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      "title": "秘密：从韭菜到不断分叉繁殖的蒜苗",
      "body": "版权声明\n\n本文首发自微信公众号：朝闻夕作\n\n作者：falseplanet\n\n区块链技术可以让我们的未来更加美好，但是在当下，你应该知道以下几点。  \n\n\n\n01 当前的市场是零和市场\n\n在大多人眼里，区块链就和大数据或者人工智能一样抽象，但是不同之处就是区块链这个词和许多百倍千倍的造富神话紧密相连，而且看起来带有区块链标签的资产和代币可以让普通人在很短的时间内实现财富自由。\n\n但是，一个很实际的事实就是大多数人在区块链资产投资上是赔钱的，为啥，因为当下的许多区块链项目本身都还没有给整个社会带来一些实实在在的效益和效率的提升，当前的市场是一个零和市场，大部分人都会成为韭菜命，只有少部分“运气好”的人会成为蒜苗，可以让自己分叉长出更多的小蒜苗，在这个世界中不断繁殖。\n\n\n\n02 不做韭菜\n\n在区块链世界中，其实韭菜命是可以避免的，逆天改命其实并没有那么难。成为蒜苗很简单，持续定投，不追涨杀跌。这个策略虽然很简单，但却不容易。你想想自己从开始进入到现在，到底有没有一直在做定投？有没有追涨杀跌过？反正我是没有完全做到。\n\n\n\n所以不做韭菜很不容易，但是我们可以明确的一点是，大部分人都是这样的，所以也不必泄气，慢慢来一步步更正就是。怎么更正？只有学习，不然我们凭什么比那些长期耕耘在这个世界中的人活得更好，赚更多的资产？\n\n\n\n\n03 学习几个核心策略\n\n1. 定投对于绝大部分人而言就是均价最低的投资策略。这一点对于刚开始接触投资的小伙伴来说可能非常难以理解，想着这个问题这么简单，只要在股票的最低点买入不就得了，但是事实是这样想都是事后诸葛亮，当你在当下去预测未来的价格的时候就非常难，到底有多难?就连我们的股神巴菲特之前在抄底苹果股票的时候买入的价格比最低价也高出很多。如果你能力可以超过股神的话，记得联系我，我要做你的首席大弟子。\n\n\n\n所以说，不间断的定投就是最好的投资策略。\n\n\n\n2. 抓重点才能事半功倍。这个世界上的许多事情都是有核心要点的，就像区块链资产一样，光比特币一家的占比就在25%以上，在前几年更高至百分之八九十。如果在之前你将自己的主流资金注入比特币的话，现在缩水的百分比也不会很大。到这里估计有一大帮人纷纷躺枪，没关系，大家都一样。\n\n\n\n3. 不断提升自己的认知才是最大的保障。为什么这样说，其实到现在一直有好多很早就进入区块链世界但是一直还是韭菜的人，这些人之所以没有成功的最大的原因就是没有搞懂自己投资的区块链项目，所以当然拿不住，在一次次价格的涨涨跌跌中不断地被甩下车，再买票上车，再被甩下车......如此反复，直到现在。\n\n\n\n所以，这世界最终还是很公平的，没有那个认知，即使坐在金山上也会被自己的无知打败。最好的事情当然是自己的认知高度永远在可以驾驭自己财富的基本要求之上。为了将来可以拿得住，默默的现在开始学习最重要，智识链高度的提升才是一切持续成功的前提。",
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      "body": "版权声明\n\n本文首发自微信公众号：朝闻夕作\n\n作者：falseplanet\n\n市场短期是投票机，长期是称重机。         ——本格雷厄姆\n\n\n\n三点钟的火终于烧完了，熊熊的火留下的灰烬没有一点点生机。区块链世界中用钱投票的活动已经慢慢冷了下来，各个微信群里发消息的也越来越少，一切都回归了平静和平凡。\n\n\n\n\n\n01 很少人读白皮书\n这两天碰见好几位积极阅读白皮书来问我问题的朋友，并没有太吃惊，因为上一次参加金马圈北京站聚会的时候就发现没有几个人认真读过Steem的白皮书，90%以上的人对Steem中的三种代币系统一无所知。由此我更震惊的发现原来真的有90%的人是蒙着眼睛冲进来的，所谓的EOS如何如何好，好到成为自己的信仰——“价值币”，估计都是反反复复听别人讲了好多遍被催眠的效果，自己都不知道自己的信仰起源于哪里。也许有好多人觉得我故弄玄虚，但是事实并非如此，不信你就拿这几个问题私下问你的区块链好友：\n\nETH总量有多少个？\n\nEOS总量是多少个？\n\nEOS凭什么免费转账？\n\n如果你也不知道，就不要问别人了，同时也应该告诉自己一个事实，这场熊市才刚刚开始。当90%以上的参与者都不是合格投资人的时候，你觉得投票机能有多好？其中的道理也只有很少一部分老司机洞悉，很不幸我也属于后知后觉的大部分。\n\n\n\n\n\n02 开始读白皮书\n开始重新读白皮书吧，只有弄懂了自己花钱买的东西，才能在一次次的涨跌中不被甩下车。只有让白皮书的内容在自己的大脑中多来回演绎几遍，才会理解其中的逻辑，同时更清晰的看到未来，也更能挨过黎明前的黑暗，还能在黄昏的时候知道一切都还早着呢。\n\n\n\n心灵按摩和装死是最假的逃避，反倒是踏踏实实的研究和面对才能过得更好。所以，开始补拉下的功课，读白皮书吧！",
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      "body": "版权声明\n\n本文首发自微信公众号：朝闻夕作\n\n作者：falseplanet\n![金马图.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUntXH5Yy7ScnpY58XN6iyz2VixtMcfBQBDAe4pqXVJxU/%E9%87%91%E9%A9%AC%E5%9B%BE.jpg)\n引子：之前由于运气好报名金马圈2018年北京线下聚会被选中了，所以今天中午就愉快的和本小组的各位老大碰了头，然后下午有在张自忠路地铁站附近的一个小会议厅一直待到晚上九点才结束（详情下篇再聊）。在开始之前金马老大给了三个命题作文，其中最后一个问题就是：\n\n“3.如果金马的社群发token，你觉得如何设计规则更合理？以此类推，社群如果通过token来改变社群内的生产关系？” \n\n我之前做17年总结的时候说过18年希望自己可以从一个旁观者变成一个参与者。这第三道问题刚好正中我下怀，于是就愉快的开始借鉴各种优秀套路来积极开始自己的方案设计。\n\n\n\n\n\n01 Token发行规则：币乎+撒糖果+Mixin\n\n我在设计发币规则的时候着重借鉴了三大套路：\n\n\n\n币乎只送不卖模式——解决政策问题（非法集资）\n\n白名单发糖果模式——实现亲疏有别（给金马圈成员发福利）\n\nMixin分享传播模式——加速网络效应（获取更多用户）\n\n\n\n参照币乎模式的具体做法就是比如每个注册用户送100金马币(JMB)。\n\n\n\n参照白名单发糖果的做法就是按照加入金马圈的先后顺序赠送Token，比如说前100名每人赠送1000个JMB；200-500名每人赠送500个；500-2000名每人赠送250个JMB等等\n\n\n\n参照Mixin邀请模式就是每邀请一个人就会送一部分代币。比如说你邀请了小明，然后送你10个JMB；然后小明邀请了小黑，又送你8个JMB；小黑邀请了小白，又送你6个JMB，依次类推到第六层都会送你代币。\n\n\n\n\n\n02 JMB发行总量及分配\n\n1.发行总量：1亿\n\n\n2.发行规划分为三部分：激励池、金马基金会和团队期权。\n\n\n\n激励池拥有0.5亿个JMB,占比50%.用于发奖励、糖果、快速吸引注册新用户、吸引和激励意见领袖，实现网络效应。\n\n\n\n金马基金会拥有0.3亿个JMB,占比30%. 基金会为非盈利组织，这一部分负责保证项目的开发和运行顺利落地及后续发展。\n\n\n\n开发和运营团队期权拥有0.2亿个JMB,占比20%.分五年行权，每年4%.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n03 JMB回收规则\n\n1.系统每天每人收取0.1JMB作为会员费用，这样刚开始注册每人送的100JMB就可以用三年。\n\n\n\n2.回收的代币用途： \n\n\t奖励内容分发 \n\n\t奖励新注册用户\n\n\t底层支持费用开支 \n\n\t销毁回收代币的千分之一\n\n\n\n3.损失厌恶会让用户积极参与赚币活动\n\n\t比如投稿、点赞和转发。\n\n\n\n4.有无代币锁定的差别就在于能否参与某些赚币活动以及点赞赚币多少的区别。\n\n\n\n\n\n04 其他玩法\n\n1.上交易所，比如DEW、以德以及BigONE（加入Candy盒子）。\n\n\n\n2.加入Candy盒子、布洛克城（GXS生态）以及知名糖果计划提升影响力。\n\n\n\n3.举办抓住超级用户的活动，情怀+利益双捆绑。比如举办JMB发行一周年有奖征文活动，给优秀的作品发放JMB作为奖励等活动。  \n\n\n\n\n\n05 总结\n\n之所以设计一个代币回收的规则，就是为了构建一个不同于币乎的竞争体系，解决币乎送币模式导致的浪费问题，因为可能许多人注册币乎只是为了薅羊毛，在币乎注册之后根本不会去用币乎这个软件。\n\n\n\n其次这种做法还可以保证奖励池的资金来源以及整个JMB系统的运行成本有保证。\n\n\n\n这个新体系更多的好处就不一一展开了，新体系的套路模型可以参考Steem模式+国内互联网知名产品（滴滴、支付宝等）补贴用户然后再回本的套路。",
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      "title": "李笑来老师第一次公开谈无代币系统",
      "body": "版权声明\n\n本文首发自微信公众号：朝闻夕作\n\n作者：falseplanet\n\n之前在自己的小密圈中吹牛说自己和笑来老师的同步率已经高达98%，就剩下还有2%没有同步到，这2%就是Mixin如何实现账务公开和无币区块链的技术到底是怎么一会事？这个一直困扰着我，也在不停的阻止我加仓Mixin，因为不懂不投啊，但是我还是默默的攒够了10个XIN，准备随时再买一些。\n\n\n\n今天在早上在刘娟娟大佬建的Pressone分享群中看到了《金融人事》中有一篇文章阐述无代币区块链的最新消息，其中还简单提到了Mixin系统的技术概要，当下就是花了299订阅了《金融人事》来一睹为快，现在已经看完，感觉很有信心，只剩下坐等意外的好运(serendipity)了. \n\n\n\n《金融人事》是财新网秘制收费单品，财新网的主编就是得到专栏大咖王烁老师，其中内容的公正性和真实性可见一斑，所以对无代币系统感兴趣的各位可以扫二维码关注了解详情，下图是我的邀请二维码，欢迎各位尊重知识的价值付费关注：\n![金融人事.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaAitiTZgQ4tJhwWNyqxAQJpyCmTumHVNbSLcKUsQF9FJ/%E9%87%91%E8%9E%8D%E4%BA%BA%E4%BA%8B.jpg)",
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      "title": "我参与的币圈金马奖北京站",
      "body": "版权声明\n\n本文首发自微信公众号：朝闻夕作\n\n作者：falseplanet\n![金马3.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRSzR6LFPgfGUKtTJ8EHbLhsUW4RTLfaVhrZi94BgUVCT/%E9%87%91%E9%A9%AC3.jpg)\n真的是很幸运，第一次参加所有人都比我有钱的活动，以后希望可以把“所有”换成“有些”。\n\n\n\n\n\n01 都比我有钱\n\n在开始之前我们二组的聚了一波，有就职于某黄金基团的徐大哥，有内蒙羊肉币-准发行人-币圈小吴组长，有老虎证券李公子，还有立志成立国内第一个数字货币投行的陈老大。都比我有钱，都比我有钱途。\n\n\n\n刚开始金马老大的演讲，这个有直播就不说内容了，感觉就是要办大事的大佬风格。比我有钱，比我有钱途。\n\n\n\n然后就是大家的个人介绍，一个个金光闪闪的标签哗哗的钻进耳朵里，这位牛逼，那一位更牛逼，各种老总，矿霸，投资神人和日更狂人。都比我有钱，都比我有钱途。\n\n\n\n\n\n02 有一种焦虑叫一天如一年\n\n好几位金马团队成员都分享了自己的焦虑，涨了后悔和焦虑自己没有太多的币，跌了后悔没有早点出来，更后悔没有再多的资金进行抄底，总之就是涨也焦虑，跌也焦虑，时时刻刻在捉急。\n\n\n\n但是大家最后克服焦虑的方法是类似的，只关注自己可以解决的事情，其他的不多想，小小的节制却是大大的幸福，大家几乎都用斯多葛派哲学来抚平自己的焦虑。改变自己可以改变的事情，不为自己无法施加影响的事情糟心，遇到自己无法搞定的事情慢慢接受就好。\n\n\n\n\n\n03 这帮人是很会思考的努力者\n\n成功和盈利一样，是偶然事件，是运气。\n\n\n\n参与聚会的牛人们好几位都提到了这一点，包括金马老大，我提前想通了这件事还是蛮幸运的，因为我还没有成功。你想想，你努力，和你一样看到机会、聪明且努力的人多得是，只不过是运气好早点出头而已，但是成功者无疑都是既聪明又肯在关键时刻下苦功夫的人。\n\n\n\n就像投资一样，虽然智慧>时间>资本，但是对于金马圈的各位而言，现在恐怕最重要的不是智慧和时间吧，因为在这些方面大家几乎都在同一个基准线上了，现在最重要的是资本！虽然我很不想提让自己心痛的事情，但是这是事实，我还知道金马圈一大半人和我一样，所以我不难受，不焦虑，斯多葛派哲学再次请出来震一下场子。\n\n\n\n成功的大牛们给我的感受就是，牛人也是人，我也可以，默默的学习，提升自己，时刻准备寻找和抓住属于自己起飞的机会。每天默念三遍重要的事情：我是有前途的！我是有前途的！我是有前途的！\n\n\n\n\n\n04 以我为中心\n\n参加线下活动最重要的是遇见做到的人，这样就会对自己有多维度全方位的刺激，让自己的体验更丰富。当自己不断地从自己臆想的世界中解放出来，用旁观者的角度来重新审视自己和别人。没有什么比面对面坐着，自己灵魂出窍到天花板上向下以更大的格局和视野来重新审视自己和别人的不同属性的异同更有意思了。这个时候，我不是我自己，我感受的是整个空间中所有人的不同属性。\n\n\n\n到最后，一切都还是回到以我为中心，所见所闻都回归到自己的认知框架上来，觉得有意思的重点研究，和自己认知框架很接近的很轻易可以吸收，和自己认知树离得太远的无法迅速吸收的只能默默的放下，等将来再说。\n\n\n\n最后总结一下，经历塑造人生，经历创造意义，一切全方位多维度的亲身经历都是宝贵的人生意义之源。",
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      "body": "版权声明\n\n本文首发自微信公众号：朝闻夕作\n\n作者：falseplanet\n\n熟悉我的小伙伴都清楚我本人非常看好交易所代币，原因也很烂大街——很简单清晰的赚钱机器。之前在小密圈里说话就做过一个比方，如果说比特币是区块链世界中的央行的话（负责发行钞票），各个交易所就是区块链世界中的商业银行，是专门赚利差的机构。这玩意儿可凶残了，高频刚需大市场，每一笔交易动辄就是0.2%的薅羊毛，现在最大的交易所币安每天交易量一百多亿，每天的交易费收入恐怕也没几个项目成功后的业务能跟得上。\n\n\n\n我们把时间调回到一年之前，还没有人知道或者想到区块链资产交易所也能发行代币，但是那个时候Steem系统已经横空出世一年。\n\n\n\n在这一年的时间中，首先是币安交易所率先发行代币并推出回购销毁代币的策略, 从此世界上第一个会通缩的交易所代币诞生。随后Bigone和DEW紧跟其后，到今年已经有多个交易所被这股大风裹挟着主动或被动的开始发行代币谋求更进一步的发展，区块链资产交易所行业已经发生大变革。具体情况请看我根据2月27号某时间点的价格绘制的区块链资产主要交易所发行代币的统计表格：\n![交易所代币一览.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPc7hze4vfpG68qKVrWsgDF2oJnw2PMybdSgGmagSsqRA/%E4%BA%A4%E6%98%93%E6%89%80%E4%BB%A3%E5%B8%81%E4%B8%80%E8%A7%88.png)\n\nOTB（忘了填进去）、HT和OKB都是跟随BNB的交易费抵扣动作，用返回部分交易费的方式来给参与交易活动的每一位贡献者（交易者）一定的回报，交易量越大返回的交易费就越多。\n\n\n\n相较于没有发行代币的交易所，这些变革后的交易所可以更好的自己的用户形成利益共同体，普通用户可以通过购买和持有交易所代币来分享交易所成长带来的利润，而交易所也因为和用户发生了更强的利益连接得到更进一步的发展和壮大。所以现在ZB、火币、和OK这些已经很成功的巨头也都纷纷跟上潮流，继续谋求成为下一个阶段的巨头。\n\n\n\n就这还只是Steem系统在交易所行业挂起的一阵风而已，未来在更多需要有大量用户参与的系统或行业中，账务公开+按劳分配将会引发更深刻的变革，带来更大的变化。当然，结果只会越来越好，越来越和谐。如果你还没意识到大量用户的力量，请参考GAFATA(Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple, Tencent, Alibaba).",
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      "body": "@falseplanet, 比特币就是信仰！但是我一直有点犹豫要不要点赞，说出来你可能不信，我练过一阳指，我这个赞要是点下去，你搞不好会死！",
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      "title": "你能在熊市保护自己吗？",
      "body": "版权声明\n\n本文首发自微信公众号：朝闻夕作\n\n作者：falseplanet\n\n自己进入区块链世界已经是第二年了，到现在为止自己对于区块链的经济逻辑的学习已经算是入门，也参加过许多活动，包括积极地去千聊上面开课，开自己的小密圈，去金马定投圈讲课，去参加金马圈北京站的线下活动以及后续的活动等等。\n\n\n\n一直到现在自己越来越清晰的感觉到绝大部分进入这场洪流或者说泥石流的人都没有办法保护自己。\n\n\n\n也就是说即使在去年那么牛的牛市之中，绝大部分的人是亏钱的，更不用说现在的熊市。为什么这么说，答案很简单，你看看现在的区块链世界，哪些项目有能力为这个世界输出足够的价值？要知道这可是一个万亿级人民币的市场，但是其输出的业务相比而言可就无比惨淡了！\n\n\n\n从这一点出发分析的话，现在的市场就是一个零和市场，唯一的赢家就是交易所和部分割韭菜的波段操作手。现在的市值是真真正正的想象共同体，也就是说是人们发大财的美好愿望支撑起来的市值。在未来，想象共同体会慢慢的瓦解，其带来的结果就是市值的蒸发，韭菜们黯然伤神的离开，只剩下真正的蒜苗使劲的生长和分叉，最终成为下一个牛市的参天大树。这些大树的树干就是下一轮牛市中新韭菜提供的养料。\n\n\n\n那么，作为一个刚入场的预备役韭菜，如何才能保护自己？如何才能将自己进化成一次可以分叉成多个假韭菜的蒜苗？如何才能保护自己不被熊市伤害？\n\n\n\n答案只有一个——学习学习再学习！熊市的时候最适合学习了，你在这个时候选择进入区块链世界是最好的时候。首先，你不会有在牛市中天天忙着赚钱的妄念，因为熊市中普遍行情惨淡，阴跌不断。\n\n\n\n其次，因为不断有跌的消息，所以你应该不会着急上车，车就在那里，晚一点上车说不定还可以买到更多的代币呢。这些因素都会让你更加冷静一些，这个状态最适合学习了，或者说构建自己对于区块链世界中各种资产的想象空间。\n\n\n\n当然，对投资对象的想象并不是天马行空，是需要经过严格的训练才可以获得的能力。那么你应该如何训练自己的投资想象力？\n\n1.多读关于投资的经典书籍，最好是股票类比较资深的，比如说巴菲特系列，芒格系列的经典书籍。只有读多了才会理解一个经典金句：“市场短期是投票机，长期是称重机”。\n\n\n\n2.重新开始学习区块链知识，最好从比特币开始，只要学懂了比特币运行的逻辑，就相当于完成了50%的入门进度。任何东西，只有搞清楚了才可以理解并应用判断好坏的标准。只有自己可以有判断的标准，才不会因为别热一句XXX是价值币就毫无主见的跟着当韭菜。\n\n\n\n3. 努力提高自己的赚钱能力，其实这个是说给我自己的，因为当你入门之后，你会发现每一个阶段都会有无数的人和你一样的聪明和努力，即使你看懂了，没有足够的资金也是没有任何效果的，这就是知易行难的典型案例。多少人因为没有足够的资金而在牛市来的时候拿不到巨大的收益，即便他们都很聪明，都看到了趋势和未来。\n\n\n\n如果你刚开始，欢迎你进入区块链世界，更欢迎你采纳我的建议和给我点赞，我在下一个牛市等你。",
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