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      "title": "Paradigm shifts in the Startup Scene",
      "body": "## For the last years we lived an amazing period. The tech industry and the startup culture experienced an exacerbated growth since the rise of incubators in 2011.\n\nIncubators (or later called accelerators) aren’t a new thing, YCombinator or TechStars have been around since 2005. However, like the tipping point of a process that took a decade to consolidate, they helped the ‘gold rush’ of Startups grew to the point to be called the new bubble. It’s now the moment to embrace the truth and let results speak for themselves?\n\nAccording to [Scott Maxwell] (https://medium.com/@scottsnews), there’s a growing sentiment that we’ve reached a precipice. Tech IPOs are down (and tech startups going public are generally under-performing), and the general VC euphoria seems to be dissipating. In Argentina and Latin America in general, investors turned almost exclusively to B2B or subscription-based models as more secure investments. Now accelerators started to co-invest in growing stage Startups as an intent to compensate ROI.\n\n![1-tufNPGpYiMqM4WkYYE9XuQ.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQfYbwi7zbXcbJWok5vKDU2gV18UEuRhkAFh7vnwqktkf/1-tufNPGpYiMqM4WkYYE9XuQ.png)\n\nSocial Media, E-Commerce, Consumer Apps, they were great trends for 2011–2013 when VC’s were willing to invest in almost everything, even companies with uncertain business models. No one is investing in you if you’re making a Social Network right now, but they possibly would back then. Trends evolve fast and markets change in consequence. 2014 has been a transition between the Internet’s old world and the new world: Social Media and Consumer apps were replaced by Bitcoin, Virtual Reality, Fintech, Educational platforms and B2B services. Companies with a more scientific-approach started to emerge. The industry is not just looking for new areas of innovation, but also for more mature, solid business models.\n\n> “The tech startup space at the moment resembles the story of the emperor with no clothes.” — Tallat Mahmood\n\nI have no doubts about the fact that Startups consolidated as one of the biggest drivers of job growth and economic growth, so [even if we’re facing or not another tech bubble] (https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-tech-bubble-worse-than-2000-mark-cuban), I don’t think the situation will be comparable to 2001. What can be seen as a recessive period (or *risk-off* period) could be the approximation of a stage of maturity instead.\n\nIn the other hand, this is a good opportunity in the short-term. In a highly populated ecosystem, this *risk-off* stage would kill startups with weak business models that previously relied on investor euphoria to grow. At the same time, it will probably make it more difficult for some startups to acquire the funding needed to put their ideas to work. In both cases, the output will be resourceful entrepreneurs stretching their creativity in order to survive and make better, more effective companies.\n\n### The (new) role of accelerators\nA few days ago I had the opportunity to meet Sam Wurzel, entrepreneur from NY, founder of [Octopart] (https://octopart.com/) (sold to [Altium] (http://www.altium.com/)) and *YCombinator* alumni. During our conversation, one of the things he said that caught my attention was the next statement: **“YCombinator is no longer willing to be just a company accelerator, but the future of education”**.\n\n![0-7NfrgJpbkZF1R9m7.JPG](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPUnrqMhkgSmCtQ9C6ZHfKKoYHo5SEFWES82EXBqAfGWC/0-7NfrgJpbkZF1R9m7.JPG)\n*Retention of Learning, Igor Kokcharov*\n\nIn other posts I declared myself as a [Learning by doing] (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experiential_learning) enthusiast. The fact that *YCombinator* understood that the acceleration process is mainly an educational experience (whether entrepreneurs have success or fail, they will end up learning a lot) is a very clever way of thinking the new education era. As a member of the first [Wayra] (http://wayra.co/ar) generation, I can say that participating in the acceleration process (8 months) meant the most intense and super fast learning environment of my life, part because I was 21 years old when I got in (I had everything to learn) and part because I basically entered with nothing but a prototype of my idea and a few clients willing to test it, and I had to build an entire business, a platform and a team over it.\n\nIs this a possible new approach for the industry? What is most important for the future, building companies or training entrepreneurs? I’m sure both are important, but in the long term I think the real impact can be measured on how many high-impact entrepreneurs (with potential to build more than 1 successful company in their lives) came from this kind of institutions rather than just successful companies.",
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      "body": "@@ -229,16 +229,24 @@\n lopment.\n+%3C/p%3E%0A%3Cp%3E\n One of m\n@@ -2411,16 +2411,24 @@\n othing.%3C\n+/p%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3C\n strong%3EL\n",
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      "body": "<html>\n<h2>Timing</h2>\n<p>Truth be told, my field of experience in the last years is is very little related to cryptography and maths. But I’ve always been curious about disruptive technologies when there are still in early development.One of my most significant experiences with innovation was with Virtual Reality. I was 17 years old when I felt powerfully atracted by the potential of this technology back in 2008. As a former gamer and <a href=\"https://www.google.com.ar/search?q=%22amulet+of+monkey+island%22\">independent developer</a> I was familiar with animation, 3D modelling, texturing and rendering from an early age, so the potential of Virtual Reality appeared to me as a clear evolution of CGI and interactive experiences. After some heavy research (such as literally interpreting chinese papers) and search for possible commercial applications, I developed a software completely based in Augmented Reality for Architects and Interior Designers. Probably the first of its kind.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/800/0*gSCus4i4VAGFXpxy.\" width=\"800\" height=\"535\"/></p>\n<p>With ARQ Technologies, users could see and modify its own home in real-time through a HMD (Head Mounted Display) and a Joystick.</p>\n<p>This project gained some interest from the media and I received a grant for the government to continue its development. For two complete years I persistently tried to sell the solution to retailers, architectural studios, independent designers, supply companies, furniture factories, even digital agencies. But back in that time absolutely nobody were interested in Augmented Reality. Much less, in an expensive combination of hardware and software that made customers look like martians. They left our demo meetings very impressed, but they just did not see the value of buying it. Despite some emerging designers that used my software in product presentations, it was an innovation ahead of its time but a commercial failure.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/800/0*JquUKrUGyPYI-3J3.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"470\"/></p>\n<p>Back in 2008, Augmented Reality was barely reaching the peak of inflated expectations according to the Gartner curve for Emerging Technologies</p>\n<p>I understood that there’s a time for innovation. Work in a technology that is way ahead of your time may cost a huge amount of time and resources, and it may end up in nothing.<strong>Learning: It’s</strong> <em><strong>always</strong></em> <strong>about timing.</strong></p>\n<h3>The arena</h3>\n<p>As a typical geek I became especially interested in Bitcoin and I spent time reading and watching referents, colleagues and companies build an ecosystem on top of this technology. That only fueled my curiosity to participate and learn more about it. I recently had the opportunity to be part of <a href=\"https://www.google.com.ar/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=1&amp;cad=rja&amp;uact=8&amp;ved=0ahUKEwjmssjI4u7QAhWFEpAKHVkECkgQFggaMAA&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.labitconf.com%2F&amp;usg=AFQjCNGU6BcqWhxY26hukCa2pQCFxflDNQ&amp;sig2=s3XpyE5GamUCS5BHEyPhtA\">laBITconf</a> and make contact with great experts in the field and an emerging community of developers.</p>\n<p>When learning about Blockchain I somehow feel again in 2008 when Virtual Reality was perceived as a very innovative technology with a not-very-clear future. I also feel again in 1999 when I downloaded Napster in my Pentium 286 clone and experienced by first hand how a technology as P2P was about to disrupt an entire industry. The why is simple: Despite nobody can predict if Bitcoin will succeed as a currency (<a href=\"https://medium.com/@octskyward/the-resolution-of-the-bitcoin-experiment-dabb30201f7#.mvmdvv2r2\">probably won’t</a>), there’s a common agreement that a technology that is securing billions of dollars around the world should secure many other assets as well.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/800/0*aeeYl-Q81sszgeNK.png\" width=\"800\" height=\"346\"/></p>\n<p>Number of Bitcoin transactions Per Day (source: blochckain.info)</p>\n<p><strong>Learning: Disruptive technologies generate friction in the present and are commonly accompanied with</strong> <em><strong>uncertainty</strong></em> <strong>about their success.</strong></p>\n<h3>The Blockchain</h3>\n<p>One of the first implementations of IBM’s tabulating machines enabled large organizations like the US Government and the Third Reich to process unprecedented amounts of data, setting new precedents and making the old methods obsolete. Something similar is happening in the present: The huge amounts of information the Internet produces made impossible for any single state or organization to control and proccess it completely.</p>\n<p>And since information is power, the paradigm of power changed radically with the rise of organizations that were born in the era of information versus traditional organizations carrying their own weight for centuries. <a href=\"https://theintercept.com/2016/04/22/googles-remarkably-close-relationship-with-the-obama-white-house-in-two-charts/\">Companies like Google are key resources for governments</a> because they control the modern mechanisms of information.</p>\n<p>But just as we were just adapting to the new scenario, a completely new player emerges: The Bitcoin network far exceeded the computing power of the 500 most powerful supercomputers in the world (and combined between them). And even crazier than that, this is possible because the Blockchain, the underlying technology, replaces the servers that power today’s online world with computing power and storage that we all share. It’s a network. No individual or company owns it, and anyone can participate in it. That’s game-changing. And it sounds quite reminiscent to the origins of the Internet.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/800/0*3kaMMy34Eup0yovm.png\" width=\"800\" height=\"425\"/></p>\n<p>The ‘<a href=\"https://blockchain.info/es/charts/hash-rate\">Hash Rate</a>’ is the unit of measure of the processing power of the Bitcoin network. When the network reaches a hash rate of 10 TH / s, it can do 10 billion calculations per&nbsp;second.</p>\n<p>The global trade network of today’s society is based in our trust in such fictional entities as the dollar, the Federal Reserve Bank and corporations. Blockchain, first conceptualized in <a href=\"https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf\">Satoshi Nakamoto’s paper</a>, is a peer-to-peer database that wipes out intermediaries and replaces that “trust” in a self managed, distributed network of computers (nodes) that guarantees its security and integrity. To use conventional banking as an analogy, the Blockchain is like a full history of banking transactions where every node in the network has a copy. Once a transaction is validated by each node in the network and registered in the Blockchain, it is permanent and unalterable.</p>\n<blockquote><em>The Internet was about replacing some intermediaries. Now the Blockchain is about replacing other intermediaries once again. — </em><a href=\"https://medium.com/u/f826ec76344e\"><em>William&nbsp;Mougayar</em></a></blockquote>\n<p>Blockchain is the utopia of consensus come true, and this distributed computing system sustained for 7 years and counting an entire economy without the need of a central authority.</p>\n<h3>The future</h3>\n<p>Blockchain’s potential is way beyond Bitcoin. This database is a very effective way to verify records, identities, authenticity, rights, work done, titles, contracts, and other asset-related processes involving trust. However, the technology has not yet reached its peak of maturity, and there are no large-scale deployments that make use of it. According to the <em>Gartner Curve of Emerging Technologies</em> showed above, Blockchain is raising a hype and it has probably 5–10 years ahead to reach the ‘Plateau of Productivity’, leading to the same dilemma I experienced with Virtual Reality a few years ago.</p>\n<p>The role of the many players involved (developers, startups, organizations and governments) should tend to shape the future of this technology for the next years collaboratively lowering barriers to its use and building alternatives and tools for its massive adoption.</p>\n<p>Blockchain has the power to change traditional corporate models, institutions, governance and ways of life. But there’s still a long way to go.</p>\n<p>Read more: <a href=\"https://medium.com/@guidosirna\">https://medium.com/@guidosirna</a></p>\n</html>",
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