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      "title": "This is why all Alts follow BTCs movements.",
      "body": "It is pretty clear that alts reliably follow BTC's macro price movements. Lots of people still ask why this is and they end up being told variations of \"Because BTC is the leader\" or \"Because BTC is the main currency they all trade against\" or other non-answers like that.\n\nHere is why alts follow BTCs price movements:\n\n1. Imagine Eth is worth $700 USD and 0.08 BTC\n2. BTC starts losing value. \n3. As soon as it starts losing value, that 0.08 BTC valuation of ETH is worth less than $700 USD valuation.  ETH's BTC valuation either needs to go up (0.081 BTC etc), or the $700 valuation needs to go down ($699 etc). Either movement is fine, and if the market was confident that ETH was worth $700, then the BTC value should move up. But the market really has no basis for confidence in any crypto prices so it is free to move either, or both. So it typically does...\n4. Before anyone thinks about this let alone has time to react, arbitrage bots sell the ETH for USD and buy ETH from BTC and lock in the value difference between the two prices, pushing the USD value down, and the BTC value up.\n5. Real people (and other algorithms) see ETH price suddenly drop for no apparent reason (they may see BTC doing the same, which would only reinforce their fear because they know it \"leads\" alts), they fear the worst, and panic sell to avoid further losses causing the market amplifies the initial signal, feedback ensues, and you get larger movements in the alts than you get in BTC.\n\nSo, from an initially weaker arbitrage forced movement based on the difference of BTC/USD valuation, the market over-reacts in an attempt to beat the rest of the market to the sell off/buying of the alt coin which they know is coming because BTC is already doing it.",
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      "body": "Looks like we're down to the $8350 support now. Looking forward to figuring out the new count!",
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      "author": "buttcoins",
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      "body": "gotta love bottoms!!",
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      "body": "This is interesting, I have never used this indicator but I will try it out soon! As yes I agree, hopefully Bitcoin will consolidate a little more so that I can accumulate more. Followed you since I did a Bitcoin TA update as well today!",
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      "title": "Learning TD Sequential Indicator",
      "body": "After being introduced to Tone Vays the other day and beginning to watch his daily TA videos, I have become interested in the Tome Demark Sequential Indicator, and so am spending some time today reading up on how to use it. For now I am just reading through the following two documents:\n* http://cs.calstatela.edu/wiki/images/c/cb/DeMark.pdf\n* http://forex-strategies-revealed.com/files/pictures_strategies/downloads/TD_SEQUENTIAL.pdf\n\neach of which I got from Tone Vays' website: http://www.libertylifetrail.com/education/learntrading/\n\nI'm still far from certain that I trust Tone Vays' analysis, or that I trust TA at all, but I figure I might as well learn enough of it to actually reach my own conclusions. \n\nI was particularly confused after learning a little bit about Cup and Handle indicator yesterday, then [watched Tone Vays draw a cup and handle on the Bitcoin chart](https://youtu.be/c3OchIuzhNk?t=57m5s) that very same day and broke one of the central aspects of what every video I had just watched said was necessary for a cup and handle - that it was a continuation pattern. ie: The must be a clear trend, and the cup and handle must then continue that trend. But Tone Vays just drew a cup and handle at the bottom of the bear trend, indicating that it would now go back up. So either every video I watched got this core fact wrong, or Tone Vays made a very simply mistake, or Tone Vays has decided that that aspect of cup and handle doesn't matter.\n\nAnyway, I'm interested in this sequential indicator, because it seems much more regular and straightforward than most, with predictions which are easily checked - rather than indicators that might mean something, maybe, if everything else aligns.\n\n## Bitcoin\n\nOtherwise, I am concerned by bitcoin's rise. I was really really hoping for a stronger double bottom. I want to see a really good entry point before I buy back in on some margin positions and with some spare USDT I am holding, but since it looks to me like we have finally left the bear channel, it is getting less and less certain that that will happen. Which means I am now torn between entering on a small correction and risking the major correction happening anyway, or waiting for that major correction, and missing the bull run.\n\nIn other words - the same constant problem we always have in trading I guess. Is this the bottom? Do I buy now?\n\nI think I'm going to keep waiting for now. The market still feels sideways at best, and hopefully we will get another crash yet so I can more confidently jump back in with everything I have.\n\n[This is the chart](https://www.tradingview.com/x/LwgAKod1/) I have been working on over the last few weeks. Just noting the lines of support/resistance, the channels and added fib levels for extra indicators. \n\n![bitcoin daily chart with channels](https://www.tradingview.com/x/LwgAKod1/)",
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