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      "title": "雄狮一旦不想交配，组成基佬天团，就会大件事了！",
      "body": "雄狮一旦不想交配，组成基佬天团，就会大件事了！\n其实雄狮最好还是去想母狮子的事。\n因为雄狮一旦不想要老婆了，事情就很麻烦了。\n博茨瓦纳保护区就出现过这种奇葩事件，六只雄狮搞了个草原基佬团，这六个奇怪的家伙根本不“结婚”，也不继承狮群，对于繁衍后代也没有任何渴望。\n他们唯一的目的就是“变强”，然后去打仗。\n这六头狮子有一个共同点，就是他们都是从“后爸”手里活下来的。\n众所周知，流浪雄狮在打败老狮子王后就会干掉老国王所有的雄性后代、透发母狮的发情，然后干掉老国王所有的雄性后代，诱发母狮的发情，然后开始交配产生自己的后代。\n但是“六狮联盟”的老大恩格拉里克(当然是人类给他起名字)比较特殊，这小子当年成功跑掉了，没有被自己的后爸干掉，而后一直流浪在荒原上当食腐动物(太小了没法捕猎)，甚至还跟着鬣狗群一起生活了一段时间。\n而其后的五头雄狮子，全部都是一样的出身，都是一样在后爸手里活下来成功跑掉的“落难王子\"。\n很多研究学家认为可能就是这种不正常的出身导致了这六个老哥缺乏正常狮子的社会性，也没有创建族群的欲望。\n而且不知道怎么，这六头狮子混到一起去了，然后组建了一个六人天团，开始了他们的征服之路。\n\n六兄弟里有两头基因相当不错，长的非常大，加上人多势众，那些有狮群的雄狮子根本打不过他们，被他们轻松的干掉了。\n但是问题来了，不知道是不是这六头狮子童年创伤的缘故，他们拒绝组建家庭和狮群，干掉当地的雄狮子后就会连带着把雌狮子也做掉。\n甚至观察者们发现，六狮联盟有时候竟然会吃掉被他们杀死的雄狮子。\n当时动物学家们就傻眼了。\n\n我什么场面没见过这场面我真没见过\n如果把正常交配下崽子的雄狮子看做“正常人”,那这六个老哥就是“精神病杀人狂”了。\n六狮一路上干掉了二百多头同类，只要跟他们有猎场交集的狮群都会被其上门“沟通交流”，而且沟通完了必然留下一地尸体。\n最后当地的工作人员坐不住了，在这么下去保护区都没得开了。只能用麻醉枪和人工运输的方式把六只狮子拆开放到不同的地方去了，这才挽救了当地的狮子社会，不然这六个家伙可能会把当地狮子社会彻底掀翻了，给狮群一点精神震撼。\n\n所以建议，母狮子还是给雄狮子分点食吧，你不分给他们，兄弟接纳了他们，那他们会干怎么想都不敢想的事。\n\n话说回来，人类是不是无意中打断了狮子种群进化的过程啊。\n因为六狮联盟里还出现了一种诡异的情况，那就是他们的头目是资历最老年纪最大的恩格拉里克，而不是个头最大最能打的瑞斯塔，这也是一个很诡异的情况。\n换言之，因为恩格拉里克在瑞斯塔幼年的时候曾经悉心的照顾他带着他觅食，导致瑞斯塔即使在变得比老大更强壮后仍然臣服对方，这个事在狮子社会里本来是不存在的。\n感觉如果没有人类管理，这群狮子搞不好会发展出“国王和武士”阶级来，出现可以容纳大批雄狮子的新式狮群，进而改变原有的原始社会状态。\n会不会一开始人类就是靠着这种机缘巧合一步一步进化的?\n\n![GCVi_qcasAAC1bM.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfLLVRPPof9qxi2UzVqDCDSuirx1Ja3pT6mfrqZE7GeYg/GCVi_qcasAAC1bM.jpg)",
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      "title": "如何判断一个人的社会阶层",
      "body": "抛开性别谈共性，判断一个人社会阶层的标准其\n实就两个字，“心力”。\n心力不足，或者心力下滑的人，就是“下流阶层”。\n也许，一个人出生优渥，但是只要无法维系原生\n家庭那个层面的人脉，其实就已经出现了阶层下\n滑的征兆。\n钱是短期内有效，但长期来看无效的判断标准。\n上个世纪80、90年代那一批私人煤老板，现在\n100个里面大概有95个都破产，资不抵债。\n钱是流动性最强的权力，但也是最不保值的资\n产。所以做生意的人是最容易出现阶层滑落的，\n都不需要等到下一代，自己这一代也许不超过一\n二十年就会出现“心力衰退”。\n体制内的家庭好一点，因为权力是保值的，体系\n给人穿了能量的金钟罩，稳定住了极不稳定的心\n力资源。\n不过，权力是极难获得的，所以，更多体制内人\n士，是在攀爬失败中缴械投降，降低野心以调整\n自己的频道卡在某个点位上，\n但是这样一种降低能量的活跃程度来成就卡位的\n代价就是，体制内中层的下一代，心力通常都不\n如父辈充足。父辈余晖照耀到下一代截止，到孙\n子辈的日子基本是平常百姓人家。\n一个人的社会阶层，抛开年轻时候烧不干的心火\n和原生家庭的馈赠，\n人到中年，如果不找到一个给心弦续上香火的法\n子，婚姻是救不了你的。\n高娶吞针，低嫁吃屎，心力不足、无法内生性创\n造心力和给另一半输送多余心力的人，迟早会迎\n来婚姻的一地鸡毛。\n所以，从婚姻不顺、事业不顺、子女不孝的中年\n人身上都能看到阶层滑落的暗影，\n没有人的一生是一帆风顺的，但心力旺盛的人能\n见招拆招，把所有人生问题尽量解决在萌芽。如\n果出现了家人重病，创业失败，或者子女确实烂\n泥扶不上墙，心力强的人会迎难而上，咬牙加\n持，或者至少做到逻辑自洽一总之表现出来就是\n没有内耗的精神状态，\n同时仍然在积极承担家庭责任，处理事业难题，\n并且在向上社交的过程中能够忍受靠近强人的灼\n伤感，甚至将发心调整到能给贵人不卑不亢情绪\n正反馈的高能量状态。\n长期的心力状态才是判断一个人社会阶层的水位\n线，\n钱和权力都只是暂时的高能量涨潮，退潮迟早。",
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      "body": "1、经常觉得饿，哪一顿少吃了，没到下一顿饭点就觉得饿了。\n \n2、贼能睡，晚上躺床上没多久就能睡着，人生字典里就没有失眠这两个字。\n \n3、头发浓密，从不担心发际线往后移，风儿吹起的是我的骄傲。\n \n4、熬夜后第二天依然精力充沛，不会出现犯困，精神萎靡的状态。\n \n5、上厕所速度快，不到3分钟就能解决战斗，上完后也浑身畅快，说明肠道很健康。\n \n6、心态好，古语云：人不思老，老将不至。热爱生活，把每天都过的很精彩。\n \n7、走路速度快，关节也灵活，早上起来的时候没有关节僵硬的感觉。\n \n8、不小心磕到碰到了，伤口愈合快。\n \n9、爱笑，给人的感觉也是充满了活力，一天到晚乐呵呵的，不管什么糟心事都不往心里搁。\n\n![微信图片_20231225185931.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNe9183fNpn1USfrsW6a9CttKZcHKCH9ZKzVpMPAT4HoX/%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1%E5%9B%BE%E7%89%87_20231225185931.png)",
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      "body": "*此推文为超长文，建议先收藏，再阅读\n\n普通人一定要手握能够至少穿越下一个10年的资产/投资品。\n\n这些资产和投资组合应当具备多样性，涵盖不同属性和类型，跨足多个领域和维度，以应对未来十年中可能出现的各种情况。\n\n无论是最理想的情形，如和平，还是最糟糕的情形，如中美脱钩或战争。\n\n房产：\n\n在大城市核心城区，至少应保留1-2套房产。\n\n即使经济状况不佳，房价开始下滑，但大城市核心地段的房产仍然被视为相对稳定的投资选择，具备较强的保值和抗跌能力。\n\n此外，长期来看，至少在中国的近代历史周期内，大城市核心地段的房产往往表现优于大多数A股股票。\n\n除了这一点，这些地段房产出租带来的租金，还能为普通人提供被动收入和稳定的现金流，为个人带来持续的经济安全感，从而避免陷入极端焦虑和困境之中。\n\n股票：\n\n美国的指数基金，指数基金，指数基金，重要的事情强调了三遍，而且需要将它们作为自己投资组合中的重要部分。\n\n这是一个长期以来一直被我反复谈论的话题。\n\n以标普500指数基金为例，在10年至15年的投资时段内，它能够胜过95%的由基金经理管理的主动大型基金，不论是涉及对冲、量化、alpha、beta，还是其他种种复杂的基金策略。\n\n对于持有海外银行账户的投资者，可以通过美国券商购买标普500指数基金/ETF。\n\n其中规模较大的一个选择是VOO（Vanguard S&P 500 ETF），其管理资产规模高达数千亿美元（相当于数万亿人民币）。\n\n而对于没有海外银行账户的投资者，也可以通过支付宝购买以人民币计价的跟踪标普500指数的基金。\n\n购买过程非常简单，只需在支付宝基金页面搜索标普500即可。\n\n在美国公司股票方面，特别值得关注的是微软和特斯拉。\n\n在这次LLM大语言模型革命的生态圈中，微软扮演了极其重要的角色。\n\n例如，开发了引领革命的ChatGPT的OpenAI背后，有微软的投资支持。\n\n除了ChatGPT，微软的生态圈中还孕育着其他AI应用，如Copilot等。\n\n这些AI应用在未来将融合到微软旗下的软件/应用生态中，例如Bing、Word、Powerpoint、Excel、Teams、Skype、Github等。\n\n微软在OpenAI公司内享有分红权。\n\n在第一阶段，微软享有整个公司75%的分红权，这一比例将持续到获得130亿美元的投资额；\n\n在第二阶段，微软的分红权将降至49%。\n\n随着时间的推移，微软的生态圈价值无疑将继续增长。\n\n关于特斯拉，未来应当关注马斯克旗下其他公司的Boring地下隧道与特斯拉汽车的深度整合，以及Cybertruck、特斯拉机器人（Tesla bot）等产品的发布与不断迭代。\n\n特斯拉人形机器人一旦成功大规模量产并持续优化，有望将特斯拉打造成全球最大的机器人公司。\n\n这一产品的推出将颠覆现有的劳动力市场和劳动成本格局。\n\n此外，随着特斯拉无人驾驶技术的成熟，其未来还有可能进军无人配送物流领域，这一趋势同样值得密切关注。\n\n中概股方面：我只推荐瑞幸咖啡。\n\n关于具体的投资逻辑，我已在2022年初在我的同名公众号（卢尔辰）发表了3篇和4篇的分析文章中详细阐述并进行了预测。\n\n自那时以来，瑞幸咖啡股票已经实现了超过150%-200%左右的上涨（印证了我的预测和判断）。\n\n有兴趣的可以阅读下：\n\nhttps://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_wuJ9rt8zMcFZoPh8vhwIw\n\n记住，即使中美之间未来不发生冲突，两国之间的高科技领域的制裁和限制也会是大趋势。\n\n瑞幸咖啡这类消费品，可以完美的避开中美科技领域大制裁的影响。\n\n区块链：\n\n比特币：\n\n比特币是当代的数字黄金（digital gold)，不仅具有高度的稳定性和稀缺性，而且共识性也随着时间慢慢递增。\n\n每一次央行印钞机的开动，都会让更多的人意识到比特币的价值。\n\n传统黄金存在一个显著的不足，即难以大量携带，尤其是跨境移动。\n\n而比特币作为数字黄金，完美地解决了这一难题。一把私钥在手，你可以轻松地携带BTC在全球任何地方自由流动。\n\n以太坊：\n\n如果比特币是黄金，那么以太坊在某种意义上就是新时代的“能源”。\n\n无论是DeFi, NFT, GameFI, 转账，还是新智能合约的生成， 都需要燃烧“以太坊”。\n\n以太坊在区块链世界中的重要性，类似于人类对于电等能源的依赖性一样高。\n\n以太坊在转PoS之后，质押以太坊作为验证节点的人，可以享受大概3-5%的年化收益，这标志着以太坊成为了类似于互联网债券（internet bond) 的资产。\n\n其意义非常重大，《富爸爸，穷爸爸》里有个经典语句：“资产”是让钱为你工作的事物。而“工作”则是你为钱而工作。 ​​​\n\n一定要意识到，比特币和以太坊都是人类物质文明级别的创新，类似于古腾堡的活字印刷技术。\n\n传统避险资产：\n\n黄金：\n\n黄金作为一种硬通货，已经存在于人类社会中数千年，经历了多个时空的考验，成为少数几种历史悠久的资产之一。\n\n直至今日，不论是美国、中国还是俄罗斯，都将黄金视为国家战略储备的一部分。\n\n黄金因其卓越的稳定性、可塑性和珍贵性而备受推崇，成为机构和国家之间不可或缺的坚实储备。\n\n即便在战乱时期，黄金仍然是首选的避险资产之一。\n\n普通人可以购买黄金实物 或者法制健全稳定国家的黄金ETF。",
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      "body": "1、缺乏试错\n\n探索并不限于习得陈述类知识的过程，探索是一种算法，在适应环境方面具有更广泛的意义。\n\n有一类探索被称为试错，即由学习内驱力控制的尝试的探索性选择。术语「试错」往往是为了寻找自己的使命。\n\n未受教育的孩子在自由学习中，会专注于那些能使回报最大化的活动。\n\n2、缺乏学习热情\n\n大量研究表明，学校高效扼杀了儿童的好奇心。例如，Susan Engel 注意到，在课堂上提出问题的数量下降得很快。\n\n学习内驱力在自由学习中茁壮成长，每一点知识都会增加一个人对世界的好奇心。\n\n相反，强制学习会导致大脑中学习驱动力指导系统做出的选择被反复压制。结果，导致学习内驱力被压制。经过多年的强制学校教育，孩子们竟到了讨厌学习的地步。他们可能会说「我出去做任何事情的目的，只是为了远离教科书」。\n\n3、缺乏创造力\n\n一旦学习的乐趣被压制，学习内驱力被限制，创造力就会被削弱。因为新的连贯知识的流入被扼杀，而这些知识本可以在遥远的知识领域之间建立新的联系。\n\n不仅仅是学校环境扼杀了创造力，同样的情况也发生在大公司或政府机构中。每当学习和交流的自由受到限制，创造性思想就会被压制。\n\n4、缺乏探索\n\n最好的学习，往往带有一种探索的形式。\n\n例如，在渐进阅读中，学习过程由需求和兴趣控制。它通过联想从重点材料向新的领域树枝式地扩散。几千年来，我们就是这样学习的。\n\n儿童在游戏中自然学习。当他们去学校时，他们的探索性追求很快就被压制了：一方面，他们需要遵循定好的方向；另一方面，他们没有时间或精力在自己的领域里继续探索。\n\n我叙述过许多案例，其中任何概念激活都可以被条件化，压制记忆和学习，甚至学校的气味或书本的颜色都可以压制记忆。\n\n5、缺乏交流\n\n在课堂上，学生应该保持沉默，即使他们有很大的交流社交的欲望。\n\n基于交流之乐的欲望被持续压制，可能会导致欲望的钝化，压制沟通的习惯似乎会让人变得更无助。\n\n然而，「适当的」沟通渠道只存在于学生和老师之间。由于师生沟通渠道经常被占用或关闭，与权威的沟通变得非常宝贵，这反过来又让教师显得很有价值。\n\n自然地，大多数具有良性叛逆心理的学生倾向于不问老师，用社交媒体或课后社交来补偿他们的沟通需求。那些沟通能力被压制的学生，成年后可能倾向于不愿意主动和别人交流，他们变得羞于说话。\n\n\n![brookqtg88634_moon_river_autumn_wind_sad_atmosphere_b12b4332-9cdf-4991-8a62-87737de6423d.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVhhmbCedtVqsE8tKzhrGTPmZawW2DjfKLtJ7bS1fjzyW/brookqtg88634_moon_river_autumn_wind_sad_atmosphere_b12b4332-9cdf-4991-8a62-87737de6423d.png)\n\n![brookqtg88634_Elementary_school_students_have_physical_educatio_ff3f1fe6-5cb9-43cb-8cee-9b817a5f2e2c.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbtWGBoYMoH61rKbZUnBKqZBbyN6FcvvQS412izoLacaV/brookqtg88634_Elementary_school_students_have_physical_educatio_ff3f1fe6-5cb9-43cb-8cee-9b817a5f2e2c.png)",
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