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      "body": "Hahaha Mal ehrlich hättest du jemals in deinem Leben nach dem feiern noch geld über? \nIch habe mal ein Test gemacht: ein Tag 15 Euro zum Feiern abgehoben... trotz 5euro eintritt war ich voll wie ein Amtsmann, keine Ahnung wie das ging\n\nNächstes Mal feiern: 80€ mitgenommen, nächster morgen: genauso voll, kein geld mehr übrig :D",
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      "body": "Ich bin in div Bezahlbots , wo es sehr qualitative Signale und Infos gibt",
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      "body": ":D Ja die Kurve da ist echt eng und vollgeparkt aber da fahr ich täglich einmal rum also kein Problem;) Das war echt ne witzige Karre die Abgase vom undichten Sportauspuff sind durch den durchgerosteten Unterboden nach innen gekommen und außer fahren hat nichts an der Kiste richtig funktioniert :D",
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      "body": "Haha für das Baujahr echt top! Bei 9:43 war ich mir sicher, dass du den weißen Peugeot rammst :D",
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      "body": "<html>\n<p>https://steemitimages.com/DQmSeUp8hiL1aB5bXuxskndkQsygjYaMugoJBpHLocRZgQi/TRADING%232.png</p>\n<p>At the start I want to make clear, that I am not talking about daily trading with savage lines in a chart when I talk about trading here. What I actually mean is the active trading over multiple days which, in contrary to the passive buy and hold strategy, makes it possible to react to the market more to buy in bad and sell in good times. The problem will be to catch the best time for buying and selling, of course. Generally, I have the opinion, that active trading - especially in the stock market – is not as lucrative as the passive investment in the same. For cryptocurrencies I have a different conception, which I will test with this experiment.</p>\n<p>In the end the big difference to stocks is the following: While very good news are mostly already included in the price of stocks before the average consumer can react to them the flow of information in the area of Cryptocurrencies is very transparent and current so that you have a good chance even as a small investor to make some profit with good news. That at least is my feeling.</p>\n<p>Appropriately I will try to analyze gained information as early as possible and sell or buy accordingly.</p>\n<p>That the correlation between news and the rice and fall of the prices exists follows my personal analysis which I will explain in detail in the following:</p>\n<p>My starting point was that I want to buy before the price increases and sell before it falls. Therefore, I looked at different projects and searched for the increase of prices in a short period of time. When I found some, I looked for News for that period of time. After some analysis I found some examples which definitely showed a connection. Here you can see two out of multiple examples:</p>\n<p><em>https://steemitimages.com/DQmQuq8BdTREzssTqfcoJZwG8NJ71ycb1KTzm7MQ2kGUAVU/TRADING%232%20-%20Bsp.1.png Positive example: IOTA’s chart after release of some information about the Data Marketplace</em></p>\n<p>https://steemitimages.com/DQmRLm5ByRQKwQLQC1ZAggMT8jWrH961HeRhVUC7n4Z7Q2D/TRADING%232%20-%20Bsp.2.png <em>Negative example: all cryptocurrencies market capitalization after disclosure of possible bans of exchanges in China</em></p>\n<p>Consequently, the underlying assumption was confirmed. But as it is always the case: Following one problem is the next none. Or as in this case, a lot more:</p>\n<p>1. What will be my currency for buying other currencies? Beginning with the fact that I have to sell again and again, namely before the next big Information, I have to temporarily store my money. Due to a lot of negative press, Tether is too risky for that in my opinion. Nevertheless I don't want to store the money in Fiat for longer periods, while prices possibly rise. So I will decide on a solid currency like Ether, Bitcoin or even Litecoin to store my capital. That way I can act fast if there is an opportunity for a trade and let it gain value if times are calm. .</p>\n<p>2. How to come by news? The next problem is how to find hot news, preferably as soon as they come out. For well organized projects I have solved this problem with Slack, Telegram, Discord, different Blogs and especially Twitter. I soon realized though, that I cannot follow 1100 crypto projects with this quality. Here I get some help from the counterparty of the active trading: my analysis for the passive investment. Thus I will only include crypto-projects in this news-list that are all of the following three: No Scam, a bulging Roadmap that has not been executed far and the potential for big jumps in price.</p>\n<p>3. Evaluating the news One of the main problems will be to evaluate the gained information correctly. Meaning one has to recognize whether they are a bomb or rather a match. For this experience is obviously a fundamental which for me personally is only superficial in the trading area. However, thanks to my technical and financial knowledge, I think I possess a basic understanding that will help me. That is something to figure out and improve though.</p>\n<p>4. Actually investing Since I want to add multiple porjects in my news-trading-list, I will have to be able to act fast on multiple exchanges, which is a master stroke logistically because not every exchange lists every coin. If in great despair I will have to transfer between exchanges and that preferably not with Bitcoin (as of January 2018). All in all I should be present on the biggest exchanges so that I can always be able to act even with small projects. These big exchanges are Bittrex, which also includes exotic projects, as well as Binance and Bitfinex.</p>\n<p>5.The second big problem is the question when to back out of a coin. There is no general solution to this problem. In my opinion one would have to decide this on a case to case basis. Nevertheless one should ride the wave longer until it breaks rather than stepping down from the surfboard to early. In other words: Rather be invested at the peak and leave afterwards instead of leaving to early and miss the biggest rise. The fall mostly is not that sudden, that you are back in the minus very fast. By contrast if you leave to early there is the danger to miss the biggest rise of the year if you leave to early. An example is Raiblocks (or Nano after the rebranding): If you left on December 14th of this year after a fivefold rise of the price in one week, you would have missed the second increase of the initial capital by five three weeks later. So, if you are invested and riding a wave: stay calm, analyze and especially important, listen to the mood of the community and evaluate it. Of course there are also negative news, like the example before shows. In a case like that it is better to leave all crypto currencies and coins as fast as possible (including the currency used for storing money between trades) and go back to Fiat. (This is in contrast to the buy-and-hold strategy where you stay invested until the painful ending.</p>\n<p>6. News overlaps Another problem are overlaps of good news for multiple crypto projects. In a case like that one has to analyze carefully and trade the better news.</p>\n<p>7. Taxes and problems with accounting I will talk about the problems with taxes and the trade history in a separate article. In the German article I will mention the details in Germany and in the article in English I will make an international overview which can be used to compare how different countries deal with this topic of taxes.</p>\n<p>8. Mental strength For the final point I want to write a bit about mental strength. Contrary to the passive investment, trading requires this mental strength, especially in case you miss a big rise although you could have traded it or if you didn't back out of a trade in time. You have to be able to deal with setbacks like that and cannot be pushed to emotional decision by them. Only who has the right amount of self-discipline should occupy himself with trading.</p>\n<p>Of course there will additional problems coming up that I cannot foresee right now. These will have to be analyzed and cleared at the time of occurrence. At the moment though the basic plan is standing, so that in parallel to the analysis for the passive investment (Link) the analysis for the trading has priority until the beginning of March. Besides the mentioned article about taxes there will be another article for trading coming up in February, dealing with tools for trading and with price rises without big news. I am looking forward for any critique, ideas or suggestions you might have. Please feel free to provide them to me.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>cryptoexperiment &nbsp;</p>\n<p><br></p>\n</html>",
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      "permlink": "warum-crypto-trading-im-vergleich-zum-aktiven-aktienhandel-erfolgreich-sein-kann",
      "title": "Warum Crypto -Trading im Vergleich zum aktiven Aktienhandel erfolgreich sein KANN...",
      "body": "<html>\n<p>https://steemitimages.com/DQmSeUp8hiL1aB5bXuxskndkQsygjYaMugoJBpHLocRZgQi/TRADING%232.png</p>\n<p>Grundsätzlich möchte ich erstmal klarstellen, dass ich mit Trading nicht das tägliche handeln infolge wild eingezeichneter Chartlinien meine. Vielmehr bezeichne ich das aktive Handeln als Trading, was in Abgrenzung zum passiven handeln, also dem „hodln“, das Kaufen in guten und das Verkaufen in schlechten Zeiten zulässt. Das Problem wird es sein zu erkennen, wann man besser verkauft und wann man einkaufen sollte. Generell bin ich der Auffassung, dass aktives Handeln vor allem im Aktienbereich nicht so lukrativ ist, wie das passive investieren. Im Kryptobereich habe ich da eine andere Auffassung, welche ich mit diesem Experiment testen will.</p>\n<p>Letztlich ist der große Unterschied zu Aktien folgender: während sehr gute News bei Aktien häufig bereits im Aktienpreis eingerechnet sind bevor der Otto Normalverbraucher darauf reagieren kann, ist der Informationsfluss im Kryptobereich derart transparent und aktuell, dass man – so mein bisheriges Gefühl – eine gute Möglichkeit hat, auch als kleiner Investor davon zu partizipieren.</p>\n<p>Dementsprechend werde ich versuchen, frühzeitig erlangte Informationen zu bewerten und dementsprechend zu verkaufen oder einzukaufen. Dass diese Korrelation (News und Preisanstieg/-abstieg) besteht ist das Resultat meiner eigenen Analyse, die ich hier jetzt nicht in jedem Detail erklären will aber zumindest zum Verständnis kurz skizzieren möchte:</p>\n<p>Mein Ausgangspunkt war der, dass ich bei Kursanstiegen investiert sein möchte und vor Kursverlusten verkauft habe. Demnach schaute ich mir bei verschiedenen Projekten die Kurse an und suchte ab einem gewissen Anstieg innerhalb eines bestimmten Zeitraums jeweils nach News in diesem Zeitraum. Nach einigen Analysen fand ich viele Beispiele, anhand derer man eindeutig eine Verbindung feststellen konnte. Hier zwei von vielen Beispielen:</p>\n<p><em>https://steemitimages.com/DQmQuq8BdTREzssTqfcoJZwG8NJ71ycb1KTzm7MQ2kGUAVU/TRADING%232%20-%20Bsp.1.png Positives Beispiel: IOTA Chart nach der Veröffentlichung von Informationen zum Data Marketplace</em></p>\n<p>https://steemitimages.com/DQmRLm5ByRQKwQLQC1ZAggMT8jWrH961HeRhVUC7n4Z7Q2D/TRADING%232%20-%20Bsp.2.png <em>Negatives Beispiel: gesamter Kryptochart nach der Veröffentlichung von möglichen Exchange Bans in China</em></p>\n<p>Somit war zumindest die Grundannahme bestätigt. Aber es ist wie so oft: auf ein Problem folgt das nächste bzw. in diesem Fall folgen viele weitere:&nbsp;</p>\n<p>1. Was soll meine Zwischenwährung sein Ausgehend davon, dass ich immer wieder verkaufen muss und zwar oft bevor die nächste „heiße“ Info kommt, muss ich mein Geld sozusagen zwischenlagern. Tether ist mir dabei infolge vieler negativer Schlagzeilen zu riskant. Jedoch will ich auch nicht einfach das Geld über Wochen „tot“ in FIAT liegen lassen, während die Kurse womöglich steigen. Daher werde ich mir eine solide Währung wie Ether, Bitcoin oder vllt. sogar Litecoin aussuchen, mit der man dann auch schnell handeln kann und dennoch Möglichkeiten hat, auch in ruhigen Zeiten ein wenig plus zu machen.</p>\n<p>2. An potentielle News kommen Das nächste Problem ist, an „heiße“ Neuigkeiten zu kommen und zwar nicht erst eine Woche nach Release dieser Info. Dieses Problem habe ich zumindest bei gut organisierten Projekten schnell gelöst dank Slack, Telegram, Discord, verschiedenen Bloggs und vor allem Twitter. Jedoch merkte ich schnell, dass ich nicht 1100 Cryptos in derartiger Qualität verfolgen kann. An dieser Stelle spielt mir dann mein Gegenspieler sozusagen in die Karten: die Analysen des passiven Investierens. Ich nehme also nur Cryptoprojekte in diese News-Liste auf, die A kein Scam sind, B eine prallgefüllte, relativ am Anfang stehende und trotzdem zukunftsträchtige Roadmap haben und C einfach noch Chancen haben größere Sprünge zu machen.</p>\n<p>3. Das Bewerten der News Eines der Hauptprobleme wird es sein, eine erhaltene Info richtig zu bewerten. Das bedeutet man muss erkennen, ob es sich bei dieser so eben bekommenen Info um eine Bombe handelt oder eher um ein Streichholz. Fundamental ist dabei natürlich Erfahrung, welche ich in diesem Trading-Bereich nur oberflächlich habe. Dennoch denke ich, dass ich durch mein technisches Verständnis in Verbindung mit meinem finanziellen Verständnis ein gewisses Grundgespür mitbringe. Das gilt es aber letztlich herausfinden und stetig zu verbessern.</p>\n<p>4. Das Investieren selbst Da ich zahlreiche Projekte in diese News-Trading-Liste aufnehmen will, werde ich auch an zahlreichen Börsen schnell handlungsfähig sein müssen. Das ist eine logistische Meisterleistung, da nicht jede Börse jeden Coin hat. Zur allergrößten Not muss man transferieren und das am besten nicht mit Bitcoin (Stand Januar 2018). Insgesamt sollte man auf den größten Börsen aufgestellt sein, um so stets auch bei kleineren Projekten handlungsfähig zu sein. Zu nennen sind hier Bittrex, welche auch exotischere Projekte gelistet haben sowie Binance und Bitfinex.</p>\n<p>5. Wann verkaufen? Das zweite Hauptproblem ist: Wann sollte ich wieder aussteigen? Dieses Problem lässt sich nicht pauschal lösen. Meiner Meinung nach muss man das anhand einer Betrachtung des Einzelfalls entscheiden. Jedoch sollte man die Welle lieber länger reiten und dann beim brechen der Welle rausgehen, als zu schnell wieder vom Surfbrett zu steigen. Mit anderen Worten: lieber den Peak miterleben und danach rausgehen, als zu früh rausgehen und den größten Anstieg zu verpassen. Denn der Abfall ist meist nicht derart abprupt, dass man direkt wieder im Minus ist. Dagegen besteht die enorme Gefahr den Anstieg des Jahres zu verpassen. So wäre zum Beispiel ein Ausstieg aus Raiblocks (seit Rebranding: Nano) am 14. Dezember 2018 trotz möglicher Verfünfachung innerhalb von einer Woche fatal gewesen. Denn nur drei weitere Wochen später hätte man seine Anfangsinvestition ein weiteres mal verfünffacht. Also wenn man investiert ist und eine Welle reitet: Ruhe bewahren, analysieren und vor allem die Stimmung der Community aufgreifen und bewerten. Natürlich gibt es auch negative News wie obiges Beispiel zeigt. In einem solchen Fall geht man natürlich sobald wie möglich raus aus allem (auch aus der Zwischenwährung) und „verschwindet“ in den Dollar (also nicht wie beim HODLN, wo man praktisch bis zum bitteren Schluss investiert bleibt).</p>\n<p>6. Überschneidungen Ein weiteres Problem stellen Überschneidungen von guten News unterschiedlicher Kryptoprojekte da. In einem solchen Fall muss man genau analysieren und die besseren News traden.</p>\n<p>7. Steuern und Aufzeichnungsproblematik beim Trading Die Problematik der Steuern und der Tradinghistorie beleuchte ich in einem extra Artikel, wobei ich im deutschen Artikel genauer auf die Details in Deutschland eingehe und im englischsprachigen Artikel eher eine Art internationale Übersicht beschreiben werde, anhand derer man vergleichen kann, wie unterschiedlich die jeweiligen Staaten mit dem Thema umgehen. 8. Mentale Stärke &nbsp;&nbsp;Als letzten Punkt möchte ich noch kurz etwas zur mentalen Stärke schreiben. Im Gegensatz zum passiven Investieren erfordert das Trading eine gewisse innere Stärke, da man teilweise trotz Handlungsmöglichkeiten einen Anstieg verpasst hat oder aber nicht rechtzeitig ausgestiegen ist. Mit derartigen Rückschlägen muss man lernen umzugehen und darf sich nicht von seinen Emotionen zu schlechten Entscheidungen hinreißen lassen. Nur wer eine gewisse Selbstdisziplin hat, kann sich meiner Meinung nach mit dem Trading beschäftigen.</p>\n<p>Sicherlich werden zusätzliche mir im Moment noch nicht bewusste Probleme auftauchen. Diese muss man dann sofort analysieren und beseitigen. Im Moment steht der Grundplan jedoch, sodass parallel zur Analyse im passiven Bereich, die Analyse im Trading bis Anfang März Priorität hat. Im Trading-Bereich werde ich neben dem oben erwähnten Steuerartikel im Februar noch einen weiteren Artikel veröffentlichen, in dem es um Hilfsmittel beim Trading und Chartanstiege ohne größere News geht. &nbsp;&nbsp;Kritik, Ideen und Anregungen könnt Ihr mir gerne zukommen lassen. Ich freue mich sehr darüber.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>cryptoexperiment &nbsp;</p>\n<p><br></p>\n</html>",
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