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      "body": "Greg, Nice video.  I just saw your silver doctors video.  When you said you have no debt, just to be clear is a mortgage not debt?",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "I am right with you on this news.  Much to do about nothing.  I was licking my chops when I saw the futures drop.  I jumped in and out of a couple quick trades going long the S&P and made a tidy little profit.  Now wait and see for the next trade.",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "udn is a bear dollar etf you could look at.  Also you could buy a futures contract or play in fx trading.  Really it depends what you want to hedge against and how much money you are playing with.  There are also a handful of fx etfs which track usd against other currencies, like fxe which tracks usd against the euro for example.",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "I could totally tell what your drawing was.  Better than me.  I  thought the article said only in the delivery room during birth the woman should not be called \"she\" because they wanted to make it more personal experience which will make the mother more comfortable during birth.",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
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      "body": "I can see it is higher with your reports.  However, they are not the most recent balance sheet reports published from the FED.  If you look at the most recent data from the FED is is actually going down even when you compare year over year as my numbers show above in my comments and you can find them in the link to the FED's website which I also provided.",
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      "body": "![Fed. Balance sheet increasing..png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTPwZ78h2zKyFNZuQ31gwyZkE4g26Vz9NFk6WCCfdH4yL/Fed.%20Balance%20sheet%20increasing..png)",
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      "body": "Just look at the last data vs the year before. It is higher.",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "Greg year over year the FEED Balance sheet is down .  The normalization is apparently being out into effect.  \nFeb 23 2017 =$ 4.514 Trillion\nFeb 22 2018 $4.458 Trillion  \nHere is the Fed website link you can check for yourself.  \nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/\n\nHere is another link that explains the normalization program.  Where the first assets to come off the balance sheet is not until Oct 31st when the treasures expired.   \nhttp://www.businessinsider.com/fed-balance-sheet-normalization-is-happening-2017-12",
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      "author": "captivethoughts",
      "body": "very interesting, thanks for sharing.",
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      "author": "eyedoc",
      "body": "Wow, kind of like VOODOO huh ?![Koala.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXGSKbRFG4gCNfPYHQVWgL5mxbVTsHBSKxAZPS2b2XELG/Koala.jpg)",
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      "body": "Here is an interesting article.  It talks about how the fed reduced the balance sheet after Oct 25th which is the date reported in Gregs most recent report that he linked to.  \n\nhttp://www.businessinsider.com/fed-balance-sheet-normalization-is-happening-2017-12\n\n\"The Fed doesn't actually sell Treasury securities outright. Instead, it allows some of them, when they mature, to \"roll off\" the balance sheet without replacement. When the securities mature, the Treasury Department pays the holder the face value. But the Fed, instead of reinvesting the money in new Treasuries, destroys the money - the opposite process of QE, when the Fed created the money to buy securities.\n\nThis happens only on dates when Treasuries that the Fed holds mature, usually once or twice a month.\n\nIn October, the big day was October 31, when $8.5 billion of Treasuries on the Fed's books matured. The Fed reinvested $2.5 billion and let $6 billion \"roll off.\" Hence, the amount of Treasuries fell by about $6 billion from an all-time record $2,465.7 billion on October 25 to $2,459.8 billion on November 1.\"",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "I did some digging and found weekly reports on the FED balance sheet which have weekly reports.   It is interesting that the balance is in fact going down since the report Greg linked to from November 2017.  \nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "Hi Greg I enjoy your videos.  I think it may be a bit too early for your assumption that the fed lied.  It would have been helpful for you to provide a link to what the FED actually said about normalization of the balance sheet.  The link you provided shows the balance sheet as of  October 25 2017.  Is the FED only able to talk to published reports on its website and not what may have transpired over the last 4 months since the report?",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "So you are saying there is a chance!! :)",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "I would buy a bond in a secondary market transaction with a year or less until maturity depending if the yield to maturity is high enough.",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "Hi Greg what about the  VIX being rigged and is fake as well.  So Is there really fear out there, or is it just fake orders pushing the index around?",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "Hi Greg, so are you still holding your put spy trade?",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "I was debating with a friend of mine who is a gold bug about the performance of gold and fiat currencies.  \n\nSo my main points I was trying to make with him were:\n\n1. Although the USD is fiat and gold has gained against the USD this last year, we are seeing weakness in gold in against other fiat currencies.\n\n2. When the USD is referenced as crashing it is most commonly and almost exclusively benchmarked to other fiat currencies (not gold) which actually must have gains in order for the USD to crash. \n\nHe debated that gold had only been weak in terms of the USD over the last 5 years because of the strength of the USD.\n\nI  was thinking we should take a look at the price of gold in terms of the currencies that make up the USD index (this does not include China) for the last year and 5 years and put it into a spreadsheet to review.  Maybe there should be a factor for China, but I am not sure how to do that quickly into a weighted average so I just put that info below for reference.  Anyway, I grabbed the data and put it into a spreadsheet. \n\nWhat I found is was very interesting.  Over the last year using the USD index currencies that are measured against the USD, the index showed that gold actually went down overall  when you apply what percentage they make up of the USD index.  So in the last year the price of gold was -2.44% overall for the index.  For the last 5 years which accounts for the time the USD was strong gold had a weighted average of -10.71% drop (this excludes USD performance).\n\nSo the question is: Have we in fact entered in to a a global bull market for gold?  \nThe answer might not be as clear as we thought.  \n\n This data was complied on  February 6 2018 \n\n\t\t\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPWisJ1rYATUjtptcneQCsGxpHmxQLrRXFK2W6e2ijCvc/image.png)",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "I was debating with a friend of mine who is a gold bug about the performance of gold and fiat currencies.  \n\nSo my main points I was trying to make with him were:\n\n1. Although the USD is fiat and gold has gained against the USD this last year, we are seeing weakness in gold in against other fiat currencies.\n\n2. When the USD is referenced as crashing it is most commonly and almost exclusively benchmarked to other fiat currencies (not gold) which actually must have gains in order for the USD to crash. \n\nHe debated that gold had only been weak in terms of the USD over the last 5 years because of the strength of the USD.\n\nI  was thinking we should take a look at the price of gold in terms of the currencies that make up the USD index (this does not include China) for the last year and 5 years and put it into a spreadsheet to review.  Maybe there should be a factor for China, but I am not sure how to do that quickly into a weighted average so I just put that info below for reference.  Anyway, I grabbed the data and put it into a spreadsheet. \n\nWhat I found is was very interesting.  Over the last year using the USD index currencies that are measured against the USD, the index showed that gold actually went down overall  when you apply what percentage they make up of the USD index.  So in the last year the price of gold was -2.44% overall for the index.  For the last 5 years which accounts for the time the USD was strong gold had a weighted average of -10.71% drop (this excludes USD performance).\n\nSo the question is: Have we in fact entered in to a a global bull market for gold?  \nThe answer might not be as clear as we thought.  \n\n This data was complied on  February 6 2018 \n\n\t\t\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPWisJ1rYATUjtptcneQCsGxpHmxQLrRXFK2W6e2ijCvc/image.png)",
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      "title": "The Strength of Fiat (Gold May Still in A Bear Market Globally)"
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      "body": "It went into Bitcoin Cash",
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      "body": "Check out this S&P futures chart \n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYwQ86Uo2qTZv3WaTo7v21TFm5GNKmKyn8J1QK5dB79PD/image.png)\n\nI think this last part off the selloff (see chart) is the Asia markets freaking out after seeing what happened in the US when they woke up.  I wonder if Asia will step in and start buying today thinking the selloff was overdone, or if the fear will keep growing?",
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      "body": "Isn't it interesting that the DOW is the down more than the S&P and NASDAQ.  And as I am typing the S&P is down more than the NASDAQ.   Is this a bullish sign?",
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      "body": "It is possible that both of your trades will be losers, but it appears to be a smart move to me.  More than likely they will move in opposite directions.",
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      "body": "Yes using an IRA is a great point.  So much better than trying to deal with filing with the IRS for each buy of Bitcoin if you are in the US!  \n\nThe other part I am interested in is to see what the actual premium is on GBTC.  I just looked it up as of Jan 30 it is 67%.  You can actually see the market price compared to the NAV on the Grayscale website:\nhttps://grayscale.co/bitcoin-investment-trust/#market-performance",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "Hey Greg, I found out that Robinhood is setting up option trading with no trading fees.  It is not live yet but coming very soon according to them.  You may want to share this information with your followers if you have not already.  What a great thing especially traders starting out to avoid fees to help maximize their profits.",
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      "author": "happygolucky",
      "body": "Yes good point.  I agree.  The money has to go somewhere back into stocks we go.  I think it was some profit taking for another great month of gains.  With BABA earnings coming out on Thursday I think it a a great catalyst to help launch this market higher.",
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      "author": "bellakrinkle",
      "body": "Whew! We worked through a lot, thanks for hanging in here. However, in a complicated world nothing is certain!  I used Western countries to allow you to better hone in on some of what my perspective is, which seemed to help. And to answer your point about whose currency might it be safer to buy and hold, at this specific time personally USD would be my last choice. (but USD could reverse course and start back up again--This is what happens when the stock/currency markets are so totally MANIPULATED. ..fickle. this is what it means when they say there is no price discovery. Prices are not in a give or take fight between legitimate traders (investors)...because COUNTRIES buy up blocks to suit their agendas...and the Western countries all have the same play book. Does this sound fair to you? \n\nOK. back to the BRICS. There is controversy about whether or not the BRICS are secretly in on the Global Reset. Some think they are and others totally support the thesis that the BRICS want to construct a new paradigm for the world that is fair to humanity. Seemingly, the Western Elites want to depopulate the world so that Earth is not overpopulated..then the Elites will have the lions share of everything..(this is the abbreviated version)\n\nNow back to where is it best to put one's capital, profits, assets. Very smart analysts, financial advisors and experts all  say to put profits in gold and silver,- (NOT ETF's) -or other precious metals, land, real estate, some into cryptos...but not cash, CD's, equities...or anything held in banks, including pensions. And why do they all say to keep a basket of wealth outside the system? Because nothing is certain...nothing is predictable in this wild, crazy world. If we lose some assets, perhaps a different one of our holdings will keep us going. The important word to take away here is DIVERSIFY...because the bottom line is that NO ONE (or country) CAN BE TRUSTED.\n\nLOL....are we still on the same page?\n\nKeep in mind that Greg is a short term trader, helping us to capitalize on short term profits in a corrupt stock market. I'm certain that he knows and understands the big picture better than all of us. He cannot teach us everything...we just need to educate ourselves about markets and how they interrelate. It takes time to learn how we can get a handle on the big picture....especially when most of us are not working in the Financial Industry.![[Clio Team] 1916  Modigliani  Madame Reynouard  81x50 cm  ParisCollection ParticuliКre.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmb2e795iA5kieUC2Fove7RRViDkL9bZab5s7RnZbfSTVF/%5BClio%20Team%5D%201916%20%20Modigliani%20%20Madame%20Reynouard%20%2081x50%20cm%20%20ParisCollection%20Particuli%D0%9Are.jpg)",
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