an opportunity as me, you will also find out. In fact, at all levels, the biggest problem that everyone faces is exactly the same:\n\n>How can I make myself worthy of that opportunity?\n\nIf you are not an \"entry-level investor\", then I would like to remind you here:\n\n>Every thought loophole will eventually lead to the break. The more capital you have, the more amazing the effect of lead to the break...\n\nI have experienced many times and have suffered a lot of losses. It is a bloody lesson that is hard to tell and preach. Because that lesson is of no use to others, because the lesson is only from a \"specific thinking loophole that belongs to you\"...\n\nThe whole road to the road to wealth and freedom, the things to do are very simple, trying to block one after another the most common, most ordinary, and most terrible thinking loopholes - even from the time when you have no money to invest. I have already started this work. When you finally have the money to invest, one day, you may have a year, two years, or even a \"lifetime\" experience, and then\"the opportunity is really coming\" When you are worthy - even, you are more worthy of the opportunity than others.\n\nIt's that simple.\n\n---\n【You don't want to miss them】\n--\n——[What are the conditions for starting an investment activity?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-what-are-the-conditions-for-starting-an-investment-activity)——\n\n——[Do you really have no chance?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-do-you-really-have-no-chance)——\n\n——[Respect the difference in the magnitude of capital.](https://steemit.com/grow/@lilijing/financial-freedom-respect-the-difference-in-the-magnitude-of-capital)——\n\n---\nMore content can be seen on [Pressone](https://press.one/main/p/427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46), or @lilijing\n--",
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      "body": "![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQPmftRVteGsCRKvhhJ5BPfeoH46Jv5RSDQNhWaCNFxPj/image.png)\n\n\"When I have money, I will start investing right away!\" The loophole in this sentence is not just:\n\n>**When can you have money? In case there is always no money at all?**\n\nUnfortunately, we look at the world and, in the end, the “coincidence” thing really happens to most people. Therefore, many people have never invested in their lives. Even more people have not even started - they must know, the vast majority of those who \"start\" investing have ended in failure.\n\nIn fact, we have mentioned before:\n\nJust money (funds) itself is not worthy of being called \"capital\", because people who \"hold money\" may not have enough wisdom to turn their \"funds\" into \"capital\", not \"money\" mismatch, was the \"people\" who are holding money are not worthy of standing behind the capital.\n(Please read the sixth week of the article, \"[Do you have any capital?](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lilijing/financial-freedom-do-you-have-any-capital)\")\n\nSo, another loophole in the above sentence is:\n\n>**Investment does not have to wait until there is a lot of money to do.**\n\nAfter mentioning GAFATA in last week's article, many people leave a message that are similar to \"I don't have much money right now, so...\". In fact, these people have either never read the article in the sixth week, or, even more frighteningly, although the article in the sixth week has been read, but now it has not been a few months, and there is no impression in the mind...\n\nHowever, the biggest loophole in the above sentence is this place:\n\n>Investment does not have to wait until there is money to do it.\n\n>Investing in this matter, it is really not necessary to wait until there is money to do it. You can make an investment without money. This is a fact that many people have never thought of and have never been shocked.\n\nLet's take a look at the idea:\n\n>What is the most important element in investing in this activity?\n\nIn fact, we have long given the answer, which is the investor's \"thinking ability\" (or \"wisdom\") - if the funds wants to become capital, then it needs three elements: \"amount\", \"time limit\", \"wisdom\". Order of importance between them, most likely this is the most reasonable:\n\n>**Wisdom > Time Limit > Amount**\n\nWhy is the amount actually a relatively low factor in investment activity? In fact, the sixth week of the article also mentioned, because the core indicators to measure the success of the investment is not the amount of \"money\" (this is the absolute value), but the final proportion of the money. How much (relative value) has been increased - the growth ratio is a more essential measure.\n\nAnother reason is that at the starting point, the \"amount\" thing is almost \"a factor that cannot be controlled by oneself\" for everyone. You are rich second generation, you \"directly\" have more money, you aren't, even \"a certain amount\" is not necessarily.\n\nHowever, the term “time limit” is fair to everyone and has nothing to do with the difference in starting point. I am not rich second generation, I am not very rich, but I think that any normal person, as long as \"subjectively a little firmer\", can take out thousands of dollars, or tens of thousands of dollars, \"judgment it is a life imprisonment\" - as long as this is done, one person is investment areas, in this dimension of \"time limit\", they has already stood at the highest dimension with all \"qualified investors\" and all \"excellent investors\" - Can't be higher anymore.\n\nTo be able to understand this truth, what is needed is wisdom - something more subjective than the amount and time limit. It can be done by anyone. This is really a counterintuitive thing:\n\n>**The hardest thing is the easiest, the most difficult, because it is too simple, and even many people simply did not expect it...**\n\nGoing a little deeper, \"investment wisdom\" is unlikely to be obtained through \"geneticity\" - we have explained this in the twenty-first week article \"[The rigid demand for investment is to hedge](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lilijing/financial-freedom-the-rigid-demand-for-investment-is-to-hedge)\".\n\nSo, in the end, our conclusions are combined and retelled, namely:\n\n>The most important factor in investment activities is wisdom. At this point, no one has an \"innate advantage.\"\n\nMany years ago, on that sunny afternoon, I suddenly understood the moment of this, sweating, but my mind was exceptionally clear, looking up and seeing the future.\n\nThis is a resumption of the thinking process. I have been a teacher for many years, and I know that thinking about this thing will be \"unnatural, how hard\" when I first started. The above ideas are obviously \"old-fashioned\" for the readers of this column. But we all have a certain \"meta-cognitive ability\", we can use our metacognitive ability to examine our own thinking, and further \"advanced use method\" is to use metacognitive ability to try to figure out other people's thinking (results and The process) - all the good teachers are masters in this area (the reason why most teachers are not qualified is also here).\n\nTherefore, even if it is \"a reader who has already realized that he has read another statement of this content\", many people will be surprised to find that although they have read it before, they are not understanding enough.\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNxfpYWbT1XiyXxkbj7PvWJqV9Zbp5rfkzxvFuTLYEau3/image.png)\n\nIn the eighth week of the article, we mentioned \"[Multi-dimensionality to build competitiveness](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lilijing/financial-freedom-what-is-the-best-strategy-from-mediocrity-to-excellence)\", I guess you (or a large percentage of readers) just did not think of the relationship between today's article and the eighth week of the article.\n\nSince we conclude that there are three dimensions in defining “capital”, then “further” in any dimension is the basic means of building multi-dimensional competitiveness. Since the \"amount\" is subject to congenital restrictions, since \"the time limit is easy to achieve the highest point\", since \"wisdom\" everyone has no innate advantage; and since \"wisdom\" is the most important factor, then:\n\n>**Why not start exercising your wisdom right away?**\n\nEven you should ask yourself seriously: “Why didn’t you start from the sixth week?” or “Why didn’t you start from the eighth week?”\n\nThen thinking. There is only one methodology behind the whole process of thinking:\n\n>**Constantly ask yourself \"What is the most important thing?\" Active thinking, initiative correction; Once you find the \"most important thing\", you will start to ponder it... In the process, the process is still repeated, perhaps \"the most important thing is What's the answer will change...**\n\nThis is actually the “values” mentioned in the 18th week of the article “[What determines your destiny](https://steemit.com/money/@lilijing/financial-freedom-what-determines-your-destiny)” and the steps that must be taken when refining values.\n\nI hope that through this example, you can understand:\n\n>At any time, you need to ask yourself \"What is more important?\", \"What is the most important?\"\n\n>If you don't have the answer to this question, you are a \"headless fly\"; if you have asked, but haven't found the answer yet, you still also \"headless fly\"; if you haven't even asked this question, then you are not as good as \"headless fly\".\n\nGive the readers of this column the most \"close\" example. Before I start this column, I also ask myself:\n\n>**What are the factors that define the value of this column?\nWhat is the more important factor?\nWhich factor is the most important?**\n\nThe final conclusion is:\n\n>**I must do it to make a larger percentage of readers earn a larger percentage of money in the future.**\n\nVery naked.\n\nOf course, because I have been a teacher for a long time, I know that it is very important to let the “students” (or “listeners” and “readers”) temporarily “do not think another things” at certain stages. “It’s also very important for specific pursue at a specific stage. Therefore, I did not \"talk about money naked when I came up start\", and even \"not talking about money for a long time...\"\n\nHowever, if you look closely, my definition is very clear and accurate: the definition of \"a larger proportion\" appears twice.\n\nThe first \"greater proportion\" stems from my determination of knowledge and education. I believe that everything can be learned, and everything can be doing better and better through practice. Even, I have mentioned a phenomenon on many occasions: \"Don't say smart, even 'stupid' is not born! Most of the 'stupid' is actually learned from the day after tomorrow, and is affected by the environment...\" To mention the other, \"meta-cognitive ability\" alone, I know how many people it will affect, and it will bring about tremendous changes in all aspects of a person's life.\n\nThe second \"larger proportion\" stems from my simple perception of reality. The \"starting conditions\" of the readers of this column (that is, how much \"capital\" you already have when you subscribe to this column) is not something I can control - in fact, no one can control it, isn't it? Fortunately, this \"uncontrollable factor\" also happens to be a factor that is actually not so important, because... just mentioned:\n\n>The growth ratio (in investment activities) is a more essential measure.\n\nSo, I finally made sure that this column, I can do it - I know what I should do, I know how I can do that... and because I have the ability to think \"what is the most important thing\" So, in fact, I am sure that I can do quite well, so I can start doing it. And, not only do you have to start, but you can also set the goal to \"do better, even best\" from the beginning.\nEven if you think \"I have no money\", how do you start investing?\n\n>Create an Excel spreadsheet (or use a Number on your Mac, or use Google Spreadsheet on the line)... Then, imagine you buy Google stock for $1, then update the stock price at the end of each month to calculate Compared to the initial investment of 1 dollar, the rise and fall - Done.\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbUAJivc26Sn5wHAyr1yrMVFTbCgGji9Ayot5z3btQWnm/image.png)\n\nOf course, you can also track several companies at the same time. However, it is recommended that you don't pay too much attention. Three or five are enough, otherwise your energy will not be taken care of - even if it is a \"virtual investment.\" Because it didn't take long for you to know that the \"tempering the brain\" is very real and not \"virtual\" at all.\n\nHave you reacted? What are the conditions for starting an investment activity? It turned out to be nothing more than:\n\n>As long as you are willing to……\n\nHere are a few key points:\n\n>1 In fact, the stocks you start tracking are not really GAFATA both all right. If your English is not good, then you can choose a company in the domestic stock market that you believe will continue to grow in the future. Because in the next few days, if you are idle, you will pay attention to the company’s financial report and other News.\n2 The amount must be set to 1 yuan - the most convenient and smallest unit. 1 yuan, 1,000 yuan, 10 million yuan, or the dollar or the yuan, in fact, it does not matter. Not because \"anyway, virtual investment\", but because you have to develop a habit from the beginning: focus on relative value rather than absolute value - the growth ratio is really important.\n3 Update data only once a month. Never look at this data at other times of the month. It is not only meaningless, but more terrible is to develop bad habits - as for how terrible the bad habit is, you will understand more and more in the future. (Further self-training is: If there is even an exception, you can't help but look at the data until the end of the month, then you must find a way to punish yourself properly...)\n\nMany people will involuntarily think: \"What is the point of doing this?\" If you can think out, you have already done it - You have never done it. In other words, in your current situation, you can't think of anything.\n\n>**Let you do it, then you do it, less nonsense.**\n\nBecause the premise is clear:\n\n>1 You want to learn;\n2 I have experience;\n3 Although I know that you can't think clear \"what is the point of doing this,\" I guess you can at least understand that \"do it without loss\"...\n\nKeep doing it for at least 12 months, then you are qualified - and this is already very, very fast, and you will become more aware of this in the future.\n\nIn the future, you will see countless people, rushing into the \"investment field\", even if there is no basic training beforehand, even they think they have rushed into the market. In fact, after opening the door, they actually entered the casino.\n\nI think, I have tried to establish a certain degree of trust with the readers in a certain range - patiently waiting for updates every week, read each word patiently every week, persist in more than 20 weeks, you must have already realized the metacognition importance and power of cognitive ability must have already realized the great differences between the stages of “knowing”, “meeting”, “understanding” and “deep understanding”.\n\nOver the years, I have had in-depth contact with many recognized investment field experts. In the end, if you have such an opportunity as me, you will also find out. In fact, at all levels, the biggest problem that everyone faces is exactly the same:\n\n>How can I make myself worthy of that opportunity?\n\nIf you are not an \"entry-level investor\", then I would like to remind you here:\n\n>Every thought loophole will eventually lead to the break. The more capital you have, the more amazing the effect of lead to the break...\n\nI have experienced many times and have suffered a lot of losses. It is a bloody lesson that is hard to tell and preach. Because that lesson is of no use to others, because the lesson is only from a \"specific thinking loophole that belongs to you\"...\n\nThe whole road to the road to wealth and freedom, the things to do are very simple, trying to block one after another the most common, most ordinary, and most terrible thinking loopholes - even from the time when you have no money to invest. I have already started this work. When you finally have the money to invest, one day, you may have a year, two years, or even a \"lifetime\" experience, and then\"the opportunity is really coming\" When you are worthy - even, you are more worthy of the opportunity than others.\n\nIt's that simple.\n\n---\nThinking and action\n---\n1. If it’s really like what Munger’s classmates say - “The best way to get the same thing is to make yourself worthy of that”, then what is something you want (or even someone) is your current in what ways can't you match?\n2. What is the reason, you think you understand, and after a long time, I found out that I completely did not understand?\n3. Find out the three areas that are most important to you in your life. Then, made it for a week, think repeatedly. What is the most important thing I should do in this field? Listed with paper and pencil, revised every day... I guess, after a week, you are reluctant to throw away those few pieces of paper, and even, every month and every year, you will involuntarily take out those few pieces of paper and revise them again - Because the benefit of doing this is that you are not willing to abandon it.",
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      "body": "——Previous review——\n[Do you really have no chance?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-do-you-really-have-no-chance)\n\nMany people complain about \"no chance\" for the rest of their lives, but the truth is always full of irony:\n\n>In fact, there are always enough \"big opportunities\" to be \"live in front of us\", but the so-called \"missing\" is ultimately only the majority of people who turn a blind eye to this...\n\nThere are many such examples, but each one is likely to \"didn't look like a good example\" - Because the difficulty of this example is that the example to do is to \"let the things that were originally turned a blind eye can be understood after the example\"... You can imagine this difficulty.\n\n---\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWrMtrtDEu9BKQwSGPAFjg8oSkaWwaYdqDpcyEypjphMb/image.png)\nMoreover, once we are discussing opportunities, we are all about \"probability\" everywhere, and every detail is not \"determined\", not \"100%.\" Therefore, for those who are not familiar with \"uncertainty reasoning\", the process of proof is \"completely full of loopholes\", \"have too many places to question\", and even can't listen, can't stand, even can't keep up with it...\"\n\nBut we must seriously discuss it anyway, because we have already \"goed on the road\", so \"going on\" is the only choice.\n\n---\n>If you look back, you will find yourself missing many opportunities. You will feel sorry for this, also normal.\nBut what we have to remember is:\n**This is not the end.**\n\n>Just like many people will regret it, they have not used the university for four years to fully polish a professional skill so that they can be good enough.\nMy situation is similar to everyone, and there is no good place to go. I haven't even worked in a career related to college majors.\nBut what about it? Even if I regret it anymore, nothing will change. Time is still passing fast, so since you are on the road, don't look back.\n\n>People always say that \"when they lose, they know how to cherish\", but they often cherish what they have lost. For the existing ones, they still adopt a disregarded attitude. Then they can only repeat the vicious circle of \"lost\" and \"cherish\".\nTherefore, instead of regretting that they did not seize the opportunity at the time, it is better to let the future self not regret, and seize the opportunity now. This is what we can do.\n\n---\nLet me first give an example of \"Bite the bullet\". Please read it patiently - no matter what doubts (doubt and confusion) arise in this process, please put it aside, read it carefully, and then read it again and again. First try to absorb, then analyze the logic, and finally come to a conclusion - I mean, your own conclusion.\n\nIn my opinion, what happened in 2016 is actually very important, but most people may not have given enough attention to it:\n\nThe Internet has really completely occupied the entire world. After more than two decades of rapid development, the Internet has completed its original mission of connecting everyone.\n\nAt the end of June 2016, Facebook reached 1.65 billion monthly users - almost one-fifth of the global population (as of July 2018, monthly users reached 2.2 billion, almost one third of the global population (2018 was 7.44 billion)). On the other end of the globe, WeChat, at the end of June 2016, the number of monthly users reached 803 million, which is close to 3/5 of the total population of China (as of the first quarter of 2018, monthly users reached 1 billion, China's population of 1.3 billion).\n\nFrom another perspective, this became a fact:\n\n>**All the people in the world who have the ability to consume are basically online...**\n\nFor a long time before this, the so-called \"Internet\" was just a \"minority group.\" In 1997, the total number of Internet users in China was only 620,000 - the proportion of the population is low. You can calculate. According to the China Internet Network Information Center (CNNIC) statistical survey report, as of June 30, 2006, the number of Chinese Internet users was 123 million (as of June 30, 2018, the number of Chinese netizens reached 802 million. Is it still a \"minority group\"?\n\nIn the years of rapid Internet development, several companies have become giants. I have just created an abbreviation for them - GAFATA (searching on the Internet, Google has a font called \"Gafata\"...):\n\n>**Google Amazon Facebook Apple Tencent Alibaba**\n\nFor example, if the Internet is a \"new world that has finally been built\", then GAFATA is the \"real estate giants\" in this \"new world\", which provides all the infrastructure and services for business operations on the Internet, including data, cloud, computing, payment, trading, social... So, each of them has completely occupied the \"monopoly advantage.\" So, for a long time, their ability to make money is the strongest, maybe getting stronger and stronger in the future...\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXmN7svqdeVdZduhtDtEeTELYep48SrTvzDzFpZqwy8mu/image.png)\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZ8zmAZMUXvPggUu4CAwk6Ck63c2FhAZdGRM2KmT9LpMx/image.png)\n\nThe most terrible thing is that they are also making investments!\n\nAll the new technologies and services that may appear on the Internet, they are \"naturally\" and \"swallow them\" – making many \"early investors\" engage in a macroscopic view, \"at most, divide a small portion\" (even the well-known VC in the industry, it is the same fate).\n\nThen, what is the relationship between this fact and the \"opportunity\", especially the \"wealth opportunity\"?\n\nFirst of all, the stocks of these companies have been publicly traded in the financial market, that is, no matter who you are, you can directly buy (invest) the stocks of these companies; secondly, the stocks of these companies are \"large-cap stocks\", very fluid, if you buy their stock, you can be sold at any time; more importantly, they are likely to grow very strong for a long time in the future - for reasons Well, the above has been explained as completely as possible.\n\n>Note that the two words \"very likely\" in the above wording are not \"certain\", and in the process of passage of time, the probability of this \"very likely\" is also constantly fluctuating, possibly amplitude, very quite big...\n\nIn my opinion, GAFATA is likely to be opportunity that everyone has the ability to grasp - note that it is only \"very likely\", not \"certain\".\n\nHowever, the low relative risk of investing in GAFATA is indeed a clear conclusion - and the longer the holding period, the lower the system risk may be.\n\nBut I am almost certain about the \"everyone\" in the above sentence - But I believe that most people, even if someone tells him this way, they will still think for one reason or another, even afterwards have the reason they don't understand themselves. Turned a blind eye to this \"opportunity\" to it. When they reacted, they had to sigh: \"Oh, it’s all fate!\"\n\n---\n>Every year, new black swan takes off and old swan continues to take off.\nWhenever we hear these news, we are always excited, but there are very few people who really grasp these opportunities. The key is that after we know it, we have to ask ourselves a question:\n**what should I do?**\n\n>As Luo Zhenyu said in the New Year's speech, whether it is a white swan or a black swan, it’s a success if you eat it into your stomach.\nSaw a trend, watching it slip away from the side, and finally regret it over there. Such things are repeated year after year, and we should learn more from it.\nYou may wish to take a look at Luo’s speech and carefully consider the plan for this year compared the previous question.\n\n---\n... I think that in 2026, this text still exist on the Internet - this is one of the benefits of the Internet.\n\nThe example is finished.\n\nNote that this example is here, not as a \"conclusive evidence\", because I know the fact - although I have tried my best to make it clear, actually:\n\n>**1.It is possible that what I said still have inaccuracies; 2. It is possible that what I said still have incomplete places; 3. Even if I say it is complete, there are still many people who can't understand or understand wrong; 4. For other people whose values are different from me, the above examples are likely to be \"can not stand the scrutiny\" in their view, or even \"all are loopholes\"...**\n\nSo, this example is just used to prove a reason in there:\n\n>You see, there are some (big) opportunities, so standing there so clearly, but many people just can't see...\n\n---\n>This is a phenomenon that is “invisible”. I have used a more succinct word:\n**Totallyilliterate.**\n\nThis is a very vivid word. A pair of good eyes open very big, but nothing can be seen.\nIt’s not that only illiterate people are blind. Literacy but can't read the article, also blindness. Can understand the article, but can't thinking the truth, also blindness...\n\n>At different times, the concept of “eyes” is different, but one thing is the same, that is, without serious thinking.\nThis is why we need to polish our own cognitive systems.\nMay be your vision or hearing is innate. But your reading ability and thinking method are not born by nature. The exercise of this part of the ability is precisely the effective way we put an end to the \"totallyilliterate\".\n\n---\nBut don't worry, because the following content is really important.\n\nWhat about \"see it\"? Do you think that \"see the opportunity, is the opportunity yours?\" Obviously not, seeing it, just seeing it, grasping the opportunity is another matter.\n\nThe greater the chance, the more people will see a strange tendency:\n\n>**Face the bigger the opportunity, the worse the people's action.**\n\nRegarding GAFATA, I have told privately to many people. I don't think this is something worthy of \"confidentiality\". Even its value lies in: although it's value very huge, it is so obvious, it is a typical kind of \" because it seems too simple to be ignored and despised.\n\nMost importantly, the value of this conclusion can be approximated by the following formula:\n\n>**The return is equal to the principal multiplied by (1 + compound annualized rate of return) squared per year.**\n\nIn other words, if you actually act, then your income must first look at that base, that is, how much the principal amount is, and secondly, how long your investment period is, and finally look at the compound annualized rate of return. How high is it, is it 10%, or 20%, or 30%? Serious investor knows, long-term compound rate of return over 25%, is particularly high - the inexperienced investor wants are \"at least several times the\" rate of return.\n\nAmong the people I have told when I have rest, there are not many people who actually do it. I am not surprised about this, because I have encountered more aggressive investment types before, and I have seen more \"anyone who is not acting anyway\". Of course, I have seen a larger proportion \"later sighed that if they had to think more about it then will better\" person.\n\n---\n>Most people will not take your recommendation seriously.\nThis is not unusual, because most people are as \"totallyilliterate\" as I said.\nIf a thing he really feels good, you don't recommend him to go back to find it; instead, if he doesn't feel that way in his heart, today you have made great efforts to recommend it to him, and he still turns a blind eye.\n\n>For example, every year at the beginning of the new year, many people are busy losing weight.\nI personally have a wealth of fitness experience, so when someone ask me, I will actively give them advice. But in the end, the people who really listened to it are still few and far between.\nSo don't be obsessed with seeking other people's opinions. Even if you get really good advice, the most important thing is that you have to practice.\n\n---\nOver the past year or so, when I understand the logic of investing in GAFATA (in fact, just the little bit above), I started to act, and I continued to buy GAFATA on a regular basis, and set the proportions and positions that I thought were reasonable. Formulate the principle of adjusting positions, and then observe, summarize and adjust these principles - I feel that this is not boring at all, I feel that this thing is interesting, and I am not tired. In the last quarter of 2016, I even signed up a fund in Hong Kong to prepare myself and help my friends in the community to invest in GAFATA.\n\n>So, never complain about \"no chance\", that is what other group of people do, anyway, not us.\n\nThe problem is that even if you see the opportunity, it does not mean that you can \"automatically grasp the opportunity\", or you should add continuous thinking and action based on your own thinking, and you will be able to truly grasp the opportunity - it is \"possible\". It is not necessarily \"inevitable\" because there is always a factor of luck.\n\nThe thing you have to do is to use your own knowledge, think with your own, and then invest with your own capital \"responsiblely\". What responsibility is it? It's calm when you're lose money, and leisurely when you're make money, which is easier said than done - because most people don't have the knowledge and judgment to support behind the money make a decision.\n\nDon't ask someone this question:\n\n>**Then, how do I buy US stocks in China? (GAFATA also has stocks that can only be bought in the Hong Kong stock market)**\n\nWhy not ask this question? Because this kind of problem is a problem that you should solve by yourself. If you can't solve this problem, you will not only score is failing, or even \"score is negative\". No one has any reason to help you.\n\nI have a friend, Dai Mi (戴汨), the founding partner of JOY CAPITAL (愉悦资本). Last year, I helped him forward a job advertisement:\n\n>**JOY CAPITAL: JOY CAPITAL is ready to recruit two investment analysts. Welcome to forward recommended candidate. The minimum requirements in history are as follows: 1. Work experience: the less the better; 2. Investment or business experience: preferably not; 3. Key universities, difficult professional (such as mathematics and physics); 4. Love sports, do not like to sleep; Resume address: Think about it yourself.**\n\nThis is their job advertisement. At that time, I was very happy when I saw it. After seeing this advertisement, I completely understood that people who didn’t understand where the resume should be delivered were directly “unqualified” and even filtered, because For those people, even the resumes can’t be delivered...\n\nThink again, what is the position that JOY CAPITAL is recruiting? It is investment analysts. If you are recruiting the front desk, this request is a bit too much, but if you want to apply for an analyst, even if the \"CV delivery address\" is didn't analyzed (study) clear, you should be directly filtered out, isn't it? The world is as simple as that.\n\n---\n>A person's analytical ability ultimately determines how much wealth he can have. Especially in this era of fragmentation of information, whether we can grasp the main information and see the true logic behind the incident is one of the important criteria for a person to seize the opportunity.\nThe polishing of analytical skills is a long-term homework, and it is impossible to make a huge change in one day.\nHow to get started? There is an easy way:\n**Don't rely on others to provide thinking.**\n\n>To put it more simply, if you can solve problems by search engines, don't ask for questions.\nOnce you start single thinking, you will find that your analytical skills have improved a lot.\nThis is the equivalent of suddenly discarding your crutches. Although you are faltering at the beginning, you will be able to adapt to the days of abandonment and be able to get better and better.\nSo starting today, don't rely on others to provide thinking and start to hone your analytical skills.\n\n---\nA lot of so-called \"problems\" about investment are not only unworthy to answer, but even should not be asked by others - ask Google at the most, and then ponder over it. This is the basic quality.\n\nAlso, please remember:\n\n>**In the investment field, you don't need to be eager to act.**\n\nThe most difficult part of the grasp of investment knowledge is that it is \"very counterintuitive\". Therefore, image description, if you don't put your own operating system \"overturned\", there is no way to do it correctly. Have been patient for almost half a year, and are afraid that the remaining half a year is not fast enough?",
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      "body": "Congratulations @lilijing! You have completed the following achievement on the Steem blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/60x70/http://steemitboard.com/@lilijing/posts.png?201902181608</td><td>You published more than 100 posts. Your next target is to reach 150 posts.</td></tr>\n<tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/60x70/http://steemitboard.com/@lilijing/votes.png?201902181608</td><td>You made more than 100 upvotes. Your next target is to reach 200 upvotes.</td></tr>\n</table>\n\n<sub>_[Click here to view your Board](https://steemitboard.com/@lilijing)_</sub>\n<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>\n\n\nTo support your work, I also upvoted your post!\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/valentine/@steemitboard/valentine-challenge-love-is-in-the-air\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://i.cubeupload.com/LvDzr5.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/valentine/@steemitboard/valentine-challenge-love-is-in-the-air\">Valentine challenge - Love is in the air!</a></td></tr></table>\n\n> Support [SteemitBoard's project](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)! **[Vote for its witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1)** and **get one more award**!",
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      "body": "![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQme5SnFigkSp8179wqqCfdAriKE6NftH2hZ1hMXnUUAr5H/image.png)\n\nMany people complain about \"no chance\" for the rest of their lives, but the truth is always full of irony:\n\nIn fact, there are always enough \"big opportunities\" to be \"live in front of us\", but the so-called \"missing\" is ultimately only the majority of people who turn a blind eye to this...\n\nThere are many such examples, but each one is likely to \"didn't look like a good example\" - Because the difficulty of this example is that the example to do is to \"let the things that were originally turned a blind eye can be understood after the example\"... You can imagine this difficulty.\n\nMoreover, once we are discussing opportunities, we are all about \"probability\" everywhere, and every detail is not \"determined\", not \"100%.\" Therefore, for those who are not familiar with \"uncertainty reasoning\", the process of proof is \"completely full of loopholes\", \"have too many places to question\", and even can't listen, can't stand, even can't keep up with it...\"\n\nBut we must seriously discuss it anyway, because we have already \"goed on the road\", so \"going on\" is the only choice.\n\nLet me first give an example of \"Bite the bullet\". Please read it patiently - no matter what doubts (doubt and confusion) arise in this process, please put it aside, read it carefully, and then read it again and again. First try to absorb, then analyze the logic, and finally come to a conclusion - I mean, your own conclusion.\n\nIn my opinion, what happened in 2016 is actually very important, but most people may not have given enough attention to it:\n\n**The Internet has really completely occupied the entire world. After more than two decades of rapid development, the Internet has completed its original mission of connecting everyone.**\n\nAt the end of June 2016, Facebook reached 1.65 billion monthly users - almost one-fifth of the global population (as of July 2018, monthly users reached [2.2 billion](https://s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/files/doc_financials/2018/Q2/Q218-earnings-call-transcript.pdf), almost one third of the global population (2018 was 7.44 billion)). On the other end of the globe, WeChat, at the end of June 2016, the number of monthly users reached 803 million, which is close to 3/5 of the total population of China (as of the first quarter of 2018, monthly users reached [1 billion](http://www.tencent.com/zh-cn/articles/17000421537440277.PDF), China's population of 1.3 billion).\n\nFrom another perspective, this became a fact:\n\n**All the people in the world who have the ability to consume are basically online...**\n\nFor a long time before this, the so-called \"Internet\" was just a \"minority group.\" In 1997, the total number of Internet users in China was only 620,000 - the proportion of the population is low. You can calculate. According to the [China Internet Network Information Center (CNNIC)](http://www.cnnic.net.cn/) statistical survey report, as of June 30, 2006, the number of Chinese Internet users was 123 million (as of June 30, 2018, the number of [Chinese netizens reached 802 million](http://www.cnnic.net.cn/gywm/xwzx/rdxw/20172017_7047/201808/t20180820_70486.htm). Is it still a \"minority group\"?\n\nIn the years of rapid Internet development, several companies have become giants. I have just created an abbreviation for them - GAFATA (searching on the Internet, Google has a font called \"Gafata\"...):\n\n>**Google Amazon Facebook Apple Tencent Alibaba**\n\nFor example, if the Internet is a \"new world that has finally been built\", then GAFATA is the \"real estate giants\" in this \"new world\", which provides all the infrastructure and services for business operations on the Internet, including data, cloud, computing, payment, trading, social... So, each of them has completely occupied the \"monopoly advantage.\" So, for a long time, their ability to make money is the strongest, maybe getting stronger and stronger in the future...\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXmN7svqdeVdZduhtDtEeTELYep48SrTvzDzFpZqwy8mu/image.png)\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZ8zmAZMUXvPggUu4CAwk6Ck63c2FhAZdGRM2KmT9LpMx/image.png)\n\nThe most terrible thing is that they are also making investments!\n\nAll the new technologies and services that may appear on the Internet, they are \"naturally\" and \"swallow them\" – making many \"early investors\" engage in a macroscopic view, \"at most, divide a small portion\" (even the well-known VC in the industry, it is the same fate).\n\nThen, what is the relationship between this fact and the \"opportunity\", especially the \"wealth opportunity\"?\n\nFirst of all, the stocks of these companies have been publicly traded in the financial market, that is, no matter who you are, you can directly buy (invest) the stocks of these companies; secondly, the stocks of these companies are \"large-cap stocks\", very fluid, if you buy their stock, you can be sold at any time; more importantly, they are likely to grow very strong for a long time in the future - for reasons Well, the above has been explained as completely as possible.\n\n**Note that the two words \"very likely\" in the above wording are not \"certain\", and in the process of passage of time, the probability of this \"very likely\" is also constantly fluctuating, possibly amplitude, very quite big...**\n\n**In my opinion, GAFATA is likely to be opportunity that everyone has the ability to grasp - note that it is only \"very likely\", not \"certain\".**\n\nHowever, the low relative risk of investing in GAFATA is indeed a clear conclusion - and the longer the holding period, the lower the system risk may be.\n\nBut I am almost certain about the \"everyone\" in the above sentence - But I believe that most people, even if someone tells him this way, they will still think for one reason or another, even afterwards have the reason they don't understand themselves. Turned a blind eye to this \"opportunity\" to it. When they reacted, they had to sigh: \"Oh, it’s all fate!\"\n... I think that in 2026, this text still exist on the Internet - this is one of the benefits of the Internet.\n\nThe example is finished.\n\nNote that this example is here, not as a \"conclusive evidence\", because I know the fact - although I have tried my best to make it clear, actually:\n\n>1.It is possible that what I said still have inaccuracies; 2. It is possible that what I said still have incomplete places; 3. Even if I say it is complete, there are still many people who can't understand or understand wrong; 4. For other people whose values are different from me, the above examples are likely to be \"can not stand the scrutiny\" in their view, or even \"all are loopholes\"...\n\nSo, this example is just used to prove a reason in there:\n\n**You see, there are some (big) opportunities, so standing there so clearly, but many people just can't see...**\n\nBut don't worry, because the following content is really important.\n\nWhat about \"see it\"? Do you think that \"see the opportunity, is the opportunity yours?\" Obviously not, seeing it, just seeing it, grasping the opportunity is another matter.\n\nThe greater the chance, the more people will see a strange tendency:\n\n**Face the bigger the opportunity, the worse the people's action.**\n\nRegarding GAFATA, I have told privately to many people. I don't think this is something worthy of \"confidentiality\". Even its value lies in: although it's value very huge, it is so obvious, it is a typical kind of \" because it seems too simple to be ignored and despised.\n\nMost importantly, the value of this conclusion can be approximated by the following formula:\n\n**The return is equal to the principal multiplied by (1 + compound annualized rate of return) squared per year.**\n\nIn other words, if you actually act, then your income must first look at that base, that is, how much the principal amount is, and secondly, how long your investment period is, and finally look at the compound annualized rate of return. How high is it, is it 10%, or 20%, or 30%? Serious investor knows, long-term compound rate of return over 25%, is particularly high - the inexperienced investor wants are \"at least several times the\" rate of return.\n\nAmong the people I have told when I have rest, there are not many people who actually do it. I am not surprised about this, because I have encountered more aggressive investment types before, and I have seen more \"anyone who is not acting anyway\". Of course, I have seen a larger proportion \"later sighed that if they had to think more about it then will better\" person.\n\nOver the past year or so, when I understand the logic of investing in GAFATA (in fact, just the little bit above), I started to act, and I continued to buy GAFATA on a regular basis, and set the proportions and positions that I thought were reasonable. Formulate the principle of adjusting positions, and then observe, summarize and adjust these principles - I feel that this is not boring at all, I feel that this thing is interesting, and I am not tired. In the last quarter of 2016, I even signed up a fund in Hong Kong to prepare myself and help my friends in the community to invest in GAFATA.\n\n>So, never complain about \"no chance\", that is what other group of people do, anyway, not us.\n\nThe problem is that even if you see the opportunity, it does not mean that you can \"automatically grasp the opportunity\", or you should add continuous thinking and action based on your own thinking, and you will be able to truly grasp the opportunity - it is \"possible\". It is not necessarily \"inevitable\" because there is always a factor of luck.\n\nThe thing you have to do is to use your own knowledge, think with your own, and then invest with your own capital \"responsiblely\". What responsibility is it? It's calm when you're lose money, and leisurely when you're make money, which is easier said than done - because most people don't have the knowledge and judgment to support behind the money make a decision.\n\nDon't ask someone this question:\n\n**Then, how do I buy US stocks in China? (GAFATA also has stocks that can only be bought in the Hong Kong stock market)**\n\nWhy not ask this question? Because this kind of problem is a problem that you should solve by yourself. If you can't solve this problem, you will not only score is failing, or even \"score is negative\". No one has any reason to help you.\n\nI have a friend, [Dai Mi (戴汨)](http://www.joycapital.com.cn/?s=en/team/index), the founding partner of [JOY CAPITAL (愉悦资本)](http://www.joycapital.com.cn/en). Last year, I helped him forward a job advertisement:\n\n>**JOY CAPITAL: JOY CAPITAL is ready to recruit two investment analysts. Welcome to forward recommended candidate. The minimum requirements in history are as follows: 1. Work experience: the less the better; 2. Investment or business experience: preferably not; 3. Key universities, difficult professional (such as mathematics and physics); 4. Love sports, do not like to sleep; Resume address: Think about it yourself.**\n\nThis is their job advertisement. At that time, I was very happy when I saw it. After seeing this advertisement, I completely understood that people who didn’t understand where the resume should be delivered were directly “unqualified” and even filtered, because For those people, even the resumes can’t be delivered...\n\nThink again, what is the position that JOY CAPITAL is recruiting? It is investment analysts. If you are recruiting the front desk, this request is a bit too much, but if you want to apply for an analyst, even if the \"CV delivery address\" is didn't analyzed (study) clear, you should be directly filtered out, isn't it? The world is as simple as that.\n\nA lot of so-called \"problems\" about investment are not only unworthy to answer, but even should not be asked by others - ask Google at the most, and then ponder over it. This is the basic quality.\n\nAlso, please remember:\n\n>In the investment field, you don't need to be eager to act.\n\nThe most difficult part of the grasp of investment knowledge is that it is \"very counterintuitive\". Therefore, image description, if you don't put your own operating system \"overturned\", there is no way to do it correctly. Have been patient for almost half a year, and are afraid that the remaining half a year is not fast enough?\n\n---\nThinking and action\n---\n1 Have you ever reached any conclusions in your eyes, and then you grasped them, but the people you told were not grasp it?\n2 Has anyone told you what opportunity, and later proved that it is indeed an opportunity? Why did you miss it at the time? If there is a lesson, what is it?\n3 Regarding the “example” (GAFATA) in the article, what is your opinion if you have different opinions?\n\n---\n【The Better chapters】\n---\n[Respect the difference in the magnitude of capital](https://steemit.com/grow/@lilijing/financial-freedom-respect-the-difference-in-the-magnitude-of-capital)\n[The rigid demand for investment is to hedge!](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lilijing/financial-freedom-the-rigid-demand-for-investment-is-to-hedge)\n[How to recognize, choose, and cultivate the right rigid demand?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-how-to-recognize-choose-and-cultivate-the-right-rigid-demand)",
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      "body": "——Previous review——\n[Respect the difference in the magnitude of capital](https://steemit.com/grow/@lilijing/financial-freedom-respect-the-difference-in-the-magnitude-of-capital)\n\nThis sentence is actually very popular in the market, and even it will become a \"political correct speech\" within a certain circle:\n>Is it powerful to have money?\n\nIn a sense, this is because the language itself is often too simplistic and too ambiguous as an expression tool. I guess the overwhelming majority of people actually mean this when they say this: \"Although you have money, you don't have anything great.\" or \"I don't feel you have any powerful, even you have many money.\"\n\nAlthough these are correct, overly ambiguous expressions often in turn shape self-understanding.\n\n>Each of us has a \"self-protection mechanism\" embedded in our brains, which tries to ensure that we do not have a \"psychological breakdown\" in a variety of ways.\n\nIt is rare for a girl who is ugly to receive a love letter, but they have another interpretation of their own fact that they \"can’t receive a love letter\": \"I am not as frivolous as they are!\"\n\n---\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbzEdbLC2b15ERLLRfp75psVGbWDtJCf8zFt1b8Yf2H6w/image.png)\n\n>Make complaints, resentment, these are some of our instincts, whether you want to admit it or not, it is an objective existence.\nOur growth process is the process of constantly learning various skills and defeating instincts.\nWhen we show these instincts, we will naturally \"rationalize\" it. So things that are not pleasing to you in your eyes will become less and less pleasing to the eye.\n\n>How to overcome this instinct?\nIn fact, the method is not complicated, you just ask yourself a question:\nDoes this help my growth?\n\n>If the answer is yes, then whatever, start first. When you are doing it, you will naturally \"rationalize\" it and urge yourself to complete it.\nIt doesn't matter if there are some unnatural instincts. What matters is how to use them reasonably.\n\n---\nFor example, a long time ago, I was a person who didn’t talk very much, often spoke offenders, and often talked inappropriately - but at the time I had another \"Straightforwar\" explanation for my shortcomings: \"This is how I am, speaking will not euphemistic, it will only go straight...\"\n\nWhen in school, not all students with poor grades were inferiority. On the contrary, they found their own superiority through their own set of explanations: \"Don't look at his good grades, but actually nothing!\" or: \"My mom said, it is not necessarily good life to have a good grade in the future!\"\n\nEspecially in the latter sentence, it is particularly confusing because it seems to be true - but in fact, the current poor performance also will not necessarily be good in the future; further, good grades and poor grades will be it is not necessarily good in the future. But the problem is that the \"not necessarily\" that is also expressed is not the same necessarily. The probability of 80% is \"not necessarily\", and the probability of 20% is \"not necessarily\". How can it be equivalent?\n\nWhen we don't have money, this self-protection mechanism will jump out and try to find another explanation that will make us feel good and not let us collapse. If one angle doesn't work, will change one, also doesn't work then change it again. Until it is found.\n\nFor example, \"Is it powerful to have money?\" for many people, it is an explanation that can make you \"sufficient peace of mind\". We often hear that \"not everything can be bought with money\" is also the case - in fact, it was really have something can't be bought with money, so you can't buy it by have money or haven't, so, \"have money.\" Not an advantage, \"no money\" is not an advantage. The end result is that \"no money\" is still a disadvantage. Because there is no money, \"the things that can be bought with money\" also can't be bought. Isn't it worse? !\n\n---\n>\"Is it powerful to have __!\" It’s a versatile template.\nWith the help of this sentence, you can find countless \"excuses\" without need thinking.\nThis is just in line with the need for most people to \"find excuses.\"\nPeople are always used to doing simple things and avoiding difficulties. Compared to the simple matter of \"finding an excuse\", \"finding a method\" is extremely difficult.\n\n>But the difference between people is actually produced in this choice.\nFor you, the real need in life is to \"find an excuse\" or \"find a way\" that will greatly affect your future.\nWe can't say that there must be a solution to all things, but there must be corresponding excuses for doing bad things. You are willing to give up part of the security, try to find a way, will be the most critical factor for your growth.\n\n--\nThis kind of behavior, we call it \"find excuses\" on weekdays, although it is a less precise concept, it can also be used.\nThe so-called \"find excuses\" is to for \"unacceptable reality\" to find an explanation that makes you \"satisfied\". If one angle doesn't work, will change one, also doesn't work then change it again. It's also don't good then choose not repay. Whatever \"I can’t accept reality anyway\" (what is the reality?)\n\nLooking for an excuse, this \"self-protection mechanism\" is essentially an \"ostrich strategy.\" When the ostrich encounters extreme danger, it will stretch its neck, lie close to the ground, and even plung the head into the sand, and the body will be distorted, completely ignoring the part other than the head can not be hidden (it is said that occasionally because of ostrich the dark feathers of their own are disguised as rocks or bushes, hiding from the pursuit of some other animals, but hunters are often impossible to be fooled by them.)\n\nFurthermore, this mode of thinking is often \"disregarding everything\", \"as long as there is a point to say it then ok\", so if you look closely at those who have the habit of \"finding excuses\", you will find that they have already developed Habits, not only when looking for excuses, but in fact, they can only be \"superficially thinking\" at any time. When dealing with any \"causal relationship\", even if there is such a weak connection, they jump straight into \"Causal conclusions\", there are many other situations that need to be analyzed, and they need to be judged... Their excessively rich \"excuses for excuses\" make them unable to carry out any deep thinking at all, even if they permanently lose a capability - analytical ability. - Ugh! This is an indispensable ability to search for wealth opportunities.\n\nYou can even say this directly:\n\n>Search for wealth opportunities, relying solely on analytical capabilities.\n\nWe will discuss it in the future and will eventually understand that, in fact, even luck is actually affected by the ability of analysis.\n\n---\n>\"Analyze and make judgments\" is what we do every day, not limited to investment and financial management.\nWhether you are crossing the road or choosing a career, you will eventually need to make the most reasonable judgment based on the current situation.\nThe cherished attention we have talked about before, and the partial abandonment of security are all in order to allow everyone to use their limited energy to improve their judgment.\n\n>You look at those \"rich people\", almost all people are good at observing.\nMany times, they don't need to try their own mistakes. Look at how fools take risks and learn from them then enough.\nOf course, they will also practice, but they will hide the obvious pits, and the efficiency of achieving the goal is relatively high.\n\n---\nHaving said that, we are not making excuses. We are facing reality. \"what a great place when have many money?\"\n\nIn order to facilitate our analysis, we must first clear what the \"great\" object is. You have a lot of money, I don't have much money - assuming that this is a reality - that now, the \"great\" object is not you or me, but \"the difference in wealth between you and me.\"\n\nYes, that \"difference\" is \"great\".\n\nNot only in China, but each country has the definition of \"qualified investors\".\n\nQualified investors refer to units and individuals who have the corresponding risk identification ability and risk-taking ability, invest in a single private equity fund with a minimum amount of less than 1 million and meet the following relevant standards:\n\n>1 Companies with no less than 10 million assets; \n2 Individuals whose financial assets are not less than 3 million or whose average annual income is not less than 500,000 in the last three years. (The financial assets here include bank deposits, stocks, bonds, fund shares, asset management plans, bank wealth management products, trust plans, insurance products, futures interests, etc.)\n\n\"The investment capacity of a single project is not less than 1 million.\" This condition means that qualified investors should basically have the ability to invest in several projects of 1 million... 1 million, which does not sound much because Many families in China buy a house, and they often for a few million (of course, most of them are loan millions to buy a house).\n\nBut actually? A has 1 million of Idle money, and B has 100,000 of Idle money. The difference between this is 900,000, was 9 times... It is a big difference, but if you think about it, it is likely to be far more than 9 Double, but a \"very great\" difference.\n\n---\n>The gap between people is sometimes very big and big enough to exceed your imagination.\nWhether it is the way of thinking or the logical concept in the mind, there may be a world of difference. But we can't find it. Because these things are hidden, we can't distinguish them at a glance.\nBut \"money\" is different. It is really there, there are more or less, and you will see it soon. So naturally it will poke some people's glass hearts.\n\n>But \"recognize the difference\" is the first step in our elimination of the difference.\nIf you just negate the facts blindly and dare not face the reality gap, even if there is a better way, it will not help you get out of trouble.\nSeeing the wealth of others, it is only an external manifestation of the internal difference.\nTrying to learn each other's strengths and constantly reducing the gap from the inside out is the place we should pay most attention to.\n\n---\nCalculate it. You live alone in Beijing. The monthly pre-tax salary is 25,000 RMB. After the tax, you can count the Five social insurance and one housing fund, you can get a little more than 17,000 yuan. Under the premise of not affecting the quality of life, you How much can you save? Many people can't save two thousand - this is a fact, and it is a fact that other people who enter only 5,000 a month can't imagine. Assuming that 5000 can be saved every month, and only 60,000 a year, it is simple, that is, it takes 15 years to make up for the \"900,000 difference\" - this is still under the two premise :\n\n>1 Assume that there are no accidents (15 years without accidents are actually impossible); \n2 Assume that the difference will not become bigger after 15 years...\n\nThe core and key here is: How many 15 years can you live?\n\nThe difference is great, the difference is very powerful - whether you respect the difference seriously, in my opinion is really the most important \"brain remodeling\" motivation. If you don't respect the difference, you will continue to make excuses, and eventually you will need endure the consequences and pressure of the difference, whether you like it or not. Then the brain is shaped into another look; in turn, respect that differences mean that the reality has been accepted. People who face reality seriously, even if they are \"uncomfortable\", are \"correctly uncomfortable\" because the \"difficulty\" will prompt them to make the right choices. At the same time, the brain is constantly being shaped into a more suitable opportunity to find and accumulate the machine of wealth.\n\n>We began to take a deeper look at the \"savings\" behavior; began to carefully screen the necessary consumption; began to seriously invest in ourselves (in fact, mainly time and attention); began to truly focus on their own growth, because without growth, there is no accumulation, without accumulation there is no satisfactory status quo; start to seriously learn from those \"rich people\", to distinguish which ones are good and which ones are right, instead of coming up, they immediately come up with the idea that \"you are so great?!\" Begin to understand the value of thinking quality, so constantly and deliberately improve the quality of their thinking, temper their own thinking mode;\n\nIt's hard to imagine how much money the richest people in the world have, but we can easily understand how poor the poor are through statistics - and it's easy to understand how to be \"not so poor\" as quickly as possible.\n\nA few years ago, a US company had investigated that in the United States, about 43% of adults couldn't take the $1,000 for emergency use - this is in developed countries! The history of credit card issuance in China began in 1986 when the Bank of China Beijing Branch issued the Great Wall Credit Card. Up to now, 30 years have passed, and large-scale issuance of credit cards for more than a decade - not long after, the proportion of the United States may also correspond in China: It is estimated that more than 40% of adults actually cannot take one or two thousand yuan of emergency money.\n\nYou want to save yourself a 10,000 yuan \"emergency money\" as soon as possible. Haven't meet emergency, never use it. Just put it over there. You may have surpassed 60% of the adults in the country. Unfortunately, it is as simple as that.\n\nThe wealth of the world is unevenly distributed. Whether people like it or not, the Gini coefficient has been increasing. According to the 2015 report of Oxfam UK, by 2016, you only need $77,000 (less than 500,000 RMB) of wealth, and you have become the richest person in the world's top 10%; and if you own With a wealth of $798,000 (less than 5 million yuan), you have become the richest one in the world...\n\nLooking at it from this angle, \"getting rid of poverty\" is not difficult for those who are willing to think, willing to make progress, willing to ponder, and willing to try to correct mistakes. \"Super rich\" not something that can be done in a generation. But, when you think in turn, most people are poor, in today's era, it's really just thinking about poor quality - your brain is gradually being shaped into another Look, still in the case of completely ignorant.\n\n>Start today and take your savings seriously. Don't just stare at the number, learn to think in proportion, and learn to pay attention to the difference.\n\n---\n>We have said before that you have to see other people's good, so that you can grow and progress.\nAdd a \"'s\" word, you can separate the advantages and disadvantages of others. I will not affirm this person because of one's merits, nor will I ignore the shortcomings of one person and ignore the part that is worth learning.\n\n>Many people hate \"rich people\", not because of their ability to make money, but also because of other less beautiful qualities. At this time, it is important to think clearly: It's okay for someone else’s bad place. We should be able to see other people's good places.\nBecause of the shortcomings of others, let you automatically made discrimination to shield the flashing points on them body, so that we only lose ourselves.\n\n---\nYour first \"small goal\" is to move into the first half, then in this half, and then find a way to enter the first half of this half...\n\nYou must respect the difference between the wealth of those who are ahead of you and your wealth, knowing that the differences are not measured by the value of money, but by the time required to make up for that difference...\n\nSo, you will understand the huge difference, you will have the right pressure and motivation to improve your unit time output, improve your own ability and efficiency, so as to shorten the time to make up for the difference - making money too slowly, the utility is halved, and it’s not a good thing to have money when you are old...\n\nWe all know that accepting reality is really painful, but it is the first step forward, otherwise there is no starting point.",
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      "title": "[Financial Freedom] We re-recognize the \"difference\""
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      "body": ">文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/aiG9sGc6JwulabMmdoPmiA)\n\n---\n![](http://b182.photo.store.qq.com/psb?/c7970352-870a-44a3-8525-ff667c0d24fe/hREkTSDq7dYKUom*xRco.WJOzqeuAARoCulnRUgGPDI!/b/dLYAAAAAAAAA&bo=OAQwAjgEMAIDCSw!&rf=viewer_4)\n\n最近同时间看了两篇文章印象深刻，一个是讲不追求一夜暴富的，一个是讲顶级圈子的竞争，本质上它们是一回事。乍一听起来就觉得不合理，因为一夜暴富怎么都不像是为了培养顶级圈子贵族气质的，但其实之所以说是一回事就在于这是一条路上的不同阶段，没有人真的想当一辈子的“土”豪。**学渣再学习差，再如何为自己的潜力感到骄傲，也没谁想当一辈子翻不了身的渣。**\n\n\n\n当然，在这里面，学渣们反而会对自己的未来充满光明的期待。最常见的就好像每次考完试，大部分的学渣都会自信满满表示这次绝对没问题了，但是你再转头看看那些素日的学霸们，大部分时候他们都真的忧心忡忡——“题太难了”、“又考砸了”、“这次不行了”——这种话从来不是学渣说出来了的。还有个很有趣的现象，越是没人追的女孩子就越是会以为跟她玩的人是别有心思在追求她，相反，越是大美女级的越是打心底里强调友谊的单纯性。\n\n\n![引用图片](https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/yl8kvJsuKplpHd4mAmNLx5N3ms9Y9apHUciaFuKN6D1QHXq4mojUBwmTmcFCRbuNdDpOmkd8hBibvic6T52LzogHg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&wx_co=1)\n\n\n这样的心理状态其实也算大脑对自己的保护，并且其实任何人在求知的路上都会遇到心理上的绝望低谷以及认清真相后的建立新的认知和能力完善。\n\n\n\n在这个专有名词的心理效应中我们也能看到，自信程度随着不同阶段发生着变化，就好像生活中越是吃瓜群众越是热衷于点评时事一样，**因为基本上不可能知道“真相”，但又真是闲的没事干所以把时间和智商都用在了揣测现象上**。最明显的就好像国与国之间发生摩擦纠纷跳出来的一大帮键盘侠、预测投资产品短期内未来走势、又或者哪个明星闹离婚看热闹不嫌事大，这种事简直比买菜的贵了几毛几分都清楚。但是，有啥用呢？国与国的纠纷终究不会有人听键盘侠的分析来决定后果，投资品的上涨和下跌简直是再正常不过的事了，而哪些明星出轨离婚吸毒什么的，了解再多对你的生活有什么帮助呢？不知道的还真以为你是谁家大老板所以需要对手下员工情况如数家珍呢……\n\n\n\n**所谓愚昧的山峰，并不是由学历或者财富的多寡决定，甚至不是由“自己不知道”的东西决定的，而是由“你自己压根不知道自己不知道”的东西决定的**。就好像，一个胖子看见一个瘦子或者打算减肥的人就觉得人家是附庸风雅，要不然就是苦哈哈的节食自律，体会不到生活的快乐。但是他根本不知道人家早就不在乎这个了，他更不可能知道自己原来压根就不知道人家跟他对各自人生的期待不一样——所以怎么可能生活在一个世界呢？所以即便看起来“愚昧的山峰”和“持续平稳高峰”的自信值相似，但怎么可能是一个质量的自信程度呢？\n\n\n\n另一方面，这几年很多影视作品都讲述“中年危机”，在一定程度上也反映了人们在某个阶段遇到的绝望。当然这里面更多是一种带有负面意义的绝望，因为这个绝望更多时候不是“自找的”，而是被生活推动着遇到的。说白了，如果在更年轻的时候持续成长，那中年的时候应该会有在时间沉淀和成果积累下的自信，而不是一种面对生活的无力绝望。而“绝望期”其实不光表现在年龄阶段上，更表现在探索各个领域上。让一个宅男去学如何讨妹子欢心，最终想成为情圣那必然得经历这么一个看起来漫长的一眼看不到尽头的黑暗期，在这个阶段无论是外界对自己的评价还是内心对自己的认可程度，都是最低的，同时也是最容易放弃的。\n\n\n\n在这个阶段，一个宅男可能明白了自己原来是这么差劲，这么不会聊也不会撩，这么没有情趣和审美，这么欠缺知识水平。而不是像上一个阶段的，以为自己又有情趣又有魅力又有知识又有耐心又有品味，就是缺个妹子上门投怀送抱了。\n\n\n\n就好像每个胖子都是潜力股一样，在这个“知道自己不知道了”的阶段居然选择了坚持做下去，也就是知道自己缺少了什么同时知道了如果想拥有好的结果则需要弥补什么能力和成果，那么这个阶段也就是每个人迎接平稳上升，持续产出稳定成果的阶段了。就好像所谓的“中年危机”更多时候出现在三十多岁，但是你很少能看到一个四五十岁的人还在那儿不停不停的“中年危机”的。因为要么一个人选择了在那个绝望期彻底放飞自我，老了公园一扎谈古说今；要么就会选择痛定思痛打磨自己的能力，提高成果的质量，这么到了四五十岁又到了一个检验和收获的阶段。\n\n\n\n就好像在那篇不追求一夜暴富的文章里，作者经历了看到原本和自己差距不大的人比自己强了一大截然后开始了各种自己着急翻身的愚蠢过程，这之后才算是在长期的生活和状态低谷后开始反思是不是太着急了。就如同**心理效应绝对不是某个人独有的心理现象一样，一段看起来急功近利的挣扎过程是每个人在成长的过程中都会遇到的**，对一个胖子想穿上正装参加社交舞会来说，绝对不是披个麻袋都能轻松上阵的事，相反这过程中无论是突然想学习服装搭配还是想快速健身，每一个都属于脑子发热导致的。**在钟声敲响的最后一分钟里，你唯一需要做的就是心平气和状态得体的出现，而不是有一个God mother把你丑小鸭变白天鹅**。\n\n\n\n>**你当然可以有不甘心，不服气，甚至是悔恨，但是那又怎样？造成这个结果的是你，那为什么承担后果的变成别人？**\n\n>没有哪个学渣没幻想过满分成绩单上写着自己的名字，但是那又怎样？那只能是幻想。\n\n\n\n无论我们如何评论和认为一些名人的行为和生活，都不可否认一个事实，就是这个世界上确实是有大师的。所谓的大师并不是具有超能力来改天换地，而是他们的存在和成绩本身就足以颠覆人们的认知了。就好像苏格拉底被判处死刑后，依然选择了让追随者以“所知最善的方式去生活”，他可能知道自己选择了内心最认可的方式来接受一切结果，甚至选择了用死亡来检验自己对所持意义的行为程度，但他并不知道可能他存在的本身就已经是“所知最善的方式”的代名词了，也就是他无需多此一举的验证他的头脑与行为也已经契合了。\n\n\n\n>我们每个人都是自己成果的代言人，你坚信的是什么、你的成绩是什么、你经历的是什么、你的思考是什么，这些都会汇聚成为生命的一部分，成为生命的内在支撑和外在表现。**简单却深刻**。\n\n\n\n不知道你知不知道我接下来想要说什么？其实还是**复利效应**。看起来人们从愚昧的山峰走到智慧的高峰有一个漫长的大低谷，甚至低谷直接占去了三分之二的篇幅，回归到人生上我们也能看到越到后面我们每个人之间的差距越可能天壤之别。俗话说三十年河东三十年河西，但放在如今的世界，可能三年河东三年河西都说多了。\n\n\n\n而就好像两座不同的高峰一样，看起来自信程度相似，甚至因为前者众所以看起来又热闹又幸福，但其实那种幸福和自信是不是经得起推敲的，这就只能见仁见智了。人们总说的“高处不胜寒”本质上还是站在了仰视和不解的角度给出的判断——真正站在另一个高峰的人，那里的寒风是一种苍劲的美好，是一种有厚度的精神匹配和享受——怎么可能觉得冷飕飕站不住呀……真以为谁都是坐缆车直升机到巅峰然后拍个照着急下山吃泡面暖和呢？\n\n\n\n就如同跨越舒适区一样，大冬天从被窝里出来很多人都觉得难以承受，其实本质上被窝是不是真的暖和另当别论，更多时候它代表了一种“已知”而不是充满不确定的“未知”。同时，在床上躺着很多人真的就是睡了玩玩了睡，但是起床了却意味着必须做点什么才能匹配艳阳高照了。而**痛苦地意识到自己的无知，是求知的开始**，因为能够意识到自己的无知绝对不是因为还做着熟悉的事，于是突然发现自己掌握的还不够。而是**对一个自己原本以为有知的东西却掌握的非常差，这才是一个会引发痛苦感触的关键点**。而这之后，究竟是选择继续了解下去搞明白究竟是自己变差了还是自己根本就没懂，又或者矫情的顾影自怜缩回去了，这最终也就导致了你究竟在哪座山峰收获自己的人生和成果。\n\n\n\n>虽然有句话叫“每个胖子都是潜力股”，但不是“每个”胖子都成功减了肥——这也是事实。\n\n\n\n说到这里，可能就要说一个事了，**这世界上大部分人都只是低质量的活着**。就好像日常提到的跳出舒适区一样，其实这件事真的有那么难吗？又或者是保持一副好身材和健康的生活方式，这件事做起来就比一天好几顿的高脂高热高糖食物痛苦百倍吗？又或者从及格万岁的学渣到稳定高分的学霸，难道就绝对是蠢材与天才之间的区别吗？\n\n\n\n任何转变当然会经历痛苦，但事实上那份痛苦真的让你百倍千倍万倍的难受无法持续吗？\n\n\n\n与其说是承受不了痛苦，接受不了不确定感，受不了那个未知漫长的凌迟，不如说是**做着做着就忘记了最重要的是什么**。\n\n\n\n最好玩的就好像很多女孩子抱怨男生追求自己追着追着就不追了，但其实**你究竟是想迎接来一段美好的感情，还是就想被人追呀？**这个跟耐心无关，跟所谓身价考验无关，甚至跟爱得深不深无关，真的想考验全面不应该找年轻气盛还一无所有的小伙子，而是有经验有手腕更闲的只剩时间的老爷爷们。\n\n\n\n就好像之前说的，有些人面临绝望低谷的时候虽然一样觉得痛苦不堪，难以忍受，但是却选择了持续前进，最终让自己的下一个十年，乃至后半生都能拥有不错的成绩和认知水平。而有些人在面临绝望低谷的时候面对同样的挑战觉得唯有放弃才对得起自己的认知和人生期待，以至于到老了就真成了在犄角旮旯找把椅子一坐一整天的晒太阳，感慨世风日下了。本质上，不是前者有多坚强，又或者后者有多脆弱，而是一个还始终记得 *（无论是潜意识还是实际）* 目的是什么，以及生活中依然有需要解决的问题等着自己。而后者？他们就如同赌徒一样，与其告诉他们怎么建立系统的学习方法和过程，不如直接告诉他们怎么“瞬间”解决一切问题——收费，他们都愿意花这份钱。对他们来说，解决问题不是最主要的，最主要的是一切顺溜了好去享受，不顺溜的时候想去享受老被别人说三道四，不痛快！\n\n\n\n所以，虽然每个人必然是从0起步的，但因为秉持的想法不同，采取的行为必然会随着时间的拉长而发生变化。以至于到后来有些人不成为负数就不错了，有的人则走到了近乎于天边的位置。\n\n\n\n从这个角度讲，“复利效应”其实并不是什么妖魔化的奇迹，又或者说出来骗小孩的，**世界上有最高的山峰，也有最深的海洋，它们绝对不是第一天就这个样子的。**\n\n\n\n在某种程度上，我特别讨厌别人说“*我们普通人……*”这样的话，因为几乎每一个这样说的人，下一句都不是对事物的肯定或者对自我的调整，反而他们无一例外的用“普通人”这块挡箭牌作为自己不去做什么的借口和充分的根据。不知道多少次在心中戏虐，**他们并不是因为能力差才只能成为“普通人”的，而是因为认定了或者接受了“普通人”这个人设，所以才不会去做任何“非分之想”的。**\n\n\n\n>**不想当主角的不是好配角。**\n\n\n\n你可以不去抢戏，甚至你也不应该去抢戏，因为能不能抢过来还是一回事，就算抢过来了你也未必受得起那个海量的人气洗礼和承载驾驭更高深的片子。但是**狠狠地磨练自己，多吸取别人的经验教训，努力进化自我，让自己不再永远只能“跑龙套”**——这总不过分吧？这总应该是任何一个“龙套”都梦寐以求的吧？而不是为了片场几十块钱的盒饭？\n\n\n\n无论是做事的过程中永远不要忘记反问自己“最重要的是什么”，还是永远存在“非分之想”的保持不断进化，有些事情就是这样，**在不知道它们之前你是一个人，在知道了之后，你还想成为曾经那个人却是不可能的事了。**一见杨过误终身，当真的开始不断思考检视自己的行为和目标之后，还怎么可能继续只做一个“普通人”呢？\n\n\n\n同样，当你真的知道了原来任何人做任何事情都会经历这么一个愚昧巅峰到绝望低谷才能有机会真的拨开云雾见月明的过程，你又怎么可能心里不多一分笃定？你又怎么可能不对自己多一份耐心和时间上的认识？你又怎么可能只愿意做出及格分来敷衍自己的付出和对自己的考验？\n\n\n\n**当你知道了最高目标是变为金子，你又怎么可能纵容自己永远只是一块破石头呢？**\n\n\n\n-----\n\n**【延伸阅读】**\n\n[《人生的点、线、面、体》](https://press.one/file/v?s=1e2122563b1b99919a29b000eed1842d1909485c87209182ebab8f27d2279136ecfba8c5351c9c99d74dca0b8dd6e230027bd16ad0f7efebd11708ac811119d21&h=1bcd07a8faafc66baec6f1cdc961a78dbdde7f565c332f6e2ebf91cee637e6d3&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=3)\n\n[《不要轻易自我感动》](https://press.one/file/v?s=fe07ab1aa6aaa583cb8990b4ca15bb557197129df5907db0f0b4610c913becde4ae29e6c6b025e1755a10ef83a354c6359539e8095c6a9969438f06ed8c314e20&h=15e341ce1d44f95a250257d33de4c65c89a15e71afce3310fc245ed8f90b6838&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=3)\n\n[《效果的滞后性》](https://press.one/file/v?s=bc7ec4cc5b6fa3ff6405c32234097040e462c31233d8a6117a248a25ac664ac5a4c80bd41a6a06741b33140af8b3ef346385336bfe87c83cf5d7cd33b9f802db0&h=2089acf9bc033e9d31ddd22c29d4b7ec8a54a241cdbaeeddf64d2f71e7290184&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2)\n\n---\n>文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/aiG9sGc6JwulabMmdoPmiA)\n---\n\n**这篇文章的Press.one地址：**\n[https://press.one/file/v?s=c2c3f19baddc344786496dfbb316d2cb6006699cef865ef385dc921c44de51bfc96ca71b93cca5caf7e46f30899c423d3df86a91cb728f1ab67b87948b800f491&h=cc0f34063ba7d2a596bfffe041b12ea564c3dd927714577e72c8a2fd180064bf&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=3](https://press.one/file/v?s=c2c3f19baddc344786496dfbb316d2cb6006699cef865ef385dc921c44de51bfc96ca71b93cca5caf7e46f30899c423d3df86a91cb728f1ab67b87948b800f491&h=cc0f34063ba7d2a596bfffe041b12ea564c3dd927714577e72c8a2fd180064bf&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=3)\n---",
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">文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/sTpn20Itg8-zrD1uGh0n-Q)\n\n---\n![引用图片](http://m.qpic.cn/psb?/c7970352-870a-44a3-8525-ff667c0d24fe/IgPB1XPlvymO78COBFsG5yhUZqZg6*ME1IibfrcyDOI!/b/dMIAAAAAAAAA&bo=OAQkAjgEJAIDCSw!&rf=viewer_4)\n\n最早听见“三级火箭”的说法还是在“十三邀”采访王小川的那期节目里，当时对这个概念是否理解了并不清楚，印象最深的就是王小川的思路非常清晰，无形中把很多可能的尬聊聊成了精华。等到再次看到这个字眼就是得到APP梁宁老师的专栏里了，**“三级火箭”简单来说就是分成三个维度的战略**。\n\n\n\n简单说就好像村里有盖房的需求，于是小李选择出卖体力给人家盖房，赚了不少钱；这边老王看见了，但是老王聪明呀，人家不跟你比体力，反过来号召了不少青壮力来盖房，变相的成了老板；但是大牛就不一样了，老小子直接借用了国家的力量，把整片村给包下来了，管你爱修不爱修，反正都得修了。这里面，**小李作为一个单独的点在参与竞争，而老王则汇聚成了一条线，大牛则近乎于成了一个体——已经超越“面”的含义了**。以至于，大牛对前两者的打击，直接就是“降维打击”了，一招致命，你力气再大也毫无还手之力。\n\n\n\n放在不同的人生层面也是一样，有的人毕业后就想着老婆孩子热炕头了，有的人三十好几了还在不断攀登，更有的人是以“一生”为维度来进行打磨的，这里面就更不要提压根不在乎一世繁华要的是名流史册的那种竞争了。从这个角度看，**“赢在起跑线上”本身没什么错，差别在于不同人对自己的不同期待上才最终决定了每个人不同的人生高度**。\n\n\n\n放在学习的层面则是知识点与系统之间的区别，前者是知道了事实，但是事实背后缺乏思考同时更没有经得起推敲的答案。而后者则通过知识点的掌握整理出了一条线进而是一个面的全新认识，也因此对于需要思考的问题有了自己的答案，并且有了解决问题的方法。这就好像学习书本上的知识和学习没人教的知识的区别，事实上，但凡在任何领域有重大贡献的人，在学校里学的那点东西后来都不够用，更不能凭借此做出前人没有的发明创造，这里面“学以致用”很重要，同样还有把基础打好同时勤于思考。\n\n\n\n>**以前总是说选择比努力更重要，但其实“思考”和“选择”是一个层面的，甚至选择更像是通过思考之后才进行的一个动作方向。抛弃了思考其实比放弃选择更可怕。**\n\n\n\n同样，这点在商业竞争上更明显，也显得更为致命。就好像同样是做电动汽车，国内的品牌大多也拿到了融资以及喊出了未来的计划，但是更多时候甚至还不如国外传统车厂动作迅猛稳健。反过来，很多人说马斯克不切实际，又是做电动车，又是做太阳能，又是搞火箭的，但本质上做的还是一件事，就是利用技术让电动车变得更好。也就是那些看起来无关紧要的事情，其实都可以串起来，一个一个互为铺垫而并非想一出是一出。比起来，国内的电动车品牌倒更像是“做慈善”了。\n\n\n\n很多时候人们看着别人的成功难免会头脑发热，想尽办法弯道超车，但是在没看清壁垒的情况下轻易尝试，更多时候都是自讨苦吃。看什么都是机会，看什么都想尝试，就跟看见一个坑就想跳没什么区别。事实上**很多时候导致人们失败的不是想法的不切实际，而是实力不够**。就好像不是不能做收益率10%以上的投资，但是大部分人连自己投资的是什么都不知道的情况下，那不叫投资，而是赌博。这也是为什么即便连看起来谁都能做的投资，巴菲特都表示自己在打造自己的壁垒。壁垒就是耗用的时间，看起来模仿就可以瞬间达到目标，甚至可以采取价格战搞死目标，但本质上一切最本质的成绩都不是简单的模仿。说白了，如果你想占用更多的资源，那同质化的竞争是没意义的，而且反过来还会拖死自己。\n\n\n\n“从另一个维度竞争”并不是很多人想不到，而是这样做耗费的资源和时间太多，且最终的结果充满不确定性。比起来反而是一上来就卖，还没做出来呢先收到钱才是最主要的。但事实上，你能够做到轻易收到钱的，别人放低点姿态同样可以。就好像原来听见互联网约车的一个故事：“价差十块钱以内我用你家的，就当兄弟情谊了。但是超过十块钱，那对不起，谁便宜我用谁。”你的壁垒如果只是那十块钱的话，可想而知一旦风起竞争会有多激烈。\n\n\n\n这其实也是这几年看起来各种创业企业陷入大战的一个根本，从某种程度上说是资本催熟了市场，同样移动互联网创业更像一个新启的时代，以至于各种看起来简单得构不成坚固壁垒的项目被一个又一个连名字可能都没有深刻构思的企业混战着。这是对创业者短期剧烈的考验*（一般超不过1年）*，但是市场剧烈竞争的结果则是用户会在过程中受益。毕竟，像我这样不会骑自行车的人都在去年学会骑车了……\n\n\n\n任何事物都有正反面，看起来这样激烈的竞争比拼的就是资本，但是另一面，如果你不参与到这种混战中，反而从另外的角度切入。不管是做起来更费劲还是收不到快钱，那其实你就天然的有了一个长大的机会。这点最有趣的就好像去年各种分叉得来的虚拟货币一样，曾经一度一些自认为以“理性投资”为口号的投资者手里都得有几百种币了，有的甚至连名字都不知道是什么。但是经过这一年的大熊市，人们再次经历狂喜、愤怒、绝望、无奈、冷静后开始重新审视自己手里币种的价值。另外，曾经各种打着区块链、VR、人工智能、互联网+ 口号的创业现在也都在经历着大浪淘沙般的洗礼，**在浮华的时候站在制高点的都不一定是最后的赢家**。\n\n\n\n>就如同同样是松柏，生长在花园里的无论是形态还是大小都有限，人们对它更多视而不见，但是生长在悬崖峭壁的则无论是美观还是气势都能让人惊叹。道理谁都懂，但是愿不愿意忍受“折磨”的实践，这取决于每个人的见识和对自己的期待。事实上，**也不是每一个掩埋在悬崖峭壁的种子都能长成苍劲璀璨的大树**。\n\n\n\n当然，这并不是说专门去找犄角旮旯的领域去深入才有希望，而是在任何层面都是一样的**选择竞争**。最有意思的就好像，前面说的短期内剧烈竞争到最后都归于平静的事，**本质上并不是市场没有竞争的空间了，而是资本没有了继续烧钱的打算。本着在别人贪婪的时候你恐惧的原则，碰到这样的机会完全不需要着急投入资源竞争** （*甚至你完全可以把别人的这种竞争当做对市场容量的检验，以及为你培养消费者意识*），**而是在浪潮退去后再进场**——发生在别人身上的槽点，其实就是你的机会，而你也有机会选择背后建立夯实壁垒直接颠覆这个行业甚至人们对此的认知——只要你想的话。\n\n\n\n>**任何时候比拼的最终都是实力，但是只要你活下来了，或者已经长得足够大了，那你就有了谈判权。**\n\n\n\n从这个角度说，连宫斗剧都不是白看的，**世界上任何行为都需要靠脑子，而任何行为本质也是任何竞争**。在宫斗剧最开始，即便有主角光环也会被各种陷害甚至直接性命陷入危机，但是越到后面越会发现，人们依然在竞争，但是会选择合作的方式。这可不是大家都变仁慈了，而是**不能一下干掉你又必须干掉其他后来者，所以只能先选择合作**——没别的更好选择了。\n\n\n\n如果不信你可以多观察一下，或者自己试一下：一旦过程中主角们变弱了，那些原本还有合作姿态的人会第一时间验证真伪后选择反扑。\n\n\n\n也因此，相信宫斗剧里发生的是现实也没什么，就好像千万别觉得一个个看起来成功的企业家们整天就是打高尔夫开游艇荒淫度日一样——**世界上哪有那么容易获得的成功，又哪有那么容易守得住的利益**。\n\n\n\n想一想，每个秀女心里暗想的当宠妃当皇后，或者创业者们口号响亮的“取代BAT”就知道了。\n\n\n\n这样说的其实还是点与点之间的竞争，只不过属于处在不同赛道和不同阶段的竞争罢了。更多时候我们能看到的那种巨大的成功，其**本质上是一个新时代战胜旧时代的战争**，而并非简单的点与点之间的对决。就好像电动汽车和传统汽车的对决一样，人们以今天的目光去衡量电动汽车会发现自己依然会选择传统汽车，但实际上电动汽车才是下一个阶段的未来。就好像大型机被家用台式电脑取代，家用台式电脑被笔记本电脑取代，而笔记本电脑被手机取代一样。\n\n\n\n>**无论人们如何留恋过去，无论属于过去的技术多么好，未来依然都在马不停蹄的到来。**\n\n\n\n即便把“点线面体”分开表示，但事实上我们的任何行为也都是这些维度的联合体。就好像即便在一张纸上画画，看起来你画的只不过是一个二维的图像，但是我们生活在三维的世界，以至于它必然也附着在三维的载体上，同时任何颜料之间的碰撞也使得它必然是三维的画面。同样放在生活中，哪怕一切都在网络上进行了，就比如说上网购物这事，其实也是你不断联合各方才产生的一个理想的结果。或者说是因为你在不断参与其中所以整个环链才会不断运行。\n\n\n\n放到更大的维度上，每个人必然只是一个“点”，但这不意味着每个人都只能发挥出“点”的价值而做不到其它层面。\n\n\n\n事实上我们今天看到的一切无论是伟大的人还是伟大的项目成就，都不是一天得来的。相反，真的就好像长个子一样，最开始的时候别管爹妈基因多好，谁也说不准你将来能长多高。**甚至在不同的阶段以不同的视角还会觉得你简直是把一手好牌往烂打的绝顶高手**。但是这都不重要，重要的是在每一个节点上我们究竟采取了什么行动，于是有了什么样的思考，进而在过程中取得了什么成绩。\n\n\n\n**罗马不是一天建成的，同样，现代社会也不是直接就从原始社会瞬间进化而来的。**\n\n\n\n>一个不恰当但是有趣的比方就好像，每个小孩子最开始都想当超级英雄、当科学家、当拯救世界的伟人，但是在成长的过程中这个梦想会逐渐变成当企业家、当大学教授、当明星、当工程师，再之后梦想就会落地，变为了当一名公务员、一名码农、一名中小学教师、一名白领、一名医生护士……\n\n\n\n但这个思考过程如果反过来，那不就是一个人的进阶过程了嘛。\n\n\n\n这几年各个地方都会提到“系统”，但本质上系统就是无数个点、线、面汇聚而成的“体”。很多时候我们总说“看一个人的表现”，其实这个表现也是根植在长期的沉淀抓取的一个结果。就好像如果临时参加舞会穿正装，那掩盖肥胖靠突然一下的运动撸铁是没效果的，反而还会有反作用。这时候你只能寄希望于服装带来的改变视觉效果，而即便这种搭配力也不是说披件衣服就能成的——不是寄希望于你的长期打磨，就是寄希望于设计师的长期打磨。\n\n\n\n**即便是假装，想要瞬间做到位也需要长期的磨练。**\n\n\n\n同样的，前面说到的无论是拼死陷入红海竞争，还是选择过后渔翁省力，也是不同系统的不同选择。有的人更善于在剧烈的竞争中获胜，如果日子太平淡那反而一事无成了。而有的人则更善于幕后观察总结经验选择省时省力的一击致命，你真让他跳到那个人多口杂的地方他反而抓瞎了。\n\n\n\n这里面千万别因为突然觉得对方更明智于是就突然改变路线，你当然可以尝试，也当然需要适时的改变和长期的打磨。但是更多时候整个大环境不是风平浪静等着你去决策的，而是一上来就有无数的人和事在影响着你的判断，那是在一种风起云涌的充满雾霾的环境下做决策，同时用自己的行动去验证那个未知的结果。\n\n\n\n所以期待什么资源宽松、环境优雅、人际和谐、心态放松、全面完美的情况下再做决策，只能是一种幻想。就好像反着挤牙膏一样，想要把原本干瘪的牙膏挤成圆润的，那过程中绝对舒服不了，同时在大半的时间里还看不出什么切实的效果。\n\n\n\n当然有时候人们会说没必要陷入这样的竞争，舒舒服服的也能得到回报。但实际上别说任何易得资源的僧多粥少了，每个人对自己的期待能一样吗？就如同这世界上有的国家就想要人民不饿死就得，有的国家要变得富裕，有的国家要有政治地位，有的国家要成为世界第一一样，任何事、物对自己的期待怎么可能都一样呢？\n\n\n\n同样是学美术的，有的人就相当一个普通老师，有的人想成为顶级画家，你难道要强扭着给他们安排到一个赛场里吗？\n\n\n\n**对于金子来说，如果你一上来就鹤立鸡群，说明你走错了赛场。**\n\n而对于不是金子来说，有的想成为金子，有的对此没兴趣，怎么能一概而论呢？\n\n---\n【延伸阅读】\n---\n**[不要轻易自我感动](https://press.one/file/v?s=fe07ab1aa6aaa583cb8990b4ca15bb557197129df5907db0f0b4610c913becde4ae29e6c6b025e1755a10ef83a354c6359539e8095c6a9969438f06ed8c314e20&h=15e341ce1d44f95a250257d33de4c65c89a15e71afce3310fc245ed8f90b6838&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=3)**\n\n**[效果的滞后性](https://press.one/file/v?s=bc7ec4cc5b6fa3ff6405c32234097040e462c31233d8a6117a248a25ac664ac5a4c80bd41a6a06741b33140af8b3ef346385336bfe87c83cf5d7cd33b9f802db0&h=2089acf9bc033e9d31ddd22c29d4b7ec8a54a241cdbaeeddf64d2f71e7290184&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2)**\n\n**[把事情做到极致是一门艺术](https://press.one/file/v?s=e13b31ec6cd5662b2c05638e6d3ce63a2106ef1eb5afec364fc3553b51837acffde50659bba9a23753dd8e3a5e45021be23d637d4c665c5b832833a8cedd68310&h=b142dc6612cb672d8e35924d3c6e57048c922c2b6715d304462eb2f6189f1eef&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2)**\n\n---\n>文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/sTpn20Itg8-zrD1uGh0n-Q)\n---\n\n**这篇文章的Press.one地址：**\n[https://press.one/file/v?s=1e2122563b1b99919a29b000eed1842d1909485c87209182ebab8f27d2279136ecfba8c5351c9c99d74dca0b8dd6e230027bd16ad0f7efebd11708ac811119d21&h=1bcd07a8faafc66baec6f1cdc961a78dbdde7f565c332f6e2ebf91cee637e6d3&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=3](https://press.one/file/v?s=1e2122563b1b99919a29b000eed1842d1909485c87209182ebab8f27d2279136ecfba8c5351c9c99d74dca0b8dd6e230027bd16ad0f7efebd11708ac811119d21&h=1bcd07a8faafc66baec6f1cdc961a78dbdde7f565c332f6e2ebf91cee637e6d3&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=3)\n---",
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      "title": "人生的点、线、面、体"
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      "body": "![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmepLr8PAYWF8mWTTSUbxn8JFXcYu3Yfecm1V5nZSq67PS/image.png)\n\nThis sentence is actually very popular in the market, and even it will become a \"political correct speech\" within a certain circle:\n>Is it powerful to have money?\n\nIn a sense, this is because the language itself is often too simplistic and too ambiguous as an expression tool. I guess the overwhelming majority of people actually mean this when they say this: \"Although you have money, you don't have anything great.\" or \"I don't feel you have any powerful, even you have many money.\"\n\nAlthough these are correct, overly ambiguous expressions often in turn shape self-understanding.\n\n**Each of us has a “self-protection mechanism” embedded in our brains, which tries to ensure that we do not have a “psychological breakdown” in a variety of ways.**\n\nIt is rare for a girl who is ugly to receive a love letter, but they have another interpretation of their own fact that they “can’t receive a love letter”: “I am not as frivolous as they are!”\n\nFor example, a long time ago, I was a person who didn’t talk very much, often spoke offenders, and often talked inappropriately - but at the time I had another “Straightforwar” explanation for my shortcomings: “This is how I am, speaking will not euphemistic, it will only go straight...\"\n\nWhen in school, not all students with poor grades were inferiority. On the contrary, they found their own superiority through their own set of explanations: \"Don't look at his good grades, but actually nothing!\" or: \"My mom said, it is not necessarily good life to have a good grade in the future!\"\n\nEspecially in the latter sentence, it is particularly confusing because it seems to be true - but in fact, the current poor performance also will not necessarily be good in the future; further, good grades and poor grades will be it is not necessarily good in the future. But the problem is that the “not necessarily” that is also expressed is not the same necessarily. The probability of 80% is “not necessarily”, and the probability of 20% is “not necessarily”. How can it be equivalent?\n\nWhen we don't have money, this self-protection mechanism will jump out and try to find another explanation that will make us feel good and not let us collapse. If one angle doesn't work, will change one, also doesn't work then change it again. Until it is found.\n\nFor example, \"Is it powerful to have money?\" for many people, it is an explanation that can make you \"sufficient peace of mind\". We often hear that \"not everything can be bought with money\" is also the case - in fact, it was really have something can't be bought with money, so you can't buy it by have money or haven't, so, \"have money.\" Not an advantage, \"no money\" is not an advantage. The end result is that \"no money\" is still a disadvantage. Because there is no money, \"the things that can be bought with money\" also can't be bought. Isn't it worse? !\n\nThis kind of behavior, we call it \"find excuses\" on weekdays, although it is a less precise concept, it can also be used.\nThe so-called \"find excuses\" is to for \"unacceptable reality\" to find an explanation that makes you \"satisfied\". If one angle doesn't work, will change one, also doesn't work then change it again. It's also don't good then choose not repay. Whatever “I can’t accept reality anyway” (what is the reality?)\n\nLooking for an excuse, this \"self-protection mechanism\" is essentially an \"ostrich strategy.\" When the ostrich encounters extreme danger, it will stretch its neck, lie close to the ground, and even plung the head into the sand, and the body will be distorted, completely ignoring the part other than the head can not be hidden (it is said that occasionally because of ostrich the dark feathers of their own are disguised as rocks or bushes, hiding from the pursuit of some other animals, but hunters are often impossible to be fooled by them.)\n\nFurthermore, this mode of thinking is often \"disregarding everything\", \"as long as there is a point to say it then ok\", so if you look closely at those who have the habit of \"finding excuses\", you will find that they have already developed Habits, not only when looking for excuses, but in fact, they can only be \"superficially thinking\" at any time. When dealing with any \"causal relationship\", even if there is such a weak connection, they jump straight into \"Causal conclusions\", there are many other situations that need to be analyzed, and they need to be judged... Their excessively rich \"excuses for excuses\" make them unable to carry out any deep thinking at all, even if they permanently lose a capability - analytical ability. - Ugh! This is an indispensable ability to search for wealth opportunities.\n\nYou can even say this directly:\n>Search for wealth opportunities, relying solely on analytical capabilities.\n\nWe will discuss it in the future and will eventually understand that, in fact, even luck is actually affected by the ability of analysis.\n\nHaving said that, we are not making excuses. We are facing reality. \"what a great place when have many money?\"\n\nIn order to facilitate our analysis, we must first clear what the \"great\" object is. You have a lot of money, I don't have much money - assuming that this is a reality - that now, the \"great\" object is not you or me, but \"the difference in wealth between you and me.\"\n\n**Yes, that \"difference\" is \"great\".**\n\nNot only in China, but each country has the definition of “qualified investors”.\n\nQualified investors refer to units and individuals who have the corresponding risk identification ability and risk-taking ability, invest in a single private equity fund with a minimum amount of less than 1 million and meet the following relevant standards:\n\n>1. Companies with no less than 10 million assets; 2. Individuals whose financial assets are not less than 3 million or whose average annual income is not less than 500,000 in the last three years. (The financial assets here include bank deposits, stocks, bonds, fund shares, asset management plans, bank wealth management products, trust plans, insurance products, futures interests, etc.)\n\n“The investment capacity of a single project is not less than 1 million.” This condition means that qualified investors should basically have the ability to invest in several projects of 1 million... 1 million, which does not sound much because Many families in China buy a house, and they often for a few million (of course, most of them are loan millions to buy a house).\n\nBut actually? A has 1 million of Idle money, and B has 100,000 of Idle money. The difference between this is 900,000, was 9 times... It is a big difference, but if you think about it, it is likely to be far more than 9 Double, but a \"very great\" difference.\n\nCalculate it. You live alone in Beijing. The monthly pre-tax salary is 25,000 RMB. After the tax, you can count the Five social insurance and one housing fund, you can get a little more than 17,000 yuan. Under the premise of not affecting the quality of life, you How much can you save? Many people can't save two thousand - this is a fact, and it is a fact that other people who enter only 5,000 a month can't imagine. Assuming that 5000 can be saved every month, and only 60,000 a year, it is simple, that is, it takes 15 years to make up for the \"900,000 difference\" - this is still under the two premise :\n\n>1. Assume that there are no accidents (15 years without accidents are actually impossible); 2. Assume that the difference will not become bigger after 15 years...\n\nThe core and key here is: How many 15 years can you live?\n\nThe difference is great, the difference is very powerful - whether you respect the difference seriously, in my opinion is really the most important \"brain remodeling\" motivation. If you don’t respect the difference, you will continue to make excuses, and eventually you will need endure the consequences and pressure of the difference, whether you like it or not. Then the brain is shaped into another look; in turn, respect that differences mean that the reality has been accepted. People who face reality seriously, even if they are “uncomfortable”, are “correctly uncomfortable” because the “difficulty” will prompt them to make the right choices. At the same time, the brain is constantly being shaped into a more suitable opportunity to find and accumulate the machine of wealth.\n\n>We began to take a deeper look at the \"savings\" behavior; began to carefully screen the necessary consumption; began to seriously invest in ourselves (in fact, mainly time and attention); began to truly focus on their own growth, because without growth, there is no accumulation, without accumulation there is no satisfactory status quo; start to seriously learn from those \"rich people\", to distinguish which ones are good and which ones are right, instead of coming up, they immediately come up with the idea that \"you are so great?!\" Begin to understand the value of thinking quality, so constantly and deliberately improve the quality of their thinking, temper their own thinking mode;\n\nIt's hard to imagine how much money the richest people in the world have, but we can easily understand how poor the poor are through statistics - and it's easy to understand how to be “not so poor” as quickly as possible.\n\nA few years ago, a US company had investigated that in the United States, about 43% of adults couldn't take the $1,000 for emergency use - this is in developed countries! The history of credit card issuance in China began in 1986 when the Bank of China Beijing Branch issued the Great Wall Credit Card. Up to now, 30 years have passed, and large-scale issuance of credit cards for more than a decade - not long after, the proportion of the United States may also correspond in China: It is estimated that more than 40% of adults actually cannot take one or two thousand yuan of emergency money.\n\nYou want to save yourself a 10,000 yuan \"emergency money\" as soon as possible. Haven't meet emergency, never use it. Just put it over there. You may have surpassed 60% of the adults in the country. Unfortunately, it is as simple as that.\n\nThe wealth of the world is unevenly distributed. Whether people like it or not, the [Gini coefficient](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gini_coefficient) has been increasing. According to the 2015 report of [Oxfam UK](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxfam), by 2016, you only need $77,000 (less than 500,000 RMB) of wealth, and you have become the richest person in the world's top 10%; and if you own With a wealth of $798,000 (less than 5 million yuan), you have become the richest one in the world...\n\nLooking at it from this angle, \"getting rid of poverty\" is not difficult for those who are willing to think, willing to make progress, willing to ponder, and willing to try to correct mistakes. \"Super rich\" not something that can be done in a generation. But, when you think in turn, most people are poor, in today’s era, it’s really just thinking about poor quality - your brain is gradually being shaped into another Look, still in the case of completely ignorant.\n\n>Start today and take your savings seriously. Don't just stare at the number, learn to think in proportion, and learn to pay attention to the difference.\n\nYour first \"small goal\" is to move into the first half, then in this half, and then find a way to enter the first half of this half...\n\nYou must respect the difference between the wealth of those who are ahead of you and your wealth, knowing that the differences are not measured by the value of money, but by the time required to make up for that difference...\n\nSo, you will understand the huge difference, you will have the right pressure and motivation to improve your unit time output, improve your own ability and efficiency, so as to shorten the time to make up for the difference - making money too slowly, the utility is halved, and it’s not a good thing to have money when you are old...\n\nWe all know that accepting reality is really painful, but it is the first step forward, otherwise there is no starting point.\n\n---\nThinking and action\n---\n1 When was the last time you thought about \"Is it powerful to have money?\" when was it? For what? Reflecting today, you will find out where it was wrong before?\n2 How can you make yourself “have a certain savings” really become rigid demand?\n3 If “there is a certain amount of savings” is really just what you need, what do you do? What not to do?\n\n---\nMore related reading\n---\n [The rigid demand for investment is to hedge!](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lilijing/financial-freedom-the-rigid-demand-for-investment-is-to-hedge)\n\n[How to recognize, choose, and cultivate the right rigid demand?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-how-to-recognize-choose-and-cultivate-the-right-rigid-demand)\n\n[What determines your self-motivation?](https://steemit.com/money/@lilijing/financial-freedom-what-determines-your-self-motivation)",
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      "body": "——Previous review——\n[The rigid demand for investment is to hedge](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lilijing/financial-freedom-the-rigid-demand-for-investment-is-to-hedge)\n\nI believe that you have been brainwashed since childhood, even I have been washed like this:\n>**Want to make big money? Then you have to be adventurous!**\n\nThis is the most common and harmful \"fair legend\" - in modern times, the word \"urban legend\" may be used. In all cultures, every child in the process of growing up is ashamed of \"timidity\" and \"weakness\". They are proud of \"brave\" and \"strong\" - and \"adventure\" is obviously a show of courage the most common way.\n\n---\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmdreN9ZniqccfZ6Mc3GzYAQDP83yiiJ897K12wS6eohNa/image.png)\n\n>The most terrible thing in the world is not the risk itself, but you simply don't know that you are taking risks.\nThe \"game\" that we did when we were young, now I think it is really scary, and it is lucky to be able to survive. Because of this unnecessary adventure, even if the risk is low, can't stand the number of times you do it.\nIn many cases, if we have not done a detailed study, we will not find a lot of potential risks.\n\n>Be alert at all times:\n**Many risks are objective.**\nThis is not a transfer of your personal will.\nAs long as there are uncertainties in this matter, there must be corresponding risks. How to avoid unnecessary risks through clever design is the most important investment skill we usually need to polish.\n\n---\nWith regard to the concept of risk, the understanding of observers and practicing person is likely to be very different, even diametrically opposed.\n\nWhat is this like? For example, when a brain surgeon performs a craniotomy, each of his actions \"seems\" as \"dangerous\". A little mistake can have serious consequences... but this is the observer's perspective. From the practicing person's point of view, first of all, his goal is to succeed rather than take risks; secondly, he is trained to do the work that the observer cannot do; and he is an expert, he knows what danger What is not dangerous, he knows how to do it is a real adventure, he should know what to do to effectively hedge adventure...\n\nTherefore, throughout the process, the observers \"have experienced\" various dangers at all times, frightened, felt that the practicing person are constantly taking risks, and finally succeeded because of adventure.\n\n>In fact, all the attention of the practicing person was on how to hedge, not how to adventure.\n\nSo, please think about it carefully. When we see someone doing difficult moves - we are observers, they are practicing person - if they are \"experienced,\" the so-called \"experience\" is more likely to be \" \"Hedging experience\", not \"adventurous experience\"; and if without warning, we observers may have a misunderstanding, misunderstanding that the rich things that people have are \"adventurous experience.\"\n\nI bought a lot of bitcoin when the price was very low. Later, I didn’t sell it, and then when Market crash I also didn’t sell it. So someone said it: “Xiaolai, you are so bold!” Someone will comment \"Yes, people who do big things have to dare to take great risks...\"\n\nReally? Really like what they saw and thought?\n\n\"Price is very low\" means relative to the current price. The first batch of 2,100 bitcoins I bought was priced at $6 (March 2011) and now more than $3,539 (January 2019). In addition, Bitcoin has risen to over $19,188. And after had two or three times \"cut in half\"... In fact, people also thought that it was too expensive at that time, and couldn’t make any money... But actually, for me, when I bought at this time, it was not an adventure because:\n\n>If it is right, then it must be more than this price; I am simply selling the stock that originally cost 4,600 yuan, when it has been worth more than 100,000 US dollars, and then buying bitcoin, Therefore, even if they are all nothing, I have nothing to bear.\n\nI started buying a lot after falling from the market to $12. The average price was about one dollar in the end. Until the budget is spent, I really didn't have any money to buy it. In this process, from my point of view, I didn't take risks. When I saw people panic and felt that \"bitcoin is dead\" (that was in the second half of 2011), I repeatedly read various reports and articles, and did not see any real reason... (This is very strange, and it is somewhat confusing to me; and in December 2014, after a big ups and downs, the articles on the Internet completely repeated the arguments at the end of 2011 - of course, they did not copy articles written by others a few years ago. Just didn't understand history...), so I think they are wrong (even if they have a lot of people, but there are no half-dollar relationships between person number and reason). So, according to my thinking, I should continue to buy, if I can't buy it, I will take it. Anyway, selling it is definitely wrong...\n\nIn the circumstances at the time, according to my own logic, not buying is an adventure! Because my conclusion at the time was that this thing could not be imagined in the long run.\n\nAt that time, the situation was very different. Even if they have a lot of people, who sell to me at a low price today, on the one hand, they said \"thank you\" (because someone actually paid money for it), another The aspect praises me for \"so brave\" (because they actually secretly rejoiced in their hearts at the time, they finally got rid of)...\n\nLater, bitcoin prices rose to more than a thousand dollars (even once exceeded the price per gram of gold), and this rise occurred in just six weeks. I didn't sell it, and then it falling price two or three times, and I also didn't move. Is this really courage? Is this really an adventure? Actually it is not for me, the reason is very clear:\n\n>Far from the cost price I bought. For me, what are the risks?\n\nIt is important to note that the above example is my personal thought of investing in bitcoin myself. It is limited to being an example of “Practitioners tend to be more concerned about risk avoidance” and is not “investment advice”. Never misunderstand the words in the above examples, even use it as your investment basis - this sentence will be repeatedly emphasized in the future:\n\n>Your investment must be based on your own and only think deeply.\n\n---\n>Everyone must always remember:\nListen to the majority, refer to the opinions of a few people, and finally make your own decisions.\nThis is a principle I have repeatedly mentioned on various occasions.\nIt's easy to listen to others, you don't need to think, just trust your brain to the public. But you also can't enjoy the benefits of \"maverick and correct.\"\n\n>In fact, it is not just investment and financial management, this sentence can be used in all aspects of life.\nWe have always emphasized the preciousness of attention. The attention we have saved in various ways is to finally apply it to improve our judgment.\nEnhancing your professional skills and learning how to avoid risks reasonably is the most important thing we need to pay attention to.\n\n---\nTherefore, unlike many people imagine, I am actually a risk averse type. When I was young, this was not the case. I often thought that adventure was proof of courage. Later, I read more books.\n\nAdventure is often the understanding of other people's adventurers, not the actions of so-called \"adventurous\" successful people.\n\nColumbus was called an adventurer because he really believed that the earth was indeed round - there were not many people who really understood it at the time - and he was convinced that he used action to prove, he used business to gain. The person who sees this will feels that it is an adventure. The person who does it has to do it because of in-depth thinking - because the person who thinks more deeply, the more inclined to follow the result of thinking firmly.\n\nThe concept of “Venture capital institution” (VC), which is familiar to everyone, is a concept that is generally misunderstood by the public. Even a lot of first-line entrepreneurs will more or less misinterpret institutions and individuals engaged in “risk investment”. The words they most often say might be like this:\n\n>Are you not a venture capitalist, why don't you risk investing in it?\n\nThis is the most typical \"bias\". The \"Venture capital\" model is actually very simple. Generally speaking, it is:\n\n>Lock in one of the fastest-growing areas, and then invest in a number of early-stage companies that are likely to grow at a rate to maximize revenue while probabilistically minimizing overall risk...\n\nVC actually knows how to \"do not take risks\". The model design of venture capital is also for risk-avoiding, not risk-taking. There are two goals:\n\n>Maximize the benefits possible;\nMinimize systemic risk.\n\nIn order to maximize the benefits, they first go to the areas that they believe are the fastest growing. For example, in the last decade, the development advantage of the Internet field, \"natural\" is thousands of times in other \"traditional\" fields. This \"locked field\" itself is also one of the basic means to reduce the risk of systematization, and then they have to screen in \"such as who is the first\", \"who is the fastest growing\" ... even \"the top three\" all investment once again; after that, it will be combined with other VCs to \"unite together\" and \"together in the same boat\"... These are all aimed at reducing systemic risk - rather than people taking it for granted \"actually for risk.\"\n\nIn other words, although the name has the word \"risk aversion\", in fact, they are \"hazard\" masters, not \"adventurous\" masters - they do not bother to act as \"brave\". Although, when others say them like this, they don't care. Anyway, \"educating others is not the top priority.\" Even some of them are happy to follow the public's understanding. From time to time, they say \"the risk is that we take it, you just need concentrate doing things.\" If you do something well. In fact, the lower the risk, the greater the gains, is their core values. This is also the value that should be in the \"capital\" thing, isn't it?\n\n---\n>Our language is very deceptive.\nWe say \"brave\" in fact, and actually express \"recklessness\"; we say \"Venture capital\" in our mouths, but we are thinking about \"adventurous investment\" and so on.\nMany times our language has expressed our attitude.\n\n>For example, when it comes to investment, many people like to use \"play\" and \"hype\" to describe their behavior.\nThere is a lot of risk behind such a language. I feel that I am just playing, so it doesn't matter if I don't do well. I think that I am just hyping, so it doesn't matter if I take risks.\nBecause of this mentality, you can't take investment and financial management seriously, and you can't accumulate professional knowledge in this field, so it's no surprise that you can't get a satisfactory return.\n\n---\nAs we have discussed before, in order to cooperate with others, we need to “intentionally give up part of the sense of security”, but this is certainly not to encourage blind adventure. Be sure to pay attention to safety in two things. Be sure to learn and accumulate experience on how to hedge:\n\n>In terms of capital security; in personal safety.\n\nBut why do people generally tend to ignore the existence of risk in capital? Generally speaking, because human beings generally do not have experience in asset management, the fear of capital risk has not yet had the opportunity to form “genetic memory”. If a child sees a gun on the table, he will pick it up very curiously, not afraid at all, and of course he does not know that it is a deadly thing... but if a snake appears behind him Even if the child hasn't seen what it is, he has already been so scared and shivering. Why is this happening? Because each of us has \"genetic memory\", there are a lot of fears, genes have already been implanted, no need to explain, no need to teach, natural understanding, natural will, natural feel.\n\nNow let's take a look at it. The human understanding of wealth and capital is really not much, not long enough, not enough. It is too little, too short, not enough! Think about it, here are the unquestionable facts:\n\n* Human cognition of wealth is not long. You see, humans have been using currency for thousands of years, and it has been a very short period of time in the long history of mankind;\n* For a long time, the proportion of people with sufficient wealth among human beings has been very, very low. The proportion is actually low or even negligible;\n* The entire human race, besides a nation (Jewish), both has so far demonized the concept of \"Compound interest\" - this is the most important concept in the field of wealth ( There is no need to follow a qualifier \"one of them\" at the end;\n* Human society has never stopped turbulence, the same is true both at home and abroad, every big turmoil is essentially the killing of wealth owners, so about wealth Genes are actually difficult to continue to inherit;\n* Humans truly recognize the benefits of the market (from a true knowledge research perspective, not “intuition”), just two or three hundred years (China is even worse, the 1980s Only re-opened the cognition of this aspect);\n* Humans really study the law of economic operation, starting from Adam Smith, less than 300 years;\n* The human exploration of the investment market began only more than 200 years ago (the US stock market began with an open-air transaction under a West Indian evergreen tree on Wall Street in 1792);\n* The true perception of probability, starting from the 16th and 17th centuries, the study of probability from gambling, applied to capital, applied to risk assessment, this process has not started until the beginning of the last century, until now less than 100 years ...\n\nThat is to say, in the field of wealth and capital, the perception of risk is impossible for the whole human being to produce “genetic memory”. It is impossible to “naturally understand, naturally used, natural know how to do”. Of course, the most terrible thing is not to understand, but to understand that you don’t understand it, but you don’t know that you don’t understand it, even think you very know it.\n\nThe time when human beings and nature coexist in a large area is hundreds of thousands of years, which is rich in experience; however, human beings deal with capital, but it is equivalent to no experience at all. With regard to the genetic memory of adventure, human beings are formed in the process of \"fighting with nature.\" But if you apply these experiences to \"interacting with capital\" and \"coexisting with capital\", it is basically not applicable.\n\nThis is a constant law of survival. Like drive, life is like that. Investment and entrepreneurship are all the same - as long as it involves people and capital:\n\nSafety first;\n---\nThen the next principle is:\n\nBecome an expert;\n---\nTrain your own learning ability, learn what you need, become an expert in that field, and then think, make decisions, and act like an expert.\n\n>Experts don't take risks easily- although movies and novels often show how they “take risks” at critical moments. Because it is mass entertainment, not so described, the public does not believe.\n\n---\n>There are many benefits to becoming an expert.\nFirst, you have reasonable expectations about your investment.\nThose who have done consulting work have such experience:\n**The more people who are not prepared in advance, the more demanding they are, the higher the unreasonable expectation.**\n\n>Real experts know that risks can never be completely eliminated, and thus will not make unrealistic expectations.\nSecond, you will remain rational.\nResearch has been done in psychology. When you take out a quarter of your total assets, you will not be able to turn a blind eye to it.\nReal experts know how to distribute assets, keep them rational and make the most accurate judgments possible.\n\n>Finally, you will be calm.\nExperts will also make mistakes, and experts will lose.\nBut as long as he is an expert in this field, he will definitely have the opportunity to use his knowledge to come back.\nKnowing that you always have the expertise to rely on, it is easy to maintain a peace of mind in any situation.\n\n---\nOthers may appreciate your courage, but you need to know that \"brave\" should never be something that needs self-certification - it really sings against the whole society, it teaches us to be \"brave\" but never tells us that was it needs this, not we need.\n\nYou know, only the idiots who vanity can prove that they have courage. What they don't understand is that the vanity is satisfied for a while, but they have already become the object of time crushing.\n\nSo be sure to be careful and serious:\n\nLook at the fools to take risks.\n---\nSee more, your risk avoidance experience is enriched.\n\n---\n>How do you distinguish yourself from \"watching a fool's adventure\" or is it being considered a \"fool in adventure\"?\nHere is a simple and plain judgment standard:\nCan you clearly state the \"action basis\"?\nIf your basis is nothing more than \"others do this\", \"everyone thinks so\", \"I get a gossip\", etc., then your chances of becoming a \"fool\" by others are great.\n\n>A person with independent judgment can always give a clear basis, even if it is not correct every time, it must be corrected by feedback.\nOnly at this time, you are really honing your judgment. Otherwise, it is very likely to become a specimen for others to learn.\n\n---\nThe final conclusion is this:\n\n>Be sure to think clearly before doing things. Think deeply until your conclusions are different from most people - to be \"maverick and correct\". At this time, the things you make, others will be scared, they think you are taking risks, but you know what is going on.\n\nFinally, there is a book, must read: \"Fooled by Randomness\" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, perhaps one of the smartest people on the planet.",
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      "body": ">文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI3MTI2NjY2Ng==&mid=2247484351&idx=1&sn=65fe04e658eb9e32f68e8f9a5f965003&chksm=eac525baddb2acac0793335c2b84c6a5449fc2099d37d89e1c44f910170f12bfcc6539b409fb&scene=4&subscene=126&ascene=0&devicetype=android-22&version=2700003a&nettype=WIFI&abtest_cookie=BAABAAoACwATABQABQAklx4AV5keAJuZHgCdmR4As5keAAAA&lang=en&pass_ticket=y4xLf%2BQ%2FJujfe4mgGGds1%2Fg9iv38ukHm7ueXpOltjNpnIHi7BcSEdovVWITHOkxk&wx_header=1)\n\n---\n![引用图片](http://m.qpic.cn/psb?/c7970352-870a-44a3-8525-ff667c0d24fe/NscGQ1jp4BadIhcCFFfeZwImE1uAbNpca.ONHzxBhsc!/b/dLgAAAAAAAAA&bo=JgJCAiYCQgIRCT4!&rf=viewer_4)\n\n就如同“选择什么方向努力，比单纯的努力更重要”一样，选择走阳关大道，那就算速度慢一点过程艰辛一点，也会越走越宽广。但是如果选择走阴暗的犄角旮旯，就会发现不管自己多么努力都始终收获不到好的回报。这过程中最痛苦的还不是这个，而是明明你看起来都已经“相当”努力了，结果还不如人家慢慢腾腾走大道的人收获的多呢，这是什么滋味呀？\n\n\n\n而这里面最容易出现的问题就是“自我感动”，因为**每个人都会很自然的为自己的行为找到合理的解释，尤其是当事实让自己不舒服的时候**。像所谓的仇富现象一样，事实上并不是大部分富人都为富不仁或者品位低下却崇尚炫耀，只不过大众更多时候只能看到这个，并且这些行为确实会让人不舒服。*（当然有媒体的责任，但是世界上的信息如此发达，不去深入探究就轻易下定义就是你的责任了）*  换一种角度想，难道表现出富人一天24小时如何勤奋，如何矜矜业业，如何为世界贡献自己的力量却“豁达”的不在乎名利，就不会惹人非议了吗？这就好像曾经几次看各种社会关系类的内容的时候，各个作者都会建议“要谦虚”、“要低调”，但事实上你真到了那个位置就会发现，要做的事太多了，而且几乎各个都比这重要，除了自己在乎的人之外，哪有那么多心情和时间照顾别人的感受呀？\n\n\n\n相比起来，反而是那些在底下仰望的人，不要那么在乎“培养”自己敏感的心，才是更重要的事——因为，至少**选择正确的难受，可以让自己获得实质的进步**。以至于越到后面自己越强大的时候，也就不会觉得别人获得什么样的成绩是件让自己“不舒服”的事了。\n\n\n\n就好像以前谈到[看不到别人的好](https://press.one/file/v?s=c43f0e13d773fe9cf554a177f2ee61d55f5eae10cefd983da196a51dcd6c1ab69ae82072990d017eb5071a24aac3de56deee69665470cd60fd87b42e888a2e8e1&h=7f4912e20151ba58870014d220f4effbca9f094f12217741b048656b787ca01c&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2)一样，这里面的前提并不是别人表现有多差，而是自己的实力不够，导致了看不到别人好的地方。如同看各种画展音乐剧一样，如果不在背后了解内涵以及创作者的实力，那你在整个过程中都真的是浪费时间，因为你真的抓不到重点，你get不到那个美究竟在哪里，甚至看久了还会怀疑“就这四不像、千篇一律、胡乱涂抹的居然还是名作？”\n\n\n\n这几年也发现了一个有趣的现象，就是越是那些整日挣扎的人们越是会说“艺术就是看不懂的东西”这类模棱两可的话，而越是那些处在高位的人们即便不是专业从事艺术的也会从各种作品中真的欣赏到那个美的本质在哪里。他们会由衷的欣赏和赞叹，发自内心的呵护和追求。**这里面的一个根本并不在于后者有足够的时间闲待着，而是他们会选择用挤出来的时间真的去学习去琢磨去不断深入了解他们认为有价值有意义的事物，而不是像前者那样仅仅用一句模棱两可的话敷衍自己误导别人**。\n\n\n\n这就更别提大众认知的“艺术生都是学习不好”这类的惯性认知了。从这个角度讲，如果那些“脑子不好使”的人都可以体会到艺术带来的美与震撼，那些自认脑子好使的人却连一幅画表达的是什么都不清楚，那究竟谁脑子更不好使呢？\n\n\n\n本质上，**“自我感动”并不是一个必然的现象，只不过是错误的逻辑起点却自我合理化导致了道路越走越错。**就好像大部分人认为投资市场是“零和博弈”一样，也就是认为你赚的那份钱是别人赔掉的，一旦有了这种错误的认识，那么后面必然会导致一系列的扭曲判断，进而是自己的资源错配。千万别觉得这种“推倒多米诺骨牌”的现象只是为了说出来吓唬人的，世界上的道理数不胜数，但是人们能够真正理解并且坚定贯彻执行的，可能连1%都不到。这里面的根本也不在于那些道理是多余的或者不能做到与时俱进的，而是**大部分人无法做到穿透表象，看到本质。**就像刚才说的错误地认为投资市场是零和博弈一样，其实这个概念的根本只是市场上恰好有看好和看空的买家卖家罢了，如果在你看好的同时所有人也都看好，那么你看好并持有的成本就会更高，反之亦然。而并非肤浅的，你赚一块钱是因为别人赔了一块钱。\n\n\n\n另外最常见的无论是“懂很多道理却过不好一生”还是“进了投资市场，连看都不看就买买买”，实质上，前者所谓的懂得很多道理不过是一种自以为是，更多时候反而是错误的概念懂得很多，脑子里一团浆糊更别提真正有效的实践了；而后者也不是缺乏耐心，甚至不是所谓贪婪的“投机”和没脑子的ALL-IN，根本上他们缺乏的是实力——没有实力判断正确的时机，没有实力正确学习，更没有实力获得长期稳定的低成本现金流。\n\n\n\n但这里面有一个问题就是任何人都会有满脑子的概念，而如果不是正确概念，那自然产生不了多少有意义的正确关联和影响，以至于必然的不会有正确有效的行动，产生正面的回报了。\n\n\n\n最明显的就好像曾经说过的身材没改变之前觉得那些漂亮的大长腿都是妖艳贱货，身材变好后，连迎面走来的一大排美女都能赏心悦目了。这里面的区别难道是曾经的“妖艳贱货”进化了吗？多半不是，而是你脑子里的认知发生了变化，进而影响了你的眼光和思考方式——以至于，你整个人看起来也正常了，不再是以前愤世嫉俗的样子，不会再做出什么事后自己想起来都觉得满脸通红的事情，更不会因此变得思想和行为的扭曲。\n\n\n\n>正所谓，你以为今天那些满脸愁容唠叨刻薄的大妈们曾经不是如花似玉谈笑风生的小姑娘吗？\n\n>再有，你以为今天的世界首富们几十年前出生的时候，就是世界首富吗？\n\n\n\n每个人都是从0开始的，但是就是有不少人做到了近乎无限的正向叠加，而有些人则做到了越来越负。\n\n\n\n就好像一切习惯都是“养成的”一样，任何一种常态都不是单独一次或者一天造就出来的成果。**任何现象持续久了都会出现“复利”现象，如果是好的想法或者状态，那么我们只要继续让它们在生命中发挥作用即可。但是不好的想法或者状态，及时纠正才可以避免越走越偏。**\n\n\n\n任何人都不会在一开始就满脑子错误概念，甚至如果悉心观察还会发现，小孩子相当容易做一大堆正确的事情。就像原来看《富爸爸穷爸爸》的书里讲到主人公第一次意识到钱的问题于是选择和伙伴“造钱”一样。也同样的在面临富爸爸苛刻的工资面前，经过提醒后有意识的不再做和各种成年人一样的行为：跟老板苦求更高工资、偷工减料、各种混乱的抱怨、找高工资下家辞职、眼看着债台高筑却毫无办法等。\n\n\n\n甚至这里面有一个特别有意思的现象，就是当一个外人都看出来一份工作如何压榨他们的时候，他们还会口口声声说出：“我热爱工作，工作使我快乐！”但实际上，他们不过是恐惧没有金钱，**他们不是被自己的快乐所驱动的，而是被恐惧和欲望**——只不过他们从来没有直面过这个问题。[以前也讨论过“恐惧”和“愉悦”驱动](https://press.one/file/v?s=8bd859cc683d2c26867ae6a80c9f42184853ba54a4d5035157b5986a4f5b4ae7dcf0e9b47cc19127bcbaf2ad3f3587e0707b0b98d952aacfdf068ce1cd43521b0&h=9018b96a2761b3f117702cf4e8c3a6239f1f6e8a3313eb933b10f00d2bc7afb3&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2)，在这里的“恐惧”只是让人束缚头脑从而避免了短期内现实以及精神上面临问题，而并没有带来任何的好处。\n\n\n\n最明显的就好像绝大多数人都会感到的“钱不够花”的问题，事实上并不是钱“不够用”，而是“不够花”，这里面的区别可不是咬文嚼字，而是实际上的90%以上的人赚钱就是为了“花”的。说白了，就是赚钱是为了当下的享受，而不是未来的投资。而现代社会一个最明显的标志就是可以负债消费，大多数人从脑子里又分不清负债和资产之间的区别，把自己的负债当成自己资产的一个表现，以至于等到有一天压力大过天的时候才发现——自己除了负债，一无所有。\n\n\n\n在另一方面，更多人选择就业而不是选择了一份喜爱的事业去创造价值，也是为了“有一份不高但是稳定的收入”。他们觉得这是“划算的”，但是不知道以此**交换的却是自己极其有限的宝贵青春和可能创造出巨大价值的潜能，与此同时交换出去的，还有选择的机会。**\n\n\n\n从这个角度讲，他们当然需要“热爱工作”，工作当然需要“使他们快乐”，不然那日复一日岂不是比地狱还折磨了？\n\n\n\n而即便是被这样的恐惧驱动着，本质上也是因为没有进行过深入的思考导致的。他们很少会真的问自己“钱真的重要吗？”、“有钱就真的能解决问题吗？”、“如果突然间没钱了，那我就真的只能选择崩溃吗？”、“如果现在突然给我一大笔钱，我会选择干什么？”、“我打算做的这件事是否有足够的意义？”……\n\n\n\n钱就如同时间一样，当然重要，但重要在哪里呢？如果突然间被剥夺了生命，你会觉得一生是充实而幸福的还是充满不甘和遗憾的？如果突然间再给你50年的健康寿命你打算做什么呢？你打算做的事情又是否真的有意义？\n\n\n\n有一个特别有趣的现象就是，这世界上几乎所有人们口头上表示“宝贵”的东西，人们在对待它们的态度上都是“极其随意”的。看一看就知道了，无论是无聊到只能杀时间，还是随意的逛各种购物APP，又或者做一个沙发土豆一样的胡吃海喝，这里面无论是时间、金钱还是健康，哪一个人们说不宝贵的？但是行动呢？\n\n\n\n>身体还是很诚实的嘛。同样，现实也诚实的可怕。\n\n\n\n苏格拉底说过“未经审视的人生是不值得过的”，同样，未经审视的恐惧也是不足以恐惧的。虽然看起来直面一些问题会让人感到压迫感，但是那恰恰说明了因为不常思考所以才会感到陌生进而因为不熟悉和不确定性感到恐惧。这就好像运动后的酸痛一样，偶尔一次运动简直要了命，但是当养成运动习惯后会发现，运动反而是消除各种疲劳的最好方式了。同样，看起来偶尔思考一下未来和现状是件让人觉得漫无目的且浪费时间的行为，但是养成思考的习惯后就会发现，原来自己的潜力那么大，而曾经那些以为不可挑战的困难居然都被解决掉了。自己真的做到了知行合一，而不是知道很多道理却过不好一生。\n\n\n\n在另一面，很多时候人越长大会越现实，也因此变得嘲笑理想，尤其是嘲笑别人还未实现的理想。这里面人们如果是嘲笑自己的理想，那只能说是更大概率的做出了自我放弃的选择，而并不是所谓的理想太过荒谬。如果是嘲笑别人的理想，其实这里面大多也是因为自己的见识不够。比起来实现简单到渺小的理想，更多人没有理想和生活激情的现实才是更值得嘲笑的。\n\n\n\n当然，理想也并不是盲目的狂热与轻信就算有理想了，类似的一些人轻易被洗脑，以为遇到了终生难得的大机会或者要做的是世间唯一纯洁的事。本质上，任何时代的机会以每代人的生命来说都绝对不止一次，以至于重点不是你抓得住抓不住，而是你是否有实力。其次即便登上了南极洲也会发现冰雪的世界到处都是企鹅粪，重点并不是是否足够纯洁神圣而是别抱着纯粹自利角度的幻想却打着幌子当金字招牌度日。**任何不恰当的理想都是因为回避了真正重要的问题**，任何以为“一步到位的改造世界”本质上也是因为自大和无知。有这个时间不如**用自己的脑子想想**，为什么世界会存在进化？为什么世界上不直接有统一的理论，还需要千百年来的科学迭代发展？为什么就连宇宙都在不断膨胀？\n\n\n\n想不明白你改造个屁呀？\n\n\n\n我们提到过很多次“思考”，但就像一次运动不会让你拥有更好身材一样，仅仅偶尔的思考带来的可能还会是负面影响更多。以至于思考必然是一个多次反复不断持续和完善的过程。之所以不要轻易自我感动，也在于经常做的事情更容易有一种沉浸感，更容易让我们忘记抬头看别处，以至于就算看见了也会认为是别人有问题。但实际上自己做的事可能才是最经不起推敲的。\n\n\n\n很多时候直面问题并不可怕，反而是习惯性逃避问题才会导致一旦面对问题就显得很可怕。\n\n---\n>文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI3MTI2NjY2Ng==&mid=2247484351&idx=1&sn=65fe04e658eb9e32f68e8f9a5f965003&chksm=eac525baddb2acac0793335c2b84c6a5449fc2099d37d89e1c44f910170f12bfcc6539b409fb&scene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      "title": "不要轻易自我感动"
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">文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/YESPV8-XlpYoJMEcrRkMcw)\n\n---\n![](http://m.qpic.cn/psb?/c7970352-870a-44a3-8525-ff667c0d24fe/JhuAi*ds.oZ31bHzw.hBN9*NdE7Vj.aPzSt1Ai4HHYs!/b/dL4AAAAAAAAA&bo=kgKSApICkgIRGS4!&rf=viewer_4)\n\n记得在两年前看一个非常喜欢的自媒体作者写过有关及时反馈的话：**世界上越是有深度有价值的事情就越不会给你及时的反馈**，往一眼见底的小溪扔块石头可以当时看到波纹四起，往一望无边的大海扔块石头，你会怀疑你压根没扔出去。\n\n\n\n其实这后面还可以再来一句：**用石头填满了小溪，踩石过水还是会湿鞋，更不会有人感激你多此一举造的桥；相反，如果把大海填满了，哪怕只是一条线的横穿，那你都可以成为世界瞩目的名人了。**\n\n\n\n很多时候人们总说“选择比努力更重要”，但更多人也就只是说说，于是他们做出的选择效应仅仅为零。可终究有些人是不同的，于是他们的选择是由“行动”来支撑的。这就好像，决定了从0数到100，有些人就心里、口头上决定了，但是并没有付出行动，于是他们必然只是0。但是另一些人真的去数了，于是越往后，他们数出来的数值越大也是必然的结果了。这里面还有一种，是数着数着就放弃的人，无论是觉得没有意义了还是觉得看不到希望又或者觉得自己不适合，总之每个人都有自己的理由。事实上，这比那些不曾开始的人还要惨，因为他们付出了时间，付出了自己的资源做事情，但是又因为普遍短期自我期待太高了，以至于明明付出了却在**还没到收获的季节*8就放弃了。而一旦养成了这样的习惯和认知，那真是会觉得别人做事步步生花，自己做事毁事毁己。\n\n\n\n>没有人不希望今天运动一下，明天就能看到八块腹肌的，也不是不可能做到，前提是“今天的你”不应该是大肚腩。说白了，通过努力考到满分不是不现实，但是你还天天不及格呢就这样短期幻想，那不叫幻想，叫妄想。\n\n\n\n**任何时候改变现状，在一开始都不会产生好的结果，因为原有的平衡被打破了。但是只要方向正确，越往后就越是一本万利的好买卖**。就好像对一个没有阅读习惯的人来说，突然间心血来潮看本书会发现不是看一会就走神了，就是眼酸犯困，与其说看书是增长知识的利器，真不如说是催眠的好工具了。这还只是建立这个习惯的本身，就不要说因为看书耗费的时间，以及感觉上的无论怎么“快速阅读”每次都只能读完一点点——连装逼这个功能都无法痛快实现。但是，做的时间长了就会发现阅读这个习惯建立之后的好处了，虽然不存在神一般的过目不忘，但是脑子里各种概念的融会贯通，以及对知识的理解能力都在大大提高。即便是一开始看起来的“耗费时间也没多大用处”上，也变成了时间都得到了完美的利用，同时自身在各方面都有了质的改变。\n\n\n\n这点放在健身上可能更明显，突然一次的运动带给你的就是明显的肌肉酸痛，甚至劳累不堪。更别提有些人还伴随着节食了，然而这一切在短时间*（周、月）*内，会发现即便什么都老实做了体重也没有下降。那种绝望……但是时间一旦拉长了，什么健康的身体呀，完美的身材呀，惊人的身体素质呀，以及成功经验的多方面复制，开挂的人生等，就全是你的了。\n\n\n\n相反，如果做事情遇到这样必然的“困难期”就选择改变路线，那你会逐渐发现，最终自己得到的也只是这样“遇事就变”的习惯，而不是每一天每一年停下来可以数数自己做成了多少有价值的成果。本质上，**任何时候短期的表现好坏都有很大偶然因素，而任何改变带来的好坏都需要较长时间才能体现出来**。\n\n\n\n以至于，“选择”当然很重要，因为如果一开始就选错了，那反而越努力结果越悲催。但是，选择之后遇到困难的表现更重要，究竟是克服短期的不适、困难以及没有正面及时反馈的现象，还是选择左右摇摆、浅尝辄止，就决定了我们最终是否可以做出有价值的成果了。最明显的就像很多年轻人困惑于选择进入什么行业，其实就如同“三百六十行，行行出状元”一样，**任何一个行业以及事情都有人做到极致，收获近乎于无限的回报，但同样有人身在底层** *（这也是很多人宁愿选热门的原因，即便觉得不努力也能混好）*。而无论是年轻人，还是现代社会本质上都处于不断上升的阶段，所以其实深扎在哪个领域都会做出成绩。\n\n\n\n如同“万事开头难”一样，然而这话只说对了一半，事实上**任何事情在任何阶段都会有成长的平台期**。这个期间就会有“看起来很努力，但怎么都没效果”的现象。最明显的无论是寻求继续攀登的进步，还是完善自己的小缺点阶段，整个人就如同被打回原形一样，也因此**每一个平台期都如同一个关卡一样能够不断刷掉很多人。但是一旦成功度过了这个阶段就会发现收获的成果是惊人的。**\n\n\n\n就好像这一年多的写作一样，真的是每一天每一次都感觉非常痛苦，那种感觉特别像你在心里跟人打架，于是打的赢打不赢都只能生闷气一样。这里面有没有“坚持”早已经不重要了，因为无论什么样的“坚持”在这种反反复复、来来回回、每天如是、变着花样跟自己过招的状态里都真的没用。真的只能没用，都只是雕虫小技。曾经小时候看今天那些已经大牌的艺人还是新人的时候说的最多的就“磨平自己的棱角”，也是到了今年这么一趟走下来才真的明白，什么叫“打磨你自己”。那真是感觉跟拿一块石头在心上磨来磨去没什么区别……\n\n\n\n但是等到接近年底的时候，一些作品写完之后却逐渐发现，那些之前苦寻不得的机会，就好像提前埋好的惊喜一样等着你去“捡”。这种感觉太奇妙了，有一种酣畅淋漓的快感和塞得满满的幸福。这感觉可比曾经花几个月时间画完一幅画的那种感受还要强烈，你完全无法抑制脑子里的那种兴奋，而且其实你也不想抑制。\n\n\n\n回想起来，这几年的经历真的算“效果滞后”的代名词了，无论是最初长达半年之久的迷茫，还是找到一点方向后的自我改变，还是断断续续长达一年的来回徘徊，反复作罢，以及同样长达一年的持续往一个方向耕耘——其实就是**掉进了坑里然后侥幸爬出来，然后再反反复复主动跳坑再爬出来，之后一直提点自己不要随便跳的过程。**\n\n\n\n>整个地球那么大，无论哪个坑你真想挖也肯定有近乎无限的深度等着你。但是你需要想好，**挖完了干什么？**只是做一个挖坑侠是没意义的，至少以人类普遍寿命长度来说是没意义的（“文明”可以用无数世纪去验证一个真理，但你可经不起这样耗）。以至于你必须想清楚，你究竟只是想盖一座茅草屋，还是砖瓦房，或者连栋别墅，还是摩天大楼，又或者宇宙飞船。想清楚了再去做才会更容易更清晰的达到目的。而不是左右摇摆，终身不过刨一把土挖一浅坑。\n\n\n\n之前曾经说过，世界上到处都是机会，同样的，虽然用“坑”作为比喻但情况是类似的，每一个坑也同样是机会。只不过现实则是，你没办法抓住所有的机会，也因此你没办法用一生的时间跳进所有的坑还保证自己能顺利爬出来。以至于这里面，**学会拒绝那些明摆着但又不是自己最需要或者最适合长期后的自己的机会，很重要**。就好像，无论你告诉我成为世界首富有什么好处，在我眼里也是没意义的，因为那不是我想走的方向，那更不是长期后我想要关注的境地，更谈不上用尽一生后我希望我所在的位置。但是，如果你的长期目标就是成为世界首富，那么反而一切跟这个目标无关的内容甚至拖累都需要戒除。事实上，**当你目标明确后你就会发现，整个世界由内而外变成了另一个样子，感觉做什么事都像是老天顺你的意在为你开道一样。**\n\n\n\n>这是一种难得的幸运，但这种幸运的前提是想明白的同时“行动”也需要明白，从任何一个点都能到达南北极，但是路途中兜兜转转、满不在意，只会让你消磨掉不必要的心力和时间资源。\n\n\n\n不需要害怕这样的“错过”，就好像不需要害怕从小孩子成长为大人一样，这世界上有太多事即便你是超级神童那也只有大人做的份，这世界上同样有太多事小孩子可以毫无顾忌的花费时间去做而成年人却需要考虑利弊得失。其实都有局限。**所谓“错过”就好像衣橱里永远不会穿但却始终没扔掉的那些衣服一样，最终的结果只会被其所累**。放在人生的层面，什么都想做、什么都想要、什么都想得到的结果就是一事无成，毫无例外。要不然你以为历史上的伟人或者当今世界有名的人物都只在各自一个领域有足够成就是因为脑子不够使造成的吗？\n\n\n\n在另一方面，**很多人之所以做事最终毫无效果，根本原因还是指望一步到位造成的**。生活中有太多这样的例子都不需要举例你都可以第一时间想到了，什么喊无数遍减肥竟然越来越肥，又或者当今时代想着学习编程结果死活学不会，就哪怕是看书，这几年有多少关于阅读的知识群不了了之了？\n\n\n\n就好像越年轻欲望越强烈一样，同样人越弱就越容易铤而走险。实力越差的时候越容易妄想做一点事情就得到巨大的改变。**想要真的摆脱这种妄念和局限，根本也不在于长期或者有耐心，而在于实力的提高**。想想就明白了，为什么岁末年初是盗贼作案最多的时候？难道是因为历经了一年时间还不够有耐心吗？或者还不够长期吗？不是的，是因为实力不足，以至于那任何一丁点欲望在那一刻都显得如山一般的沉重，如救火一般的急切需要得到解决。但是实力不够呀，那就只能想办法一步到位了呗。\n\n\n\n同样的道理，无论人们如何明白到了夏天就是比拼身材的时刻了，但是没人会在三九天去喊减肥的话，反而是到了来年春暖花开了，走路都出汗的季节了才开始喊“再不减肥就晚了”。事实上，就好像连卖茶叶蛋的大妈都开始讨论股市那说明牛市到头了一样，所有人都开始喊着要减肥了这时候再减肥只不过是在贡献消费指数罢了。以至于必然的，到了夏天的时候依然没有更好的身材，于是必然的想要更快速见效的方法只能选择激进的办法。殊不知，如果你从冬天就开始运动了，持续到夏天哪怕只有半年时间，你的身材也已经可以自然而然发生巨变了——这也是不争的事实，但很少有人会去正视。\n\n\n\n>说白了，谁都知道“实力”很重要，甚至“实力”是唯一重要的，但是说到打磨自己的实力上，更多人只会想着“怎么舒服怎么来”、“怎么见效快怎么来”。\n\n\n\n有一句话说得很好“**你消费了什么并不重要，重要的是你创造了什么**”。同样，**你耗费了多少时间并不重要，重要的是你耗费时间后做出了什么**。每一年的岁末年初人们都会对自己有数不清的期待，但是这些期待中有多少实现了？有多少真的有意义？有多少是你打算一做做一辈子的？毕竟，说起来一年又一年是很长的时间，但其实不过四季。一年又一年看起来时间有限，做不出什么巨大的事情，但是我们今天社会上所见的一切，无论是文明、商业、还是知识，都是通过那“一年又一年”做出来的结果。\n\n\n\n虽然效果会有滞后性，但是实力的打磨却需要每一天都做，每一次实力的打磨如果需要10分的力气，效果会得到5分沉淀，那么即便看起来很渺小累计起来也是可观的收获。而且如同复利效应一样，我们收获的其实远不止那一点点累积起来的5分收获。这也是为什么选对了方向持续做下去，会是一本万利的好生意了。\n\n\n\n至于并不清楚所选择的方向或者事情是否有长远后的利益，其实事实上一点弯路不走是不可能的，即便不在这个方向走弯路也会在别的方向甚至还不自知。与其担心方向的错误，那不如选择的慢一点，不要担心所谓的错过，这世界上没有真正的错过，只有还没到火候的现实。而选择后的如果再想改变，其实更需要放慢速度去思考去斟酌。\n\n\n\n>必要的时候可以这样思考：\n\n**我是不是愿意花费未来五到十年时间去做这件事？**\n\n\n\n如果愿意，那就没什么好说的了。\n\n如果不愿意，那你真是花一分钟都是浪费。\n\n---\n>文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/YESPV8-XlpYoJMEcrRkMcw)\n\n---\n**这篇文章的Press.one地址：**\n[https://press.one/file/v?s=bc7ec4cc5b6fa3ff6405c32234097040e462c31233d8a6117a248a25ac664ac5a4c80bd41a6a06741b33140af8b3ef346385336bfe87c83cf5d7cd33b9f802db0&h=2089acf9bc033e9d31ddd22c29d4b7ec8a54a241cdbaeeddf64d2f71e7290184&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2](https://press.one/file/v?s=bc7ec4cc5b6fa3ff6405c32234097040e462c31233d8a6117a248a25ac664ac5a4c80bd41a6a06741b33140af8b3ef346385336bfe87c83cf5d7cd33b9f802db0&h=2089acf9bc033e9d31ddd22c29d4b7ec8a54a241cdbaeeddf64d2f71e7290184&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2)",
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">文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/YESPV8-XlpYoJMEcrRkMcw)\n\n---\n![](http://m.qpic.cn/psb?/c7970352-870a-44a3-8525-ff667c0d24fe/JhuAi*ds.oZ31bHzw.hBN9*NdE7Vj.aPzSt1Ai4HHYs!/b/dL4AAAAAAAAA&bo=kgKSApICkgIRGS4!&rf=viewer_4)\n\n记得在两年前看一个非常喜欢的自媒体作者写过有关及时反馈的话：**世界上越是有深度有价值的事情就越不会给你及时的反馈**，往一眼见底的小溪扔块石头可以当时看到波纹四起，往一望无边的大海扔块石头，你会怀疑你压根没扔出去。\n\n\n\n其实这后面还可以再来一句：**用石头填满了小溪，踩石过水还是会湿鞋，更不会有人感激你多此一举造的桥；相反，如果把大海填满了，哪怕只是一条线的横穿，那你都可以成为世界瞩目的名人了。**\n\n\n\n很多时候人们总说“选择比努力更重要”，但更多人也就只是说说，于是他们做出的选择效应仅仅为零。可终究有些人是不同的，于是他们的选择是由“行动”来支撑的。这就好像，决定了从0数到100，有些人就心里、口头上决定了，但是并没有付出行动，于是他们必然只是0。但是另一些人真的去数了，于是越往后，他们数出来的数值越大也是必然的结果了。这里面还有一种，是数着数着就放弃的人，无论是觉得没有意义了还是觉得看不到希望又或者觉得自己不适合，总之每个人都有自己的理由。事实上，这比那些不曾开始的人还要惨，因为他们付出了时间，付出了自己的资源做事情，但是又因为普遍短期自我期待太高了，以至于明明付出了却在**还没到收获的季节*8就放弃了。而一旦养成了这样的习惯和认知，那真是会觉得别人做事步步生花，自己做事毁事毁己。\n\n\n\n>没有人不希望今天运动一下，明天就能看到八块腹肌的，也不是不可能做到，前提是“今天的你”不应该是大肚腩。说白了，通过努力考到满分不是不现实，但是你还天天不及格呢就这样短期幻想，那不叫幻想，叫妄想。\n\n\n\n**任何时候改变现状，在一开始都不会产生好的结果，因为原有的平衡被打破了。但是只要方向正确，越往后就越是一本万利的好买卖**。就好像对一个没有阅读习惯的人来说，突然间心血来潮看本书会发现不是看一会就走神了，就是眼酸犯困，与其说看书是增长知识的利器，真不如说是催眠的好工具了。这还只是建立这个习惯的本身，就不要说因为看书耗费的时间，以及感觉上的无论怎么“快速阅读”每次都只能读完一点点——连装逼这个功能都无法痛快实现。但是，做的时间长了就会发现阅读这个习惯建立之后的好处了，虽然不存在神一般的过目不忘，但是脑子里各种概念的融会贯通，以及对知识的理解能力都在大大提高。即便是一开始看起来的“耗费时间也没多大用处”上，也变成了时间都得到了完美的利用，同时自身在各方面都有了质的改变。\n\n\n\n这点放在健身上可能更明显，突然一次的运动带给你的就是明显的肌肉酸痛，甚至劳累不堪。更别提有些人还伴随着节食了，然而这一切在短时间*（周、月）*内，会发现即便什么都老实做了体重也没有下降。那种绝望……但是时间一旦拉长了，什么健康的身体呀，完美的身材呀，惊人的身体素质呀，以及成功经验的多方面复制，开挂的人生等，就全是你的了。\n\n\n\n相反，如果做事情遇到这样必然的“困难期”就选择改变路线，那你会逐渐发现，最终自己得到的也只是这样“遇事就变”的习惯，而不是每一天每一年停下来可以数数自己做成了多少有价值的成果。本质上，**任何时候短期的表现好坏都有很大偶然因素，而任何改变带来的好坏都需要较长时间才能体现出来**。\n\n\n\n以至于，“选择”当然很重要，因为如果一开始就选错了，那反而越努力结果越悲催。但是，选择之后遇到困难的表现更重要，究竟是克服短期的不适、困难以及没有正面及时反馈的现象，还是选择左右摇摆、浅尝辄止，就决定了我们最终是否可以做出有价值的成果了。最明显的就像很多年轻人困惑于选择进入什么行业，其实就如同“三百六十行，行行出状元”一样，**任何一个行业以及事情都有人做到极致，收获近乎于无限的回报，但同样有人身在底层** *（这也是很多人宁愿选热门的原因，即便觉得不努力也能混好）*。而无论是年轻人，还是现代社会本质上都处于不断上升的阶段，所以其实深扎在哪个领域都会做出成绩。\n\n\n\n如同“万事开头难”一样，然而这话只说对了一半，事实上**任何事情在任何阶段都会有成长的平台期**。这个期间就会有“看起来很努力，但怎么都没效果”的现象。最明显的无论是寻求继续攀登的进步，还是完善自己的小缺点阶段，整个人就如同被打回原形一样，也因此**每一个平台期都如同一个关卡一样能够不断刷掉很多人。但是一旦成功度过了这个阶段就会发现收获的成果是惊人的。**\n\n\n\n就好像这一年多的写作一样，真的是每一天每一次都感觉非常痛苦，那种感觉特别像你在心里跟人打架，于是打的赢打不赢都只能生闷气一样。这里面有没有“坚持”早已经不重要了，因为无论什么样的“坚持”在这种反反复复、来来回回、每天如是、变着花样跟自己过招的状态里都真的没用。真的只能没用，都只是雕虫小技。曾经小时候看今天那些已经大牌的艺人还是新人的时候说的最多的就“磨平自己的棱角”，也是到了今年这么一趟走下来才真的明白，什么叫“打磨你自己”。那真是感觉跟拿一块石头在心上磨来磨去没什么区别……\n\n\n\n但是等到接近年底的时候，一些作品写完之后却逐渐发现，那些之前苦寻不得的机会，就好像提前埋好的惊喜一样等着你去“捡”。这种感觉太奇妙了，有一种酣畅淋漓的快感和塞得满满的幸福。这感觉可比曾经花几个月时间画完一幅画的那种感受还要强烈，你完全无法抑制脑子里的那种兴奋，而且其实你也不想抑制。\n\n\n\n回想起来，这几年的经历真的算“效果滞后”的代名词了，无论是最初长达半年之久的迷茫，还是找到一点方向后的自我改变，还是断断续续长达一年的来回徘徊，反复作罢，以及同样长达一年的持续往一个方向耕耘——其实就是**掉进了坑里然后侥幸爬出来，然后再反反复复主动跳坑再爬出来，之后一直提点自己不要随便跳的过程。**\n\n\n\n>整个地球那么大，无论哪个坑你真想挖也肯定有近乎无限的深度等着你。但是你需要想好，**挖完了干什么？**只是做一个挖坑侠是没意义的，至少以人类普遍寿命长度来说是没意义的（“文明”可以用无数世纪去验证一个真理，但你可经不起这样耗）。以至于你必须想清楚，你究竟只是想盖一座茅草屋，还是砖瓦房，或者连栋别墅，还是摩天大楼，又或者宇宙飞船。想清楚了再去做才会更容易更清晰的达到目的。而不是左右摇摆，终身不过刨一把土挖一浅坑。\n\n\n\n之前曾经说过，世界上到处都是机会，同样的，虽然用“坑”作为比喻但情况是类似的，每一个坑也同样是机会。只不过现实则是，你没办法抓住所有的机会，也因此你没办法用一生的时间跳进所有的坑还保证自己能顺利爬出来。以至于这里面，**学会拒绝那些明摆着但又不是自己最需要或者最适合长期后的自己的机会，很重要**。就好像，无论你告诉我成为世界首富有什么好处，在我眼里也是没意义的，因为那不是我想走的方向，那更不是长期后我想要关注的境地，更谈不上用尽一生后我希望我所在的位置。但是，如果你的长期目标就是成为世界首富，那么反而一切跟这个目标无关的内容甚至拖累都需要戒除。事实上，**当你目标明确后你就会发现，整个世界由内而外变成了另一个样子，感觉做什么事都像是老天顺你的意在为你开道一样。**\n\n\n\n>这是一种难得的幸运，但这种幸运的前提是想明白的同时“行动”也需要明白，从任何一个点都能到达南北极，但是路途中兜兜转转、满不在意，只会让你消磨掉不必要的心力和时间资源。\n\n\n\n不需要害怕这样的“错过”，就好像不需要害怕从小孩子成长为大人一样，这世界上有太多事即便你是超级神童那也只有大人做的份，这世界上同样有太多事小孩子可以毫无顾忌的花费时间去做而成年人却需要考虑利弊得失。其实都有局限。**所谓“错过”就好像衣橱里永远不会穿但却始终没扔掉的那些衣服一样，最终的结果只会被其所累**。放在人生的层面，什么都想做、什么都想要、什么都想得到的结果就是一事无成，毫无例外。要不然你以为历史上的伟人或者当今世界有名的人物都只在各自一个领域有足够成就是因为脑子不够使造成的吗？\n\n\n\n在另一方面，**很多人之所以做事最终毫无效果，根本原因还是指望一步到位造成的**。生活中有太多这样的例子都不需要举例你都可以第一时间想到了，什么喊无数遍减肥竟然越来越肥，又或者当今时代想着学习编程结果死活学不会，就哪怕是看书，这几年有多少关于阅读的知识群不了了之了？\n\n\n\n就好像越年轻欲望越强烈一样，同样人越弱就越容易铤而走险。实力越差的时候越容易妄想做一点事情就得到巨大的改变。**想要真的摆脱这种妄念和局限，根本也不在于长期或者有耐心，而在于实力的提高**。想想就明白了，为什么岁末年初是盗贼作案最多的时候？难道是因为历经了一年时间还不够有耐心吗？或者还不够长期吗？不是的，是因为实力不足，以至于那任何一丁点欲望在那一刻都显得如山一般的沉重，如救火一般的急切需要得到解决。但是实力不够呀，那就只能想办法一步到位了呗。\n\n\n\n同样的道理，无论人们如何明白到了夏天就是比拼身材的时刻了，但是没人会在三九天去喊减肥的话，反而是到了来年春暖花开了，走路都出汗的季节了才开始喊“再不减肥就晚了”。事实上，就好像连卖茶叶蛋的大妈都开始讨论股市那说明牛市到头了一样，所有人都开始喊着要减肥了这时候再减肥只不过是在贡献消费指数罢了。以至于必然的，到了夏天的时候依然没有更好的身材，于是必然的想要更快速见效的方法只能选择激进的办法。殊不知，如果你从冬天就开始运动了，持续到夏天哪怕只有半年时间，你的身材也已经可以自然而然发生巨变了——这也是不争的事实，但很少有人会去正视。\n\n\n\n>说白了，谁都知道“实力”很重要，甚至“实力”是唯一重要的，但是说到打磨自己的实力上，更多人只会想着“怎么舒服怎么来”、“怎么见效快怎么来”。\n\n\n\n有一句话说得很好“**你消费了什么并不重要，重要的是你创造了什么**”。同样，**你耗费了多少时间并不重要，重要的是你耗费时间后做出了什么**。每一年的岁末年初人们都会对自己有数不清的期待，但是这些期待中有多少实现了？有多少真的有意义？有多少是你打算一做做一辈子的？毕竟，说起来一年又一年是很长的时间，但其实不过四季。一年又一年看起来时间有限，做不出什么巨大的事情，但是我们今天社会上所见的一切，无论是文明、商业、还是知识，都是通过那“一年又一年”做出来的结果。\n\n\n\n虽然效果会有滞后性，但是实力的打磨却需要每一天都做，每一次实力的打磨如果需要10分的力气，效果会得到5分沉淀，那么即便看起来很渺小累计起来也是可观的收获。而且如同复利效应一样，我们收获的其实远不止那一点点累积起来的5分收获。这也是为什么选对了方向持续做下去，会是一本万利的好生意了。\n\n\n\n至于并不清楚所选择的方向或者事情是否有长远后的利益，其实事实上一点弯路不走是不可能的，即便不在这个方向走弯路也会在别的方向甚至还不自知。与其担心方向的错误，那不如选择的慢一点，不要担心所谓的错过，这世界上没有真正的错过，只有还没到火候的现实。而选择后的如果再想改变，其实更需要放慢速度去思考去斟酌。\n\n\n\n>必要的时候可以这样思考：\n\n**我是不是愿意花费未来五到十年时间去做这件事？**\n\n\n\n如果愿意，那就没什么好说的了。\n\n如果不愿意，那你真是花一分钟都是浪费。\n\n---\n>文章首发于微信公众号：[何荷鸣（hehemingHHM）](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/YESPV8-XlpYoJMEcrRkMcw)\n\n---\n**这篇文章的Press.one地址：**\n[https://press.one/file/v?s=bc7ec4cc5b6fa3ff6405c32234097040e462c31233d8a6117a248a25ac664ac5a4c80bd41a6a06741b33140af8b3ef346385336bfe87c83cf5d7cd33b9f802db0&h=2089acf9bc033e9d31ddd22c29d4b7ec8a54a241cdbaeeddf64d2f71e7290184&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2](https://press.one/file/v?s=bc7ec4cc5b6fa3ff6405c32234097040e462c31233d8a6117a248a25ac664ac5a4c80bd41a6a06741b33140af8b3ef346385336bfe87c83cf5d7cd33b9f802db0&h=2089acf9bc033e9d31ddd22c29d4b7ec8a54a241cdbaeeddf64d2f71e7290184&a=427431c39cb6a9b99660a516adae5dfbca477b46&f=P1&v=2)",
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      "body": "![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmX9BBxTk6pPuRuPskVYruASsq7fwPezZQbGydNfqJmiW3/image.png)\n\nI believe that you have been brainwashed since childhood, even I have been washed like this:\n\n>Want to make big money? Then you have to be adventurous!\n\nThis is the most common and harmful \"fair legend\" - in modern times, the word \"urban legend\" may be used. In all cultures, every child in the process of growing up is ashamed of \"timidity\" and \"weakness\". They are proud of \"brave\" and \"strong\" - and \"adventure\" is obviously a show of courage the most common way.\n\nMany people, including me, have had similar \"games\" when they were young: watching a car driving on the road, then running fast across the road, then a group of children are there to be happy, heartless laughed... (After many years, I learned to drive and finally reacted the big truck driver is more likely to be frightened by myself, not \"especially angry, so in there, hard swearing us\"...)\n\nWith regard to the concept of risk, the understanding of observers and practicing person is likely to be very different, even diametrically opposed.\n\nWhat is this like? For example, when a brain surgeon performs a craniotomy, each of his actions \"seems\" as \"dangerous\". A little mistake can have serious consequences... but this is the observer's perspective. From the practicing person's point of view, first of all, his goal is to succeed rather than take risks; secondly, he is trained to do the work that the observer cannot do; and he is an expert, he knows what danger What is not dangerous, he knows how to do it is a real adventure, he should know what to do to effectively hedge adventure...\n\nTherefore, throughout the process, the observers \"have experienced\" various dangers at all times, frightened, felt that the practicing person are constantly taking risks, and finally succeeded because of adventure.\n\n>**In fact, all the attention of the practicing person was on how to hedge, not how to adventure.**\n\nSo, please think about it carefully. When we see someone doing difficult moves - we are observers, they are practicing person - if they are \"experienced,\" the so-called \"experience\" is more likely to be \" \"Hedging experience\", not \"adventurous experience\"; and if without warning, we observers may have a misunderstanding, misunderstanding that the rich things that people have are \"adventurous experience.\"\n\nI bought a lot of bitcoin when the price was very low. Later, I didn’t sell it, and then when Market crash I also didn’t sell it. So someone said it: “Xiaolai, you are so bold!” Someone will comment \"Yes, people who do big things have to dare to take great risks...\"\n\nReally? Really like what they saw and thought?\n\n\"Price is very low\" means relative to the current price. The first batch of 2,100 bitcoins I bought was priced at $6 (March 2011) and now more than $3,539 (January 2019). In addition, Bitcoin has risen to over $19,188. And after had two or three times \"cut in half\"... In fact, people also thought that it was too expensive at that time, and couldn’t make any money... But actually, for me, when I bought at this time, it was not an adventure because:\n\n>If it is right, then it must be more than this price; I am simply selling the stock that originally cost 4,600 yuan, when it has been worth more than 100,000 US dollars, and then buying bitcoin, Therefore, even if they are all nothing, I have nothing to bear.\n\nI started buying a lot after falling from the market to $12. The average price was about one dollar in the end. Until the budget is spent, I really didn't have any money to buy it. In this process, from my point of view, I didn't take risks. When I saw people panic and felt that \"bitcoin is dead\" (that was in the second half of 2011), I repeatedly read various reports and articles, and did not see any real reason... (This is very strange, and it is somewhat confusing to me; and in December 2014, after a big ups and downs, the articles on the Internet completely repeated the arguments at the end of 2011 - of course, they did not copy articles written by others a few years ago. Just didn't understand history...), so I think they are wrong (even if they have a lot of people, but there are no half-dollar relationships between person number and reason). So, according to my thinking, I should continue to buy, if I can't buy it, I will take it. Anyway, selling it is definitely wrong...\n\nIn the circumstances at the time, according to my own logic, not buying is an adventure! Because my conclusion at the time was that this thing could not be imagined in the long run.\n\nAt that time, the situation was very different. Even if they have a lot of people, who sell to me at a low price today, on the one hand, they said \"thank you\" (because someone actually paid money for it), another The aspect praises me for \"so brave\" (because they actually secretly rejoiced in their hearts at the time, they finally got rid of)...\n\nLater, bitcoin prices rose to more than a thousand dollars (even once exceeded the price per gram of gold), and this rise occurred in just six weeks. I didn't sell it, and then it falling price two or three times, and I also didn't move. Is this really courage? Is this really an adventure? Actually it is not for me, the reason is very clear:\n\n>**Far from the cost price I bought. For me, what are the risks?**\n\nIt is important to note that the above example is my personal thought of investing in bitcoin myself. It is limited to being an example of “Practitioners tend to be more concerned about risk avoidance” and is not “investment advice”. Never misunderstand the words in the above examples, even use it as your investment basis - this sentence will be repeatedly emphasized in the future:\n\n>Your investment must be based on your own and only think deeply.\n\nTherefore, unlike many people imagine, I am actually a risk averse type. When I was young, this was not the case. I often thought that adventure was proof of courage. Later, I read more books.\n\nAdventure is often the understanding of other people's adventurers, not the actions of so-called \"adventurous\" successful people.\n\nColumbus was called an adventurer because he really believed that the earth was indeed round - there were not many people who really understood it at the time - and he was convinced that he used action to prove, he used business to gain. The person who sees this will feels that it is an adventure. The person who does it has to do it because of in-depth thinking - because the person who thinks more deeply, the more inclined to follow the result of thinking firmly.\n\nThe concept of “Venture capital institution” (VC), which is familiar to everyone, is a concept that is generally misunderstood by the public. Even a lot of first-line entrepreneurs will more or less misinterpret institutions and individuals engaged in “risk investment”. The words they most often say might be like this:\n\n>Are you not a venture capitalist, why don't you risk investing in it?\n\nThis is the most typical \"bias\". The \"Venture capital\" model is actually very simple. Generally speaking, it is:\n\n>Lock in one of the fastest-growing areas, and then invest in a number of early-stage companies that are likely to grow at a rate to maximize revenue while probabilistically minimizing overall risk...\n\nVC actually knows how to \"do not take risks\". The model design of venture capital is also for risk-avoiding, not risk-taking. There are two goals:\n\n>**Maximize the benefits possible;\nMinimize systemic risk.**\n\nIn order to maximize the benefits, they first go to the areas that they believe are the fastest growing. For example, in the last decade, the development advantage of the Internet field, \"natural\" is thousands of times in other \"traditional\" fields. This \"locked field\" itself is also one of the basic means to reduce the risk of systematization, and then they have to screen in \"such as who is the first\", \"who is the fastest growing\" ... even \"the top three\" all investment once again; after that, it will be combined with other VCs to \"unite together\" and \"together in the same boat\"... These are all aimed at reducing systemic risk - rather than people taking it for granted \"actually for risk.\"\n\nIn other words, although the name has the word \"risk aversion\", in fact, they are \"hazard\" masters, not \"adventurous\" masters - they do not bother to act as \"brave\". Although, when others say them like this, they don't care. Anyway, \"educating others is not the top priority.\" Even some of them are happy to follow the public's understanding. From time to time, they say \"the risk is that we take it, you just need concentrate doing things.\" If you do something well. In fact, the lower the risk, the greater the gains, is their core values. This is also the value that should be in the \"capital\" thing, isn't it?\n\nAs we have discussed before, in order to cooperate with others, we need to “intentionally give up part of the sense of security”, but this is certainly not to encourage blind adventure. Be sure to pay attention to safety in two things. Be sure to learn and accumulate experience on how to hedge:\n\n>In terms of capital security; in personal safety.\n\nBut why do people generally tend to ignore the existence of risk in capital? Generally speaking, because human beings generally do not have experience in asset management, the fear of capital risk has not yet had the opportunity to form “genetic memory”. If a child sees a gun on the table, he will pick it up very curiously, not afraid at all, and of course he does not know that it is a deadly thing... but if a snake appears behind him Even if the child hasn't seen what it is, he has already been so scared and shivering. Why is this happening? Because each of us has \"genetic memory\", there are a lot of fears, genes have already been implanted, no need to explain, no need to teach, natural understanding, natural will, natural feel.\n\nNow let's take a look at it. The human understanding of wealth and capital is really not much, not long enough, not enough. It is too little, too short, not enough! Think about it, here are the unquestionable facts:\n\n*  Human cognition of wealth is not long. You see, humans have been using currency for thousands of years, and it has been a very short period of time in the long history of mankind;\n*  For a long time, the proportion of people with sufficient wealth among human beings has been very, very low. The proportion is actually low or even negligible; \n*  The entire human race, besides a nation (Jewish), both has so far demonized the concept of \"Compound interest\" - this is the most important concept in the field of wealth ( There is no need to follow a qualifier \"one of them\" at the end; \n*  Human society has never stopped turbulence, the same is true both at home and abroad, every big turmoil is essentially the killing of wealth owners, so about wealth Genes are actually difficult to continue to inherit; \n*  Humans truly recognize the benefits of the market (from a true knowledge research perspective, not “intuition”), just two or three hundred years (China is even worse, the 1980s Only re-opened the cognition of this aspect); \n*  Humans really study the law of economic operation, starting from Adam Smith, less than 300 years; \n*  The human exploration of the investment market began only more than 200 years ago (the US stock market began with an open-air transaction under a West Indian evergreen tree on Wall Street in 1792); \n*  The true perception of probability, starting from the 16th and 17th centuries, the study of probability from gambling, applied to capital, applied to risk assessment, this process has not started until the beginning of the last century, until now less than 100 years ...\n\nThat is to say, in the field of wealth and capital, the perception of risk is impossible for the whole human being to produce “genetic memory”. It is impossible to “naturally understand, naturally used, natural know how to do”. Of course, the most terrible thing is not to understand, but to understand that you don’t understand it, but you don’t know that you don’t understand it, even think you very know it.\n\nThe time when human beings and nature coexist in a large area is hundreds of thousands of years, which is rich in experience; however, human beings deal with capital, but it is equivalent to no experience at all. With regard to the genetic memory of adventure, human beings are formed in the process of \"fighting with nature.\" But if you apply these experiences to \"interacting with capital\" and \"coexisting with capital\", it is basically not applicable.\n\nThis is a constant law of survival. Like drive, life is like that. Investment and entrepreneurship are all the same - as long as it involves people and capital:\n\nSafety first;\n---\nThen the next principle is:\n\nBecome an expert;\n---\nTrain your own learning ability, learn what you need, become an expert in that field, and then think, make decisions, and act like an expert.\n\n>Experts don't take risks easily- although movies and novels often show how they “take risks” at critical moments. Because it is mass entertainment, not so described, the public does not believe.\n\nOthers may appreciate your courage, but you need to know that \"brave\" should never be something that needs self-certification - it really sings against the whole society, it teaches us to be \"brave\" but never tells us that was it needs this, not we need.\n\nYou know, only the idiots who vanity can prove that they have courage. What they don't understand is that the vanity is satisfied for a while, but they have already become the object of time crushing.\n\nSo be sure to be careful and serious:\n\nLook at the fools to take risks.\n---\nSee more, your risk avoidance experience is enriched.\n\nThe final conclusion is this:\n\n>Be sure to think clearly before doing things. Think deeply until your conclusions are different from most people - to be \"maverick and correct\". At this time, the things you make, others will be scared, they think you are taking risks, but you know what is going on.\n\nFinally, there is a book, must read: \"Fooled by Randomness\" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, perhaps one of the smartest people on the planet.\n\n----\nThinking and action\n---\n>1 I once wrote an article “Even if you are “illiteracy”, don’t be “Risk illiterate””（《就算是“文盲”也千万别是“险盲”》）, you can look it up and deepen your understanding of the nature of “risk”.\n2 Have you seen that others have great benefits, and then do you think people are getting through adventure? Now think again, is the other party really taking risks? The reason why you think the other person is taking risks is actually more likely because you don't understand?\n3 Have you ever done anything without risk, but others think you are taking risks? Because they don't understand, they don't dare, and then think that \"you don't understand\", but you \"dare\" to do, so you think you are brave?",
      "json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"bitcoin\",\"blockchain\",\"wealth\",\"success\",\"market\"],\"image\":[\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmX9BBxTk6pPuRuPskVYruASsq7fwPezZQbGydNfqJmiW3/image.png\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\",\"format\":\"markdown\"}",
      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "bitcoin",
      "permlink": "financial-freedom-the-rigid-demand-for-investment-is-to-hedge",
      "title": "[Financial Freedom] The rigid demand for investment is to hedge!"
    }
  ],
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "timestamp": "2019-01-21T14:36:39",
  "trx_id": "3d68fcedd260d30fb70ea89a13360f4b5bd3817a",
  "trx_in_block": 13,
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      "author": "lilijing",
      "body": "——Previous review——\n[How to recognize, choose, and cultivate the right rigid demand?](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-how-to-recognize-choose-and-cultivate-the-right-rigid-demand)\n\nIf you are willing to think about it, you will know that the \"rigid demand\" thing, in essence, is rooted in values - values almost determine everything about a person, we have already known this.\n\nYou think about it, those who are \"Be-Good Type\" people, because they care more about their current performance in front of others, then the \"success\" state is their \"choice\", Their \"rigid demand\", they always want to be good enough in front of others, the state of success is of course the most desirable.\n\nIn contrast, a small number of \"Be-Better Type\" people, because they care more about their own changes, their own progress, so they do not care, or \"not so care about\" their current performance; They know that there is a process for learning, changing, and progressing. It is normal to stumble and stumble in the early days. As long as they continue to practice deliberately, there will be progress and change, and they will eventually get better.\n\n---\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYi8o1fjbnksPRrBa5aJKgvqEddaLZJy5yhFGUjdTF72X/image.png)\n\nTherefore, Be-Better Type people can easily understand, accept, and directly begin to practice such an idea:\n>Success is only a state at a certain moment; growth is more important, and growth is the real rigid demand.\n\n---\n>The world that these two people see is completely different.\nIn the eyes of Be-Good Type persons, the world has only \"success\" and \"failure.\" There is no intermediate state between them.\nIn the eyes of Be-Better Type persons, they know that success and failure are just a certain moment, and there are countless transition stages between them, which is what we call \"growth.\"\nSo for Be-Good Type persons, if they can't succeed, it must mean failure. So when they don't see the hope of success, they will probably give up.\n\n>But Be-Better Type persons are not. They know that in addition to failure and success, they have a state:\nGrowing up and getting closer to success.\nBecause they can clearly understand this, they will not be overly disappointed. Progress a little bit every day and eventually reach the destination.\n\n----\nYou see, \"Your values determine your destiny\", this is not excessive. After so long, you have known for a long time that the values of most people are like this:\n\n>Money > Time > Attention; Success > Growth; Now > Past > Future\n\nAnd if your values are like this:\n\n>Attention > Time > Money; Growth > Success; Future > Now > Past\n\nThen your choice will naturally change, and your \"rigid demand\" is naturally different from others.\n\nLet us look at an example that might shock you. I have an explanation for the \"ultimate problem of why most people eventually can't make a lot of money\":\n\n>Because making money is not exactly what they rigid demand.\n\nWhat is the need of most people?\n\n>Most people actually rigid demand to spend money instead of making money.\n\nIf you look closely, \"getting rich\" is almost everyone's dream. They think that \"getting money is what you rigid demand\", but their thoughts reveal the truth:\n\n>When I make a fortune, I will _ _ _ _ _ ! (Please fill in the blanks, you have heard a lot before.)\n\nYou see, \"What they want to do after they have made a fortune\" is what they really need.\n\n>For them, making money is only a means, and spending money is the purpose.\n\nObserve that you know that there are only a few people in the world who “spend money for make money (investment)”, and most people are like this: “Make money is for spend money (consumption)”. This is not a tongue twister. This is a \"simple logic analysis.\" It is this difference that ultimately caused a huge difference in the distribution of wealth among the people.\n\nFirst, we have to reach a consensus:\n\n>Rigid demand to be able to actively choose, not necessarily natural, unchanging; further, rigid demand this thing often should not be passively accepted.\n\nIf you follow the nature, laziness is rigid demand, greed is rigid demand, jealous is rigid demand... Seven sins have one count and all are rigid demand, right? Therefore, we can even say without exaggeration that all progress and growth are \"re-selecting the process rigid demand.\"\n\n---\n>We are born to be imperfect.\nMany natures have their own flaws. As mentioned above, laziness, greed, and jealousy are all attributes that we are born with. If they are allowed to decide our lives, the result will be bad.\nBut fortunately, we have brains and thinking, and we have strong learning ability. Even the readers of this column have the rare metacognitive ability.\n\n>These are all important tools for us to overcome the defects of nature.\nAlthough I will give you a new tool every week, it does not mean putting it in the toolbox, your work is over.\nThe proficiency of the tool must be proportional to its time of use. So if you want to get rid of the shackles of nature, you must use these tools in your daily life.\n\n---\n\"Know that I can choose\", this \"meta-cognition\" is extremely important. People always mistakenly think that \"people are involuntarily in the rivers and lakes\", but they don't know that \"involuntarily\" is more of an illusion - you think, even suicide, you have to choose a method of death?\n\nIn fact, I mentioned this point in \"Be friends with time\":\n\n>Austrian neurologist and psychiatrist Victor Frank, his parents, wife and brother died in the clutches of the Nazis, and he himself was brutally abused in the Nazi concentration camp. After countless twists and turns and thoughts, he understood one thing: anything that a person possesses can be deprived, but the last freedom of humanity- that is, the freedom to choose one's attitude and way of life in any situation- Can not be deprived. In the most difficult years, he chose a positive attitude, \"Let your mind go beyond the cage and free to fly in the free world.\" - \"Be friends with time\" Chapter 1: \"Awakening.\"\n\nYou have to engrave this sentence in your own mind, and will recite it from time to time. Will take it out from time to time and take it out from time to time:\n\n>Anything that man possesses can be deprived, but the ultimate freedom of humanity- that is, the freedom to choose one's attitude and way of life in any situation- cannot be deprived.\n\nAs long as this sentence is engraved in your mind, you directly pass 99% of the people. They show weakness, entanglement, hesitation, stupidity, and after-the-fact annoyance and remorse at every critical moment in life. First, It may be because of a wrong choice, more likely because \"They don't even know that they still have the freedom of choice\", let alone the \"courage of choice.\"\n\nSecondly, among the many “correctly rigid demand”, what is the most critical and core?\n\n>Patience\n\nPatience is just the need for all growth. Psychologists suggest that parents that teaching children to raise plants is better than teaching children to raise animals. Why? Because planting requires more patience, plants often grow less quickly and rarely give a \"direct response.\" You have to live a lot of lifetime in your life (seven years is a lifetime), that is, many years, there will always be seven or eighty years? At any point in the process, you will feel that this is a long, long period of time. Without patience, how can a long road go? (There is one thing that can be completely assured: there is have or no patience both can finish...)\n\n---\n>Everyone wants to succeed, there is nothing wrong with this.\nBut most people will involuntarily miss a precondition when describing their goals:\nimmediately…\nAlthough they don't say anything, but look at their performance and you will know, and how impatient they are about achieving their goals.\nAfter doing two days without significant effect, then wanted to give up; after practicing for three days, then felt painful and wanted to change one method.\nAlmost all of the halfway, and ultimately can be attributed to this:\n**Short-term expectations are too high.**\n\n>This is the typical impatience of performance.\nIf you want to achieve your goals, the most important thing is to cultivate the \"patient\" rigid demand. Otherwise, it will only repeat the past experience constantly, and there will be no progress.\n\n---\nWhy do I rarely mention money in a column headed \"Road to Freedom of Wealth\"? Even if it is mentioned, it is also a long time after starting? The reason is very simple and obvious (of course, only a few people think so):\n\n>The cultivate financial business is obviously the most patience required; and all the important skills related to wealth are “looking” ethereal or even nothing...\n\nIt is precisely because \"seems\" has little to do with wealth that most people do not pay attention to it, or even do not know that they can learn, should learn, can practice, and should practice.\n\nFurthermore, if a person is impatient, it is unlikely to remove “something that is irrelevant” from a bunch of “it doesn’t seem to be relevant” skills, and find “skills that seem irrelevant but actually important. \" Then carry out deliberate training.\n\nEven if someone helps them to point out those “actually essential and indispensable skills”, they will not be able to appreciate the importance or indispensability of those skills because of lack of patience, so they may give up tempering at any time, and then “confirmation” themselves feeling: \"Look, it really didn't work!\"\n\nPeople who have no patience can't do anything. People who are afraid of trouble will have trouble for a lifetime. Why are some people more patient? Why are some people not afraid of trouble? In fact, we have already said that some people live in the future.\n\nOnly the people who live in the future have real patience. In other words, how much patience a person has, just look at how long they will live.\n\nMore people are short-sighted, aren't they? Short-sighted people, regardless of what they do, want to \"take effect immediately\", and even \"effective immediately\" is \"absolutely rigid demand\" for them. If can't \"effective immediately\", even if it is \"feeling that it can't take effect immediately\", they will give up immediately.\n\nAfter understanding the importance of \"choosing consciousness\" and \"patience\", you need to think deeply about another important concept:\n\n>Status quo\n\nOur group has repeatedly stressed that \"live in the future\", but after such a period of study and thinking, have you discovered that it is really very difficult to \"live in the future\"? - Of course, if it is so easy to do, does not everyone live very well? Do you remember? The first time you read \"Deep thinking about the future every day,\" how shocked you are \"Is it so obvious that I need someone to remind me?!\" Do you remember? In those days, you are full of energy every day, as if you have been born again... But why didn’t it last long, a few weeks, and like many people, you are being tortured by a thought: “oh my god! This is me, I have forgotten it for many days!\"\n\nFor many people, the \"status quo\" is like \"gravity\", dragging you all the time, so that you can't fly at all, let alone \"fly out.\"\n\nWhat is the status quo? Why does the current situation make so many people unable to think about the future, can not become a \"long-term successful investor\", and eventually become a \"short-term speculative loser\"? Why is the status quo so that so many people become short-sighted, rather than \"Far-sighted\"?\n\n>The so-called \"status quo\", in essence, is nothing more than \"past accumulation.\"\n\nIf you understand the so-called \"status quo\" in this way, you will understand that if the \"status quo\" is not satisfactory, then it must be \"the past accumulation is not enough\". The roots of shortsightedness are always the same:\n\n>Anxious eager to change the status quo.\n\nThe worse the status quo, the less accumulated, the more eager. And because of the accumulation of this thing, no one can make it out like a juggling. So, when faced with the extremely uncomfortable choice of \"either recognize\" or \"accumulate from now on\", a considerable number of people finally choose directly \"adventure.\"\n\n---\n>In fact, many of the reasons already have a very simple explanation, but because it is too familiar, it has been ignored.\nThis time we need to pass a reasonable metaphor, let it once again attract your attention.\nFor example, don't rush to change the status quo, this is a bit like \"don't want to get rid of gravity.\" As long as we are still alive on earth, you cannot escape the shackles of gravity.\n\n>So when you accept this reality, you will look away from the \"status quo\" and go to other places to \"find the key.\"\nWhen you know that any status quo is caused by the accumulation of the past, you will naturally live in the future and work hard for the \"status quo\" of the future. Instead of just entangled in the lost opportunities in the past, complain about things that were wrong in the past.\n\n---\nSome people will complain about their parents, mourn their own destiny, hate that they are not born with a golden key - but they actually understand from another angle: if they end up being a person with enough accumulation, at least their next generation don't have to complain about them parents, they don't have to grieve them destiny, even if it is not \"born with a golden key\", whatever it is gold or silver, copper is iron, and ultimately it may contain at least a key!\n\nYou see, if we clearly define the \"status quo\" as \"past accumulation\", then we understand how difficult it is to \"change the status quo immediately\" - it is difficult to actually be impossible, because most We can only do one thing:\n\n>Take the present as a new starting point, start accumulating, focus on the future, and live in the future.\n\nDo you remember? We have early \"quit complaining,\" and now you have a deeper understanding of \"why is dissatisfied with the status quo is completely meaningless\" - because \"discontent\" itself does not increase any accumulation!\n\nFinally, it is the combination of these things:\n\n>You always know that you still have the freedom of choice in the end; you know that you must live patiently in the future; you know that the status quo is accumulation, you know that dissatisfaction with the status quo is meaningless, and all liberation can only rely on accumulation...\n\nWell, based on this understanding, based on such values, you can use another \"ultimate weapon\":\n\n>Choose the right \"uncomfortable\".\n\n---\n>We may to use the dichotomy to analyze this issue again, so that everyone can see more clearly.\nWe divide things into two dimensions. One dimension is divided into \"correct\" and \"wrong\", and the other dimension is divided into \"difficult\" and \"easy\".\n\n![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmR9aDXTZwuzT752ZgJL3ZXE8xGPtW8n9FzvZ7hRYboqRY/image.png)\n\n>Our selection criteria should fall on the first dimension, not the second dimension.\nThat is to say, if one thing is wrong, then no matter how easy it is, we should not do it. Because this has no accumulation for us.\nConversely, if one thing is correct, then no matter how difficult it is, we should do it. Even if it is not doing well, it is a positive accumulation for us. When the results are accumulated to a certain extent, they will definitely play its role.\n\n---\nIn the matter of wealth, when you first started, \"no money to spend\" and \"can't make money\" are hard to accept. However, if you think about it carefully, you will know that solving the former will make you lose more money, and solving the latter should be more important. So, put your attention on solving the latter and develop the habit of “can't make money then uncomfortable”, and with the natural choice of your other correct values, you will involuntarily get a lot of “naturally correct conclusions”, and in turn generate a lot of \"actions that necessarily produce good results (even surprises)\":\n\n>Can't make money because the ability is not enough; all abilities are achievable, as long as there is enough patience; in time, I will gain more and more...\n\nYou also often see (and definitely see more) the idea:\n\n>Can't make money because the society is unfair (not looking for problems in myself, looking for problems elsewhere); doing anything is no good, because the world simply won't change; so, or \"casually,\" or \"take risks and do bad things\"...\n\n>When you acquire any skill, there is something uncomfortable. Choosing the right one is often the key.\n\nFor another example, when you are learning English, the pronunciation is very poor, you have to choose:\n\n>Because you have no progress and are uncomfortable (say a little more, practice a little more); because you are afraid of others laughing at you and being uncomfortable (do not say it, do not practice).\n\n---\n【The Better chapters】\n---\nAbout the good of others\n[We have re-acquainted with \"the good of others\"](https://steemit.com/future/@lilijing/financial-freedom-we-have-re-acquainted-with-the-good-of-others)\n\nAbout right value\n[Correct value of itself](https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-correct-value-of-itself)\n\nAbout your destiny\n[What determines your destiny?](https://steemit.com/money/@lilijing/financial-freedom-what-determines-your-destiny)",
      "json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"wealth\",\"success\",\"hot\",\"btc\",\"market\"],\"image\":[\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYi8o1fjbnksPRrBa5aJKgvqEddaLZJy5yhFGUjdTF72X/image.png\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmR9aDXTZwuzT752ZgJL3ZXE8xGPtW8n9FzvZ7hRYboqRY/image.png\"],\"links\":[\"https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-how-to-recognize-choose-and-cultivate-the-right-rigid-demand\",\"https://steemit.com/future/@lilijing/financial-freedom-we-have-re-acquainted-with-the-good-of-others\",\"https://steemit.com/wealth/@lilijing/financial-freedom-correct-value-of-itself\",\"https://steemit.com/money/@lilijing/financial-freedom-what-determines-your-destiny\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\",\"format\":\"markdown\"}",
      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "wealth",
      "permlink": "financial-freedom-we-have-re-recognized-rigid-demand",
      "title": "[Financial Freedom] We have re-recognized \"Rigid Demand\""
    }
  ],
  "op_in_trx": 0,
  "timestamp": "2019-01-18T14:41:39",
  "trx_id": "64eb5a4c14e958c13dd8ceff98b07562622f48f8",
  "trx_in_block": 11,
  "virtual_op": 0
}