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      "author": "amlwwalker",
      "permlink": "the-investigatory-powers-bill-the-snoopers-charter-1984-the-end-of-privacy-if-she-gets-her-way",
      "title": "The Investigatory Powers Bill - The Snoopers Charter - 1984 - The end of privacy if she gets her way.",
      "body": "## Preface\n\nIt's not something that we all can really understand, so I thought I would outline a letter I would write to 10 Downing Street on the topic of secrecy/privacy/encryption/the banning of the former(s)/the fact that our government is not fit to make these decisions.\n\n## A letter to Theresa May\n\nDear Theresa, \n\nBefore you go passing laws affecting the way technology is used in this country, please can I just say:\n\n\nThe Investigatory Powers Bill. It says so many things, but in a nut shell:\n\n## Targeted Interception\n\n> For interference to be considered targeted it must relate to: \n\n>\t* particular person or persons\n\n>\t* organisation or organisations\n\n[reference](http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/bills/cbill/2015-2016/0143/en/16143en.pdf)\n\n* In other words an individual can be hacked by the state if they are suspected of a crime.\n\n## Bulk Interception: \n\n> allows for the\ninterception of large volumes of communications in order to acquire the\ncommunications of terrorists and serious criminals that would not otherwise be available\n\n[reference](https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/530549/Bulk_Powers_Factsheet.pdf)\n\n* In other words we can all be hacked by the state if it would help to catch a criminal.\n\nThe way the documents outline how they would be used is that the **bulk** interception would give them general coverage of what is going on, and when they have suspicions about somebody, targeted interception would be used, i.e hack their phones, computers, bug their house whatever whatever.\n\nThe documents actually outline a whole load of stuff basically stating that the security services need to be able to catch criminals in an internet age. Actually I have no problem with this as a statement. Yes they do need to be able to catch criminals....... however.....\n\nThese documents are using fear at the highest level to pass laws that are similar to the powers of the Stazi, or the KGB. Mass surveillance.\n\nEarl Howe said:\n\n> Law enforcement and the intelligence agencies must retain the ability to require telecoms operators to remove encryption in limited circumstances, subject to strong controls and safeguards, to address the increasing technical sophistication of those who would seek to do us harm\n\n#### This tells us a few things:\n\n* He has absolutely no idea what he is talking about (power and ignorance is terrifying anyway)\n* Security services already have physical access to the infrastructure that the internet is carried along. He *thinks* they just need a logistical adjustment to be made (flick a switch by the telecomms companies to turn off the encryption (data protection) so that the data is in plain text and readable.)\n* Fear is the tactic they are going for to pass this.\n\n## Why should they not have this power?\n\n## Privacy argument\n\n* This is an infringement on privacy. The government is in place to protect our security. **Security is a privilege that we pay taxes for**. Privacy is a human right that they are not voted in to affect.\n\t* Go back to your ancesteral caveman days. In your cave you had a right to that cave, just as the next person had a right to theirs. No one had a right to take the privacy of that cave away from you. \n\t* If you can find a bigger caveman to be your security guard and pay him in sabertooth meat, then so be it, but that's a privilege.\n* They have never had powers like this before. They have had the ability to break the locks off doors, smash open safe's tear up your house to find things. Even bugging your house is well within their capabilities, but it does not remove your right to privacy before you've enabled it.\n\n## Insider threat argument\n\n* 58% of threats come from an insider. I.e when we think about the security of an organisation, and a breach of that organisation 58% of the time, it's because someone within that organisation either knowingly, or unknowingly allowed the breach to occur. \n\n[reference](http://www.infosecurity-magazine.com/news/58-information-security-incidents-attributed-to/)\n\n* Government is an organisation!\n\t* Even if we trust the people at the top of government, who's to say that the people within it can be trusted. And even if they can be, who's to say that they are secure.\n\t* In fact with access to \"bulk internet data\" you could make a fortune. All trades coming out of Canary Wharf could be monitored if you happened to be seated in the right place in Government. It's not a big leap of the imagination to start conjuring up reasons why someone might just take a peak at something they shouldn't\n\t\t* Prism, is the name the NSA gave to their bulk surveillance program. Think Edward Snowden\n\t\t* Congress in the US were under scandal for insider trading, to line their own pockets. It's not exactly the same as what I am proposing could happen, however it shows that these things happen. [reference](https://represent.us/action/insider-trading/)\n\n## Why it's so stupid\n\n* Back to Earl Howe's comment I quoted earlier. He doesn't understand the encryption space, and by that I mean, he doesn't understand what encryption is (and I suspect nor does most of Government). It may be possible to get a telecomms company to flick their switch that turns off their encryption. Fine. \n* Take, Whatsapp as an example, Whatsapp as an organisation could turn off the encryption at their end if forced to. But the devices (I.e your and my phone, when we communicate) encrypt the data before sending it. Then when it is received on your phone, it is decrypted. Only you and I can do that. Whatsapp can't. So this law actually is giving them a power over a telecomms that won't help the situation. Just gives them more powers.\n* Part of the Snooper's Charter is to ban this End-to-End encryption. This is now saying that I can run certain apps on my phone, but not others. That's like saying, \"If I don't understand it, you can't have it\". \n* Encryption is an unfeasible thing to stop. To the naked eye, encryption is garbled data that could look like:\n\n> AtB/Rx42d2TSK2/zn0w3XtHxWGuSWkKAYHO1AXiJcyT/UusGc02NjKkF\n\nHowever it might not look like that. The point I'm making is there is no way for you or anyone to know if the above is actually encrypted data, or I just hammered my keyboard. For my own glee, I won't tell you which it is. \n\n* I could make an app, if I was bothered, that we all put on our phones, and when we send each other messages, it instead sends strings of completely random text like the above. Completely meaningless.\n\t* If I were more obtuse, I might actually do that. Flooding the internet with huge amounts of random data, that the security services would have to pour over to work out whether it was infact real encrypted data, and arrest me, or just random data.\n\t\t* It would be the most awesome peaceful middle finger ever.\n* If you want to read another of my blogs on this topic that demonstrates the insanity of this, see [here](https://steemit.com/cryptography/@amlwwalker/the-uk-s-crazy-misunderstanding-of-how-end-to-end-encryption-works-and-what-it-all-really-means). It will explain what encryption really is and how this has nothing to do with technology or sophistication.\n\n## Why it's so terrifying\n\n* All this is doing is giving powers to unelected people. By that I mean, The PM is not going to sit and monitor the data, someone else is. \n* The people putting these laws through don't understand what they are doing, and have clearly not asked the experts\n* The internet is scaring Government. They realise that they can't control it. So they are twitching and becoming irrational. Dealing with an irrational beast is not something we should want to have to do.\n\n\n\nThis is hopefully straight forward enough to boil down some of the facts and what it means in reality. If it's not, I would like comments about how to make it that. This is a serious bit of legality that is being discussed and the members of the UK are not getting the exposure to the facts.\n\nYours,\n\nIf you would like to speak to me about what I think should be done to manage criminals on the internet, I'm sure if you monitor my Amazon orders you can find my address, or alternatively, ask that cold caller from Shenzhen. They seem to have my number.",
      "json_metadata": "{\"tags\":[\"encryption\",\"government\",\"messaging\",\"secrecy\",\"cryptography\"],\"links\":[\"http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/bills/cbill/2015-2016/0143/en/16143en.pdf\",\"https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/530549/Bulk_Powers_Factsheet.pdf\",\"http://www.infosecurity-magazine.com/news/58-information-security-incidents-attributed-to/\",\"https://represent.us/action/insider-trading/\",\"https://steemit.com/cryptography/@amlwwalker/the-uk-s-crazy-misunderstanding-of-how-end-to-end-encryption-works-and-what-it-all-really-means\"],\"app\":\"steemit/0.1\",\"format\":\"markdown\"}"
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      "title": "The UK's crazy misunderstanding of how End To End Encryption works and what it all really means.",
      "body": "##Preface\n\nI have been getting more and more annoyed when the (UK) government has been talking about banning encryption, removing privacy etc etc etc. I thought I would do a write up. \n\nOh, and before I continue, anyone who has the argument: \"If you have nothing to hide, why do you care?\" as an argument as to why we should let the government ban encryption and remove our right to privacy, I respond to you, \"when you go for a shower, or to the toilet, everyone knows what you are doing in there, but you still lock the door. Why? Because you want privacy. This isn't about secrecy, this is about the right to privacy\".\n\n## Intro\n\nAt what point can the government step in and stop us using methods of communication. I don't understand where they think human rights stops and government intervention starts\n\nThere is a lot in the press at the moment about governments stepping on the use of encryption. Encryption that's breakable, is apparently OK to use. Encryption that is unbreakable by a law enforcmement agency, is apparently not OK to use. Or maybe it is, if it has a backdoor built into it.\n\n### Let's talk about this then.\n\nLets start by removing technology from the picture entirely. Do I have a right to privacy? Within reason? I.e if I am suspected of breaking the law in some way or other, then a warrant can be granted to search my premises. Within that, the law enforcement agency can break the lock off a safe, search my belongings etc etc. Fine, so within reason, I have a right to privacy. What if the information they want is in my head - i.e its information they want? Can they prise it out using any means available? Torture?\n\nSo what if they find a box they cannot open and only I have the key to? They can smash the box if they have something to administer the necessary force. That is within their capabilities. Force is just a case of how much money can you throw at building a machine that can administer that force. Tesla designed a machine that could crack the earth in half if he so wanted. So force isn't a question to a law enforcement agency. Perhaps they need to be a bit careful if they want the contents of the box to be left in tact, but that's not a big deal. What if they couldn't break in without damaging the contents, and they knew it? Can they force me to tell them where the key is? When does it become toture once again.\n\nSo now the question comes really down to information. Tactics to get that information have tended to be spying, negotiating, buying... torturing. The first three are probably considered fair game by most people. Infact anything that does not require me to act against my will is fair game by a law enforcement agency.\n\nThere is ofcourse the information they don't know, they don't know. Information I would actively have to tell them they don't know that they don't know. But that's a different kettle of fish.\n\nSo the phsyical world has been cracked by law enforcement, so to speak. If what they want is in a box, and they can throw enough resource at getting into the box, then they can probably do that without encroaching on my human rights. So it's fair game.\n\nBut when it comes to information, I can store information in a way that no amount of force will get at it. Encryption. All encryption is is maths. Clever maths, but maths all the same.\n\nUntil the 1970s information was often stored in an encrypted fashion by hand. That is the person with the information, would write it down, following a set of rules that would make the information unreadable. It was a long an arduous process, but it was possible to do. To get back to the original information, you needed to know something secret. Something that the author would know, and not tell anyone else. To get at that information the author would have to give up the secret. You could ofcourse torture the author for the information, but one thing was for sure. Force would not get you the information, in the same way it will get you to the contents of a box.\n\nThe technique I am referring to is called a One Time Pad. Claude Shannon proved mathematically, that correctly used, a One Time Pad was the unbreakable cipher. Without knowing the secret you will not get access to the information it hides.\n\nSo to demonstrate the ease of this, I went out into the street and asked 40 people, for a random letter of the alphabet each. I wrote those letters down in the order they were given to me. **I will not tell you the sequence of those letters.**\n\nI then decided on a piece of information I want to keep completely secret. Then, using these two things and the following set of rules, I \"encrypt\" the information.\n\n1. Take the first letter of the message you want to keep secret (assume for now it's the letter D)\n2. Take the first letter of your random string of letters obtained from members of the public (assume for now its the letter R)\n3. Add the two letters together, and subtract one. \n\t* I.e D is the fourth letter of the alphabet, R is the 18th letter. 4 + 18 - 1 = 21.\n\t* Write down the equivelent letter for the number obtained (The 21st letter of the alphabet is U). If the number is greater than 26, subtract 26 from it.\n4. Repeat until your entire message is encrypted. The one rule of the One Time Pad is your random string of letters is as long as the message you want to encrypt.\n\nOnce complete you will have a string of letters such as the following:\n\n\n```\nORWRM KNWER TWQBK DJZUN VRJWH MXESD BULXU OSGCZ`\n\n```\n\nThe spaces are there just for readability. They are meaningless otherwise. From the above, you know how I encrypted the information, and you know how many letters I encrypted (40 letters). But try as you might, and throw all the government computing power at it, you will not be able to determine what message I originally encrypted. What's also important is I did not use any computer power to encrypt the message. Just my brain. If I were to keep the random string of letters I used to encrypt the message in my head, the only way you would get to the original message is to prise the information out of me, or negotiate that I give it up.\n\nSo what does the government do about this? They don't have any technological solution to the problem, and assuming they won't torture me, they can negotiate with me, spy on me, record my conversations, search through my bins to see if I wrote the original message (or the random string of letters down) and threw it away. But what's for sure, is they will not be able to break the above cipher without my assistance (whether I meant to give it to them or not).\n\nIn actual fact, if you want to see how I got to the above, here are my workings. no computer used\n\n![onetimepad.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWaVNFM7tjqTxnDWNqANnJA7kJYnCyn2rbouiaXq6Ab5W/onetimepad.jpg)\n\nYou can see the random string of letters I used top left, the message I wanted to encrypt underneath it and on the right is the workings to get from the message to the cipher text. \n\nThe random string of letters:\n```\nvksly pjfrf pjxzk qwlbv cdukd qgwzv oosqm wfsjv\n```\n\nSo if a government can explain to me why I should have to give up that random string of letters (that is stored in my brain), of course thats assuming that they truly beleive the information it hides is of use to them.\n\nThe problem in reality with this One Time Pad, is that that string of random letters must only be ever used to encrypt one message. So in reality its totally impracticle to communicate with someone else who is not beside you. You need to agree on a new random string of characters for every message.\n\nOne technique however that has been used in the past is to agree on a book between you and the people you want to communicate with, that will suffice as the generator of the random string of letters. Once a book has been agreed on you take each letter in turn off the pages in the book and use them as the random string of letters. You never reuse a sequence of letters/words from the book. This gives you a random string of letters as long as the book is in letters to encrypt messages between you and your companions. See [\"The Beale Ciphers\"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beale_ciphers) for a use case of this that has yet to be broken. Without knowing the book(s) used, its impossible to break the cipher.\n\nTo ease my process of encrypting with such a technique, I could write a piece of software. Assuming my piece of software works as intended, its just a more convenient way of doing the same thing I did on paper as before. If my piece of software knows the book I am using as my secret, then me and my companions can talk in secret.\n\nWhere am I going with this? Well does a government have a right to know what book I am using? Do they have a right to have access to the implementation of the software I wrote? What if I don't give it to them? What if they have access to all legitimate uses of the software, but not to the ilegitimate uses? I.e the only messages they know they can break should they need to, are people who are using it for good reasons anyway. And who says the people who work for these governments, who are actually going to decrypt the messages on their behalf are law abiding \"good\" citizens. What about in 20 years when the government and its motives may differ entirely (see Germany between the 1920s and the 1940s).\n\nIn other words, if there is a method that I can do something in my head, and it's agreed that prising it out of my head is against my human rights, then why is it OK that when I write that down, for my own use it OK for a government to demand I hand that piece of paper over?\nIn reality what I am saying is if I use a piece of technology to ease what I would otherwise have to do in my head, why is that not a violation of my human rights that a government have access to it?\nSo to take it further if I use a piece of software (which in essence is just a sexed up notepad) to keep my secrets secret, why is it OK for a government to have control of the inner workings of that piece of software?\n\nTake that even further. When an organisation makes a piece of software to help me do that, and I buy a copy, why should the government have control of the software they sold me? And what about the other governments, the less trusted ones who once one government has this capability, they will want it to?\n\nAnd if we are stating that because of the few who do evil, we should all give the above up, then we live in a very sad world, with an extremely lazy government who are incapable of doing the job that we pay our taxes for - to keep us safe (secure) **without** affecting our right to privacy. If I am giving up privacy for security, what is the point in either?\n\nRealise that the information is obtainable that you need to suspect me of a crime without explicitly reading the messages that I am encrypting. You just need to think a bit more intelligently than the brute force approach that you are currently applying.\n\nAlso realise that you do not own the internet. You do not own the capability of me to communicate with others in any way I wish. I can create an Internet that you cannot monitor. It maybe inconvenient for me, but if I really wanted to I could be off your radar. Push us to that, and you have problems that you cannot realise now.\n![onetimepad.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWaVNFM7tjqTxnDWNqANnJA7kJYnCyn2rbouiaXq6Ab5W/onetimepad.jpg)",
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      "parent_permlink": "cryptocurrency",
      "author": "amlwwalker",
      "permlink": "trading-cryptocurrency-is-like-going-tuna-fishing",
      "title": "Trading CryptoCurrency is like going Tuna Fishing!",
      "body": "# Trading CryptoCurrency is like Going Tuna Fishing\n\n\nAs much as the title of this article may sound like classic click bait (pun intended), it is meant to serve the purpose, of explaining some technical principles of how traders trade, through the medium of fishing! I've chosen this topic, as I've just come back from fishing in the Med so it's on my mind....\n\nTrader's use complex nomenclature for what really is quite simple ideas. Sorry traders who like the lingo to sound clever! As one reddit article puts it, when fishing, the more fishing lines you have in the water, the more chance you have of catching a fish, no shit sherlock, you may be thinking....\n\nSo picture the scene, you are on a fishing boat doing 5 knots, the waves are crashing, you're soaking wet, its pitch black, 5am and you were out drinking last night. There's a slice of pizza left over from the restaurant last night and you are resisting eating it. Your brain ain't firing on all cylinders and you are trying to get your lines out. Almost inevitably, putting multiple lines out is going to result in them all getting tangled together behind the boat, and the 6am-9am shift is going to be spent trying to reverse the entropy and seperate the lines. How can you apply the algorithms traders use to minimise this. Let's go fishing first, trading second.\n\nThe trick to laying your lines, is to apply Newtonian Physics. I know what you're thinking, how on earth can this article be mixing secondary school science, tuna fhishing and crypto trading? Well, thats the fun of writing blogs!\n\nSo your boat is moving in a straight line at a constant speed. Your four rods are positioned at the back of the boat, two on the sides, positioned low, and two are high up on the top of the boat. The lines will troll behind the boat as the boat moves. Using weights on the lines, we can firstly get different depths on the lines, for fish at different heights, but can also stop the lower lines, potentially getting tangled with the higher lines when more line is let out.\n\n![boat.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQwkdna67Ah8HC8kom9rfcHznq9sfpZeYqsrWbfvpQaYp/boat.png)\n\nSo basic principles, if we were fishing in a pond, with no currents and no winds, before we catch anything; if each line is of different length, with different weights on each of the lines, and we are travelling in a straight line, then there should be no problems keeping the lines from tangling. However, in reality, there are currents, winds and turning is, at some point, necessary. Not only that the goal is to catch fish! When that happens, they do not respect your neatly laid lines at all, thrash about, get everything tangled and set you back to the start....\n\n![boat-above.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmQShmL1o5mFGVodb8xTLG6nKxBkm7MdKD9sTUu8ZaktpP/boat-above.png)\n\n### Apply Science:\n\nThe first thing to do is move like a planet. Always turn the boat in the same direction, say, left. I.e if you want to turn 90 degrees right, then do a 270 degree turn left. However, the recommended approach, is to keep in an oval shape, over and around the area you believe to be full of fish. When you do this, each of the lines behind the boat, will follow the boat to a differing degree of sensitivity. The shortest line, will follow the path of the boat most closely, while the longest line will follow it least closely. In fact, the length of the line will determine to a proportional degree, the 'average path' the boat took, as it moved through the length of the line.\n\n![turning.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaNE3CdGpb2oxPSHeNdKydm4EhmShEdCkpYygvh691GBS/turning.png)\n\nExcuse my diagrams..... but the principle I am trying to show here, is the 'lag' that each of the lines will have, relative to the actual path of the boat. The path the boat took is the thicker grey line, coming out the back. Each of the thinner grey lines, are the four fishing lines' paths as the boat turns left. As hopefully you can see, the shortest line follows the path of the boat most closely, while the longest line follows the path of the boat least closely. This is due to the drag on the line, and it affects the line proportionally to how long the line is. Infact, if we keep up the circle/oval, the force on each of the lines, (as long as we aren't \"Perfect Storm\" fishing) will counter the affects of current on the lines, and give us a sure fire way to keep the lines apart and not getting tangled up.\n\nThe Key to understanding how CryptoCurrency is traded, comes when the boat changes direction. When the boat turns right, we get an amplified affect in the opposite direction. The shortest line will start to follow the path of the boat first, or more 'sensitively' than the longer lines. This means that the shortest line will cross the path of the next shortest line, and for a short period, the only force applying to both, will be the currents in the water. At this point anything can happen. Lines bob up and down with the waves, and the currents - even the winds. The key here is the principle of sensitivity of the shortest line. As the boat continues to turn, the next shortest line will cut across the 3rd line, (as will the shortest continue to do so aswell), now giving us the potential for 3 lines to get tangled, and if the boat continues to turn right, the 4th and longest line joins the party.\n\n![line-path.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWVvQ6toiDYjZxDRCutaQgwLMq94xoGYZXkRfkUy7KrD8/line-path.png)\n\nOnce again, excuse me for my diagrams, but hopefully here if I tell you:\n\n* Grey is the actual path the boat took\n* Blue is the path of the shortest line, it follows the path of the boat most cloesely\n* Pink is the path of the next shortest\n* Yellow/Orange, is the path of the next shortest (the second longest)\n* Red is the path of the longest line.\n\nEach time the boat goes around the corner, the more sensitive (to turning) lines change direction faster, giving us an indication of a direction change (if we took away the boat and its path, we could detect a change in direction based on whether two line paths cross. The more lines the blue one cuts through, the more aggressive the change in direction must have been. I.e small turns, would result in less cross over of lines, whereas larger turns result in more cross over of lines. So in effect, the number of lines crossed by the shortest indicates the severity of the turn, and the more chance of tangled lines!\nIn fact, the three shorter lines each indicate how long the change in direction has been going on for. If the second shortest line, crosses the third, then we can infer that we have been turning a corner for quite some time!\n\n\nReaders maybe have seen where I am going with this. Lets talk about Crypto Trading. One of the simplest tools to analyse the price of a specific CryptoCurrency is what is called SMA - Simple Moving Average Technical Analysis. The idea is you take two moving averages of the price of the currency, for the first, perhaps you take the last 10 prices of the currency, and continually average them, this is analogous to our shortest fishing line. You keep taking this average as the price updates. \n\nThe following diagram is the \"candle-stick chart\" of a crypto currency taken from bittrex.com over some time period. The green and red vertical bars are known as candle sticks, and each one represents the price movements of the currency for a 5 minute interval. Long story short, if the bar is red, the price dropped over the 5 minutes, and if its green, the price went up over the past 5 minutes.\n\n![moving-average-10.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWZSvF1jmkno9Wk8wLArQgHU3boPMAWmPkWeKqp8NJHn2/moving-average-10.png)\n\nThe red line is a moving average. I.e the average of the last 10 prices for the currency. You can see it is lagging, but does follow the price to some extent - it actually gives us a smoother line, and a general idea of the direction the price is moving it at any moment.\n\nIf we add a second moving average of the last 20 prices, that is analogous to our second shortest fishing line, \n\n![moving-average-20.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaqCmGH7WVxMyFKJ8o4BbqwvAGRYjRfHLzPuRpfVmsJYw/moving-average-20.png)\n\nwe can see that the new blue moving average lags the actual price more than the original (red) moving average of the last 10 prices. This is very interesting, because as with our fishing lines on the boat, each time our lines cross, we get a suggestion that there is a change in direction of the price. I.e if the price was trending down (as it is at the left of the graph) the 20 point moving average is above the 10 point moving average, but when the downward trend stops, you can see that the two lines cross each other, a little eratically - like our fishing lines getting tangled. Towards the right of the graph, about 2/3ds of the way along, the red line shoots above the blue one, as it follows the upward trend more closely. This is another indiciation of a change in trend.\n\nIt becomes useful when you don't know how the price will move in the future (you never do!). If you think about the fishing lines behind the boat, if you didn't know which way the captain of the boat was planning on turning, you could look at the fishing lines, and work out how the boat was turning based on how the lines were crossing each other. In a similar way we can use these moving averages to work out which way the prices of the currency is changing.\n\nThis principle is the basic principle of the Simple Moving Average Trading technique, others such as the MACD (Moving Average Divergence Convergence) takes the same principle further, and uses the \"amount the lines has crossed\" as an indictation of how strong the trend is. This is analogous to us using our four fishing lines to determine how strong our boat is turning, or indeed how long it has been turning for.\n\nIn CryptoCurrency trading, you can use this to determine when to buy and when to sell. Each time the 10 moving average crosses the 20, you may want to have a look and see if you think its time to trade. If 10MA goes above 20MA, it could be time to buy, and if 10MA goes below 20MA, it may be time to sell.\n\nSo there you have it. A contrived explanation of how going Tuna fishing is like trading crypto currencies!\n\n(Note, please don't use this as your trading algorithm. This was intended as a bit of fun, as the two topics are currently on my mind. However, if you get rich from reading this blog, please share the wealth.",
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      "body": "Congratulations @amlwwalker! You have completed some achievement on Steemit and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :\n\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/firstpost.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@amlwwalker) You published your First Post\n[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/firstvoted.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@amlwwalker) You got a First Vote\n\nClick on any badge to view your own Board of Honor on SteemitBoard.\nFor more information about SteemitBoard, click [here](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)\n\nIf you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word `STOP`\n\n> By upvoting this notification, you can help all Steemit users. Learn how [here](https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/http-i-cubeupload-com-7ciqeo-png)!",
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      "body": "THANK YOU for laying out what took place today.\n\nI bought at $21 and was wondering how the rollout went and why the price crashed. I haven't dumped yet and will not until at least the end of September. The irrationality of people never ceases to amaze.",
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      "permlink": "the-incredible-launch-of-monaco",
      "title": "The Incredible Launch Of Monaco",
      "body": "Today was launch day for the first public version of the [Monaco](https://app.mona.co/) app. Monaco is a crypto-fiat payment card. I.e you own crypto currencies (bitcoin) and you can pay just as you usually would with a Visa card, in any outlet that takes Visa as payment. Its been a while in the running, the website has looked great, everything was looking pretty good. \nExcept one thing. Everyone expected something incredible - a completely finished product, cards to be distributed immediately, and when they didn't get that, they had a tantrum. \n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmVvfYALLpLdr7dYfiWyW5Ayz4n1azxsMf1wbY6y4PigTw/image.png)\nI've been monitoring the chat rooms around Monaco for the last three days, ever since the price of Monaco flew up to about $27. This was probably in anticipation of the app launch. What was also interesting however was that the maturity of the chat in the chatrooms was reasonably mature. Good arguments were being made and reasonable conversations were happening. The price was probably a bit high for the pre-product launch, admittedly, but it did demonstrate a new natural high for MCO. \n\nAn unfortunate thing occurred yesterday however (day before launch day). A version of the Monaco site was leaked (we are still not sure whether on purpose or by accident) that showed the Monaco cards with the Visa logo on them. The Monaco team closed it down within minutes, but as the web is the web, screenshots were grabbed and pasted all over Twitter and Reddit. This resulted in ALOT of immature investments, and investors joining the chat rooms, who probably had reasonably small amounts of MCO in their portfolio.\n\nAt some point yesterday, the hypothesis was made, that 'Whales' (large investors) were controlling the price of MCO so as to buy up the coins that were being dropped by 'weak hands' who weren't sure if this was a sign the price was actually dropping and jumped ship. So between late on the 29th and late on the 30th, there was a slow decline in price. Checking the order books, some large ASKs were being placed, that were responsible for the long red candles.\n\nThe chat rooms were pointing out by this point that the price was being manipulated, and that the Visa leak should mean nothing, that there had never been any word from Monaco that on the 31st, the Visa deal would be completed and they would be allowed to show the Visa logo on the cards. All they said was the app would launch.\n\nAnd this is where the chat rooms had their tantrum. At 10am (London Time) the app hit the Android and Apple Stores, the website was updated and the downloads began.\n\nI would like at this point to draw your attention to the TenX app state. \n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWzT3ZfyzaHTKdxCrer4BtSQS8od1e8GVNZ4hzNaNmp3j/image.png)\nThis is the TenX app in the Android store. I have never in my whole digital life, seen an organisation's production app state in the store that it is potentially unstable. This is what Monaco was up against.\nIf you've used the TenX app, it has suggestions of being able to pay people with the app, it has suggestions of NFC, but really all you can do is order the TenX card - which by the way has no date attached to it as to when you might get it. They will quite happily take your $15 though.\nBack to Monaco.\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmXMkKL6gBnprAn8iVnAFMasMpGYoUpyu6qr49t9LDNkm3/image.png)\n\nWhen the Monaco app hit the stores this morning, the first thing that happened in chat rooms was the continued complaints about the length of time the validation email took to come through. It took about 10-15 minutes. Quite understandable when everyone is on it at once. I wasn't bothered. But then the impatience of people kicked in, and they hammered the button, sending themselves multiple validation emails - each rendering the last email out of date and obsolete - this is good security. Once again, the children headed to the chat rooms to moan about how the links weren't working. They were working perfectly well, but if you clicked an out of date one - because you requested a new one, then you had a very minor hinderance to your flow in the setup process.\nNext once you opened the app, you are immediately taken to a flow that will ultimately resulting in your Monaco card being reserved. This for me, went very smoothly, some mentioned it took a bit to go through - this again, can easily be explained by load on the servers.\nSo at this point we are in exactly the same place as TenX. The app allows us to reserve our card that will be sent out in September. Which should be enough of a hint that they will have the deal with Visa in place by then - otherwise what would the card do? One thing you see on all over the trading world, is buy the rumours, sell the news. Well, I think a rational mind would look at the situation, and think that the rumour is then that the Visa news will come out around the time the start shipping cards.\nSetting up the card in the Monaco app was very easy. I was impressed by the validation process from start to end\n\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPe3sCn6ydkyKea4Ejc6Gp9qQqwwuGZRkddK53eFrf253/image.png)\nValidating your phone number comes after validating your email address\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmPKfoyZKtMnHUmYSAh1ZkHJfgfss3VjwZZAyxFLGQqTMk/image.png)\nValidating your identity is done against your passport or drivers license, and uses impressive facial recognition to immediately verify you\n![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmWNXvtBfQ7K6zTdX5pZZL67EULwnWqbFvD5agJ14Bkrum/image.png)\nYou are then offered to choose which card you would like to reserve, from the free one, up to the Ruby and Precious Metal ones. The Platinum one is reserved for those in the ICO.\n\nAll in all, the app seemed well thought out and gives you a very good impression of what a more complete app will look like, probably coming out in September when the cards are distributed. What I don't understand was the absolute panic that kicked off when the app launched. The app launched bang on time, offered a better experience with identical features to the TenX app, and Monaco offers a roadmap of when to expect to receive the cards, and when next news announcements are going to be made. \nYet today has been a downward spiral of complaining, moaning, and criticising Kris, the CEO for scamming them. It will now take a while for the price to recover and I think it should if Monaco do good on delivering the cards on time. But this ludicrous reaction, which I think was based purely on mass hysteria, will now result in cheap coins for the rest of us that were tossed back on to the market as people lost money through their own volition. \n\nI was amazed, but it was an interesting lesson for me too. Based on the slight overpricing (due to hype before the launch), the price could have been thought to come down prior, so a sell could have been made if you wanted to turn a quick profit.\nThe leak of the Visa logo didn't result in a price hike really at all, which also suggests that people had already considered that deal was already in place, so was reflected in the price.\nBut most importantly, the 'weak hands' who were clearly in this for a quick buck, had seen the high of the market and thought thats where it would go again, start moaning when the app meets its road map entirely, and doesn't deliver miracles. \n\nPrice at time of writing is floating around $12, I'm in at $4 so I'm fine and will hold out to see what September brings. Frankly, I think this was a classic case of why people lose money in investments, and a classic example of how people will never come to blame themselves.\n\nI would recommend to anyone who lost money by buying so high, and selling the panic, to reconsider your 'get rich quick schemes'. Continue like this, and it will be a 'get poor quick' scheme.",
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