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      "author": "honarparvar",
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      "title": "Chainlink from $14.2 till now ($20) and next? multi timeframe analysis",
      "body": "I have posted about #LINK since it was $14, bought at $14.242 (spot, swap on my wallet, not with leverage and not in any broker account and I recommend only this way!)\n\nhere is why I bought (which paid me off nicely), and what would I do from now:\n\nthe weekly timeframe:\n\n![LINKUSDT_2024-02-18_10-59-51.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPQ4gM28X98sbky2fJVr7RTB1CSDypxLgVZP2f7LXB3Ap/LINKUSDT_2024-02-18_10-59-51.png)\na sharp rise (OCT 2023 til NOV '23) after a long downtrend correction (May '22 till OCT '23) ended in another correction. on the candle starting 15th Jan 2024, there was a bullish divergence with 9 Oct 2023 dip.\n\nto get confirmation on this divergence, let's check daily chart. next candle was ranged between $13.5 and $15.9 which I bought @14.242\n\n![LINKUSDT_2024-02-18_11-05-38.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmewGRqywJvujYDFxzafDHNX5JydvEhmgcQiwn1YB68zhb/LINKUSDT_2024-02-18_11-05-38.png)\n\non daily chart, there is a hidden bullish divergence with 25th Jan's dip. I entered next day.\n\nwhat now?\nso far this position is almost 40% in profit. I believe a correction is on the way. $21-$22 can be a pick before the correction starts. the correction can be price wise (touching below demand levels like $17 or time-wise.\n\nI will sell half my position on the first bearish divergence in 1 or 4 hour chart and will buy again if I see a confirmed daily bullish div.\n\nwhy I don't sell all my position? because on the weekly basis, I still believe the bullrun continues :)\n\nimportant: \nthis is not financial advise.\nI don't use leveraged positions, leveraged tokens, future, CFD etc on crypto. \nI do not use brokers and centralized exchanges like binance kraken etc. I only swap on my wallet.",
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      "permlink": "why-don-t-i-buy-here-and-why-will-i-buy-then",
      "title": "why don't I buy here? and why WILL I buy then?",
      "body": "I have cashed out while ago from all my crypto positions, in to stable coins, and I wasn't very wrong since all of them started a side way range which can bother your mental health :)\n\n\nto be specific I check and trade these: LINK, GMX, ILV, ORDI, KAS, ADA, MATIC, FET, ALGO and ETH\n\nwhy I don't buy now and why do I believe very soon it will be time to buy back in?\n\nI share some charts with you, and all of them has this thing in common: there is a liquidity formed in daily charts, and below it there is a demand zone. these two together are enough reasons for me not to buy before that liquidity is collected and the demand zone touched. after that there would be a big opportunity for above supply zones, since the weekly charts are still bullish and there seem to be proper hidden divergences in the dips of weekly chart.\n\ntake a look:\n\nMATICUSDT\n![MATICUSDT_2024-01-22_00-12-11.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmU8jWqcWf1TzT7DqysHk9cRYjQNcEPuAYatwWh3ezddv8/MATICUSDT_2024-01-22_00-12-11.png)\n\nADAUSDT Cardano\n\n![ADAUSDT_2024-01-22_00-16-39.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbiaW3RKJV524XagWCtkaD67W3jKCNYLg8XncwhdTyfjt/ADAUSDT_2024-01-22_00-16-39.png)\n\nGMXUSDT\n![GMXUSDT_2024-01-22_00-14-33.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZeJBuXKALGMePgPitNwpH7Q26HTLkXVDNqJMfke3D5EB/GMXUSDT_2024-01-22_00-14-33.png)\n\nORDIUSDT\n![ORDIUSDT_2024-01-22_00-13-38.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWnyKiudMzqa7oaVv2c5VSQUcLebZPmxXYBemVYYfza5n/ORDIUSDT_2024-01-22_00-13-38.png)\n\n![3d-candles.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmS7mrEfgmQwBYFiR1mqXZPFCiEpL7r1Hvr36a3yaS4ieh/3d-candles.jpg)",
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      "title": "FET and LINK opportunities to multiple!",
      "body": "Bitcoin is in the bull run? yes I believe this and I have discussed it in last two posts: [Bitcoin Bull run again?](https://www.publish0x.com/honarparvar/bitcoin-bull-run-again-the-chart-speaks-itself-xdknele) and [Bitcoin's next week candle](https://www.publish0x.com/honarparvar/bitcoins-next-weekly-candle-xvzygxy)\n\nwell, if BTC goes up, alt coins rocket, sometimes with a lag which is mostly called Alt season or ALT PARTY.\n\nI prefer to manage my assets in a portfolio of few chosen coins including Bitcoin and some altcoins, instead of go all in bitcoin first and then try to catch the alt run wave. so, what are my altcoin selection?\n\nEthereum, ADA (Cardano), MATIC and LINK are definitely among them, FET (fetch.ai) and some other projects are also there. in this post I want to explain why LINK and FET are my two options.\n\nFETCH.AI\n\n\n![FETETH_2023-12-24_05-20-57.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcvdSsHTmb8UmbsHbuKHQS3Q1M26NXyzABC9fKNsVJjyG/FETETH_2023-12-24_05-20-57.png)\n\n\nthis is FETETH which shows a supply zone very likely to get there.\n\n\n![FETUSDT_2023-12-24_05-33-55.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcn9TRswaSPxaJYokXiK9WjedP4kstNags6Grqm61VrRg/FETUSDT_2023-12-24_05-33-55.png)\n\n\nand in this weekly chart of FETUSDT, any drop to blue lines (most likely the one which I have marked 3 in white font) as the demand area, has the potential for breaking away from the supply zone above, which is already used (penetrated)\n\nmy target price for FET is $2 and there is a tricky way for that calculation. tell me if you get it ;)\n\nabout LINK (ChainLink)\n\n\n![LINKUSDT_2023-12-24_05-51-25.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRb5HuGjUeMJsv3SHnys9yX6tNbwFGmBvkZSkJ6BSTcL7/LINKUSDT_2023-12-24_05-51-25.png)\n\n\nthere is a high probability for LINK to form a hidden divergence in Weekly timeframe after the current correction wave completed. in this case, next target based on the supply zones in the same time frame is $25.5\n\nI have sold my spot holding of LINK and I'm looking forward to buy back around the demand zones in the picture (but there are in 4h time frame) my favorite one is $14.3",
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      "body": "The weekly bar of Bitcoin will be closed in 7 hours from now, the last two candles are slightly bearish like a pause for previous strong bull bars.\n\nfor predicting the next weekly candle, I prefer to go to 4h chart: Based on the current price of Bitcoin and the technical analysis of the 4-hour chart, it is possible that Bitcoin could reach a price of $38,830 within the end of next week. This is a conservative estimate, as the price of Bitcoin could also go higher or lower depending on a number of factors, including:\n\nGlobal economic conditions: If the global economy continues to improve, this could boost the price of Bitcoin as investors seek out riskier assets.\nRegulatory developments: If there are any positive regulatory developments, such as the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF, this could also drive up the price of Bitcoin.\nNews events: If there are any major news events that impact the cryptocurrency market, this could also cause the price of Bitcoin to fluctuate.\n\n![BTCUSDT_2023-11-26_20-15-29.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmd3A37Zo3gDFm392RZioE9RGhtH43WpufJ27airQ1yHzd/BTCUSDT_2023-11-26_20-15-29.png)\n\nI believe in the coming weeks, BTC should retrace some of its gains for a more strong bull run toward the weekly supply: $44.2K - $48.1K\n\nIt is important to note that these are just predictions, and the actual price of Bitcoin could be different. Investors should always do their own research before making any investment decisions.",
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      "permlink": "bitcoin-bull-run-again-the-chart-speaks-itself",
      "title": "Bitcoin bull run again? the chart speaks itself",
      "body": "![BTCUSDT_2023-10-31_21-09-57.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZpSNCxsoJBgY9N6r7piqgc1DYKXZ78kixj7PABdcc3u6/BTCUSDT_2023-10-31_21-09-57.png)\n\nthis chart has been my roadmap for longterm Bitcoin trading since the beginning of 2023. \n\nthe weekly supply should be tested in my opinion. the two indicated imbalance zones strengthen this idea too.\n\nfundamentally, important issues for Bitcoin's long run are:\n- Regulatory and governance: though I believe Bitcoin is an so called succeeded act of anarchy and decentralization, still seems governors are playing a big role in people's mindset.\n- Security (of users) since the security of the blockchain itself doesn't seem to be an issue yet\n- Scalability: Bitcoin, comparing to rivals like ADA Cardano, has a limited capacity to process transactions, which depends on the size and frequency of the blocks that are added to the blockchain.\n\nBuy Bitcoin... or Altcoins?\nI do both. but once you considered the giant is going sideways after any spikes up, it will be wise to have more of good altcoins.\n\nwhat Altcoins do I consider good?\nhere is my list of favs: Cardano ADA - Ethereum ETH - Polygon MATIC - LINKCHAIN LINK",
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      "permlink": "a-longterm-bitcoin-btc-trend-i-expect",
      "title": "a longterm Bitcoin BTC trend, I expect",
      "body": "pure technical stuff here! no maximalist sh!t or news trading, some say fundamentals... nope! just TA...\n\nthis weekly chart of Bitcoin BTCUSDT and my comments below the chart:\n\n![BTCUSD_2022-11-15_13-44-47.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcHGi4X3jtbGUZMhgAmLRhMks81xkfQHZAccUPmuw1G2A/BTCUSD_2022-11-15_13-44-47.png)\n\nthere is a falling wedge, two pushes up with red circles, you can imagine a third push up hasn't reached the trend line (Aug 8th). so there is a gap there which is because of a hidden bearish divergence (June 6th and Aug 8th's peaks)\n\nALSO we can see a bearish divergence formed right now, so another attempt for below supports is \"expected\"; and then I will be waiting for a break out of this falling wedge.\n\nSo:\n\n1. from where this rally may start? I recommend ~$12.5k support. but it may start before reaching that level.\n\n2. how I will know the rally started? with a formed and confirmed bullish regular divergence in the two recent bottoms.\n\n3. when I enter? confirmation of said divergence.\n\nTarget?\nthe break out will be considered a wave (1). I expect 3 bullish waves and two corrections (pullbacks)\n\nimportant:\n\nnor the bullish waves neither corrections are not simple and sharp as the lines I have put on the chart! especially wave (4) is often a very complex and confusing wave.",
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      "title": "This Ethereum bearish divergence isn't perfect; but...",
      "body": "This Ethereum bearish divergence isn't perfect; but there are few other issues which may make you wonder of a short, like me:\n\n\n![ETHUSDT_2022-09-03_14-28-22.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZVtTVxhLbUT9wgWdQNb93jhWASYZoj4qKgYFsrbgD17M/ETHUSDT_2022-09-03_14-28-22.png)\n\n\n1. it's same direction with weekly bearish divergence! \n\n2. it has a little risk (close stop loss)\n\n3. the wedge would be more beautiful to break above, but it seems more like an endless pullbacks (more than 20 candles trapped in this trading channel)\n\n4. there are more red bars in the range, and they are getting bigger!\n\nso why shouldn't I risk a $1670 stop loss for a $1300 probable target?",
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      "permlink": "the-simplest-profit-target-entry-level-ever-explained",
      "title": "The simplest profit target/entry level ever, explained!",
      "body": "very simple and very useful:\n\nyou have a sharp rise or fall, the price makes a wedge or flag, you know there would be a correction, and then:\n1. wedge will reverse the trend\nOR\n2. flag will continue the trend\n\nwhere is the limit for correction to take profit from a trading range or enter a new trend?\n\n# 50% of the rally/drop\n\nfor example, look at below ETHUSDT chart:\n\n![ETHUSDT_2022-08-16_16-47-43.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVkojb4SVEutWSEd9nu7u9ZmXsUCAjwNy35gu7Nb7SHmV/ETHUSDT_2022-08-16_16-47-43.png)\n\nthe pink mark is slightly below 50% of the last drop. I may long till there or set up a short position from that level.",
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      "title": "An Elliott wave approach to analyze Ethereum 1h chart",
      "body": "let's consider the beginning and source of the current move, the lowest level of July 26th;\n\nElliott impulse wave 12345 leads us to the recent high;\nthe 3rd wave itself can be shown as a WXYXZ combo wave;\ndivergence is probable (highly) in 1h time frame and if it gets confirmation, next move can be the ABC correction waves.\n\nA ends up around the supply zone and C ends up 50% correction of the 12345 wave.\n\n![ETHUSDT_2022-07-29_03-07-22.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaKNrPrQShM1RcPdfvoVhF9V6Ky9kpkVCwXphzdqUxZ6R/ETHUSDT_2022-07-29_03-07-22.png)\n\nyou can play the chart to see how things went on since then here:\n\nhttps://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSDT/KshC9uxD-An-Elliott-wave-approach-to-analyze-Ethereum-1h-chart/",
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