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      "body": "Congratulations @klkn-geopolitics! You have completed the following achievement on the Steem blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n<table><tr><td><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/60x70/http://steemitboard.com/@klkn-geopolitics/voted.png?201910071333\"></td><td>You received more than 50 upvotes. Your next target is to reach 100 upvotes.</td></tr>\n</table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@klkn-geopolitics) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=klkn-geopolitics)_</sub>\n<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>\n\n\n\n> You can upvote this notification to help all Steem users. Learn how [here](https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/http-i-cubeupload-com-7ciqeo-png)!",
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      "body": "The Crimean issue was one of a kind in contemporary geopolitics. Not only another colour revolution planned, funded and coordinated by Washington but the last real attempt to mined the existence of Russia as the country it has been from 2001.\n\nWhat I'm going to expose in here is the public story not told by the Western MSM and the globalist outlets controlled by the White House, the State Department, the Pentagon and the reckless CIA. I count them separately as each of them can have it's own different agenda separated from the rest.\n\nFirst thing to do is to know what the Ukraine is and has been. The Ukraine is not and hasn't been a nation the way of its peers in the rest of Europe. Throughout history, the Ukraine was ruled by a number of powers - Lithuania, Poland, Austria-Hungary, the Ottoman Empire and Russia, until it eventually merged into the Russian-dominated Soviet Union after WW2. A Cossack republic emerged and prospered during the 17th and 18th centuries, but its territory was eventually split between Poland and the Russian Empire, and finally merged fully into the Russian-dominated Soviet Union in the late 1940s as the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic. In 1991, Ukraine gained its independence from the Soviet Union in the aftermath of its dissolution at the end of the Cold War. \n\nUkranians, Russians and Belarussians are common peoples that share a same cultural ancestry: Kievan Rus' (AD 882). They also share ethnicity (East Slavic tribes), language (Old East Slavic), alphabet (Cyrillic) and religion (Orthodox Christians).\n\nIn 1917 a chaotic period of warfare ensued after the Russian Revolution. The internationally recognised Ukrainian People's Republic emerged from its own civil war of 1917–1921. The Ukrainian–Soviet War (1917–1921) followed, in which the bolshevik Red Army established control in late 1919. The Ukrainian Bolsheviks, who had defeated the national government in Kiev, established the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic, which on 30 December 1922 became one of the founding republics of the Soviet Union. Initial Soviet policy on Ukrainian language and Ukrainian culture made Ukrainian the official language of administration and schools. Soviet policy in the 1930s turned to the russification of the country though.\n\nFrom 1921 to 1954 Ukraine was part of the Russian Republic but then was transferred to the Ukranian Soviet Socialist Republic by Nikita Kruschev as an administrative action of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet of the Soviet Union which transferred the government of the Crimean Peninsula from the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian SSR. The transfer of the Crimean Oblast (region) to Ukraine has been described as a \"symbolic gesture\", marking the 300th anniversary of Ukraine becoming a part of the Tsardom of Russia. The administrative action that ceded Ukraine authonomy from Russia and the Soviet Union was not - and this is key to understand the simbiotic relationship between the two peoples - a cession for independence or the like out of Russia, but only that of authonomy the way Catalonia is from Spain. Authonomy is giving a local government the right to rule over administrative spheres but in no way the right to give away sovereignty. Nina Kushcheva, Krushchev great-granddaughter, said his great-grandfather motivation \"was somewhat symbolic trying to reshuffle the Soviet centralized system\", but also because he was very fond of Ukraine, a country he felt great affinity with. \n\nFor Sergei Kruschchev, Krushchev's son, the decision was due to \"the building of a hydro-electric dam on the Dnieper River and the consequent desire for all the administration to be under one body.\" Sevastopol in Crimea being the site of the Soviet Black Sea Fleet, a quintessential element of Russian and then of Soviet foreign policy, the transfer had the intended effect of binding Ukraine inexorably to Russia, \"Eternally Together\",\" as a poster commemorating the event of 1954 proclaimed.\n\nThe transfer increased the ethnic Russian population of Ukraine by almost a million people. Prominent Russian politicians considered the transfer to be controversial to say the least. \n\nIn January 1992, the Supreme Soviet of Russia questioned the constitutionality of the transfer, accusing Nikita Khrushchev of treason against the Russian people and said that the transfer was illegitimate. However, in a 1997 treaty between the Russian Federation and Ukraine, Russia recognized Ukraine's borders, and accepted Ukraine's sovereignty over Crimea. By this time, nonetheless, the russification of the Crimean peninsula was almost complete after Stalin expulsed an important part of the Tatars (Turkic ethnic group) to Central Asia in 1944 and Ukrainians moving to Ukraine's mainland. \n\nTo complicate things further, Sevastopol, the biggest city in Crimea and headquarters of the Russian Naval Fleet of the Black Sea, the Sea of Amov and the Mediterranean Sea since the 17th century (1696), as of 2014 allocating naval and amphibious warfare, 25k's servicemen, 53 warships and 6 submarines, was left in a legal limbo. There was confusion about the status of Sevastopol and whether it was a part of the transfer as it had a degree of independence from the Crimean Oblast and never formally ratified, although it was later mentioned as Ukrainian territory in the Soviet Constitution and the Belavezha Accords (agreement that declared the Soviet Union as effectively ceasing to exist and established the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) as its successor.\n\nIt was after all these vicissitudes that Ukraine became in 1991 a real subject of international relations.\n\nThe post-Soviet aftermath: \n\nFollowing its independence, the Ukraine declared itself a neutral state and it formed a limited military partnership with Russia while also establishing a partnership with NATO in 1994. \n\nViktor Yanukovich was elected the fourth president of Ukraine on 7 February 2010 for the period 2010-2015. Yanukovych gained the second round with the 49 percent of the vote against the 45 of her rival Yulia Tymoshenko. He served as President until his removal from power in February 2014 as a result of the 2014 Ukrainian color revolution. During his mandate he sought a closer relationship with the EU in return for loans and intended to enter the Union but postponed it. The measure was interpreted as a back out by his opponents and led to a wave of protests which came to be known as Euromaiden. The initial student's manifestations were rapidly replaced by \nWashington's meddling in Ukraine's internal affairs supporting far right Ukranian neo-nazi paramilitary forces. The stakes there couldn't be higher: In a rapid succession of facts it seemed possible for Washington to take Ukraine out of the Russian sphere. Not only that, there was a real possibility of taking Crimea and Sevastopol's Russian Naval Black Sea Fleet out from Russia. Wet dreams for the West. \n\nThe status of the Sevastopol's Russian Naval Base after the dissolution of the Soviet Union\n\nAfter the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the claim of the Russian Navy for use of the naval base was logically lost. The soil was then under Ukranian sovereignty. As regulated by the Partition Treaty on the Black Sea Fleet signed in 1994, Russia maintained the right to use the Port of Sevastopol for 20 years until 2017. In 2010, the sign of the Kharkov Pact between Ukraine's president Viktor Yanukovich and Russia's Dimitry Medvenev, extended the lease until 2042 in exchange of cheap Russian natural gas for the decades to come. The pact aroused much controversy in Ukraine. The controversy by the pro-Western forces in Ukraine proved crucial for the events to come. \n\nWhat the lost of Crimea and Sevastopol would have meant for the Russian soul\n\nAs established above, Sevastopol has been the flagship port of the Imperial Russian Navy since the 17th century (1696). Russia is a massive landmass, it covers 11 time zones and 17 million km2 (6.6 million square mi). It's a well unified-ethnic country, counting 81 percent of ethnic Russians and 19 percent of many others, being the Tatars the major minority counting for 3.7 percent. In all, 160 different other ethnic groups and indigenous peoples live within its borders. 77 percent of ethnic Russians (113 million out of 147) live and work in European Russia.\n\nNonetheless, despite that huge massland, Russia is almost land-locked as it lacks of a wide access to the open seas and the exterior world. They've got a quite narrow access to the Baltic Sea via Saint Petesbourg but need to traverse close to Finnish, Estonian, Latvian Lithuanian, Swedish and Danish territorial waters before navigating the open seas of the Atlantic Ocean. On the south flank, Russian vessels need to navigate the Black Sea and cross NATO's Turkey straits of Bosphorus and Dardanelles before reaching the Mediterranean Sea and its pleiad of connections towards southern Europe, North Africa and the Red Sea towards the Arabian Peninsula and the Indian Ocean. They do have a good part of the Caspian Sea which connects well with the former muslim Soviet republics of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, and Iran, from where Russian frigates launched their initial attacks on ISIS head-choppers forces in Syria in 2015. But that's another story I'll talk about later on. Russian Far East port Vladivostok is the less busy traffic lane for Russia's access to the open seas and it will be of higher importance in the years to come. And last but not least is the Arctic route, a lane of future connections between the Asian (China, Japan, South Korea) manufacture hubs towards the northern European markets of Scandinavia and Germany, Netherlands and Denmark. But the same, these are futuristic routes.\n\nOther than that, Russia is basically a land-locked country. In there lies what for the Russians were to be kicked-out from Crimea and Sevastopol for NATO. Not only a historic offense but a geostrategic declaration of war. It was not going to happen. \n\nThe Ukranian coup carried on by neo-Nazi Western forces\n\nTensions rose until the situation was untenable and Yanukovych not only fled to Russia but was actually rescued by the Russian military when a price was held upon his head the way it used to be in the American old west. The order to get him killed was already given when Russian forces rescued him out of Ukraine when he went back after he was ousted from office. \n\nProtests against the color pro-Western coup occurred in Rusian populated southern Ukraine (Zacarpattia, Odessa, Crimea) and eastern regions (Donbass and Lugansk), where Yanukovich received the strongest support in the 2010 presidential election. Everything happened vertiginously in a few days. The Obama administration blundered and wanted to take it all instead of waiting the next presidential election in less than a year and then take it. But no, Victoria Nuland, assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian Affaires (whatever that means in the American lexico mixing Europe with Asia), was caught on YouTube saying \"Nuck* Europe, Poroshenko is our guy!\"\n\nA parenthesis in here is necessary. Having a high level American officer saying \"Nuck Europe*, Poroshenko is our guy\". How do you call that? Meddling in internal affairs of another state? Does that sounds similar to a recent scandal in the near past?\n\nAnyway, that phrase was caught in YouTube said by who? Victoria Nuland herself. She said she wanted Poroshenko to be the next Ukranian president. And guessed what? It happened! Meddling in someone else's internal affairs? Nah!\n\nAnyway, there was someone putting attention in Moscow, and he said 'Nah', it won't happen!\n\nA few days after, this same person organised a referendum in Crimea whether the Crimeans wanted to become Europeanised or Russianised. Of course, the Russian Crimeans voted 96.77 percent to be Russianised with an 83.1 percent voter turnout. End of the story! \n\n77 percent of Crimeans and 94% of Sevastopolians are native speakers of Russian. That was the result of the referendum. Was it quick? Yes. Was it legal? Yes (83.1 percent of the Crimeans endorsed it). Was it patronized by the Kremlin when they found Crimea in the hands of NATO? Yes. Was it illegal? No. \n\nDonald Trump said it when he said during his presidential campaign: \"I'd give up Crimea to the Russians\".",
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      "body": "The Crimean issue was one of a kind in contemporary geopolitics. Not only another colour revolution planned, funded and coordinated by Washington but the last real attempt to mined the existence of Russia as the country it has been from 2001.\n\nWhat I'm going to expose in here is the public story not told by the Western MSM and the globalist outlets controlled by the White House, the State Department, the Pentagon and the reckless CIA. I count them separately as each of them can have it's own different agenda separated from the rest.\n\nFirst thing to do is to know what the Ukraine is and has been. The Ukraine is not and hasn't been a nation the way of its peers in the rest of Europe. Throughout history, the Ukraine was ruled by a number of powers - Lithuania, Poland, Austria-Hungary, the Ottoman Empire and Russia, until it eventually merged into the Russian-dominated Soviet Union after WW2. A Cossack republic emerged and prospered during the 17th and 18th centuries, but its territory was eventually split between Poland and the Russian Empire, and finally merged fully into the Russian-dominated Soviet Union in the late 1940s as the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic. In 1991, Ukraine gained its independence from the Soviet Union in the aftermath of its dissolution at the end of the Cold War. \n\nUkranians, Russians and Belarussians are common peoples that share a same cultural ancestry: Kievan Rus' (AD 882). They also share ethnicity (East Slavic tribes), language (Old East Slavic), alphabet (Cyrillic) and religion (Orthodox Christians).\n\nIn 1917 a chaotic period of warfare ensued after the Russian Revolution. The internationally recognised Ukrainian People's Republic emerged from its own civil war of 1917–1921. The Ukrainian–Soviet War (1917–1921) followed, in which the bolshevik Red Army established control in late 1919. The Ukrainian Bolsheviks, who had defeated the national government in Kiev, established the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic, which on 30 December 1922 became one of the founding republics of the Soviet Union. Initial Soviet policy on Ukrainian language and Ukrainian culture made Ukrainian the official language of administration and schools. Soviet policy in the 1930s turned to the russification of the country though.\n\nFrom 1921 to 1954 Ukraine was part of the Russian Republic but then was transferred to the Ukranian Soviet Socialist Republic by Nikita Kruschev as an administrative action of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet of the Soviet Union which transferred the government of the Crimean Peninsula from the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian SSR. The transfer of the Crimean Oblast (region) to Ukraine has been described as a \"symbolic gesture\", marking the 300th anniversary of Ukraine becoming a part of the Tsardom of Russia. The administrative action that ceded Ukraine authonomy from Russia and the Soviet Union was not - and this is key to understand the simbiotic relationship between the two peoples - a cession for independence or the like out of Russia, but only that of authonomy the way Catalonia is from Spain. Authonomy is giving a local government the right to rule over administrative spheres but in no way the right to give away sovereignty. Nina Kushcheva, Krushchev great-granddaughter, said his great-grandfather motivation \"was somewhat symbolic trying to reshuffle the Soviet centralized system\", but also because he was very fond of Ukraine, a country he felt great affinity with. \n\nFor Sergei Kruschchev, Krushchev's son, the decision was due to \"the building of a hydro-electric dam on the Dnieper River and the consequent desire for all the administration to be under one body.\" Sevastopol in Crimea being the site of the Soviet Black Sea Fleet, a quintessential element of Russian and then of Soviet foreign policy, the transfer had the intended effect of binding Ukraine inexorably to Russia, \"Eternally Together\",\" as a poster commemorating the event of 1954 proclaimed.\n\nThe transfer increased the ethnic Russian population of Ukraine by almost a million people. Prominent Russian politicians considered the transfer to be controversial to say the least. \n\nIn January 1992, the Supreme Soviet of Russia questioned the constitutionality of the transfer, accusing Nikita Khrushchev of treason against the Russian people and said that the transfer was illegitimate. However, in a 1997 treaty between the Russian Federation and Ukraine, Russia recognized Ukraine's borders, and accepted Ukraine's sovereignty over Crimea. By this time, nonetheless, the russification of the Crimean peninsula was almost complete after Stalin expulsed an important part of the Tatars (Turkic ethnic group) to Central Asia in 1944 and Ukrainians moving to Ukraine's mainland. \n\nTo complicate things further, Sevastopol, the biggest city in Crimea and headquarters of the Russian Naval Fleet of the Black Sea, the Sea of Amov and the Mediterranean Sea since the 17th century (1696), as of 2014 allocating naval and amphibious warfare, 25k's servicemen, 53 warships and 6 submarines, was left in a legal limbo. There was confusion about the status of Sevastopol and whether it was a part of the transfer as it had a degree of independence from the Crimean Oblast and never formally ratified, although it was later mentioned as Ukrainian territory in the Soviet Constitution and the Belavezha Accords (agreement that declared the Soviet Union as effectively ceasing to exist and established the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) as its successor.\n\nIt was after all these vicissitudes that Ukraine became in 1991 a real subject of international relations.\n\nThe post-Soviet aftermath: \n\nFollowing its independence, the Ukraine declared itself a neutral state and it formed a limited military partnership with Russia while also establishing a partnership with NATO in 1994. \n\nViktor Yanukovich was elected the fourth president of Ukraine on 7 February 2010 for the period 2010-2015. Yanukovych gained the second round with the 49 percent of the vote against the 45 of her rival Yulia Tymoshenko. He served as President until his removal from power in February 2014 as a result of the 2014 Ukrainian color revolution. During his mandate he sought a closer relationship with the EU in return for loans and intended to enter the Union but postponed it. The measure was interpreted as a back out by his opponents and led to a wave of protests which came to be known as Euromaiden. The initial student's manifestations were rapidly replaced by \nWashington's meddling in Ukraine's internal affairs supporting far right Ukranian neo-nazi paramilitary forces. The stakes there couldn't be higher: In a rapid succession of facts it seemed possible for Washington to take Ukraine out of the Russian sphere. Not only that, there was a real possibility of taking Crimea and Sevastopol's Russian Naval Black Sea Fleet out from Russia. Wet dreams for the West. \n\nThe status of the Sevastopol's Russian Naval Base after the dissolution of the Soviet Union\n\nAfter the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the claim of the Russian Navy for use of the naval base was logically lost. The soil was then under Ukranian sovereignty. As regulated by the Partition Treaty on the Black Sea Fleet signed in 1994, Russia maintained the right to use the Port of Sevastopol for 20 years until 2017. In 2010, the sign of the Kharkov Pact between Ukraine's president Viktor Yanukovich and Russia's Dimitry Medvenev, extended the lease until 2042 in exchange of cheap Russian natural gas for the decades to come. The pact aroused much controversy in Ukraine. The controversy by the pro-Western forces in Ukraine proved crucial for the events to come. \n\nWhat the lost of Crimea and Sevastopol would have meant for the Russian soul\n\nAs established above, Sevastopol has been the flagship port of the Imperial Russian Navy since the 17th century (1696). Russia is a massive landmass, it covers 11 time zones and 17 million km2 (6.6 million square mi). It's a well unified-ethnic country, counting 81 percent of ethnic Russians and 19 percent of many others, being the Tatars the major minority counting for 3.7 percent. In all, 160 different other ethnic groups and indigenous peoples live within its borders. 77 percent of ethnic Russians (113 million out of 147) live and work in European Russia.\n\nNonetheless, despite that huge massland, Russia is almost land-locked as it lacks of a wide access to the open seas and the exterior world. They've got a quite narrow access to the Baltic Sea via Saint Petesbourg but need to traverse close to Finnish, Estonian, Latvian Lithuanian, Swedish and Danish territorial waters before navigating the open seas of the Atlantic Ocean. On the south flank, Russian vessels need to navigate the Black Sea and cross NATO's Turkey straits of Bosphorus and Dardanelles before reaching the Mediterranean Sea and its pleiad of connections towards southern Europe, North Africa and the Red Sea towards the Arabian Peninsula and the Indian Ocean. They do have a good part of the Caspian Sea which connects well with the former muslim Soviet republics of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, and Iran, from where Russian frigates launched their initial attacks on ISIS head-choppers forces in Syria in 2015. But that's another story I'll talk about later on. Russian Far East port Vladivostok is the less busy traffic lane for Russia's access to the open seas and it will be of higher importance in the years to come. And last but not least is the Arctic route, a lane of future connections between the Asian (China, Japan, South Korea) manufacture hubs towards the northern European markets of Scandinavia and Germany, Netherlands and Denmark. But the same, these are futuristic routes.\n\nOther than that, Russia is basically a land-locked country. In there lies what for the Russians were to be kicked-out from Crimea and Sevastopol for NATO. Not only a historic offense but a geostrategic declaration of war. It was not going to happen. \n\nThe Ukranian coup carried on by neo-Nazi Western forces\n\nTensions rose until the situation was untenable and Yanukovych not only fled to Russia but was actually rescued by the Russian military when a price was held upon his head the way it used to be in the American old west. The order to get him killed was already given when Russian forces rescued him out of Ukraine when he went back after he was ousted from office. \n\nProtests against the color pro-Western coup occurred in Rusian populated southern Ukraine (Zacarpattia, Odessa, Crimea) and eastern regions (Donbass and Lugansk), where Yanukovich received the strongest support in the 2010 presidential election. Everything happened vertiginously in a few days. The Obama administration blundered and wanted to take it all instead of waiting the next presidential election in less than a year and then take it. But no, Victoria Nuland, assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian Affaires (whatever that means in the American lexico mixing Europe with Asia), was caught on YouTube saying \"Nuck* Europe, Poroshenko is our guy!\"\n\nA parenthesis in here is necessary. Having a high level American officer saying \"Nuck Europe*, Poroshenko is our guy\". How do you call that? Meddling in internal affairs of another state? Does that sounds similar to a recent scandal in the near past?\n\nAnyway, that phrase was caught in YouTube said by who? Victoria Nuland herself. She said she wanted Poroshenko to be the next Ukranian president. And guessed what? It happened! Meddling in someone else's internal affairs? Nah!\n\nAnyway, there was someone putting attention in Moscow, and he said 'Nah', it won't happen!\n\nA few days after, this same person organised a referendum in Crimea whether the Crimeans wanted to become Europeanised or Russianised. Of course, the Russian Crimeans voted 96.77 percent to be Russianised with an 83.1 percent voter turnout. End of the story! \n\n77 percent of Crimeans and 94% of Sevastopolians are native speakers of Russian. That was the result of the referendum. Was it quick? Yes. Was it legal? Yes (83.1 percent of the Crimeans endorsed it). Was it patronized by the Kremlin when they found Crimea in the hands of NATO? Yes. Was it illegal? No. \n\nDonald Trump said it when he said during his presidential campaign: \"I'd give up Crimea to the Russians\".",
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      "body": "The Crimean issue was one of a kind in contemporary geopolitics. Not only another colour revolution planned, funded and coordinated by Washington but the last real attempt to mined the existence of Russia as the country it has been from 2001.\n\nWhat I'm going to expose in here is the public story not told by the Western MSM and the globalist outlets controlled by the White House, the State Department, the Pentagon and the reckless CIA. I count them separately as each of them can have it's own different agenda separated from the rest.\n\nFirst thing to do is to know what the Ukraine is and has been. The Ukraine is not and hasn't been a nation the way of its peers in the rest of Europe. Throughout history, the Ukraine was ruled by a number of powers - Lithuania, Poland, Austria-Hungary, the Ottoman Empire and Russia, until it eventually merged into the Russian-dominated Soviet Union after WW2. A Cossack republic emerged and prospered during the 17th and 18th centuries, but its territory was eventually split between Poland and the Russian Empire, and finally merged fully into the Russian-dominated Soviet Union in the late 1940s as the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic. In 1991, Ukraine gained its independence from the Soviet Union in the aftermath of its dissolution at the end of the Cold War. \n\nUkranians, Russians and Belarussians are common peoples that share a same cultural ancestry: Kievan Rus' (AD 882). They also share ethnicity (East Slavic tribes), language (Old East Slavic), alphabet (Cyrillic) and religion (Orthodox Christians).\n\nIn 1917 a chaotic period of warfare ensued after the Russian Revolution. The internationally recognised Ukrainian People's Republic emerged from its own civil war of 1917–1921. The Ukrainian–Soviet War (1917–1921) followed, in which the bolshevik Red Army established control in late 1919. The Ukrainian Bolsheviks, who had defeated the national government in Kiev, established the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic, which on 30 December 1922 became one of the founding republics of the Soviet Union. Initial Soviet policy on Ukrainian language and Ukrainian culture made Ukrainian the official language of administration and schools. Soviet policy in the 1930s turned to the russification of the country though.\n\nFrom 1921 to 1954 Ukraine was part of the Russian Republic but then was transferred to the Ukranian Soviet Socialist Republic by Nikita Kruschev as an administrative action of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet of the Soviet Union which transferred the government of the Crimean Peninsula from the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic to the Ukrainian SSR. The transfer of the Crimean Oblast (region) to Ukraine has been described as a \"symbolic gesture\", marking the 300th anniversary of Ukraine becoming a part of the Tsardom of Russia. The administrative action that ceded Ukraine authonomy from Russia and the Soviet Union was not - and this is key to understand the simbiotic relationship between the two peoples - a cession for independence or the like out of Russia, but only that of authonomy the way Catalonia is from Spain. Authonomy is giving a local government the right to rule over administrative spheres but in no way the right to give away sovereignty. Nina Kushcheva, Krushchev great-granddaughter, said his great-grandfather motivation \"was somewhat symbolic trying to reshuffle the Soviet centralized system\", but also because he was very fond of Ukraine, a country he felt great affinity with. \n\nFor Sergei Kruschchev, Krushchev's son, the decision was due to \"the building of a hydro-electric dam on the Dnieper River and the consequent desire for all the administration to be under one body.\" Sevastopol in Crimea being the site of the Soviet Black Sea Fleet, a quintessential element of Russian and then of Soviet foreign policy, the transfer had the intended effect of binding Ukraine inexorably to Russia, \"Eternally Together\",\" as a poster commemorating the event of 1954 proclaimed.\n\nThe transfer increased the ethnic Russian population of Ukraine by almost a million people. Prominent Russian politicians considered the transfer to be controversial to say the least. \n\nIn January 1992, the Supreme Soviet of Russia questioned the constitutionality of the transfer, accusing Nikita Khrushchev of treason against the Russian people and said that the transfer was illegitimate. However, in a 1997 treaty between the Russian Federation and Ukraine, Russia recognized Ukraine's borders, and accepted Ukraine's sovereignty over Crimea. By this time, nonetheless, the russification of the Crimean peninsula was almost complete after Stalin expulsed an important part of the Tatars (Turkic ethnic group) to Central Asia in 1944 and Ukrainians moving to Ukraine's mainland. \n\nTo complicate things further, Sevastopol, the biggest city in Crimea and headquarters of the Russian Naval Fleet of the Black Sea, the Sea of Amov and the Mediterranean Sea since the 17th century (1696), as of 2014 allocating naval and amphibious warfare, 25k's servicemen, 53 warships and 6 submarines, was left in a legal limbo. There was confusion about the status of Sevastopol and whether it was a part of the transfer as it had a degree of independence from the Crimean Oblast and never formally ratified, although it was later mentioned as Ukrainian territory in the Soviet Constitution and the Belavezha Accords (agreement that declared the Soviet Union as effectively ceasing to exist and established the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) as its successor.\n\nIt was after all these vicissitudes that Ukraine became in 1991 a real subject of international relations.\n\nThe post-Soviet aftermath: \n\nFollowing its independence, the Ukraine declared itself a neutral state and it formed a limited military partnership with Russia while also establishing a partnership with NATO in 1994. \n\nViktor Yanukovich was elected the fourth president of Ukraine on 7 February 2010 for the period 2010-2015. Yanukovych gained the second round with the 49 percent of the vote against the 45 of her rival Yulia Tymoshenko. He served as President until his removal from power in February 2014 as a result of the 2014 Ukrainian color revolution. During his mandate he sought a closer relationship with the EU in return for loans and intended to enter the Union but postponed it. The measure was interpreted as a back out by his opponents and led to a wave of protests which came to be known as Euromaiden. The initial student's manifestations were rapidly replaced by \nWashington's meddling in Ukraine's internal affairs supporting far right Ukranian neo-nazi paramilitary forces. The stakes there couldn't be higher: In a rapid succession of facts it seemed possible for Washington to take Ukraine out of the Russian sphere. Not only that, there was a real possibility of taking Crimea and Sevastopol's Russian Naval Black Sea Fleet out from Russia. Wet dreams for the West. \n\nThe status of the Sevastopol's Russian Naval Base after the dissolution of the Soviet Union\n\nAfter the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the claim of the Russian Navy for use of the naval base was logically lost. The soil was then under Ukranian sovereignty. As regulated by the Partition Treaty on the Black Sea Fleet signed in 1994, Russia maintained the right to use the Port of Sevastopol for 20 years until 2017. In 2010, the sign of the Kharkov Pact between Ukraine's president Viktor Yanukovich and Russia's Dimitry Medvenev, extended the lease until 2042 in exchange of cheap Russian natural gas for the decades to come. The pact aroused much controversy in Ukraine. The controversy by the pro-Western forces in Ukraine proved crucial for the events to come. \n\nWhat the lost of Crimea and Sevastopol would have meant for the Russian soul\n\nAs established above, Sevastopol has been the flagship port of the Imperial Russian Navy since the 17th century (1696). Russia is a massive landmass, it covers 11 time zones and 17 million km2 (6.6 million square mi). It's a well unified-ethnic country, counting 81 percent of ethnic Russians and 19 percent of many others, being the Tatars the major minority counting for 3.7 percent. In all, 160 different other ethnic groups and indigenous peoples live within its borders. 77 percent of ethnic Russians (113 million out of 147) live and work in European Russia.\n\nNonetheless, despite that huge massland, Russia is almost land-locked as it lacks of a wide access to the open seas and the exterior world. They've got a quite narrow access to the Baltic Sea via Saint Petesbourg but need to traverse close to Finnish, Estonian, Latvian Lithuanian, Swedish and Danish territorial waters before navigating the open seas of the Atlantic Ocean. On the south flank, Russian vessels need to navigate the Black Sea and cross NATO's Turkey straits of Bosphorus and Dardanelles before reaching the Mediterranean Sea and its pleiad of connections towards southern Europe, North Africa and the Red Sea towards the Arabian Peninsula and the Indian Ocean. They do have a good part of the Caspian Sea which connects well with the former muslim Soviet republics of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, and Iran, from where Russian frigates launched their initial attacks on ISIS head-choppers forces in Syria in 2015. But that's another story I'll talk about later on. Russian Far East port Vladivostok is the less busy traffic lane for Russia's access to the open seas and it will be of higher importance in the years to come. And last but not least is the Arctic route, a lane of future connections between the Asian (China, Japan, South Korea) manufacture hubs towards the northern European markets of Scandinavia and Germany, Netherlands and Denmark. But the same, these are futuristic routes.\n\nOther than that, Russia is basically a land-locked country. In there lies what for the Russians were to be kicked-out from Crimea and Sevastopol for NATO. Not only a historic offense but a geostrategic declaration of war. It was not going to happen. \n\nThe Ukranian coup carried on by neo-Nazi Western forces\n\nTensions rose until the situation was untenable and Yanukovych not only fled to Russia but was actually rescued by the Russian military when a price was held upon his head the way it used to be in the American old west. The order to get him killed was already given when Russian forces rescued him out of Ukraine when he went back after he was ousted from office. \n\nProtests against the color pro-Western coup occurred in Rusian populated southern Ukraine (Zacarpattia, Odessa, Crimea) and eastern regions (Donbass and Lugansk), where Yanukovich received the strongest support in the 2010 presidential election. Everything happened vertiginously in a few days. The Obama administration blundered and wanted to take it all instead of waiting the next presidential election in less than a year and then take it. But no, Victoria Nuland, assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian Affaires (whatever that means in the American lexico mixing Europe with Asia), was caught on YouTube saying \"Nuck* Europe, Poroshenko is our guy!\"\n\nA parenthesis in here is necessary. Having a high level American officer saying \"Nuck Europe*, Poroshenko is our guy\". How do you call that? Meddling in internal affairs of another state? Does that sounds similar to a recent scandal in the near past?\n\nAnyway, that phrase was caught in YouTube said by who? Victoria Nuland herself. She said she wanted Poroshenko to be the next Ukranian president. And guessed what? It happened! Meddling in someone else's internal affairs? Nah!\n\nAnyway, there was someone putting attention in Moscow, and he said 'Nah', it won't happen!\n\nA few days after, this same person organised a referendum in Crimea whether the Crimeans wanted to become Europeanised or Russianised. Of course, the Russian Crimeans voted 96.77 percent to be Russianised with an 83.1 percent voter turnout. End of the story! \n\n77 percent of Crimeans and 94% of Sevastopolians are native speakers of Russian. That was the result of the referendum. Was it quick? Yes. Was it legal? Yes (83.1 percent of the Crimeans endorsed it). Was it patronized by the Kremlin when they found Crimea in the hands of NATO? Yes. Was it illegal? No. \n\nDonald Trump said it when he said during his presidential campaign: \"I'd give up Crimea to the Russians\".",
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      "body": "Everyone says no one wants war with Iran but provocations are escalating in number and severity. The reasons for not going to war refer to that of Iran's military power, a might long time acquired by the Persian state since the 1979 Revolution. Ever since, Iran's been preparing against a Western intervention. \n\nMilitary pundits of all around the globe are certain that Iran's military will be not only a hard bone to crack but, had an all out war sparks, the possibility of oil disruption out of the Persian gulf - from where 35 percent of the world's seaborne oil transits through the Strait of Hormuz- will endanger the energy supply chains of Asia and Europe.\n\nWhile it's true that the whole mess spiked when Washinghton unilaterally withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal in May 2018, the current situation escalated to a point of no return when the Brits seized the Grace-1 Iranian tanker in a reckless piracy-style bravado ordered by White Hall. This was indeed the act that can spiral things out of control and detonate the war that everyone says don't want. \n\nMany can argue that the al-Fujeira sabotage in UAE, the drone attacks on Aramco pumping stations in Saudi Arabia, the Japanese tanker damaged while crossing the Gulf of Oman - being real or false-flagged provocations -, or even the Iranian downing of an American state-of-the-art RQ-4A Global Hawk surveillance dron with alleged stealth capabilities, have also contributed to the current bottleneck and certainly they did, however, the spark that ignited the point of no return was May's seize of the Iranian tanker, fact that obliged Tehran to pay in kind seizing the British Stena Impero tanker while navigating the Strait of Hormuz. \n\nThe hands that are bounding the world to this reckless quagmire are those talking peace but gunpointing at Iran's temple at once. \n\nSun Tzu in the Art of War said - 'When you surround an army leave an outlet free' - meaning that a surrounded army with no way out will fight to the last soldier as they know dead so won't hesitate in inflicting the greatest damage to its opponent. 'The last soldier' in this situation means the destruction of hundreds of oil wells throughout the Middle East and the partial disruption of the Hormuz strait - where 15 oil tankers in average - from Irak, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE - navigate the strait each day through only two wide very narrow nautical miles shipping lanes in either direction. A rather complicated passage to defend that Iran won't hesitate to ignite if pushed to war. \n\nThe Iranian seize of the British-flagged tanker gained momentum to the international coalition Washington and London attempt to form. Great Britain has added gunpowder to the Persian tinderbox by deploying the HMS Duncan destroyer joining the HMS Montrose frigate in the gulf. At the same time, Germany, France, Italy, and Denmark have reportedly expressed interest in the British plan while Washington has found echo with traditional allies like Australia, New Zealand, and others. This will only carry on more gunpowder to an already explosive situation and if the so-called coalition moves forward then will be just a question of time for someone shoots his foot for hostilities to spark. And in that case-scenario the unthinkable may happen. History has plenty of examples of wars sparking for less than that.\n\nWhen the Iranians shot the American dron Trump and he decided not to retaliate he twitted: \"I have some hawks. John Bolton is absolutely a hawk. If it was up to him he'd take on the whole world at one time\" His remark proved that he's still in command of the American army. Let's hope he won't be dragged to a quagmire of incalculable consequences by those sinister interests in Capitol Hill, Downing street, and Beit Aghion.\n\nThe stakes are massive. The U.S. global unilateralism is in tatters and its predominance passes through the submission of Iran, North Korea, Russia and China. The latter two in process of expansion-allignation in a time when everything shows the U.S. is overextending its means and capabilities. The U.S. is at war against China in the South China Sea and Taiwan, against Russia in Ukraine, Syria, and against Russia and China all together in Iran, North Korea and Venezuela. Each day that passes by with so many open fronts is an invitation for a spark to ignite. \n\nWill gambler Donald Trump be dragged to a hot war or will he be able to circumvent the warmongers around him. We'll know it soon.!\n\nIn the meantime we also have to be certain that neither Russia or China will remain passive to what happens in the region. For Russia, Iran is a strategic ally in the region, they have been battling ISIS and the U.S., U.K., and Israel 'moderate' terrorists in their war against the secular government in Syria. Hence, the Persian government is guarantee that Iran won't turn into another puppet petro monarchy at the service of the U.S. For China, Iran represents not only a key supplier of oil strongly needed by the Chinese to feed their economy but a major hub for the Chinese BRI, the pillar of the whole Chinese foreign policy, economy and trade.\nWithout an independent Iran, the BRI will find a bottleneck impossible to bypass but through Russia when the Chinese aim is to diversify connections to the European markets through the Arctic, Russia, the Middle East as a whole and the Malacca straits - the current and unique Chinese trade connection to Central Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Europe.\n\nIt's still unclear how far both powers will go to keep the Iranian economy afloat and able to resist the 'maximum pressure' the U.S. is imposing on the Persian state but the recent surveillance flight of two Russian Tu-95 strategic bombers and two Chinese H-6 bombers backed up by a Russian A-50 early warning plane and its Chinese counterpart, a KJ-2000, marks a notable ramping-up of military cooperation between Beijing and Moscow. Indeed, that happened thousand of kilometers away from the Persian Gulf theatre but signals that the strategic Sino-Russian non-alliance is deepening on a daily basis.\n\nHence, Russia's support to Iran will come up from the unaltered Caspian sea-passage that both share while China's tankers are unlikely to be harassed by Western navies. \n\nIraq can be as well a major support for Iran not to succumb economically as they recently reopened a cross-border with the Persian state providing Iran with a corridor throughout Irak, Syria and Lebanon, three states that will play an essential role to feed the Iranian economy out of starvation. Turkey, in wedges with the U.S. since the failed coup d'état in 2016 and in queue to be sanctioned by the U.S. Congress on the purchase of Russian-made S-400 anti-missile system, shares a 500 km border with Iran which Turkey is likely to use as a bargain chip against the U.S. Legally or illegally the passage will be used to trade with Iran for oil at a discount price, a well known practice Erdogan knows pretty well.\n\nAs Gandalf the White said before the Minas Tirith battle in The Lord of the Rings: 'The battle of Minas Tirith - Iran - will decide the fate of our times.\n\n\n[Screenshot_20190729-234624_Samsung Internet.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYbJForLQPq7tY3hePdVzgFDUCpcomDy9E3eBu3n2Gq8x/Screenshot_20190729-234624_Samsung%20Internet.jpg)",
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      "body": "Everyone says no one wants war with Iran but provocations are escalating in number and severity. The reasons for not going to war refer to that of Iran's military power, a might long time acquired by the Persian state since the 1979 Revolution. Ever since, Iran's been preparing against a Western intervention. \n\nMilitary pundits of all around the globe are certain that Iran's military will be not only a hard bone to crack but, had an all out war sparks, the possibility of oil disruption out of the Persian gulf - from where 35 percent of the world's seaborne oil transits through the Strait of Hormuz- will endanger the energy supply chains of Asia and Europe.\n\nWhile it's true that the whole mess spiked when Washinghton unilaterally withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal in May 2018, the current situation escalated to a point of no return when the Brits seized the Grace-1 Iranian tanker in a reckless piracy-style bravado ordered by White Hall. This was indeed the act that can spiral things out of control and detonate the war that everyone says don't want. \n\nMany can argue that the al-Fujeira sabotage in UAE, the drone attacks on Aramco pumping stations in Saudi Arabia, the Japanese tanker damaged while crossing the Gulf of Oman - being real or false-flagged provocations -, or even the Iranian downing of an American state-of-the-art RQ-4A Global Hawk surveillance dron with alleged stealth capabilities, have also contributed to the current bottleneck and certainly they did, however, the spark that ignited the point of no return was May's seize of the Iranian tanker, fact that obliged Tehran to pay in kind seizing the British Stena Impero tanker while navigating the Strait of Hormuz. \n\nThe hands that are bounding the world to this reckless quagmire are those talking peace but gunpointing at Iran's temple at once. \n\nSun Tzu in the Art of War said - 'When you surround an army leave an outlet free' - meaning that a surrounded army with no way out will fight to the last soldier as they know dead so won't hesitate in inflicting the greatest damage to its opponent. 'The last soldier' in this situation means the destruction of hundreds of oil wells throughout the Middle East and the partial disruption of the Hormuz strait - where 15 oil tankers in average - from Irak, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE - navigate the strait each day through only two wide very narrow nautical miles shipping lanes in either direction. A rather complicated passage to defend that Iran won't hesitate to ignite if pushed to war. \n\nThe Iranian seize of the British-flagged tanker gained momentum to the international coalition Washington and London attempt to form. Great Britain has added gunpowder to the Persian tinderbox by deploying the HMS Duncan destroyer joining the HMS Montrose frigate in the gulf. At the same time, Germany, France, Italy, and Denmark have reportedly expressed interest in the British plan while Washington has found echo with traditional allies like Australia, New Zealand, and others. This will only carry on more gunpowder to an already explosive situation and if the so-called coalition moves forward then will be just a question of time for someone shoots his foot for hostilities to spark. And in that case-scenario the unthinkable may happen. History has plenty of examples of wars sparking for less than that.\n\nWhen the Iranians shot the American dron Trump and he decided not to retaliate he twitted: \"I have some hawks. John Bolton is absolutely a hawk. If it was up to him he'd take on the whole world at one time\" His remark proved that he's still in command of the American army. Let's hope he won't be dragged to a quagmire of incalculable consequences by those sinister interests in Capitol Hill, Downing street, and Beit Aghion.\n\nThe stakes are massive. The U.S. global unilateralism is in tatters and its predominance passes through the submission of Iran, North Korea, Russia and China. The latter two in process of expansion-allignation in a time when everything shows the U.S. is overextending its means and capabilities. The U.S. is at war against China in the South China Sea and Taiwan, against Russia in Ukraine, Syria, and against Russia and China all together in Iran, North Korea and Venezuela. Each day that passes by with so many open fronts is an invitation for a spark to ignite. \n\nWill gambler Donald Trump be dragged to a hot war or will he be able to circumvent the warmongers around him. We'll know it soon.!\n\nIn the meantime we also have to be certain that neither Russia or China will remain passive to what happens in the region. For Russia, Iran is a strategic ally in the region, they have been battling ISIS and the U.S., U.K., and Israel 'moderate' terrorists in their war against the secular government in Syria. Hence, the Persian government is guarantee that Iran won't turn into another puppet petro monarchy at the service of the U.S. For China, Iran represents not only a key supplier of oil strongly needed by the Chinese to feed their economy but a major hub for the Chinese BRI, the pillar of the whole Chinese foreign policy, economy and trade.\nWithout an independent Iran, the BRI will find a bottleneck impossible to bypass but through Russia when the Chinese aim is to diversify connections to the European markets through the Arctic, Russia, the Middle East as a whole and the Malacca straits - the current and unique Chinese trade connection to Central Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Europe.\n\nIt's still unclear how far both powers will go to keep the Iranian economy afloat and able to resist the 'maximum pressure' the U.S. is imposing on the Persian state but the recent surveillance flight of two Russian Tu-95 strategic bombers and two Chinese H-6 bombers backed up by a Russian A-50 early warning plane and its Chinese counterpart, a KJ-2000, marks a notable ramping-up of military cooperation between Beijing and Moscow. Indeed, that happened thousand of kilometers away from the Persian Gulf theatre but signals that the strategic Sino-Russian non-alliance is deepening on a daily basis.\n\nHence, Russia's support to Iran will come up from the unaltered Caspian sea-passage that both share while China's tankers are unlikely to be harassed by Western navies. \n\nIraq can be as well a major support for Iran not to succumb economically as they recently reopened a cross-border with the Persian state providing Iran with a corridor throughout Irak, Syria and Lebanon, three states that will play an essential role to feed the Iranian economy out of starvation. Turkey, in wedges with the U.S. since the failed coup d'état in 2016 and in queue to be sanctioned by the U.S. Congress on the purchase of Russian-made S-400 anti-missile system, shares a 500 km border with Iran which Turkey is likely to use as a bargain chip against the U.S. Legally or illegally the passage will be used to trade with Iran for oil at a discount price, a well known practice Erdogan knows pretty well.\n\nAs Gandalf the White said before the Minas Tirith battle in The Lord of the Rings: 'The battle of Minas Tirith - Iran - will decide the fate of our times.\n\n\n[Screenshot_20190729-234624_Samsung Internet.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYbJForLQPq7tY3hePdVzgFDUCpcomDy9E3eBu3n2Gq8x/Screenshot_20190729-234624_Samsung%20Internet.jpg)",
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      "body": "Everyone says no one wants war with Iran but provocations are escalating in number and severity. The reasons for not going to war refer to that of Iran's military power, a might long time acquired by the Persian state since the 1979 Revolution. Ever since, Iran's been preparing against a Western intervention. \n\nMilitary pundits of all around the globe are certain that Iran's military will be not only a hard bone to crack but, had an all out war sparks, the possibility of oil disruption out of the Persian gulf - from where 35 percent of the world's seaborne oil transits through the Strait of Hormuz- will endanger the energy supply chains of Asia and Europe.\n\nWhile it's true that the whole mess spiked when Washinghton unilaterally withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal in May 2018, the current situation escalated to a point of no return when the Brits seized the Grace-1 Iranian tanker in a reckless piracy-style bravado ordered by White Hall. This was indeed the act that can spiral things out of control and detonate the war that everyone says don't want. \n\nMany can argue that the al-Fujeira sabotage in UAE, the drone attacks on Aramco pumping stations in Saudi Arabia, the Japanese tanker damaged while crossing the Gulf of Oman - being real or false-flagged provocations -, or even the Iranian downing of an American state-of-the-art RQ-4A Global Hawk surveillance dron with alleged stealth capabilities, have also contributed to the current bottleneck and certainly they did, however, the spark that ignited the point of no return was May's seize of the Iranian tanker, fact that obliged Tehran to pay in kind seizing the British Stena Impero tanker while navigating the Strait of Hormuz. \n\nThe hands that are bounding the world to this reckless quagmire are those talking peace but gunpointing at Iran's temple at once. \n\nSun Tzu in the Art of War said - 'When you surround an army leave an outlet free' - meaning that a surrounded army with no way out will fight to the last soldier as they know dead so won't hesitate in inflicting the greatest damage to its opponent. 'The last soldier' in this situation means the destruction of hundreds of oil wells throughout the Middle East and the partial disruption of the Hormuz strait - where 15 oil tankers in average - from Irak, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE - navigate the strait each day through only two wide very narrow nautical miles shipping lanes in either direction. A rather complicated passage to defend that Iran won't hesitate to ignite if pushed to war. \n\nThe Iranian seize of the British-flagged tanker gained momentum to the international coalition Washington and London attempt to form. Great Britain has added gunpowder to the Persian tinderbox by deploying the HMS Duncan destroyer joining the HMS Montrose frigate in the gulf. At the same time, Germany, France, Italy, and Denmark have reportedly expressed interest in the British plan while Washington has found echo with traditional allies like Australia, New Zealand, and others. This will only carry on more gunpowder to an already explosive situation and if the so-called coalition moves forward then will be just a question of time for someone shoots his foot for hostilities to spark. And in that case-scenario the unthinkable may happen. History has plenty of examples of wars sparking for less than that.\n\nWhen the Iranians shot the American dron Trump and he decided not to retaliate he twitted: \"I have some hawks. John Bolton is absolutely a hawk. If it was up to him he'd take on the whole world at one time\" His remark proved that he's still in command of the American army. Let's hope he won't be dragged to a quagmire of incalculable consequences by those sinister interests in Capitol Hill, Downing street, and Beit Aghion.\n\nThe stakes are massive. The U.S. global unilateralism is in tatters and its predominance passes through the submission of Iran, North Korea, Russia and China. The latter two in process of expansion-allignation in a time when everything shows the U.S. is overextending its means and capabilities. The U.S. is at war against China in the South China Sea and Taiwan, against Russia in Ukraine, Syria, and against Russia and China all together in Iran, North Korea and Venezuela. Each day that passes by with so many open fronts is an invitation for a spark to ignite. \n\nWill gambler Donald Trump be dragged to a hot war or will he be able to circumvent the warmongers around him. We'll know it soon.![Screenshot_20190729-234624_Samsung Internet.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYbJForLQPq7tY3hePdVzgFDUCpcomDy9E3eBu3n2Gq8x/Screenshot_20190729-234624_Samsung%20Internet.jpg)",
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      "body": "Congratulations @klkn-geopolitics! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@klkn-geopolitics/birthday1.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 1 year!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@klkn-geopolitics) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](http://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=klkn-geopolitics)_</sub>\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/3-years-on-steem-happy-birthday-the-distribution-of-commemorative-badges-has-begun\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://u.cubeupload.com/arcange/BG6u6k.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/3-years-on-steem-happy-birthday-the-distribution-of-commemorative-badges-has-begun\">3 years on Steem - The distribution of commemorative badges has begun!</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/happy-birthday-the-steem-blockchain-is-running-for-3-years\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://u.cubeupload.com/arcange/BG6u6k.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/happy-birthday-the-steem-blockchain-is-running-for-3-years\">Happy Birthday! The Steem blockchain is running for 3 years.</a></td></tr></table>\n\n> You can upvote this notification to help all Steem users. Learn how [here](https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/http-i-cubeupload-com-7ciqeo-png)!",
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      "body": "@klkn-geopolitics, thank you for supporting @steemitboard as a witness.\n\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/supportboard.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@klkn-geopolitics) Here is a small present to show our gratitude\n<sub>_Click on the badge to view your Board of Honor._</sub>\n\nOnce again, thanks for your support!\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/carnival/@steemitboard/carnival-2019\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://i.cubeupload.com/rltzHT.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/carnival/@steemitboard/carnival-2019\">Carnival Challenge - Collect badge and win 5 STEEM</a></td></tr></table>",
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      "author": "gregorypatrick",
      "body": "With a feud this old it's hard to say what's going to be what ends it forever.\n\nPosted using [Partiko Android](https://steemit.com/@partiko-android)",
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      "body": "Good article. All in all, fortunately, these skirmishes between the two countries are almost tradition between them. What it took me by surprise was the release of the Indian pilot by the Pakistani PM. Good move there to ease tensions",
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      "body": "The current situation in Venezuela needs to be analysed within the frame of the ‘Monroe Doctrine’ that imposes the unilateral control of Latin America by the U.S. The ‘Monroe Doctrine’ goes far beyond a policy of opposing European colonialism in the Americas. It’s, in the facts, a political and military occupation over the Latin American landmass where national government are forbidden to contravene key political or trading interests of Washington in the region and for external global powers to intervene in the area so the U.S. can exert its influence undisturbed.\n \nThe so-called cohort of leftist governments that ruled Latin America from the last part of the Clinton administration to the end of the Obama’s regime in 2017 – when the U.S. concentrated in the war against terrorism, the support of regime change operations in former Yugoslavia, North Africa and the Middle East, and in counteracting Russia in the Ukraine and Syria, and China in the Asia-Pacific – was the region’s ‘golden age’ for the progressive governments that came into power in South America. For first time in nearly 200 years – the Monroe Doctrine was issued in 1823 – the subcontinent was set momentously free of regime change operations, coups and violent far right operations sponsored by the CIA and the local oligarchs.\n \nHowever, the party didn’t take long. After a decade or so the progressive governments of the area starting to fall down like a house of cards one after the other. From 2015 to 2017, during the last quarter of the Obama administration, the governments of Cristina Kirchner (Argentina), Bilma Roussef (Brazil) –  the economical locomotives of Mercosur – and Rafael Correa (Ecuador), one of the brains of the South American integration process, felt to give birth to a renovated wave of far right leaders that took over under suspicious allegations of corruption supported by the U.S. Once again the clock of History went back in South America into what it looks to be a renascence of the violent and corrupted oligarchs that have historically gained power from the hand of the CIA.\n \nWho is Juan Guaido?\n \nGuaido self-proclaimed on a street assembly interim President is not only comic but pathetic. Proportionally speaking, Napoleon did something similar once when taking the crown from the Pope's hands and self-proclaimed emperor of the French. Whereas Bonaparte was in front of the Pope and within Nôtre Dame's cathedral, Guaido did it on the street with the bless of a foreign power and its bunch of regional vassals camouflaged by the Organisation of American States, a U.S. led institution specialised in meddling in other countries affairs and backing coups. The fact that\nGuaido travelled to Washington in December-January and that almost all Latin American nations did not last in supporting the coup by recognising Guaido overnight, is proof that the coup is U.S. made and that the objective is to impose an ad hoc pro-American puppet government for serving not democracy, no human rights, no free speech but the interests of the American corporations and, at the same time, kicking the Russians and the Chinese out of Latin America.\n \nJuan Guaido is a character that belongs to the most violent Venezuelan far right. He participated in the violent riots against the government in 2007, 2014 and 2017. He did some post-graduate studies at the George Washington University in DC, home of some of the most macabre American ‘deep state’ high rank officials: Allen Dulles(CIA director 1953-1961), J. Edgar Hoover (1924-1972), Colin Powell (Secretary of State during second American invasion to Irak) and nuclear physician Edward Teller (creator of the hydrogen bomb). With such an education baggage it's not hard to figure out to what interests this person will serve if the underway coup fructifies. Guaido's only legitimacy is that of Bolsonaro's in Brazil, Duque in Colombia or Macri in Argentina: Local oligarchs aligned to Washington’s deep state for political, economical, diplomatic, propaganda and military support, a colour revolution now being carried in the Americas.\n \nMaduro's allies and foes\n \nSo far Maduro's allies at a domestic level are the provinces executives, the judiciary power, the electoral commission, the army's high command, and an important part of the Venezuelan people. At the international stage, China, Russia, NATO's Turkey, Iran, Mexico, Uruguay, Bolivia, Cuba and few others still recognise Maduro as president. Mexico and Uruguay have offered to mediate between Maduro's government and Guaido's opposition with the latter refusing.\n \nIn practical terms neither China or Russia have the necessary leverage to modify the outcome of what will happen next in Venezuela. From a global point of view the Venezuelan putsch has to be seen as the ultimate operation theatre in the American war against China and Russia. In that way the American wars against Russia in the Ukraine and Syria and against China in Taiwan and the South China Sea, have adopted a new more ad hoc theatre for the empire: it's back yard. Venezuela is too far from China or Russia to provide real help. Their leverage there is tiny and militarily speaking neither Russia or China have military bases in the nearby whereas the U.S. has plenty in Colombia, Puerto Rico, Cuba, Peru and Ecuador, with pro-american governments in Colombia and Brazil (bordering Venezuela), backed up by Argentina, Ecuador and Peru surrounding and suffocating Venezuela in each direction. Something is certain, if the shots commence no-one will put his hand in fire for Venezuela. Russia and China may provide diplomatic support and the attempt to break up the imminent full scope economic, financial and commercial blockade that Washington will set up if Maduro doesn’t resigns and leave, but the truth is that the leverage that Russia and China have there is minimum. \nHow far the U.S. is willing to go in Venezuela? Everything indicates that far enough to depose Maduro. I personally don't think the U.S. will go to a direct invasion of Venezuela, a military intervention is hard to sell and many times highly unpopular. I rather see an operation type Juan Antonio Noriega in Panama in 1989 when American special forces kidnapped then Panamanian strong man and imprisoned him in Guantanamo.\n \nThe only uncertainty in here is whether the U.S. will go for a rapid \"solution\" - the kidnapping or assassination of Maduro - or if they go for the long route: the economic annihilation of Maduro's regime and the starving of his population.\n \nBlatantly said, Latin America is as of today the last region in the world where the U.S. leverage is still unrivalled by the other two big powers. Neither China or Russia can do much but mourning on whatever the U.S. can do in Venezuela.\nWhat is alarmingly disturbing is the way WAR can unify the whole American society. Once someone calls for the shots in a third country the rest clap in fervent “patriotism”.",
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      "body": "@@ -156,25 +156,22 @@\n merican \n-statement\n+remark\n  of with\n@@ -181,19 +181,8 @@\n wing\n- the treaty\n , th\n@@ -198,20 +198,18 @@\n dynamic \n-from\n+in\n  Moscow \n@@ -286,15 +286,12 @@\n y sa\n-yings o\n+id i\n n la\n@@ -459,16 +459,17 @@\n s before\n+,\n  Putin%E2%80%99s\n@@ -483,19 +483,17 @@\n f said o\n-ver\n+n\n  the pos\n@@ -520,17 +520,17 @@\n eing str\n-i\n+o\n ked by a\n@@ -809,22 +809,21 @@\n  before \n-of \n the\n+ir\n  Russian\n@@ -827,27 +827,42 @@\n ian \n-war state\n+counterparts com\n ment\n-s,\n+ed\n  on \n+war, in \n Sept\n@@ -958,16 +958,32 @@\n ockade (\n+does that meant \n impeding\n@@ -1084,17 +1084,17 @@\n e week, \n-o\n+i\n n Octobe\n@@ -1356,17 +1356,16 @@\n  been vi\n-s\n ciously \n@@ -1863,16 +1863,25 @@\n are two \n+possible \n theatre \n@@ -1941,33 +1941,8 @@\n ssia\n- as a %E2%80%98revisionist%E2%80%99 state\n : Th\n@@ -2000,17 +2000,17 @@\n kraine, \n-o\n+i\n n Russia\n@@ -2027,18 +2027,17 @@\n  border.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n Even if \n@@ -2217,37 +2217,21 @@\n bia \n-in and, possibly, even\n+and\n  Israel\n+ in\n , se\n@@ -2513,22 +2513,30 @@\n ger \n+a \n possib\n-le, leav\n+ility, abandon\n ing \n@@ -2632,16 +2632,20 @@\n drained \n+out \n a trilli\n@@ -2686,17 +2686,34 @@\n ayers.%0A%0A\n-T\n+On the contrary, t\n he most \n@@ -2777,18 +2777,23 @@\n  Russia \n-is\n+will be\n , theref\n@@ -3062,17 +3062,16 @@\n war rhet\n-h\n oric is \n@@ -3364,15 +3364,21 @@\n nto \n-account\n+consideration\n  tha\n@@ -3468,19 +3468,16 @@\n  signifi\n-cat\n es that \n@@ -3557,16 +3557,18 @@\n s of the\n+ir\n  militar\n@@ -3613,35 +3613,33 @@\n gic \n-the U.S. wants for\n+as against the\n  Russia\n+ns,\n  \n-(\n to s\n@@ -3778,13 +3778,17 @@\n orld\n-)\n , \n-is\n+will be\n  the\n@@ -3963,22 +3963,31 @@\n rld.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n For \n-doing so\n+accomplishing that\n , th\n@@ -4122,17 +4122,19 @@\n merica h\n-a\n+old\n s under \n@@ -4471,15 +4471,8 @@\n igh \n-decent \n rela\n@@ -4558,21 +4558,16 @@\n e, that \n-good \n momentum\n@@ -4571,17 +4571,16 @@\n tum can \n- \n be broke\n@@ -4634,24 +4634,27 @@\n le with, is \n+by \n playing the \n@@ -4705,17 +4705,16 @@\n h Taiwan\n-,\n  Washing\n@@ -5170,48 +5170,22 @@\n ill \n-enter the conflict on the Taiwanese side\n+support Taiwan\n .%0A%0AO\n@@ -5597,18 +5597,17 @@\n lutions.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n In both \n@@ -6156,19 +6156,16 @@\n p-state \n-is \n %E2%80%9Cfeels c\n@@ -6700,16 +6700,17 @@\n  histori\n+c\n al adver\n@@ -6905,16 +6905,17 @@\n  neighbo\n+u\n rs).%0A%0APr\n@@ -7439,14 +7439,8 @@\n  did\n-n%E2%80%99t do\n  not\n@@ -7524,16 +7524,17 @@\n cond geo\n+-\n economic\n@@ -7553,18 +7553,17 @@\n e world.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n If Secur\n@@ -7615,29 +7615,16 @@\n was the \n-Geopolitical \n genius b\n@@ -7768,26 +7768,23 @@\n ump \n-potentialize\n+reinforced\n  it!\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n Not \n@@ -7876,18 +7876,17 @@\n nce WW2.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n Thus, th\n@@ -7994,17 +7994,16 @@\n with eno\n-u\n rmous su\n@@ -8150,17 +8150,16 @@\n nificant\n-s\n  are:%0A%0A-\n@@ -8495,19 +8495,16 @@\n an soil%0A\n- %0A%0A\n - Trump'\n@@ -8545,17 +8545,16 @@\n o fulfil\n-l\n  the 2%25 \n@@ -8625,18 +8625,16 @@\n s threat\n-en\n s of san\n@@ -8797,17 +8797,16 @@\n l fulfil\n-l\n  Europe%E2%80%99\n@@ -8982,18 +8982,16 @@\n donesia%0A\n- %0A\n That bei\n@@ -9071,19 +9071,28 @@\n  with a \n-big\n+considerable\n  part of\n@@ -9104,23 +9104,8 @@\n nity\n- in this planet\n . %0A%0A\n@@ -9370,17 +9370,17 @@\n l them h\n-i\n+y\n sterical\n@@ -9447,18 +9447,17 @@\n  Poland.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n It hasn'\n@@ -9556,19 +9556,18 @@\n intains \n-th\n i\n+t\n s collis\n@@ -9646,19 +9646,16 @@\n xist\n-a\n+e\n nce \n-remain\n+lie\n s in\n@@ -9740,19 +9740,66 @@\n alliance\n-.%0A%0A\n+ (natural next step in a world full of conflict). \n It goes \n@@ -9904,24 +9904,17 @@\n rom \n-against \n the U.S.\n+,\n  wil\n@@ -9981,16 +9981,8 @@\n ite \n-%E2%80%9Cpariah%E2%80%9D\n stat\n@@ -10022,16 +10022,17 @@\n  adviser\n+,\n  John Bo\n@@ -10035,16 +10035,17 @@\n n Bolton\n+,\n  harshly\n@@ -10175,19 +10175,17 @@\n alli\n-l\n ance w\n-ould\n+ill\n  be \n@@ -10301,16 +10301,20 @@\n ars for \n+new \n weaponry\n@@ -10336,24 +10336,59 @@\n d ma\n-nufacturing able\n+ss production manufacturing that will enable Russia\n  to \n@@ -10516,16 +10516,118 @@\n weaponry\n+ and would be capable to nullify American air superiority in case of a hot war in the South China Sea \n . And fo\n@@ -10649,16 +10649,19 @@\n s, such \n+an \n alliance\n@@ -10717,26 +10717,15 @@\n ng m\n-anufacturing a war\n+eddling\n  aga\n@@ -10729,19 +10729,20 @@\n against \n-any\n+each\n  of them\n@@ -10742,18 +10742,17 @@\n of them.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n At the s\n@@ -10910,17 +10910,17 @@\n d from i\n-t\n+n\n  letting\n@@ -10946,16 +10946,20 @@\n r their \n+own \n protecti\n@@ -11002,28 +11002,30 @@\n nce \n-that will\n+Europe would be\n  force\n- them\n+d\n  to \n@@ -11036,22 +11036,29 @@\n icipate \n-harder\n+more actively\n  sacrifi\n@@ -11089,16 +11089,37 @@\n tandards\n+ of their populations\n . For th\n@@ -11173,16 +11173,17 @@\n ould dis\n+s\n eminate \n@@ -11400,19 +11400,17 @@\n ina Sea \n-and\n+/\n  Taiwan)\n@@ -11436,18 +11436,17 @@\n lutions.\n-%0A%0A\n+ \n The Russ\n@@ -11651,17 +11651,16 @@\n  a point\n-o\n  of no r\n@@ -12059,16 +12059,17 @@\n ce zone.\n+ \n %0A%0AFor mo\n",
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      "title": "The U.S. is begging for a military alliance between Russia, China: By Jorge Trevino"
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      "body": "@@ -119,18 +119,13 @@\n hat \n-has \n broke\n-n\n  the\n",
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      "title": "The U.S. is begging for a military alliance between Russia, China: By Jorge Trevino"
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      "body": "Russia:\n\nIt seems that the American withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) was the straw that has broken the glass. Ever since the American statement of withdrawing the treaty, the speech dynamic from Moscow has worsen to the point that Putin’s adviser, Andrei Belusov, ominously sayings on late October that “Yes, Russia is preparing for war, I have confirmed it” and “Russia is preparing for war, and the U.S. is preparing for war”. Moreover, a few days before Putin’s himself said over the possibility of Russia being striked by a nuclear aggression “The aggressor should know that retribution is inevitable... And they just die. Because even repent will have not time”.\n\nBut threatens are not exclusive of the Russian side; the U.S. took the lead on its warmonger momentum threatening Russia.  A month before of the Russian war statements, on September 28, U.S. Interior Secretary, Ryan Zinke, publicly threatened Russia with a naval blockade (impeding Russian vessels to navigate?) as an option to prevent Russia from selling its energy. The same week, on October 2, U.S. ambassador to NATO, Kay Bailey, threatened to “take out” Russian missiles (if that doesn’t mean a strike on Russian soil then what else can it be?) that Washington believes are in breach of the INF treaty.\n\nIf we put into context that Russia has been visciously attacked (through an eastward expansion of NATO since 2000, economic sanctions since the take over of Crimea in 2014, provocative and huge NATO military drills right on her borders (where the Tridant Venture drills happening right now carrying 40,000 NATO troops in the Baltic Sea) and with proxy wars in the Ukraine (with the U.S. selling offensive weaponry to the country) and Syria), then we can understand the Russian certainty that a NATO offensive against her is in the making.\n\nThere are two theatre of operations that pass through the destruction of Russia as a ‘revisionist’ state: The Syria-Iran conflict in the Middle East, and the Ukraine, on Russia’s western border.\n\nEven if the Syrian war has the potential to spread out to Iran, it’s still doubtful the U.S. will carry on in such an adventure because such war will likely expand pulling Saudi Arabia in and, possibly, even Israel, sending the oil price towards the stratosphere, something the Western economies can’t afford or stand, since that will compromise European supplies of oil. Additionally, Russia could simply step aside once it realises the conflict is out of control and that a winning is no longer possible, leaving the U.S. on his own trying to fix its own mess (a new version of the Iraki post-war that drained a trillion dollars from the American tax-payers.\n\nThe most likely theatre of operations for the upcoming war against Russia is, therefore, the Ukraine / the Baltic states / Poland, which will be the cannon fodder of the massacre. In these terms, the American crave of seeing Russia destroyed passes through a conflict Russia cannot avoid for simple national survival.\n\nChina:\n\nUnfortunately, the war rhethoric is not exclusive of the Russian and American sides. Chinese president has said recently that China is prepared for war in either the South China Sea or Taiwan, while a U.S. Military Times poll showed that half of American servicemen consider the U.S. will be at war next year. If we take into account that the servicemen are insiders within the American military-industrial complex, that significates that their opinion comes out from what they have heard and see within the walls of the military headquarters.\n\nFollowing the same logic the U.S. wants for Russia (to stick Russia in a war on its borders to exhaust her economy and bring her to collapse so the U.S. can maintain its control over the world), is the same recipe for China: To attract China into a war that distracts her from her unstoppable economic success that is challenging American economic supremacy over the world.\n\nFor doing so, the U.S. needs, following the same Russian parallel, to fabricate a proxy war in the South China Sea. And what are the aces that America has under its sleeve in the region? North Korea and Taiwan.\n\nThe North Korean matter has been in the freeze since the Singapore summit that gathered Trump and Kim Jung-un in June this year. Ever since, little has happened and Trump has let his South Korean counterpart to court Kim Jung-un gaining some good momentum reaching an all-times-high decent relations between the two Oriental countries. However, with Trump in the Oval Office, that good momentum can  be broken with a twit.\n\nWhat Trump looks more comfortable with, is playing the Taiwanese card. Knowing that by meddling with Taiwan, Washington can pull Beijing into a hot war with the land China considers nothing less but a Chinese rebel province. A conflict in the border between the South and East China Seas will definitely punish China right in the core of its vital trading routes. In a classic ‘carrot or stick’ policy, the U.S. is counting that in such scenario some South Pacific countries China has territorial disputes with (Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam), will enter the conflict on the Taiwanese side.\n\nOn the other hand, it is unlikely and would be reckless for any of those five countries to bite the trap and join such a madness mission if we consider that China is the major trade partner of all these nations. Nevertheless, the U.S. is playing its cards with the certainty that a big issue (China’s preponderance in the South China Sea that is also challenging the U.S. economic power) deserves bigger solutions.\n\nIn both cases – Russia and China – the U.S. current policy is sabotaging (no matter by what means) both countries success before is too late. The good news for America is that Russia and China don’t want war and are trying to avoid it through diplomacy, the one hasn’t been successful whatsoever since Trump assumed office two years ago. The bad news for America is that provocations are getting tougher day by day and that, eventually, the bear or the dragon, or both, can say enough is enough and call out the shots. The shots that the American deep-state is “feels certain” will never touch American soil.\n\nThe Sino-Russian special relationship, the U.S. sabotage of itself\n\nIt is obvious that the Sino-Russian special relation is inversely proportional to the U.S. multi-war form aggressiveness against the two regional powers. For each new wave of American acts of wars (aka sanctions by the UN) on Russia, China provides her with a new life guard to Russia in oil, gas or any other financial form of cooperation to keep Russia guarding China’s northern front (in the East it has Japan as its historial adversary, in the Southwest India, with whom it has territorial disputes over the Kashmir, and in the South it has the U.S., meddling in the South China Sea trying to create a wedge against its neighbors).\n\nPresidents Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping ties have grown exponentially since the Chinese took in office in 2012. The irony is that the all-time-high ties between the two former Communist adversaries were largely caused by Barack Obama's Geopolitics myopia of  pushing both big powers into a de facto alliance that can’t spell its name yet. Obama's personal despair for Russia and Putin, together with his 'Pivot to Asia' agenda trying to counter China in the South China Sea to corner it from its vital sea trade roads, didn’t do nothing but uniting the second Geopolitical and military world power with the second geoeconomic power of the world.\n\nIf Security Adviser to Richard Nixon Henry Kissinger was the Geopolitical genius behind the split of the Sino-Russian relationship in 1971 that enabled the U.S. to focus in countering the USSR, Obama reversed it, and Trump potentialize it!\n\nNot only that, in doing so, Trump also worsen the U.S. relations with its major allies since WW2.\n\nThus, the U.S., having being the master of the 'divide and rule' Geopolitics principle that provided America with enourmous successes for 50 years, has ended up isolating itself from the rest of the world. There are dozens of examples that show this but the most significants are:\n\n- The withdraw of the International Climate Treaty\n- The withdraw of the Iran nuclear deal - that put in tatters not only the oil supply of the EU and the world but threatens to burn the wick in the Middle East\n- The withdraw of the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) with Russia that endangers a nuclear war in European soil\n \n\n- Trump's pressures on his NATO “allies” to fulfill the 2% of their GDP expenditure in American weaponry contracts\n- Trump’s threatens of sanctions on some EU (Germany, France, the U.K., the Netherlands, Austria) members if they continue the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline that will fulfill Europe’s energy’s needs for the decades to come\n- Trump’s economic wars against Russia, China, the EU, Turkey, Canada, Mexico and warnings against India, the Philippines and Indonesia\n \nThat being said it is easy to understand who is the isolated and who is in wedges with a big part of humanity in this planet. \n\nIn sabotaging its own historical alliances with Western Europe (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands) and Turkey, Trump has improved ties with a bunch of countries of doubtful reputation: Saudi Arabia and Israel in the Middle East and the \"New Europeans\" (call them histerical anti-Russians) mini-bloc within the EU: The Baltic states + Poland.\n\nIt hasn't been on the news and nothing has been said on the media but if the Trump administration maintains this collision course it won't be long for Russia and China to realise that their existance remains in its political and economic association (already there) and a military formal alliance.\n\nIt goes beyond the goal of this article but other countries happy to unite and feel militarily protected from against the U.S. will be Syria, Iran, North Korea and of course, the new tripartite “pariah”states that Trump’s National Security adviser John Bolton harshly named as the new “axis of evil”: Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela.\n\nA Sino-Russian military alliance\n\nWithout any doubt such an allilance would be a game changer in international relations. From day one the Russian military will count with billions of dollars for weaponry development and manufacturing able to compete against NATO. From the Chinese side, China would be armed with state-of-the-art Russian nuclear and conventional weaponry. And for both countries, such alliance will make the West thinking thrice before deciding manufacturing a war against any of them.\n\nAt the same time, Europe will think harder if they are willing to drain their budgets on competing in an arm race not only against Russia, as they have profited from it letting the U.S. paying for their protection, but against a Sino-Russian alliance that will force them to participate harder sacrificing their nice living standards. For the U.S., challenging Russia and China together would diseminate its forces and will urge its tax-payers to pay more and live less. Extreme situations like the one we are in right now, in the verge of one or two major wars (against Russia in Europe, and China in the South China Sea and Taiwan) deserve radical solutions.\n\nThe Russian diplomacy has been overtaken against Obama’s and Trump’s imperial stances. The U.S. has been deaf to such efforts for so long now and everything is pointing at that Russia and China have come to a pointo of no return and are aware that they can’t expect different results by doing the same things. The paradigm of diplomacy, negotiations and treaties have been trashed by Obama and Trump. Perhaps we have arrived to the point where the only way to avoid war is preparing for war. Putin and Jinping’s recent remarks about conflagration and war preparedness make me think that we may have entered turbulence zone.\n\nFor more articles like this, join my Patreon community at:\n\nhttps://www.patreon.com/GeorgeTrevino",
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      "body": "Russia:\n\nIt seems that the American withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) was the straw that has broken the glass. Ever since the American statement of withdrawing the treaty, the speech dynamic from Moscow has worsen to the point that Putin’s adviser, Andrei Belusov, ominously sayings on late October that “Yes, Russia is preparing for war, I have confirmed it” and “Russia is preparing for war, and the U.S. is preparing for war”. Moreover, a few days before Putin’s himself said over the possibility of Russia being striked by a nuclear aggression “The aggressor should know that retribution is inevitable... And they just die. Because even repent will have not time”.\n\nBut threatens are not exclusive of the Russian side; the U.S. took the lead on its warmonger momentum threatening Russia.  A month before of the Russian war statements, on September 28, U.S. Interior Secretary, Ryan Zinke, publicly threatened Russia with a naval blockade (impeding Russian vessels to navigate?) as an option to prevent Russia from selling its energy. The same week, on October 2, U.S. ambassador to NATO, Kay Bailey, threatened to “take out” Russian missiles (if that doesn’t mean a strike on Russian soil then what else can it be?) that Washington believes are in breach of the INF treaty.\n\nIf we put into context that Russia has been visciously attacked (through an eastward expansion of NATO since 2000, economic sanctions since the take over of Crimea in 2014, provocative and huge NATO military drills right on her borders (where the Tridant Venture drills happening right now carrying 40,000 NATO troops in the Baltic Sea) and with proxy wars in the Ukraine (with the U.S. selling offensive weaponry to the country) and Syria), then we can understand the Russian certainty that a NATO offensive against her is in the making.\n\nThere are two theatre of operations that pass through the destruction of Russia as a ‘revisionist’ state: The Syria-Iran conflict in the Middle East, and the Ukraine, on Russia’s western border.\n\nEven if the Syrian war has the potential to spread out to Iran, it’s still doubtful the U.S. will carry on in such an adventure because such war will likely expand pulling Saudi Arabia in and, possibly, even Israel, sending the oil price towards the stratosphere, something the Western economies can’t afford or stand, since that will compromise European supplies of oil. Additionally, Russia could simply step aside once it realises the conflict is out of control and that a winning is no longer possible, leaving the U.S. on his own trying to fix its own mess (a new version of the Iraki post-war that drained a trillion dollars from the American tax-payers.\n\nThe most likely theatre of operations for the upcoming war against Russia is, therefore, the Ukraine / the Baltic states / Poland, which will be the cannon fodder of the massacre. In these terms, the American crave of seeing Russia destroyed passes through a conflict Russia cannot avoid for simple national survival.\n\nChina:\n\nUnfortunately, the war rhethoric is not exclusive of the Russian and American sides. Chinese president has said recently that China is prepared for war in either the South China Sea or Taiwan, while a U.S. Military Times poll showed that half of American servicemen consider the U.S. will be at war next year. If we take into account that the servicemen are insiders within the American military-industrial complex, that significates that their opinion comes out from what they have heard and see within the walls of the military headquarters.\n\nFollowing the same logic the U.S. wants for Russia (to stick Russia in a war on its borders to exhaust her economy and bring her to collapse so the U.S. can maintain its control over the world), is the same recipe for China: To attract China into a war that distracts her from her unstoppable economic success that is challenging American economic supremacy over the world.\n\nFor doing so, the U.S. needs, following the same Russian parallel, to fabricate a proxy war in the South China Sea. And what are the aces that America has under its sleeve in the region? North Korea and Taiwan.\n\nThe North Korean matter has been in the freeze since the Singapore summit that gathered Trump and Kim Jung-un in June this year. Ever since, little has happened and Trump has let his South Korean counterpart to court Kim Jung-un gaining some good momentum reaching an all-times-high decent relations between the two Oriental countries. However, with Trump in the Oval Office, that good momentum can  be broken with a twit.\n\nWhat Trump looks more comfortable with, is playing the Taiwanese card. Knowing that by meddling with Taiwan, Washington can pull Beijing into a hot war with the land China considers nothing less but a Chinese rebel province. A conflict in the border between the South and East China Seas will definitely punish China right in the core of its vital trading routes. In a classic ‘carrot or stick’ policy, the U.S. is counting that in such scenario some South Pacific countries China has territorial disputes with (Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam), will enter the conflict on the Taiwanese side.\n\nOn the other hand, it is unlikely and would be reckless for any of those five countries to bite the trap and join such a madness mission if we consider that China is the major trade partner of all these nations. Nevertheless, the U.S. is playing its cards with the certainty that a big issue (China’s preponderance in the South China Sea that is also challenging the U.S. economic power) deserves bigger solutions.\n\nIn both cases – Russia and China – the U.S. current policy is sabotaging (no matter by what means) both countries success before is too late. The good news for America is that Russia and China don’t want war and are trying to avoid it through diplomacy, the one hasn’t been successful whatsoever since Trump assumed office two years ago. The bad news for America is that provocations are getting tougher day by day and that, eventually, the bear or the dragon, or both, can say enough is enough and call out the shots. The shots that the American deep-state is “feels certain” will never touch American soil.\n\nThe Sino-Russian special relationship, the U.S. sabotage of itself\n\nIt is obvious that the Sino-Russian special relation is inversely proportional to the U.S. multi-war form aggressiveness against the two regional powers. For each new wave of American acts of wars (aka sanctions by the UN) on Russia, China provides her with a new life guard to Russia in oil, gas or any other financial form of cooperation to keep Russia guarding China’s northern front (in the East it has Japan as its historial adversary, in the Southwest India, with whom it has territorial disputes over the Kashmir, and in the South it has the U.S., meddling in the South China Sea trying to create a wedge against its neighbors).\n\nPresidents Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping ties have grown exponentially since the Chinese took in office in 2012. The irony is that the all-time-high ties between the two former Communist adversaries were largely caused by Barack Obama's Geopolitics myopia of  pushing both big powers into a de facto alliance that can’t spell its name yet. Obama's personal despair for Russia and Putin, together with his 'Pivot to Asia' agenda trying to counter China in the South China Sea to corner it from its vital sea trade roads, didn’t do nothing but uniting the second Geopolitical and military world power with the second geoeconomic power of the world.\n\nIf Security Adviser to Richard Nixon Henry Kissinger was the Geopolitical genius behind the split of the Sino-Russian relationship in 1971 that enabled the U.S. to focus in countering the USSR, Obama reversed it, and Trump potentialize it!\n\nNot only that, in doing so, Trump also worsen the U.S. relations with its major allies since WW2.\n\nThus, the U.S., having being the master of the 'divide and rule' Geopolitics principle that provided America with enourmous successes for 50 years, has ended up isolating itself from the rest of the world. There are dozens of examples that show this but the most significants are:\n\n- The withdraw of the International Climate Treaty\n- The withdraw of the Iran nuclear deal - that put in tatters not only the oil supply of the EU and the world but threatens to burn the wick in the Middle East\n- The withdraw of the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) with Russia that endangers a nuclear war in European soil\n \n\n- Trump's pressures on his NATO “allies” to fulfill the 2% of their GDP expenditure in American weaponry contracts\n- Trump’s threatens of sanctions on some EU (Germany, France, the U.K., the Netherlands, Austria) members if they continue the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline that will fulfill Europe’s energy’s needs for the decades to come\n- Trump’s economic wars against Russia, China, the EU, Turkey, Canada, Mexico and warnings against India, the Philippines and Indonesia\n \nThat being said it is easy to understand who is the isolated and who is in wedges with a big part of humanity in this planet. \n\nIn sabotaging its own historical alliances with Western Europe (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands) and Turkey, Trump has improved ties with a bunch of countries of doubtful reputation: Saudi Arabia and Israel in the Middle East and the \"New Europeans\" (call them histerical anti-Russians) mini-bloc within the EU: The Baltic states + Poland.\n\nIt hasn't been on the news and nothing has been said on the media but if the Trump administration maintains this collision course it won't be long for Russia and China to realise that their existance remains in its political and economic association (already there) and a military formal alliance.\n\nIt goes beyond the goal of this article but other countries happy to unite and feel militarily protected from against the U.S. will be Syria, Iran, North Korea and of course, the new tripartite “pariah”states that Trump’s National Security adviser John Bolton harshly named as the new “axis of evil”: Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela.\n\nA Sino-Russian military alliance\n\nWithout any doubt such an allilance would be a game changer in international relations. From day one the Russian military will count with billions of dollars for weaponry development and manufacturing able to compete against NATO. From the Chinese side, China would be armed with state-of-the-art Russian nuclear and conventional weaponry. And for both countries, such alliance will make the West thinking thrice before deciding manufacturing a war against any of them.\n\nAt the same time, Europe will think harder if they are willing to drain their budgets on competing in an arm race not only against Russia, as they have profited from it letting the U.S. paying for their protection, but against a Sino-Russian alliance that will force them to participate harder sacrificing their nice living standards. For the U.S., challenging Russia and China together would diseminate its forces and will urge its tax-payers to pay more and live less. Extreme situations like the one we are in right now, in the verge of one or two major wars (against Russia in Europe, and China in the South China Sea and Taiwan) deserve radical solutions.\n\nThe Russian diplomacy has been overtaken against Obama’s and Trump’s imperial stances. The U.S. has been deaf to such efforts for so long now and everything is pointing at that Russia and China have come to a pointo of no return and are aware that they can’t expect different results by doing the same things. The paradigm of diplomacy, negotiations and treaties have been trashed by Obama and Trump. Perhaps we have arrived to the point where the only way to avoid war is preparing for war. Putin and Jinping’s recent remarks about conflagration and war preparedness make me think that we may have entered turbulence zone.\n\nFor more articles like this, join my Patreon community at:\n\nhttps://www.patreon.com/GeorgeTrevino",
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      "title": "The U.S. is begging for a military alliance between Russia, China: By Jorge Trevinox"
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      "body": "Russia:\n\nIt seems that the American withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) was the straw that has broken the glass. Ever since the American statement of withdrawing the treaty, the speech dynamic from Moscow has worsen to the point that Putin’s adviser, Andrei Belusov, ominously sayings on late October that “Yes, Russia is preparing for war, I have confirmed it” and “Russia is preparing for war, and the U.S. is preparing for war”. Moreover, a few days before Putin’s himself said over the possibility of Russia being striked by a nuclear aggression “The aggressor should know that retribution is inevitable... And they just die. Because even repent will have not time”.\n\nBut threatens are not exclusive of the Russian side; the U.S. took the lead on its warmonger momentum threatening Russia.  A month before of the Russian war statements, on September 28, U.S. Interior Secretary, Ryan Zinke, publicly threatened Russia with a naval blockade (impeding Russian vessels to navigate?) as an option to prevent Russia from selling its energy. The same week, on October 2, U.S. ambassador to NATO, Kay Bailey, threatened to “take out” Russian missiles (if that doesn’t mean a strike on Russian soil then what else can it be?) that Washington believes are in breach of the INF treaty.\n\nIf we put into context that Russia has been visciously attacked (through an eastward expansion of NATO since 2000, economic sanctions since the take over of Crimea in 2014, provocative and huge NATO military drills right on her borders (where the Tridant Venture drills happening right now carrying 40,000 NATO troops in the Baltic Sea) and with proxy wars in the Ukraine (with the U.S. selling offensive weaponry to the country) and Syria), then we can understand the Russian certainty that a NATO offensive against her is in the making.\n\nThere are two theatre of operations that pass through the destruction of Russia as a ‘revisionist’ state: The Syria-Iran conflict in the Middle East, and the Ukraine, on Russia’s western border.\n\nEven if the Syrian war has the potential to spread out to Iran, it’s still doubtful the U.S. will carry on in such an adventure because such war will likely expand pulling Saudi Arabia in and, possibly, even Israel, sending the oil price towards the stratosphere, something the Western economies can’t afford or stand, since that will compromise European supplies of oil. Additionally, Russia could simply step aside once it realises the conflict is out of control and that a winning is no longer possible, leaving the U.S. on his own trying to fix its own mess (a new version of the Iraki post-war that drained a trillion dollars from the American tax-payers.\n\nThe most likely theatre of operations for the upcoming war against Russia is, therefore, the Ukraine / the Baltic states / Poland, which will be the cannon fodder of the massacre. In these terms, the American crave of seeing Russia destroyed passes through a conflict Russia cannot avoid for simple national survival.\n\nChina:\n\nUnfortunately, the war rhethoric is not exclusive of the Russian and American sides. Chinese president has said recently that China is prepared for war in either the South China Sea or Taiwan, while a U.S. Military Times poll showed that half of American servicemen consider the U.S. will be at war next year. If we take into account that the servicemen are insiders within the American military-industrial complex, that significates that their opinion comes out from what they have heard and see within the walls of the military headquarters.\n\nFollowing the same logic the U.S. wants for Russia (to stick Russia in a war on its borders to exhaust her economy and bring her to collapse so the U.S. can maintain its control over the world), is the same recipe for China: To attract China into a war that distracts her from her unstoppable economic success that is challenging American economic supremacy over the world.\n\nFor doing so, the U.S. needs, following the same Russian parallel, to fabricate a proxy war in the South China Sea. And what are the aces that America has under its sleeve in the region? North Korea and Taiwan.\n\nThe North Korean matter has been in the freeze since the Singapore summit that gathered Trump and Kim Jung-un in June this year. Ever since, little has happened and Trump has let his South Korean counterpart to court Kim Jung-un gaining some good momentum reaching an all-times-high decent relations between the two Oriental countries. However, with Trump in the Oval Office, that good momentum can  be broken with a twit.\n\nWhat Trump looks more comfortable with, is playing the Taiwanese card. Knowing that by meddling with Taiwan, Washington can pull Beijing into a hot war with the land China considers nothing less but a Chinese rebel province. A conflict in the border between the South and East China Seas will definitely punish China right in the core of its vital trading routes. In a classic ‘carrot or stick’ policy, the U.S. is counting that in such scenario some South Pacific countries China has territorial disputes with (Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam), will enter the conflict on the Taiwanese side.\n\nOn the other hand, it is unlikely and would be reckless for any of those five countries to bite the trap and join such a madness mission if we consider that China is the major trade partner of all these nations. Nevertheless, the U.S. is playing its cards with the certainty that a big issue (China’s preponderance in the South China Sea that is also challenging the U.S. economic power) deserves bigger solutions.\n\nIn both cases – Russia and China – the U.S. current policy is sabotaging (no matter by what means) both countries success before is too late. The good news for America is that Russia and China don’t want war and are trying to avoid it through diplomacy, the one hasn’t been successful whatsoever since Trump assumed office two years ago. The bad news for America is that provocations are getting tougher day by day and that, eventually, the bear or the dragon, or both, can say enough is enough and call out the shots. The shots that the American deep-state is “feels certain” will never touch American soil.\n\nThe Sino-Russian special relationship, the U.S. sabotage of itself\n\nIt is obvious that the Sino-Russian special relation is inversely proportional to the U.S. multi-war form aggressiveness against the two regional powers. For each new wave of American acts of wars (aka sanctions by the UN) on Russia, China provides her with a new life guard to Russia in oil, gas or any other financial form of cooperation to keep Russia guarding China’s northern front (in the East it has Japan as its historial adversary, in the Southwest India, with whom it has territorial disputes over the Kashmir, and in the South it has the U.S., meddling in the South China Sea trying to create a wedge against its neighbors).\n\nPresidents Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping ties have grown exponentially since the Chinese took in office in 2012. The irony is that the all-time-high ties between the two former Communist adversaries were largely caused by Barack Obama's Geopolitics myopia of  pushing both big powers into a de facto alliance that can’t spell its name yet. Obama's personal despair for Russia and Putin, together with his 'Pivot to Asia' agenda trying to counter China in the South China Sea to corner it from its vital sea trade roads, didn’t do nothing but uniting the second Geopolitical and military world power with the second geoeconomic power of the world.\n\nIf Security Adviser to Richard Nixon Henry Kissinger was the Geopolitical genius behind the split of the Sino-Russian relationship in 1971 that enabled the U.S. to focus in countering the USSR, Obama reversed it, and Trump potentialize it!\n\nNot only that, in doing so, Trump also worsen the U.S. relations with its major allies since WW2.\n\nThus, the U.S., having being the master of the 'divide and rule' Geopolitics principle that provided America with enourmous successes for 50 years, has ended up isolating itself from the rest of the world. There are dozens of examples that show this but the most significants are:\n\n- The withdraw of the International Climate Treaty\n- The withdraw of the Iran nuclear deal - that put in tatters not only the oil supply of the EU and the world but threatens to burn the wick in the Middle East\n- The withdraw of the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) with Russia that endangers a nuclear war in European soil\n \n\n- Trump's pressures on his NATO “allies” to fulfill the 2% of their GDP expenditure in American weaponry contracts\n- Trump’s threatens of sanctions on some EU (Germany, France, the U.K., the Netherlands, Austria) members if they continue the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline that will fulfill Europe’s energy’s needs for the decades to come\n- Trump’s economic wars against Russia, China, the EU, Turkey, Canada, Mexico and warnings against India, the Philippines and Indonesia\n \nThat being said it is easy to understand who is the isolated and who is in wedges with a big part of humanity in this planet. \n\nIn sabotaging its own historical alliances with Western Europe (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands) and Turkey, Trump has improved ties with a bunch of countries of doubtful reputation: Saudi Arabia and Israel in the Middle East and the \"New Europeans\" (call them histerical anti-Russians) mini-bloc within the EU: The Baltic states + Poland.\n\nIt hasn't been on the news and nothing has been said on the media but if the Trump administration maintains this collision course it won't be long for Russia and China to realise that their existance remains in its political and economic association (already there) and a military formal alliance.\n\nIt goes beyond the goal of this article but other countries happy to unite and feel militarily protected from against the U.S. will be Syria, Iran, North Korea and of course, the new tripartite “pariah”states that Trump’s National Security adviser John Bolton harshly named as the new “axis of evil”: Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela.\n\nA Sino-Russian military alliance\n\nWithout any doubt such an allilance would be a game changer in international relations. From day one the Russian military will count with billions of dollars for weaponry development and manufacturing able to compete against NATO. From the Chinese side, China would be armed with state-of-the-art Russian nuclear and conventional weaponry. And for both countries, such alliance will make the West thinking thrice before deciding manufacturing a war against any of them.\n\nAt the same time, Europe will think harder if they are willing to drain their budgets on competing in an arm race not only against Russia, as they have profited from it letting the U.S. paying for their protection, but against a Sino-Russian alliance that will force them to participate harder sacrificing their nice living standards. For the U.S., challenging Russia and China together would diseminate its forces and will urge its tax-payers to pay more and live less. Extreme situations like the one we are in right now, in the verge of one or two major wars (against Russia in Europe, and China in the South China Sea and Taiwan) deserve radical solutions.\n\nThe Russian diplomacy has been overtaken against Obama’s and Trump’s imperial stances. The U.S. has been deaf to such efforts for so long now and everything is pointing at that Russia and China have come to a pointo of no return and are aware that they can’t expect different results by doing the same things. The paradigm of diplomacy, negotiations and treaties have been trashed by Obama and Trump. Perhaps we have arrived to the point where the only way to avoid war is preparing for war. Putin and Jinping’s recent remarks about conflagration and war preparedness make me think that we may have entered turbulence zone.\n\nFor more articles like this, join my Patreon community at:\n\nhttps://www.patreon.com/GeorgeTrevino",
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      "body": "Russia:\n\nIt seems that the American withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) was the straw that has broken the glass. Ever since the American statement of withdrawing the treaty, the speech dynamic from Moscow has worsen to the point that Putin’s adviser, Andrei Belusov, ominously sayings on late October that “Yes, Russia is preparing for war, I have confirmed it” and “Russia is preparing for war, and the U.S. is preparing for war”. Moreover, a few days before Putin’s himself said over the possibility of Russia being striked by a nuclear aggression “The aggressor should know that retribution is inevitable... And they just die. Because even repent will have not time”.\n\nBut threatens are not exclusive of the Russian side; the U.S. took the lead on its warmonger momentum threatening Russia.  A month before of the Russian war statements, on September 28, U.S. Interior Secretary, Ryan Zinke, publicly threatened Russia with a naval blockade (impeding Russian vessels to navigate?) as an option to prevent Russia from selling its energy. The same week, on October 2, U.S. ambassador to NATO, Kay Bailey, threatened to “take out” Russian missiles (if that doesn’t mean a strike on Russian soil then what else can it be?) that Washington believes are in breach of the INF treaty.\n\nIf we put into context that Russia has been visciously attacked (through an eastward expansion of NATO since 2000, economic sanctions since the take over of Crimea in 2014, provocative and huge NATO military drills right on her borders (where the Tridant Venture drills happening right now carrying 40,000 NATO troops in the Baltic Sea) and with proxy wars in the Ukraine (with the U.S. selling offensive weaponry to the country) and Syria), then we can understand the Russian certainty that a NATO offensive against her is in the making.\n\nThere are two theatre of operations that pass through the destruction of Russia as a ‘revisionist’ state: The Syria-Iran conflict in the Middle East, and the Ukraine, on Russia’s western border.\n\nEven if the Syrian war has the potential to spread out to Iran, it’s still doubtful the U.S. will carry on in such an adventure because such war will likely expand pulling Saudi Arabia in and, possibly, even Israel, sending the oil price towards the stratosphere, something the Western economies can’t afford or stand, since that will compromise European supplies of oil. Additionally, Russia could simply step aside once it realises the conflict is out of control and that a winning is no longer possible, leaving the U.S. on his own trying to fix its own mess (a new version of the Iraki post-war that drained a trillion dollars from the American tax-payers.\n\nThe most likely theatre of operations for the upcoming war against Russia is, therefore, the Ukraine / the Baltic states / Poland, which will be the cannon fodder of the massacre. In these terms, the American crave of seeing Russia destroyed passes through a conflict Russia cannot avoid for simple national survival.\n\nChina:\n\nUnfortunately, the war rhethoric is not exclusive of the Russian and American sides. Chinese president has said recently that China is prepared for war in either the South China Sea or Taiwan, while a U.S. Military Times poll showed that half of American servicemen consider the U.S. will be at war next year. If we take into account that the servicemen are insiders within the American military-industrial complex, that significates that their opinion comes out from what they have heard and see within the walls of the military headquarters.\n\nFollowing the same logic the U.S. wants for Russia (to stick Russia in a war on its borders to exhaust her economy and bring her to collapse so the U.S. can maintain its control over the world), is the same recipe for China: To attract China into a war that distracts her from her unstoppable economic success that is challenging American economic supremacy over the world.\n\nFor doing so, the U.S. needs, following the same Russian parallel, to fabricate a proxy war in the South China Sea. And what are the aces that America has under its sleeve in the region? North Korea and Taiwan.\n\nThe North Korean matter has been in the freeze since the Singapore summit that gathered Trump and Kim Jung-un in June this year. Ever since, little has happened and Trump has let his South Korean counterpart to court Kim Jung-un gaining some good momentum reaching an all-times-high decent relations between the two Oriental countries. However, with Trump in the Oval Office, that good momentum can  be broken with a twit.\n\nWhat Trump looks more comfortable with, is playing the Taiwanese card. Knowing that by meddling with Taiwan, Washington can pull Beijing into a hot war with the land China considers nothing less but a Chinese rebel province. A conflict in the border between the South and East China Seas will definitely punish China right in the core of its vital trading routes. In a classic ‘carrot or stick’ policy, the U.S. is counting that in such scenario some South Pacific countries China has territorial disputes with (Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam), will enter the conflict on the Taiwanese side.\n\nOn the other hand, it is unlikely and would be reckless for any of those five countries to bite the trap and join such a madness mission if we consider that China is the major trade partner of all these nations. Nevertheless, the U.S. is playing its cards with the certainty that a big issue (China’s preponderance in the South China Sea that is also challenging the U.S. economic power) deserves bigger solutions.\n\nIn both cases – Russia and China – the U.S. current policy is sabotaging (no matter by what means) both countries success before is too late. The good news for America is that Russia and China don’t want war and are trying to avoid it through diplomacy, the one hasn’t been successful whatsoever since Trump assumed office two years ago. The bad news for America is that provocations are getting tougher day by day and that, eventually, the bear or the dragon, or both, can say enough is enough and call out the shots. The shots that the American deep-state is “feels certain” will never touch American soil.\n\nThe Sino-Russian special relationship, the U.S. sabotage of itself\n\nIt is obvious that the Sino-Russian special relation is inversely proportional to the U.S. multi-war form aggressiveness against the two regional powers. For each new wave of American acts of wars (aka sanctions by the UN) on Russia, China provides her with a new life guard to Russia in oil, gas or any other financial form of cooperation to keep Russia guarding China’s northern front (in the East it has Japan as its historial adversary, in the Southwest India, with whom it has territorial disputes over the Kashmir, and in the South it has the U.S., meddling in the South China Sea trying to create a wedge against its neighbors).\n\nPresidents Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping ties have grown exponentially since the Chinese took in office in 2012. The irony is that the all-time-high ties between the two former Communist adversaries were largely caused by Barack Obama's Geopolitics myopia of  pushing both big powers into a de facto alliance that can’t spell its name yet. Obama's personal despair for Russia and Putin, together with his 'Pivot to Asia' agenda trying to counter China in the South China Sea to corner it from its vital sea trade roads, didn’t do nothing but uniting the second Geopolitical and military world power with the second geoeconomic power of the world.\n\nIf Security Adviser to Richard Nixon Henry Kissinger was the Geopolitical genius behind the split of the Sino-Russian relationship in 1971 that enabled the U.S. to focus in countering the USSR, Obama reversed it, and Trump potentialize it!\n\nNot only that, in doing so, Trump also worsen the U.S. relations with its major allies since WW2.\n\nThus, the U.S., having being the master of the 'divide and rule' Geopolitics principle that provided America with enourmous successes for 50 years, has ended up isolating itself from the rest of the world. There are dozens of examples that show this but the most significants are:\n\n- The withdraw of the International Climate Treaty\n- The withdraw of the Iran nuclear deal - that put in tatters not only the oil supply of the EU and the world but threatens to burn the wick in the Middle East\n- The withdraw of the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) with Russia that endangers a nuclear war in European soil\n \n\n- Trump's pressures on his NATO “allies” to fulfill the 2% of their GDP expenditure in American weaponry contracts\n- Trump’s threatens of sanctions on some EU (Germany, France, the U.K., the Netherlands, Austria) members if they continue the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline that will fulfill Europe’s energy’s needs for the decades to come\n- Trump’s economic wars against Russia, China, the EU, Turkey, Canada, Mexico and warnings against India, the Philippines and Indonesia\n \nThat being said it is easy to understand who is the isolated and who is in wedges with a big part of humanity in this planet. \n\nIn sabotaging its own historical alliances with Western Europe (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands) and Turkey, Trump has improved ties with a bunch of countries of doubtful reputation: Saudi Arabia and Israel in the Middle East and the \"New Europeans\" (call them histerical anti-Russians) mini-bloc within the EU: The Baltic states + Poland.\n\nIt hasn't been on the news and nothing has been said on the media but if the Trump administration maintains this collision course it won't be long for Russia and China to realise that their existance remains in its political and economic association (already there) and a military formal alliance.\n\nIt goes beyond the goal of this article but other countries happy to unite and feel militarily protected from against the U.S. will be Syria, Iran, North Korea and of course, the new tripartite “pariah”states that Trump’s National Security adviser John Bolton harshly named as the new “axis of evil”: Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela.\n\nA Sino-Russian military alliance\n\nWithout any doubt such an allilance would be a game changer in international relations. From day one the Russian military will count with billions of dollars for weaponry development and manufacturing able to compete against NATO. From the Chinese side, China would be armed with state-of-the-art Russian nuclear and conventional weaponry. And for both countries, such alliance will make the West thinking thrice before deciding manufacturing a war against any of them.\n\nAt the same time, Europe will think harder if they are willing to drain their budgets on competing in an arm race not only against Russia, as they have profited from it letting the U.S. paying for their protection, but against a Sino-Russian alliance that will force them to participate harder sacrificing their nice living standards. For the U.S., challenging Russia and China together would diseminate its forces and will urge its tax-payers to pay more and live less. Extreme situations like the one we are in right now, in the verge of one or two major wars (against Russia in Europe, and China in the South China Sea and Taiwan) deserve radical solutions.\n\nThe Russian diplomacy has been overtaken against Obama’s and Trump’s imperial stances. The U.S. has been deaf to such efforts for so long now and everything is pointing at that Russia and China have come to a pointo of no return and are aware that they can’t expect different results by doing the same things. The paradigm of diplomacy, negotiations and treaties have been trashed by Obama and Trump. Perhaps we have arrived to the point where the only way to avoid war is preparing for war. Putin and Jinping’s recent remarks about conflagration and war preparedness make me think that we may have entered turbulence zone.\n\nFor more articles like this, join my Patreon community at:\n\nhttps://www.patreon.com/GeorgeTrevino",
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      "body": "Located in the south of the South Pacific region, Australia has all to become one of the first victims of the increasing tensions between its major trade partner, China, and its guardian and political ally beyond the Pacific, the U.S. \n\nFor historical reasons, Australia shares with the West its values (whatever that means), vision and mission in the South Pacific region, serving as an American geopolitical enclave from where the U.S. launches its geopolitical hegemonic agenda in Asia. On the other hand, Australia is a major raw materials exporter that feeds the Chinese economy, from where Australia has benefited enormously. Suffice to say that it was Australia the first Western country in getting out of the 2008 world financial crises. The dichotomy comes precisely from this dual partnership between two rival great powers. For many decades this in-between dual partnership was far from being problematic enabling Australia to feel safe geopolitically while profiting generously from the impressive growth of the Chinese economy.\n\nEverything looked under control for Australia until ten years ago, when after two decades of globalisation and industrialisation providing China with billions of dollars from Western corporations looking for mass production at lower pay rates. Soon, Chinese economic leverage in the world arena put China in a path of confrontation with the U.S. in the South Pacific. It was then that President Obama launched his ‘Pivot to Asia’ in 2011 - a sort of desperate mean to counter China politically and economically in the South China Sea while deploying marines in Darwin, Australia, as an American military outpost in the Timor Sea, the closest Australian port to the region in conflict.\n\nBy trying to make a geopolitical gain from the historical territorial disputes between China and its six neighbours (Brunei, Taiwan, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines and Vietnam), Obama convinced the Philippines to launch a claim in the frame of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (an arm of the UN where the U.S. is not, as ridicule as it sounds, a signatory) on the legality of China over the “nine-dotted line”.\n\nIt was obvious from the start that the claim would not have a chance to succeed. In 2013, China established that it would not participate in the arbitration denying it from any legal validity. Obama’s attempt to create a wedge between China and its neighbours in the region was simply crushed and ignored by the Chinese who deployed its military on Japan’s disputed Senkaku/Diayu islands and seized the Scarborough Shoal from the Philippines in 2012 after the harmless glance of Obama who refused Philippine’s President Rodrigo Duterte call to help him push the Chinese out. The ‘Pivot to Asia’ also intended to counter China on trade through the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the defunct trade agreement that intended to create a Pacific bloc of countries without China.\n\nFor understanding the importance of the South China Sea it is essential to acknowledge that that sea represents a vital artery to China's trading unique routes to Europe and its energy supplies from the Middle East through the Malacca Strait in Singapore and Malaysia on their way to the Indian Ocean. An eventual but always possible American shutting down of that route to the Chinese has the potential to strangle China’s vital supply of energy and exports. The stakes can’t be higher, the volume of trade navigating that sea rounds the $5 trillion dollars per year. \n\nIt is not clear China is interested in interfering with the freedom of navigation rights of the six South China Sea states they have issues with, as China is a major trade partner of all of them, with the only exception of Taiwan, and is in its own interest the success of those states.\n\nIn these terms it is more logic that the military ‘freedom of navigation’ transit of American, Australian, British and French vessels in the area are far more provocative than those of China. It is as is Chinese military vessels would navigate the Gulf of Mexico claiming \"free of navigation\" rights near Miami or New Orleans. For China the South China Sea is an existential artery while for the U.S. is just a containment for not letting China growing stronger and challenge its world hegemony, no matter what the biased Western media can argue about it.\n\nEnough is to say that should a serious crises between China and the U.S. arises, the U.S. can strangle China by blocking her from the sea. It is in that house of cards that Australia has fully aligned to the U.S. taking part in those \"freedom of navigation\" missions.\n\nIt is becoming now certain that the Trump administration will be considerably tougher in containing China’s than what Obama was. Trump’s implementation of severe economic sanctions on China has to be seen as a counter mean to limit and reverse Chinese political, economic and military growth and stopping them from their ‘Revisionist’vision challenging American leadership in the South Pacific. The American all-high ties with Taiwan since 1972, when the Americans agreed on the One-China-Policy acknowledging China and Taiwan being one single country has been challenged for the first time by the Trump administration since his inauguration day when Trump had a telephone chat with his Taiwan’s counterpart. Ever since the Trump’s administration started a series of provocative actions setting up “freedom of navigation” missions through the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea in general.\n\nWithin this context of tough American diplomacy, revisioning 45 years of stable relations with China, is that Australia will need to calibrate how far is willing to go bullying China with its American ally. Sabotaging our own major trade partner and foundation of our economic success, doesn’t look savvy, on the contrary, should we don't change course, consequence, eventually we will have to pay the consequences.\n\nIf we let tensions escalate further Australia can risk being sanctioned by China and that will create hiccups in Canberra. The fact that last week a former American general said that it is likely the U.S. will be at war with China in 15 years followed by China’s President Xi Jinping recently calling his Arm Forces for war preparedness, are symptoms that things are escalating quickly, and, with an unstable character in the White House, it is highly possible that frictions will grow even harder. \n\nThe time for Australia to re-calibrate its national security stance and geopolitics in the South Pacific has come. In a time when China is catapulting its soon-to-be leadership in the whole Asian landmass through its ambitious Road and Belt Initiative (RBI) that will interconnect the whole Asian continent through ports, railways, pipelines, industrial zones, and water dams, linking the Chinese manufacture areas to the European markets, backed-up by the multi-billion dollar funded Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the Shanghai International Energy Exchange which started this year trading oil futures in gold-backed petro-yuans bypassing the petro-dollar, its Made in China 2025 industrial policy aimed to overtake the American know-how on state-of-the-art high technology, including Artificial Intelligence, and the implementation of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation as a soon-to-be Asian security task force challenging NATO, are facts that call China as the indisputable competitor in Asia in moments when the U.S. is not able to compete with China in Asia anymore, unless they are willing to confront China militarily, which without doubt would create chaos in the whole region.\n\nThus, Australia has to avoid such a situation and being trapped in the crossfire of two great powers. A military conflict, even if it is not nuclear, between the U.S. and China will deprive Australia from her main economic partner and we have to be certain that if that occurs the U.S. won’t come up on Australia’s help. As former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger said once:  “Great powers don’t commit suicide for their allies.”\n\nFor Australia playing the American puppet is certain to become tragic in a time when the U.S. is on decay and China on the rise, at least in the South Pacific.\n\nIndeed, Australia requires its own strong military and a strong political ally in a region that, for cultural, historical and ethnic reasons, lacks similar countries to us.\n\nHowever, to know how far to go in a context that is proving to be more Chinese than American, is now paramount. Australia urgently needs an adjust in its international relations. Facts are showing that we are alligning to the power in decay, instead of setting up our own sovereign interests and policy. Not filling that vacuum in our foreign policy looks too risky, and letting Australia go united with the U.S. into a collision course against China, doesn’t look the right choice.\n\nFor more articles like this, join my Patreon community at:\n\nhttps://www.patreon.com/GeorgeTrevino",
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