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      "body": "You posted the same on my last post before the prices crashed down to low 8s. A marginal correction is entirely possible, as I wrote in my original post above. As I also mentioned, unless we have a candle close above 10.2 or 10.5, the trend is still very bearish. 200 day emas and ichimoku cloud calculations have also dipped down for the first time in over a year. Very bearish signals.",
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      "body": "**Coins mentioned in post:**\n\nCoin | | Price (USD) | 📉 24h | 📉 7d\n- | - | - | - | -\n**BTC** | Bitcoin | 8793.300$ | _-6.55%_ | _-22.12%_\n**ETH** | Ethereum | 685.807$ | _-6.98%_ | _-19.29%_\n**LTC** | Litecoin | 178.370$ | _-5.96%_ | _-14.37%_\n**STEEM** | Steem | 2.323$ | _-11.34%_ | _-33.68%_",
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      "title": "Embrace The Pain! BTC/USD 10th March 2018 23.15 UTC Chart Analysis",
      "body": "After an excruciating (for bears at least) ten day detour up to test the long term overhead trend line again, Bitcoin price action bounced off the immovable object that it seems to be and made another hasty retreat down into the low nines. It has deliberated there for a few days, pulling back to test $9500, where it failed, after an initial panic had driven prices down to $8342. It is currently holding just above the psychological $9000 support level, teasing the bears and giving hope to the bulls (fig.1):\n\n![BTC.USD 10.03.18 23.30 UTC Figure 1.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXaMBJ2XezyXjcP8SkJ8E57FHcDfoFo3HRSwgxYaNgAZk/BTC.USD%2010.03.18%2023.30%20UTC%20Figure%201.jpg)\n\nUnfortunately  (as always seems to be the case recently), that hope is probably misplaced. As it is currently developing, the price action is forming an 'M' or 'double top' reversal pattern. As the name implies, this marks a change in the recent uptrend and could see prices visiting the $8000 mark, with the worst scenarios being another $6000 breakdown. The key features of the pattern are a decrease in volume between the two peaks, a break below the lowest point of the trough ($9280 - broken earlier today) and a sudden decline thereafter, with a few reaction rallies to test the new resistance level (already happened and failed to break through). At this point, the pattern looks pretty well confirmed (fig.2):\n\n![BTC.USD 10.03.18 23.30 UTC Figure 2.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmcNVcoK6jPhndFoGsKWtVijDmuAwMvuMWzPkgcZXk3UAm/BTC.USD%2010.03.18%2023.30%20UTC%20Figure%202.jpg)\n\nWhile most traders are expecting a drop down to anywhere between $6000 and $8000, a single short down to that level might not be the best strategy, since reaction rallies are expected at major confluence and support points. Indeed very few things fall straight down. The next support level is around $8200 although it is not as clean a support level as bears and bounce traders would probably like. Given the overall downward momentum I doubt it will hold for longer than a few days if at all, but my own strategy is to take profits when available, wait for a pull back and short again when the reaction rally fails. The very best traders will also squeeze a small dip buy in-between the two shorts (fig.3):\n\n![BTC.USD 10.03.18 23.30 UTC Figure 3.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmSFTZPmNQ8UwxN85dyHxH2siRw713UwnaQke4UdY62zxz/BTC.USD%2010.03.18%2023.30%20UTC%20Figure%203.jpg)\n\n**Summary**\nThe short lived attempt to prevent a true breakdown to February's lows, by supporting the price action in the low $9000 region and forcing a test of the $11,700 trend line failed. Declining buying volume has allowed buying pressure to cease to the point where multiple stop loss levels and liquidations of long positions have come into play, driving the market further down. The price action has conformed to a double top or 'M' pattern and lows are likely to revisit the $7000 mark, but a reaction rally at the support level between $8000 and $8400 ($8200) may be manipulated into effect.\n\n**Potential Plays**\n*Buy now* -  avoid, this would likely be a loss; multiple support levels have been broken, buying volume is decreasing and sentiment remains negative. \n\n*Short now* \nMotivation: falling price having broken $9280 support level\nLikelihood: already proven\nCurrent likely outcome: gain to $8300\nAction: seek\nPosition size: medium/large\nEntry: anywhere below $9280, but high enough above exit to have profitable downside\nExit: around $8300 or a little higher, watch the level 2 to see if large buy orders are eaten away (avoid $8200 bounce)\n\n*Buy later*\nPotential small dip buy on a bounce from $8200. This would need to be carefully watched and monitored, since bounces or pull backs on generally low buying volume have unpredictable highs. Invalidation of the current downtrend would happen with a close of a daily candle around $10,500, in which case the current scenario would be aborted and a short term breakout could be considered. However, at present this looks very unlikely.\n\n*Short later*\nA potential excellent panic short below $8000 or even $6000 in the coming days. Keep in mind and watch the volumes. Shorting at all multi month lows needs a convincing break below that level with a failed pullback and increasing selling volume.\n\nCryptonym.\n\nCryptonym.\n\nNB.\nValues in USD are representative of prices traded on the Bitfinex exchange.\nTimes are UTC standard.\nThis does not constitute official investment or trading advice. Your losses are your own.\n\nIf you appreciate this work and would like to support Cryptonym, please consider donating:\nSteem - via Steemit\nFiat - https://www.patreon.com/CryptonymFund\nBitcoin - 3EYtdz4J7aCsW3wnz64rMvqzmkyBKPahee\nBitcoin Cash - 17VXEM8gRYrms1jtoadoLob5DvBFwWkVug\nLitecoin - MQhdRXjojwCwzFLQxtExMKaaYyFZ9ftdB7\nEthereum - 0x46Aa8d31f5d1a7e72b38A13e5E7F9bD5FBC7d8ea",
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      "parent_permlink": "re-cryptonym-re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180307t183859043z",
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      "permlink": "re-marcopagan-re-cryptonym-re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180308t103112526z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "I think the question all us TAs need to ask at any moment is, what would it take to reverse the trend. Not in terms of support and resistance but volume which is the key thing that reverses and maintains trends. Right now sentiment is back to September 2017 levels.",
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      "parent_permlink": "re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180307t183416201z",
      "author": "marcopagan",
      "permlink": "re-cryptonym-re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180307t183859043z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -359,16 +359,26 @@\n tuations\n+ yesterday\n , if you\n",
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      "author": "marcopagan",
      "permlink": "re-cryptonym-re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180307t183859043z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -391,16 +391,21 @@\n  of the \n+last \n update, \n",
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      "parent_permlink": "re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180307t183416201z",
      "author": "marcopagan",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -316,8 +316,123 @@\n bout it.\n+ %0A%0AIts why I gave four different situations, if you look at the end of the update, I said that we could break 9300.\n",
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      "parent_permlink": "re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180307t183416201z",
      "author": "marcopagan",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -197,16 +197,22 @@\n  is 100%25\n+ in TA\n , your s\n@@ -285,14 +285,33 @@\n  you\n-r 100%25\n+ seem extremely confident\n  abo\n",
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      "author": "marcopagan",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "Not hoping, I'm just stating the probabilities of each and every possible situation that could occur in my analysis. Not once did I state that I was wishing for a certain price movement. \n\nNothing is 100%, your saying that its for sure going down to 5k - which could happen, but your 100% about it.",
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      "author": "cryptonym",
      "permlink": "re-marcopagan-bitcoin-update-dumping-binance-accounts-hacked-bitmex-down-9300-9400-support-20180307t183416201z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -1,74 +1,4 @@\n-Bro you need to stop letting your hopes interfere with your analysis. \n Curr\n",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "Bro you need to stop letting your hopes interfere with your analysis. Current market trend is down. MAs are all down sloping. Has failed to break long term trend line at $11,700 twice. Has failed head and shoulders breakdown. Buying volume is very low, selling volume today on Bitfinex is approaching 50K BTC which is critical level for mass sell offs. General sentiment is overwhelmingly negative. It's going down to around 5K support.",
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