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      "memo": "Accumulate free upvotes on your posts every 6 hours! All you need to do is vote our witness account -> se-witness as one of your 30 witness votes. ->  See actual rewards not just 0.001 every day. https://steemlogin.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=se-witness&approve=1"
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      "body": "Congratulations @beneform! You received a personal award!\n\n<table><tr><td>https://steemitimages.com/70x70/http://steemitboard.com/@beneform/birthday3.png</td><td>Happy Birthday! - You are on the Steem blockchain for 3 years!</td></tr></table>\n\n<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@beneform) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=beneform)_</sub>\n\n\n###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!",
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      "parent_permlink": "re-curiousnematode-re-beneform-re-cryptovestor-proof-of-stupidity-or-revolutionary-consensus-algorithm-20180113t025308982z",
      "author": "curiousnematode",
      "permlink": "re-beneform-re-curiousnematode-re-beneform-re-cryptovestor-proof-of-stupidity-or-revolutionary-consensus-algorithm-20180113t072151151z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "I'm considering the case, In which I'm still alive in 2020. :D\nI also can't assign a particular probability to that. It's all stochastic in nature. lol",
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  "trx_id": "f7766bbf0deaa211241677072a68d6e661cf9e5d",
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      "parent_permlink": "trading",
      "author": "beneform",
      "permlink": "bitcoin-on-its-way-to-test-usd17-000-again",
      "title": "Bitcoin On Its Way To Test $17,000 Again",
      "body": "![Bitcoin Chart.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmTfAcKoRacG6kWXkMSnP3GRDESDSvT4pHqZXzdASsRX8E/Bitcoin%20Chart.png)\n\nBitcoin is on its way to $17,000 after bouncing off the $14,000 level of support. This beat my initial expectation that BTC would temporarily fall into the $12,000 to $13,000 range. I believe that we will test $17,000 again, and this time break through that level of resistance. If BTC breaks to the upside at that level, I predict the price will rise back to $20,000, and completing Step 3 in an Elliot Wave formation. In Step 4, we will see BTC correct to the $17,000, where old resistance becomes new support. Barring any black swan events, Step 5 will have BTC ride up beyond $20,000. \n\nIf this prediction is true, most altcoins will suffer a temporary drop in price (in both satoshi and dollar terms), followed by price stagnation in dollar terms. My expectation for a BTC bull market is also the reason why I thought ADA would enter a bear market in Q1 (analysis linked [here](https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ADABTC/aQ3q9ZA2-Bear-Market-For-ADA-In-Q1/)).\n\nFinally, I would like to quell some skepticism on a BTC bull market beyond TA. First, one major factor that is overlooked is that new money is having difficulty entering the market. In the past week, we've seen Binance, Bittrex, Bitfinex, Kraken, and Gatehub either temporarily closing new registrations, having money transferring difficulties, or temporarily closing the exchange. Second, many note that [institutional investors are shorting Bitcoin futures](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4137094-bitcoin-big-short-already-get-far-worse?ifp=0&utoken=3751c8c7a8055589b6a092323f546d33) by a large margin. The reason why I believe this is not a big concern is because these investors never touch any Bitcoins during the betting process. Unless these institutions are dumping their Bitcoin directly onto the major cryptocurrency exchanges, shorting Bitcoin futures has no direct effect on its price.\n___\nThis analysis was done on TradingView, so feel free to [follow me](https://www.tradingview.com/u/beneform/) there! This analysis is not a buy, sell, or hodl recommendation, and should not be taken as financial advice. I have long positions on BTC, USD (:P), and ADA. As always, thanks for reading and happy trading!\n___\n**Sources And Links**\n1. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ADABTC/aQ3q9ZA2-Bear-Market-For-ADA-In-Q1/\n2. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4137094-bitcoin-big-short-already-get-far-worse?ifp=0&utoken=3751c8c7a8055589b6a092323f546d33\n___\n![Endslate.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXmw7BxY6GZRgAkiLcWLhZafkDwm5B2HaeJF3m2LtToHH/Endslate.png)",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "\"but I doubt I can imagine what I would think of 2021, one year from now\"\n\nImplying you are speaking in 2020. Are you from the future? lol",
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      "parent_permlink": "re-cryptovestor-proof-of-stupidity-or-revolutionary-consensus-algorithm-20180112t022508551z",
      "author": "curiousnematode",
      "permlink": "re-beneform-re-cryptovestor-proof-of-stupidity-or-revolutionary-consensus-algorithm-20180112t052450840z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "It all depends on how the technology develops. It's hard to predict. As the video showed, in this day and age, as always in history, lots of people tend to be more of a sheep than men. That's why governments, banks and corporations are taking advantage of them everywhere you look. maybe 2020, but I doubt I can Imagine what I would think of 2021,  one year from now. If it gets to the point that anybody in the world could readily access the bitcoin network, I don't get surprised If we see extensions of the bubble. the market cap is small in comparison to potentials. unfortunately, it is also not even mature for the current market evaluations. As bitcoin gains price, it grows in popularity. Of course, it could also crash which is a thing we should take in to account. A technology in monetary systems, deeply entangled with IT. It's hard to predict.",
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      "author": "beneform",
      "permlink": "re-cryptovestor-proof-of-stupidity-or-revolutionary-consensus-algorithm-20180112t022508551z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -343,16 +343,20 @@\n t right \n+now \n in the b\n",
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      "permlink": "re-cryptovestor-proof-of-stupidity-or-revolutionary-consensus-algorithm-20180112t022508551z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "Wait, @cryptovestor can tell jokes? What?\n\nBut in all seriousness, Proof Of Stupidity is what will cause the bubble to burst in the future. My parents told me during the dotcom bubble any random company putting \"Internet\", \"Website\", etc in their name would result see massive increases in their stock price. We are in the early stages of that right in the blockchain bubble. At this rate, the bubble will definitely burst in 2020, if not in 2019 or even 2018 if we are unlucky.",
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      "author": "cryptovestor",
      "permlink": "re-beneform-re-cryptovestor-what-s-the-next-verge-my-speculative-gamble-20171226t015159951z",
      "title": "",
      "body": "@@ -1289,8 +1289,84 @@\n e edge).\n+%0A%0AP.S: Don't be salty - it's only just now starting to recover in BTC value.\n",
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      "parent_author": "beneform",
      "parent_permlink": "re-cryptovestor-what-s-the-next-verge-my-speculative-gamble-20171225t045048724z",
      "author": "cryptovestor",
      "permlink": "re-beneform-re-cryptovestor-what-s-the-next-verge-my-speculative-gamble-20171226t015159951z",
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      "body": "Well be mindful of the fact that this particular analysis was not fundamental at all. As long as it isn't a scam coin (which it isn't in my opinion), it was included. This particular investment is based on two principles:\n\n1) Reversion to mean (underperforming the rest of small cap privacy coins in short-term, ultimately should catch up).\n2) A rising tide raises all boats (privacy coins are doing well hence NAV will do well).\n\nCombine those factors with the fact that NAV is getting more buzz than ZEN recently (from what I have seen) and it seems ripe for a pump. I don't care if McAfee shills for NAV - he doesn't need to for it to pump. It won't pump like Verge did without outside help like that, but I don't ever invest expecting a 40x return - that's insane. \n\nThe other two questions you asked are fundamental in nature. This is more of a trading bet than investing - as such, those two questions are irrelevant (aside from strengthening the bet). Yes, compared to the mean for the group, NAV is undervalued (although there are other metrics that are better measures of this, no one looks at them). I hope that makes sense of it for you - in short, it wouldn't matter if their development team didn't exist for this particular trade (hence why I call it a bet / gamble with some edge).",
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      "title": "",
      "body": "I used to hold this coin back in September, but then sold them all. I definitely SALTy right now haha\n\nAnyways, I've heard that the reason for the Verge pump is because of McAfee plus Verge's Wraith protocol. Maybe part of the reason for the initial pump was because Verge was very undervalued, and then the remainder of the pump was because other people FOMO'ed into XVG?\n\nIn effect, what you are doing is betting an all or nothing on NAV, because if NAV doesn't moon even 10x, it'll just languish in obscurity and NAV just becomes an opportunity cost at best. I'm guessing you are already invested in NAV, but did you ask yourself these three questions....\n\n1. Is NAV undervalued?\n2. Will McAfee shill for NAV? Will the media shill for NAV (like they are doing for Verge right now)?\n3. Does NAV have a major update or technological advantage? Is their wallet software nice to use?\n\nI know that was five questions, but final question if all the above is yes: will it moon and when?\n\nP.S. This is probably an unfounded rumor, but I heard Verge was originally a fork off Dogecoin XD",
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      "body": "While I agree Steemit needs a change in governance, a change in culture is more needed. People are more interested in making money than socializing on this platform, and we're all guilty of this. Just check any forum related to Steemit (like Facebook, Rocket chat, onG Social, Slack, etc) and everyone is more interested in post promotion than actually interacting with each other. I never see this with any other crypto-community or social platform.\n\nMaybe one small step forward would be to hide the amount of rewards a particular post earned? Youtube doesn't show how much ad revenue a video makes. Instead, it focuses on views and likes. I haven't seen Steemit's landing page in a while, but perhaps it shouldn't advertise so strongly that you can make money from posting.",
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      "title": "Short Term: CME’s Bitcoin Futures Should Be Bearish For Bitcoin",
      "body": "<html>\n<p>https://steemitimages.com/DQmZRZrzRLF9QMutFPPbRKVeuvYZRT6m8UQAgwvoFq8McC4/CME%20%2B%20Bitcoin.png<br>\n</p>\n<p>When the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) announced they would launch Bitcoin futures on December 18, 2017 [1], most Bitcoiners and cryptocoiners thought Bitcoin and cryptocurrency overall was <strong>finally</strong> going mainstream. The establishment financial world has <strong>finally</strong> acknowledged Bitcoin and cryptocurrency after many years of trying to discredit it. Like many, I was excited about CME futures. In the long run, Bitcoin futures are a positive step in cryptocurrency adoption. But I think Bitcoin futures should be bearish for Bitcoin’s price in the very short term (e.g. before end of 2018). In this article, I will be laying out my reasons why I think the cryptocurrency market will experience a bear market after the launch of Bitcoin futures.</p>\n<h2><strong>CME FUTURES FAIL TO LAUNCH</strong></h2>\n<p>At this point, while I believe it’s unlikely that Bitcoin futures will fail to launch, it’s still a slim possibility. If this were to occur, Bitcoin’s price will collapse as the excitement and expectation of Bitcoin futures disappear. Even an initial drop of $1000 to $2000 could cause the market to panic and drop the price further. Since Bitcoin’s price is highly correlated with altcoin prices during bear markets [2][3], the entire cryptocurrency market can expect a massive contraction for a couple of days.</p>\n<h2><strong>CME FUTURES SUCCESSFULLY LAUNCH</strong></h2>\n<p>Many of you may be thinking right now how a successful launch of Bitcoin futures could cause a bear market in cryptocurrencies. It seems counterintuitive; futures should increase adoption and mainstream awareness of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies! And I agree – in the <strong>long term</strong>, Bitcoin futures increases adoption. But I believe that in the <strong>very short term</strong>, Bitcoin’s price will fall as a result of the futures launch because futures temporarily give institutional investors a massive amount of power over the price of Bitcoin. Institutional investors and traders behave differently from retail investors. Unlike retail investors, professional investors never buy at all-time highs, and instead will see Bitcoin’s overextended pricing as an opportunity to <strong>short sell</strong> Bitcoin. In fact, institutional investors have an interest in collapsing the price of Bitcoin, so they can buy it at a discount. If Bitcoin rides up to $15,000 by December 18, 2018, I can almost guarantee a significant correction, driven by institutional investors, will occur.</p>\n<h2><strong>CAVEAT…KIND OF</strong></h2>\n<p>There are some exceptions to this scenario. The first exception is that Bitcoin’s price corrects below $7000 before CME launches futures. In this case, institutional investors are more likely to see that price as a buy opportunity, which will drive up the price. That being said, this scenario requires a correction to occur in the first place, meaning (again) that the futures launch should be a bearish event for Bitcoin.</p>\n<h2><strong>DISCLAIMER</strong></h2>\n<p>I have holdings in Bitcoin and other altcoins, and plan to maintain those holdings in the foreseeable future. This article is not meant to be investment or trading advice, so please do your own research and think for yourself! As always, I strongly encourage readers to stay calm and rational, and do not panic sell (FUD – Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) or panic buy (FOMO – Fear Of Missing Out). Best wishes to all in investing and trading!</p>\n<h2><strong>REFERENCES</strong></h2>\n<ol>\n  <li><a href=\"http://www.cmegroup.com/media-room/press-releases/2017/12/01/cme_group_self-certifiesbitcoinfuturestolaunchdec18.html\">http://www.cmegroup.com/media-room/press-releases/2017/12/01/cme_group_self-certifiesbitcoinfuturestolaunchdec18.html</a></li>\n  <li><a href=\"https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/\">https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ </a>https://steemitimages.com/DQmXpyhUDSnWzmzaz4rt7ftVREgXAefy4gfhrkegweXzJoe/CME%20Futures%20-%20Market%20Capitalization%20BTC.png</li>\n  <li><a href=\"https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/\">https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/</a> https://steemitimages.com/DQmYxQ5DK4NPxcWRyW9J5X3nC1BoGoZxDMzdb3UQZMZ64GM/CME%20Futures%20-%20Market%20Capitalization%20ALT.png</li>\n</ol>\n<hr />\nhttps://steemitimages.com/DQmXmw7BxY6GZRgAkiLcWLhZafkDwm5B2HaeJF3m2LtToHH/Endslate.png\n</html>",
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