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      "title": "(뻘글) 38년 전 애플 상장으로 엿보는 가상화폐의 미래 / The Future of Crypto Seen Through Apple IPO",
      "body": "@@ -384,12 +384,15 @@\n see \n-link\n+article\n  bel\n",
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      "body": "Liked, subscribed and stalked.. I mean followed.  Yes that's exactly what I meant *evil laugh*",
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      "title": "(뻘글) 38년 전 애플 상장으로 엿보는 가상화폐의 미래 / The Future of Crypto Seen Through Apple IPO",
      "body": "![apple.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbij4RfDzgFRPoEAdBLE7gb7RTMqytavUu9MabQRYfmTt/apple.png)\n\n\n\n저는 과거의 사례들을 찾아, 현실에 빗대어 보고, 미래를 가늠하는 것을 좋아합니다. \"역사는 반복된다\"는 말이 있듯이, 형태만 다를 뿐, 우리가 지금 경험하는 것들과 유사한 사례는 과거에도 있어 왔고 앞으로도 지속적으로 발생할 것입니다. 앞으로도 과거를 통해 미래를 보는 과정을 계속해 나가려고 합니다. \n\nFor those of you fluent in English, you may like to read the article posted on 12th December 1980. Please see link below. :) Sorry I have not been able to translate all of these into English. The abstract is as follows. Regulators have always been against innovations. We can see that when Apple went live in 1980. But innovation always prevails. We just need to find projects that are worthy enough to withstand time. \n\n**이번에는 애플 이야기입니다.**\n\n애플이 2일(현지시각) 207.39달러로 장을 마감하면서 미국 상장 회사 최초로 시가총액 1조 달러(약 1,129조 원)를 넘어서는 기록을 달성했습니다. 1976년 애플 창립 42년 만에 이룩한 업적입니다. 가상화폐 시가총액 전체에 거의 4배에 달하는 금액이네요. \n\n**애플, 시가 총액 1조 달러 넘어섰다**\nhttp://thegear.co.kr/16281\n\n**39센트에 샀는데 5만%↑..기다림 결실본 애플 개미투자자들**\nhttps://news.v.daum.net/v/20180803094259851\n\n수십년을 기다린 보람 끝에 함박웃음을 짓는 개미투자자들이 늘어났다는 이야기입니다. 지금 와서 애플에 투자했어야 한다는 이야기는 너무나 쉽게 할 수 있습니다. 오늘 회사 동료와 얘기하던 중, 자신이 유학시절에 구글에 투자하지 않았던 것이 천추의 한이 된다는 이야기를 했습니다. IT주식들이 지속적으로 고점을 경신하는 요즘, 그런 말은 참 쉽게 할 수 있습니다. 하지만, 그러한 주식들의 상장시점으로 되돌아가본다면? \n\n![IMG_20180803_134556.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQ6fVcjLL1GQZD1rZoMRfo7NzroztDbmWfySYkQZfgvPS/IMG_20180803_134556.jpg)\n<Source: WSJ>\n\n흥미로운 기사를 보아 나눠보고 싶었습니다. 세월을 거슬러 올라가, 1980년 12월, 애플이 주식시장에 상장하던 날로 가보겠습니다. \n\n![123.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSpouyTskHMUb8FXPcD7ZDeGBj6qmaMkxhgpJ64wBCnvC/123.jpg)\n\n연초 148.02를 찍었던 나스닥지수는 11월 24일 208.15를 기록하며 고공행진을 이어가고 있었습니다. 연초대비 40.6%나 올랐습니다. 그러나, 애플 상장일이 다가오며 지수는 7% 정도 빠진 상태였습니다.\n\n![ss.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfL14WAkSaFHGsQsBuPTcQXa5MMvNFie3N8sWfzKFjaJK/ss.jpg)\n\n당시에도 애플 상장은 굉장히 기다려졌던 이슈였나봅니다. \n\n>\"최근 주식시장의 하락은, 근래 중 가장 기다려지는 상장 이벤트에 대한 열기를 다소 식혀줄 것으로 기대된다.\"\n\n![1234.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbx3YPRdyKVcdCkzCgCdzRd5isaj1Xvmtj2ETyTxhRHtZ/1234.jpg)\n\n1979년에는 144개의 회사가 상장되었는데, 상장을 통한 자금조달이 US$ 592mn에 달했다고 합니다. 그런데, 1980년 12월 초까지는 182개의 회사가 상장을 했고, 자금조달도 전년보다 33% 높은 US$ 800mn로 높아졌다고 합니다. 애플에 대한 기대감이 높은 것도 이상할 일이 아니었던 것 같습니다. 1980년은 APPLE III가 출시되며 IBM, 마이크로소프트와 경쟁할 것으로 기대되던 시기였습니다. 스티브잡스는 이때, 우리가 요즘 사용하고 있는 것과 같은 그래픽 인터페이스가 미래가 될 것이라고 생각하고 있던 시기이기도 했습니다. \n\n![20180803_164416.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmchSvq8dhX4By539XciYEyeBD65Va4Tc6ZfgiZRLUqapt/20180803_164416.png)\n(출처: Business Insider)\n\n![20180803_164606.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNubi8nEgpikfvbSY5sGj7JUf6TouFTZ9ijmjezbkZfBD/20180803_164606.png) \n\n하지만 문제는 벨류에이션이었습니다. 상장 예상가가 너무 비쌌던 것입니다. 1979년 애플은 주당 24센트를 벌고 있었는데, 상장 예상가였던 22불은 99배 멀티플이었던 것입니다. \n\n![20180803_165139.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXZqNmcZHAbTsMSq6tXWuwAu6fkSRaEzZTJbuWC48TBPo/20180803_165139.png)\n\n그리고 아니나 다를까, 규제기관이 등장을 합니다. 매사추세츠 주의 증권법은 상장가격이 이익대비 20배를 초과할 수 없다고 명시하고 있었던 것입니다. 애플보다 일찍 상장했던 Genentech이라는 회사는 35불로 상장한 후, 89불을 찍고, 다시 급락하여 12월 12일 경, 38.75불까지 내려왔다고 합니다. 매사추세츠 주의 한 공무원은, Genentech 상장 건에 대해서 다시 진행할 기회가 있었다면 절대 허용하지 않았을 것이다라고 합니다. Genentech은 주당 2센트를 벌고 있었는데, 35불이 상장가였으니 ... 재무성과 측면에서 애플이 월등히 낫긴 했습니다. \n\n결과적으로 매사추세츠 주에서 주식 중개인들은 애플 주식을 팔 수 없었고, 결국 주 안에 있는 개인투자자들은 애플 주식을 살 기회를 놓쳐버리고 말았습니다. 규제기관들은 어디나 똑같은 마인드를 가지고 있나 봅니다. 최근 비트코인 ETF를 여러가지 이유를 데며 승인하지 않은 SEC나, 가상화폐를 악으로 규정하며 신규 계좌를 열어주지 않는 ... (여기까지 하겠습니다). 투자자를 보호한다는 미명하에 오히려 혁신을 접하지 못하게 투자자를 막는 모습을 보게 됩니다. \n\n하지만, 그 이후로 애플의 이야기는 모두 다 아실 것입니다.\n\n![20180803_162937.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmf8DfSur3bAfFEzfC7vp76snSnZ5HSdzTG77hBHGka62k/20180803_162937.png)\n\n1980년 12월 12일, 당일 195 정도를 찍었던 나스닥은 어제 7,802를 찍었습니다. \n38년의 긴 시간 동안 12월 12일의 가격은, 하나의 작은 점일 뿐입니다. \n\n저도 롤러코스터 장세에서 마음이 편하지는 않습니다. 하지만, 블록체인에 대한 자료를 읽으면 읽을 수록, 다가오게 될 미래에 대해 더욱 낙관하게 됩니다. 사람들은 익숙하지 않은 것을 싫어합니다. 지금도 가상화폐라는 얘기를 들으면 학을 뗄 사람들이 많을 것입니다. 회사에서도 가상화폐 얘기하는 사람은 많이 사라졌습니다. 하지만, 저는 분명 가상화폐와 블록체인이 세상을 바꿀 것이라고 믿습니다. \n\n우리가 투자하고 있는 모든 가상화폐가 애플처럼 되지는 못할 것입니다. 지금도 95%의 ICO들이 사기라는 얘기가 심심치 않게 들려오고 있습니다. 분명, 아직 거품이 남아 있는 프로젝트들이 있습니다.\n(투자자분들이 계시면 죄송하지만, EMC2가 여전히 등락을 거듭하고 있는 것을 보았을 때, 아직 갈길이 멀었다는 생각은 듭니다.) \n\n여러분은 명확한 비전을 가지고 성공할만한 프로젝트에 투자하고 계신가요? 그리고 조금 더 긴 안목으로 기다릴 준비가 되어 있으신가요?",
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      "body": "감사합니다^^",
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      "body": "좋은글 감사합니다! 보팅 퐐로우 하고 갑니다",
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      "body": "Congratulations @hypomone! You have completed the following achievement on Steemit and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/payout.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@hypomone) Award for the total payout received\n\n<sub>_Click on the badge to view your Board of Honor._</sub>\n<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>\n\n\nTo support your work, I also upvoted your post!\n\n\n> Do you like [SteemitBoard's project](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)? Then **[Vote for its witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1)** and **get one more award**!",
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      "permlink": "edgeless-edg-weekly-update-on-edgeless-casino-transactions180801",
      "title": "[Edgeless/EDG] Weekly Update on Edgeless Casino Transactions_180801",
      "body": "@@ -2098,16 +2098,18 @@\n 8,601)%0A%0A\n+**\n As of wr\n@@ -2275,17 +2275,18 @@\n hy pace.\n- \n+**\n %0A%0A**%5BNum\n@@ -3119,16 +3119,18 @@\n 2.png)%0A%0A\n+**\n So how m\n@@ -3353,16 +3353,18 @@\n t users.\n+**\n %0A%0A**%5BTop\n@@ -4812,16 +4812,18 @@\n  29.3%25%0A%0A\n+**\n On avera\n@@ -5202,128 +5202,12 @@\n . :)\n+**\n %0A%0A\n-The picture below shows the winners in each game category for one of the days last week! This screen is updated daily.\n %0A%0A==\n",
      "json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"casino\",\"edgeless\",\"blackjack\",\"dice\",\"poker\"],\"image\":[\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYTSv7V7i1hceCMfwGRCa4KcacAt9PtxDnkwpnwoqoLvL/Screenshot_20180710-085520_Photo%20Editor.jpg\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXqKELmuodmxZHdHVAYjRYTbwMvRz4cvzBtKtw5Nzq5ob/1.png\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPsKcrHpMfzsbpG7BhsbJqHdsLV2V5FfJMH8Rf9TVPqG8/2.png\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVLVKXikAXbzkvaBqaXQfADbaCfkpPftVSdM2osaHpMpp/4.png\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmU465C83Z35iwsjG956pHd7u88wDkdgsqyJETvSW4ahi9/Screenshot_20180802-131130_Twitter.jpg\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPk6KveviZQyDcMgo2j3jKNzM5gpA9kVw3eqQSXdhwEQR/Screenshot_20180802-131115_Twitter.jpg\"],\"links\":[\"https://etherscan.io/token/0x08711d3b02c8758f2fb3ab4e80228418a7f8e39c?a=0x91f273b7a28f5169fd7b7995a54b767ca797bc63\",\"https://etherscan.io/address/0x91f273b7a28f5169fd7b7995a54b767ca797bc63#readContract\",\"http://start.edgeless.io/refer-a-friend/\",\"https://start.edgeless.io/experience-edgeless/?go=strider\",\"https://t.me/joinchat/FXRVHBFKg-YU0KqZXTCGbQ\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\",\"format\":\"markdown\"}"
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      "author": "hypomone",
      "permlink": "edgeless-edg-weekly-update-on-edgeless-casino-transactions180801",
      "title": "[Edgeless/EDG] Weekly Update on Edgeless Casino Transactions_180801",
      "body": "@@ -1,8 +1,181 @@\n+!%5BScreenshot_20180710-085520_Photo Editor.jpg%5D(https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYTSv7V7i1hceCMfwGRCa4KcacAt9PtxDnkwpnwoqoLvL/Screenshot_20180710-085520_Photo%2520Editor.jpg)%0A%0A\n Hello al\n",
      "json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"casino\",\"edgeless\",\"blackjack\",\"dice\",\"poker\"],\"image\":[\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYTSv7V7i1hceCMfwGRCa4KcacAt9PtxDnkwpnwoqoLvL/Screenshot_20180710-085520_Photo%20Editor.jpg\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXqKELmuodmxZHdHVAYjRYTbwMvRz4cvzBtKtw5Nzq5ob/1.png\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPsKcrHpMfzsbpG7BhsbJqHdsLV2V5FfJMH8Rf9TVPqG8/2.png\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVLVKXikAXbzkvaBqaXQfADbaCfkpPftVSdM2osaHpMpp/4.png\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmU465C83Z35iwsjG956pHd7u88wDkdgsqyJETvSW4ahi9/Screenshot_20180802-131130_Twitter.jpg\",\"https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPk6KveviZQyDcMgo2j3jKNzM5gpA9kVw3eqQSXdhwEQR/Screenshot_20180802-131115_Twitter.jpg\"],\"links\":[\"https://etherscan.io/token/0x08711d3b02c8758f2fb3ab4e80228418a7f8e39c?a=0x91f273b7a28f5169fd7b7995a54b767ca797bc63\",\"https://etherscan.io/address/0x91f273b7a28f5169fd7b7995a54b767ca797bc63#readContract\",\"http://start.edgeless.io/refer-a-friend/\",\"https://start.edgeless.io/experience-edgeless/?go=strider\",\"https://t.me/joinchat/FXRVHBFKg-YU0KqZXTCGbQ\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\",\"format\":\"markdown\"}"
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{
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      "parent_permlink": "casino",
      "author": "hypomone",
      "permlink": "edgeless-edg-weekly-update-on-edgeless-casino-transactions180801",
      "title": "[Edgeless/EDG] Weekly Update on Edgeless Casino Transactions_180801",
      "body": "Hello all!\n\nThis is an update of the Edgeless Project for the week ending 18/08/01. I have been using data from Etherscan. However, I have been prevented from downloading the data in excel so some of the work have been done manually. So here we go. \n\n**[Number of Edgeless Tokens Sent by Players]**\n\nListed below is the address that is now being used to keep track of Edges sent to the platform to play.\n\nhttps://etherscan.io/token/0x08711d3b02c8758f2fb3ab4e80228418a7f8e39c?a=0x91f273b7a28f5169fd7b7995a54b767ca797bc63\n\nWhen an Edgeless casino user sends his or her Edges to the ethereum address provided by the Edgeless team, the Edges arrive at the users' address and is subsequently sent to the address above. I believe that this is embedded in the smart contract of the addresses. I have used Excel spreadsheet to keep track of Edges sent and received from 18th of January, which is the official launch date of Edgeless platform. As can be seen in the diagram below, the number of Edges did not grow significantly even after the official launch. I believe that this was due to very rigid registration process which barred users from accesing the platform with ease. I think this was intentional as the gaming platform was at the very initial stage and needed further improvement before mass scale user adoption was possible.\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXqKELmuodmxZHdHVAYjRYTbwMvRz4cvzBtKtw5Nzq5ob/1.png)\n\nThe grey area represents the net number of Edges sent to the Edges platform. The red line number, the sum of transaction numbers.\n\n2018-04-10: 50,027\n2018-04-15: 63,516\n2018-04-23: 73,486\n2018-04-30: 82,713\n2018-05-07: 88,953\n2018-05-13: 103,729\n2018-05-22: 121,425\n2018-05-28: 160,226 (+38,801)\n2018-06-04: 198,980 (+38,754)\n2018-06-11: 222,624 (+23,644)\n2018-06-18: 239,887 (+17,263)\n2018-06-25: 249,509 (+9,622)\n2018-07-02: 279,903 (+30,394)\n2018-07-09: 292,536 (+12,633)\n2018-08-01: 341,137 (+48,601)\n\nAs of writing this article, the number of Edges has neared 350,000. Despite, slowness in ether network and crypto-market collapse, Edgeless is still growing at a healthy pace. \n\n**[Number of Players Using Edgeless Platform]**\n\nSo, how many people are actually using the platform? I think that this is a question that many would like to know the answer to. If you take a look at the link at the top that shows Edges 'sent' to the platform, there are two addresses. The one on the left is the player's Edgeless addresses created within the platform. The one on the right is where all Edges are put together within the platform. If you count the number of addresses on the left, you can see the addresses which were created after a player goes through the KYC and creates an Edgeless address to play! That would also show the number of players registered. Because only registered users can create addresses to send Edges to.\n\n![2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPsKcrHpMfzsbpG7BhsbJqHdsLV2V5FfJMH8Rf9TVPqG8/2.png)\n\nSo how many users are there? The number has increased to 461. On average, users are increasing 10-11 users per week. Hopefully we will reach 500 in August. We now have a new game \"Crash\" coming soon. This will also help boost users.\n\n**[Top 100 Holders List]**\n\nI've started organizing this in Excel since 17th April this year.\n\nFew weeks ago, Edgeless team withdrawed around 7.5 million Edges to various addresses including 1mn to Bittrex. Another 750,000 was sent to an exchange during the week. I hope that this is another way to diversify Edges to protect from any hacking. There have been new comers to the top 100, and some have left. I will again do precise numbers from next week. \n\n**[Casino Bankroll]**\n\nhttps://etherscan.io/address/0x91f273b7a28f5169fd7b7995a54b767ca797bc63#readContract\n\nThis is a new section that I will be updating from now. The address shows how much Casino has won from Edges wagered by players. 1.>bankroll shows how much the Casino has won while 6.>playerBalance shows what the players have won. The more the Casino wins, the better for investors as there will be more pool for staking. On the other hand, the less the Casino wins, the better for gamers who use this Edgelesss platform. I started updating this from the beginning of June, thanks to Fred from telegram channel who shared this with us on the telegram. So how are things going?\n\nhttps://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVLVKXikAXbzkvaBqaXQfADbaCfkpPftVSdM2osaHpMpp/4.png\n\n2018-06-02 80,443 109,207 42.4%\n2018-06-07 104,357 100,437 51.0%\n2018-06-18 59,454 176,879 24.8%\n2018-06-25 61,215 184,321 24.5%\n2018-07-02 55,177 220,099 19.7%\n2018-07-09 65,527 222,232 22.4%\n2018-08-01 99,200 233,258 29.3%\n\nOn average the Casino has won approximately 31.2% of all Edges sent. This rate seems to be stabilizing around 30%. So there are clearly winners in the platform and losers. It's not the Casino always winning as some may think. Edgeless-ness really helps players win! This is truly a great news players who can wager based on their skill and luck only! I think this is revolutionary. :)\n\nThe picture below shows the winners in each game category for one of the days last week! This screen is updated daily.\n\n======================================================\n\nEdgeless team has recently launched new campaigns to attract users to its platform. \n\n![Screenshot_20180802-131130_Twitter.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmU465C83Z35iwsjG956pHd7u88wDkdgsqyJETvSW4ahi9/Screenshot_20180802-131130_Twitter.jpg)\n\nParticipate in BitcoinTalk to get up to 1,000 Edges!\n\n![Screenshot_20180802-131115_Twitter.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPk6KveviZQyDcMgo2j3jKNzM5gpA9kVw3eqQSXdhwEQR/Screenshot_20180802-131115_Twitter.jpg)\n\nhttp://start.edgeless.io/refer-a-friend/\n\nThey have started referral programs so both parties can get 10 edges. \n\n**I think these actions show that Edgeless team is comfortable and confident with the platform and ready to attract new users. Also more good news are coming with Crash, staking, fiat gateway and more licenses. I think Edgeless provides a good opportunity for gambling and also investment.**\n\n======================================================\n\nSo,\n\nWhy not try some games with your Edges today? :) They have Blackjack, Dice and Baccarat with no house advantage. And it's fun.\nhttps://start.edgeless.io/experience-edgeless/?go=strider\n\nYou can also join telegram chat in the link below.\nhttps://t.me/joinchat/FXRVHBFKg-YU0KqZXTCGbQ\n\nAny Edge or Ethereum donations will be very helpful as I continue to write this weekly updates. Address is below. :)\n0xc5642a8099ae1127c72754d42a91760c07f5b9df\n\n\nQ2:\n\nBaccarat Launch \"Asian marketing is going to love this!\" - Launched\nMobile Platform and Interface Upgrade (Done) - Launched\n\nQ3:\n\nMore Exchanges!\nUK, Malta Licenses Application Underway\nStaking (Date not fixed)\nFiat Gateway\nSportbetting (License will come in Q3, hopefully)\nMore Exchanges Coming (Among them, India Fiat Gateway!)\nMore Marketing Coming\nMore Fairness Check and Statistics Coming\n\nQ4:\n\nPoker",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "잘봤습니다. 팔로우 할게요, 자주소통해요~",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "잘봤습니다. 팔로우 할게요~",
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{
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  "op": [
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      "parent_permlink": "bitcoin",
      "author": "hypomone",
      "permlink": "btc-bitcoin-trend-analysis180801",
      "title": "[BTC/Bitcoin] 트렌드 분석 / Trend Analysis_180801",
      "body": "![20180731_195109.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZToRpMknoifarb8zaT78Z6tm8eEcHYnNeVaG9Spx5QXm/20180731_195109.png)\n\n간단히 비트코인 추세를 알아보겠습니다.\nI will have a short look at the current bitcoin trend.\n\n![1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZT4DmZHu52APJfxPdGwDFP8TuiKhNnqHT3uaDjKndH4p/1.png)\n\n매우 중요했던 지점. 지지선, 하락추세선, 전고점지지선이 만나는 지점. 아쉽게 지지선을 하방 이탈하였고 전고점 지지선을 지켜주지 못했음. 그러나 하락추세선에서 급 반등하는 모습을 보여주며 기대감은 여전히 유효\nVery important spot. Support line, falling trend line, former high all diverge at one point. Unfortunately, could not stay above support line and former high line. Still managed to stay above the falling trend line.  Was a good sign that it came right back (circle).\n\n![20180801_223017.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmdpWrowMLrMAZLYY7pD7k1gvdNf5aaY2tJ6ADYaRH2FB5/20180801_223017.png)\n\n200일 선을 뚫기는 쉽지 않으나, 지지선과 전고점 위로 점진적으로 올라오면 다시 붙어볼만함.\nWill not be an easy task to go at 200 moving average. Could be a good fight if we can come above the trend line and the former high.\n\n![20180801_224220.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmR3ZkxTBpjwjeRyRsvbAYmg9UXJZw6s3YGJrtRBuDJRRn/20180801_224220.png)\n\n피보나치 기준으로 23.6%에서는 지지에 실패했지만 38.2%에서 빠르게 반등\nUnder Fibonacci, was unable to support at 23.6% but came back quickly at 38.2%\n\n단 하루를 조금 넘은 시간 동안 빠르게 악수가 두어졌음. 그렇지만, 7467 수준에서 지지하며 힘을 모을 경우 좋은 그림을 볼 수 있을 것으로 기대.\nIn just a short span of a day, we have seen a rather grim picture. If support is found at 7467, we may be able to see a better picture overall.",
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{
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  "timestamp": "2018-07-31T22:40:00",
  "op": [
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    {
      "parent_author": "",
      "parent_permlink": "bitcoin",
      "author": "hypomone",
      "permlink": "btc-bitcoin-trend-analysis",
      "title": "[BTC/Bitcoin] 트렌드 분석 / Trend Analysis_180731",
      "body": "![20180731_195109.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZToRpMknoifarb8zaT78Z6tm8eEcHYnNeVaG9Spx5QXm/20180731_195109.png)\n\n간단히 비트코인 추세를 알아보겠습니다.\nI will have a short look at the current bitcoin trend. \n\n![01 trendline.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfH2c8AC8oUn9yMvmVYu7yavXRD1A4yeoEJ9h1KzpVTT3/01%20trendline.png)\n\n6월 중순경 한번 하방으로 뚤리기는 하였지만, 3번이나 지지를 했던 추세선이 살아 있습니다. 최근에 강하게 뚫고 올라왔기 때문에, 지지선으로 작용해줄 것으로 기대합니다. \nThe trend line, which once was broken in mid-June, still seems valid as it helped bitcoin rise after defending the trend three times. As there was a strong uptrend recently, the trend line will continue to work as a trend line.\n\n![01 200 ma.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmR4wS8rV4RBgeErft1KpsPXcpeKpuurcVpqwK3Sakv8Fd/01%20200%20ma.png)\n\n200일 이동평균선을 뚫을 수 있는지도 중요해보입니다. 지난번 3번의 시도에서 실패했고 하락추세를 보여왔습니다.\n200 day moving average also seems important. Breaking it this time would propel a upward trend. We have seen it unable to break in the past three sessions. \n\n![01 rsi.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZpUukAq5yyGtdAwjpwC8R6A5enFDRviB4F22MDheo4hs/01%20rsi.png)\n\nRSI도 과매수 구간을 보이고 있기 때문에 잠깐 쉬어가는 것이 필요한 시점이기는 합니다. 당분간 박스권 안에서 움직일 것으로 보입니다.\nRSI shows current trade in over bought trade. We need some cooling off period and thus will likely move in a box. \n\n ![4.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfM5Wh164nEsJa8LqjZ3LTXerJJqx5TnCUkQfLijivwnT/4.png)\n\n전 고점이었던 7700 구간을 뚫고 왔기 때문에 당분간, 7700-8500 안에서 움직일 수 있겠습니다. \nWe will likely see movements within 7700-8500 territory for the time being.\n\n![5.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmes6PvjWBa6UC3HnYFB4snJvn8VLwV7eFf1VvwieeDCrG/5.png)\n\n최근 고점의 78.6%인 7917에서 1차 지지선으로 작용할 수 있겠습니다. 그곳이 뚫리면 7460 구간을 방어해야 합니다.\n78.6% of recent high, 7917, may act as a first line of defense. When that is broken, 7460 will be the next line of defense.\n\n비트코인에 대한 상방 추세는 여전히 유효하다고 봅니다. 비트코인 ETF가 일차적으로 상승에 대한 기대 요인으로 작용할 수도 있겠지만, 혹시 승인이 되지 않더라도, 해당 이슈가 만들어내는 노이즈는 궁극적으로 2019년 2월 전까지 승인이 될 것으로 보고 있습니다. \n\nI am still bullish on rising trend. While expectations for approval of bitcoin ETF may keep the market going up, even if it is not approved, the noise generated from this issue will likely help see approval before Feb 2019.",
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