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      "title": "The Future of Bitcoin",
      "body": "<p> https://virtualcoinsbrasil.files.wordpress.com/2015/03/futuro-bitcoin.jpg?w=1200</p>\n<p>I suspect this corporate cash buying ransomware  is probably one of the key drivers behind bitcoin's recent gains. If so, (and please don't take my word for it) we can expect the price to be relatively stable in its upward movements, as these companies are likely to be holding what they can, at least in the short term. It probably won't be all that long until ransomers request Dash or Monero instead, because of the enhanced anonymity features.</p>\n<p>However, with such gains coming so quickly, it's likely to attract mainstream attention before long, which probably means another bubble. I'm going to be watching the mainstream media to see how much attention it gets. It's possible that it might take a new high to really make it newsworthy. After all, a story saying &quot;Hey remember that virtual money which went to $1100? Now it's going up to $630!&quot; is a hard story to sell. My idea is that, when the mainstream media catches on, that's when I should be preparing to sell some of my stash - probably staggered, selling 10-20% at a time. If I keep my ear to the ground, and take note of when people who know nothing about crypto are starting to buy in, that's also a key signal.</p>\n<p> On the basis of my previous arguments against the price rising, I believe the headwinds that were holding back bitcoin will take the price up to the $1,000 mark, this year.As the title to this post suggests, there has been an awakening.I’ve casually been speaking about some tailwinds for about a year now and some of these ideas have been gaining momentum, so I wanted to summarize them here into three categories</p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<h2><strong>Industrial use cases are coming to the fore</strong><br />\n</h2>\n<p>Venture capital has been pouring into blockchain and bitcoin startups at an unprecedented rate, now topping over $1bn. These startups are building out solutions which utilize blockchain technologies in industries where solutions were either not possible or financially viable.The banking sector is investing heavily in what it calls &quot;blockchain&quot;, but is specifically avoiding using bitcoin. I personally think the tide will turn on this point, as soon as one of these projects get compromised, from a security perspective. That said, many foreign banks are investigating and using the bitcoin blockchain for innovating around their processes.I think we have to accept that we will live in a world where there is a &quot;chain of chains&quot;, all interlinked in some way. Bitcoin may not rule the chains of the finance world, but it may act as an intermediary platform for cross-chain settlement </p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<h2><strong>The coming short squeeze</strong><br />\n</h2>\n<p>The most important driver of the pending price surge, in my opinion, is going to be what I term as the &quot;mother&amp;*!er of all short squeezes&quot;.A short squeeze is basically what happens when people that are short selling an asset discover that the price has risen and they need to buy (cover) to ensure they do not make further losses.In the bitcoin world, this happens under a number of scenarios.Traders and speculators who have taken a view that the bitcoin price will go lower could borrow coins via exchanges and sell those coins into the market, waiting for the price to drop to buy them back cheaper, repay the exchange and make a profit.Miners would normally want to lock in profits through &quot;hedging&quot;, because they produce enough coins per day that they are able to pay out of their future production. However, halving day is approaching.Halving day is the day that a certain block number is reached and the rewards per block are cut in half (to 12.5 BTC per block, from the current 25 BTC). </p>\n<p>http://cdn2.ticbeat.com/src/uploads/2016/01/Futuro-final-bitcoin.jpg</p>\n<p> This poses a problem for miners if they are trying to lock in their profits right now by borrowing and selling coins, which they intend to repay after halving day. Unless they have spare bitcoins lying around, they will be forced to buy coins on the open market if they cannot produce enough through their mining operations.It’s the same as selling crops in the futures market and then being hit by a storm that wipes out half of your fields. The only way, technically, that this doesn’t happen, is if the price doubles on halving day (it won’t).Because bitcoin trades at the margin (which means that only a percentage of the total coins issued are traded), there is less liquidity and extreme changes like a 50% drop in the rewards per block will have a more marked impact on the price than one would expect, triggering a short squeeze. </p>\n<p> </p>\n<h2>Coming arms race</h2>\n<p>The realization that bitcoin is a strategic global asset will trigger an &quot;arms race&quot;.Currently, the market cap of bitcoin ($7bn) is simply too small to facilitate a large buy of bitcoins from any governmental organization. If bitcoin started to surge globally, it could become of strategic interest to a government, and therefore other governments. I believe this would trigger something akin to a digital commodity race.Imagine if China started buying up large amounts of bitcoin – would the rest of the world governments stand idly by and watch? I don’t think so – so my prediction here is that by 2017, governments will become the largest buyers of bitcoin, pushing the price up to new highs.It’s always easy to make outlandish predictions. My goal for this post was to outline what I think the tailwinds are behind bitcoin.I don’t know if the price is going to $1,000 or $10,000 – but I do know that it is going up. If I was forced to predict, I would say that it would hit $1000+ in 2016 and $3000+ in 2017.Looking forward to seeing how this all plays out! </p>",
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      "title": "The resumption Ethereum Classic",
      "body": "<p>http://www.altcointoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Gains-of-ethereum-classic-625x377.png</p>\n<p>I am actually a huge fan of Vitalik Buterin’s. As a writer, when people ask me who I like to read and learn from, Vitalik’s one of the first name’s I mention. He helped shape my thoughts on the beauty of immutable ledgers.That is why I was so upset when the <a href=\"https://daohub.org/\" rel=\"noopener\">DAO Project</a> imploded. Because as intelligent as he and his fellow developers are, they are human beings, which makes them subject to normal pressures and biases. $50 million is a lot of money to most people, but especially for a young, grassroots group led by an inexperienced boy genius. That much money should never have been invested in such an experimental and community-backed project this early in the cryptocurrency game.Unfortunately, it was; a brilliant hacker/not-hacker inevitably took the bait, and there was nothing Vitalik could realistically do about it. The DAO wasn’t his project. Disgruntled investors, however, would surely turn to him, and since their ranks included significant Ethereum miners—whose support the network needs—the hard fork was really a foregone conclusion.It’s due to those extenuating circumstances that I still like the Ethereum team, and am sympathetic to their situation. Everyone makes mistakes. For better or worse, however, the cryptocurrency market operates on the principles of rational self interest, with game theory being a popular area of study, so mistakes have to have consequences. Otherwise, they will happen again.</p>\n<h1>Why It’s Necessary</h1>\n<p>Ethereum’s leadership cannot simply promise not to fork again because it will be outside of their control. The precedent here is that they will cave in the face of sufficient pressure, and they cannot prevent investors from making massive mistakes again in the future. The pitchforks will come out again, and if we’re not careful, it will start to be for gradually smaller and smaller grievances.These consequences, therefore, are intended for the market—the developers are bystanders. In fact, everyone who owned ETH received an equal amount of ETC, so to the extent your ETH’s value was drained, you were compensated proportionally. The only people who really suffer directly from this are DAO token holders and developers, and to the extent that those two groups overlap, I do apologize.But we still have to do this. Blockchains are not a democracy, where the majority can enforce its will. When a sufficient disagreement arises, the need for consensus requires us to go our separate ways. Our purchased coins contribute to the market cap and value of ETH, and we do not consent to the way it has been used. The value of ETH can only suffer in proportion to how much the market disagrees with the fork, which is entirely fair. Nobody is entitled to other people’s support.DAO supporters hoped to ignore these criticisms, rendering them irrelevant for practical purposes. Now that Ethereum Classic is <a href=\"https://poloniex.com/exchange#btc_etc\" rel=\"noopener\">tradable on Poloniex</a>, however, ETC cannot be laughed off as a valueless clone. In response, they have turned to attacking Classic’s merits, both figuratively and literally. While a couple of their arguments have some merit, ETC actually has a relatively decent shot at taking off and achieving massive returns for its investors. </p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<h2> A Good Investment?</h2>\n<p>Let me preface this by saying that this is not a low-risk investment. I did buy some ETC, but they amount to a small fraction of my cryptocurrency portfolio, which wasn’t that large to begin with. Please be cautious.The biggest threat to Ethereum Classic is its relatively small P2P network and weaker encryption strength (hash power). In fact, one notable miner <a href=\"https://imgur.com/yuIuykp\" rel=\"noopener\">threatened to</a> execute a 51% attack, but he <a href=\"https://twitter.com/ChandlerGuo/status/757737096668848128\" rel=\"noopener\">later relented</a>. That’s because while many cryptocurrencies on the market are weak enough to attack, doing so costs time and money and attracts retaliation. Major pools will certainly not find it worth the effort.Still, it is a concern. Since Poloniex listed ETC, however, its hash power has doubled, and it spiked further in self defense when the 51% attack threat was initially issued. He no longer has enough hash power to carry it out, and the way things are going, it will probably stay that way. </p>\n<p> The essential problem is that unless you own DAO tokens, you have no reason to choose Ethereum over Ethereum Classic. They are basically the same thing with different recorded versions of history. The entire thing is open source, so if the Ethereum developers come out with new features, Ethereum classic will adopt them almost immediately (unless they’re similarly controversial). Any Ethereum developer with DAO tokens now works against himself.</p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<p>http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-FArb5nYxa_s/U2OlwMEkvtI/AAAAAAAAEsA/rW6PaYNjupc/s1600/alvo.jpeg</p>\n<p>Conclusion</p>\n<p>Once you realize that ETH and ETC are equally functional, it becomes apparent that the network effect is all that stops the latter from gaining ground. Since neither has a competitive advantage, the market will choose ideologically.The only way for Vitalik to nip this movement in the bud is to convince everyone that there is no way a hard fork like this will ever happen again. I would like to see that happen; I would like to see it happen for every blockchain, in fact. But the cold, ironic truth is that Ethereum Classic is the only way to do that. If and when ETC goes away, it will be because Ethereum has become pure once again.<br />\n </p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<p><br /></p>",
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      "body": "### ![ChandlerGuo](https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/537134388941578240/ewHfnU-Z_normal.jpeg) **[Chandler Guo](https://twitter.com/@ChandlerGuo/status/757737096668848128)** tweeted @ 26 Jul 2016 - 00:39 UTC\n\n> It is easy to attack ETC, but it will certainly affect the innocent ETC holders. My principle is don't be evil https://t.co/nl7YIHxrPW\n\n\n###### *Disclaimer: I am just a bot trying to be helpful.*",
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      "title": "The Recomeço Ethereum Classic",
      "body": "<p>http://www.altcointoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Gains-of-ethereum-classic-625x377.png</p>\n<p>I am actually a huge fan of Vitalik Buterin’s. As a writer, when people ask me who I like to read and learn from, Vitalik’s one of the first name’s I mention. He helped shape my thoughts on the beauty of immutable ledgers.That is why I was so upset when the <a href=\"https://daohub.org/\" rel=\"noopener\">DAO Project</a> imploded. Because as intelligent as he and his fellow developers are, they are human beings, which makes them subject to normal pressures and biases. $50 million is a lot of money to most people, but especially for a young, grassroots group led by an inexperienced boy genius. That much money should never have been invested in such an experimental and community-backed project this early in the cryptocurrency game.Unfortunately, it was; a brilliant hacker/not-hacker inevitably took the bait, and there was nothing Vitalik could realistically do about it. The DAO wasn’t his project. Disgruntled investors, however, would surely turn to him, and since their ranks included significant Ethereum miners—whose support the network needs—the hard fork was really a foregone conclusion.It’s due to those extenuating circumstances that I still like the Ethereum team, and am sympathetic to their situation. Everyone makes mistakes. For better or worse, however, the cryptocurrency market operates on the principles of rational self interest, with game theory being a popular area of study, so mistakes have to have consequences. Otherwise, they will happen again.</p>\n<h1>Why It’s Necessary</h1>\n<p>Ethereum’s leadership cannot simply promise not to fork again because it will be outside of their control. The precedent here is that they will cave in the face of sufficient pressure, and they cannot prevent investors from making massive mistakes again in the future. The pitchforks will come out again, and if we’re not careful, it will start to be for gradually smaller and smaller grievances.These consequences, therefore, are intended for the market—the developers are bystanders. In fact, everyone who owned ETH received an equal amount of ETC, so to the extent your ETH’s value was drained, you were compensated proportionally. The only people who really suffer directly from this are DAO token holders and developers, and to the extent that those two groups overlap, I do apologize.But we still have to do this. Blockchains are not a democracy, where the majority can enforce its will. When a sufficient disagreement arises, the need for consensus requires us to go our separate ways. Our purchased coins contribute to the market cap and value of ETH, and we do not consent to the way it has been used. The value of ETH can only suffer in proportion to how much the market disagrees with the fork, which is entirely fair. Nobody is entitled to other people’s support.DAO supporters hoped to ignore these criticisms, rendering them irrelevant for practical purposes. Now that Ethereum Classic is <a href=\"https://poloniex.com/exchange#btc_etc\" rel=\"noopener\">tradable on Poloniex</a>, however, ETC cannot be laughed off as a valueless clone. In response, they have turned to attacking Classic’s merits, both figuratively and literally. While a couple of their arguments have some merit, ETC actually has a relatively decent shot at taking off and achieving massive returns for its investors. </p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<h2> A Good Investment?</h2>\n<p>Let me preface this by saying that this is not a low-risk investment. I did buy some ETC, but they amount to a small fraction of my cryptocurrency portfolio, which wasn’t that large to begin with. Please be cautious.The biggest threat to Ethereum Classic is its relatively small P2P network and weaker encryption strength (hash power). In fact, one notable miner <a href=\"https://imgur.com/yuIuykp\" rel=\"noopener\">threatened to</a> execute a 51% attack, but he <a href=\"https://twitter.com/ChandlerGuo/status/757737096668848128\" rel=\"noopener\">later relented</a>. That’s because while many cryptocurrencies on the market are weak enough to attack, doing so costs time and money and attracts retaliation. Major pools will certainly not find it worth the effort.Still, it is a concern. Since Poloniex listed ETC, however, its hash power has doubled, and it spiked further in self defense when the 51% attack threat was initially issued. He no longer has enough hash power to carry it out, and the way things are going, it will probably stay that way. </p>\n<p> The essential problem is that unless you own DAO tokens, you have no reason to choose Ethereum over Ethereum Classic. They are basically the same thing with different recorded versions of history. The entire thing is open source, so if the Ethereum developers come out with new features, Ethereum classic will adopt them almost immediately (unless they’re similarly controversial). Any Ethereum developer with DAO tokens now works against himself.</p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<p>http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-FArb5nYxa_s/U2OlwMEkvtI/AAAAAAAAEsA/rW6PaYNjupc/s1600/alvo.jpeg</p>\n<p>Conclusion</p>\n<p>Once you realize that ETH and ETC are equally functional, it becomes apparent that the network effect is all that stops the latter from gaining ground. Since neither has a competitive advantage, the market will choose ideologically.The only way for Vitalik to nip this movement in the bud is to convince everyone that there is no way a hard fork like this will ever happen again. I would like to see that happen; I would like to see it happen for every blockchain, in fact. But the cold, ironic truth is that Ethereum Classic is the only way to do that. If and when ETC goes away, it will be because Ethereum has become pure once again.<br />\n </p>\n<p><br /></p>\n<p><br /></p>",
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