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      "body": "Quiet hard to understand but it was interesting thanks https://9blz.com/bitmex-review/",
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      "memo": "Hi @kenraphael. Would you like to earn solid (115k SP) upvote on your latest post from @project.hope? Check out our recent post for more details. And hopefully you will find this publication worth your time and attention. We're explaining our community economy \"business model\", hoping that more people will join our efforts in the future. // LINk: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@project.hope/project-hope-economy-explained-2021",
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      "memo": "Good morning @kenraphael. I hope you don't mind receiving this memo from me. I'm not going to sell or promote anything to you. Instead, I would like to share warning about apparent recent TROX Tron scam spotted by my dear friend @thetimetravelerz. Hopefully you will find his post worth your time and attention. Resteem if you can. Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@thetimetravelerz/os-scam-alert-do-not-fall-for-this-trx-tron-scam",
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      "author": "kenraphael",
      "body": "@@ -818,16 +818,23 @@\n t point \n+at 30k \n is not a\n",
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      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "blockchain",
      "permlink": "january-2021-update-to-the-bitcoin-supply-driven-trend-model",
      "title": "January 2021 Update to the Bitcoin Supply Driven Trend Model"
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      "from": "executive-board",
      "memo": "❗ Hello kenraphael, great that you are using the STEEM blockchain. The Executive Board hereby invites you to https://discord.gg/KyBbmhh where you will get some insider infos on how you will earn the most coins. It's easy, just follow the instructions. Warm regards, The Executive Board.",
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{
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      "author": "kenraphael",
      "body": "This is simply an update of the plot in the observation published here https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@kenraphael/bitcoin-currently-sits-at-its-lower-bound-of-its-long-term-trend-which-should-likely-hold in Nov 2019.\n\nCompare the trends predicted there to the updated plot below.\n\n\n![bitcoin_supply_350_2020_no_annotation.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmf45sCofzDZ7nJtscrZnqP4CJKtZZz425wJXo6nyNi9cL/bitcoin_supply_350_2020_no_annotation.png)\n\nThree observations can be gleaned from the update.\n\n1) It appears the trend has reverted back to the expected line, shown in green.\n\n2) Also, the lower bound of the 4-yearly run was clearly violated in a manner that was not seen in the prior runs during the prior 3 halvings. The major break of the floor was in March 2020 following the worldwide shutdown.\n\n3) The current point is not abnormally high compared to the expected trend, even though it's a historic ATH.\n\n![bitcoin_supply_350_2020.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXD5Mzv74nseTvZN3iKFPFYU4yc26tcvZgbcgFgoYP3iS/bitcoin_supply_350_2020.png)\n\nIn conclusion, it looks like the behavior is back to what is expected. This would likely mean continued net increments along the expected trend line. Looking at the second run, it is also possible that the current thrust will continue up in a parabolic manner just as there were 2 parabolic segments in the 2012-2013 run. There remains a low probability, as in a swan event where the floor could be breached. A swan event like was seen in the pandemic, the type of which was last seen a century before last year's, or a major intergovernmental push to inhibit access to the asset. It is not feasible to imagine all such possible swan events. However, the probability, based on the constant halved supply, and the pressures currently expressed in the DUA, will be to follow the expected trajectory (green line) for some time until the parabolic thrust that usually brings the trend to an end.\n\n\n</hr>\nLegal Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser and this is not financial advice. The information provided in this post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational and educational purposes only.\n\nI can sometimes be reached on Discord at: https://discord.gg/shzKrPh.",
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      "title": "January 2021 Update to the Bitcoin Supply Driven Trend Model"
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      "memo": "Good morning @kenraphael. Did you ever hear about dlease.io (dapp build on top of HIVE blockchain)? It's so far the best site allowing PASSIVE INCOME to those of us, who are to busy to curate manually and would like to rent out our HP to others (while enjoying pretty high returns). We've discovered it lately and I only wanted to share link to dlease marketplace, as I consider this dapp worth supporting and promoting: https://dlease.io/market",
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      "memo": "It's me again. Please allow me to share link to same publication on SteemPeak (just in case if you're using SteemPeak instead of Steemit). We would appreciate your support to our community and EACH RESTEEM would matter a lot to us: https://steempeak.com/hive-175254/@alokkumar121/looking-for-passive-income-no-time-for-manual-curation-sign-in-to-new-steemauto-and-follow-our-curation-trail-today",
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      "memo": "Good morning @kenraphael, I hope you don't mind this little memo. I would like to ask you for SMALL FAVOUR. One of our PH community members posted publication promoting our curation trail on Steemit (great way to enjoy PASSIVE INCOME without investing much time in manual curation). Would you mind resteeming this post and helping us reach wider audience? Perhaps you can consider joining yourself with some small % upvote. I would also greatly appreciate YOUR FEEDBACK. I read all comments. Yours, @crypto.Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@alokkumar121/looking-for-passive-income-no-time-for-manual-curation-sign-in-to-new-steemauto-and-follow-our-curation-trail-today",
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      "amount": "0.011 STEEM",
      "from": "project.hope",
      "memo": "Dear @kenraphael, Would you like to EARN 100k SP upvote and chance to collaborate with our community? Check out our recent publication and share your feedback. Most valuable comments will be rewarded with solid upvote. // https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@project.hope/it-s-official-our-new-partnership-is-starting-today-let-s-see-will-where-it-take-us",
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      "from": "project.hope",
      "memo": "Good afternoon @kenraphael, We've noticed that you didn't upvote any publication lately on STEEMIT and for that reason I decided to contact you. We've created our own curation trail, which benefits those who follow. Simply because it is always being triggered before large upvote from our account is being placed (currently >200k SP). This allows all who participate to enjoy solid curation rewards. Already 120 users trusted us and I figured that you may find our CURATION TRAIL also interesting and worth following. You may find more details on post published by our community member: https://steemit.com/projecthope/@coach.piotr/new-steemauto-to-auto-steemdb-online-and-our-project-hope-curation-trail",
      "to": "kenraphael"
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      "memo": "Dear @kenraphael, I hope you don't mind this little memo. I'm writting to you simply because ... I would like to share with you an AMAZING NEWS. Since HF23 had happened, we've all been struggling and one of challenges we had to face was SHUTTING DOWN services provided by Steemauto. Thanks to amazing work of @steem-supporter, re-created steemauto is already up and running. With basic utility as autoupvoter and curation trail working just fine. I hope you will find this info useful. Yours, Piotr // Link: https://auto.steemdb.online/",
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      "memo": "Dear @kenraphael, I hope you don't mind this little memo. I would like to introduce you to new \"LEARN AND EARN\" initiative which I came up together with @hardaeborla. Check out my latest post and hopefully you will enjoy our new idea. Obviously I would appreciate every resteem and your feedback. I read all comments. Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@crypto.piotr/learn-and-earn-our-project-hope-new-awesome-initiative",
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      "memo": "Dear @kenraphael,I would like to steal few minutes of your attention. And I promise NOT TO TRY TO SELL you anything ;) I'm assuming that you've heard about upcoming STEEM HIVES/COMMUNITIES? Good friend of mine posted article related to this topic. And since I'm very curious what is your (and others) opinion on HIVEs so far - I decided to share link with you to this publication. I read all comments and I would appreciate if you could share your own feedback with us. Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@crypto.piotr/q4raxr",
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      "from": "crypto.piotr",
      "memo": "Good morning @kenraphael, I've noticed that you don't always use all your upvoting power - which makes you lose out on received curation rewards. Perhaps I could introduce you to @project.hope CURATION TRAIL, as I believe it could be worth your attention. Especially if you don't have time to be active on steem and you don't want your voting power to be wasted. Hopefully you will find our solution interesting and worth your time. Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/steemit/@coach.piotr/project-hope-and-curation-trail-on-steemauto-com-brainstorming",
      "to": "kenraphael"
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      "amount": "0.002 STEEM",
      "from": "crypto.piotr",
      "memo": "Good morning @kenraphael, I hope you don't mind my little SUNDAY memo. I'm helping my friend to promote his latest publication - he wrote about interesting new game build on top of STEEM blockchain. I had pleasure to get to know devs behind this project and I trully wish them all success.  I figured, that you may find that project interesting and worth learning about. Cheers, Piotr // LINK: LINK: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@lanzjoseg/holybread-launch-27th-january-2020-new-rpg-style-browsergame-on-steem-blockchain",
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      "memo": "Good morning @kenraphael. Hopefully you don't mind this little memo - if you do then please let me know and I won't bother you again. Today I would like to take this opportunity to introduce you to non-profit community project build on STEEM blockchain. Together with several other users we've been working hard for past 9 months to get where we are right now. I really care about received feedback (I read all comments) and I would like to ask you to drop a comment and share your thoughts with me. I greately appreciate your time. Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/hive-175254/@project.hope/3-ways-of-joining-our-efforts-project-hope-economy-explained",
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      "memo": "Dear @kenraphael. Let me start as usual: I hope you don't mind my little memo (if you do then please let me know and I will stop bothering you). I didn't promote my content this way in a long while. Today I would like to STEAL few minutes of your time and share link to my latest publication. In which I'm discussing ways of introducing STEEM to businesses and I would love to read your feedback (assuming you would have any ;). Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/steemleo/@crypto.piotr/my-very-first-trip-to-switzerland-one-of-the-most-crypto-and-blockchain-friendly-place-on-the-planet-earth",
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      "voter": "steemexpress",
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      "author": "kenraphael",
      "body": "@@ -19,16 +19,22 @@\n s might \n+flash \n drop it \n",
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      "author": "kenraphael",
      "body": "Market manipulators might drop it to fish for leveraged positions on exchanges but it would be hard to close it below that trend line. If it does, it would mean a break of the trend that hasn't happened in over 8 years. This is not impossible and the sample size of data is not large. If it happens it would signal a repudiation of the asset in a seriously fundamental way.",
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      "author": "kenraphael",
      "body": "@@ -412,16 +412,15 @@\n  is \n-around 2\n+below 3\n k. A\n",
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      "author": "kenraphael",
      "body": "@@ -841,12 +841,110 @@\n dress trend.\n+ Its number of unique address is shown here: https://www.blockchain.com/charts/n-unique-addresses.\n",
      "json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"ethereum\",\"cryptocurrency\",\"markets\"],\"image\":[\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfWN5KnUi2toNtQDWqdmCoEBCYoCc2AZMDbRZksf8JBXm/bitcoin_supply_350.png\"],\"links\":[\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1567422317300480\",\"https://www.blockchain.com/charts/n-unique-addresses\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\",\"format\":\"markdown\"}",
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      "title": "Bitcoin Currently Sits at Its Lower Bound of Its Long Term Trend Which Should Likely Hold..."
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      "author": "kenraphael",
      "body": "@@ -648,8 +648,205 @@\n 17300480\n+%0A%0AIts true value is currently so low because it is not finding increased usage at a sustainable growth rate that should match its long term trend. This is reflected in its low unique address trend.\n",
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      "body": "For BTC to stay above its long term trend means closing above 7k. It usually has not breached that trend once recovered in its 4 yearly cycle. The effect of supply on its value shows up including the halving that occurs every 4 years. \n\n![bitcoin_supply_350.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfWN5KnUi2toNtQDWqdmCoEBCYoCc2AZMDbRZksf8JBXm/bitcoin_supply_350.png)\n\nHowever, it's current true Metcalfe law value is around 2k. A breach of that trend line is unlikely but if it does should bring it closer to its true metcalfe law value below 3k. Its Metcalfe law model was described here: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1567422317300480",
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      "memo": "I hope you don't mind this little memo and that you have enjoyed recent halloween. I'm writing to share with you our recent publication, as I believe you may find it interesting and worth your time. Does title \"INCREASE BY 50% YOUR WEEEKLY PAYOUT ....\" sound interesting enough? :) Hopefully it does. Also: if you don't like receiving memos from me in the future then please let me know and I won't bother you again. Yours, Piotr // LINK: https://steemit.com/steemleo/@project.hope/increase-by-70-your-weeekly-payout-by-delegating-your-sp-to-project-hope",
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      "memo": "Dear @kenraphael. I hope you can share few minutes of your time with me and you won't get upset about this little memo. Today I would like to share with you link to our newest website related to \"PROJECT HOPE\". It is a small non-profit project on STEEM blockchain. We've recently started delegation program, which would allow our community to grow and all our supporters to enjoy weekly PASSIVE INCOME (in form of liquid steem). Perhaps you would find it interesting (currently only desktop version is working properly): https://www.projecthope.pl/passive_income",
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      "memo": "Hi @kenraphael, I hope you don't mind this little memo. I would like to share with you link to interesting interview between @blockchainfo and special guest: Andreas Antonopoulos. I also hope to find out your opinion on discussed topic. I read and upvote all interesting comments. Yours, Piotr // LINK:  https://steemit.com/interview/@blockchainfo/interview-andreas-m-antonopoulos-or-it-s-great-idea-to-monetize-content-creators",
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