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      "author": "steemitboard",
      "body": "Congratulations @jamesmillerband! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@jamesmillerband/birthday2.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 2 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@jamesmillerband) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=jamesmillerband)_</sub>\n\n\n**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**\n<table><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/the-steem-community-has-lost-an-epic-member-farewell-woflhart\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQWnM36SWCPGn98nY83M1ArgweMz5fnovQEp2E4FiDdug/Wolfhart_header.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/the-steem-community-has-lost-an-epic-member-farewell-woflhart\">The Steem community has lost an epic member! Farewell @woflhart!</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemtoolbar/@steemitboard/steemtoolbar-update-display-bug-fixed\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/http://i.cubeupload.com/7CiQEO.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steemtoolbar/@steemitboard/steemtoolbar-update-display-bug-fixed\">SteemitBoard - Witness Update</a></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/do-not-miss-the-coming-rocky-mountain-steem-meetup-and-get-a-new-community-badge\"><img src=\"https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUphCGZFWgt6bJ1XTtunV7esnwy6bxnGqcLcHAV3NEqnQ/meetup-rocky-mountain.png\"></a></td><td><a href=\"https://steemit.com/steem/@steemitboard/do-not-miss-the-coming-rocky-mountain-steem-meetup-and-get-a-new-community-badge\">Do not miss the coming Rocky Mountain Steem Meetup and get a new community badge!</a></td></tr></table>\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "body": "I certainly won't argue that but that can be a chicken or the egg scenario. Meaning which came first, a strong economy or all-time highs in the stock market. Looking back, it does seem that crashes in the market ultimately have an overall negative effect on the economy. Since the market acts as a barometer for economic health it definitely pays to study the cause and effect. To be less vague, I pose the question \"if\" the stock market crashed 20% would the economy still be stronger than ever. Since human psychology is a strong factor and losses can be devastating, it is worth noting that recessions do occur after market crashes. Ultimately the boom and bust cycle is somewhat predictable and it is very possible that we will be going through a de-leveraging. Think of it like this: for 8 years you run up your credit card and max it out, then for 2 years you tighten your belt, cut spending and pay off the bill. We might be entering the \"pay the bill\" phase of things but I do agree at present the economy is very healthy on paper.",
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      "body": "In general, all experts will tell you to never try and time the market but I am somewhat of an active retail who subscribes to a dollar cost average buy the dip, sell the high mentality. In fall 2017 I scaled back stocks, In late fall 2017 I scaled back cryptos, I have been very heavy Silver/Gold since winter 2015. Recently I bought the dip in cryptos and stocks very gently. My cash position is higher than normal right now because I do sense there may be another opportunity to seize. I haven't touched bonds in 5 years, except for tax-exempt munis, but now may be time to consider buying the blood on the streets. Although I am never more than 5% in bonds since I am still have 25 years to retire.",
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      "body": "All of those things are true, after such a long time of nearly zero volatility, something was bound to happen.\n\nI'm not a stock bull by any means, but I don't think this is *the* crash either. Judging by where we are in the business cycle, it's about time to book profits and up your allocation to cash and gold.\n\nPersonally, I am long Gold and Commodities. I think those are the places to be for the next 2-3 years.\n\nWhat about you?",
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      "body": "![Screen Shot 2018-02-11 at 5.10.52 AM.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTtUeAkHC5MjGktxvgohei5PqUFaYvJ1GsJFKkGt8cV6z/Screen%20Shot%202018-02-11%20at%205.10.52%20AM.png)\n\nThis recent correction doesn't quite qualify as a crash yet...yet.\n\nAlmost any advisor will tell you to keep calm, think long term, buy the dip and keep investing.\n\nSo far, roughly 3 months worth of gains were wiped out in the stock market.\n\nAt this point, a wait and see strategy is really not out of the question.\n\nBefore selling your hard earned stocks, consider these factors:\n\n\t•\tThe Fed claims they will raise Interest Rates\n\t•\tThe new Fed chair Powell may be a bit more hawkish than Yellen\n\t•\tAfter the bloodbath in bonds, yields are up\n\t•\tInflation rates may be rising\n\t•\tThe Dollar overall has  been weakening\n\t•\tThe Fed is unwinding their balance sheet\n\t•\tThe CAPE is relatively high, though not ridiculous\n\t•\tThe Vix spiked, though it's cooling off\n\t•\tThe Dow to GDP ratio is historically high\n\t•\tExperts say everything is ok, which can sometimes mean the exact opposite\n\t•\tThis Bull run is about 9 years old\n\t•\tThe new corporate tax rate may help earnings in the future\n\nOf course there are a fair few other factors we consider before buying or selling but one main question you have to ask yourself is: When do you need the money?\n\nPassive index investing with a dollar cost average strategy has done fairly well for the last 9 years.\n\nWhatever you do, don't panic sell.\nPanic selling is the worst thing you can do.\n\nIf you do choose to sell, make sure it is for very specific reasons that suit your strategy and timeline.\n\nAlthough at this point in time, having a nice cash reserve waiting to strike and ready to deploy is highly recommended.\n\nThis is a very important week for technical analysts, it will very much help determine if we are going up...or down.\n\nThen again, when are those guys ever right? :) \n\nThe next few weeks and months could dole out quite a bit of pain, erasing much of past gains.\n\nUltimately, having some volatility return to the stock market keeps everyone honest and shows that everything is not all unicorns and rainbows.\n\nEven a 20% crash from the high set on Jan 26, 2018 would still keep us in a long term uptrend.\n\nWhat direction do you think the stock market is heading and what have you done to prepare yourself?\n\n- James Miller",
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      "body": "As you can see in this chart it should be very clear what will happen to bitcoin's price in the near future.\n\n![Screen Shot 2018-02-03 at 1.23.52 AM.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXiz7rz1E4WXBsqnN1iMd7XZMx7UYjrYM5icWBXE2Teka/Screen%20Shot%202018-02-03%20at%201.23.52%20AM.png)\n\nAll kidding aside, \nIf BTC can push through and hold $9,500 and then push through and Hold $14,000 then the up-trend becomes clearer\nIf BTC drops to $7,500 with weak volume then it will retest the $5,000 level\n\nI am still bullish on crypto long term but...and this is a very big but (I like big Butts and I cannot lie) we might could still have some pain to go through for the next few weeks in February\n\nLike I always say, never try to predict the markets but rather react to them\nWhat are your price predictions for BTC?\n\n- James Miller",
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      "body": "![maxresdefault.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRQDwZQzexiCBQhJ9zGMnsZbjDFomBPkEF2arQELSLkvc/maxresdefault.jpg)\n\nThe crypto market has been slaughtered this past month which can put some new investors in a very uncomfortable position and present an incredible opportunity for seasoned traders.\n\nHere is a list of 20 rules to remember when it seems like the sky is falling\n\n-Family First \n-Invest in yourself: health, exercise, diet, education, skills, degrees\n-Time is the most valuable asset you have, don’t waste it\n-Never lose money\n-Money is a game; the more you play it, the better you get at it\n-Plan for retirement, death & taxes\n\n-Master Greed, Fear & Patience\n-Be patient\n-Don’t be afraid\n-Don’t be greedy\n-Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs and sheep get slaughtered\n\n-Don't trade on emotion\n-Assess all the risks, plan for and prepare for every possible outcome\n-Due diligence; study, do your own research: cross-reference, check, confirm, validate, verify and THEN make informed decisions\n\n-Never Gamble\n-Don’t try to predict the market, react to it instead\n-Never Sell your whole position\n\n-Don’t believe everything you watch, read, hear or see\n-Listen to everybody but develop your own strategy\n-Rules are made to be broken\n\nWhen anything you have put money into looks like it is taking a dive, try to remember what your goals are and how you can best achieve them.\n\nWhat rules do you live by in the markets?\n\n- James Miller",
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      "body": "It is clear many people who invested in the lending platform \"Bitconnect\" took quite a hit recently.\nHere are some of your options moving forward:\n\n1. Consider it lost, let it go, move on, learn the lesson\n\n2. Move your BCC to a third party exchange like HitBTC and sell at a 90% loss\n\n3. Use the BCC exchange and current volatility of the price to make gains at great risk\n\n4. Stake your BCC in the QT Wallet\n\n5. Just Hodl the BCC on the website\n\n6. Wait for Bitconnect X  to Launch* then move your BCC to the new exchange and hope for the best\n\n7. Wait for the price to recover on the BCC exchange\n\n8. Purse Legal Action\n\n9. Report the Losses on your taxes\n\n10. Buy more BCC while the price is cheap and there is panic selling\n\n*This applies mostly to US Citizens who cannot participate in the ICO and get the $150 valuation for BCC\n\nThis is a horrible situation for those involved and it can be an emotional time dealing with losses but please never make a financial decision based on emotions, try to keep a level head and make a choice that works best for your situation.\n\nWould love to hear your thoughts and comments on the situation \n\nDo you have another option?\n\n- James Miller",
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