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      "body": "The VIX is a wonderful thing, especially if you're into Options, which I also trade. The Forex is a bit different, in that you only have a few main currencies to trade on. At least, if you want to minimize your risk like a good trader. You can trade the lesser known/traded currencies, what we call the exotic pairs, but I wouldn't recommend it. The Forex is actually quite simple to trade and the profits are fantastic compared to Options, Futures, Commodities and so forth. Mainly because of the margin, but in great part because if you have studied a currency pair extensively, and keep up with both current events in the two countries as well as any Fundamental Announcements, it will become very easy to predict movements and get good entries. Keep coming at me with comments and questions! This is one topic that never bores me...",
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      "body": "Many thanks for the information and advice..I look forward to getting involved.",
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      "body": "The last nail in the USD coffin. But the setup was brilliant. I'll be discussing that in an article shortly.",
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      "title": "A Day That WIll Live in Infamy",
      "body": "# 45 Year Anniversary of the Undoing of America\n\n<center>![Gold and Pieces of Worthless Paper](http://i.imgur.com/imAOuhc.jpg)</center>\n\nIt was 45 years ago today, that Richard Nixon, in an act of sophistry worthy only of Nixon himself, unpegged the US Dollar from Gold. Prior to that date, foreign governments had been accepting payment of all debts from international trade, regardless of which country they were trading with, in dollars. An agreement was in place that other countries could exchange their dollars at will, for gold stored by the United States in Fort Knox.\n\nNixon, claiming that unscrupulous international forces were attacking America through its gold reserves, used that argument as an excuse to unilaterally tell the world that no more gold would be forthcoming in return for dollars. In essence, telling the world that henceforward we would be refusing to honor our debt in anything other than pieces of paper, to be printed at will by the US government.\n\nWhat he effectively did was devalue the dollar. And so gasoline, being sold at approximately 25 cents a gallon, is now above $2 a gallon, and has been as high as $5 a gallon. Curiously enough, if you had one of the silver quarters from back in the day, nominally worth 25 cents, but worth far more for their bullion content today, you'd find that the silver in one of these quarters is worth about the same as a gallon of gasoline is today. So gasoline has not really gotten more expensive. Neither has silver. The only thing that has changed since then is the value of the US dollar, which should continue to drop towards zero, as all fiat currencies tend to do, given time.\n\nHappy 45th Birthday!\n\nOh, and should you want to celebrate, and at the same time protect your savings, may I suggest you buy and keep silver and gold directly? [Money Metals Exchange](http://www.shareasale.com/r.cfm?B=696067&U=1168812&M=57542&urllink=) is where I buy mine.",
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      "title": "A Day That WIll Live in Infamy",
      "body": "# 45 Year Anniversary of the Undoing of America\n\n<center>![Gold and Pieces of Worthless Paper](http://i.imgur.com/imAOuhc.jpg)</center>\n\nIt was 45 years ago today, that Richard Nixon, in an act of sophistry worthy only of Nixon himself, unpegged the US Dollar from Gold. Prior to that date, foreign governments had been accepting payment of all debts from international trade, regardless of which country they were trading with, in dollars. An agreement was in place that other countries could exchange their dollars at will, for gold stored by the United States in Fort Knox.\n\nNixon, claiming that unscrupulous international forces were attacking America through its gold reserves, used that argument as an excuse to unilaterally tell the world that no more gold would be forthcoming in return for dollars. In essence, telling the world that henceforward we would be refusing to honor our debt in anything other than pieces of paper, to be printed at will by the US government.\n\nWhat he effectively did was devalue the dollar. And so gasoline, being sold at approximately 25 cents a gallon, is now above $2 a gallon, and has been as high as $5 a gallon. Curiously enough, if you had one of the silver quarters from back in the day, nominally worth 25 cents, but worth far more for their bullion content today, you'd find that the silver in one of these quarters is worth about the same as a gallon of gasoline is today. So gasoline has not really gotten more expensive. Neither has silver. The only thing that has changed since then is the value of the US dollar, which should continue to drop towards zero, as all fiat currencies tend to do, given time.\n\nHappy 45th Birthday!\n\nOh, and should you want to celebrate, and at the same time protect your savings, may I suggest you buy and keep silver and gold directly? [Money Metals Exchange](http://www.shareasale.com/r.cfm?B=696067&U=1168812&M=57542&urllink=) is where I buy mine.",
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      "body": "@@ -153,15 +153,36 @@\n  of \n-the future\n+improvement of self and society\n .\n",
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      "body": "I like it..Recommend random mode to generate new neural pathways, then networks in the brain..Thus leading to the awakening of new ideas, the very stuff of the future.",
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      "body": "IMO, it's all smoke and mirrors. Hillary's throne was bought and paid for years ago. Now it just awaits delivery.\nhttp://notanotheraveragejoe.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Trump2.jpg",
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      "body": "The problem is not that they're smart enough to not elect him. I think the problem is that we're collectively, all sides, not smart enough to break out of the cycle and actually advance a good leader. Do you see Trump's opponent as honestly that different when it comes to deficiencies and unsuitability? Be honest...",
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      "body": "Glad to know that he's starting to realize that the majority of Americans may well be smart enough not to elect him. I've despised that individual long before he decided he could be a politician.",
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      "title": "Is Trump Preparing for a Loss?",
      "body": "# This Week's Political Circus\n\n<center>![Trump's Star Waning?](http://i.imgur.com/id6AKTe.jpg)</center>\n\nAccording to a [CNN article](http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/15/opinions/is-trump-getting-ready-to-lose-stanley/index.html), Trump is starting to shift, psychologically, into a mindset that will not crush his sense of self-worth if he loses. And, psychologically speaking, there is a point there. Humans are not thinking animals, despite the common definition. We are rationalizing animals. Most of us unable to go through life unless we make up little backstories to explain our circumstances in fashions that treat us kindly. Very few today are able to live with themselves without a high self-opinion to shield them from the random vagaries of the Universe we inhabit.\n\nCNN's article points to language being used lately by Trump to the effect that \"the only way he could lose is if the voting is rigged\". Or that \"his polling numbers are dwindling because of unfavorable media coverage\".  The reality of the latter is that if not for all the media coverage, Trump probably wouldn't have made it this far, in the first place. Another truth is that he's become an expert at needlessly alienating large groups of people by saying the wrong thing, or sometimes by saying something too open to interpretation and, yes, the media is eager to tear him down now that he is a viable candidate and not an insider joke among within the political circuit.\n\nI happen to agree more with Trump's general ideas than I disagree with them. And I happen to disagree with Hillary on just about everything. That's me. I'm entitled to my own opinion. I just felt I should share that lest I be lumped in with the dastardly media as being committed to trashing Trump. Far from it. I find this worrisome with 3 months still to go before Election Day.\n\nAt the same time, I need to point out that I am very cynical these days to what Democracy is looking like in our country. I don't believe in any change for the better coming out of Washington, DC no matter who gets elected. There are powers behind the scenes with their own agendas, and quite adept at advancing them. A President, Congress, the Supreme Court, even, are just bit players in some of these far reaching plans. If anything, the morass of laws and regulations that make it impossible for anyone to really understand what they can or cannot do, makes it impossible to successfully navigate the system without a battalion of shady lawyers at your beck and call. The common citizen has no hope, no matter who wins. The point of no return happened before we were born.\n\nTo close this article, even though this week's Circus looks unfavorable to Trump, it's still recoverable. But Trump needs to start listening to the handlers and advisors he doesn't think he needs. His charisma and the simmering resentment a lot of us have today for the Establishment have propelled him this far. I hope he realizes that he can't advance much further by being a loose cannon. Sadly, being a loose cannon was precisely what got him this far, and he may be reluctant to change the approach, through being unable to recognize the difference between the first stage of the campaign and the current one.\n\nCan someone forward this to him? Thanks...",
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      "body": "# This Week's Political Circus\n\n<center>![Trump's Star Waning?](http://i.imgur.com/id6AKTe.jpg)</center>\n\nAccording to a [CNN article](http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/15/opinions/is-trump-getting-ready-to-lose-stanley/index.html), Trump is starting to shift, psychologically, into a mindset that will not crush his sense of self-worth if he loses. And, psychologically speaking, there is a point there. Humans are not thinking animals, despite the common definition. We are rationalizing animals. Most of us unable to go through life unless we make up little backstories to explain our circumstances in fashions that treat us kindly. Very few today are able to live with themselves without a high self-opinion to shield them from the random vagaries of the Universe we inhabit.\n\nCNN's article points to language being used lately by Trump to the effect that \"the only way he could lose is if the voting is rigged\". Or that \"his polling numbers are dwindling because of unfavorable media coverage\".  The reality of the latter is that if not for all the media coverage, Trump probably wouldn't have made it this far, in the first place. Another truth is that he's become an expert at needlessly alienating large groups of people by saying the wrong thing, or sometimes by saying something too open to interpretation and, yes, the media is eager to tear him down now that he is a viable candidate and not an insider joke among within the political circuit.\n\nI happen to agree more with Trump's general ideas than I disagree with them. And I happen to disagree with Hillary on just about everything. That's me. I'm entitled to my own opinion. I just felt I should share that lest I be lumped in with the dastardly media as being committed to trashing Trump. Far from it. I find this worrisome with 3 months still to go before Election Day.\n\nAt the same time, I need to point out that I am very cynical these days to what Democracy is looking like in our country. I don't believe in any change for the better coming out of Washington, DC no matter who gets elected. There are powers behind the scenes with their own agendas, and quite adept at advancing them. A President, Congress, the Supreme Court, even, are just bit players in some of these far reaching plans. If anything, the morass of laws and regulations that make it impossible for anyone to really understand what they can or cannot do, makes it impossible to successfully navigate the system without a battalion of shady lawyers at your beck and call. The common citizen has no hope, no matter who wins. The point of no return happened before we were born.\n\nTo close this article, even though this week's Circus looks unfavorable to Trump, it's still recoverable. But Trump needs to start listening to the handlers and advisors he doesn't think he needs. His charisma and the simmering resentment a lot of us have today for the Establishment have propelled him this far. I hope he realizes that he can't advance much further by being a loose cannon. Sadly, being a loose cannon was precisely what got him this far, and he may be reluctant to change the approach, through being unable to recognize the difference between the first stage of the campaign and the current one.\n\nCan someone forward this to him? Thanks...",
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      "body": "You can get started with US$50, trading microlots for US$0.10/pip.\nAn account with US$500 would allow you to safely trade minilots, for US$1.00/pip.\nTo trade full lots, you'd best have US$5,000 in capital, and you'd be trading for US$10.00/pip.\n\nYou are in UK, based on your handle here? You want to look at http://www.ig.com/ as your broker. They are solid, reputable and handle European customers. As an added bonus, there are no taxes for Forex profits in the UK at this time, so you keep every last penny.",
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      "body": "Hi all looks pretty amazing..How much do you need to invest to get started with Forex?",
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      "body": "I do exactly that, go into random mode to see what gems I can find. Though now and then I will go to the trending to see what's hot. A bit of both, I find, is good for my palate.",
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      "body": "It gets better when you see some spread globally and targeting something Putin is doing. Like Putin is going to care what anyone, in or out of Russia, is bleating about. You'll notice very few Russian signatures on those petitions, too. They know better. And they don't want to end up in jail for acute petitionitis.",
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      "body": "Thanks! I shorted this trade last week, at $0.72804, and it is currently trading around 80 pips below that, at $0.72000, as I write this.  The only concerns short term are the two RBNZ Fundamental Announcements due later today. Or they may simply accelerate its thrust down to my limit. Either way, I'll be closely monitoring this one. If you choose to enter the trade now, 80 pips later, then I suggest you be more cautious with your stop since you have less upside to look forward to, based on my setup.",
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      "body": "Nice post. So you will short this trade and if so, what is your entry point?",
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      "body": "What I especially love is those petitions that people send out to the entire country to deal with a local issue.  Yeah, like the rulers in Podunk Mississippi really care about what people in Podunk Georgia think.",
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      "body": "@@ -4336,18 +4336,19 @@\n  coming \n-in\n+out\n  today, \n",
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      "title": "Forex: NZDUSD Outlook for Week of August 15th, 2016",
      "body": "@@ -4445,16 +4445,29 @@\n meeting \n+at 9:30pm ET \n which is\n",
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      "title": "Forex: NZDUSD Outlook for Week of August 15th, 2016",
      "body": "@@ -3546,18 +3546,18 @@\n ong \n+in \n either \n-in \n dire\n@@ -3593,13 +3593,8 @@\n  or \n-even \n the \n@@ -4146,16 +4146,132 @@\n pective.\n+ If trading a full standard lot, this means you are risking US%5C$1,000 in return for a potential profit of US%5C$2,300.\n %0A%0A## Fun\n",
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      "title": "Forex: NZDUSD Outlook for Week of August 15th, 2016",
      "body": "# NZDUSD Outlook for Week of Aug 15th, 2015\n\n## Technical Analysis\n\nFor all technical analysis, we want to look at the larger timeframes. The larger timeframes always control the smaller timeframes, and will give you your long term outlook. As such, we look at the NZDUSD (New Zealand Dollar against the US Dollar) on a weekly timechart. In other words, a chart graphing price against time, where each candlestick represents an entire week of price movement.\n\n<center>![NZDUSD Weekly Chart](http://i.imgur.com/n37UCRk.png)</center>\n\nWe haven't gotten into what _Technical Analysis_ is yet, so bear with me and trust me on this one. The chart is showing a long term _bearish_ bias, that is, the price has been steadily going down. The different colored lines and shaded areas represent _Fibonacci_ retracements and expansions, which I use to predict direction and target for any movements. While the pair is in a downtrend, it completed a Fibonacci shown by the first A to B movement, and as the Fibonaccis predict, it then entered into a retrace. A downward trend does not mean a price falls and falls and falls. It just means that the general direction is downwards, making lower lows and lower highs. As it retraces, it started making _sub-abcd_ movements, which are _bullish_ in bias (going up). The retracement encroached into the red area, which is where we would have predicted, and is now free to move downwards again. So on a weekly timeframe, we would expect it to go down based on the long term bias. Based on the newer, upwards bias, we would also expect it to go down as it completed and upwards sub-abcd, and now needs to retrace into the green area. So regardless of whether it will ultimately go lower or higher on the weekly chart, a movement down into the green area is very probable.\n\nNow we can move into a shorter timeframe, in this case, a 2-hour chart.\n\n<center>![NZDUSD 2 Hour Chart](http://i.imgur.com/dxzabBD.png)</center>\n\nWe see that in the shorter timeframe, the bias is bullish, which makes a whole lot of sense. We already saw on the Weekly chart that it is in a retrace to the North. It recently (last week) made a significant move up thanks to a fundamental announcement by the RBNZ (Royal Bank of New Zealand) regarding the interest rates. Once the sharp upward movement was finished, I expected a short term correction leading into a longer term correction. I sold this pair last week as it started dropping from its high point, labelled \"head\" in the chart. The price I sold it at is indicated by the blue line. My stop loss, the point where I get out of the trade with a loss if it goes against me, is at the red line. You can see it is higher than the highest point on the graph. I do not expect it to exceed the high marked by \"Head\" unless I have terribly miscalculated this trade. My limit, or the point where I exit the trade with a profit, is indicated by the green line. So in summary, I am risking 100 pips in return for a chance of making 230 pips. After I was already in the trade, this pair completed a textbook _Head and Shoulders_ pattern, which is the green shaded, lopsided crown formation at the right of the chart. This is another indicator of a drop in price, which it has already started doing as I write. So my analysis on long and short term indicate the price for this pair going down, and fully justify my having sold it, with further confirmation seen after the trade.\n\nMy price points for entry, stop and limit are based on the analysis of the two charts above. I could, of course, be wrong either in direction it will take this week, or even the timing. It may take more than a week. The secret to trading profitably isn't to be right each time, but rather to be right enough times that your profit exceeds the losses by a wide enough margin that it's worth your time and energy. This trade meets all my criteria, and I will remain in it till one of two things happen. The price hits the red line, taking me out with a 100 pip loss, or the price hits the green line, taking me out with 230 pips profit. A risk to reward ratio of 1:2.3, and the odds in my favor from a technical analysis perspective.\n\n## Fundamental Analysis\n\nThere are two fundamental announcements coming in today, Monday August 15th. One is a mid-level one, at 4:30pm ET, the other the minutes of an RBNZ meeting which is categorized as high level, having the potential to drastically move prices. At those two times, I will be closely monitoring price movements, and may temporarily adjust my stop loss to protect some of the profit I have already captured since I entered the trade. Fundamentals can trump Technicals in the very short term, and there is no sense risking realized gains needlessly. If a Fundamental pushes it higher, it can do so without me in the trade (and having exited with a profit), and once it stops rising, I'll simply enter the trade again, and effectively capture the very same pips I'd captured before, doubling my profit.\n\nI know some of the above may sound cryptic, but I assure you it makes perfect sense if you know the rules, which I still intend to teach anyone interested. But you do need to tell me that you are interested. I'd like to know that, at the least, I am being read.\n\nQuestions? Comments? Post them below.\n\nMore in this series:\n\n[Trading the Forex Market - Part 1](https://steemit.com/forex-trading/@andyfx/trading-the-forex-market-part-1)\n[Trading the Forex Market - Part 2](https://steemit.com/forex-trading/@andyfx/trading-the-forex-market-part-2)\n[Trading the Forex Market Successfully](https://steemit.com/forex-trading/@andyfx/trading-the-forex-market-successfully)\n\n#### Did you like this post? Please _upvote_ it and then _Follow_ me using the dropdown arrow next to my userid near the top of this page. This will alert you when I have a new post up. If you are interested in what I am showing you, you don't want to miss a single post. Also, please share this post with anyone you think might benefit. And check back often!",
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      "body": "# NZDUSD Outlook for Week of Aug 15th, 2015\n\n## Technical Analysis\n\nFor all technical analysis, we want to look at the larger timeframes. The larger timeframes always control the smaller timeframes, and will give you your long term outlook. As such, we look at the NZDUSD (New Zealand Dollar against the US Dollar) on a weekly timechart. In other words, a chart graphing price against time, where each candlestick represents an entire week of price movement.\n\n<center>![NZDUSD Weekly Chart](http://i.imgur.com/n37UCRk.png)</center>\n\nWe haven't gotten into what _Technical Analysis_ is yet, so bear with me and trust me on this one. The chart is showing a long term _bearish_ bias, that is, the price has been steadily going down. The different colored lines and shaded areas represent _Fibonacci_ retracements and expansions, which I use to predict direction and target for any movements. While the pair is in a downtrend, it completed a Fibonacci shown by the first A to B movement, and as the Fibonaccis predict, it then entered into a retrace. A downward trend does not mean a price falls and falls and falls. It just means that the general direction is downwards, making lower lows and lower highs. As it retraces, it started making _sub-abcd_ movements, which are _bullish_ in bias (going up). The retracement encroached into the red area, which is where we would have predicted, and is now free to move downwards again. So on a weekly timeframe, we would expect it to go down based on the long term bias. Based on the newer, upwards bias, we would also expect it to go down as it completed and upwards sub-abcd, and now needs to retrace into the green area. So regardless of whether it will ultimately go lower or higher on the weekly chart, a movement down into the green area is very probable.\n\nNow we can move into a shorter timeframe, in this case, a 2-hour chart.\n\n<center>![NZDUSD 2 Hour Chart](http://i.imgur.com/dxzabBD.png)</center>\n\nWe see that in the shorter timeframe, the bias is bullish, which makes a whole lot of sense. We already saw on the Weekly chart that it is in a retrace to the North. It recently (last week) made a significant move up thanks to a fundamental announcement by the RBNZ (Royal Bank of New Zealand) regarding the interest rates. Once the sharp upward movement was finished, I expected a short term correction leading into a longer term correction. I sold this pair last week as it started dropping from its high point, labelled \"head\" in the chart. The price I sold it at is indicated by the blue line. My stop loss, the point where I get out of the trade with a loss if it goes against me, is at the red line. You can see it is higher than the highest point on the graph. I do not expect it to exceed the high marked by \"Head\" unless I have terribly miscalculated this trade. My limit, or the point where I exit the trade with a profit, is indicated by the green line. So in summary, I am risking 100 pips in return for a chance of making 230 pips. After I was already in the trade, this pair completed a textbook _Head and Shoulders_ pattern, which is the green shaded, lopsided crown formation at the right of the chart. This is another indicator of a drop in price, which it has already started doing as I write. So my analysis on long and short term indicate the price for this pair going down, and fully justify my having sold it, with further confirmation seen after the trade.\n\nMy price points for entry, stop and limit are based on the analysis of the two charts above. I could, of course, be wrong either in direction it will take this week, or even the timing. It may take more than a week. The secret to trading profitably isn't to be right each time, but rather to be right enough times that your profit exceeds the losses by a wide enough margin that it's worth your time and energy. This trade meets all my criteria, and I will remain in it till one of two things happen. The price hits the red line, taking me out with a 100 pip loss, or the price hits the green line, taking me out with 230 pips profit. A risk to reward ratio of 1:2.3, and the odds in my favor from a technical analysis perspective.\n\n## Fundamental Analysis\n\nThere are two fundamental announcements coming in today, Monday August 15th. One is a mid-level one, at 4:30pm ET, the other the minutes of an RBNZ meeting which is categorized as high level, having the potential to drastically move prices. At those two times, I will be closely monitoring price movements, and may temporarily adjust my stop loss to protect some of the profit I have already captured since I entered the trade. Fundamentals can trump Technicals in the very short term, and there is no sense risking realized gains needlessly. If a Fundamental pushes it higher, it can do so without me in the trade (and having exited with a profit), and once it stops rising, I'll simply enter the trade again, and effectively capture the very same pips I'd captured before, doubling my profit.\n\nI know some of the above may sound cryptic, but I assure you it makes perfect sense if you know the rules, which I still intend to teach anyone interested. But you do need to tell me that you are interested. I'd like to know that, at the least, I am being read.\n\nQuestions? Comments? Post them below.\n\nMore in this series:\n\n[Trading the Forex Market - Part 1](https://steemit.com/forex-trading/@andyfx/trading-the-forex-market-part-1)\n[Trading the Forex Market - Part 2](https://steemit.com/forex-trading/@andyfx/trading-the-forex-market-part-2)\n[Trading the Forex Market Successfully](https://steemit.com/forex-trading/@andyfx/trading-the-forex-market-successfully)\n\n#### Did you like this post? Please _upvote_ it and then _Follow_ me using the dropdown arrow next to my userid near the top of this page. This will alert you when I have a new post up. If you are interested in what I am showing you, you don't want to miss a single post. Also, please share this post with anyone you think might benefit. And check back often!",
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