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      "title": "20 年后，比特币们会是什么样子？这里做了 13 个预测（附带信心指数）",
      "body": "“预测未来是一件棘手的事情，因为要准确预测实在是太难了。\n\n但我们还是要去做（预测）。现在距离比特币白皮书发布已经快要10年了，就让我来预测一下未来20年比特币、区块链、其它加密货币和去中心化的演变吧。\n\n这篇预测文章，当我老了、头发都白了，再来读的时候，可能会发现它多么愚蠢，也有可能发现预测是多么精彩。无所谓了，不管结果如何，我的预测都做了。”\n\n1) 泡沫破裂 (★★★★★)\n2) 政府加密货币将兴起并繁荣 (★★★★★)\n3) 去中心化的加密货币会成为全球的一个(与其它制度)并行的经济运行制度 (★★★★☆)\n4) 加密货币的杀手级应用不大可能只是一个浏览器 (★★★★☆)\n5) 区块链只是\"去中心化共识\"的开始  (★★★★★)\n6) 加密货币的易用性将比现在要大幅提升  (★★★★★)\n7) 加密货币的应用协议将与加密货币本身剥离开来  (★★★★★)\n8) 加密货币世界将由4个占统治地位的基础币、50到100个小币种、以及无数个它们的变体、加上政府的加密货币共同组成  (★★★☆☆)\n9) 我们将会（在进化中的前所未有的新的经济系统中不断）学习那些我们不知道的经济学规律  (★★★☆☆)\n10) 将会有DAO（去中心化的自治组织）成长为财富500强 (★★★☆☆)\n11) 临时工的工作形式取代全职工作会获得巨大发展  (★★★☆☆)\n12) 区块链还将不可避免地被用在各种各样的邪恶用途 (★★★★★)\n13) 比特币未来生存下来的概率为50%  (★★★☆☆)\n\n\n“如果你正在从事加密货币的工作，那么恭喜你，你正在打造未来世界，但请不要急于一时，未来不会一周就建好。\n惯性会拖慢一切事物，包括腾飞中的火箭。\n\n好好享受这个过程吧，这可是去从来没有人到过的未来世界！”\n\n原文作者 Daniel Jeffries ，完整英文版在这里:  https://hackernoon.com/what-will-bitcoin-look-like-in-twenty-years-7e75481a798c\n\n![Screen Shot 2017-11-14 at 12.46.11 PM.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUYR18pwQrmBaZzp4xHzGZ3ibukGWAg2dR8YfXDzuddJZ/Screen%20Shot%202017-11-14%20at%2012.46.11%20PM.png)",
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      "title": "What Will Bitcoin Look Like in Twenty Years? 13 Predictions with Confidence Meter",
      "body": "\"Prediction is a tricky business. It’s so easy to be wrong and so hard to be right.\n\nBut that’s exactly what we’ll do here. Since we’re rapidly approaching the ten year anniversary of Bitcoin’s whitepaper publication, I’ll attempt to project out twenty years to see the evolution of Bitcoin, blockchain, alternative cryptocurrencies and decentralization.\n\nThis is the type of article that will look unbelievably foolish or incredibly brilliant when I’m old and gray.\"\n\n1) The Bubble Bursts (★★★★★)\n2) Government Cryptocurrencies will Flourish (★★★★★)\n3) Decentralized Cryptocurrencies Will Become a Parallel Economic Operating System for the Planet (★★★★☆)\n4) The Killer App for Crypto is NOT a Browser (★★★★☆)\n5) Blockchain is Just the Beginning of Decentralized Consensus  (★★★★★)\n6) Crypto Will Get a LOT Easier to Use  (★★★★★)\n7) The protocols of Coins will Get Abstracted from the Coins Themselves  (★★★★★)\n8) We will have Four Dominate Meta Coins, Plus Fifty to One Hundred Minor Coins, and Infinite Virtual Variations of These Coins, Plus State Coins  (★★★☆☆)\n9) We’ll Learn We Didn’t Know Crap About Economics  (★★★☆☆)\n10) A DAO Will Grow to Fortune 500 Status (★★★☆☆)\n11) The Gig Economy Will Grow Big Time  (★★★☆☆)\n12) The Blockchain Will Enable All Kinds of Evil (★★★★★)\n13) Bitcoin Has a 50/50 Shot At Surviving  (★★★☆☆)\n\n\"If you’re working on crypto then you’re building the world of tomorrow but don’t expect it to arrive next week.\nInertia has a way of slowing down even the fastest rockets.\nJust enjoy the ride while we boldly go where no one has gone before.\"\n\nOriginal Link and Full Version of the Predictions by Daniel Jeffries:  https://hackernoon.com/what-will-bitcoin-look-like-in-twenty-years-7e75481a798c",
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